Gbp-jpy

GBP/JPY Analysis: Selling Strategy Remains Strongest
Hafte ke shuru hone se GBP/JPY prices ne neeche ki taraf correction ki hai, jo ke support level 188.22 tak extend hui, aur Wednesday ke shuruat mein around 189.00 band hui. US dollar ke muqablay mein yen ki qeemat mein kami ke bawajood, yen ne doosri major currencies ke muqablay mein significant izafa dekha hai. Lekin, investment bank analysts ke mutabiq, pound abhi bhi apni recent decline ke baad thoda undervalued hai.

Analysts jo yeh samajhte hain ke pound teesre quarter ke dauran abhi ke levels se upar ja sakta hai, kehte hain ke UK mein relatively high interest rates pound ko agle hafton mein support kar sakte hain. Total milakar, pound abhi tak G10 currencies mein sabse behtareen perform kar raha hai. Fundamental aur scientific positives waise ke waise hain aur hum confident hain ke recent weakness UK ki expectations ko reflect nahi karti,” Bank of America ne apni recent report mein kaha.




Pichle hafte ke economic reports kehti hain ke UK economy ne pehle half mein strong performance dikhayi, GDP teen mahine tak June mein 0.6% barhi. Unemployment rate reportedly June mein 4.2% tak gir gaya jo ke May mein 4.4% tha, hiring ki tez raftar ke bawajood. Yeh data Bank of England ke liye interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat ko kam karega 2024 mein, jo ke UK aur pound ke interest rate expectations ko boost karega.

British stocks stock exchange platform par gir gaye. FTSE 100 index Tuesday ko thoda gir gaya aur 8,300 points par trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle din teen hafton ke high par tha. Yeh girawat energy stocks ke wajah se hui, Shell aur BP ne oil prices ke girne ke bawajood 1.5% se zyada girawat dekhi. Industrial minerals mine karne wale companies ke shares bhi copper prices ke girne ke bawajood losses ka shikaar hue.

Daily chart ke development ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY price abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai aur agar bulls pair ko resistance levels 193.70 aur 196.00 ke taraf kheench lete hain to target change ho sakta hai. Iske liye investors ko risk appetite ko wapas lana hoga aur yen ko safe-haven asset ke tor par kharidna band karna hoga.

British Pound aur Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair ne do din ki girawat ke baad phir se sudhar dikhaya, Tuesday ko early European trading ke doran. Ye sudhar zyada tar Japanese yen (JPY) ke broad sell-off ki wajah se hua hai. Yen par asar daalne wale ek ahem factor Japan ke national consumer price index (CPI) ka Friday ko hone wala release hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko ummeed hai ke mazboot economic recovery ke bawajood inflation 2% target ki taraf barhegi. Agar ye umeed sahi sabit hui to BoJ aur interest rate hikes kar sakta hai, jo ke kuch waqt se excessive monetary stimulus ko unwind karne ki koshish mein hai. Aise mein yen ko mazbooti mil sakti hai, jo GBP/JPY jese cross-currency pairs ke liye resistance create kar sakta hai. Magar, risk appetite aur Middle East mein kam hote geopolitical tensions yen jese safe-haven currencies ko kamzor kar sakte hain. United States ne indicate kiya hai ke Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ne Israel aur Hamas ke darmiyan differences hal karne ke liye proposals accept kiye hain. Phir bhi, agar political tensions barhati hain to safe-haven flows ko boost mil sakta hai, jo yen ke liye faida mand hoga. Sterling ko bhi is baat ka support mil raha hai ke Bank of England (BoE) apni upcoming September meeting mein interest rates ko 5.0% par barqarar rakhega. IBOSS ke chief economist Robert Thompson kehte hain ke BoE shayad rates ko unchanged rakhe, aur agle rate cut ko November tak postpone kar sakta hai.



Technical indicators bhi GBP/JPY ki current bullish trend ko support kar rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX sideway move kar raha hai, jo downtrend ke dheela hone ko suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, apne midpoint ke kareeb aa raha hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, apne moving average aur oversold zone ko break karta hua, moderate uptrend ko reinforce kar raha hai. Agar bullish sentiment barqarar raha, to GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 ko surpass karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur dheere dheere 192.57-193.60 zone ko retest kar sakta hai. Ye zone July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 se July 11, 2024 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ko include karta hai.

GBP-JPY Currency Pair Ka Technical Analysis



GBP-JPY currency pair ka technical analysis Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (triangular moving average) aur RSI indicators ke combination ke zariye kiya gaya hai. Is waqt, ye indicators market ko clearly bullish dikha rahe hain. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator market ke current power balance ko dikhata hai, aur charts par noise ko smooth karta hai, jo technical analysis ko kaafi madadgar banata hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow colors ki lines) support aur resistance lines ko twice-smoothed moving averages ke base par build karta hai aur instrument ke current boundaries ko dikhata hai. Filhal, main focus purchases par hai kyun ke mujhe growth ki ummeed hai.

Lekin, 189.339 ka current price entry ke liye suitable nahi lagta. Main abhi ek zyada favorable support level ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo mujhe 183.729 par nazar aa raha hai. Meri raaye mein, ye level ek acchi opportunity provide karega long-position kholne ke liye. RSI basement indicator ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke taur par use kiya gaya hai jo Heiken Ashi ke sath mil kar excellent results dikhata hai. Presented chart par, hum dekh rahe hain ke candlesticks ne blue color le liya hai, jo buyers ke priority ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya aur minimum point se bounce kar ke wapas channel mein aayi aur phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf barh rahi hai.

Is waqt, RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko puri tarah confirm karta hai kyun ke iski curve upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur overbought level ke kareeb nahi hai. Isliye, hum ek long-buy transaction kholenge jiska aim channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) tak pohnchna hai, jo price mark 193.752 par market quotes se hai. Uske baad, position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain aur further profit growth ka intezaar kar sakte hain.

7 GBP-JPY H4 Time Frame
Pichle haftay ke doran GBP-JPY ka halat aur harkat ko dekha gaya ke yeh ek kaafi consistent bullish trend pattern bana rahi thi. GBP-JPY ki harkat ne higher lows aur higher highs create kiye, jo ke bullish trend pattern ko indicate karta hai. H4 timeframe ke technical analysis se jo picture mili, usme yeh dekhne ko mila ke bullish movement ne MA 50 ko break kiya aur ab MA 100 ke samne ek dynamic resistance level ke tor par pesh aa rahi hai.

GBP-JPY ki movement MA 100 ko break karne mein zyada successful nahi rahi, kyunki yeh MA 100 ke aas-paas hi ruk gayi aur bullish direction ko aage nahi badhaya. Yeh interesting hai ke GBP-JPY ka MA 100 ke response kaise hota hai, agar aaj significant bullish movement hoti hai to yeh MA 100 ke break hone ki confirmation hogi jo aage ke bullish movements ko trigger kar sakti hai. Lekin agar GBP-JPY significant bearish move karti hai aur MA 50 ko break karti hai, to yeh bearish trend ki confirmation hogi aur GBP-JPY wapas bearish trend condition mein chala jayega.




Conclusion

GBP-JPY ke liye MA 100 ko direction indicator ke tor par dekhna interesting hai. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke GBP-JPY ki movement MA 100 ke aas-paas hi hai. Agar aaj koi significant bullish movement hoti hai jo MA 100 ke upar hoti hai, to yeh buy entry ke liye ek acha moment ho sakta hai, kyunki iska matlab hai bullish trend pattern continue kar raha hai aur meri prediction yeh hai ke MA 200 ko break kar sakti hai, jo bearish se bullish trend ka reversal indicate karega. Lekin agar GBP-JPY bearish move karti hai aur MA 100 ke neeche chali jaati hai, to MA 50 ko break karna direction indicator banega, kyunki yeh confirm karega ke GBP-JPY bearish trend mein wapas aa raha hai, aur sell entry ke liye yeh moment achha ho sakta hai. Iska potential bearish target MA area ke neeche support level ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Monday ko subah ke European trading mein kamzori ka samna kiya, aur yeh 188.70 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh girawat zyada tar Japanese yen ke mazboot hone ki wajah se thi, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke dovish jazbat aur majboot Japanese Q2 GDP data ki wajah se support pa rahi thi. Behtareen GDP figures ne BoJ ke zyada interest rate hikes ki umeed ko barhawa diya, jo yen ko appeal de raha hai. Dusri taraf, British pound (GBP) ko UK ke retail sales data ke behtareen figures se support mila, jo Bank of England ke dobarah interest rate cut ki ummeed ko kam kar raha hai. Halankeh, UBS analysts apni November mein 25 basis point rate cut ki forecast aur 2025 mein mazeed cuts ka tajwez barqarar rakhtay hain. Haal hi mein, GBP/JPY pair ne recovery ke nishan dikhaye hain, aur August 5 ke lows se lagbhag 4% ubar gaya hai. Yeh rebound partly Bank of England ke interest rate cut ke baad market stabilization aur low liquidity conditions se price movements ke amplify hone ka natija hai.



Technical indicators GBP/JPY downtrend ke halke hone ka imkaan de rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX sideways chal raha hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai. Stochastic indicator apni moving average ko cross kar ke oversold zone se bahar aa gaya hai, jo pair ke moderate uptrend ko support kar raha hai. Market participants ab agle economic data, jaise ke S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) aur Japan ka national CPI, par focus kar rahe hain taake dono countries ke economic health aur GBP/JPY exchange rate par inka potential impact samjha ja sake. Overall, GBP/JPY pair ki recent performance ko BoJ ke monetary policy stance, Japanese economic growth, aur UK ke economic resilience ke combination ne influence kiya hai. Jaise-jaise market conditions evolve hoti hain, traders economic indicators aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karenge taake currency pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Tuesday ko ek baar phir se ubarna shuru kiya, aur do din ki girawat ke baad 191.20 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya. Yeh izafa zyada tar Japanese yen (JPY) ke broader sell-off ki wajah se hua hai, jo short term mein continue ho sakta hai. Investors Friday ko Japan ke national consumer price index (CPI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko ummed hai ke mazboot economic recovery se inflation 2% ke target tak pohanch jayegi. Yeh umeed BoJ ke zyada interest rate hikes ke speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai, jo yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur Japanese currency se judi currency pairs ko mushkil mein daal sakta hai. Lekin, global markets mein behtar risk appetite aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions ke kam hone se yen jaise safe-haven currencies kamzor hoti hain. Jabke US ne Israel aur Hamas ke beech ek deal broker kiya hai, halat ab bhi naazuk hai, aur agar situation aur escalate hoti hai, toh yeh yen ke safe-haven appeal ko barha sakti hai. GBP/JPY pair ke doosre hisse Sterling ko yeh support mil raha hai ke Bank of England (BoE) September meeting mein apni interest rate 5.0% par barqarar rakhega. IBOSS ke chief economist Robert Thompson kehte hain ke agla rate cut November tak defer kiya jayega. BoE ki yeh hawkish stance pound ki strength ko support kar rahi hai.



Is momentum ko barhate hue, GBP/JPY ne teen din ke consecutive gains record kiye hain, aur August 5 ke low se lagbhag 4% recover kiya hai. Market volatility thodi kam hui hai, lekin low liquidity conditions ab bhi price movements ko amplify kar rahi hain. Is wajah se investors ka dhyan next week ke UK ke headline CPI report ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Technical indicators bhi GBP/JPY ke recent bullish trend ko support karte hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) sideways chal raha hai, jo weak downtrend ko suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator apni moving average aur oversold zone se upar nikal gaya hai, jo ongoing uptrend ko reinforce kar raha hai. Agar bullish sentiment barqarar rehti hai, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 ko breach karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur phir resistance zone jo 192.57 aur 193.60 ke beech hai, target kar sakta hai. Yeh zone July 21, 2005 ke low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 se July 11, 2024 tak ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement se marked hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY pair ki trajectory kai factors par depend karegi, jaise BoJ ke monetary policy decisions, geopolitical developments, aur UK ke economic data.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Tuesday ko early European trading mein achanak se surge dekha, jo UK ke labor market data ke unexpectedly positive results ki wajah se tha. April-June ke dauran unemployment rate 4.2% tak gir gaya, jabke forecast 4.5% ke barhne ka tha. Is unexpected performance ne British pound ko boost diya, aur GBP/JPY pair ko 189.20 ke level tak utha diya. Halankeh is short-term upward movement ke bawajood, pair 4-hour chart par bearish trend mein hai, kyunki yeh crucial 100-period exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Magar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka midline ke 61.85 ke paas aana further gains ki potential ko darshata hai. Agar 189.50 ke aas-paas upper Bollinger Band decisively breach hota hai, toh yeh psychologically significant 192.00 level ki taraf rally ko ignite kar sakta hai. Is point ke upar sustained buying pressure se August 1 ka high 193.26 tak move karne ka raasta khul sakta hai. Dusri taraf, key support levels 185.55-185.60 ke aas-paas clustered hain, jo August 8 ka low aur Bollinger Band ke lower boundary ke sath coincide karte hain. Ek aur important bearish level August 6 ka low 182.81 hai. Recent downturn ke baad markets ne stabilization ke nishan dikhaye hain, aur pound ne Bank of England ke rate cut ke bawajood resilience dikhayi hai. Low liquidity environment price movements ko amplify kar sakta hai, aur market participants ka focus agle hafte ke UK CPI report par shift hone wala hai.



Technical indicators bhi recent bullish sentiment ko support karte hain. Average Directional Movement (ADX) indicator sideways chal raha hai, jo GBP/JPY downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai, jabke Stochastic indicator ne apni moving average aur oversold zone se upar nikal gaya hai, jo current moderate uptrend ko reinforce karta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh GBP/JPY pair March 31, 2004 ka low 189.61 ko surpass karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur phir 192.57-193.60 ke congested zone ko target kar sakta hai. Yeh area July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day simple moving average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 se July 11, 2024 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ko shamil karta hai. Overall, jabke unexpected job data ne GBP/JPY pair ko short-term mein boost diya hai, broader bearish trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Traders ko key resistance aur support levels, sath hi technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ki future direction ko samjha ja sake.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko teesre din ke liye apni rally ko barhaya, trading 189.00 ke aas-paas. Yeh upward movement thodi surprising thi, kyunki UK ke inflation data weaker aaye, jo aam tor par currency par downward pressure daalti hai. Data ne Bank of England ke interest rate cuts ke potential ko suggest kiya, jo aam tor par pound ko kamzor karta hai. Magar, is trend ko counterbalance karne wali cheez thi Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions, jo investors ko safe-haven assets jaise Japanese yen ki taraf kheenchti hain. US missile submarine ka region mein deployment aur ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict ne escalation ki chinta ko barhawa diya. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ki ummeed ne yen ko support provide kiya. Yeh conflicting backdrop ne GBP/JPY pair ke liye ek complex environment bana diya, jahan currency pair ki movement kai factors se influence hui.



Technically, pair ne potential trend reversal ke nishan dikhaye, jahan momentum indicators previous downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication de rahe hain. Lekin, significant resistance levels ab bhi maujood hain, jo upside potential ko limit kar rahe hain. Overall, GBP/JPY pair economic aur geopolitical factors ke beech ek tug-of-war mein **** hua hai. Market ka focus agle economic data releases, khaaskar next UK CPI report, par shift hone ki umeed hai, jo future direction provide kar sakti hai. Lekin, bears market ka control wapas lene ki koshish kar rahe hain. August 22, 2023 ka high aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement 185.21–186.75 ke region ko establish karte hain, jahan woh GBP/JPY ko niche le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar yeh successful hota hai, toh woh April 9, 2001 ka high 181.36 ki taraf move kar sakte hain. In conclusion, jabke GBP/JPY abhi bhi rise kar raha hai, market ka momentum shaky hai, jo ek aur decline ke liye jagah chhodta hai.

GBP/JPY exchange rate ka tajziya: Ooncha rukh ab bhi ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai
Kal ke trading mein, pound ne Tuesday ke subah ke trading mein tamam bade currencies ke muqablay mein izafa dekha, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi barh gaya jab rasmi data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK mein employment barh gayi aur unemployment ghat gaya. Yeh data pound ko sab bade currencies ke muqablay mein upar le gaya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ke kehne par ke unemployment rate May mein 4.4% se ghat kar 4.2% ho gaya, pound ne US dollar, euro aur dusri major currencies ke muqablay mein izafa dekha. Sab se zyada faida low-yielding financial currencies ko hua, jaise Japanese yen aur Swiss franc, jin ka izafa 4.2% ho gaya aur dusre quarter ka growth trend ulat gaya.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne 189.50 ke resistance level ko tab tak chua jab tak UK inflation data release nahi hua, aur phir 188.80 ke aas-paas stable raha.




Economic calendar ke mutabiq, May mein employment 54,000 se barhi, June mein 16,000 ka izafa hua, jo ke is saal total 241,000 jobs bana deta hai, jo ke UK workforce ka lagbhag 0.8% hai. Lekin, benefit statistics ne dikhaya ke June mein benefit applications 1.663 million tak barh gayi aur July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa dekha, jo ke epidemic ke baad ka sab se bada izafa hai aur market expectations se 14,500 zyada hai.

Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko nazar rakhta hai kyunke yeh inflation ke indicators mein se ek hai aur aane wale saalon mein inflation ke target se upar rehte ka risk dekh raha hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya aur June mein bhi is target ke andar raha, lekin core statistics ke asar se inflation July data ke release ke waqt 2.3% tak barhne ki ummeed hai.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY apni recent sharp falling channel se nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh koshish tab successful ho sakti hai jab pair 191.30 aur 193.00 ke resistance levels ki taraf barhe. Dusri taraf, agar pair 186.00 ke level ke neeche raha, to yeh current upward move ke liye threat hai. Yeh pair global central bank signals aur investor demand se bhi mutasir hai.

GBP/JPY H-4 TIME FRAME CHART
#GBP/JPY H4 British Pound - Japanese Yen. Heskin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ka istemal karke is currency pair ka tajziya aur forecasting karne se ye pata chalta hai ke ab ek trading plan banane ka mauqa hai jo ke direct buying ke liye hai. Heskin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price value ko smooth aur average karte hain, reversal points, corrective rollbacks aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par notice karna aasan bana dete hain, jo trader analysis ko asaan banata hai. Linear channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average), jo ke chart par current support aur resistance lines ko moving averages (Mashki) ke zariye dikhata hai, trading mein ek behtareen madadgar hai, jo asset movement boundaries ko moment ke mutabiq dikhata hai. RSI oscillator indicator bhi final decision lene mein madad karta hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. In trading tools ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

Ab agar hum provided chart ko dekhen, to is waqt candles blue rang ki hain, jo dikhata hai ke bulls ab zyada powerful hain aur price ko north ki taraf kheench rahe hain, isliye long positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Price quotes lower border of the linear channel (red dotted line) se bahar chali gayi hain, lekin minimum extreme point tak gir kar wapas central line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf aayi hain. RSI indicator (14) bhi buy signal de raha hai kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai.

In sab cheezon ko dekhte hue, prevailing upward movement ko dekhte hue ye keh sakte hain ke purchase ke acha chance hain, aur isliye long deal kholne ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Take profit ko channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein 207.975 ke price mark par set kiya ja sakta hai. Market ke profit ko negative mein jane se rokne ke liye, trailing stop order ka istemal karna behtar hoga jab position profitable zone mein chali jaye aur zyada profit kamane ki koshish karni chahiye.

British Pound (GBP) ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein zordaar chalang lagaya hai, jo ke kuch dair ke liye 16 saal ka aik naya high 206.67 tak pohanch gaya tha, phir wapas niche aagaya. Yeh unche highs ek lambi upward trend ke baad aaye hain jo ke lagbhag saat mahine se chal rahi thi. In impressive naye highs ke bawajood, analysts ka kehna hai ke upward momentum shayad dheema ho raha hai. GBP/JPY pair apni peak ko banaye rakhne mein nayaafaq raha aur week ke opening range ki taraf wapas aagaya. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke buyers (bulls) apni enthusiasm kuch had tak khote ja rahe hain aur highs ka rapid pace dheema ho raha hai. Fundamentals ki taraf dekha jaye to Yen ki kamzori is trend ke peeche ek key driver lagti hai. Japan ke economic data is hafte currency ke liye zyada madadgar nahi rahe. Wage growth, halanki saal dar saal positive thi, expectations ko pura nahi kar payi, jo ke Japanese economy ke ongoing struggles ko highlight karti hai. Yeh lackluster performance Yen aur doosri major currencies ke darmiyan chal rahi interest rate differentials ke muqablay mein bilkul contrasting hai. Bank of England (BoE) se is hafte policy speeches ki umeed hai, jo ke GBP ke outlook ke bare mein aur clues provide kar sakti hain.



Technical side pe charts ek potential pause ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Jabke overall technical pressure positive hai, bullish momentum ke fading hone ke signs bhi hain. Frequent spinning top candles ka formation market mein indecision ko dikhata hai, aur ek potential retracement bhi nazar aa sakta hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 200.00 ke aas-paas hai, pullback ke case mein ek possible support level ke tor pe dekha ja raha hai. Halanki short-term dip ki umeed hai, analysts ab bhi GBP/JPY ke long-term prospects ke liye optimistic hain. Underlying trend bullish hai aur key technical levels se rebound hone ki strong possibility hai. Lekin traders ko rally mein pause ke potential ko dhyan mein rakhna chahiye aur upcoming economic data aur BoE ke pronouncements pe nazar rakhni chahiye.

GBP-JPY PAIR REVIEW
GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 timeframe par analysis se price movements ki interesting dynamics samne aati hain. Kal, price support level 205.867 se uthi, jo pehle ek increase se guzri thi aur 206.654 tak pohnch gayi thi. Lekin is increase ke baad ek correction hui jo price ko wapas 205.867 ke support level tak le aayi. Is point par ek significant rejection dekha gaya, jo EMA 50 ke position se bhi milti hai. 205.867 ke support level par jo rejection hua, usne yeh signal diya ke buyers ab bhi dominate kar rahe hain aur is level par apni strength banaye rakhi hui hai. Iske ilawa, 205.867 ke support level par double top pattern ki formation yeh dikhati hai ke buyers ke market mein wapas aane ka strong potential hai. Double top ek pattern hai jo aksar reversal ka sign hota hai, lekin is context mein, yeh confirmation hai ke 205.867 ka strong support seller pressure ko successfully roke hue hai. Support area mein rejection ke sath, price ke 206.654 ke previous high level ko re-test karne ke chances kaafi bade hain.




Mera trading plan yeh hai ke high level 206.654 ka retest dekhne ka intezar karun. Agar is level par strong breakout hota hai, to yeh buy opportunities dekhne ke liye acha momentum hoga. Agar is high level ke upar strong breakout hota hai, to yeh confirm karega ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain aur bullish trend ab bhi chal raha hai. Lekin agar price 206.654 ke high level ke aas-paas ek strong rejection experience karti hai aur ek significant bearish candle bhi form hoti hai, to yeh corrective sell ka signal ho sakta hai. Strong bearish candle yeh dikhati hai ke sellers ne prices ko suppress karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai aur temporary trend ke direction ko change karne ki potential hai. Is situation mein, support level 205.867 dubara main focus banega, yeh dekhne ke liye ke support hold kar sakti hai ya tod diya gaya hai.

GBP/JPY ka tajziya: Bechnay ki strategy abhi tak sabse mazboot hai
Hafte ke aghaz se, GBP/JPY ke qeemat mein neeche ki taraf aslahati rujhan dekhne mein aaya hai, jo ke 188.22 ke support level tak nuqsan ka baais bana, aur budh ke aghaz par qeemat 189.00 ke aas paas band hui. Yeh rujhan US dollar ke muqable mein yen ke faida haasil karne ki wajah se aya hai, jisme yen ne doosri aham currencies ke muqable mein significant izafa kiya hai. Magar, sarmaaya kaari bank ke tajziya kaaron ke mutabiq, recent decline ke baad pound thoda undervalued hai Un tajziya kaaron ka kehna hai jo yeh samajhte hain ke pound teesri quarter ke akhri mein mojooda levels se ooper jaa sakta hai, unh one yeh bhi izafa kiya ke UK mein nisbatan zyada interest rates aane walay hafton mein pound ko support kar sakti hain. Kul mila ke, pound ab tak G10 currencies mein sabse achi performance dikhata hai. Bank of America ne apni report mein kaha hai ke bunyaadi/scientific positive factors abhi bhi apni jagah hai aur humein yaqeen hai ke recent weakness UK ke expectations ko reflect nahi kartiPichlay hafte ke economic reports ke mutabi, UK economy ne pehle aadhe saal mein mazboot performance dikhayi, jisme GDP mein June tak ke teen mahine mein 0.6% ka izafa hua. Berozgaari ki shara reportedly May ke 4.4% se kam hokar June mein 4.2% par aagayi, jo ke hiring ke mutawaqqa se tez rujhan ke baais hai. Yeh data Bank of England ke interest rates ko 2024 mein kam karne ki zaroorat ko kam karega, jo ke UK aur pound ke interest rate expectations ko boost karega. British stocks stock exchange platform par gir gayi. FTSE 100 index Tuesday ko thodi si kam hui aur 8,300 points par trade hui, jabke pichlay din ek three-week high par pohanchi thi. Yeh girawat zyada tar energy stocks ki wajah se hui, jisme Shell aur BP ne 1.5% se zyada girawat dekhi tel ki qeemat mein kami ki wajah se. Industrial minerals nikalne wali companies ke shares mein bhi copper ke rates mein girawat ki wajah se nuqsan hua
Niche diye gaye daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY ki qeemat abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai aur target tabhi badal sakta hai agar bulls is pair ko 193.70 aur 196.00 ke resistance levels ki taraf khichne mein kaamyaab hote hain. Iske liye investors ka risk appetite mein wapsi zaroori hai aur yen ko ek safe-haven asset ke tor par khareedna band karna hoga

GBP/JPY ke liye correction aakhirkar shuru ho gayi hai aur lagta hai kal sellers ne dheemi raftaar se price ko south ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish ki, jisse ek relatively chhoti bearish candle bani, jo pichle din ke andar hai. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, main maan leta hoon ki aaj ek corrective southern movement ho sakti hai, halanki main is movement par khud trade karne ka iraada nahi rakhta. Aam taur par, agar ek deep correction hoti hai, toh main mirror support level ko nazar mein rakhne ki yojna banata hoon, jo mere marking ke hisaab se 200.539 par maujood hai. Is support level ke nazdeek do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario reversal candle ki formation aur growth ke resumption se juda hai.
Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price wapas resistance level par aaye, jo 207.995 par hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh main aage north ki taraf movement ki ummeed karunga, resistance level 215.892 tak. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ki formation ki ummeed karta hoon, jo trading ke aage ke direction ko tay karega. Beshak, main ye maan leta hoon ke jaise jaise price designated distant northern target ki taraf badhegi, southern rollbacks ho sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhundne ke liye istemal karne ka plan karta hoon, sabse kareebi support levels se, growth recovery ke intezar mein , ek global bullish trend ki formation ke hisse ke taur par. Ek alternative plan price movement ka tab hoga jab support level 200.539 ke kareeb price us level se neeche settle ho jaye aur aage south ki taraf badhe. Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price support level 197.201 tak ya support level 195.044 tak jaaye. In support levels ke kareeb, main bullish signals dhundta rahunga, ummeed karte hue ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare. Aam taur par, agar hum mukhtasar baat karein, toh aaj local taur par main ye maan leta hoon ke price nearest support level ki taraf correction ke hisse ke taur par south ki taraf ja sakti hai, aur fir, existing global bullish trend ko dekhte hue , main reversal candle ki formation aur price movement ke resumption ka intezar karukarunga

#GBP/JPY H4 British Pound - Japanese Yen. Heskin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ka istemal karke is currency pair ka tajziya aur forecasting karne se ye pata chalta hai ke ab ek trading plan banane ka mauqa hai jo ke direct buying ke liye hai. Heskin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price value ko smooth aur average karte hain, reversal points, corrective rollbacks aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par notice karna aasan bana dete hain, jo trader analysis ko asaan banata hai. Linear channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average), jo ke chart par current support aur resistance lines ko moving averages (Mashki) ke zariye dikhata hai, trading mein ek behtareen madadgar hai, jo asset movement boundaries ko moment ke mutabiq dikhata hai. RSI oscillator indicator bhi final decision lene mein madad karta hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. In trading tools ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

Ab agar hum provided chart ko dekhen, to is waqt candles blue rang ki hain, jo dikhata hai ke bulls ab zyada powerful hain aur price ko north ki taraf kheench rahe hain, isliye long positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Price quotes lower border of the linear channel (red dotted line) se bahar chali gayi hain, lekin minimum extreme point tak gir kar wapas central line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf aayi hain. RSI indicator (14) bhi buy signal de raha hai kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai.

In sab cheezon ko dekhte hue, prevailing upward movement ko dekhte hue ye keh sakte hain ke purchase ke acha chance hain, aur isliye long deal kholne ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Take profit ko channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein 207.975 ke price mark par set kiya ja sakta hai. Market ke profit ko negative mein jane se rokne ke liye, trailing stop order ka istemal karna behtar hoga jab position profitable zone mein chali jaye aur zyad