US Dollar (USD) aur Swiss Franc (CHF) currency pair (USD/CHF) Thursday ko European trading hours mein 0.8840 ke aas-paas kamzor trade kar rahi thi. Traders SNB (Swiss National Bank) ke policy meeting ka intezar kar rahe the jo ke usi din hona tha. Market mein SNB ke taraf se 25 basis point interest rate cut ki umeed thi, jo ke rate ko 1.50% se 1.25% kar deta. Nomura ke European economist George Moran ke mutabiq, "ek cut expected hai... kyunki inflation apne target ke andar hai aur wahan rehne ki umeed hai, aur SNB is waqt ki policy ko restrictive samajhta hai." Agar SNB rate cut na kare, to Swiss Franc USD ke muqable mein mazboot ho sakta hai. Wahan, rate cut hone ki surat mein CHF kamzor ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, US Federal Reserve ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai aur aane wale inflation data ka intezar kar raha hai pehle ke wo potential rate cuts ka faisla kare. Market ko umeed hai ke saal ke aakhir mein ek ya do cuts honge, aur September rate cut ke chances 67% tak barh gaye hain jab ke retail sales data umeed se kam nikla. Agar preliminary US S&P Global PMI data June ke liye stronger-than-expected aaya, to USD ko faida ho sakta hai aur USD/CHF pair ki downside limited ho sakti hai.
Ek hairan kun twist mein, USD/CHF pair mein surge aayi jab SNB ne waqai mein rate cut kiya, kuch investors ke expectations ke baraks jo ke no change ki umeed laga rahe the. Ye rally pair ko uski 200-day simple moving average 0.8890 ke kareeb le gayi. Technical indicators jese ke RSI aur Stochastic pe oversold signals ne suggest kiya ke bounce expected thi pehle ke 0.8840 support level tak dip karne ke baad. Magar kuch investor caution shayad tab tak rahe jab tak 200-day SMA support se resistance mein change na ho jaye, jo ke 20-day SMA ko uski rise ko 0.8970 tak extend karne ka moqa de sakta hai. December-June rally ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, 0.9012 ke aas-paas, ek aur hurdle ban sakta hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne se short-term descending channel ke top ko test karne ka darwaza khul sakta hai jo ke 0.9065 pe hai. Agar pair us level ko paar kar le, to focus November 2022 se establish hui major downtrend line pe shift ho sakta hai, jo ke is waqt 0.9135 ke kareeb hai.
Ek hairan kun twist mein, USD/CHF pair mein surge aayi jab SNB ne waqai mein rate cut kiya, kuch investors ke expectations ke baraks jo ke no change ki umeed laga rahe the. Ye rally pair ko uski 200-day simple moving average 0.8890 ke kareeb le gayi. Technical indicators jese ke RSI aur Stochastic pe oversold signals ne suggest kiya ke bounce expected thi pehle ke 0.8840 support level tak dip karne ke baad. Magar kuch investor caution shayad tab tak rahe jab tak 200-day SMA support se resistance mein change na ho jaye, jo ke 20-day SMA ko uski rise ko 0.8970 tak extend karne ka moqa de sakta hai. December-June rally ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, 0.9012 ke aas-paas, ek aur hurdle ban sakta hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne se short-term descending channel ke top ko test karne ka darwaza khul sakta hai jo ke 0.9065 pe hai. Agar pair us level ko paar kar le, to focus November 2022 se establish hui major downtrend line pe shift ho sakta hai, jo ke is waqt 0.9135 ke kareeb hai.
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