eur/usd 😊

EUR/USD currency pair ne haali mein ek bullish trend dikhaya hai, jo euro ke exchange rate ki U.S. dollar ke muqable mein upward movement ko indicate karta hai. Is upward trajectory ko dekhte hue, yeh fayda mand lagta hai ke EUR/USD bechne se pehle usse significant level 1.0734 tak ponchnay diya jaye. Yeh price point kai reasons ke liye critical hai, aur bohot se traders isse closely dekh rahe hain.

Pehle, 1.0734 ka level ek crucial resistance point maana jata hai. Resistance levels woh price points hain jahan currency pair historically mushkil se move kar pata hai. Yeh levels aksar ek barrier ki tarah act karte hain jo pair ki upward movement ko rok sakte hain.

Haal ke bullish trend ke context mein, 1.0734 mark ek pivotal threshold represent karta hai jo traders ko lagta hai ke EUR/USD ko surpass karne mein mushkil hogi. Isliye, is level tak ponchna bullish trend ke khatam hone aur potential decline ke shuru hone ka signal de sakta hai. Jab EUR/USD 1.0734 level ke qareeb aayega, hum increased market activity aur volatility anticipate kar sakte hain. Yeh price point significant trading volume attract karega kyunke traders ya to bullish momentum se capitalize karna chahte hain ya reversal ke liye tayar ho rahe hain.

1.0734 ko reach karne ke baad decline anticipate karne ki base yeh analysis hai ke bullish trend is resistance level ke beyond sustain nahi hoga. Technical analysts aksar resistance levels ko trading decisions banane ke liye use karte hain. 1.0734 par resistance ko yeh signal samjha ja sakta hai ke pair overbought hai aur ek correction zaroori hai. Bullish trend, chahe kitna bhi strong ho, indefinitely continue nahi karta. Historical patterns aur technical indicators suggest karte hain ke jab price is resistance point ko reach karegi, toh ek reversal likely hai.

EUR/USD H-1

Aoa, traders! Chart se yeh maloom hota hai ke currency pair ko bechna kharidna se zyada justify kiya ja sakta hai. Moving average ne price ke upar ja kar sellers ki taqat ko tasdiq di hai. MACD indicator ke zero mark ko neeche se oopar cross karna moving average ke signal ke khilaf hai. Isliye, zaroori hai ke hum zero mark ka top se bottom cross hone ka intezaar karein. Sab yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke 1.0757 ke level se bechna behtar hai - yeh market mein dakhil hone aur aaj munafa kamane ke liye mukammal point hai. Indicator analysis ne dikhaya hai ke is level se acha munafa ho sakta hai. Hum transaction par nuqsanat ko stop loss level par had mein rakhte hain. Main ne stop level ko 1.0777 par rakha hai, jab ye activate ho ga hum pooray deposit ko bilkul khushkari se bacha lein ge. Hum take profit ko 1.0697 ke level par rakhte hain. Hum intezaar karte hain jab tak ke price stop loss ya take profit level tak pohanchta hai.




EUR/USD M-30

Salam! Kal se EUR/USD ki mazboot kami ko EUR/GBP pair ne roka hai, jahan par EUR mazbooti se barh raha hai aur taqat hasil kar raha hai, jo isay yahan girne se rokta hai, lekin yeh aik waqtanai phenomenon hai lagta hai, kyunke GBP girne ke silsile ko jari rakhe ga. Aaj border 1.07171 par resistance hai; agar ye is se upar toot jaye, to kharidari zyada active ho jayegi aur ek short-term recovery shuru ho sakti hai. Haftay ke time frame ko dikhate hue, 4-hour chart par sellers dominate kar rahe hain, yahan par volumes girte ja rahe hain bearish zone mein aur growth index bearish selling zone mein hai. Haftay ke scale par yeh kya matlab hai, ke girawat zyada shayad abhi tak jaari rahegi jab tak 1.07171 ko paar nahi kiya jata, ek upar ka breakout 1.07285 tak aur daily candle ke zariye fix hone par, northern direction priority ban jayega. Hourly chart, jo ke essentially din ko darshata hai, bhi bearish zone mein hai, aur Asian session mein chadhne ki koshish kar raha hai aur abhi short-term growth ka samna kar raha hai. Lekin growth index aur volumes, jo ke mazbooti se bearish territory mein hain, lambi chadhne ko jaari nahi rakhne denge, aur isliye aaj ka zyada se zyada chadhav 1.07171 tak hai aur phir neeche ki taraf rebound ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. 1.07171 se rebound hone par, neeche bearish targets hain 1.06949/1.06800 aur maximum girawat haftay ke support area tak hai 1.06685.

Aaj traders! Chart se dekha ja sakta hai ke currency pair ko bechna kharidna se zyada justified hai. Moving average price se upar chala gaya aur bechne walon ki taqat ko tasdeeq ki. MACD indicator ke zero mark ko nichay se ooper cross karna moving average ke signal ke khilaaf hai. Is liye, zaroori hai ke intezar kiya jaye jab tak zero mark ooper se nichay na guzre. Upar di gayi sab tafseelat tasdeeq karti hai ke 1.0757 ke darj-e-kharid se behtar hai - yeh aaj market mein dakhil hone aur munafa kamane ka behtareen mauqa hai. Indicator analysis ne dikhaya ke is level se acha munafa faraham hoga. Hum bhi aik transaction par nuqsanat ko stop loss level tak mehdood karte hain. Main ne stop level ko 1.0777 par rakha hai, jab trigger hota hai to hum puri jama khata ko mukammal tor par bacha lenge. Hum 1.0697 ke level par munafa lete hain. Hamare upar kuch aur nahin hai, hum intezar karte hain jab tak ke price stop loss ya take profit level tak na pohanch jaye.

EUR/USD M-30

Adab! Kal se, EUR/USD ke tez girawat ko EUR/GBP pair ne roka hai, jahan EUR mazbooti se barh raha hai aur taqat hasil kar raha hai, jo isay yahan girne se rokta hai, lekin zahir hai ke yeh aik waqtanah riwayat hai, kyunke GBP girne ja raha hai. Aaj, sarhad par 1.07171 par rukawat hai; agar yeh ooper se guzar jaye, to kharid dar zyada sakht ho jayenge aur aik short-term recovery ho sakti hai. Haftay ki time frame dikhane par, 4-hour chart bechne walon par qabu qarar hai, yahan volumes girte ja rahe hain bearish zone mein aur growth index bearish selling zone mein hai. Weekly scale par yeh kya mtlb hai, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi jab tak ke mojooda haftay ke ikhtitam tak 1.07171 ka rukawat nahi toota, 1.07285 tak aagay guzar ke, aur daily candle ke zariye fix hone ke baad, shumali rukh ahmiyat haasil karega. Aik ghante ka chart, jo ke aik din ko essentially darust karta hai, bhi bearish zone mein hai, aur Asia ki session mein barhne ki koshish kar raha hai aur filhal chhoti mudat ke liye growth ka samna kar raha hai. Lekin jo growth index aur volumes, jo ke mazbooti se bearish territory mein hain, lambi barhne ki ijazat nahi denge, aur is liye aaj ke liye zyada barhne ka muqam 1.07171 hai aur phir neeche ki taraf ek wapas ki umeed hai. 1.07300/1.07437 ke area mein maqam ko torne ke baad.

1.07171 se wapas hone par, neeche girawat ke targets 1.06949/1.06800 hain aur zyada girawat ke liye haftay ki support area 1.06685 hai.

EUR/USD


Main apne baray mein khud-bakhud pur-itiqad hoon ke American trading session girne wala hai, khas tor par jo pehle se mawjud bearish trend hai. Isi waqt mere khayal mein EUR/USD bullish rukh par hai, isliye samajh mein aata hai ke humein 1.0772 ke level ka intezar karna chahiye EUR/USD bechnay se pehle. Hum araam se keh sakte hain ke yeh bullish trend jari nahi rahega, aur jab hum is ahem level ke qareeb pohanchenge, toh kamiyabi ki umeed hai, aur is level ke baad koi izaafa mushkil hai. Shayad hamara maqsad is waqt ye hai ke din bhar mein raftar peda karne ke liye kafi liquid jama kiya jaaye. Aaj Bank of England Day hai, lekin abhi tak koi wazah nahi hai, haalaanki rate pehle se hi announce ho chuki hai. Shayad din ke end tak kuch dikhayi de ga, lekin abhi tak koi asar nazar nahi aa raha. Sab se ahmiyat hai ke support level 1.0670 ka update aur toot jaaye. Main short term ke liye 1.0666 ke low level ka breakout dekh raha hoon, aur phir jaari rahega south 1.6000 digits tak. Aaj pair gir raha hai, aur target nichay hai. Main ummeed kar raha tha ke girne wala channel ka neecha border 1.0688 tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin abhi tak price ne target nahi kiya hai, toh main ummeed kar raha tha ke price neechay hi jaari rahega aur pair channel ke neechay border 1.0688 tak ja sakta hai. Is level ko pohanchne ke baad, palat aasakta hai aur price phir se upar ki taraf jaane lagega.



Niche se neecha jaane par channel se bahar girne ka bhi mauqa hai, aur price girne ki taraf jaari rahegi. Kal USA mein chutti ki wajah se ek flat din tha, lekin aaj bhi koi khaas trading dynamics nahi nazar aaye. EUR/USD pair ka rate 1.0712 tak support gir gaya aur hourly downward channel ke neeche ki taraf shuru hua naya rollback. Isi dauran, H4 ke upper boundary bhi neeche shift hui hai. Is natije mein ab buyers ke liye mushkil ho gayi hai ke woh resistance zone 1.0752–1.0757 ke upar break kar sakein. Is liye main aaj in levels se upar ki growth ka intezar nahi kar raha. Neeche girne ke liye support ke same levels hain: 1.0710–1.0696 aur zyada mazboot support 1.0681 par hai. Main yeh bhi ummeed nahi kar raha ke price abhi tak in levels se neeche girne waala hai. Aur price kuch mahinon se 1.0600 aur 1.0900 ke darmiyan ek tang range mein chal rahi hai. Lekin yahan par zaroori hai ke hum apna guard neeche na lein, kyun ke jald hi is se bahar nikalne ka rasta niklega, aur shayad yeh kafi mazboot aur recoilless bhi ho sakta hai.

Chalo EURUSD currency pair ko dobara dekhte hain - H4 chart. Kal aur aaj ek upward correction hui, jo growth signal use kiye gaye MACD aur CCI indicators se process ho rahi hai. In par bullish divergence form hui - jo growth ke liye ek strong signal hai. Lekin general trend ab bhi downward hai, wave structure apna order downward build kar rahi hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, halan ke wo apni signal line ke upar grow kar rahi hai. Growth ke doran, price horizontal resistance level 1.0730 tak pohanchi aur yahan sellers aur buyers ke darmiyan struggle hai, aap dekh sakte hain ke rebound candle neeche thi, lekin buyers level ko overcome karne ki koshish karte hue pressure dal rahe hain. Agar wo kamiyab ho jate hain, to growth shayad najdi ki downward line tak continue kare jo waves ke tops ke sath build hui hai. General tor par, sellers ka advantage hai. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par superimpose karein, to aap ek potential downward target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8, jo significant low 1.0600 par located hai, levels practically coincide karte hain. Yeh low daily rally ka aghaz hai jo mid-April mein shuru hui thi.

Bilkul, yahan news bhi ek role play kar sakti hai. 12:00 Moscow time par Eurozone mein Consumer Price Index (CPI) release hua, jisne price ko koi khas asar nahi diya. Eurogroup meeting jaari hai. 15:30 Moscow time par - USA mein Basic index of retail sales, Control of retail sales, aur Volume of retail sales release honge. 16:15 par - USA mein industrial production annual aur monthly terms mein release hogi
Aaj hum 1.0739 level ka breakdown dekh sakte hain, jo ek buying opportunity ka signal dega. Agar price 1.0744 mark ke upar breakdown karke confidently consolidate ho jati hai, to yeh medium term mein mazeed growth ko confirm karega. Agar exchange rate 1.0849 ke upar break karke consolidate ho jata hai, to yeh buying continue karne ka additional signal dega. Growth likely hai ke aaj ke possible downward correction ke baad resume ho. Agar 1.0849 ke upar breakdown aur consolidation hota hai, to yeh mazeed buying ki ijazat dega aur positions par profit increase karega. Agar 1.0824 level break karke consolidate hota hai, to yeh market mein rate increase ke liye entry ka signal dega. Breakdown aur consolidation above 1.0819 aaj long positions ko boost karne ke liye ek crucial benchmark hoga.

Chart analysis EUR/USD pair ke liye downtrend ko confirm karti hai, jahan Moving Average period 119 bearish direction indicate karta hai. Zig-zag indicator dikhata hai ke sellers buyers par dominate kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend persist karega. Intraday trading ke liye, 1.0719 se sell karna advisable hai, jahan profit targets 1.0679 aur 1.0639 par set kiye ja sakte hain, aur stop loss 1.0749 par u jaye

Federal Reserve, interest rates ko kam karne ka mufakirah kar raha hai, lekin unhein mukhtalif mahino tak girte hue mahino ki mustaqil shahdat ki zaroorat hai. Halankay disinflation ka process haal hi mein qayam kar diya gaya hai pehle saal mein rukawat ke baad, lekin Fed afisaar jaldi rates ko kam karne se bachte hain, jo ke mustaqil inflationary dabao ko phir se jala sakte hain. Is ma'ashray mein, pound sterling ko US dollar ke mukhtalif muqami resistance level 1.2700 se agay barqarar rakhna mushkil ho raha hai. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke ird gird farokht dabao ka zikar, GBP/USD pair ke qareebi muddat mein trend ke baray mein ghair yaqeeni ishaaraat dete hain. Magar, pound 50-day EMA par mazboot taayeed hasil kar raha hai jo ke 1.2670 par hai, aur 1.2667 par, yeh 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko qaim rakhta hai, jo ke March 8 ko 1.2900 se lekar April 22 ko 1.2300 tak calculate kiya gaya hai. 14-muddat Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 40.00 aur 60.00 ke darmiyan idhar udhar hai, ooper ki raftar mein rukawat ki nishandahi karti hai. Tuesday ke London session mein, pound sterling US dollar ke khilaf 1.2700 ke ahem resistance ko guzarte waqt farokht dabao ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh dabao tab paida hota hai jab US dollar chand hafton ki unchaai ke baad mukhtalif muqami currencies ke saath meghaari milti hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ko chhe mukhtalif currencies ke saath muqabla karta hai, 105.00 ke upar hai, jo Federal Reserve afisaaron ke musalsal izhaar ki taqwiyat se faraham kiya gaya hai ke qayam ke saal ke intehaas tak interest rate cuts ko taakhir di jaye.

Is natijay mein, GBP/USD pair dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, jis ka asal wajah US dollar ke mazbooti hai mojooda ma'ashi mahol mein se. Federal Reserve ke taqwiyat se, jis ka izhaar kiya gaya hai ke kam interest rate cuts ki umeedain kam hai, iske saath hi UK mein dhimi maqami namiyaish bhi, is se pound par neeche ki dabao pad rahi hai. Tehnically, GBP/USD currency pair ke sath rukawat ka saamna hai, jahan daam baar baar 1.28 ke nishaan ko guzar nahi pa raha, jo ke bullish traders mein ihtiyaat ki nishandahi hai, khaaskar ke UK ke qawmi elections july mein nazdeek hain. Jab tak kisi ahem farokht ka huwa nahi hai, analysts kisi iqraar se pehle action lene ki ihtiyaat ki naseehat dete hain. GBP/USD mein aik qabil-e-tawajjo nuqta taqreeban 1.2755-1.2750 hai, agar daam mazeed girne lage to 1.2715-1.2710 range waqtan-fa-waqt mustiqil itmenan faraham kar sakta hai. Ek gehri girawat GBP/USD ko qareebi 100-day SMA taayeed ke taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke hali mein 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb maujood hai. Is level ke neeche ek aghraz ko mazbooti mil sakti hai jo ke pound ke liye pahli qataar hai. Mazeed taayeed ko 1.2598 ke ird gird dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke january aur march mein mustaqil thi. Agar yeh rukawat tor di jati hai, to daam february ke low 1.2517 ki taraf gir sakta hai. Kul mila kar, haal ki pound ki taqat mojooda halat mein phir se kamzor nazar aati hai ek nayi.

hafte EUR/USD currency pair ne kafi utar chadhav dekha, jise kehte hain ke exchange rate mein khaasi hifazat hui. Jumme ke din, ye pair ek aham chhe hafton ki kamzori pe pohanch gaya, jab ye 1.0680 tak gir gaya. Ye pehle ke mukable mein kafi girawat thi, jab ye 1.0950 tak tha. Is tezi se girne ke bawajood, EUR/USD ne US market session ke doran thodi bahut recovery dikhayi. Trading week ke khatam hone tak, ye pair thoda upar 1.0760 level pe tha, jo ke pehle ke mukable mein thodi si wapsi thi Kayi factors ne is hafte EUR/USD exchange rate ki volatility mein hissa dala. Macroeconomic indicators aur geopolitical developments ne currency pair ki movement ko drive kiya. Hafte ke aghaz mein euro ne relative strength dikhayi, jab ye 1.0950 ke qareeb trading kar raha tha. Magar, jaise jaise hafta guzarta gaya, momentum mein kafi tabdeeli aayi Euro ki initial strength ke peeche ka sabab Eurozone se aayi positive economic data thi. Ahem indicators jaise ke GDP growth, industrial production, aur employment numbers ne ye zahir kiya ke Eurozone ki economy umeed se behtar kar rahi thi. Ye economic resilience ne investor confidence ko mazid mazboot kiya, jo ke euro ki US dollar ke mukable mein strength ka sabab bana
Dosri taraf, US dollar mixed economic reports ki wajah se pressure mein tha. Kuch data ne robust economic activity ko highlight kiya, magar kuch indicators ne potential headwinds ka ishara diya. Misal ke taur pe, consumer sentiment aur retail sales ke reports ne cautious consumer behavior ko zahir kiya, jo ke economic growth ki sustainability ke hawale se concerns paida kar raha tha

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

EURUSD currency pair ne early support level 1.0713 ka retest karne ke baad strength gain karna shuru kar diya. Buyers ne Asian decline ka 1/2 absorb kar liya hai aur ab expected resistance level 1.0738 ki taraf dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers euro ko 1.0738 ke neeche rakhne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price wapas 1.0713 level par aayegi aur is level ko break karne ki koshish karegi aur agla barrier 1.0694 ki taraf descent continue karegi. Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar 30-minute candle 1.0738 level ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh upper side 1.0760 ka raasta khol degi. Agar local maximum 1.0760 ka range breakout hota hai, toh growth further continue kar sakti hai. Agar 1.0760 level ka breakdown hota hai, toh yeh ek signal hoga buy karne ka. Jab hum 1.0760 mark ke upar ek breakout aur confident consolidation dekhte hain, toh yeh medium term mein further growth ko confirm karega. Rate mein further increase, 1.0850 level ke upar ek breakdown aur consolidation ke sath, additional signal provide karega continue buying ka. Shayad aaj hume 1.0715 tak ek correction mile aur wahan se growth continue ho. 1.0850 level ka breakdown aur uske consolidation se additional purchases open karne aur positions par profit increase karne ka mauka milega. Agar 1.0820 ka breakdown aur uske upar consolidation hota hai, toh yeh market mein enter karne ka signal hoga rate ko increase karne ke liye. 1.0830 level ka breakdown aur uske upar consolidation long positions ko increase karne ke liye ek key benchmark banega.

EURUSD Analysis

Aapka din acha guzre! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel upward turn ho raha hai, jo indicate karta hai buyers ki koshishon ko jo level 1.07228 tak grow karna chahte hain. Yeh ek mauka hai buy karne ka. Beshak, yeh behtar hota agar H1 linear regression channel bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hota. Isliye, main ehtiyaat se purchases karunga. Main channel ke lower edge 1.07092 se buy karunga. Main sales ko control mein rakhta hoon jo 1.07092 se neeche ja sakti hain aur agar consolidation hota hai, toh main buying rokun ga. H1 trend ke along sales continue hone ki high probability hai. Buyer sirf level 1.07228 ko work out karne ki koshish nahi karega, balki uspe mazbooti se foothold banane ki koshish karega taake trend ko apni direction mein reverse kar sake. Agar usme kamiyabi hoti hai, toh woh buying continue kar sakta hai.

Hourly chart dekhte hue, main observe karta hoon ke linear regression channel downwards direct ho raha hai, aur yeh mere liye M15 se zyada important hai. Yeh matlab hai ke bears strong hain, aur yeh fact ke M15 chart par signal buy karne ka dera hai, yeh market mein ek strong buyer ki maujoodgi dikhata hai. Aapko price ka intezar sahi jagah par karna chahiye aur wahan se sell ka mauka dekhna chahiye. Jis jagah se main sales dekhoon ga woh channel ke upper border 1.07228 hai, jahan se mujhe channel ke lower border 1.06435 tak sell karna chahiye. Agar target level break hota hai, toh mazeed decline expect kiya ja sakta hai, lekin zyada likely yeh hoga ke ek correction ke baad upside hoga, kyun ke bearish move complete ho chuki hogi aur bulls apni movement restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar level 1.07228 bulls ke through pass hota hai, yeh ek sign hai bullish interest ka, jahan sales unprofitable ho jati hain, isliye unko cancel karke market situation ko dobara assess karna hoga.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko apni downward movement ko continue kiya, jab kuch din pehle isne 1.0757 level se bounce kiya aur phir se is level ko test kiya. Is tarah, humne ek smooth downturn dekha aur price ne critical line ke neeche consolidate kiya. Ek downtrend line bhi form hui, jo market ki mojooda situation ko show karti hai. Aam tor par, hume EUR/USD pair ke baare mein koi sawaal nahi hai. Shayad iska performance best nahi hai, lekin iski recent movements logical aur consistent rahi hain. Euro do mahine se ek bullish correction se guzar raha hai, jo hume lagta hai ke zyada lamba ho gaya hai. Lekin, global downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur ab resume ho gaya hai. Pair mazbooti se neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, gradual pace par.

Kal, bohot kam significant macroeconomic releases the. Hum sirf US ke reports ko highlight kar sakte hain jo building permits issued aur number of housing starts par the. Dono reports expected se thori better nikli, jo dollar ke liye ek nayi upward movement ko trigger kar sakti thi. Aam tor par, aane wale hafton mein, pair ek bullish correction se guzar sakta hai, jisme price trend line ko surpass kar sakta hai, kyun ke euro ko high volatility experience karna nahi jaana jata. Lekin, filhal, yeh contingency plan hai.

Kal, Kijun-sen line ke ird gird chaar trading signals form hue. Din ke dauran downward movement ke bawajood, volatility aam tor par weak thi. Shuru mein, pair ne critical line se do martaba rebound kiya, phir ise exceed kiya aur neeche se rebound kiya. Dono cases mein price 15 pips bhi nahi gir saki. Weak movements ko note karein, signal ki strength important nahi hai. Lekin, aaj, agar price critical line ke neeche rehti hai to traders short positions ko hold kar sakte hain.

one hour chart par, EUR/USD ne ek nayi downward trend form karni shuru kar di hai, jo global trend ka hissa hai. Jaise pehle, hum expect karte hain ke single currency giray gi. Iss waqt, pair ek technical correction se guzar raha hai, aur yeh shayad already complete ho chuka hai. Volatility phir se absolute lows par aa gayi hai, jo analysis aur trading ko mushkil bana rahi hai. Bullish correction kaafi waqt tak chal sakta hai, lekin sellers ke paas abhi support line trend line hai
Main abhi potential selling opportunities par focus kar raha hoon. Yeh opportunities ya to Euro ke resistance level 1.0765 tak rebound hone se ya phir support level 1.0692 ke breakdown se mil sakti hain. Seedhi baat mein, US economic data weak tha, lekin US dollar phir bhi mazboot hua. Euro ka kamzor rehna mumkin hai jab tak ke aanewale data US economy ke liye positive signs na dikhaye. Main buying decisions lene se pehle market direction ka wait kar raha hoon, lekin potential selling opportunities Euro ke specific resistance aur support levels ki taraf move hone par samne aa sakti hain.

Mai ne apni subah ki tajwez mai 1.0710 ke darje ko nazar andaz kiya aur is par daleelat par faislay karne ka irada kiya. Chalo 5-minute chart dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ke waha kya hua. Is darje par sahi tarah ka niche ki taraf ka harkat abhi tak paida nahi hui thi jab tajwez likha gaya. Dasti taur par umeed hai ke Euro ki behtareen rukawat aur trend ke sath aur bechani ka nateeja hai. Taubaar 1.0710 ke darje ke aas paas ka masla yeh dikha raha hai. Naakidgar market ko niche le jane wale koi farokht karne wale bhi nahi the. Chalo dekhte hain ke US mein doosre nisf mein Empire Manufacturing Index kya dikhata hai aur sunte hain ke FOMC ke rukne ke log John Williams aur Patrick T. Harker kya kehte hain. Siyasi karwai karne wale ka phir se Euro par dabao layega, jis ka mujhe faida uthana hai. 1.0675 ke aas paas girne aur ghalat tootne ka moqa aik munasib dakhil darja hoga lambi pozishanat ke liye jis ka maqsad dobara 1.0710 ka imtihan karna hai - aik rukawat darja jo ab tak tod nahi gaya hai. Is hadd tak tor kar aur is range ke upar basne se jora mazboot hoga jis ke imkanat 1.0743 ke ilaqe tak barhne ke hain. Sab se dooor ka nishana 1.0783 inteha hogi, jahan se mai munafa uthaonga. Is darje ko imtihan karna bazaar ko wapas balance kar dega. Agar EUR/USD gir raha hai aur doosre nisf mein din ke daur mein 1.0675 ke aas paas koi fa'aliyat nahi hai, to joda pe dabaao nihayat barh jayega, naye girne ki taraf le jata. Is maamle mein, mai sirf ek doosre sahara par ghalat tootne ke baad dakhil honga 1.0642 ke naye sahara par. Mai dakhil karne ka irada karta hoon seedha 1.0601 se oonch karne ka maqsad aik upward correction ke 30-35 point ke andar din ke daur mein.


EUR/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:
Farokht karne wale apni mojoodgi ko mehsoos karwa chuke hain, magar abhi tak koi significant girawat nahi hui, jo aik bari urooj sudhar mein le jaa sakti hai, is liye jab naye faisley lene se ihtiyaat karain. Sirf doosra ghalat tootna 1.0710 par, wohi jo maine upar tajziya kiya, short positions ke liye munasib dakhil darja hoga takreban 1.0675 ke sahara tak mazeed girne ke liye. Is range ko tor kar aur is sahara ko nicha se upar dubara test karne se doosra farokht karne ka ek aur moqa milega aik movement ke sath naye naye kam se 1.0642, jahan mai zyada fa'aliyat umeed karta hoon. Sab se dooor ka nishana 1.0601 minimum hoga, jahan se mai munafa uthaunga. Agar EUR/USD doosre nisf mein din ke daur mein oopar ka rukh le raha hai aur 1.0710 par koi bear nahi hai, to khareedne walon ko peechle Jumma ke nuksan se kuch hisse wapas mil jayega. Is maqam par main farokht ko taakhir karonga jab dobara test karunga agle rukawat par 1.0743. Wahan, main bhi farokht karonga, lekin sirf aik asafal consolidation ke baad. Mai foran 1.0783 se oopar karne ka maqsad aik downward correction ke 30-35 point ke sath dakhil honga

### EUR/USD Analysis

**Time Frame: H4**

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur accha trading!

Jee haan, US labor market statistics ne waqai umda performance dikhayi, aur iske bawajood US dollar thoda gir gaya, jo ke ajeeb hai. Aaj hum "Merlin ballet" ke doosre hissa ka intezar kar rahe hain; aaj dopahar mein US consumer price data publish hone se foreign exchange market mein significant fluctuations ho sakti hain. Federal Reserve System ke taqreeban tamam representatives ne monetary policy ko change karne ke possibility ki baat ki, inflation ka zikar kiya, aur ab woh pehle jitne categorical nahi hain aur do percent ka zikar kam ho gaya hai, balke inflation rates mein slowdown par baat ho rahi hai.



**Technically**, 4-hour chart par situation ambiguous hai. Kal ke baad, prices ne blue moving average ke neeche return kiya, aur ek sharp jump up ke baad, prices consolidation mode mein enter kar gayi hain aur ab dono possibilities par ghoor karna zaroori hai. Ek downward movement ka continuation aur support level 1.0837 ko determine karna, aur ek upward movement ko resume karne ki possibility bhi hai.

Abhi ke liye, mein sirf north ki taraf dekhunga agar 4-hour candle 1.0857 resistance level ke upar close hoti hai. Hum abhi moving average se door nahi hue hain, jo potential breakout ka suggestion deta hai, to mein phir se north ki taraf jaane ka sochoonga, kyunke system ke khilaaf nahi jaa sakte. Kal European Central Bank ka meeting hoga. Interest rates ko wahi level par rakha jayega, lekin comments aayenge, jo pair ko influence kar sakte hain, aur shayad isse strengthen bhi kar sakte hain, kyunke jab Lagarde bolti hain to hamesha growth hoti hai.

EUR/USD ne halki si bullish bias ke saath trade kiya, jabke volatility kam thi. Volatility itni kam thi ke intraday trade karna bekaar lag raha tha. Jab koi movement nahi thi, to koi profit kaise kama sakta hai? Na sirf koi movement thi, na hi koi news reports. Eurozone aur U.S. economic calendars bhi khaamosh the. Is wajah se market ko react karne ka kuch nahi mila aur na hi koi position open karne ka reason
Ek descending channel bana hai, lekin is se sab kuch theek nahi ho jata. Price kuch waqt tak iske boundaries mein reh sakti hai kyunke pair har timeframe par neeche ja raha hai. Abhi euro ke liye girna zyada appealing hai. Traders ko short positions aur sell signals par focus karna chahiye. Saath hi, pair ek ya do hafton tak calmly correct kar sakta hai, kyunke EUR/USD kabhi strong movements ke liye mashhoor nahi raha. 5-minute timeframe par sirf ek trading signal bana. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price 1.0726-1.0733 ke range se accurately bounce hui, uske baad 15 pips chali. Yeh hi woh profit tha jo beginners kama sakte the, kyunke pair ne aage aur movement nahi dikhayi. Yeh bhi noteworthy hai ke ideal buy signal hone ke bawajood, profit bohot chota tha. Masla signals mein nahi, balki market mein movements ke absence mein hai
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne aakhirkar ek local downward trend form kiya. Hum ab bhi expect karte hain ke pair 1.0600, 1.0450, aur shayad 1.0200 ke levels tak drop kare. Magar, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price in targets ko sirf kuch hafton mein nahi pohanchegi; yeh medium-term targets hain. Misal ke taur par, pair ek aur hafta correction phase se guzar sakti hai. Phir bhi, hum medium-term mein euro ke upar jane ka koi reason nahi dekhte
Thursday ko, traders bullish correction ka continuation expect kar sakte hain kyunke price ne 1.0726-1.0733 ke area ko breach kiya hai. Lekin, yeh note karein ke is hafte volatility kam ho sakti hai
5M chart par key levels hain: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Aaj, Eurozone ke economic calendar mein koi khaas baat nahi. U.S. docket par building permits aur initial jobless claims ke secondary reports hain. Hum expect nahi karte ke yeh reports market mein koi strong reaction laayengi

EUR/USD currency pair abhi 1.0532 key level par hover kar raha hai. Ye resistance level four-hour chart par recent trading range ke upper limit ke sath coincide karta hai, jo market ke liye ek potential turning point indicate karta hai. 1.0532 level ek critical barrier ka kaam kar raha hai jise pair overcome karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, aur is level ke aas-paas ki behavior market ke next direction ko determine karne mein crucial hogi. Kal ka trading session relatively quiet tha, aur prices zyada change nahi hui. Is lack of movement ka sabab kisi major economic news release ka na hona tha, jo aksar market volatility ko drive karta hai. Naye data ya events ke baghair jo market sentiment ko influence kar sakein, traders ne wait-and-see approach adopt ki, jis se limited price action dekhne ko mili.

Magar, aaj ka din zyada active hone ka waada karta hai jab US market open hogi, jo ke American side se ek significant amount of economic data le aayegi. Ye influx of data EUR/USD pair ke direction ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. Key economic indicators, jaise employment figures, inflation data, ya Federal Reserve officials ke statements, market expectations ko interest rates aur economic outlooks ke hawale se badal sakte hain. Agar incoming US economic data expected se zyada strong hui, to ye US dollar ko bolster kar sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal sakti hai aur ise 1.0532 resistance level se door push kar sakti hai. Conversely, agar data expected se weak hui, to ye dollar ko weaken kar sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko resistance se upar break karne aur apni upward movement continue karne ka impetus de sakti hai.

**EUR/USD H4 Time Frame Chart Analysis**

**Downtrend Formation**
Yesterday, sellers established a downtrend in the EUR/USD pair. They breached the critical level of 1.07090, disrupting the local ascending pattern and signaling further price declines. If the pair consolidates below 1.07067, the next downside targets are projected at 1.06854 and 1.06666.

**Conditions for Upside Movement**
For a reversal and continuation of the upward movement, buyers must surpass and maintain above the level of 1.07608. Achieving this would set a target for further gains towards 1.08517. However, the current trend favors selling, given the prevailing downtrend.

**Bollinger Bands Analysis**
On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD retraced to the central zone of the Bollinger Bands. The bands themselves are positioned horizontally. To confirm a strong signal for either upward or downward movement, a decisive breakout beyond one of the bands is awaited. The reaction of the bands—whether they expand or show no response—will be crucial in evaluating market direction.

**Fractal Analysis**
Recent developments show a new downward fractal, indicating a target for price decline. Breaking below and consolidating this fractal would likely propel prices towards the June 17 fractal level at 1.06854. Meanwhile, the absence of a nearby upward fractal suggests waiting for new formation to gauge potential upward movements.

**AO Indicator Insight**
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) hovers near the zero mark, offering limited signals. A significant move in AO, either into positive or negative territory, would provide a clearer indication of price direction, potentially hinting at momentum towards zero.

This analysis emphasizes the current downtrend bias in EUR/USD, suggesting a cautious approach favoring selling until clearer signals for potential reversals or continuations emerge.