gbp-jpy

GBP/JPY Exchange Rate Mein Volatility: European Session Mein Girawat
GBP/JPY exchange rate ne Tuesday ko European session ke doran volatile period dekha. Yen ko weak manufacturing data aur government intervention ki wajah se downward pressure ka samna karna pada, jabke British pound ko strong retail sales aur Bank of England ki kam dovish policy expectations se support mila. Japan ki economy ab bhi kai challenges ka samna kar rahi hai. Bank of Japan ka interest rates ko raise karne mein delay, jo weak manufacturing data se barh gaya hai, yen par pressure daal raha hai. Government ka significant funds allocate karna energy subsidies ke liye, jo rising living costs ko kam karne ke liye tha, galti se inflation ko bhi barha sakta hai. Yeh inflationary pressure BOJ ki hawkish stance ko mazid barhata hai. Magar, second quarter mein corporate capital spending ka izafa economic growth ka potential darshata hai. UK mein economy relatively achi dikhayi de rahi hai. Retail sales ne August mein solid increase dikhaya, jo expectations ko outperform karta hai. Manufacturing PMI bhi 50-point level ke upar raha, jo expansion ko indicate karta hai. Bank of England se expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo apni current monetary policy stance ko barqarar rakhega, aur November mein rate hike ka potential hai. Yeh hawkish outlook British pound ko support de raha hai.




Technical Perspective Se GBP/JPY Pair Ki Recovery Phase

Technical perspective se, GBP/JPY pair July ke sharp sell-off ke baad recovery phase mein hai. Recent consolidation 200-day simple moving average ke aas-paas uptrend mein ek potential pause ko darshata hai. Agar pair 200-day SMA ko break nahi kar pata, to neeche pressure face kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY exchange rate Japan aur UK ke economic factors ke complex interplay se influence hota hai. Yen ki kamzori mainly domestic challenges ki wajah se hai, jabke British pound ko relatively resilient economy aur kam dovish monetary policy expectations ka faida mil raha hai. Pair ki future direction in factors ke evolve hone aur technical hurdles ko overcome karne par depend karegi.

GBP/JPY Pair Ne Friday Ko Bullish Trend Dikhaya
GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko bullish trend dikhaya, apni winning streak ko teen din tak barhaya. Yeh upward movement khas taur par British Pound (GBP) ki strength ki wajah se thi, jo positive economic data se support mila. S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August ne business activity mein rebound dikhaya, jo 52.8 se badh kar 53.4 ho gaya. Manufacturing aur services sectors ne is improvement mein contribute kiya. Positive economic data ne other major economies ke mixed picture ke muqablay mein GBP ki appeal ko barhaya. Recent UK retail sales data ne bhi July mein growth ki return dikhayi, June ke decline ke baad. Magar, sab economic indicators positive nahi hain. July mein government borrowing anticipated se zyada thi, aur consumer confidence aur factory orders mixed trends dikhate hain. Market expectations ab bhi Bank of England (BoE) se 2024 ke end tak 0.25% interest rate cut ki ummeed rakhte hain. Kuch analysts to 0.50% tak cuts ki forecast bhi kar rahe hain. Lower interest rates se GBP par negative impact ho sakta hai due to reduced foreign capital inflows, lekin current market narrative kehti hai ke currency ki appreciation limited ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Friday ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments ke baad support paaya. Ueda ne kaha ke BoJ interest rates ko aur barhane par consider karega agar economic aur price trends expectations ke sath align karte hain. Yeh statement JPY ke liye potential upward trajectory ko suggest karta hai.




Technical Perspective Se GBP/JPY Pair Ka Resistance Aur Support Levels

Technical perspective se, GBP/JPY pair ko 192.01 par recent rejection zone mein initial resistance face karna padega, jo 200-day moving average ke sath overlap karta hai. Agar pair is level ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh March high 193.52 ke door ko khol sakta hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne ke liye, bulls ko June support 197.18 ko conquer karna hoga, jo aage resistance ban sakta hai. Downside par, support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hain, jo near-term aur February lows ko represent karte hain. Agar pair in levels ke upar hold nahi kar pata, to yeh aath mahine ke low 180.07 tak decline kar sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Analysis Update
Aaj hum D1 period ke chart par nazar dalain ge - jo ke GBP/JPY currency pair ka chart hai. Is currency pair ke liye, mere khayal mein, yeh munasib hoga ke hum itne senior period par nazar daalein jaise ke weekly period. Sab se pehle, yahaan aap dekh saktay hain ke MACD indicator ne jo downward correction ka signal diya tha, woh kis tarah se kaam kar gaya. Iss mein ek bari bearish divergence thi, jo itne bare period par ek kafi nadir wakiya hai. Aur jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, yeh signal mukammal tor par kaam kar gaya. Yeh isliye ke MACD indicator zero level ke qareeb aa gaya, aur yeh discharge level hota hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pehle girawat horizontal support level 179.26 par pohanch kar wahan se upar gayi, jo closing prices par mabni tha. Aik haftay pehle se pehle growth hui thi, jiska pata woh shama deti hai jo pehlay close hui thi pin bar ya hammer ke saath, jo ke growth ki khasiyat rakhta hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator par bhi growth ka signal hai - ek bullish convergence, aur yeh indicator bhi lower overheating zone se upar jana chahta hai. To abhi ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke growth ke liye zyada imkaan hai, shayad resistance level 198.05 tak, jo ke growth ke kinaaray par aik mirror level hai aur agar girawat mein bhi taraqqi karni hai to is level par wapas aana zaroori hota hai, aur yeh price aam tor par karti hai, jo ke chart ki pehli tareekh se nazar aata hai. Yeh zaroori nahi ke seedha khareedne ka signal ho aur intezar kiya jaye, lekin yeh aik tawaqqu hai aur zyada yaqeen ke liye aik buniyad, agar aap chotay periods par kaam karein GBP/JPY currency pair ke upar aney walay economic data aur central bank policies ka aham asar ho sakta hai, UK aur Japan dono mein se. UK mein, GDP growth aur inflation figures jaise key indicators crucial honge. Mazboot GDP growth British Pound (GBP) ko mazboot karegi, jabke inflation mein izafa Bank of England (BoE) ko sood ki sharah barhane par majboor kar sakta hai, jo GBP ko mazeed support karega. Iske bar-aks, Japan mein, consumer spending aur industrial production data Japanese Yen (JPY) ke liye mawad honge. Mazboot consumer spending JPY ko mazboot kar sakti hai kyun ke yeh ek sehatmand maeeshat ki nishandahi karegi, jabke kamzor industrial production iska ulat asar daal sakta hai. August 29 ko, UK ke employment figures aur retail sales data GBP ke liye ahm honge, kyunke yeh maeeshat ki sehat aur consumer behavior par insights faraham karte hain. Saath hi Japan ke trade balance aur business confidence indicators JPY par asar daalenge, jo ke mulk ki maeeshat aur karobari jazbaat ke mutabiq hain. Iske ilawa, global maeeshi halaat aur saramaya daron ki risk appetite GBP/JPY ke taharrukaat ko shakal dene mein eham kirdar ada karegi. Risk-off mahol, jahan saramaya dar mehfooz assets ki talash mein hotay hain, JPY ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, risk-on mahol, jahan saramaya dar risk lene ke liye taiyar hotay hain, GBP ko support karega

GBP/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast

EURJPY pair ki narrowing price movement ne aakhir kaar bearish triangle pattern bana diya hai aur trend ki direction bhi bearish ho gayi hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan kai crossings hui hain, lekin death crossing signal kamyabi se nazar aaya hai. Is tarah, price movement nichey ki taraf rally ko jari rakhne ke liye support test karne ya lower low pattern banane ki taraf mail hai. Filhal, kareeb mein SBR area 161.45 ke aas paas hai jo ke test ho sakta hai agar price upward correction karey. Low price 160.37 ko lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko barqarar rakhne ke liye main target hoga Agar Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke zariye momentum dekhein, toh yeh ab bhi consistent downtrend mein hai. Saucer signal tab dekhne ko mil sakta hai agar agla histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upward price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke yeh oversold zone level 20 - 10 par enter hone ke baad cross kar chuke hain aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hote hain jo ke overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha ho. Yeh iska matlab hai ke downward rally low prices 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karne ke liye jari rahegi
Setup entry position
Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke ab bhi fresh lagte hain, unke saath trading options ke liye SELL moment ka intezaar karein. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Confirmation ke liye, agar Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil hona chahiye. Target placement ke liye, take profit low prices 160.37 par aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar dynamic resistance ke taur par 15 - 25 pips ki doori par rakhain

GBP/JPY

Aaj hum D1 period ke chart par nazar dalain ge, khas tor par GBP/JPY currency pair par. Is pair ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke weekly period ka analysis karna munasib hoga. Sab se pehle, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke downward correction jo MACD indicator ne pehle se warn kiya tha, woh kaafi achi tarah kaam kar gaya. Is period mein bohat hi bara bearish divergence tha, jo ke itni bari time frame mein kafi kam hota hai. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, signal ne puri tarah kaam kar diya hai. Yeh kyun kehta hoon ke poori tarah kaam kiya? Kyun ke MACD indicator ne zero level ko approach kiya, jo ke discharge level hota hai. Pehle price ne horizontal support level 179.26 ko touch kiya jo closing prices par bana tha, aur wahan se upar chali gayi. Pichle hafte se pehle growth dekhne ko mili, jo pehle pin bar ya hammer candle ke zariye indicate hui thi, jo aksar growth ka signal hoti hai.

Iske ilawa, CCI indicator par bhi ek bullish convergence ka signal hai, aur yeh indicator lower overheating zone se upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai. Abhi ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke growth ka imkaan zyada hai, shayad resistance level 198.05 tak pohanchay, jo ke ek mirror level hai growth ke edge par. Agar decline bhi develop hona hai, to zaroori hoga ke pehle is level tak waapis aaye. Price aksar pichle history ke mutabiq aisa karti hai, jaise ke hum chart mein dekh sakte hain. Ye zaroori nahi ke ye ek direct buy ka indicator ho, lekin ek note aur base hai jo zyada confidence de sakta hai agar aap chhoti time frames par upward kaam karain.

Economic Data ka Asar GBP/JPY currency pair ko UK aur Japan ke central bank policies aur ane wali economic data se bohat zyada asar hoga. UK mein, GDP growth aur inflation ke figures kafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Strong GDP growth British Pound (GBP) ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai, jab ke rising inflation Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates barhane par majboor kar sakta hai, jo GBP ko aur support karega. Dusri taraf, Japan mein consumer spending aur industrial production ka data Japanese Yen (JPY) par asar dalay ga. Achi consumer spending JPY ko mazid mazboot karegi kyun ke yeh healthy economy ka sign hoga, jab ke weak industrial production iska ulat asar dalay gi. 29 August ko UK ke employment figures aur retail sales data GBP ke liye kafi significant hoga, kyun ke yeh economic health aur consumer behavior ke insights faraham karega. Japan ke trade balance aur business confidence indicators JPY par asar dalain ge, jo ke mulk ki economic trade dynamics aur business sentiment ko reflect karega. Iske ilawa, global economic conditions aur investor risk appetite bhi GBP/JPY ke movements ko shape karne mein kirdar ada karain ge. Agar investors ka risk-off sentiment ho, to JPY mazboot ho sakta hai. Jab ke risk-on environment GBP ko support karega.

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko thodi si surprise di, jab yeh sharply neeche chala gaya aur 188.43 ke level ko break kar diya, bina koi aise fundamental factors ke jo Japanese currency ki strengthening ko indicate karte hoon. Filhal, daily chart par koi reversal ke nishan nahi hain aur quotes aage bhi gir sakti hain taake support level 183.09 ko test kar sakein. Yeh zaroori hai ke Monday ko Japan ke gross domestic product ke data release honge, jo currency market ki balance ko Asian region mein badal sakte hain.
Is context mein, alternative scenario ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Agar quotes 188.43 ke level ke upar wapas aati hain, to humein apni strategy ko change karna padega aur resistance 192.18 ki taraf move karna padega.

Pichle hafte ka candlestick sirf bearish nahi tha - trading range lagbhag 700 points thi aur yeh movement mainly south direction mein thi. Candlestick bhi kaafi important aur informative thi. Closing price 186.84 thi, aur local minimum 186.48 tha, yani yeh ek strong zone ko test kiya aur kaafi arse ke baad itni low closing hui. Lagta hai mood aur trend further decline ki taraf hain, lekin personally mujhe sell karne ka mann nahi hai, aur main sell nahi karunga. Lekin buy karna bhi thoda uncomfortable lagta hai, kyunki pound-yen depth test karne ki possibility hai, kam se kam 181 figure tak. Isliye, main sirf purchases plan kar raha hoon, bina fanaticism ke, modest volumes mein aur pehli opportunity par transaction ko adjust kar dunga, lekin stops ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye.

GBP/JPY
Achha din! Pound/Yen ne is hafte ko ek kaafi bara bearish candle ke saath close kiya, jo ke niche ki taraf movement ke continuation ki ishara deta hai. Halankeh daily chart par Bollinger Bands ab bhi narrow ho rahe hain, jo ke south ki taraf movement ko kuch had tak rok sakte hain. Magar, abhi bhi lower band tak kuch space hai, jahan hum zyada accurately sentiment dekh sakte hain. Choti timeframes, jaise ke hourly chart, par indicators ab bhi south ki taraf hi ishara kar rahe hain, sirf Bollinger Bands se thoda bahar ka hint mil raha hai jo ke correction ke liye hai aur yeh lower middle band ko test karne ki taraf indicate karta hai. Isliye, Monday ko market khulne par thodi si rise dekhne ki ummeed hai, jo ke ek pullback ho sakta hai.

4-hour chart par bhi, indicators decline ke continuation ki taraf poori tarah se support kar rahe hain, lekin yahan bhi Bollinger Bands ka similar hint hai jo ke local correction ki taraf indicate karta hai aur yeh lower middle band ko test karne ki taraf hai. Overall, mai global perspective mein south ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin locally ek choti si pullback ki bhi ummeed hai.

Iske ilawa, jab tak price lower band ko test nahi karti, tab tak south ki taraf movement ki umeed hai. Agar pullback hota hai to yeh temporary ho sakta hai, aur overall trend ab bhi bearish hai. Market ke movements ko closely monitor karte hue, traders ko short-term corrections ke liye bhi taiyaar rehna chahiye. Saath hi, agar koi unexpected market shift hoti hai, toh uske liye bhi tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Is waqt GBP/JPY ka overall outlook bearish hai, lekin choti choti pullbacks ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trade karna zaroori hai.

GBP/JPY Kaamiyat Zari Hai - 4 Din Se Lagataar Girawat

GBP/JPY currency pair ne chaar din tak lagataar girawat dekhi hai aur is waqt Asian session mein Wednesday ko qareeban 199.50 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Ye girawat zyadatar investors ke safe haven ki talash ke wajah se ho sakti hai, jo Japanese Yen ko mazid taqat de rahi hai.

Investor ka Rujhan aur Japanese Yen ki Taqat

Investors mein safety ki taraf rujhan barh raha hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ki taqat ko mazid barha raha hai. Saath hi, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke agle hafte ke liye mumkin interest rate hike ki umeed bhi market dynamics ko mutasir kar rahi hai. Is hawkish stance ke nateejay mein short sellers apne positions close kar rahe hain, jis se Yen mazid mazboot ho raha hai.

Japan ke hukoomati ahlaqar bhi is optimism ko support kar rahe hain. Ruling party ke Toshimitsu Motegi ne BoJ ko monetary policy ko normalize karne aur dheere dheere interest rates barhane ki tajwez di hai. Wazir-e-Azam Fumio Kishida ne bhi is rukh ko support kiya aur kaha ke ye qadam Japan ke growth-driven economy mein tabdeel hone ke raste ko humwaar karega.

Japan ke Ikhtalafi Economic Indicators

Japan ke economic data mein kuch mukhtalif trends dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Ek taraf, manufacturing sector mein contraction ka rujhan dekhne ko mil raha hai. Jibun Bank Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) July mein 49.2 tak gir gaya hai, jo June ke 50.0 aur market expectations ke 50.5 se kam hai. Ye April ke baad pehli dafa hai ke factory activity mein girawat dekhi gayi hai.

Doosri taraf, services sector ne behtari dikhayi hai, jahan PMI July mein 53.9 tak barh gaya, jo pichlay maheenay ke 49.4 se zyada hai. Ye chhata lagataar mahina hai jisme growth hui hai, aur April ke baad ka sabse zyada strong expansion hai.







Bank of England ka Asar GBP/JPY Par

Bank of England (BoE) ka stance bhi GBP/JPY pair ko mutasir kar raha hai. Agar August mein BoE se rate cut ki umeed kam hoti hai, to is se Pound mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai, jo currency pair ki girawat ko rok sakta hai.

Market ke log UK Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) activity survey ke natayij ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo aaj thodi dair mein release honay walay hain. Umeed hai ke UK services PMI July mein 52.5 tak barh sakta hai, jo June ke 52.1 se zyada hai, jo ke saat maheenay ki sabse kam level thi. Manufacturing PMI ke liye bhi umeedein positive hain, jisme umeed hai ke ye 50.9 se barh kar 51.1 tak chala jayega.

Nateeja

Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY currency pair ki recent girawat investors ke rujhan aur BoJ ki tightening monetary policy expectations ki wajah se hai. Sath hi, ikhtalafi economic indicators aur BoE ka approach aglay kuch waqt tak is currency pair ke dynamics ko shape karte rahain gay.

GBP/JPY Pair Mein Dobara Uchhal - Bargain Hunters Ka Kirdar

GBP/JPY pair ne dobara se uchhal dekha hai jab ke bargain hunters ne one-week lows ke aas paas, yani 189.00 ke qareeb, entry ki hai. Is se Friday ko chooey gaye takreeban two-month high ke baad aane wali recent pullback ruk gayi hai. Is taraqqi ne spot prices ko early European trade mein session highs ki taraf dhakel diya hai, jo ke qareeban 191.00 tak pohoch gayi hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne pressure mehsoos kiya hai, aur is ki bari wajah naye Japanese Wazir-e-Azam ka monetary policy par stance hai. Shigeru Ishiba ne zor diya hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhna chahiye taake Japan ki fragile economic recovery ko support mil sake. Is ke ilawa, aane wale elections ka elan aur Japan ke mixed economic data ne bhi yen ki kamzori mein apna hissa dala hai. Doosri taraf, Sterling ko US dollar ki kamzori aur UK mein US ke muqablay mein dheeme rate-cut cycle ki umeedon ne support diya hai, jis se GBP/JPY cross ko mazid sahara mila hai.







Makrooh Halat aur GBP/JPY Ki Behtari

Jab ke GBP/JPY ka outlook achha lag raha hai, kuch mukhalif asar is ki gains ko limit kar sakte hain. Market mein barhtee umeed hai ke BoJ saal ke akhri tak rate hike kar sakta hai, jo yen ki girawat ko rokne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitics tensions, khaaskar Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan confrontations, safe-haven Japanese yen ko faida pohcha sakte hain aur GBP/JPY ki upside ko limit kar sakte hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, daily chart par bearish "death cross" ka formation hua hai, jahan 50-day SMA 200-day SMA ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo ek ehtiyaat barhne ki nishani hai. Jab tak Monday ko koi significant market-moving economic data saamne nahi aata, ye behtari ki wajah se kisi recovery ka intezar karna prudent hoga.

GBP/JPY Ka Price Move Overview

Aaj humara guftagu ka markazi nukta GBP/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya hai. Pichlay chand hafton mein tezi se girawat ke baad, GBP/JPY ki price ab ulta chalan shuru kar rahi hai. 184.54 ke qareeb support region ko cross karne ke baad price mein izafa hua, aur ab ye strong resistance area ki taraf barh rahi hai, jo chart par blue area ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai, aur jo 191.95 aur 192.60 ke darmiyan hai. Is ke ilawa, price 200 Moving Average (MA) ke qareeb hai, jo ke market ke medium aur long-term movements mein aik aham level mana jata hai. Pehli baat ye hai ke price ab aik bara resistance area mein hai. Aksar aise level ke qareeb sellers price par kafi pressure dalte hain.

Aaj ke Market ke Haalaat

Aaj GBP/JPY ka market buyers ke haq mein reh sakta hai, lekin ye bullish momentum zyada dair tak nahi chal sakta. Is ki wajah ye hai ke buyers already overbought zone mein pohoch chuke hain, jo ye dikhata hai ke upward movement ab overextended ho rahi hai. Jab market overbought condition mein aati hai, to aksar ye ishaara hota hai ke reversal kareeb ho sakta hai. Is ke nateejay mein, hum market sentiment mein tabdeeli dekh sakte hain. Mera andaza hai ke anqareeb buyers retreat karenge aur price support zone 189.78 ko cross kar legi aglay chand ghanton mein. Short target ke liye 189.84 ka level mukarrar kiya gaya hai, jo ke a reasonable near-term target hai. Ye level us downward movement ke mutabiq hai jo support level ke breach hone par aasani se haasil ho sakta hai.







Lekin koi bhi trade mein daakhil hone se pehle ehtiyaat zaroori hai, isi liye stop loss ka istemal karna behtareen rahega. Ye risk management tool aapki capital ko bachane mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market aapke against chaley, aur potential losses ko minimum rakha ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBP/JPY ke sellers ko market dynamics shift hone par control milne ki umeed hai. Technical indicators ye dikhate hain ke buying force kamzor ho rahi hai, jo sellers ko price neeche dhakelne ka moka de sakti hai. Anqareeb key support area cross hone ka imkaan hai.

Is bearish outlook ko mazid taqat Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki khabron se mil rahi hai, jo ke sellers ko mazid stability de rahi hai. BOJ ki monetary policy decisions aur related statements ka Japanese Yen (JPY) par bara asar hota hai, aur is surat mein lagta hai ke ye sellers ke haq mein jaa raha hai.

Nateeja

Akhir mein, halan ke GBP/JPY abhi tak buyers ki territory mein hai, reversal ka imkaan barhta ja raha hai. 189.84 ka target rakhte hue sell position kholna ek strategic move lagta hai, khas tor par jab stop loss bhi laga ho. Aane wale chand ghanton mein sellers ke support area cross karne ki umeed hai. Allah ka karam aur ap sab hifazat mein rahain.

GBP/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya aur Trading Strategies

British Pound aur Japanese Yen ka pair (GBP/JPY), jo ke ek "cross pair" kehlata hai kyunke ye US Dollar ko bypass karta hai, European trading session mein aik holding pattern mein hai. Is ke bawajood ke pair apne haftay ke sabse oonchay nuqtay ke qareeb hai. To is action ke peechay kya waja hain? Asal mein, GBP/JPY ki recent surge ki badi waja Japanese Yen ki kamzori hai. Yen kuch waqt se pressure mein hai, aur is ki girawat GBP/JPY ke faiday mein ja rahi hai.

Lekin kahani sirf kamzor Yen tak mehdood nahi hai. British Pound bhi apni taqat dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, khaaskar UK ke recent elections ke baad, jis se currency mein mazid taqat aa gayi hai. Is ke ilawa, US Dollar ki kamzori bhi GBP/JPY ke liye support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Magar yahan aik twist hai. Market ka rujhan is waqt aanay wale US employment data par hai, jo ke 3:30 PM par release hona hai (aap ke local waqt ke mutabiq). Ye aham economic data currency market mein kaafi turbulence laa sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/JPY mein ek potential correction ho sakta hai, yani ke recent rise ke baad temporary decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin meri badi prediction yeh hai ke current uptrend barqarar rahega. Yahaan do mumkin scenarios hain jo dekhnay layak hain:

Scenario 1: Oopar Ki Taraf Correction

GBP/JPY ki price movement jo abhi EMA 50 ke qareeb consolidate kar rahi hai, resistance ke level 199.01 ya 199.00 ke kareeb hai. Is kaafi strong imkaan hai ke price resistance ko test karegi, aur upward correction SMA 200 tak pohoch sakta hai.







Scenario 2: Neeche Ki Taraf Girawat

Lekin agar price EMA 50 ke neeche chali jati hai, to price gir kar support level 195.96 ya 196.00 tak bhi test kar sakti hai. Agar hum overall trend ko dekhen, jo ke abhi bearish condition mein hai, to price movement ka rujhan neeche jane ka zyada lagta hai.

Technical Indicators Ka Tajziya

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki madad se dekha jaye to thoda uncertainty nazar aata hai. Kyun ke histogram bar bar uptrend aur downtrend momentum ko relatively short time mein dikhata hai. Agar ye bearish trend ko follow karta hai, to histogram consistently level 0 ya negative area ke neeche rahega.

Stochastic Indicator

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke qareeb cross kar rahe hain aur oversold zone (levels 20-10) tak nahi pohoch sake, upward correction ko support karte hain. Is ke ilawa, abhi tak parameters overbought zone (level 90-80) mein nahi dakhil hue, jo dikhata hai ke price ke oopar jane ka mazeed room hai, buying saturation point tak pohochne se pehle.

Akhir mein, market ka rujhan ya to resistance test karne ka hoga ya phir neeche ke support levels ko test karega. Traders ko in technical indicators par focus karna chahiye aur risk management ke saath trading decisions lene chahiye.

GBP/JPY Ka Tajziya

D-1 Timeframe Hafta apne ikhtitaam par hai, to aayein ek martaba phir D1 period chart ka tajziya karte hain, jo ke GBPJPY currency pair ka hai. Guzishta trading hafta taqreeban poora sellers ke qabzay mein raha, sirf hafte ke aghaz mein thoda izafa hua, lekin phir girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya jo hafta ke ikhtitaam tak jaari raha. Kuch dinon mein din ke andar rollbacks dekhne ko mile, lekin har dafa sellers ne price ko aur neeche gira diya. Wave structure neeche ki taraf apna order bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator phir se lower sales zone mein kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, jo apni signal line ke neeche hai. Mera andaza hai ke girawat ka silsila is downward trend ke mutabiq jaari rahega, aur girawat ka target pichlay August ka minimum hoga.

Chhoti timeframes par kaam karne ki strategy sirf neeche ki taraf honi chahiye jab decline se mutabiq formations ban rahe hon. Shayad hum foran neeche na jayein, iska ishara CCI indicator ke position se milta hai, jo ke lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle, ek corrective growth sab se qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak ho sakti hai. Agar ye rollback hoti hai, to is level ke qareeb aap chhoti timeframe, jaise M15, par sale ke liye formation dekh sakte hain, takay support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Is tarah aap ek neeche wale level par entry le sakte hain jo ke higher level se supported ho.







General rule yahi hona chahiye ke aise transactions kiye jayein jo neeche wale levels par entry dete hain, lekin unhein higher levels support karte hain. Main khareedna nahi chahunga kyunke ye sirf chhoti si rollback de sakti hain aur phir girawat general trend ke mutabiq jaari rahegi, khas tor par jab pound as a whole market mein kamzor ho raha hai. Hum yeh bhi andaza laga sakte hain ke agar pichlay August ka low renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par bullish divergence ka signal mil sakta hai, lekin ye abhi filhal kehna zyada jaldi hoga. Aam tor par guzishta dino mein price neeche hi dabti nazar aa rahi hai, jaisa ke umeed thi.

GBP/JPY Trading Analysis

Shaam bakhair dosto, aaj raat mein GBP/JPY currency pair ki movement ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga jo is waqt kaafi pressure mein hai. Ab sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh girawat ek trend reversal hai ya sirf price correction, is liye hum technical analysis ke zariye GBP/JPY ka tajziya karte hain.

H4 timeframe ke baad, GBP/JPY pair ne apni base area ko penetrate karte hue oopar ka rukh dikhaya, jo yeh batata hai ke major movement ka direction ab oopar ki taraf hoga. Meri raaye mein jo abhi girawat ho rahi hai, yeh sirf ek correction hai. GBP/JPY sirf apni base area ko dobara test kar raha hai is se pehle ke yeh apni Bullish movement ko continue kare.

Ab hum Moving Average Indicator tool ka istemal kar ke dekhte hain, jisme period 21 aur period 34 ko H4 timeframe mein apply karte hain. Moving Average ka rukh abhi bhi oopar ki taraf hai aur price abhi bhi Moving Average ke area mein hi khel raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke trend abhi bhi Bullish condition mein hai aur kisi reversal ka koi sign nazar nahi aata. Is liye, meri raaye mein behtareen faisla yeh hoga ke hum iss waqt BUY ka mauqa talash karein. Hum 191.81 par BUY kar sakte hain aur target set karne ke liye resistance area ka istemal kar sakte hain jo ke 198.74 ka price level hai. Stop loss ke liye sab se qareebi support ka level 189.35 use kar sakte hain.

Nateeja: Jab tak trend Bullish hai, humain BUY momentum par focus karna chahiye. SELL karne se parhez karein kyun ke agar hum trend ke khilaf gaye to risk zyada hoga aur target opportunities limited honge, jisme wide targets apply nahi ho payenge. Neeche main aik tasveer attach kar raha hoon jo upar diye gaye analysis ke liye guide hogi. Umeed hai ke yeh tajziya aap sab ke liye faidemand hoga, jo Investsocial forum ke members hain.

Note:

Order Position: BUY 191.81

Support: 189.35 (Stop Loss)

GBP/JPY Analysis Update

Aaj hum GBP/JPY currency pair ka D1 period chart dekhein ge. Is currency pair ke liye mera khayal hai ke hum weekly timeframe par bhi nazar dalna chahiye. Sab se pehle, hum dekhte hain ke MACD indicator ki di gayi bearish divergence ne kis tarah kaam kiya. Yeh ek kaafi bara bearish divergence tha, jo itne baray timeframe par ek rare phenomenon hai. Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, yeh signal poori tarah se kaam kar gaya. Pura kaam kar gaya kyun ke MACD indicator zero level ke qareeb aa gaya, jo ke discharge level hai.

Yeh bhi saaf hai ke girawat ne pehle horizontal support level 179.26 ko touch kiya, jo closing prices par bana tha, aur phir price wahan se upar chali gayi. Pichlay haftay se pehle growth hui thi, jo ke ek candle ne indicate ki thi jo pin bar ya hammer ke sath close hui thi, jo growth ka aik sign hota hai. Saath hi CCI indicator par bhi growth ka signal mil raha hai - bullish convergence, aur yeh indicator bhi ab lower overheating zone se upar janay ke liye tayar lagta hai. To filhal mujhe zyada probability lagti hai ke growth ho, aur yeh resistance level 198.05 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh aik mirror level hai jo pichlay growth ka edge tha, aur agar girawat ka plan hai, to pehle is level par wapas ana zaroori hai, jo ke price aksar karti hai, jaisa ke humein pehle chart ke history se nazar aata hai.

Zaroori nahi ke yeh ek seedha buy signal ho, lekin chhoti timeframes par kaam karte hue growth ki taraf kaam karne ke liye yeh aik achi indication ho sakti hai.







Economic Data aur Policies ka Asar:

GBP/JPY ka asar aane walay economic data aur dono mulkon ki central bank policies par bhi hoga. UK mein GDP growth aur inflation figures kaafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar GDP growth strong hoti hai, to British Pound (GBP) mazid strong ho sakta hai, jab ke rising inflation Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates barhane par majboor kar sakta hai, jo GBP ke liye support banega.

Japan mein consumer spending aur industrial production data kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Mazid consumer spending se Japanese Yen (JPY) strong ho sakta hai kyun ke yeh healthy economy ki taraf ishara karega, jab ke industrial production mein girawat iska ulat asar dal sakti hai. 29 August ko UK ki employment figures aur retail sales ka data GBP ke liye kaafi significant hoga, kyun ke yeh mulk ki economic health aur consumer behavior ka pata dega. Saath hi Japan ka trade balance aur business confidence indicators JPY ko asar andaz karein ge, jo mulk ki trade dynamics aur business sentiment ko reflect karein ge.

Global economic conditions aur investors ka risk appetite bhi GBP/JPY ki movement ko shape karega. Agar risk-off sentiment hota hai, to JPY mazid strong ho sakta hai, jab ke risk-on environment GBP ke liye favorable hoga.

GBP/JPY Ka Analysis

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ke Asian session mein thoda pullback dekha, jo pichlay do trading dinon ke dauran hone wale gains ko reverse karta hai. Yeh pair takreeban 190.90 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara karta hai. Technical analysis se lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Halankeh MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ko show karta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line se neechay hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neechay hona bhi bearish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 191.63 par ek immediate resistance ka kaam karega. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bullish sentiment mazid strong ho sakta hai aur pair 195.50 ke ascending channel tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh ascending channel break hota hai, to bearish reversal ka signal mil sakta hai, jo price ko 7-mahine ke low 180.09 tak le ja sakta hai.

Recent months mein GBP/JPY ne kaafi volatility dekhi hai, jisme 16 saalon ke high se August mein 180.07 ka low touch karna shamil hai. Halankeh pair ne uske baad kuch recovery ki, lekin uski advance ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ne roka diya. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Agay ja kar near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par further declines ruk sakte hain, lekin agar market neechay jata hai, to 8-month low bhi touch ho sakta hai.







Upside par, agar pair recent rejection zone 192.01, jo 200-day moving average ke sath coincide karta hai, ko break kar leta hai, to March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair ek uncertain period se guzar raha hai, jahan mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iska direction influence kar rahe hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna hoga taake informed trading decisions le sakein.