AUD/USD Analysis
Jumeraat ke din spot price mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek pullback dekha gaya, jo kai iktisadi asraat ka nateeja tha. Shuruat mein, yeh pair kaafi umeed afza tha, Australia ke Reserve Bank (RBA) ke hawkish jazbaat aur China, jo Australia ka ahem trade partner hai, se aayi achi inflation data ki wajah se. Taaza update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ka rate lagbhag 0.6814 par trade kar raha tha, jo forex market mein chalti hui volatility ko darshata hai.
Jese-jese investor ka rujhan riskier assets ki taraf shift ho raha hai, spot price ko in dynamics ka faida pohanch raha hai. China se aayi achi inflation data aur RBA ka mustaqbil ke liye stable outlook ne ek aisi surat-e-haal banai hai jahan investors zyada khatarnak currencies, jaise ke AUD, mein interest dikhate hain. Yeh sentiment market ki harkaat aur trading strategies ko influence karta hai, jo forex participants ke liye intehai ahem hai.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:
Taaza iktisadi indicators ek mixed outlook pesh karte hain AUD ke liye. Khaaskar, China ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) July mein 0.5% barh gaya, jo February ke baad se sabse zyada izafa tha. Yeh afzaish khaas tor par ahem hai kyun ke yeh Producer Price Index ke girawat ke baraks hai, jo lagataar 22 months se contract ho raha hai, aur July mein 0.8% gira. Behtar CPI figures ne China mein sakht iktisadi mandi ke khauf ko kam kiya hai. Aur jab ke US mein mandi ka khauf kam ho raha hai, yeh surat-e-haal investor confidence ko barhawa de rahi hai aur USD ke safe-haven ki appeal ko kamzor kar rahi hai.
RBA ne faiz ki sharah ko barqarar rakha hai, aur monetary policy mein ehtiyaat se kaam lene ka irada zahir kiya hai. Bank ne yeh bhi kaha ke "koi bhi imkaan rad nahi kiya ja sakta," jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke woh inflation ke risks ke hawalay se hoshiar hain. Yeh ehtiyaat ka rawaya market ko yeh paigham deta hai ke RBA policy reversals ke liye jaldbazi nahi kar raha, jo AUD ki stability aur mustaqbil ke rujhan ke hawalay se perceptions ko asar andaz kar sakta hai.
Chaar-Ghantey ka Technical Outlook:
Pair recovery ke ache asaar dikha raha hai. Agar price 0.6840 ke level se upar break karta hai, toh yeh bullish continuation ko confirm karega aur target lagbhag 0.6870 ke aas-paas hoga, jo ke 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 50-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Yeh major moving averages mukhtasir muddat mein resistance ka kaam kar sakti hain, jo mazeed gains ko rok sakta hai.
Taaza price action chaar-ghantey ke chart par rising peaks aur troughs ka aik naya silsila zahir kar raha hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye ek short-term uptrend ka indication hai.
Mashhoor maqola "the trend is your friend" is baat ko wazeh karta hai ke is uptrend ke mazeed barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. August mein jo lows dekhe gaye, un se
recovery yeh zahir karti hai ke AUD/USD pair ne apna pehla downtrend reverse kar diya hai, aur yeh ab mazeed upward movement ke liye tayar hai.
Jumeraat ke din spot price mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek pullback dekha gaya, jo kai iktisadi asraat ka nateeja tha. Shuruat mein, yeh pair kaafi umeed afza tha, Australia ke Reserve Bank (RBA) ke hawkish jazbaat aur China, jo Australia ka ahem trade partner hai, se aayi achi inflation data ki wajah se. Taaza update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ka rate lagbhag 0.6814 par trade kar raha tha, jo forex market mein chalti hui volatility ko darshata hai.
Jese-jese investor ka rujhan riskier assets ki taraf shift ho raha hai, spot price ko in dynamics ka faida pohanch raha hai. China se aayi achi inflation data aur RBA ka mustaqbil ke liye stable outlook ne ek aisi surat-e-haal banai hai jahan investors zyada khatarnak currencies, jaise ke AUD, mein interest dikhate hain. Yeh sentiment market ki harkaat aur trading strategies ko influence karta hai, jo forex participants ke liye intehai ahem hai.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:
Taaza iktisadi indicators ek mixed outlook pesh karte hain AUD ke liye. Khaaskar, China ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) July mein 0.5% barh gaya, jo February ke baad se sabse zyada izafa tha. Yeh afzaish khaas tor par ahem hai kyun ke yeh Producer Price Index ke girawat ke baraks hai, jo lagataar 22 months se contract ho raha hai, aur July mein 0.8% gira. Behtar CPI figures ne China mein sakht iktisadi mandi ke khauf ko kam kiya hai. Aur jab ke US mein mandi ka khauf kam ho raha hai, yeh surat-e-haal investor confidence ko barhawa de rahi hai aur USD ke safe-haven ki appeal ko kamzor kar rahi hai.
RBA ne faiz ki sharah ko barqarar rakha hai, aur monetary policy mein ehtiyaat se kaam lene ka irada zahir kiya hai. Bank ne yeh bhi kaha ke "koi bhi imkaan rad nahi kiya ja sakta," jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke woh inflation ke risks ke hawalay se hoshiar hain. Yeh ehtiyaat ka rawaya market ko yeh paigham deta hai ke RBA policy reversals ke liye jaldbazi nahi kar raha, jo AUD ki stability aur mustaqbil ke rujhan ke hawalay se perceptions ko asar andaz kar sakta hai.
Chaar-Ghantey ka Technical Outlook:
Pair recovery ke ache asaar dikha raha hai. Agar price 0.6840 ke level se upar break karta hai, toh yeh bullish continuation ko confirm karega aur target lagbhag 0.6870 ke aas-paas hoga, jo ke 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 50-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Yeh major moving averages mukhtasir muddat mein resistance ka kaam kar sakti hain, jo mazeed gains ko rok sakta hai.
Taaza price action chaar-ghantey ke chart par rising peaks aur troughs ka aik naya silsila zahir kar raha hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye ek short-term uptrend ka indication hai.
Mashhoor maqola "the trend is your friend" is baat ko wazeh karta hai ke is uptrend ke mazeed barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. August mein jo lows dekhe gaye, un se
recovery yeh zahir karti hai ke AUD/USD pair ne apna pehla downtrend reverse kar diya hai, aur yeh ab mazeed upward movement ke liye tayar hai.
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