Usd/jpy

USD/JPY ko aam taur par Forex market mein trade kiya jata hai. Ye currency pair United States Dollar (USD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke darmiyan ka exchange rate darust karta hai. USD/JPY ek popular currency pair hai jo traders ke darmiyan aksar trade hota hai.
Yeh currency pair Japan aur United States ke darmiyan kaafi ahem hai, kyunki Japan ek mukhtasir arsay mein industrialized nation ban gaya hai aur United States duniya ke sabse bade economy hai. Is liye, is currency pair ka exchange rate economic activities, monetary policies, aur geo-political events ke asar ka akasi mazhar karta hai.

USD/JPY ki taraqqi ya kami ka sabab kai factors ho sakte hain. Economic indicators jaise GDP growth, employment rates, aur inflation rates dono deson mein exchange rate ko influence karte hain. Central banks ke monetary policies, jaise Federal Reserve System (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ), bhi USD/JPY ke exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain.

Geo-political tensions, jaise tarraqiati lehrain, trade agreements, ya kisi bhi tarah ki international crisis bhi is currency pair par asar daal sakte hain. For example, jab tensions ya instability Japan ya United States mein hoti hain, to USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein tezi ya kami a sakti hai.



Forex traders USD/JPY ki taraqqi ya kami ko analyze karne ke liye kai techniques ka istemal karte hain. Technical analysis mein, traders exchange rate ke historical data aur price patterns ko dekhte hain taake future ki movements ko predict kar sakein. Is ke ilawa, fundamental analysis mein, traders economic indicators, monetary policies, aur geo-political events ke taraqqi par nazar rakhte hain. Forex market mein trading karte waqt, risk management ka bohat ahem kirdar hota hai. Traders apne positions ko hedge karne ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal karte hain, jisse ke agar trade unfavorable direction mein chala gaya to nuqsan se bacha ja sake. Overall, USD/JPY ek important currency pair hai jo global economic aur geo-political events ke asar ka akasi mazhar karta hai. Is ke exchange rate ki taraqqi ya kami ko analyze karna, traders ke liye challenging lekin mukhtasir term mein munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.

Japanese housing costs gir rahe hain aur Japanese economic activity slow hui hai. Household spending, jo ke economic growth ka ek key driver hai, April mein 1.2% m/m gir gayi. Ye March ke 1.2% gain ke baad hai, jo market estimate 0.2% se bohot neeche tha. Year-on-year basis par, household spending 0.5% barhi, jo -1.2% ke upar hai magar market estimate 0.6% se kam hai.Prices barhne aur economic conditions ab bhi dry hone ki wajah se, Japanese households ne apni spending ko restrict kiya hai. Monday ko hum pehle quarter ka Japanese GDP dekhenge, aur forecast kuch acha nahi lag raha. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke economy pehle quarter mein 0.5% q/q contract karegi after no growth in the fourth quarter of 2023. Iska matlab hai ke economy recession se hardly immune hai aur ye uska natija hoga. Year-over-year basis par, expect kiya ja raha hai ke economy 2% contract karegi after a 0.4% gain in the fourth quarter.Bank of Japan ka meeting 14 June ko hai aur ek weak GDP report policy tightening plans ko complicate kar sakti hai. BoJ ne signal kiya hai ke woh normalization path par continue karegi, magar agar central bank apni June meeting mein kuch nahi karta, to weak Japanese yen bohot zyada ground lose kar sakta hai.U.S. week end karega non-farm payroll reports ke sath May ke liye. Non-farm payrolls market developments hain jo U.S. economy ko affect kar sakti hain aur dollar impact significantly. May market estimate 185,000 tha, jo April ke gain 175,000 se thoda different hai.USD/JPY ne pehle resistance test kiya 155.81 par. Upar, resistance hai 156.21 par. 155.19 pehle support mein test kiya gaya hai. Agla support hai 154.74.Japanese housing costs ke girne aur economic activity ke slow hone ke sath, ye clear hai ke Japanese economy ek tough period se guzar rahi hai. Household spending mein girawat aur economic conditions ke dry hone ki wajah se, spending ko restrict kar diya gaya hai. GDP forecast kuch acha nahi lag raha aur recession ka khatra badh gaya hai. BoJ ka meeting aur U.S. non-farm payroll reports significant developments hain jo market ko affect kar sakti hain.USD/JPY ke resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki ye ky levels future market movements ko dictate karenge. Agar BoJ ne kuch nahi kiya June meeting mein, to weak yen further ground lose kar sakta hai. U.S. non-farm payroll reports bhi significant impact dal sakti hain USD/JPY par. Market developments aur economic indicators ko dekhte hue, informed trading decisions lena crucial hai.

USD/JPY 22.04.2024

USD/JPY currency pair market opening ke baad se barh rahi hai.

Yeh pair trends ko follow karne ke liye jana jata hai, jaisa ke long-term perspective se pata chalta hai. Lekin, yeh kabhi kabhi excess passengers ko bhi shake off kar deta hai, jaise ke pichle hafte hua tha. Humne dekha ke kaafi technical growth hui thi, supports ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, aur hourly timeframe par ek buy signal bana. Grey bar signal level aur potential ko mark karta hai. Buy signal level par thodi consolidation ke baad, prices tezi se neeche giri aur buyers' risk zone ke neeche chali gayi. Phir tezi se wapas upar aayi. Trendline ne bounce point ka kaam kiya, lekin yeh zyada side effect tha, kyun ke ranging market mein kisi ke paas trendline se buy karne ka waqt nahi hota jab tak buy limit orders na place karein, jo bohot kam traders karte hain. Abhi, hourly timeframe par ek aur buy signal hai, jo pehle se zyada potential rakhta hai. Iske ilawa, resistance fractals ka break bhi hai, jo uptrend ke resumption ko indicate karta hai.

Dusre chart par, main daily timeframe par switch karta hoon. Yahan, humein yaad dilana chahiye ke pehle humare paas price targets range ki form mein the. Range ka lower target 16 April ko set hua tha, lekin upper target bhi reach ho sakta hai. Dusre chart par, maine pehli wave ke baad ek Fibonacci grid apply kiya hai prolonged southern correction ke baad. Humara nearest target level 261.8% par hai, jo ke 155.305 par hai. Hourly buy signals ke potentials ko moving averages ke basis par compare karte hue, yeh Fibonacci level ke sath align karte hain. Iske bawajood, market structure for growth break ho chuki hai, khas tor par jab hourly timeframe ko dekha jaye. Yeh matlab hai ke extreme market targets ko reach karna bohot challenging aur tense ho sakta hai. Jaise jaise targets ke qareeb pohch rahe hain, zyada participants, khas tor par large trend followers, apni positions close karna shuru kar rahe hain, jis se candles upward structure ko break kar rahi hain.

USD/JPY currency pair mukhtalif taqaton ka samna kar rahi hai. Ek taraf, Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke wajah se Japanese yen kamzor ho gaya hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko mazboot kar raha hai. Yeh kamzori yeh andesha barha rahi hai ke Bank of Japan expected se pehle interest rates barha sakta hai, jo yen ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, US dollar khud flat hai economic data ke kami ki wajah se. Lekin, barhte hue US fiscal yields kuch support faraham kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation ke bare mein ehtiyaat barat raha hai aur 2024 mein low tax rates ki possibility, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure dal sakti hai.

Technically, USD/JPY daily chart ek interesting formation dikhata hai - ek ascending triangle. Yeh, bullish RSI indicator ke sath mil kar yeh suggest karta hai ke pair upper trendline ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jo psychological barrier 157.00 ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh level decisive break hota hai, to pair 160.32 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 ke baad se nahi dekha gaya.


Lekin, support levels ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar price triangle ke lower end par immediate support ke niche girti hai, phir key 155.50 level ko follow karti hai, to yeh further slide kar sakti hai taake 21-day EMA 155.25 ko test kar sake. Is level ke niche break ka matlab hoga potential reversal aur USD/JPY par downward pressure barh sakta hai.

Overall, upcoming price action USD/JPY ke liye 156.60 level par munhasir hai. Agar 157.00 ke upar decisive close hoti hai, to focus resistance zone 157.83 aur 158.70 ke beech shift ho jayega. Is area ko conquer karna 159.10 ke upar surge ke darwaze khol sakta hai aur potentially 34 saal ki high 160.20 ka retest bhi ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level strong sabit hota hai, to agle potential upside targets 161.53 se 162.50 range mein ho sakte hain, jo June 2023 resistance line ko break kar sakte hain.