GBP/USD currency pair kal kaafi achi tarah se gir gayi US ke labor market statistics ki wajah se. Halaanke America mein unemployment rate barh gaya, market ne is par positively react kiya employment changes in the non-agricultural sector ki wajah se, jo significantly decrease hui thi. Lekin, itne sharp aur strong collapse ke baad, prices se expect kiya jana chahiye ke north ki taraf kam az kam ek correction ho, aur H4 aur upar ke trend upward rehta hai, to advantage buyers ke side pe hoga. Weekend aa gaya hai, aur traders ke paas market analyze karne ka bohot waqt hai.
H4 chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, local minimum 1.2300 se rebound ke baad, GBP/USD pair north ki taraf ur gayi aur ek confident upward price channel form hua, jismein do growth waves draw hui, aur main second wave of corrective decline ka intezar kar raha tha, jo humein kal upper border of the northern channel ke 1.2800 level se rebound ke baad dekhne ko mili. Price 1.2720 level tak gir gayi, jo mere forecast ke mutabiq 1.2700 tak girne ki thi. Haan, hum predicted levels se thoda kam rah gaye, lekin overall, mere forecasts pura hue. Technically, support line tak nahi pohncha, iska matlab yeh hai ke market open hone par main expect karta hoon ke decline lower border of the channel tak 1.2700 level se ho, jahan se main ek aur rebound aur northern channel ke andar upward trend ka continuation expect kar raha hoon.
Haftay ke end tak, GBP/USD pair finally south ki taraf turn kar gayi; ek reversal expect tha. Lekin yeh reversal Friday se pehle hi expect tha; resultantly, sirf kal hi woh turn kar paye, resistance 1.2860 ke towards growth continue karne ka idea chhod diya. Pair ka bhi reversal expect tha, aur kal overall downside ki taraf wait kar raha tha 1.2750 support ke breakdown ke sath. Lekin breakout ke baad, main 1.2680 tak girne ki umeed nahi kar raha tha aur socha tha ke hum decline 1.2700 ke aas paas complete karenge, jo almost ho gaya; hum south ki taraf figure se bahar nahi nikle, lekin main apne orders ko profit par pehle hi close kar chuka tha, almost immediately 1.2750 support ke breakdown par.
Mujhe lagta hai ke pair naye hafta se start karegi, ya rather Friday ko start kiya gaya decline continue karegi aur support 1.2680 tak pohnchne ki koshish karegi, yahan se main rollback assume karunga resistance 1.2750 ki taraf, jahan main ek reversal aur naye impulse ke sath decline ka ek naya cycle expect kar raha hoon 1.2680 ke breakdown ke sath, jo fall ko continue karne dega support 1.2570 tak aur yeh mid-term reversal ka matlab ho ga. Lekin, agar 1.2750 resistance test karte waqt, pair resistance ko break kar leti hai aur uske upar consolidate kar leti hai, toh main pair ke liye reversal aur growth assume karunga, sirf 1.2860 tak nahi, pair yahan tak pohnchkar break through kar sakti hai lekin koi bhi pullback ke bina momentum nahi mila 1.3000 tak.
H4 chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, local minimum 1.2300 se rebound ke baad, GBP/USD pair north ki taraf ur gayi aur ek confident upward price channel form hua, jismein do growth waves draw hui, aur main second wave of corrective decline ka intezar kar raha tha, jo humein kal upper border of the northern channel ke 1.2800 level se rebound ke baad dekhne ko mili. Price 1.2720 level tak gir gayi, jo mere forecast ke mutabiq 1.2700 tak girne ki thi. Haan, hum predicted levels se thoda kam rah gaye, lekin overall, mere forecasts pura hue. Technically, support line tak nahi pohncha, iska matlab yeh hai ke market open hone par main expect karta hoon ke decline lower border of the channel tak 1.2700 level se ho, jahan se main ek aur rebound aur northern channel ke andar upward trend ka continuation expect kar raha hoon.
Haftay ke end tak, GBP/USD pair finally south ki taraf turn kar gayi; ek reversal expect tha. Lekin yeh reversal Friday se pehle hi expect tha; resultantly, sirf kal hi woh turn kar paye, resistance 1.2860 ke towards growth continue karne ka idea chhod diya. Pair ka bhi reversal expect tha, aur kal overall downside ki taraf wait kar raha tha 1.2750 support ke breakdown ke sath. Lekin breakout ke baad, main 1.2680 tak girne ki umeed nahi kar raha tha aur socha tha ke hum decline 1.2700 ke aas paas complete karenge, jo almost ho gaya; hum south ki taraf figure se bahar nahi nikle, lekin main apne orders ko profit par pehle hi close kar chuka tha, almost immediately 1.2750 support ke breakdown par.
Mujhe lagta hai ke pair naye hafta se start karegi, ya rather Friday ko start kiya gaya decline continue karegi aur support 1.2680 tak pohnchne ki koshish karegi, yahan se main rollback assume karunga resistance 1.2750 ki taraf, jahan main ek reversal aur naye impulse ke sath decline ka ek naya cycle expect kar raha hoon 1.2680 ke breakdown ke sath, jo fall ko continue karne dega support 1.2570 tak aur yeh mid-term reversal ka matlab ho ga. Lekin, agar 1.2750 resistance test karte waqt, pair resistance ko break kar leti hai aur uske upar consolidate kar leti hai, toh main pair ke liye reversal aur growth assume karunga, sirf 1.2860 tak nahi, pair yahan tak pohnchkar break through kar sakti hai lekin koi bhi pullback ke bina momentum nahi mila 1.3000 tak.
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