nzd/usd

NZD/USD Analysis
Daily Timeframe
Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhtay hain - NZDUSD currency pair ka. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke wo guzishta mahine ke aathwe din se neeche girna shuru huay, aur poore mahine tak yeh girawat jaari rahi, jo ke doosre major allied pairs se zyada tezi se hui. Wave structure ne neeche ki taraf apna order banaya, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Teesri wave guzar chuki hai, agar aap Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke upar lagayen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke decline ka minimum target - level 161.8 aur level 200 ko achieve kiya gaya. Ek ascending support line bhi pohonch gayi, jo ke purani waves ke bottoms ke sath build ki ja sakti thi, lekin support zone ko near horizontal level of 0.5862 nahi tod sakti thi, jis ke baad sales aur new purchases se positions ko fix kiya gaya, is ne chothi wave mein kuch rollback cause kiya.

Ye wazeh hai ke mahine ka aakhri din kuch din pehle tha aur mahine ke results ko fix karna zaroori tha, is liye price rollback hui. Technical justifications bhi the, jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain. Chaar ghanton ke chart pe MACD indicator pe bullish divergence thi. Paanchwe wave mein girawat ka continuation expected tha, jo significant minimum level of 1.5862 ko update karti. Main umeed karta tha ke hum guzishta haftay ke Friday ko jaayenge, lekin USA se aayi news ne isko roka. Non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ka indicator forecast se bohat zyada bura nikla. USA mein unemployment rate foran 0.2 points se barh gaya. Is wajah se, yahan price grow karne ki koshish ki, lekin zyada grow nahi kar saki, unlike pound aur euro jo upar chale gaye. Sirf aaj wo neeche aaye, paanch waves ka poora cycle decline hua aur ek false breakout line aur level ka bana. Ek high probability hai growth ki 0.6046 tak.

Subah Bakhair! Aaj ki NZD/USD technical analysis ek complex aur challenging market landscape ko reveal karti hai. Price action filhal ek expanding triangle pattern bana rahi hai, jo aam tor par uncertainty aur potential volatility ko zahir karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar tab unfold hoti hai jab market makers prices ko manipulate karte hain taake stop losses ko trigger kar saken, phir ek clear trend direction establish hoti hai.
Key technical indicators aagey bhi cautious sentiment ko underscore karte hain. Pehle, Moving Average (MA) setup dikhata hai ke MA100 flat move kar raha hai, jo guzishta haftay mein strong trend momentum ki kami ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, MA18 ne haali mein MA100 ke neeche cross kiya hai, jo ek bearish signal kehlata hai, jise death cross kehte hain. Yeh crossover downward pressure ko suggest karta hai aur current bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai.

Mazeed, daily chart pe price action Ichimoku cloud ke andar hai. Ichimoku cloud, jo Kumo kehlata hai, ek range-bound market environment ko represent karta hai jahan prices clear trend establish kiye baghair oscillate karti hain. Yeh trading decisions ko mazeed complicate karta hai kyunke yeh market participants ke darmiyan indecision aur mixed signals ko suggest karta hai.




Trading perspective se, identified support aur resistance levels critical boundaries provide karte hain. Price range of 0.6040-0.5880 pivotal nazar aati hai, acting as support aur resistance zones jahan traders price reactions ko anticipate kar sakte hain. Yeh range-bound behavior sideways movement ko reinforce karta hai jo MA pattern aur Ichimoku cloud indicate karte hain.

Summary mein, jabke NZD/USD pair defined range ke andar trading opportunities present karta hai, caution advice ki jati hai due to expanding triangle pattern aur bearish signals from MA crossover. Traders ko price action closely monitor karni chahiye for breakout ya breakdown from current consolidation phase. Yeh analysis highlight karti hai risk management ki importance aur evolving market dynamics ke barey mein informed rehne ki taake NZD/USD ki current technical complexities ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Chalien dekhte hain NZD/USD trading currency pair ka haal. Pichle trading week mein, New Zealand dollar pehle apne downward trajectory par tha, lekin phir achanak se turn le kar ek resistance zone ki taraf badh gaya. Yeh aakhir kar 0.5921 level ko cross kar gaya, jo expected negative scenario ke khilaaf tha. H4 chart par price ab bullish territory mein dakhil ho rahi hai, jo selling pressure mein kami ko zahir karti hai. Technically, outlook aggressive trading ka moqa suggest karta hai, indicators 0.5875 par potential support ka ishara de rahe hain, SMA se positive signals mil rahe hain, aur momentum indicator bhi positive hai. Yeh din ke doran ek upward trend ko lead kar sakti hai, pehla target 0.5440 par hai. Agar yeh level breakout ho jata hai to profit mazeed barh sakte hain aur direct channel 0.5710 tak khul sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar 0.5875 se neeche breakdown hota hai to negative pressure barh sakta hai, jo index ko dobara 0.5850 test karne par majboor karega. Khaas taur par, NZD/USD pair ka weekly high thoda sa update ho gaya hai initial weekly low establish hone ke baad.


Abhi ke market situation ko dekhte hue NZD/USD currency pair ke downward trajectory ko dekha ja sakta hai, jo descending vector ki significance ko zahir karti hai. Trend ko continue karne ke liye, price ko retrace karna hoga aur 0.5921 level ke neeche apni position ko mazboot karna hoga, jahaan pe crucial resistance zone hai. Meri current scenario aur trading analysis ke mutabiq, ek successful retest aur confident rebound is level se downward momentum ko extend karne ka moqa dega, potential targets 0.5804 aur 0.5734 ke aas paas hain. Agar resistance breach hoti hai aur price 0.5995 reversal point ko surpass kar jati hai, to yeh current scenario ki cancellation ko zahir karega.

NZD:USD:H1:
Sab logon ko salam aur subha bakhair!

NZD/USD mein mazeed selling opportunities hain. July ke aghaz se NZD/USD market ne tez girawat dekhi hai. Isliye, Friday ko yeh 0.5888 zone ke aas paas pohonch gaya. Yeh shayad US Presidential Elections ke aghaz tak sellers ke haq mein reh sakta hai. To, NZD/USD ke sellers ke paas mazeed moqe hain apne peechle nuqsan ko aqalmandi se cover karne ke liye. Market jaldi ya dair 0.5865 support area ko cross kar sakti hai. Recent market dynamics ko dekhte hue, NZD/USD pair ne strong bearish trend dikhaya hai, jo kayi selling opportunities faraham karta hai. July ke aghaz se downward momentum consistent rahi hai, jo market mein sellers ki taqat ko reflect karta hai. Friday tak, yeh pair 0.5888 zone ke aas paas pohonch gaya, jo ek significant level hai aur NZD/USD par pressure barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke yeh bearish sentiment US Presidential Elections tak barqarar reh sakta hai, jo sellers ko trend se faida uthane ka ample waqt dega. Jin logon ne pehle nuqsan uthaye hain, un ke liye ye ek moqa hai.





Buying strategy ke liye, target level 0.5942 set kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh target achieve ho jata hai, to yeh upward momentum ki sustainability ko zahir karega, jo traders ko price increase se faida uthane ka moqa dega. Agar price 0.5883 level ke upar fix hota hai, to yeh ek aur condition create karta hai additional purchase positions open karne ka. Yeh price fixation market mein ek solid support base ki formation ko signal karta hai, jo ya to existing positions ko add karne ka ya nayi positions initiate karne ka behtareen moqa faraham karta hai. In conditions ko follow karte hue aur in key levels ke ird gird price movements ko closely monitor karte hue, traders apni positions ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD currency pair ke liye apni trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain.

Nearest resistance range 0.5930 par profit-taking ke liye critical hai, jabke pair ke purchase signals involve karte hain ek decline below 0.5850 aur price fixations beyond 0.5893 aur 0.5883. Target level 0.5942 traders ko ek clear objective provide karta hai upward movements se faida uthane ka. In guidelines ko adhere karke, traders market ko confidently navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

Diurnal Time Frame Map Outlook
Agar hum diurnal time frame ke liye NZDUSD ka technical map dekhein, to humein nazar aata hai ke pichle chand trading dinon mein bearish trading activity hui hai, jiski wajah se price mein significant drop aya. Is hafte ke Monday ko NZDUSD ne negative move ko rok diya jab yeh 0.5845 support position tak pohonch gaya. Tuesday se Friday tak NZDUSD ne bullish action dikhaya, jiski wajah se price 12 EMA line ke qareeb close hui. RSI index ne oversold position ko touch kiya, jiski wajah se is hafte price upar gai due to an adjustment. Agar agle hafte NZDUSD moving average lines ko downside se cross karta hai, to trend direction change hogi aur price 0.6152 resistance position ko test karne ke liye barh jayegi. Lekin agar price dobara drop hoti hai, to yeh 0.5845 support position ko test karegi.





Daily Time Frame Map Outlook

Daily time frame map ke liye, pichle kuch hafton se price moving average lines ke ird gird badalti rahi, lekin yeh 50 EMA line ke upar thi, jo positive trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin, teen haftay pehle, NZDUSD decline hona shuru hua jab isne trend line ko test kiya jo maine attached illustration mein indicate ki thi. Do haftay pehle, price moving average lines ko downside se cross kar gayi aur trend direction change hui. Tez bearish momentum ki wajah se price pichle hafte bhi drop hui. Is hafte, NZDUSD ne support position ko touch kiya, isliye is hafte price adjustment mein increase dekhne ko mil raha hai, lekin jaldi hi yeh dobara drop hoke agle support position ko test karegi, jo ke 0.5499 hai.

News NZD/USD

Forume Time™ H4

Umeed hai sab ka mood acha hoga! Linear regression channel indicator seller ko support kar raha hai, jo active hai aur apni strength dikha raha hai, aur downward slope ko show kar raha hai. Main sales ko consider karta hoon, upper border of the channel 0.59704 se, jahan sellers ke positions ka cluster hai. Movement channel ke lower border tak continue karegi level 0.59328 tak. Jab yeh level reach hota hai, to buyers aa sakte hain jo sales zone mein wapas ana chahenge. Trend mein H4 par wapas jane aur recover karne ke liye, unhe yeh level overcome karna hoga. Agar price 0.59704 level ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to sales search karne ka moqa cancel ho jayega, aur hume H4 par situation ko dobara evaluate karna padega. Agar channel downward point karta rehta hai, to price 0.59704 level se neeche wapas aati hai to sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain.




Four hourly timeframe par H4 chart ke contrast mein, linear regression channel mein upward movement hai, jo buyer activity ko show karta hai. Buyer ne 0.59421 level ko chhor diya hai jab sellers ne isko breakthrough kiya. Yeh bears ke market mein strong interest ko show karta hai, jo H4 channel ko downward reverse karne ki koshish kar sakte hain specific target ke saath. Is tarah, uptrend threat mein ho sakta hai. Jab channel downward move karta hai, jo dominating sellers ko reflect karta hai aur trend mein change show karta hai. Strong bears 0.58630 level tak pohonchne ki koshish karenge apne target ko achieve karne ke liye. Lekin, agar 4-hour chart par conditions met hoti hain, jab market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karti hai, to bulls apni trend movement restore karenge, aur is cheez ko trading mein consider karna chahiye.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against potential rebound ke signs dikhaye hain. Ek mushkil period ke baad, NZD/USD pair ne thodi upward movement dikhayi hai, jo momentum shift ko suggest karta hai. Technical indicators mixed signals provide karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory se door hua hai, jo selling pressure mein kami ko zahir karta hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi neutral level se neeche hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) filhal bearish hai, lekin do lines ke beech narrowing gap ek potential bullish crossover ko near future mein suggest karta hai. Price action ek potential bullish reversal ka hint deta hai. Price chart par ek handle pattern ki formation, aur recent upward movement, ek possible bullish reversal ko suggest karti hai. Lekin is pattern ki confirmation abhi pending hai. Support aur resistance levels identify kiye gaye hain. NZD/USD pair ne support levels 0.5760, 0.5800, aur 0.5850 par establish kiye hain. Upar ki taraf, resistance 0.5980, 0.6000, aur 0.6030 par anticipate ki ja rahi hai.



Key resistance ko overcome karna crucial hai. Ek decisive break 0.5965 resistance level ke upar sustained uptrend ko confirm karne ke liye essential hai. Yeh 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6024 tak ka rasta khol dega. Lekin 0.6120-0.6173 area ke around substantial resistance expect ki ja rahi hai, jo ek significant historical resistance zone hai. Downside risks barqarar hain. Recent positive price action ke bawajood, NZD/USD pair downside risks ke liye vulnerable rehti hai. Agar price 0.5850 support level ke neeche break hoti hai, to yeh ek deeper correction trigger kar sakti hai 2023 low 0.5772 ya phir broader 2023-2024 support range 0.5590 ke qareeb. Conclusion yeh hai ke New Zealand Dollar US Dollar ke against recovery ke early signs dikhata hai. Recent price action aur technical indicators ek potential bullish reversal suggest karte hain, lekin confirmation abhi zaroori hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels closely monitor karne chahiye, aur technical indicators ke development ko dekhte rehna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

New Zealand Dollar ka US Dollar ke against potential comeback dikhane ke signs nazar aa rahe hain. Mushkilat ka samna karne ke baad, NZD/USD pair ne thodi upward trend dikhayi hai, jo momentum shift ki mumkinah ko suggest karti hai. Technical indicators mixed signals de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory se door hua hai, jo selling pressure mein kami ko indicate karta hai, lekin abhi bhi neutral level se neeche hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) filhal bearish hai, lekin do lines ke beech narrowing gap ek potential bullish crossover ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Price action ek possible bullish reversal ka signal de rahi hai, price chart par ek potential handle pattern ki formation ke saath aur recent upward movement ke combination se. Lekin is pattern ki confirmation abhi pending hai. Key support levels 0.5760, 0.5800, aur 0.5850 par identify kiye gaye hain, jabke resistance 0.5980, 0.6000, aur 0.6030 par anticipate ki ja rahi hai. Crucial 0.5965 resistance level ko overcome karna zaroori hai taake sustained uptrend confirm ho sake, jo 20-day Simple Moving Average aur 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6024 ki taraf raasta kholta hai.



NZD/USD pair ne 0.6120-0.6173 area mein ek noteworthy historical resistance zone encounter kiya hai. Recent positive movement ke bawajood, downside risks abhi bhi maujood hain. Agar pair 0.5850 support level se neeche girti hai, to yeh 2023 low 0.5772 ya broader 2024 support range ke qareeb 0.5590 tak deeper correction ko lead kar sakti hai. Recent price action aur technical signals New Zealand Dollar ke liye US Dollar ke against potential bullish reversal suggest karte hain, lekin confirmation abhi zaroori hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, saath hi technical indicators ke development ko bhi dekhna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

NZD/USD Analysis
Daily Timeframe
Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhtay hain - NZDUSD currency pair ka. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke wo guzishta mahine ke aathwe din se neeche girna shuru huay, aur poore mahine tak yeh girawat jaari rahi, jo ke doosre major allied pairs se zyada tezi se hui. Wave structure ne neeche ki taraf apna order banaya, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Teesri wave guzar chuki hai, agar aap Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke upar lagayen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke decline ka minimum target - level 161.8 aur level 200 ko achieve kiya gaya. Ek ascending support line bhi pohonch gayi, jo ke purani waves ke bottoms ke sath build ki ja sakti thi, lekin support zone ko near horizontal level of 0.5862 nahi tod sakti thi, jis ke baad sales aur new purchases se positions ko fix kiya gaya, is ne chothi wave mein kuch rollback cause kiya.

Ye wazeh hai ke mahine ka aakhri din kuch din pehle tha aur mahine ke results ko fix karna zaroori tha, is liye price rollback hui. Technical justifications bhi the, jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain. Chaar ghanton ke chart pe MACD indicator pe bullish divergence thi. Paanchwe wave mein girawat ka continuation expected tha, jo significant minimum level of 1.5862 ko update karti. Main umeed karta tha ke hum guzishta haftay ke Friday ko jaayenge, lekin USA se aayi news ne isko roka. Non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ka indicator forecast se bohat zyada bura nikla. USA mein unemployment rate foran 0.2 points se barh gaya. Is wajah se, yahan price grow karne ki koshish ki, lekin zyada grow nahi kar saki, unlike pound aur euro jo upar chale gaye. Sirf aaj wo neeche aaye, paanch waves ka poora cycle decline hua aur ek false breakout line aur level ka bana. Ek high probability hai growth ki 0.6046 tak.

NZD/USD Analysis
Daily Timeframe
Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhtay hain - NZDUSD currency pair ka. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke wo guzishta mahine ke aathwe din se neeche girna shuru huay, aur poore mahine tak yeh girawat jaari rahi, jo ke doosre major allied pairs se zyada tezi se hui. Wave structure ne neeche ki taraf apna order banaya, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Teesri wave guzar chuki hai, agar aap Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke upar lagayen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke decline ka minimum target - level 161.8 aur level 200 ko achieve kiya gaya. Ek ascending support line bhi pohonch gayi, jo ke purani waves ke bottoms ke sath build ki ja sakti thi, lekin support zone ko near horizontal level of 0.5862 nahi tod sakti thi, jis ke baad sales aur new purchases se positions ko fix kiya gaya, is ne chothi wave mein kuch rollback cause kiya.

Ye wazeh hai ke mahine ka aakhri din kuch din pehle tha aur mahine ke results ko fix karna zaroori tha, is liye price rollback hui. Technical justifications bhi the, jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain. Chaar ghanton ke chart pe MACD indicator pe bullish divergence thi. Paanchwe wave mein girawat ka continuation expected tha, jo significant minimum level of 1.5862 ko update karti. Main umeed karta tha ke hum guzishta haftay ke Friday ko jaayenge, lekin USA se aayi news ne isko roka. Non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ka indicator forecast se bohat zyada bura nikla. USA mein unemployment rate foran 0.2 points se barh gaya. Is wajah se, yahan price grow karne ki koshish ki, lekin zyada grow nahi kar saki, unlike pound aur euro jo upar chale gaye. Sirf aaj wo neeche aaye, paanch waves ka poora cycle decline hua aur ek false breakout line aur level ka bana. Ek high probability hai growth ki 0.6046 tak.

NZD / USD H1 Chart:



NZDUSD currency pair. Main dekh raha hoon ke keemat is aala par kis tarah se upar ja rahi hai aur aaj kaam ke doran kai shirait hain ek mazid trade ke liye. Agar sochte hain to aaj trading se faida utha sakte hain nzdusd pair par long positions trading kar ke. Agar aap trading se acha munafa kamana chahte hain to main pair ko kharidne ke liye trade karna chahta hoon jab ye 0.62571 tak pohanch jaye. Acha transaction processing ka imkan mujhe aur bhi ziada itminan deta hai. Mojooda halat dikhate hain trading 0.62415 ke qeemat ke aas paas range mein ho rahi hai. Main aam tor par aik mazeed order ke sath izafe ke liye average afford kar sakta hoon zaroor, 0.62291 ke qeemat ke upar trading principles ke sath. Tamam koshishen jo bechne wale ne qeemat ko kam karne ki hain, ab tak koi concrete natija nahi diya hai. Bilkul agar hawala gir jata hai aur 0.62291 ke level se neeche gir jata hai to majboori mein aapko nuksan uthana hoga aur din ke liye trading band karni hogi. Kharidne wale pahlu ki salahiyat ki wajah se, bulls apni harkat ko poora kar sakte hain. Mujhe ab kisi bhi sell rukh mein trading karne ka koi dil nahi hai. 0.62011 ke level par woh log jo pehle se short positions mein hain ke liye musbat nazar aata hai. Aur ab trade dekhne ka koi dil nahi hai jab keemat gir rahi hoti hai. Shurait mufeed nahi hain.

NZD / USD H4 Chart:



Shab Bakhair! Peer ko currency market mein active trading session shuru hua, isliye main apne pair ke liye technical analysis karna chahta hoon H4 senior time frame par. Yahan par apni tawajjo kis par lagani chahiye? Sabse pehle, screenshot mein dikhaya gaya hai ke Fibonacci grid ke 100th level ka pehle se breakout hua hai, jisse humein obvious correction reasons ke liye agle kharidaron ke liye activation signal mil raha hai. Dusra, price action mechanism par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Main sujhaav deta hoon ke di gayi candle ko analyze karein, jo ek tezi se pin bar ke roop mein kaam karti hai. Yahan par ek stop bohot munasib hai. Aage dekhte hain ki fundamentals kaise asar dalte hain. Economic calendar USA se 16:45 par "Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector" data provide karta hai.

NZD/USD currency pair analysis: Abhi NZD/USD market is potential rate cut ke ishare de raha hai, jisse pair 0.60295 level par trade kar raha hai. Yeh harkat mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai agle sessions mein. Yad rahe ke agar 0.60295 level break hota hai, to yeh price ko agle main stations ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jo ke hain 0.6760 aur uske baad 0.60200.

In halaat ko dekhte hue, aaj ke trading ke liye bearish bias ki umeed hai. Lekin, is expected girawat ka jaari rehna 0.6035 level ke break hone par mabni hai. Agar NZD/USD is level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, toh yeh recovery ki koshish shuru kar sakta hai, pehla target 0.60310 area hoga.

Is waqt NZD/USD ke liye market sentiment zyadatar bearish hai, kyunke rate cut ki umeed hai. Rate cuts aam tor par kamzor currency ka ishara hoti hai, kyunke kam sood daron se currency investors ke liye kam maqbool hoti hai jo zyadah returns ke talash mein hote hain. Yeh expectation NZD/USD par downward pressure daal rahi hai, aur isse key support level 0.60295 ke qareeb le ja rahi hai.

Ek aham pehlu yeh hai ke kya NZD/USD 0.60295 support level ke niche break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ka jaari rehna indicate karega aur mazeed girawat 0.6760 aur 0.60200 levels ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Yeh levels ahmiyat ke hamil hain kyunke yeh aise maqamat hain jahan traders mazeed harkat ki umeed kar sakte hain aur apni positions accordingly set kar sakte hain.

Lekin agar NZD/USD 0.60295 support level ke niche break karne mein nakam hoti hai, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke maujooda negative pressure apni taqat kho raha hai. Is surat mein, pair recovery shuru kar sakta hai. Is recovery ki pehli manzil 0.60310 area hogi. Yeh ibtidaayi recovery agar market sentiment shift hota hai ya naye data se economic outlook mein tabdeeli ka ishara milta hai, to mazeed upward movements ka raasta saaf kar sakti hai.

Aaj ka expected trading range 0.60320 ke support level aur 0.60370 ke resistance level ke darmiyan hai. Traders ko ehtiyat se dekhna chahiye aur is range ke andar kisi bhi volatility ke asaaron par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar price 0.60370 resistance level ke upar chali jati hai, to yeh bearish trend ke reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai, jabke 0.60320 support level ke niche break hona bearish outlook ko mazid taqat dega aur girawat jaari rehne ka ishara dega.

NZD/USD filhal bearish pressure mein hai rate cut ki umeedon ki wajah se. Aham level 0.60295 hai, kyunke is level ke break hone se mazeed girawat 0.6760 aur 0.60200 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Lekin agar pair is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh recovery koshish shuru kar sakta hai jo ke 0.60310 area ko target kar raha hoga. Aaj ka expected trading range 0.60320 se 0.60370 ke darmiyan hai, aur traders ko is range ke andar kisi bhi volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

NZD/USD Analysis Daily Timeframe
Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhtay hain - NZDUSD currency pair ka. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke wo guzishta mahine ke aathwe din se neeche girna shuru huay, aur poore mahine tak yeh girawat jaari rahi, jo ke doosre major allied pairs se zyada tezi se hui. Wave structure ne neeche ki taraf apna order banaya, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Teesri wave guzar chuki hai, agar aap Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke upar lagayen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke decline ka minimum target - level 161.8 aur level 200 ko achieve kiya gaya. Ek ascending support line bhi pohonch gayi, jo ke purani waves ke bottoms ke sath build ki ja sakti thi, lekin support zone ko near horizontal level of 0.5862 nahi tod sakti thi, jis ke baad sales aur new purchases se positions ko fix kiya gaya, is ne chothi wave mein kuch rollback cause kiya.

Ye wazeh hai ke mahine ka aakhri din kuch din pehle tha aur mahine ke results ko fix karna zaroori tha, is liye price rollback hui. Technical justifications bhi the, jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain. Chaar ghanton ke chart pe MACD indicator pe bullish divergence thi. Paanchwe wave mein girawat ka continuation expected tha, jo significant minimum level of 1.5862 ko update karti. Main umeed karta tha ke hum guzishta haftay ke Friday ko jaayenge, lekin USA se aayi news ne isko roka. Non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ka indicator forecast se bohat zyada bura nikla. USA mein unemployment rate foran 0.2 points se barh gaya. Is wajah se, yahan price grow karne ki koshish ki, lekin zyada grow nahi kar saki, unlike pound aur euro jo upar chale gaye. Sirf aaj wo neeche aaye, paanch waves ka poora cycle decline hua aur ek false breakout line aur level ka bana. Ek high probability hai growth ki 0.6046 tak.

Thursday ki European trading session mein, NZD/USD pair ne apni mazahmat dikhayi aur pechli session ki losses se recover karte hue 0.6280 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ka technical analysis ye dikhata hai ke ye pair ek ascending channel pattern ke neeche wali boundary ko test kar raha hai. Agar ye channel se successfully breakout karta hai toh chalte hue uptrend mein kamzori aa sakti hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 level ke upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bullish sentiment abhi bhi mojood hai. Iske ilawa, nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) bhi 50-day EMA ke upar position mein hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke short-term price trend mein mazeed mazbooti ka ishara de raha hai.

Upside pe, ye pair mumkin hai ke 0.6380 level tak pohanch jaye, jo ke ascending channel ke upper boundary ke sath align karta hai. Agar is boundary ke upar breakout hota hai toh ye bullish bias ko mazid mazboot karega aur pair ko dobara December 2023 mein record hue 15-month highs 0.6409 tak le ja sakta hai. Support side pe, EMA 0.6251 ke qareeb hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai toh bullish sentiment ko nuksan pohnch sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb 0.6156 tak push kar sakta hai, jahan se eventually 5-week low 0.6106 tak bhi pohanchne ka imkaan hai.

Wednesday ko, NZD/USD pair ne apni gains ko barhaya aur 9-mahinay ka high 0.6354 touch kiya, lekin phir halka sa loss dekhne ko mila. Pair ne August ke range ko break karte hue apni tawajju December 2023 ke high 0.6368 par di. Magar, rally mein slowdown ke concerns bhi ubar rahe hain, kyon ke overbought signals RSI aur Stochastic indicators se aa rahe hain. Agar 0.6368 ke upar ek decisive close hoti hai, toh ek naye upside wave ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo shayad 161.8% Fibonacci extension level tak 0.6415 ko reach kar le. December 2022 aur February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 ka area kuch resistance pesh kar sakta hai. Bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye, ek mazeed upward move zaroori ho sakti hai.

Haal hi mein, Federal Reserve ne chaar salon mein apni pehli dafa interest rate cut announce ki, aur key borrowing rate ko 50 basis points se reduce kar diya. Yeh move is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke monetary policy mazeed accommodative ho rahi hai. Lekin, Fed policymakers ne yeh bhi indicate kiya hai ke rate-cutting cycle ziyada aggressive nahi hoga, jo ke US monetary policy ke mustaqbil ke rujhan par kuch uncertainty paida karta hai. Yeh uncertainty market mein aage chalkar aik ehtiyaat bhari tone ko barqarar rakh sakti hai.

Do din lagatar, NZD/USD currency pair mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Yeh tab hua jab candle 0.6170 ke RBS area ko torne mein nakam rahi. Us area ko touch karne se pehle, NZD/USD ka movement neeche ki taraf tha. Guzishta Thursday ko izafa kafi zyada tha, kyunke candle 0.6190 se le kar 0.6218 tak pohanch gayi thi. Agar hisaab lagaya jaye, toh NZD/USD takreeban 50 pips ka izafa hua. Ibtida mein ye neeche ki taraf ja raha tha, lekin candle apne qareebi support ko torne mein nakam rahi, aur wahan tak pohanchne se pehle hi upar chali gayi. Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, jab NZD/USD mein izafa dekha gaya, candle ne 0.6202 ke price pe resistance ko tor diya tha. Resistance ko torne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD mazeed barh sakta hai. Lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka maqsad 0.6288 ke resistance ko test karna hai. Wahan tak pohanchne ke liye, NZD/USD ko abhi mazeed 70 pips ka move karna hoga. Uske baad, yeh mumkin hai ke NZD/USD dobara neeche aaye, kyunke yeh izafa sirf ek correction hai. Agar H1 timeframe ka highest resistance tor diya jaye, toh NZD/USD ko neeche aana mushkil ho sakta hai. Mere khayal mein, jab tak RBS area 0.6170 ke price par nahi toota, NZD/USD ke agle chand ghanton mein mazeed barhne ke chances hain.

Halaat bearish lagte hain, lekin trading mein ek achi risk management strategy ko samajhna zaroori hai. Forex market fitratan volatile hota hai, aur khoobsoorat trends mein bhi achanak reversals ho sakte hain. Achi stop-loss orders lagana aapki capital ko bacha sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar aap ek recent swing high ke upar stop-loss lagate hain, toh yeh potential losses ko limit kar sakta hai agar market aapke against move kare. Traders ko wo aham economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan is currency pair mein achanak movements paida kar sakti hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Trading mein successful hone ke liye hamesha updated rehna aur apni strategy ko zarurat ke mutabiq adjust karna bohot zaroori hai.






NZD/USD ka H4 timeframe par analysis abhi bhi sellers ke liye ek compelling case banata hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye multiple opportunities hain taake is pair mein mazeed declines se faida uthaya ja sake. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka ghehra mutaala kar ke, traders strategically position le sakte hain is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics par asar dalne walay developments par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Agar aap sahi approach le kar chalain, toh NZD/USD market ke current conditions profitable opportunities de sakte hain un logon ke liye jo is bearish trend ke sath trade karna chahte hain.