aud/usd

AUD/USD currency pair ko samajhne ke liye un factors ko samajhna zaroori hai jo iski movement ko influence karte hain. Abhi AUD/USD pair 0.6650 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur trend bearish nazar aa raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market sentiment filhaal Australian dollar ke US dollar ke muqable mein girawat ko support kar raha hai.
Bearish trend yeh dikhata hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Iske peeche mukhtalif economic, political, ya market factors ho sakte hain. For example, agar Australian economy ko challenges ka samna hai, jaise ke commodity prices mein girawat, economic growth ka slow hona, ya political instability, to yeh AUD ko kamzor kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, agar US dollar mazboot ho raha hai, jaise ke mazboot economic indicators, Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes, ya geopolitical factors ki wajah se, to yeh AUD/USD ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakte hain.

Lekin, agle kuch dinon mein AUD/USD pair mein significant movement ki prediction karna thodi gehri analysis ka taqaza karta hai, jisme kuch catalysts ka zikar zaroori hai jo volatility ko drive kar sakte hain. Kuch factors jo is trend mein tabdeeli la sakte hain, woh yeh hain:

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Dono Australia aur US ke economic indicators, jaise employment reports, GDP growth, inflation rates, aur trade balances, AUD/USD pair par bara asar daal sakte hain. For example, agar US ka employment report strong aata hai ya Australia ka economic data weak hota hai, to yeh volatility ko barha sakta hai aur trend mein reversal la sakta hai.

2. **Central Bank Policies**: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve ke faislay AUD/USD pair ko influence karte hain. Agar RBA interest rates cut karta hai ya dovish stance leta hai, to AUD mazid kamzor ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar Federal Reserve hawkish stance signal karta hai ya interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD mazboot hoga aur pair ke movement par asar daalega.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Global events jaise trade negotiations, geopolitical tensions, aur global economic conditions ki tabdeeli bhi currency movements ko affect karti hain. For instance, Australia ke trade relations mein koi naya development ya global risk sentiment mein shift AUD/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hai.

4. **Market Sentiment aur Speculation**: Traders ke perceptions aur speculative actions bhi kaafi price movements ka sabab bante hain. Agar market participants kisi economic condition ya central bank policy mein tabdeeli ko anticipate karte hain, to trading activity barh jati hai aur AUD/USD pair mein volatility nazar aa sakti hai.

Filhaal ke bearish trend ko dekhte hue, traders ko yeh factors closely monitor karne chahiye taake market mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Technical analysis, jaise support aur resistance levels ko dekhna, trendlines, aur chart patterns, bhi price movements ke hints de sakte hain. Saath hi, global economic developments aur central bank ke announcements par nazar rakhna bhi crucial hoga taake AUD/USD pair mein kisi bhi significant tabdeeli ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Summary mein, halan ke AUD/USD ka trend bearish hai, lekin aise kai factors hain jo agle kuch dinon mein significant movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Traders ko economic data releases, central bank decisions, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein aur apni strategies accordingly adjust kar sakein.
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AUD/USD currency pair ki price movement ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke initial izafay ke baad, pair mein kami ka imkaan hai. Chart ke mutabiq, yeh pair pehlay barh kar 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, uske baad reversal hote hue neeche ki taraf correction mein chali jaye gi. Pehle hi yeh pair 38.1% Fibonacci support level se rebound kar chuki hai aur 200-day moving average se door ho gayi hai. Filhaal market ek pullback phase mein hai jo ke bearish wave ke baad aaya hai. Aagay barhne ka imkaan hai, lekin 14.5% level pe kuch challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Tajziya yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke US dollar doosri currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein shayad woh mazid mazboot ho jaye. Yeh potential rise kaafi noteworthy hai, halanke kuch uncertainty bhi maujood hai.
Haalat yeh hain ke currency pair mein halki downward movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jisme Awesome Oscillator (AO) ek weak sell signal dikha raha hai. Pair pehle ke trading range ke andar hi trade kar raha hai, jo ke kam tabdeelion ki nishani hai. Is ke bawajood, yeh signals halki kami ka ishara dete hain jo ke near future mein ek potential reversal ka sabab ban sakti hain. Price ke neeche support level 0.6689 tak girne ka imkaan hai, jiske baad ek rebound hote hue resistance level 0.6734 tak barhne ka chance ho sakta hai. H4 chart pe dekha jaye, toh pair ne high point 0.67317 se reverse karte hue bearish trend dikhayi hai. Price middle Bollinger Band ke ooper 0.67035 par hai, aur bands abhi tak upward point kar rahe hain. Jab market Monday ko dobara open hogi, toh downward trend continue hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke 423.5% Fibonacci level 0.66571 tak ja sakti hai.

Is recent analysis ke mutabiq, AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing behavior ko ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. University of Michigan ka data release consumer inflation expectations index mein umeed se zyada izafa dikhata hai, aur consumer sentiment index mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila. Is data ke baad AUD/USD aur doosri U.S. dollar-related pairs mein downward trend dekhne ko mila, aur price ek support level ko break kar gayi. Tajziya yeh suggest karta hai ke ek significant downward correction ho chuki hai, lekin kuch signs yeh dikhate hain ke agar price mazeed strong hoti hai, toh growth phir se shuru ho sakti hai. Kul mila kar, yeh analysis yeh dikhata hai ke bearish correction khatam ho chuki hai, aur currency pair mein upward movement ka imkaan ab barh gaya hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ki price movement ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke initial izafay ke baad, pair mein kami ka imkaan hai. Chart ke mutabiq, yeh pair pehlay barh kar 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, uske baad reversal hote hue neeche ki taraf correction mein chali jaye gi. Pehle hi yeh pair 38.1% Fibonacci support level se rebound kar chuki hai aur 200-day moving average se door ho gayi hai. Filhaal market ek pullback phase mein hai jo ke bearish wave ke baad aaya hai. Aagay barhne ka imkaan hai, lekin 14.5% level pe kuch challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Tajziya yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke US dollar doosri currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein shayad woh mazid mazboot ho jaye. Yeh potential rise kaafi noteworthy hai, halanke kuch uncertainty bhi maujood hai.
Haalat yeh hain ke currency pair mein halki downward movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jisme Awesome Oscillator (AO) ek weak sell signal dikha raha hai. Pair pehle ke trading range ke andar hi trade kar raha hai, jo ke kam tabdeelion ki nishani hai. Is ke bawajood, yeh signals halki kami ka ishara dete hain jo ke near future mein ek potential reversal ka sabab ban sakti hain. Price ke neeche support level 0.6689 tak girne ka imkaan hai, jiske baad ek rebound hote hue resistance level 0.6734 tak barhne ka chance ho sakta hai. H4 chart pe dekha jaye, toh pair ne high point 0.67317 se reverse karte hue bearish trend dikhayi hai. Price middle Bollinger Band ke ooper 0.67035 par hai, aur bands abhi tak upward point kar rahe hain. Jab market Monday ko dobara open hogi, toh downward trend continue hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke 423.5% Fibonacci level 0.66571 tak ja sakti hai.

Is recent analysis ke mutabiq, AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing behavior ko ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. University of Michigan ka data release consumer inflation expectations index mein umeed se zyada izafa dikhata hai, aur consumer sentiment index mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila. Is data ke baad AUD/USD aur doosri U.S. dollar-related pairs mein downward trend dekhne ko mila, aur price ek support level ko break kar gayi. Tajziya yeh suggest karta hai ke ek significant downward correction ho chuki hai, lekin kuch signs yeh dikhate hain ke agar price mazeed strong hoti hai, toh growth phir se shuru ho sakti hai. Kul mila kar, yeh analysis yeh dikhata hai ke bearish correction khatam ho chuki hai, aur currency pair mein upward movement ka imkaan ab barh gaya hai.

AUD/USD ka 1-hour chart dikhata hai ke yeh pair iss waqt 0.67807 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke early September mein 0.66500 ke near low se ek recent upward momentum ko reflect karta hai. Chart mein kai liquidity areas ko highlight kiya gaya hai, khaaskar distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones, jo ke price retracements aur reversals mein ek ahm role ada karte hain. Early September mein price action ne ek bearish pullback dikhaya tha, jismein liquidity levels ko tor ke price 0.67500 ke qareeb break hui aur 0.66500 ke qareeb bottom out ki. Yeh zone liquidity pool ke strong support ke sath coincide karta hai, jo ke subsequent price rally ka buniyad bana.

Mid-September se AUD/USD ka rally dekhne mein aayi, jismein pair gradually 0.67800 ke current resistance level tak pohanch gaya. Is move ne fair value gaps (FVGs) ko bhi fill kiya, khaaskar 0.67000 se 0.67500 ke range mein, jo yeh signal karta hai ke market ab peechlay inefficiencies ko balance out kar raha hai. Magar jab price 0.68000 ke region ke qareeb aata hai, to yahan significant liquidity zone majood hai, jo ke late August ke previous highs se marked hai. Yeh area resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai jahan selling pressure aasakta hai, khaaskar jab yeh peechlay price rejections ke sath align kare.




Dusri taraf, downside par key support ab bhi 0.66500 ke qareeb majood hai, jahan ek liquidity pool hai. Agar price mein koi sharp decline hoti hai to is region mein buyers wapas aasakte hain taake liquidity ko protect kar sakein. Market structure iss waqt bullish hai, khaaskar recent sessions mein higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila dekhne ko milta hai. Magar pair ko apni upward trajectory ko qaim rakhne ke liye 0.68000 ke liquidity zone ko clear karna hoga. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai, to ek pullback 0.67000 ya hatta ke 0.66500 tak hosakta hai, khaaskar agar liquidity hunting shuru hoti hai.

Summary mein, AUD/USD ek bullish short-term trend mein trade kar raha hai lekin 0.68000 ke aas-paas critical resistance ka samna hai. Agar yeh level clear ho jata hai, to agla move higher liquidity zones ko target kar sakta hai. Warna, agar yeh resistance break nahi hota, to support retest 0.67000 ya possibly 0.66500 tak hosakta hai.

Spot price abhi US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein mazahimat dikhara hai, aur is waqt 0.6780 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai. Yeh upward movement us waqt aayi hai jab China ki positive inflation data release hui, jo aam tor par Australian economy par bara asar daalti hai, kyun ke dono mulkon ke darmiyan trade ties mazboot hain. AUD/USD pair ko Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki Governor Michele Bullock ke hawkish comments se bhi support mila, jo monetary policy mein mumkin tabdeeli ka ishara de rahe hain.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

August mein, China ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year 0.5% ka izafa dikhata hai, jo ke 0.3% ke expectations se zyada tha aur peechlay mahine ke 0.2% se bhi behtar tha. Yeh 0.5% ka izafa peechlay 0.2% ke decline se ek bara turnaround hai. Australia aur China ke darmiyan strong economic interconnection ke bais, China ki economic performance ka har utaar chadhaav Australian markets ko seedha asar karta hai, jo AUD traders ke liye khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Governor Bullock ke recent remarks ne RBA ki inflation risks par nigaah ko highlight kiya. Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar zarurat pari to central bank interest rates barhane ke liye tayar hai, lekin inflation ko wapas 2–3% ke desired target range mein lane ke liye 2025 ke aakhir tak ka waqt lag sakta hai. Unke comments RBA ke proactive stance ko wazeh karte hain, jo AUD ki recent gains ka sabab bane hain, khaaskar jab RBA ne cash rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Iss waqt, pair ka immediate support throwback level 0.6700 par nazar aata hai. Agar price is critical level se neeche break karti hai, to bearish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse pair lower boundary of the ascending channel, jo ke 0.6650 ke qareeb hai, ko test kar sakti hai. Aur neeche, agla support level 0.6600 par hai, jo market pressure ke barhne par AUD ke liye ek aur safety provide karega.



Abhi tak, Wednesday ke din tak, pair bullish bias ko reflect kar raha hai, aur ek ascending channel ke andar upward move karta dikh raha hai. Daily chart ka analysis karte hue, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh threshold decisively break hota hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko mazid confirm karega, jo Australian Dollar ke liye ek upward momentum ka signal ho sakta hai.

Hamari is waqt tawajjo AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ko assess karne par hai. Ek aur ahm factor jo decline ko drive kar raha hai, wo CCI index hai, jo daily chart par upper overheating zone se neeche a raha hai. Is dauran, CCI par ek bearish confluence nazar aayi hai, jo 0.6753 ke qareeb decline ka ishara de rahi hai, jis ka natija neeche jaane wali price movement ki surat mein nikla. Dusray baraay currency pairs bhi US Dollar ki taqat mein izafa ka ishara kar rahe hain.

Agar hum pehle surge par Fibonacci grid ka istemal karein, to is decline ka target wazeh hota hai, jo ke 161.8 position par hai, aur intermediate target 0.6639 ke specialized position par hai. Yahan tak pohanchne se pehle price ka qareebi resistance 0.6689 par ek chhoti si pullback ho sakta hai. Buying positions usi waqt dekhni chahiye jab price 161.8 Fibonacci position tak pohanch jaye, jahan se ek corrective growth surge ban sakta hai.

Agar mazeed analysis ki baat ki jaye, to maine daily chart par bhi pair ka jaiza liya. 0.6478 level ke ilawa kisi aur jagah se buy karna khatarnaak ho sakta hai. Possible scenarios yeh hain ke pair ya to 0.6564 tak move kare ya 0.6478 se neeche drop ho jaye. Yaqeen nahi hai, lekin main yeh assess karta hoon ke aise outcomes ke chances kaafi hain. Main market mein tabhi enter karoonga jab price 0.6478 support level tak pohanch jaye.




Friday ko pair par selling pressure tha, halan ke do din tak upward movement dekhne mein aayi thi. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke downward movement jari rahti hai ya koi aur option samne aata hai, aur main isay mazeed analyze karne ka iraada rakhta hoon. Day ke technical analysis mein moving averages strong buy ko suggest kar rahe hain, jabke technical indicators selling ka ishara de rahe hain. Kul mila ke outlook neutral lagta hai.

US manufacturing activity index jald release hone wala hai, aur forecast optimistic hai.

AUD-USD Market Analysis
September 18, 2024

AUD/USD currency pair ka weekly period ab tak bullish trend mein hi move kar raha hai. Yehi condition monthly market mein bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke kuch hafton se market ek wide range ke sath bullish direction mein chal raha hai, jo upward trend ko zyada valid banata hai. Jab market ne downward correction ka tajurba kiya tha, tab buyers ki taraf se price ko wapas push kiya gaya, jis ne price ko shaam ke waqt upar le jane ka sabab bana. Aaj bhi buyers ki koshish dikhayi de rahi hai ke wo market mein dominate karain, jo price ko bullish trend ki taraf le jane mein madad de raha hai. Is waqt price 0.6769 level ke aas-paas khelti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Halan ke major timeframe mein price upward move kar rahi hai, lekin humein small timeframe mein further downward correction ke potential se hoshyar rehna chahiye.




Agar hum current market conditions ko dekhein, meri rai mein transactions ke liye humein BUY ke opportunities ko dhoondhna chahiye. Mein ne dekha hai ke pichlay kuch dino mein price ke further increase ka potential ab bhi kaafi zyada hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime line abhi bhi level 50 ke upar hai, jo buyers ki dominance ko zahir karti hai. Ummed ki ja rahi hai ke buyers is hafte market mein phir se dominate karain ge aur prices ko mazeed upar le jayenge. Pichlay kuch hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue, yeh kehna durust hoga ke market abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Candlesticks se yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo dobara move karain gi aur 0.6825 ke range ko test karain gi. Beech mein market volatility barh sakti hai, is liye hoshyar rehna zaroori hai. Yeh ummed hai ke buyers ki army is hafte market ko dominate karegi.

Fundamental Analysis:

Australian Dollar (AUD) is taqat mein aa raha hai, aur iska sabab market mein improved risk sentiment hai. Is positive shift ki ek bari wajah Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke central bank ya to interest rates ko high rakhay ga ya phir mazeed barhane ka irada rakhta hai. Yeh Australian Dollar ko investors ke liye aur zyada attractive banata hai, khaaskar US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein. Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko mushkilat ka samna hai kyun ke expectations hain ke Federal Reserve jald hi interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai. Yeh belief barh raha hai ke Fed apni aane wali meeting mein rates ko 50 basis points tak neeche le aa sakta hai. US mein low interest rates Dollar ko kam appealing banata hai, kyun ke investors ko USD assets se kam returns milte hain. Is wajah se US Dollar par aur zyada pressure aa gaya hai, jo Australian Dollar ki rise ko support kar raha hai.

Lekin, in fundamental drivers ke bawajood, global factors jaise ke US aur China ke economic data, AUD/USD pair ke behavior par asar daal sakte hain. China, Australia ka sab se bara trading partner hai, aur China ke economy se koi bhi negative news Australian Dollar ki taqat ko slow down kar sakti hai.

Technical Analysis:

Technical point of view se dekha jaye, to AUD/USD currency pair weekly aur daily timeframes par ab bhi bearish trend mein hai. Yeh matlab hai ke long term mein market sentiment ab bhi Australian Dollar ke kamzor hone ko support karta hai. Lekin agar hum H4 aur hourly charts par nazar dalain, to AUD dheere dheere taqat pakarta hua nazar aata hai.

August 29th ko jo high price 0.6819 ka touch hui thi, wo ab ek critical resistance zone ban gayi hai. Yeh level break karna mushkil sabit hua, kyun ke price is level se upar jaane mein nakam rahi aur neeche revert kar gayi. Price ne recently do support levels 0.6686 aur 0.6624 tak retrace kiya. Yeh levels par buyers ne kafi interest dikhaya, jo price ko mazeed girne se rok diya.




Ab AUD/USD pair wapas upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai aur 0.6819 resistance level ko dobara test karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Yeh ek significant area hai jise closely dekhna hoga, kyun ke agar yeh resistance break ho jata hai, to market mein aur zyada bullish momentum aasakti hai. Lekin abhi tak price ke short-term tops current level ke aas-paas bane hue hain, jo growth ko slow kar rahe hain. Yeh tops ek barrier create kar rahe hain, jisse bulls ke liye price ko upar push karna mushkil ho raha hai.

Short term mein, yeh lagta hai ke bulls koshish karte rahenge ke price ko wapas 0.6819 resistance tak le jayein. Agar unhein kamiyabi milti hai, to pair mein ek aur strong upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price dobara is resistance ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai, to hum ek retracement ya pullback dekh sakte hain jab tak ke ek aur attempt nahi kiya jata.

Jab ke long-term trend ab bhi bearish outlook ko favor karta hai, short-term charts yeh signal karte hain ke AUD/USD pair mein ab bhi itni taqat hai ke wo key resistance levels ko challenge kar sake. Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price 0.6819 level ke ird-gird kis tarah react karti hai, kyun ke yeh future direction ke liye important clues de sakta hai.

AUD-USD H4 Time Frame

AUD/USD pair ka price movement ab tak bullish trend direction ko barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab hai. Price ne 200 SMA ke aas-paas dynamic support se fall kiya tha, lekin wapas upar aate hue 50 EMA ke upar chala gaya. Yeh imkaan hai ke price upward rally ko continue kare aur 0.6809 ke resistance ko test kare agar yeh consistently 0.6751 ke resistance ke upar rahta hai, jo ke pehle hi successfully pass ho chuka hai. Price increase ki probability kaafi zyada hai kyun ke yeh ek bullish trend mein hai, jab tak ke koi death cross signal nazar nahi aata. Agar price neeche correct hota hai, to yeh do Moving Average lines mein se kisi ek tak ja sakta hai. Agar price 0.6652 ke support ke neeche jata hai, to bullish trend weak ho sakti hai kyun ke price ka potential hai ke yeh ek naya lower low pattern banaye.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhte hue aisa lagta hai ke yeh saucer signal produce karne mein nakam raha hai kyun ke histogram ab tak red hai. Halan ke uptrend momentum weak lag raha hai, lekin volume ab bhi level 0 ya positive area ke upar kaafi wide hai. Iska yeh matlab bhi ho sakta hai ke AUD/USD pair ka price mazeed upar move karne ka mauqa rakhta hai. Agar Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke ab level 50 ke aas-paas hain, cross karte hain, to yeh price increase rally ko support karega. Aaj raat ke early hours mein Federal Funds Rate ka announcement dekhna zaroori hai, kyun ke is ka asar AUD/USD pair ke price volatility par ho sakta hai.




Setup Entry Position:

Trading options mein trend direction ko follow karne ki koshish karni chahiye, jo ke ab tak bullish condition mein hai. Is liye, focus BUY moment ka intezaar karne par hona chahiye. Entry position tab place karni chahiye jab price 50 EMA ke aas-paas correct ho kar wapas upar rejection show kare. Confirmation ke liye zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 aur level 20 ke darmiyan cross karein, aur agar yeh oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein cross karta hai to yeh aur bhi better hoga. AO indicator ka histogram, jo ke ab tak level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, ko wapas green hone ki zaroorat hai aur volume ko mazeed widen karna hoga. Take profit ka target resistance 0.6809 par rakhna chahiye, aur stop loss support 0.6652 par place karna chahiye.

AUD/USD Market Outlook

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah bakhair sab ko!
Kal US Retail Sales rate ka data kuch khaas nahi tha jo ke US traders ke liye madadgar ho sakta tha. Is wajah se AUD/USD market ab tak buy side par hi rahegi. Aaj Building Permits ka data release hona hai, jo ke dekhne wala ek key factor hai. Yeh report housing market ke bare mein insight deti hai, jo ke economy ka ek critical component hai. Agar Building Permits ka data increase hota hai, to yeh positive sign mana jata hai, kyun ke yeh nayi homes ki demand ko strong dikhata hai aur construction industry ke growth ke liye ready hone ka ishara karta hai. Buyers is data mein khaas taur par interested hote hain kyun ke yeh market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai aur future economic activity ke bare mein clues de sakta hai. Agar Building Permits report strong hoti hai, to yeh market ke bullish case ko aur bhi support karegi, jo buyers ko unke losses cover karne aur profits gain karne ka mauqa de sakti hai.

Trading ke liye meri preference ek buy order hai AUD/USD par, jiska short target 0.6800 tak ka hai. Is ke ilawa, FOMC meeting aur Building Permits report ke convergence ne ek unique trading environment create kiya hai. Buyers jo ke sahi waqt ka intezaar kar rahe the market mein entry lene ka ya apne pehle losses recover karne ka, unke liye ab ek achi opportunity hai. Lekin success ka daromadar unki ability par hoga ke wo in events ke market reaction ko samajh sakein aur apne aap ko sahi tarah se position kar sakein. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD market buyers ke haq mein rahegi aur wo jaldi ya der mein 0.6822 zone cross kar lenge. Yeh yaad rakhein ke buyers ka aaj ka primary goal yeh hai ke wo successfully resistance zone ko cross karein. Resistance zones wo price levels hain jahan selling pressure samne aata hai, jo market ke liye upar move karna mushkil bana deta hai.




Duaon mein yaad rakhein aur hamesha calm rahen!

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

AUD/USD ke price movement ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pehle ek izafi upar ki taraf movement ke baad, currency pair mein girawat ki umeed hai. Chart se yeh nazar aata hai ke pair pehle barhkar 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level tak jaayega aur phir wapas aake downward correction mein chala jaayega. Pair pehle hi 38.1% Fibonacci support level se bounce kar chuka hai aur 200-day moving average se door move kar raha hai. Is waqt market bearish wave se pullback phase mein hai. Mazid growth ki umeed hai, magar 14.5% level par kuch challenges samne aa sakte hain. Analysis yeh bhi dikhata hai ke US dollar doosri currencies ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein wo mazid strong bhi ho sakta hai. Possible rise ko consider kiya jaa sakta hai, halan ke kuch uncertainty bhi hai.

Is waqt currency pair thori downward movement ka shikar hai, aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) ek weak sell signal de raha hai. Pair pichle din ke range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke minimal changes ka ishara hai. Lekin yeh signals yeh dikhate hain ke ek choti girawat ho sakti hai, jisse baad mein ek reversal ki umeed hai. Price 0.6689 ke support level tak girne ki umeed hai, aur phir 0.6734 ke resistance level ki taraf rebound karegi. H4 chart par, pair 0.67317 ke high se reverse ho chuki hai aur bearish trend dikhayi de raha hai. Price middle Bollinger Band ke ooper hai, jo ke 0.67035 par hai, aur bands abhi bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Jab market Monday ko dobara khulega, downward trend jari rehne ka imkaan hai, jo 423.5% Fibonacci level tak, yani 0.66571 tak gir sakta hai.




Recent analysis ke mutabiq, University of Michigan ke data release ke baad, jisme consumer inflation expectations index aur consumer sentiment index mein izafa nazar aaya, AUD/USD pair aur doosri U.S. dollar-related pairs downward trend ka shikar hui. Price ne support level ko break kiya. Analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke significant downward correction ho chuki hai, magar aage chal kar growth wapas resume ho sakti hai agar price mazid strong hoti hai. Overall analysis ke mutabiq bearish correction khatam ho chuki hai, aur currency pair mein mazid upward movement ki umeed hai.

AUD/USD profit potential

Hamari guftagu is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing evaluation ke mutabiq hai. AUD/USD currency pair apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakha hua hai. 0.6832 ke resistance level ko face karne ke baad, price koshish kar rahi hai ke is level ke upar consolidate karay. Technical tor par, yeh pair 4-hour chart mein Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen lines price ke neeche hain. Chikou span chart ke upar hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko zahir kar raha hai, aur aik golden cross pattern bhi form ho raha hai. Bollinger Bands bhi upward direction mein hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes barh rahe hain, RSI 50 se upar hai, aur trend filter green hai, jo bullish market sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Agar price ne 0.6832 ka level successfully break kar liya aur iske upar consolidate kar gaya, toh agla target 0.6834 ho sakta hai. AUD/USD pair mein strength ke clear signs hain, aur technical indicators continued growth ko support karte hain, khaaskar agar resistance 0.6834 ke aas paas ho. Key levels aur Federal Reserve se aanay wali news ka ghaur se dekhna trading decisions ke liye zaroori hoga.


Aaj subha yeh 0.6759 ke lower boundary tak gir gaya tha, lekin phir reverse hoke dobara climb karna shuru kar diya. Continued growth ka target channel ki upper boundary, jo ke takreeban 0.6799 ke aas paas hai, ho sakta hai. Overall trend AUD/USD ka bullish lagta hai, aur is mein mazeed gains ki gunjaish hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke Australian dollar ki strength ko highlight kiya jaye, kyun ke kal US dollar mein significant movement ke bawajood Australian dollar ne apni position barqarar rakhi. Magar aaj sab ki nigahain Federal Reserve par hain, aur rate cut ke extent ke hawalay se uncertainty hai—kuch log 0.5% reduction predict kar rahe hain. Powell ke comments market ke direction ko shape karne mein aham honge. Chahay short-term dips aa jayein, including possible move neeche 0.6669 region tak, buying opportunities is area mein ab bhi viable hain.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ki current pricing behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Chaliye kal University of Michigan ke zariye release hone wale data ko dekhte hain. Five-year U.S. consumer inflation expectations index ka growth rate 3.0% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke expected 2.9% se thora zyada tha. Consumer expectations index 72.9 tak barh gaya, jabke forecast tha ke yeh 70.9 tak giray ga (pehle 72.0 tha). Iske ilawa, consumer sentiment index bhi 67.8 se barh kar 68.9 tak chala gaya, jo analysts ke expectations se behtar tha. Current inflation expectations index ne 72.9* ko record kiya, aur growth rate 62.8 pe pohanch gaya jabke prediction 61.4 thi. Is data release ke baad, AUD/USD pair aur doosri U.S. dollar related pairs ne downward trend liya. Sellers ne 0.6713 level (Murray 6.7) ka tor kar lower boundary of H4 cloud tak pohanch gaya. Agar price is resistance se neeche hold karti hai, to mazeed downside movement ka imkaan hai.

Koi strong sell signal abhi tak nahi aaya, lekin agar 0.6689 ka breakdown hota hai to decline ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. A significant downward correction ho chuki hai, lekin growth baad mein dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Agar price mazid taqat hasil karti hai, to 0.6729 range ka aim mumkin hai. Bearish correction mukammal hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke upward movement ke liye space bana rahi hai. Growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai agar price 0.6689 area ko test karti hai, halan ke ek choti si correction bhi ho sakti hai further upward momentum se pehle. Agar 0.6689 ka false breakout hota hai, to yeh buy signal bhi ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6694 ka tor hota hai aur price is se upar hold karti hai, to yeh bhi ek buy signal provide kar sakta hai.

Ab mein daily chart ki taraf shift ho raha hoon. Technical setup kaafi straightforward aur precise hai. Sab se pehle, heavy moving average (M.A.) 38.1% Fibonacci correction level ke saath align ho raha hai, jo ke double buy signal provide karta hai. Dusra, Price Action method ke mutabiq, ek bullish pin bar form ho chuka hai, jo aapke trading terminal pe dikhayi dena chahiye. Hum ne 0.6654 tak ki correction dekhi, uske baad takreeban 79 points ka total decline hua.

iski movement ko influence karte hain. Abhi AUD/USD pair 0.6650 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur trend bearish nazar aa raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market sentiment filhaal Australian dollar ke US dollar ke muqable mein girawat ko support kar raha hai. Bearish trend yeh dikhata hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Iske peeche mukhtalif economic, political, ya market factors ho sakte hain. For example, agar Australian economy ko challenges ka samna hai, jaise ke commodity prices mein girawat, economic growth ka slow hona, ya political instability, to yeh AUD ko kamzor kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, agar US dollar mazboot ho raha hai, jaise ke mazboot economic indicators, Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes, ya geopolitical factors ki wajah se, to yeh AUD/USD ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakte hain.
Lekin, agle kuch dinon mein AUD/USD pair mein significant movement ki prediction karna thodi gehri analysis ka taqaza karta hai, jisme kuch catalysts ka zikar zaroori hai jo volatility ko drive kar sakte hain. Kuch factors jo is trend mein tabdeeli la sakte hain, woh yeh hain:

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Dono Australia aur US ke economic indicators, jaise employment reports, GDP growth, inflation rates, aur trade balances, AUD/USD pair par bara asar daal sakte hain. For example, agar US ka employment report strong aata hai ya Australia ka economic data weak hota hai, to yeh volatility ko barha sakta hai aur trend mein reversal la sakta hai.

2. **Central Bank Policies**: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve ke faislay AUD/USD pair ko influence karte hain. Agar RBA interest rates cut karta hai ya dovish stance leta hai, to AUD mazid kamzor ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar Federal Reserve hawkish stance signal karta hai ya interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD mazboot hoga aur pair ke movement par asar daalega.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Global events jaise trade negotiations, geopolitical tensions, aur global economic conditions ki tabdeeli bhi currency movements ko affect karti hain. For instance, Australia ke trade relations mein koi naya development ya global risk sentiment mein shift AUD/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hai.

4. **Market Sentiment aur Speculation**: Traders ke perceptions aur speculative actions bhi kaafi price movements ka sabab bante hain. Agar market participants kisi economic condition ya central bank policy mein tabdeeli ko anticipate karte hain, to trading activity barh jati hai aur AUD/USD pair mein volatility nazar aa sakti hai.

Filhaal ke bearish trend ko dekhte hue, traders ko yeh factors closely monitor karne chahiye taake market mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Technical analysis, jaise support aur resistance levels ko dekhna, trendlines, aur chart patterns, bhi price movements ke hints de sakte hain. Saath hi, global economic developments aur central bank ke announcements par nazar rakhna bhi crucial hoga taake AUD/USD pair mein kisi bhi significant tabdeeli ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Summary mein, halan ke AUD/USD ka trend bearish hai, lekin aise kai factors hain jo agle kuch dinon mein significant movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Traders ko economic data releases, central bank decisions, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein aur apni strategies accordingly adjust kar sakein

iski movement ko influence karte hain. Abhi AUD/USD pair 0.6650 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur trend bearish nazar aa raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market sentiment filhaal Australian dollar ke US dollar ke muqable mein girawat ko support kar raha hai. Bearish trend yeh dikhata hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Iske peeche mukhtalif economic, political, ya market factors ho sakte hain. For example, agar Australian economy ko challenges ka samna hai, jaise ke commodity prices mein girawat, economic growth ka slow hona, ya political instability, to yeh AUD ko kamzor kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, agar US dollar mazboot ho raha hai, jaise ke mazboot economic indicators, Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes, ya geopolitical factors ki wajah se, to yeh AUD/USD ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakte hain. Lekin, agle kuch dinon mein AUD/USD pair mein significant movement ki prediction karna thodi gehri analysis ka taqaza karta hai, jisme kuch catalysts ka zikar zaroori hai jo volatility ko drive kar sakte hain. Kuch factors jo is trend mein tabdeeli la sakte hain, woh yeh hain:

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Dono Australia aur US ke economic indicators, jaise employment reports, GDP growth, inflation rates, aur trade balances, AUD/USD pair par bara asar daal sakte hain. For example, agar US ka employment report strong aata hai ya Australia ka economic data weak hota hai, to yeh volatility ko barha sakta hai aur trend mein reversal la sakta hai.

2. **Central Bank Policies**: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve ke faislay AUD/USD pair ko influence karte hain. Agar RBA interest rates cut karta hai ya dovish stance leta hai, to AUD mazid kamzor ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar Federal Reserve hawkish stance signal karta hai ya interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD mazboot hoga aur pair ke movement par asar daalega.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Global events jaise trade negotiations, geopolitical tensions, aur global economic conditions ki tabdeeli bhi currency movements ko affect karti hain. For instance, Australia ke trade relations mein koi naya development ya global risk sentiment mein shift AUD/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hai.

4. **Market Sentiment aur Speculation**: Traders ke perceptions aur speculative actions bhi kaafi price movements ka sabab bante hain. Agar market participants kisi economic condition ya central bank policy mein tabdeeli ko anticipate karte hain, to trading activity barh jati hai aur AUD/USD pair mein volatility nazar aa sakti hai.

Filhaal ke bearish trend ko dekhte hue, traders ko yeh factors closely monitor karne chahiye taake market mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Technical analysis, jaise support aur resistance levels ko dekhna, trendlines, aur chart patterns, bhi price movements ke hints de sakte hain. Saath hi, global economic developments aur central bank ke announcements par nazar rakhna bhi crucial hoga taake AUD/USD pair mein kisi bhi significant tabdeeli ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Summary mein, halan ke AUD/USD ka trend bearish hai, lekin aise kai factors hain jo agle kuch dinon mein significant movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Traders ko economic data releases, central bank decisions, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein aur apni strategies accordingly adjust kar sakein