Gbp-jpy

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

GBP/JPY currency pair mein Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates cut karne ke faisle ke baad aik significant correction dekhne ko mili hai. Is move ke sath Japan ke central bank ki policy shift, jo ke ab kam accommodative stance ki taraf hai, ne dono economies ke interest rate differential ko kam kar diya hai, jiski wajah se pound sterling par downward pressure pad raha hai. Is pair ne apni 16 saal ki highest levels se kafi girawat dekhi hai, jisme July se ab tak 8% se zyada value lose ki hai. Is sharp decline ne GBP/JPY pair ko oversold territory mein dal diya hai, jese ke technical indicators, jaise ke RSI aur Stochastic, dikhate hain. Magar, underlying long-term bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai. Filhal, yeh pair 2024 uptrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko test kar raha hai, jo ke aik potential support level ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair apni girawat ko March support area aur 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak barha sakta hai.

Uper ki taraf dekha jaye, agar pair 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke uper decisively move kar jata hai, to yeh downward trend ke reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, resistance December 2023 breakout support trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke aas paas expect kiya ja raha hai. GBP/JPY pair ka future direction bohot ziada Bank of England aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies mein hone wali tabdeeliyon par depend karega. Iske ilawa, broader economic conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi pair ki trajectory ko shape dene mein important role play karenge.





In conclusion, jabke GBP/JPY pair ne aik sharp correction dekhi hai, long-term bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai. Traders ko zaroori hai ke pair ke key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhain, aur monetary policy landscape mein hone wali changes ko closely monitor karein, taake behtar trading decisions le sakein.

GBP/JPY Ka Tajzia

GBP/JPY pair ne Monday ko January ke baad apne lowest level 180.10 se rebound kiya hai. Japan ki Labor Cash Earnings June mein 4.5% YoY barh gayi, jo January 1997 ke baad se sabse zyada izafa hai.

Pound Sterling par dabao raha hai kyunke sluggish market sentiment ne risk-sensitive currencies ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. Tuesday ko European hours mein GBP/JPY lagbhag 184.50 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, Monday ko January ke baad ke apne lowest level 180.10 se rebound karte hue. Magar, GBP/JPY cross ko challenges ka samna tha jab Japanese Yen (JPY) mazeed mazboot hua, is wajah se ke expectations barh rahi hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni monetary policy mein mazid tightening kar sakta hai.

Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi ne Tuesday ko bayan diya ke "wage increases ki umeed hai ke yeh part-timers aur chhoti businesses tak bhi pohchengi autumn tak, jo ke strong Shunto results aur minimum wage hikes se support ho rahi hain." Hayashi ne foreign exchange levels par koi comments nahi diye.

Japan ki Labor Cash Earnings mein June ke liye 4.5% year-on-year izafa record kiya gaya, jo ke pehle ke 2.0% aur expected 2.3% readings se zyada hai. Yeh January 1997 ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, jo ke Japan ke rising interest rate environment ki taraf transition ko mazid mazboot kar raha hai.






Pound Sterling (GBP) ki performance week rahi hai, kyunke dismal market sentiment ne risk-sensitive assets ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. Middle East mein barhti hui tensions aur United States (US) mein economic slowdown ka khauf ne safe-haven assets, jaise ke Japanese Yen, ki demand ko barha diya hai, jo ke GBP/JPY cross ke liye nuksan ka sabab bana.

Iske ilawa, British Pound ko challenges ka samna raha jab Bank of England (BoE) ne August meeting mein expected 25-basis point rate cut announce kiya.

United Kingdom mein BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales July mein 0.3% year-on-year barh gayi, jo ke June ke 0.5% girawat se wapas reverse ho gayi aur market forecasts ke mutabiq rahi. Traders ab S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI for July ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke UK ke construction sector mein business activity ko gauge karega.

GBP/JPY Ka Tajzia

GBP/JPY currency pair Tuesday ko lagbhag 184.50 par trade kar raha hai, apni recent plunge se thodi recovery karte hue jo 180.10 par hui thi, yeh January ke baad se sabse lowest level hai. Magar, pair ko abhi bhi kafi challenges ka samna hai, kyunke Japanese yen mazeed mazboot ho raha hai aur market sentiment bigarta ja raha hai. Japan ki economy resilience dikhane lagi hai, jisme wage growth 1997 ke baad se sabse tez raftar se barh rahi hai. Is wajah se yeh speculation barh gayi hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) mazeed hawkish monetary policy apna sakta hai, jo ke yen ko mazid mazboot karegi. Yen ko mazeed support mil raha hai safe-haven flows se, jab investors Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions aur US economy mein slowdown ke concerns ke bawajood apne paisay safe karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Iske bar’aks, pound sterling par pressure hai kuch mukhtalif factors ki wajah se. Pichle hafte Bank of England ne jo surprise interest rate cut kiya usne future monetary tightening ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai, jiski wajah se currency par dabao pad raha hai. Upar se, overall risk-off environment ne pound ki, jo ke ek risk-sensitive asset hai, appeal ko bhi kam kar diya hai.






GBP/JPY pair ne July 11 ke 208.09 ke peak se ab tak lagbhag 8% ki sharp girawat dekhi hai. Jab ke short-term technical indicators yeh dikhate hain ke pair oversold ho sakta hai, mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai agar yen mazid mazboot hota hai aur market sentiment bigarta hai. Key support levels 188.22 aur 185.00 par hain. Magar, agar yeh levels break hote hain to yeh ek extended decline ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY pair ka direction Japanese monetary policy, global risk sentiment, aur British economy ki performance ke darmiyan interplay par depend karega. Traders ko zaroori hai ke fundamental effects ko closely monitor karein aur phir market mein apni position lein.

GBP/JPY Pair Ka Tajzia

GBP/JPY pair filhal aik narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jisme support lagbhag 204.50 par hai. Agar price is level ke kareeb aaye aur isay break kiye baghair reh jaye, to yeh buying ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Resistance side par, pair 199.60 ke base aur 201.45 ke peak ke aas paas constrained hai. Agar price is specified range se bahar nikalti hai, to south ki taraf movement ka imkaan barh jata hai, jahan primary target bears ke liye 203.60 ka round number test karna hoga. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, hum pair ki further movements ko dobara assess karenge.

Hourly chart par, price aik triangle ke andar thi, jo ke kal downward exit dekhne ko mila. Price ne triangle ke lower border, aik ascending channel, aur aik ascending trend line ko break kiya, jo ke potential decline ka ishara hai. Magar, ab pair apne last local maximum ke thodi neeche consolidate kar raha hai, aur yeh consolidation phase next move ke liye crucial hogi. Is scenario mein, humein upper resistance levels 202.70 se 207.60 tak move dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar price 204.36 ko convincingly break karti hai, to yeh 203.00 ki taraf move ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke aik significant breakdown ke baad hoga. Bullish scenario ke liye, stop-loss 202.00 ke neeche lagana chahiye, kyun ke yeh aik critical support area hai.






Meri personal analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke GBP/JPY pair apni previous high se breakout kar chuki hai aur mazeed gains ke liye set hai. Considering current bullish momentum, pair ka agla target long term mein 2015 level ho sakta hai. Yeh target price action, technical indicators, aur overall market sentiment se derived hai, jo ke upward trend continuation ko favor kar raha hai.

In conclusion, GBP/JPY pair aik strong buy opportunity present kar rahi hai based on 200.62 level se breakout, jise SMAs aur RSI se milne wale bullish signals support kar rahe hain. Traders ko apne trading decisions lete waqt is analysis ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye, aur yeh potential dekhna chahiye ke pair long term mein 201.50 level tak pohanch sakti hai.

GBP/JPY Pair Ka Tajzia

Pichle do hafton se GBP/JPY pair ek strong downward correction ke rasta par hai, jaisa ke hamari free live trading recommendations ne bhi kaha tha. Humne pehle recommend kiya tha ke is pair ko sell karein jab isne 207.00 level break kiya, kyunke uske record gains ne resistance level ko 208.11 tak extend kar diya tha. Lagataar sell-offs ne pair ko 195.86 ke support level tak dhakel diya, jo ke do mahine se zyada ka sabse lowest point hai.

British pound ne general taur par resilience dikhayi hai, lekin GBP/EUR pair mazeed vulnerable ho sakta hai agar stocks apni value kho dete hain, khaaskar jab market speculation barh rahi hai ke Bank of England rate cut kar sakta hai.

Bank of England ke hawale se, zyadatar investment banks expect kar rahe hain ke central bank is haftay ki policy meeting mein interest rates cut karega, lekin financial markets is action ke liye abhi bhi 50% se kam chances price kar rahi hain. Isliye, agar markets ko ye yaqeen ho gaya ke Bank of England is haftay action lega, to GBP selling ke liye vulnerable ho jayega. Magar, global speculators ke barhtay concerns bhi hain ke unhone British currency mein zyada invest kar diya hai, jo ke sharp correction ka sabab ban sakta hai agar hot money phir se aa jaye. CFTC ke latest data ne record high non-commercial long positions dikha diye hain





Market prices se pata chalta hai ke investors ne apni expectations ko 50% se neeche kar diya hai, jab inflation figures ne yeh dikhaya ke UK services inflation abhi bhi Bank of England ke forecast se zyada hai. Is response mein, Sterling aur government bond yields bhi barh gayi hain. Oxford Economics ka maanna hai ke banks apne press conferences aur monetary policy reports ka use karein ge taake September mein interest rate cut ki tayari ho sake.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY ka price trend bearish ho gaya hai. Agar 195.00 ka support toot jata hai to yeh bears ke control ko mazid mazboot karega, aur is se 191.20 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar 200.00 ke psychological resistance se upar stability rehti hai, to yeh bulls ke liye control wapas lene mein aham rahegi. Yeh dono trends depend karenge markets aur investors ke reaction par jo Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ke announcements ke baad samne aaye ga.

Do din se lagataar British Pound Japanese Yen ke muqable mein (GBP/JPY) upar rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iske gains 199.13 level se zyada nahi huye, aur yeh waqt-e-likhai ke doran 197.20 level ke aas paas stable hai, jo ke do mahine se zyada ke lowest level ke kareeb hai. Currency pair narrow ranges mein hi rahega jab tak ke Bank of England aur Bank of Japan ke announcements par markets aur investors ka reaction samne nahi aata. Japan mein 10 saal ke government bond ki yield Bank of Japan meeting se pehle gir gayi. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, 10 saal ke Japanese government bond ki yield lagbhag 1.01% tak gir gayi, jo ke ek hafte se zyada ke sabse lowest level par hai, jabke investors Bank of Japan ke is haftay ke latest policy decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Financial markets yeh bet kar rahe hain ke central bank interest rates ko 10 basis points se badha kar 0.1% karega Wednesday ko, aur yeh aam tor par expect kiya ja raha hai ke woh apne quantitative easing ke plans outline karega. Lekin, analysts ne yeh suggest kiya hai ke agar Bank of Japan is mahine interest rates na badhaye, to ho sakta hai ke yeh bonds kharidne ka zyada aggressive plan announce karein.

Financial markets is baat par divided hain ke Bank of England apna pehla rate cut pandemic ke baad Thursday ko karega ya nahi, aur current 5.25 percent se cut karega. Jabke UK inflation pichle saal ke double digits se central bank ke 2 percent target tak gir gayi hai, berozgaari barh rahi hai, services sector mein price growth abhi bhi high hai aur economy ek mini-recession se ubhar chuki hai. April mein minimum wage mein 10 percent izafa aur Labour government ka plan ke inflation se zyada wage increases dena takreeban 5 million public sector workers ko, prices ke liye upside risks paida kar sakti hai.






Jo bhi outcome ho, is decision ka asar bonds aur sterling par zarur hoga. Friday ko, swaps is haftay ke liye lagbhag 50 percent rate cut ko price kar rahe the, aur aise moves ko iss saal ek near-certainty samjha ja raha hai.

Aam tor par, rate cut UK government bonds ko boost karega, jo ke already monetary easing ke prospect aur Labour ke election jeetne ke baad political stability ki umeedon se support ho raha tha. Do saal ke UK government bonds ki yield ab apne ek saal se zyada ke lowest level par hai. Sterling ke liye, rate cut madadgaar nahi hoga kyunke yeh iski carry trade ki appeal ko kam kar dega. Sterling is saal G10 mein best performer raha hai, aur banks aur major investors, jinmein JPMorgan Chase & Co aur Amundi shamil hain, mazeed gains ko $1.35 tak expect kar rahe hain, jo ke current levels se lagbhag 5 percent ka izafa hai. Bullish bets all-time high par hain.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair ne European trading session ke dauran ek rally experience ki, jo taqreeban 187.90 tak pohonchi. Yeh upward movement Japan mein aik public holiday ke waja se light trading day ke dauran hui. Market participants ab eagerly intizaar kar rahe hain ke UK ke key economic data, jaise ke employment figures aur consumer inflation data, jo is hafte ke akhir mein release hone hain, samne aaye. Yeh reports UK economy ki health ke bare mein qeemti insights dein gi aur shayad Bank of England ki monetary policy stance ko bhi influence kar sakti hain. Jabke central bank ne June mein interest rates ko 2% target par barqarar rakha tha, wage growth ke barhny aur iske inflation par asar ke hawalay se concerns abhi bhi maujood hain. Bank of England se zyada hawkish monetary policy ke potential ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ki upside potential kuch factors ki wajah se limited ho sakti hai. Pehla, Bank of Japan ki interest rates future mein barhany ki willingness yen par downward pressure daal sakti hai, jo pair ke upward momentum ko limit kare gi. Dosra, Middle East mein geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Israeli-Palestinian conflict, investors ko safe-haven assets jaise yen ki taraf le ja sakti hain, jo GBP/JPY ke advance ko rok sakta hai.

Technically, GBP/JPY pair ne haal hi mein hui decline ke baad recovery ke signs dikhaye hain. Momentum indicators improve ho rahe hain, ADX downtrend ke weak hone ka ishara kar raha hai aur RSI apne midpoint ki taraf badh raha hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator ne apni moving average ko decisively break kar liya hai aur oversold zone se bahar nikal aya hai, jo ongoing uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar current bullish sentiment barqarar rehti hai, to GBP/JPY pair March 31, 2004 ka high 189.61 ko breach karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Magar, 192.57-193.60 zone ke aas paas significant resistance anticipate ki ja rahi hai, jo July 21, 2005 ke low, 100-day simple moving average, aur aik key Fibonacci retracement level ko include karta hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/JPY pair ne recovery dikhai hai, magar economic data expectations, monetary policy divergence, aur geopolitical risks ke darmiyan complex factors ka samna hai. Jabke pair ne recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, significant challenges aur resistance levels abhi bhi saamne hain.

GBP/JPY H1 Time Frame Analysis: Ek Munafa Bakhsh Mauqa

Hello, traders! Aaj mai aap ke liye GBP/JPY pair par H1 time frame use karte hue ek promising trading mauqa share karne ja raha hoon. Market trends ka ghehra analysis kar ke aur key indicators ko implement kar ke hum is waqt ke market conditions se achi khasi earning kar sakte hain.

### Market Direction Samajhna

Kisi specific trade setup mein ghusne se pehle, zaroori hai ke hum overall market direction identify karein. Iske liye, hum 4-hour (H4) time frame ko dekhte hain jo hume trend ka broader perspective deta hai. Filhaal, GBP/JPY pair bearish trend show kar raha hai, jo ke ye suggest karta hai ke sellers market par dominant hain. Ye bearish momentum ek behtareen mauqa hai short trades ko execute karne ka aur downward movement se faida uthane ka.

### Key Indicators Implement Karna

Apni analysis ko refine karne aur trades ki accuracy ko badhane ke liye, hum teen powerful indicators use karenge: Hama System, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic Levels Color.

- **Hama System:** Ye indicator trends ko identify karne aur entry aur exit points ke liye clear signals provide karne mein kaafi effective hai. H1 time frame par, Hama System filhaal bearish trend dikha raha hai, indicator red ho chuka hai, jo market mein strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai.

- **RSI Trend:** Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek popular momentum indicator hai jo humein asset ke overbought ya oversold hone ka pata lagane mein madad karta hai. H1 time frame par, RSI Trend bhi bearish mode mein hai, jo confirm karta hai ke sellers control mein hain. Hama System aur RSI Trend ke alignment se humein short positions open karne mein zyada confidence milta hai.

- **Magnetic Levels Color:** Ye indicator key levels ko identify karne mein madad karta hai jahan price react kar sakti hai. Aaj ke liye, jo magnetic level hum focus kar rahe hain wo hai 175.281. Jaise hi price is level ke qareeb aati hai, hum uski behavior closely monitor karenge taake decide kar sakein ke humein apne short positions hold karne chahiye ya phir profits book karne chahiye.

### Trading Strategy

Current market setup ko dekhte hue, humara primary strategy short positions open karna hai taake bearish trend se faida uthaya ja sake. Yahan par hum isko kaise approach karenge:

1. **Entry:** Hum short positions tab open karenge jab price 175.281 magnetic level ki taraf move karti rahegi. Hama System aur RSI Trend indicators ka bearish direction mein alignment humein is trade setup mein confidence deta hai.

2. **Exit:** Jaise hi price 175.281 level ke qareeb aati hai, hum uski behavior observe karenge. Agar price reverse hone ya stabilize hone ke signs dikhaye, to hum trade exit karne aur profits lock karne ka faisla kar sakte hain. Warna, agar bearish momentum persist karta hai, to hum position ko zyada der tak hold kar sakte hain aur apne profits increase kar sakte hain. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, trailing stop use karna advisable hai, jo humein trade ke progress ke saath gains protect karne mein madad karta hai.

3. **Alternative Buy Option:** Jabke primary focus short trades par hai, hum ek potential buy opportunity ko bhi consider kar sakte hain ek deep correction ke baad. Agar price correct hoti hai aur 181.64 level tak pohonchti hai, to hum 185.00 ka target rakhte hue buy position open karne ka soch sakte hain. Ye buy setup previous session ke weekly time frame par bullish close ke support mein hai, jo rebound ke potential ke liye confidence ko badhata hai.

### Conclusion

Summary mein, GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek compelling trading opportunity offer kar raha hai. Market bearish trend show kar raha hai aur key indicators sellers ke haq mein align ho rahe hain, short positions open karna ek strategic move hai. Magnetic level 175.281 ko target karte hue aur trailing stop use karte hue hum apne profits ko maximize kar sakte hain jabke risk ko effectively manage kar rahe hain. Saath hi, 181.64 level par nazar rakhte hue ek potential buy setup ko dekhte rahna humein market changes ke saath adapt karne aur different scenarios se faida uthane ka mouqa deta hai.

GBP/JPY ka Tajziya

Maujooda Bazar ki Surat-e-Haal

Aisa lagta hai ke GBP/JPY mein correction ka marhala shuru ho gaya hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke kal bechne walon ne zyada josh dikhai nahi diya, jis ke nateeja mein choti si bearish candle bani jo pichle din ke range mein thi. Maujooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj southern correction movement ho sakta hai; magar mein is movement mein trade karne ka irada nahi rakhta.

Ahem Support Level

Agar ziada gehra correction hota hai, toh mein mirror support level par nazar rakhoon ga, jo meri tajziya ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios paish aa sakte hain.

Scenario 1: Reversal aur Uptrend ki Bahali

Pasandida scenario yeh hoga ke reversal candle bane, jo uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ka ishara de. Agar yeh plan karnama hota hai, toh mein prices ko resistance level 207.995 par wapas dekhne ki umeed rakhoon ga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close karegi, toh mein mazeed northward movement ki tawaqo karoonga, jo ke agle resistance level 215.892 tak pohanch sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb mein trading setup ke banne ka intezar karoonga taake agle trading direction ka tayyun kar sake. Yeh zaroori hai ke is upward movement ke dauran southern pullbacks aa sakte hain, jinko mein nearby support levels ke qareeb bullish signals dhundne ke liye istemal karoonga, global bullish trend ke dauran uptrend ke continuity ki tawaqo rakhta hu.

Scenario 2: Downward Consolidation

Dosri taraf, agar price support level 200.539 ke qareeb aati hai, toh aik doosra plan yeh hoga ke price ko dekhna ke woh is level ke neechay consolidate karte huye southward movement mein rehti hai ya nahi. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh mein umeed karoonga ke price support levels 197.201 ya 195.044 tak jaye. In support levels ke qareeb mein dobara bullish signals dhundne ka plan rakhta hu, yeh tawaqo karte huye ke price upward movement shuru kar sakti hai.

Nateejah

Khol kar kaha jaye, aaj ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke price southern correction ke tor par nearby support level tak ja sakti hai. Is ke baad, current global bullish trend ko madde nazar rakhte huye, mein reversal candle ke banne aur price ke upward movement ke continuation ka intezar karoon ga.

GBP/JPY ka Tajziya

Mojooda Market Ki Surat-e-Haal

Aisa lagta hai ke GBP/JPY mein correction phase shuru ho gaya hai. Kal baichne walay ziada jazbati nazar nahi aaye, jiske nateeja mein ek chhoti bearish candle bani jo pichlay din ke range ke andar thi. Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj southern correction movement ho sakti hai; lekin mein is movement ke dauran trade karne ka irada nahi rakhta.

Key Support Level

Agar correction gehri hoti hai, to mein mirror support level par nazar rakhoonga, jo ke meri tajziyat ke mutabiq 200.539 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Scenario 1: Reversal aur Uptrend Ka Dobara Aghaz

Pehla aur behtar scenario ye hai ke reversal candle bane, jo ke uptrend ke dobara aghaz ka ishara de. Agar ye plan kammyaab hota hai, to mein dekhunga ke prices resistance level 207.995 par wapas aa jaye. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close karega, to mein mazeed northward movement ka intezar karunga, jo ke agla resistance level 215.892 tak pohanch sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga taake aglay trading direction ka tayun kar sakein. Yaqeenan, is upward movement ke dauran southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jin ko mein qareebi support levels par bullish signals dhoondne ke liye istimaal karunga, taki uptrend ke continuity ke sath trade kiya ja sake.

Scenario 2: Downward Consolidation

Dosri taraf, agar price support level 200.539 ke qareeb aata hai, to doosra plan yeh hoga ke dekha jaye ke price is level ke neeche consolidate karta hai aur southward move karta hai ya nahi. Agar ye scenario samnay aata hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke price support levels 197.201 ya 195.044 ki taraf move karega. In support levels ke qareeb, mein dobara bullish signals dhoondne ka plan karunga, is umeed ke sath ke price phir se upward movement shuru kare.

Nateeja

Mukhtasir ye ke, aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke price qareebi support level ki taraf southward move kar sakti hai correction ke tor par. Is ke baad, mojooda global bullish trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein reversal candle ke banne ka intezar karunga aur price ke upward movement ke continuity ki umeed rakhoonga.

GBP/JPY ke liye correction aakhirkar shuru ho gayi hai aur lagta hai kal sellers ne dheemi raftaar se price ko south ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish ki, jisse ek relatively chhoti bearish candle bani, jo pichle din ke andar hai. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, main maan leta hoon ki aaj ek corrective southern movement ho sakti hai, halanki main is movement par khud trade karne ka iraada nahi rakhta. Aam taur par, agar ek deep correction hoti hai, toh main mirror support level ko nazar mein rakhne ki yojna banata hoon, jo mere marking ke hisaab se 200.539 par maujood hai. Is support level ke nazdeek do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario reversal candle ki formation aur growth ke resumption se juda hai.

Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price wapas resistance level par aaye, jo 207.995 par hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh main aage north ki taraf movement ki ummeed karunga, resistance level 215.892 tak. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ki formation ki ummeed karta hoon, jo trading ke aage ke direction ko tay karega. Beshak, main ye maan leta hoon ke jaise jaise price designated distant northern target ki taraf badhegi, southern rollbacks ho sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhundne ke liye istemal karne ka plan karta hoon, sabse kareebi support levels se, growth recovery ke intezar mein, ek global bullish trend ki formation ke hisse ke taur par. Ek alternative plan price movement ka tab hoga jab support level 200.539 ke kareeb price us level se neeche settle ho jaye aur aage south ki taraf badhe.

Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price support level 197.201 tak ya support level 195.044 tak jaaye. In support levels ke kareeb, main bullish signals dhundta rahunga, ummeed karte hue ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare. Aam taur par, agar hum mukhtasar baat karein, toh aaj local taur par main ye maan leta hoon ke price nearest support level ki taraf correction ke hisse ke taur par south ki taraf ja sakti hai, aur fir, existing global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, main reversal candle ki formation aur price movement ke resumption ka intezar karunga.

GBP/JPY ke liye correction aakhir kaar shuru ho gayi hai, aur lagta hai ke kal sellers ne price ko south ki taraf dheere dheere push kiya, jis ke natije mein ek chhoti bearish candle bani jo ke pichle din ke andar hi hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke aaj ek corrective southern movement ho sakti hai, lekin mein khud is movement par trade karne ka plan nahi kar raha. Agar ek deep correction hoti hai, toh mein mirror support level par apni nazar rakhoonga, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 200.539 par located hai.

Yahan do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke is support level ke qareeb ek reversal candle banne aur phir se growth shuru ho. Agar yeh plan work out karta hai, toh mein price ke resistance level 207.995 tak wapas aane ka intezaar karoonga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate kar leti hai, toh mein aagey ki northern movement ki umeed karunga, jo ke resistance level 215.892 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb mein ek trading setup banne ki umeed karunga, jo ke aagey ke trading direction ko decide karne mein madad karega. Yeh bhi maan leta hoon ke jab price designated northern target ki taraf move karegi, toh southern rollbacks ho sakte hain, jinhe mein nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karne ka plan rakhta hoon, growth recovery ki umeed mein, jo ke global bullish trend ka hissa hai.

Dusra alternative option yeh hoga ke agar price 200.539 ke support level ke qareeb ja kar is level ke neeche fix ho jati hai, toh phir mein price ke 197.201 ke support level tak move karne ka intezaar karoonga, ya phir support level 195.044 tak. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, expecting ke price phir se upward movement shuru karegi. Agar baat karein mukhtasir tor par, toh aaj ke liye mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke price nearest support level tak correction ke taur par south ki taraf move kar sakti hai, aur phir, mojooda global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, mein reversal candle ke banne aur price movement ke upar jane ka intezaar karunga.

Jumay ke din koi high impact data release na hone ki wajah se market movement flat rahi. Kal EUR/USD sirf 187.05 ke aas paas hi move kiya. Friday ko GBP/JPY trading market khulne ke muqable mein neechay band hui kyunke currency pair thora kamzor hua. Haalanki, shuru mein GBP/JPY upar gaya aur apni qareebi resistance 187.28 par cross ki, lekin yeh ziyada dair tak nahi raha. Is hafte mein, main ne dekha ke GBP/JPY ka movement ziada bullish raha. Kuch waqton mein GBP/JPY neechay aaya, lekin yeh sirf aik correction thi.
Agar H1 timeframe se dekha jaye aur resistance 187.29 par cross ho jaye, to lagta hai ke yeh sign hai ke GBP/JPY abhi bhi upar jaane wala hai. Masla yeh hai ke ab tak GBP/JPY ne bohot gehra fall dekha hai. Guzishta chand dino mein, yeh ziada tar upar hi move hua hai. Bara timeframe mein, ek confirmation candle bhi nazar aayi hai jo ek bullish engulfing candle hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh bhi sign hai ke market jald hi reverse hoga. Jab tak demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, neechay cross nahi hota, main dekh raha hoon ke upar jaane ka chance abhi bhi bohot bara hai. Mera scenario yeh hai ke aane wale waqt mein GBP/JPY 205.46 tak ja sakta hai.

Agar ichimoku indicator ka use karte hue analysis kiya jaye, to kal jo decline hua uski wajah se candle ki position change ho gayi, jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar thi, ab woh neeche aagayi hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke Monday ko GBP/JPY ka movement bhi change hoke neeche aasakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh 184.48 par support ko test karne ke liye neeche aaye. Agar, for example, yeh area penetrate na ho, to GBP/JPY wahan se rebound kar sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator se dekha jaye to line ab sirf thori si doori par hai apni lowest level 80 ko touch karne se, lekin jab tak yeh wahan nahi pohnchti, line ne upar ki taraf move karna shuru kar diya hai. Is indicator se yeh samajh aata hai ke future mein GBP/JPY ka movement upar ki taraf hoga. Lekin agar direction achanak se neeche turn hota hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/JPY 184.48 par support ki taraf move kare, jaisa ke maine upar explain kiya.

Aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/JPY currency pair ke paas abhi bhi upar jaane ka chance hai kyunki filhal demand area 180.94 par penetrate nahi hua, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke yeh GBP/JPY ko upar le jaye. Iske ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area 184.87 par stuck hai. Isliye main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain woh sirf buy positions open karne par focus karein. Aap apni take profit target qareebi resistance 199.01 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 183.69 par support ke paas rakh sakte hain.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE
GBPJPY MOVEMENT ANALYSIS

Aaj GBPJPY currency pair ka movement upar jaane ki taraf lagta hai, aur aage chal kar 192.00 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai. Yeh izafa is liye ho raha hai kyunki yen ka exchange rate kamzor hua hai, jab se Japan ki important industries ki production mein -1.3% ki girawat aayi hai. Yeh news aane ke baad GBPJPY ka movement aaj achanak se kafi tezi se upar gaya, aur 191.80 tak pohanch gaya. Lekin aaj dopahar mein GBPJPY ka movement neeche correct karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki pound sterling ka exchange rate achanak kamzor hua hai, jab se UK mein retail sales ke data mein 0.5% ki girawat dekhi gayi hai. Is wajah se aaj GBPJPY ka movement kafi gehra gir sakta hai, aur 191,500 tak aa sakta hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, aaj dopahar ke GBPJPY ke movement ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke mai GBPJPY SELL karun ga 191,500 tak.

Wahin agar meri technical analysis dekhi jaye toh aaj dopahar ke GBPJPY ke movement mein lagta hai ke yeh neeche correct karega aur 191,500 tak jayega. Yeh is liye kyunki H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ka movement bearish candle engulfing banane ki taraf hai, jo ke GBPJPY SELL karne ka ek mazboot signal hai 191,500 tak. Iske ilawa, maine RSI 14 indicator yaani relative strength index 14 par dekha ke GBPJPY ka price 191.80 par overbought declare ho chuka hai, yaani ke is waqt GBPJPY ke khareedari mein saturation aa gayi hai, jisse aaj GBPJPY mein 10-40 pips ka neeche correction hone ka imkaan hai. Yeh GBPJPY SELL signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support hota hai, kyunki jab GBPJPY ka price 191.70 tak aya toh yeh SBR area yaani Support Become Resistance mein aa chuka hai, jisse ke aaj GBPJPY pair mein SELLERS ke aane ka imkaan hai. Mere technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, aaj dopahar ke GBPJPY ke movement ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke mai GBPJPY SELL karun ga 191.50 tak.

GBP/JPY

Japan ki economy ne salana buniyadon par 3.1% ka izafa dekha, jo ke pehle se tajwez ki gayi 2.1% ki had se kaafi zyada hai, khas tor par jab ke pehle quarter mein GDP mein 2.3% ki kami dekhi gayi thi.

Dusray quarter mein consumer spending mein 1.0% ka izafa hua. Yeh positive trend pichlay paanch quarters mein pehli martaba dekha gaya, jo ke wages mein izafay ki wajah se tha. Wages mein lagbhag 5.2% ka izafa hua - jo ke aakhri tees saalon mein sab se zyada hai. Iske ilawa, consumer spending mein izafa car sales ke bahaal hone se bhi hua, jab kuch automakers ne production phir se shuru ki (factories ne state certification process ke doran pehchani gayi masail ko durust kar liya).

UK mein labor market aur inflation par mukhtalif reports ke baad, ab positive data saamne aane laga hai. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ne doosray quarter mein 0.6% ka khaas izafa kiya, aur retail sales mein July mein 0.5% ka izafa dekha gaya, jise upward revision bhi mila. Yeh is baat ko mazid mazbooti de raha hai ke economy teesray quarter mein apni steady progress ko jari rakhegi. Pehle aade mein, yeh U.S. se aage nikal gayi aur G7 mein bhi barh chadh kar agay hai.

Ab UK ne aisa hi maqam hasil kar liya hai jaisa ke saal ke aghaz mein U.S. ka tha. Is liye yeh heran kun nahi ke GBP/JPY mein tez rally dekhi ja rahi hai.

GBP/JPY Analysis:

British pound/Japanese yen ke chart par, pichlay do hafton se jaari upward trend short term mein ab bhi barqarar hai. Iska na mukammal hissa July ke akhri dino se develop ho raha hai. Jab intermediate resistance se price ne break through kiya, to wapas aate hue correction bana. Ab yeh zone support mein tabdeel ho chuka hai.

Forecast:

Aane walay haftay ke doran, pair rate mein resistance zone tak dheere dheere izafa honay ki umeed hai. Haftay ke aghaz mein price mein thodi si kami mumkin hai, jo ke calculated support tak ja sakti hai.

Potential Reversal Zones:

• Resistance: 194.80/195.30
• Support: 190.10/189.60

Recommendations:

• Sales: Intraday trading ke doran resistance zone mein apne trading systems se milne walay signals ke baad istamal kiya ja sakta hai.
• Purchases: Yeh risky hain aur inka potential kam hai.