Eur/gbp

EUR/GBP

Kal EUR/GBP mein, gap closure ke baad price impulsively north ki taraf push hoti rahi, jis se ek complete bullish candle bani jo peechle din ke range ko poori tarah engulf kar gayi. Pehle bhi mention kiya gaya tha ke is instrument ke liye main gap fill anticipate kar raha hoon aur is case mein main resistance level ko hold karne par focus karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Mere analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 0.84836 aur 0.84994 par located hain. In resistance levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain.



Pehla scenario involve karta hai reversal candle ki formation aur southern movement ka resumption. Agar yeh plan play out karta hai, to main price ke support level 0.82298 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Agar price is level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to main further downward movement expect karunga, jo ke support level 0.83972 tak ja sakta hai. Is support level ke qareeb, main trading setup ki formation expect karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madadgar hogi. Bilkul, main yeh bhi consider karta hoon ke price mazeed south push ho sakti hai support level 0.83397 ki taraf, lekin yeh situation par depend karta hai aur price ka designated further southern targets par kaise react karne par.

Alternative scenario for price movement jab resistance level 0.84994 ya resistance level 0.84836 ke qareeb aaye, to plan hoga price ka in levels ke upar consolidate hona aur further north move karna. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 0.85405 ki taraf advance kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main reversal candle ki formation ka intezar karunga aur downward price movement ka resumption, within the framework of forming a global southern trend.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye, main locally anticipate karta hoon ke price north ki taraf push karte hue nearest resistance level tak jaye, aur wahan se, main bearish signals ka intezar karunga, southern trend ke within downward price movement ka resumption expect karte hue.

EUR/GBP currency pair

EUR/GBP currency pair ab aik ahem nukaat par hai. May ke akhri hafte mein lambe arsay ke trading range se bahar nikalnay ke baad, Euro ne numaya giravat ka saamna kiya hai. Is giravat ne Euro ko kai ahem support levels se neechay le jana hai, jis se traders aur analysts mein pareshaniyan peda ho rahi hain.

May ke akhri hafte mein Euro ne British Pound ke khilaf lambe arsay ke trading range se bahar nikal kar taqat ka ahsaas dilaya tha. Is breakout ko shuru mein ek musbat taraqqi ka nishana samjha gaya tha, jo ke Euro ke mazeed izafay ki taraf ishara kar raha tha. Magar is tawaqo ke khilaaf, currency ne us waqt se mustaqil giravat ka samna kar raha hai.

Euro ke haalat ke peechay kayi wajohat hain. Eurozone se aaiye economic data mixed rahe hain, jin mein se kuch indicators taizi mein girawat ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Mahangai bhi aik muzmar masla hai, jo sastaai quwat ko kamzor kar rahi hai aur consumer confidence ko ghata rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties bhi hain, khaas tor par Ukraine mein jari jang se mutaliq, jo market ki pareshaniyon ko barhata hai.

Dosri taraf, British Pound ne relative tor par mazbooti dikhayi hai. UK ki economic recovery, challenges ke bawajood, Eurozone ke muqablay mein zyada mustahkam rahi hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy stance bhi hawkish rahi hai, jis mein mahangai ko kam karne ke liye interest rate mein izafa ki sambhavnaat hain. Eurozone aur UK ke economic fundamentals aur monetary policy outlooks ke is farq ne Euro ke Pound ke khilaf kamzori mein izafa kiya hai.

Technical analysis bhi Euro ki pareshaniyon ko wazeh karti hai. Currency pair ke halat ne nedayshional channel banaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko ishara karta hai. Momentum indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), oversold conditions ka ishara de rahay hain. Magar sirf oversold conditions aik reversal ko shuru karne ke liye kafi nahi hain. Traders ko bullish stance se pehle resistance levels ke tor par break ya market sentiment mein tabdeeli jaise doosre confirmation signals ke liye nazar rakhni hogi.

Agay dekhte hue, Euro ke maamlay mein uski kismat Pound ke khilaf anay wale economic data releases aur central bank ke faislay par munhasir ho sakta hai. Eurozone ke economic outlook mein sudhar ke kisi bhi nishan ya Bank of England ki dovish shift Euro ke liye raahat ka zariah sabit ho sakta hai. Is ke mukhalif, economic indicators mein mazeed kharabi ya Bank of England ki hawkish steps Euro ke liye giravat ko mazeed barha sakti hain.

Mukhtasir mein, EUR/GBP currency pair aik ahem nukaat par hai. Euro ne late May mein lambe arsay ke trading range se bahar nikalne ke baad shuru mein mazeed izafay ki ummid dilaai thi. Magar baad mein giravat ka trend aur key support levels ke tor par breach ne market ki tawajjo ko badal diya hai. Traders ab economic data aur central bank actions ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain taaki is currency pair ke future direction ko samajh sakein. Jab tak halat tayyar hotay hain, EUR/GBP pair market participants ke liye ek focal point rahega jo economic aur geopolitical factors ke complex interplay mein safar kar raha hai.

EUR/GBP currency pair ne haal hi mein bohot tez decline dekha hai, jab ke is saal zyada tar narrow trading range mein stuck raha hai. Yeh lack of movement market participants ki indecision ko suggest karta hai, lekin recent breakout downside ki taraf sentiment shift ko indicate karta hai. Agle kuch dinon mein Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka release ek bohot bara event ho sakta hai jo EUR/GBP exchange rate ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. CPI data Eurozone mein inflation ko measure karta hai, jo central banks ke liye ek key factor hai jab woh monetary policy set karte hain. Agar actual CPI data expected 2.6% rise se zyada hota hai, toh yeh signal hoga ke inflation accelerate kar rahi hai. Yeh European Central Bank (ECB) ko apni monetary policy ko tighten karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jisme interest rates ko pehle se zyada jaldi barhane ka decision shamil hai. Eurozone mein higher interest rates Euro ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana sakti hain, jo Euro ke British Pound ke against appreciation ko lead kar sakta hai.

Magar, CPI data ka EUR/GBP exchange rate par impact guaranteed nahi hai. Market shayad already higher inflation ke kuch expectations ko price kar chuki ho, aur actual data release non-event ban sakti hai. Iske ilawa, doosre factors, jaise ke political uncertainty ya global risk sentiment, bhi currency pair ko influence kar sakte hain. EUR/GBP currency pair ne ek price gap form kiya hai. Yeh chart par woh area hai jahan kisi specific price level par koi trades nahi hue. Traders ke beech ek saying hai ke "gaps love to be filled," jo matlab hai ke prices gap ko close karne ke liye 0.8472 aur 0.8490 ke darmiyan wapas rise kar sakti hain. Overall, EUR/GBP ka short-term direction uncertain hai. Jab ke kuch short-term bounce ke signs hain, prevailing downtrend aur different timeframes par bearish sentiment yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh correction temporary ho sakta hai. Price easily apne gains ko give up kar sakta hai aur apni downward trajectory ko resume kar sakta hai.

Mojooda surat haal mein, position ne 100 muddat sada asaan moving average zone ke neeche bhi gir gayi hai. Euro currency phir se kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke market ko farokhton ke dabaw mein daal rahi hai. Mahine ke darmiyan ke trading daur mein, keemat farokht karne walon ke ikhtiyar mein girte hain ya un par qaboo rakhte hain. Pehle market ne lambi dair tak bullish taraf jaane ka izhar kiya. Lekin mid-May ke daur mein dakhil hone ke baad, mombatti ko izafa jari rakhne mein nakaam hua aur manfi taraf par daur ki taraf bhagne ki koshish shuru ki. Agar aap maqami halaat ko pichle kuch dinon se dekhte hain, to aap dekh sakte hain ke 100 muddat sada asaan moving average zone ko paar karne se pehle, farokht karne walon ka qaboo shuru hone ka ishara hai ke unka ikhtiyar mazboot ho raha hai. Agar aap pichle haftay ke market ke trend ko dekhte hain jo ke ek downtrend mein daal sakta tha, to is ke baad neeche ki taraf chalne ka trend lambi muddat tak jaari reh sakta hai ya phir yeh keh sakte hain ke is haftay bhi market ki surat-e-haal ko chalne ka koi moqa hai ke manfi tarika. Pichle haftay ke market ki halaat jo ke 0.8554 par band hui, 4 ghanton ke time period se, yeh dikhaya ke farokht karne walay market ko control mein rakhne mein mustadiq the, keemat ko kam kar rahe hain. Aaj tak mombatti ne abhi bhi zahir kiya ke halki phalai ke sath girne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo 100 muddat sada asaan moving average line ke neeche ikhtiyar mein qaim rehti hai.

Weekly chart par 0.8460 par local support level ko test karne ke baad, keemat ne palat kar ek turning candle banaya jo khareedari ki taraf ishara kar raha tha aur purane weekly range ko poori tarah se absorb kar liya euro/pound par. Aane waale hafte mein keemat is upward movement ko jari rakhegi, mojooda signals ke combination ke karan. 0.8430 par local resistance level upward movement ka reference point hoga. Is resistance level ke aas paas ke situation do tarah se viksit ho sakti hai. Pehla scenario hai ke price is resistance level ke upar fix ho jaye aur aage badhe. Agar yeh plan safal hota hai, to main 0.8590 par local resistance level tak keemat ke badhne ka intezar karunga. Is ke saath hi, main is resistance level ke qareeb trading setup ke banne ka bhi nazar rakhunga, jo future mein trade ke direction ko tay karne mein madad karega. Agar 0.8410 se palatne wala candle current level par 0.8410 se banega, to price 0.8410 par vapas jana chahiye, jo local support level hai. Is support level par ek turning candle ban sakta hai aur upward movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai.

Kal, EUR/GBP pair ne thodi si northward retracement ke baad, price reverse hui aur ek strong bearish impulse ne usay niche push kiya, jisse ek full bearish candle form hui jo ke dobara se local support level, jo ke 0.84993 par located hai, ke qareeb close hui. Aaj, Asian session ke dauran, buyers apni lost positions ko kaafi confidently recover kar rahe hain, lekin aage significant news flow bhi hai, is liye dekhna zaroori hoga ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai. General taur par, aaj main designated support level 0.84993 aur support level 0.84923 ko monitor karta rahunga, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq hain
In support levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle form ho aur upward price movement dobara se resume ho. Agar yeh plan successful hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price wapas resistance level 0.85405 par aaye. Agar price is resistance level ke upar settle ho jati hai, to main expect karunga ke further northward movement ho, jo ke resistance level 0.85679 ya resistance level 0.85862 tak ja sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo future trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karegi.



Yeh bhi possible hai ke price aur door ke northward targets ko reach kare, jo ke 0.86205 aur 0.86447 par located hain meri analysis ke mutabiq, lekin yeh situation aur price ka reaction in designated distant northward targets par depend karega. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke aaj ke testing ke dauran price support level 0.84993 ya support level 0.84923 ke neeche settle ho jati hai aur southward movement continue karti hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 0.83397 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko search karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement dobara se resume ho, lekin ek correction framework ke within, kyunki pehle signs of the emergence of a global southern trend nazar aa rahe hain
Agar brief mein baat ki jaye, to aaj locally kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar nearest support levels ke qareeb ek clear reversal candle combination form hoti hai, to main growth aur price movement ke resumption ko nearest resistance levels ki taraf expect karunga