eur/usd

EUR/USD Outlook Analysis

4 Time Frame Analysis

Jab hum EUR/USD pair ka H4 time frame chart dekhte hain, toh hum aasani se ek well-structured market dekh sakte hain jo recent market developments se mutasir ho kar steady aur consistent movements dikha rahi hai. EUR/USD pair ko economic data aur external factors ne asar andaz kiya hai, jo is waqt ki market positioning mein apna role ada kar rahe hain. Price ek defined range mein move kar rahi hai, jo pair ke behavior ko samajhna aur potential breakout ya breakdown scenarios ko track karna asan bana deti hai. Agar hum daily chart par zoom out karein, toh EUR/USD ka overall market behavior aur bhi wazeh ho jata hai.

Pair ke movements mein key support aur resistance levels ka bohot bara asar hai, jo entry aur exit points ka tayun karne mein madadgar hote hain. Support levels wo zones hain jahan price wapas bounce karne ka rujhan rakhti hai, jabke resistance levels wo barriers hain jo upward momentum ko rok dete hain. In levels ko identify karna kaafi aasaan raha hai, jo traders ke liye in movements se fayda uthana aur evaluation process ko smooth banata hai. Is well-defined structure ke madde nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke kisi bhi market sentiment mein tabdeeli ya bara economic news nayi buying ya selling opportunities de sakti hai, depending on technical levels jo ke kaafi critical hain.

H1 Time Frame Analysis

Agar hum EUR/USD pair ka H1 time frame chart dekhein, toh hum is waqt ke market conditions aur trading opportunities ka tajziya karte hain jo is hafte ke liye mufeed sabit ho sakti hain. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0975 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo traders ke liye short-term market movements ko capitalize karne ke liye ek significant zone hai. H1 chart price action ka detailed view deta hai, recent fluctuations ko highlight karta hai aur future trends ko forecast karne mein madad deta hai.

Aaj ke analysis mein, hum dekhte hain ke EUR/USD ek narrow range mein move kar raha hai, aur buyers aur sellers dono caution ka izhar kar rahe hain. Lekin, yeh consolidation phase kisi bhi taraf breakout ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo un traders ke liye naye trading opportunities create karegi jo key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar price 1.1000 level ke upar break karti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka ishara ho ga. Wohi agar yeh 1.0950 zone ke qareeb support ko maintain nahi kar pati, toh hum market mein aur zyada downside pressure dekh sakte hain.

H1 time frame short-term trends aur day traders ke liye potential entry aur exit points identify karne mein khaas madadgar hai. Is chart ka tajziya kar ke, traders apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain aur smaller price swings ke dauran opportunities se fayda uthaa sakte hain. Maujooda halat ke mutabiq, aane wali economic data releases ya market news par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo EUR/USD pair ko significant tor par asar andaz kar sakti hain aur is hafte ke dauran zyada trading opportunities paida kar sakti hain.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Is waqt EUR/USD currency pair transition zone channel ke lower end ke qareeb, 1.1064 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh level yeh suggest karta hai ke pair downward breakout ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin ab tak is move ka koi strong confirmation nahi hai. Traders mein abhi tak yeh confusion hai ke pair aur zyada neeche jaye ga ya wapas upar bounce kare ga. Daily price reversals ko monitor karna is pair ki potential direction ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Trading Channels aur Potential Movements

Ek theory trading channels ke hawale se yeh kehti hai ke prices aksar channel ke upper boundary ki taraf revert karti hain. Is context mein, upper boundary lagbhag 1.1136 par hai. Agar price apne current level se rebound karti hai, toh upper boundary tak wapas ana mumkin hai, khas tor par jabke daily range resistance ko 1.1132 ke aas paas dikhata hai, jo upper channel limit ke qareeb hai. Yeh scenario yeh dikhata hai ke price ko wapas bounce hone ka chance hai.

Lekin yeh note karna zaroori hai ke ab tak kisi bara upward breakout ka koi significant momentum nahi hai. Daily range koi strong evidence nahi de raha ke koi substantial upward movement ho gi. Agar EUR/USD pair mein upward push ki taqat nahi hai, toh yeh sideways move kar sakta hai, jo aksar "trading in a flat" kehlata hai.







Transition Zones aur Channel Concepts ki Ahmiyat

Traders aksar transition zones aur channels ke concepts ka istemal karte hain takay potential price movements ko identify kar sakein. Maujooda halat mein, price ke upwards bounce ka chance hai, lekin traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Agar pair channel ke lower boundary se neeche girta hai aur key levels ko breach karta hai, toh yeh ek significant downward trend ki shuruat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Agar EUR/USD pair transition zone ke lower boundary ko break karta hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabdeeli ka ishara ho ga, jo mazeed declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh agla significant support level 1.0980 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar price is level tak girti hai, toh yeh bhi mumkin hai ke wapas channel mein na aaye.

Conclusion

Maujooda trading environment EUR/USD pair ke liye uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Upward movement ke potential aur downward breakouts ke darmiyan balance ko traders ko qareebi nazar se dekhna ho ga. Kyunke price transition zone channel ke lower limit ke qareeb hai, traders ko bounce back ya 1.1064 ke neeche potential breakdown ke signs ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Daily range ko samajhna aur key levels par nazar rakhna informed trading decisions lene mein madad de ga.

Agar pair 1.1136 ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh stronger upward movement ka signal ho ga; lekin agar 1.1064 ke neeche girta hai, toh traders ko 1.0980 ki taraf possible decline ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Ek flexible trading strategy rakhna aur market developments par nazar rakhna is situation ko effectively navigate karne ke liye zaroori ho ga.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Recent Price Action

EUR/USD currency pair ne Friday ki Asian session mein momentum hasil karne ki koshish ki, magar narrow range mein trade karti rahi, 1.0900 ke psychological support level ke thoda upar, jo pichle din chaar hafton ke lowest point ke qareeb tha. Traders ihtiyaat ka izhar kar rahe hain kyun ke European Central Bank (ECB) ki taraf se koi wazeh signal ka intezar hai jo next directional move ka pata de sake. Market close par EUR/USD lagbhag 1.0975 mark ke aas paas tha.

ECB Position ke Hawale se Potential Outlook

Agar ECB dovish stance ka ishara deta hai, toh yeh pair par downward pressure daal sakta hai aur 1.0900 ke critical level tak le ja sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar ECB optimistic tone apnata hai, toh yeh bullish sentiment ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai, khaas tor par agar currency pair 1.0900 ke support level ke upar rehta hai. Traders ko U.S. economic data aur Federal Reserve policy par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye kyun ke yeh factors bhi pair ke future direction ko bohot zyada asar andaz karein ge.

Fundamentals Jo EUR/USD ko Asar Andaz Kar Rahe Hain

Market participants ECB se updates ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur bohot se analysts ka khayal hai ke central bank apni policy easing efforts ko jari rakhega. Tawajju ECB ke monetary policy statement aur President Christine Lagarde ke press conference par ho gi, jahan se traders ECB ki strategy ke hawale se insights ki umeed kar rahe hain. Financial markets abhi ye expect kar rahe hain ke ECB is saal ke aakhri quarter mein ek aur interest rate cut karega, jo upcoming policy announcements ko aur bhi significant bana raha hai.

Jabke ECB spotlight mein hai, last week ka U.S. labor market report ne Federal Reserve ke next moves ke hawale se kuch uncertainty paida kar di hai. Is report ne yeh shakhsiyat ko barhaya hai ke September ke meeting mein Fed se aggressive rate cuts ki umeed kam ho sakti hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, market abhi bhi September mein kam az kam 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut expect kar raha hai; lekin 50 bps ka substantial cut hone ke chances 31% tak gir gaye hain, jo pechle haftay 38% the.






Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook

Price 1.0950 region tak dip kar gayi thi, magar 1.0900 ke psychological support level ke qareeb ek Rising Channel chart pattern ke breakout ko test karne ke baad strength dikhai. Yeh area pair ke liye ek crucial base ban gaya hai, aur near-term outlook is waqt improve ho raha hai jabke currency 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo is waqt lagbhag 1.1086 par hai, ke upar stabilize ho gayi hai.

Agar pair key resistance levels ko break karta hai, toh yeh uske trajectory par bohot asar dal sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.1240 ke peak se neeche girta hai, toh yeh 1.1000 ke major psychological support se neeche gir sakta hai aur 1.0900 mark tak pohanch sakta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi tak 60.00 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh market mein potential bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai.

EUR/USD Price Behavior Analysis - Roman Urdu

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain, khaas tor par 1.10299 aur 1.10599 ke crucial zone par focus karte hue. Yeh area kaafi significant competition dekh raha hai, jo euro ke performance ke liye critical hai.

Vital Zone Breakdown

Lagta hai ke is vital zone mein halki si breach hui hai. Magar, market mein false breakouts aam hotay hain, is liye inhe aasan mein nahi lena chahiye. Agar humein is zone ke neeche ek decisive break nazar aaye, toh mera rujhan bearish hoga. Is ke bawajood, mera primary focus buying positions par hi rahega, aur mujhe currency pair ke hawale se optimistic umeedein hain. Pehli target level upward movement ke liye lagbhag 1.11799 par hai, jabke ultimate goal takreeban 1.1399 ka hai.

Yeh baat zaroori hai ke jab tak daily candle ka consolidation nahi hota, main koi faisla nahi karunga, chahay aaj downward movement ka potential ho.

Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, humne abhi tak monthly resistance zone se breakout nahi kiya, na kal aur na aaj. Hum sirf is zone ke lower boundary ko touch kar paaye hain, aur ab tak koi technical retracement shuru nahi hui. Hum developments ko closely monitor karte rahain ge aur market mein potential actions ka tajziya karte rahain ge.

Market Dynamics

Zahir hai ke market stagnant nahi rahegi, khaaskar U.S. interest rates mein hone wali tabdeeli ke sath. Har significant news event market ke behavior ko asar andaz karega. Ibtida mein hum European events ke reactions dekhen ge, aur is hafte ke akhir tak focus U.S. par shift ho sakta hai. Hafte ke aakhri hisse mein kuch action dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Current Positioning aur Outlook

EUR/USD pair ne meri umeedon par poora nahi utara hai, halan ke aaj ki daily candle thodi bearish closing ka ishara de sakti hai. Magar pair ka overall halat ab tak unchanged hai, kyun ke downward trend abhi bhi barqarar hai.

Haal hi mein hum next target ke qareeb, yani 1.1024 tak pohanch gaye hain, magar koi bara retracement nazar nahi aaya. Abhi tak yeh wazeh nahi hai ke yeh false breakout hai ya nahi, kyun ke pair 1.1024 ke neeche solidify nahi kar paaya. Haal ke conditions ko dekhte hue, aaj ke liye koi bari tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai; magar kal U.S. inflation data release ke sath volatility aasakti hai.

Yeh halaat challenging hain, lekin agar 1.1024 par breakout false sabit hota hai, toh main dobara buying positions lene ka soch sakta hoon.

EUR/USD currency pair ki live pricing ke mutaliq guftagu ke hawale se, pichle haftay sellers ne puri market par qabza kar liya tha, aur pehle se hi ye andaza tha ke girawat ka imkaan hai. MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence zahir hui, jo ek mazboot sell ka moqa tha. Ek descending wedge pattern bhi samne aaya, aur doosra CCI indicator bhi bearish divergence ko support kar raha tha. Mukhtalif currency pairs ne bhi US dollar ki taqat ko zahir kiya, jo jaldi mazid barhne wala tha. Jab ke girawat ka andaza tha, lekin yeh itni jaldi aayegi, yeh nahi socha tha. Mujhe laga tha ke yeh girawat do haftay mein ayegi, lekin chand dino mein hi market ne September ke sabhi gains ko mita diya aur peechlay lows ko update kiya.

Agar bears kam az kam 1.07900 aur 1.07650 ke support tak girawat hasil karne mein nakam rahe, aur 1.11910 ka bullish buy level wapas zahir ho gaya, toh outlook wapas growth ki taraf shift ho jayega. Aisi surat mein, main apni sell position ko loss par band kar ke buying ki taraf shift karunga, aur growth ke targets 1.13479 aur 1.14367 ke resistance levels par set karunga.

Yeh level bohot ahem hai, kyun ke yeh daily aur weekly support ka kaam kar raha hai. Halanki weekly level par kuch fluctuation ka imkaan hai, hum thoda aur niche gir sakte hain, lekin phir ek corrective price increase ka imkaan hai, jo pehle 1.1010 aur phir 1.1072 ko target karega. Mazid, MACD indicator ne zero mark ko cross kar liya hai, jo ke divergence ko reset kar raha hai. In tamam factors ko dekhte hue, selling ka mashwara dena sahi nahi hoga, kyun ke downward movement ka imkaan kam hai. H1 aur H4 timeframes mein ek growth formation ka imkaan hai, aur humein is upward correction ko capture karne ka mauqa dekhna chahiye.

Bearish sell level ka breach hua tha, jo ke 1.10290 par consolidate ho gaya. Yeh breakout ek aur potential decline ko zahir karta hai, lekin long-term targets ke liye darwaza khol deta hai. Maine 1.10290 par ek sell position initiate ki, aur minimum decline ka intezar hai jo ke 1.07900 aur 1.07650 ke support levels tak ho sakta hai.

Eur/Usd ki kamzori ko dekhte hue, Eur/Usd pair din bhar mein 1% se zyada barh gaya. Din ke aakhir mein, US economic calendar weekly initial jobless claims aur September ISM services PMI data release karega. Market umeed kar raha hai ke jobless benefits ke liye first-time claims 220,000 tak pahunch sakte hain, jo pehle hafte ke 218,000 se thoda zyada hai. Agar yeh number 200,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to yeh USD ko barhawa de sakta hai aur pair par aur bhi pressure daal sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ISM headline 50 se niche girta hai to yeh bhi market ko hila sakta hai.
Eur/Usd pair ke analysis mein, aik downward trend ka imkaan hai jisme target 1.0950 ho sakta hai. Halankeh main abhi deeper levels ka zikar nahi kar raha, lekin agar koi correction hoti hai, to naya target 1.09250 ho sakta hai, jo further declines ko delay kar sakta hai.

Eur/Usd turant 1.0979 ya isse upar chadhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunki dollar ki taqat behtar fundamentals ki wajah se barh gayi hai. H1 chart par downward pressure barh raha hai, aur momentum kaafi strong lag raha hai. Is waqt, selling kharidne se zyada faida mand lagta hai, kyunki behtar prices for long positions jald mil sakti hain. Is liye, 1.0954–1.09174 range mein selling ke mauqe 1.0974 support level ke neeche break karne ko target kar sakte hain. Bahut se buyers ne apne stop-losses is level ke paas rakhe hain, aur market is point tak pahunch sakta hai, jo buying ke liye abhi jaldi ho sakta hai.

Eur/Usd weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.0999 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.0937 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon,

### EUR/USD Daily Analysis

EUR/USD pair mein kal ke news data release ke baad upward movement dekha gaya, aur Friday ko yeh 1.0926 ki high level par pohch gaya. Saath hi, jo liquidity pehle khatam ho gayi thi, wo lagbhag puri tarah se wapas aa chuki hai. Is waqt strong chances hain ke EUR/USD pair short term mein mazeed barh sake. Daily chart par, pair ne ascending channel ki lower border ko touch nahi kiya aur upward reversal banaya. Yeh strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jo ke local high 1.0947 ke upar break aur ascending channel ki upper border ko test karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jo shayad upward breakout par khatam ho.

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### **Technical Analysis**

EUR/USD ke daily chart par ek bullish trend ka izhar ho raha hai. News release ke baad, pair ne kaafi strong rise kiya aur 1.0926 ki high par pohch gaya. Is movement ne liquidity ko complete kar diya hai, jo ab pair ke liye ek mazboot upward momentum bana raha hai. Pair ka ascending channel ki lower border ko touch na karna aur upward reversal ka formation strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai.

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### **Short-Term Outlook**

Agar EUR/USD ka movement isi tarah barhawa leta raha, to pair short term mein mazeed barh sakta hai. Agar local high 1.0947 ke upar break hota hai, to pair shayad ascending channel ki upper border ko test karne ki koshish karega. Yeh potential upward breakout signals ko zahir karta hai, jo bullish trend ko mazeed mazboot karega.

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### **Resistance aur Support Levels**

Is waqt EUR/USD ka current resistance level 1.0947 par hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar leta hai, to next target ascending channel ki upper border ke qareeb hoga. Yeh level market ke liye bohot ahem hai, kyun ke is se higher levels ki taraf barhne ke chances barh jate hain. Agar pair 1.0947 level ko break kar leta hai, to next resistance ascending channel ke qareeb hoga, jo further upward movement ko confirm karega.

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### **Bullish Sentiment**

Ascending channel ki lower border ko touch na karna aur upward reversal ka formation bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh strong buying pressure ko support karta hai jo ke short term mein mazeed barhti hui price ko zahir karta hai. Agar yeh bullish trend barqarar rehti hai, to EUR/USD pair higher levels tak pohch sakta hai.

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### **Potential Breakout**

Agar EUR/USD pair local high 1.0947 ke upar break karta hai, to upward breakout ka imkan barh jata hai. Yeh breakout ascending channel ki upper border ko test karne ki koshish karega aur bullish momentum ko mazeed barhawa dega. Traders ko is movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni trading strategies ko is hisaab se adjust karna chahiye.

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### **Conclusion**

EUR/USD pair ne kal ke news data ke baad upward movement dikhaya aur 1.0926 ki high level tak pohch gaya. Ascending channel ki lower border ko touch na karna aur upward reversal ka formation strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke pair short term mein mazeed barh sakta hai, local high 1.0947 ko break karke ascending channel ki upper border ko test karne ki koshish karega. Traders ko is bullish trend ko closely dekhna chahiye aur potential breakout ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Overall, EUR/USD ka short-term outlook bullish hai, aur upward movement ke strong chances hain.

EUR/USD: Key Patterns aur Signals


Hum EUR/USD currency pair ki live pricing ka analysis kar rahe hain.


Pichhle week mein sellers ne market par complete dominance kiya.


MACD indicator par bearish divergence ne solid sell opportunity ko signal kiya.


Descending wedge pattern aur CCI indicator ne bhi bearish divergence ko darshaya.


US dollar ki strengthening ko various currency pairs ne indicate kiya.


Decline ki possibility thi, lekin itni jaldi nahin.


Market ne September ke gains ko wipe out kiya aur previous lows ko update kiya.


Lekin agar bears minimal decline ko achieve nahin kar paate hain.


To 1.07900 aur 1.07650 ke supports par.


1.11910 ke bullish buy level par outlook growth ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.


Is case mein, main apni sell position ko loss par close kar doonga.


Aur buying par transition kar doonga.


1.13479, 1.14367, aur 1.15517 ke resistance levels par growth targets honge.


Yeh level significant hai, daily aur weekly support ke roop mein.


Weekly level par slight fluctuations ho sakti hain.


Lekin corrective price increase ki possibility hai.


1.1010 aur 1.1072 ke levels par targeting.




MACD indicator ne zero mark ko cross kiya hai.


Divergence ko reset kiya hai.


Isse selling advisable nahin hai.


Downward move ki potential minimal hai.


H1 aur H4 timeframes mein growth formation ki expectation hai.


Anticipated upward correction ko capture karne ki koshish karenge.


Bearish sell level 1.10290 par breach hua hai.


Consolidation 1.10290 par hai.


Yeh breakout potential decline ko indicate karta hai.


Long-term targets ke liye door khulta hai.


Maine 1.10290 par sell position initiate ki hai.


1.07900 aur 1.07650 ke support levels par minimum decline ki expectation hai

صبح بخیر۔ پاؤنڈ کی قیمت میں اضافہ جاری ہے اور 1.27 کے نشان سے اوپر مضبوطی حاصل کر چکا ہے۔ مزید اوپر جانے کے لیے، خریداروں کو 1.27765 کے سطح کو توڑنا اور اس سے اوپر مضبوطی حاصل کرنا ضروری ہے۔ اگر وہ اس میں کامیاب ہوتے ہیں تو، ہمیں 1.28599 کے سطح تک حرکت کی توقع کرنی چاہیے۔ فروخت کے بارے میں فی الحال کچھ کہنا مشکل ہے، کیونکہ اوپر کی جانب کا رجحان جاری ہے اور بغیر کسی واپسی کے چل رہا ہے، اور فروخت کو اس سے منسلک کرنے کے لیے کوئی ٹھوس بنیاد نظر نہیں آ رہی۔

اسی طرح، یورو کی جوڑی پر بھی نظر ڈالیں تو وہاں بھی خریدار قیمت کو اوپر کی طرف لے جا رہے ہیں۔ انھوں نے 1.08161 کے مقامی زیادہ سے زیادہ نشان کو توڑ دیا ہے اور اب ہم 1.08517 کے سطح کی طرف حرکت کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں۔

جوڑی EURUSD D1:

1- یورو کے خریداروں نے کل پورا دن قابو میں رکھا اور آج صبح بھی وہ قیمت کو مزید اوپر کی طرف لے جا رہے ہیں۔ دیکھتے ہیں کہ وہ اسے کتنی دور لے جا سکتے ہیں۔ اگر ہم صورتحال کو بینڈز کے ذریعے دیکھیں تو قیمت اوپری بینڈ کے قریب پہنچ گئی ہے، اس کو چھو لیا ہے، اور دونوں بینڈ باہر کی طرف کھلنا شروع ہو گئے ہیں، جو قیمت کے مزید بڑھنے کے ممکنہ جاری رہنے کا سگنل دیتے ہیں۔ اس صورتحال میں، ہم صرف یہ دیکھ سکتے ہیں کہ آیا یہ سگنل ترقی کرتا ہے یا اس کا کوئی رد عمل نہیں ہوتا۔ اگر ہم صورتحال کو فرکٹلز کے ذریعے دیکھیں تو قیمت کے بڑھنے کا ہدف قریب ترین فرکٹل اوپر کی طرف ہے، اس کا بریک آؤٹ اور مضبوطی قیمت کو 4 جون کے فرکٹل کی طرف 1.09149 کے سطح تک لے جانے دے گا۔ نیچے کی طرف نیا فرکٹل ابھی تشکیل نہیں پایا ہے، اور قیمت کے گرنے کی سمت میں کسی چیز پر انحصار کرنے کے لیے، اس کے ظاہر ہونے کا انتظار کرنا چاہیے۔

2- AO انڈیکیٹر صفر نشان کے قریب پہنچ گیا ہے، منفی زون میں مدھم ہونے کے بعد۔ اگر ہم اگلے 2-3 تجارتی دنوں میں صفر کے نشان سے گزرنے کا مشاہدہ کرتے ہیں، تو ہمیں یورو کے بڑھنے کے لیے ایک مضبوط سگنل ملے گا۔ منفی زون میں نئی اضافہ قیمت کے گرنے کا سگنل دے گا۔

liye hum Fibonacci grid ko kal ya aaj ke din (ya hafte) ke extreme points par lagayenge aur us exit ko chunenge jo maximum take profit de sake.
Sab se pehle, attached chart mein jo time period (H4) dikhaya gaya hai, usse yeh wazeh hai ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dashed line), jo ke trend aur instrument ke direction ko dikhati hai, kaafi tez angle par north ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek strong upward trend ko show kar rahi hai.

Doosri taraf, non-linear channel (convex lines) jo future direction ka andaza lagane ke liye use hota hai, uska bhi direction upward slope ki taraf hai. Non-linear regression channel ne golden line ko neeche se upar cross kiya hai aur quotes mein izafa dikhata hai. Buy trade ka timing RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke zariye poori tarah supported hai, kyun ke ye dono indicators oversold zone mein hain.

Price ne linear regression channel ki 2nd Level Support Line (blue line) ko cross kar liya tha, lekin lowest value (LOW) ko touch karne ke baad girawat ruk gayi aur price wapas gradual barhne lagi. Sab kuch dekh kar, mein yeh expect karta hoon ke market quotes 2nd LevelSupLine ke upar consolidate hongi aur phir upward movement kareingi towards golden middle LR line jo ke linear channel mein 1.11800 ke qareeb hai, jo ke

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke zinda pricing ko decode karne par hai. Guzishta hafta, sellers ne mukammal tor par market mein ghulghara kiya, aur pehle hi se yeh wazeh tha ke decline hone ka imkaan hai. MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence zahir hui, jo ek mazboot sell opportunity ka ishara tha. Ek descending wedge pattern bhi pehchani gayi, aur doosri CCI indicator ne bhi similar bearish divergence dikhayi. Kul mila kar, mukhtalif currency pairs ne jald ek taqatwar US dollar ka ishara diya. Jab ke decline ka imkaan tha, main yeh nahi samjha tha ke yeh itni jaldi hoga; mujhe laga tha yeh do haftay le ga, magar chand dino mein hi market ne September ke tamaam gains ko mita diya aur pehle ke lows ko update kar diya.
Lekin agar bears 1.07900 aur 1.07650 ke support levels tak minimal decline karne mein nakam hotay hain, aur bullish buy level 1.11910 ka imkaan hota hai, to outlook phir se growth ke haq mein badal jaayega. Aise surat mein, main apni sell position loss par band kar dunga aur buying mein daakhil ho jaunga, growth targets ko resistance levels 1.13479, 1.14367, aur 1.15517 par rakhte hue.

Yeh level kaafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh daily aur weekly support ke tor par kaam karta hai. Halankeh weekly level mein thodi fluctuations ki gunjaish ho sakti hai, hum thoda niche ja sakte hain pehle ke ek corrective price increase hone ke imkaan se, jo pehle 1.1010 aur phir 1.1072 ko target karega. Iske ilawa, MACD indicator ne zero mark ko cross kar liya hai, jo ke divergence ko reset kar chuka hai. In sab factors ko mila kar yeh lagta hai ke selling ka mashwara nahi diya ja sakta, kyun ke niche girne ka imkaan kam hai. H1 aur H4 timeframes mein ek growth formation ka imkaan hai, aur humein umeed hai ke kam az kam upward correction ka kuch hissa capture kar paayenge.

Ek bearish sell level ka breach hua, jo ke 1.10290 par consolidate hua. Yeh breakout ek mumkin decline ka ishara karta hai, aur long-term targets ke darwazay kholta hai. Maine 1.10290 par sell position initiate ki, aur support levels 1.07900 aur 1.07650 tak ke minimum decline ki umeed hai.

EURUSD

Aaj EURUSD currency pair ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga. Pehle hamein movement ki direction tay karni hai. Bears is mein actively shamil ho sakte hain, is liye sales ka plan banana relevant hai. Abhi 1.09594 ki current price par seedha bechna itna munafa de sakta nahi. Hum un unchaaiyon ki talash karte hain jahan se munafa zyada ho sakta hai. Pichle din ki high 1.10391 se bechna mumkin hai, lekin 1.10401 ka resistance level behtar lagta hai. Is se thoda upar 1.10426 par ek stop loss rakhna hoga taake losses ko limit kiya ja sake. Agar hum galti karte hain, to aaj naye deals kholne ka koi faida nahi. Lekin agar sab kuch theek raha, to 1.08981 ki lower support level par munafa acha hoga. Aaj EURUSD bechne walon ko meri taraf se best wishes!

Mujhe rollback ka option pasand hai, lekin yeh aakhir Friday ke minimum ko update karne ke baad hoga. Support level 1.0950 sirf ek pause ka jagah hai, hamein 1.0920-1.0930 ke range ko kaam karna hoga aur buyers ke stops ko lena hoga. Phir hum northern zigzag ka kaam kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaldi nahi karna chahiye. Ho sakta hai ke low ka breakout kal ho, aaj sirf Monday hai, din flat ho sakta hai, aur hum kahin nahi nikal sakte. Isliye, main aksar haftay ke shuru mein break leta hoon, aur beech mein sab kuch clear hota hai.

Ek active fall ke baad, upar ki taraf zigzag ka kaam karna zaroori hai. Yeh acha hoga agar price ko 1.1020-1.1030 ke levels tak upar le jaya jaye, phir 1.1060 ka breakout bhi ho sakta hai, aur sirf iske baad 9th figure ke saath confident fall ho sakta hai.

Is haftay, maine trading range 1.0920-1.1030 tay ki hai. Aksar yahan short term mein flat raha jayega, kyunke humein jaldi nahi karna chahiye.

Aapka EUR/USD currency pair ka tajziya kaafi dilchasp hai. Filhal, hum EUR/USD ke live pricing ko decode karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jab trends hoti hain, toh mein apne trading volume ko barhata hoon. Hum kal ya parson EUR/USD mein koi significant volatility ki umeed nahi rakhte. Lekin, Tuesday ko market apne range ko widen kar sakti hai, kyunki US FOMC minutes Wednesday ko aane wale hain aur Thursday ko US inflation mein kami ki umeed hai.

Inflation ki kami se interest rate cut ki sambhavna barh jaati hai. Yeh kahawat "buy on expectations" yahan lagu hoti hai: agar US se positive outcomes milte hain, toh dollar kharidna samajhdaari hai. Hafte ke shuruat par ek downward turn aane ki sambhavna lag rahi hai, khaaskar jab European aur American politicians ke speeches is hafte ke doran scheduled hain. Isliye, bearish targets mere liye pehle hain, aur mujhe shak hai ke aaj yeh pair upar ki taraf jaane ka mauqa paa sakta hai.

Aapka EUR/USD ka tajziya kaafi wazeh hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke aaj bhi wahi movement pattern jaari rahega, jo ek aur bearish daily candle ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, 1.1006 se 1.0911 tak ke safar ke sath. Stochastic indicator oversold conditions ko darust karta hai, jo ek upward trade ki shuruaat ko suggest karta hai, lekin oscillator predictions ke mutabiq decline jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai.

Low trading volumes par chinta kaise hai, kyunki koi bhi news current trajectory ko badal sakti hai. Shaam 4 baje, EUR/USD upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin yeh euro ke US employment data par adverse reaction ke baad ek correction ho sakti hai. Pound ke muqablay mein recovery nahi hui, aur bears control mein hain.

Indicators ke hisaab se, northward pullback mumkin hai, lekin abhi yeh sirf ek temporary correction hoga, jo resistance levels 1.1006 aur 1.1037 par peak karega, phir ek aur downward wave establish hoga, jo robust support level 1.0954 ki taraf jaayega. Mere khayal se daily movement 1.0954 se 1.1037 ke range mein hoga, shuruat growth se hogi, lekin euro Asian trading ke doran thoda dip kar sakta hai bina 1.0954 ke neeche aaye.

quotes sirf do din mein 160 pips neeche chale gaye. Hum ne pehle hi traders ko warn kiya tha ke euro overbought hai aur uska qeemat beja tor par barh gaya hai. Waqt guzarne ke saath, jab growth factors majood nahi the, to ab bhi yeh waja samajh se bahar thi ke yeh itna mehnga kyun hai. Aur aakhir kar collapse shuru ho gaya. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke yeh girawat abhi sirf shuruaat hai, aur yeh silsila kaafi arsay tak jaari reh sakta hai.

Aaj kal ke market mein, pichlay do saal se Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ka easing price-in kiya ja raha tha. Ab jab yeh process chal raha hai, to dollar bechne ka koi aur valid reason nahi raha. Iske ilawa, Monday aur Tuesday ko U.S. dollar ko kaafi support mila jab kayi aham events huay. Middle East mein military conflict ka izafa, Eurozone mein inflation ka target level se neeche ana, Jerome Powell ka November mein 0.5% rate cut na karne ka bayan, aur Christine Lagarde ka October mein monetary easing ka ishara dena, in sab ne U.S. dollar ko mazid support diya. Lekin hamaray khayal mein, yeh sab secondary factors hain. Jo asal waja hai, wo yeh ke EUR/USD pair overbought tha aur uska qeemat ghair munasib tor par zyada barh gaya tha.

Tuesday ko do trading signals generate huay jo ke kaafi aham the. Sab se pehle pair ne critical line ko break kiya, aur phir Senkou Span B line ko bhi cross kiya. Iska matlab yeh tha ke European trading session ke aghaz mein short positions open ki ja sakti thi. Shaam tak, short positions se lagbhag 50-60 pips ka profit ho chuka tha, aur girawat ka silsila aage barhne ka imkaan tha. Hourly time frame mein, ab bhi yeh realistic chance hai ke yeh two-year-old unjustified upward trend khatam ho jaye. Fundamental ya macroeconomic wajaon se ab dollar ke mazeed girne ka koi sabab nahi hai, aur technical analysis bhi ab downward movement ko support kar raha hai. Haan, momentum ki wajah se two-year trend continue reh sakta hai, magar hum medium-term mein girawat expect karte hain.

October 2 ke liye trading levels yeh hain: 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0797, 1.0843, 1.0889, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, 1.1147, 1.1185, 1.1234, 1.1274, aur Senkou Span B (1.1141) aur Kijun-sen (1.1138) lines. Ichimoku indicator ki lines din ke dauran shift ho sakti hain, to yeh trading signals ko samajhne mein madadgar hongi. Aur agar price 15 pips aapke intended direction mein move karti hai, to Stop Loss order ko break even par zaroor rakhain takay false signals se bach sakein.

Wednesday ko Eurozone unemployment report release hogi, jabke U.S. mein ADP report publish ki jayegi jo private-sector employment ke hawalay se hai. Yeh reports closely dekhni zaroori hain, magar inka asar mazid major

EURUSD
EUR/USD Ka Overview
EUR/USD, jo Euro aur US Dollar ka currency pair hai, duniya ka sab se zyada trade hone wala pair hai. Yeh pair Eurozone aur US ki economies ke darmiyan economic aur financial relations ko represent karta hai. Jab Eurozone ki economy strong hoti hai to Euro ki value barhti hai, aur jab US economy strong hoti hai to US Dollar appreciate karta hai. Dono currencies ka apas ka relation global market ki macroeconomic conditions se asar andaz hota hai, jaise inflation, interest rates, aur geopolitical tensions.

Current Market Sentiment

Filhal EUR/USD ka market sentiment bearish hai. US Federal Reserve ki taraf se interest rates ko high rakhne ka signal US Dollar ko mazid strong kar raha hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ki economy abhi bhi slow recovery phase mein hai, jahan energy crisis aur high inflation ke issues barqarar hain. Iss ka asar Euro ki value par ho raha hai, aur yeh US Dollar ke against weakness dikhata nazar aa raha hai. Global economic slowdown ka Eurozone par negative asar pad raha hai, jo Euro ki strength ko mazid kam kar raha hai.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ke technical indicators ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi downward trend mein hai. Price ne 1.0600 ke important support level ko test kiya hai, aur filhal iske neeche trade kar raha hai. 50-day moving average ne 200-day moving average ko neeche cross kiya, jo ek bearish signal hai. RSI bhi 40 ke kareeb hai, jo price momentum mein weakness ko reflect karta hai. Agar RSI 30 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh oversold condition ko indicate karega, jisse ek short-term bounce ka chance ho sakta hai.

Key Support aur Resistance Levels

EUR/USD ka current support level 1.0500 ke aas paas hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girta hai, to agla support 1.0400 par ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance level 1.0600 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla resistance 1.0700 par ho sakta hai. Yeh key levels near-term trading ke liye important hain.

Conclusion

EUR/USD ke liye filhal market bearish lag raha hai, lekin aglay chand hafton mein macroeconomic events is trend ko badal sakte hain. US Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies aur Eurozone ki economic recovery is pair ke direction ko influence karenge. Traders ko closely monitor karna hoga ke economic data aur central banks ki policies kis tarah se evolve hoti hain, taake trading decisions ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.