Audjpy

Aaj, BOJ ki Monetary Policy aur Rate Statement AUD/JPY ke market sentiment ko baad mein determine karegi. Kal, Australian Unemployment rate aur employment data AUD/USD ke buyers ke liye helpful thay. Current market direction ko observe karte hue ek clear buying opportunity nazar aati hai, jo favorable sentiment indicate karti hai aur jo aane waale ghanton mein bhi qaim rahegi. Yeh traders ke liye ek strategic moment hai buy plan formulate karne ka aur jaldi se buy orders place karne ka. Iske alawa, significant news events ke release se buyers ka confidence boost hone ki ummeed hai, jo fundamental factors ko leverage karega jo market par substantial influence rakhte hain. Is natije mein, ummeed hai ke buyers puri trading day mein apni taqat maintain karenge aur qareebi muddaton mein key resistance zones ko paar kar sakte hain. Traders ko is prevailing market sentiment aur direction ke saath align hona chahiye aur positions avoid karni chahiye jo established trend ke khilaf ho. AUD/JPY ke case mein, main ek buy order prefer karta hoon jis ka short target point 104.54 hai. Iske alawa, financial markets ke current landscape mein ek promising trend nazar aata hai jo buyers ke favor mein hai, aur jo coming hours mein extend hone ke liye set hai. Yeh favorable sentiment traders ke liye ek strategic moment mark karta hai jahan wo jaldi se buy plans formulate kar sakte hain aur buy orders place kar sakte hain. Umeed hai ke buyers pivotal news events ke release ke baad apni dominance assert karenge, jo fundamental factors ke impactful impact se driven hai. Yeh optimistic outlook buyers ke sustained strength ke liye trading day ke dauran achha hai, aur unhe potential hai ke wo jaldi hi critical resistance zones ko paar kar sakenge. Traders ko apne strategies ko is prevailing market sentiment aur direction ke saath align karne ki salah di jaati hai, taki wo established trend ke khilaf positions avoid karke apne trading outcomes ko optimize kar sake. Chaliye dekhte hain market mein kya hota hai.


Australia sarkar ki economic policies mulk ki economy aur currency par asar daal sakti hain. 2022 aur 2023 ke doran sarkar ne infrastructure development, trade, aur innovation ko promote karne par tawajjo di, jo economic growth ko barhawa dete hain. In policies ko samajhna AUDJPY currency pair ke potential movements ko andaza lagane mein ahem hai. Iske alawa, Australia ki economy commodity exports par mabni hai, jin mein loha, koyla, aur sona shamil hain. Commodity ke prices ka fluctuation mulk ki trade balance aur economic performance ko asar dal sakta hai, jis se Australia dollar ki qeemat par asar padta hai. Aik forex trader ke tor par, in commodities aur unke prices ko monitor karna aap ko aik competitive edge de sakta hai. Oscillators ko dekhte hue, Stochastic aur OsMA gir raha hai jo girawat ke potential ko darust karta hai. RSI (14) neutral zone mein hai lekin zyada lamba term mein down trending hai. Hamari raay mein, agar 91.85 ka support tor diya jata hai to keemat phir se apna bearish momentum barhaigi aur agle support 89.50 ki

Haal hi mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor ne traders ko ek hawkish statement se heran kar diya, jo unke liye kuch naya tha. Unhone kaha ke agar core inflation central bank ke forecasts ke mutabiq barh rahi hai, to regulator monetary support ko adjust karega. Halankeh unhone kisi waqt ka zikar nahi kiya, unki rhetoric ne Japanese currency ko support kiya, khas tor par Tokyo mein inflation barhne ke pas-e-manzar mein.

Tokyo Consumer Price Index, jo poore mulk mein inflation dynamics ko predict karne ka ek leading indicator samjha jata hai, May mein barh gaya jabke April mein isme kami dekhi gayi thi. Headline CPI 2.2% tak barh gaya, jo ke pehle 1.8% tha, aur core CPI (jo fresh food ke prices ko exclude karta hai) 1.9% tak barh gaya, jo pehle 1.6% tha. Yeh dono figures consensus ke mutabiq thay lekin inflation mein tez raftari ko zahir karte hain.

Yen ne bhi Bank of Japan ke data par react kiya, jis ke mutabiq April mein mulk mein corporate services ke prices sab se tez raftari se barhe 1991 ke baad, tax increases ke asar ko chhor kar. Jaise ke aap jaante hain, Japanese regulator closely services ke prices ko monitor karta hai, kyun ke yeh labor ke costs ko commodities ke prices se zyada accurately reflect karte hain.





Aham baat yeh hai ke yen ki devaluation ne Japanese exports ki high demand ko enable kiya, jo inflationary pressure ko barhawa de rahi hai. Bahut se analysts ke mutabiq, yeh surat-e-haal central bank ko majboor karegi ke woh mazeed monetary policy ko tighten kare: ya to bond purchases ke rate ko kam karke ya interest rates ko barhakar.

Agar hum 4-hour chart par dekhein, to AUD/JPY cross currency pair apni main bias, yani Bull, se correct ho raha hai, jo EMA 50 ke EMA 200 ke oopar hone se tasdeeq hota hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator ke position jo Oversold level par hai aur upar barhne ke liye tayar hai, ke madde nazar, qareebi mustaqbil mein AUD/JPY 103.80 ka level test karega aur agar yeh level break ho gaya to agla target 104.29 hoga. Lekin agar apne target level ki taraf raste mein AUD/JPY dubara kamzor ho gaya aur 102.85 ke level ke neeche gir gaya to pehle se bayaan ki gayi tamam strengthening scenarios invalid ho jayeingi aur automatically cancel ho jayeingi.

Currency Pair AUD/JPY

FIBO grid ke web mein. Pichle din ki daily candle ke extremes par mojood Fibo grid data se hasil hone wali area -50-103.708 aur 0-104.079 ek trading decision lene ke liye ahem area hai. Yeh itni ahem kyun hai? Asal mein, market price 103.787 ismein mojood hai.

Is tarah se, mujhe sellers ke advantages ke baare mein maloomat mili aur maine sales decisions liye. Main -76.4-103.512 level tak sell karunga, jo aggressively behave kar sakti hai, aur return de sakti hai. Isliye, main isko partially close karunga aur used position mein transfer karunga. Main koshish karunga ke baaqi hissay ko -150-102.966 level tak hold karun, jahan main sab kuch close kar dunga. Us ke baad, is currency pair ko agle business day tak chhod diya ja sakta hai. Ek purchase option stock mein hai; iski demand analyzed range se zyada hogi. Agar bullish growth fibo level 0-104.079 ke oopar ho, to main bull mein convert ho jaunga. Agar broken range par wapas aaye, to main 0-104.079 se buy karunga.



Dusre hissa mein, neechle M5 timeframe mein price pullback ke baad, hum market ke mutabiq entry sell karenge. Main hamesha kam az kam 1 to 3 ya us se zyada ka risk/reward leta hoon. Lower ratio wale transactions ko hum side mein rakh denge; koi bhi risk justified hona chahiye. Mera stop order hamesha twenty points par fix hota hai. Kuch log kahenge ke yeh zyada hai, lekin apne trading experience ke buniyad par, maine is figure par focus karne ka faisla kiya hai. Phir milenge, doston! Profitable trades!

AUD-JPY Pair Forecast

AUD-JPY market kareeban teen trading dinon se slope kar raha hai. Yeh surat-e-haal tab hui jab bullish price 104.50 ko touch karne ke baad barh nahi sakti thi. Sellers ne hissa lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki taqat ab tak market par hukumran hone aur prices ko girane ke liye kafi nahi thi. 103.82 aur 104.39 ke darmiyan ka area ab bhi ek rukawat bana hua hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 bhi gentle price movement ko follow karte hue flat hain. Yeh surat-e-haal Wednesday ki trading mein bhi jari rahi, jahan prices consolidation area mein rahein. Asian-European sessions mein, prices aaj ke daily open 104.05 ke oopar chalti rahi. Lekin buyers ke encouragement se price ko aage le jaane mein kamiyabi nahi hui kyunki 104.42 par resistance tha. Aaj ka qareebi support 103.68 par bana. American session mein enter karte hue, sellers ko market par hukumran hone ki koshish karte dekha gaya aur prices ko daily open ke paar dabane ki koshish kar rahe the. H1 time frame par, 200 EMA price movement ke neeche hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke trend bullish period mein hai.

AUD-JPY H1 Plan

Prices ke ab tak slope hone aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke darmiyan crossover na hone ke bawajood, yeh momentum worth waiting hai market mein enter karne se pehle. Daily aur H1 analysis aur H1 time frame par mapping area ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh trading plan current AUD-JPY pair ke liye banaya gaya hai.

Sell plan price breakout support conditions 103.68 par tayar kiya gaya hai. Ek downside crossover EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyan bana hai, aur EMA 200 ki position ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jo ke is waqt 103.57 par cross kar rahi hai. Take profit level 103.30 se 103.07 tak calculate kiya gaya hai.



Alternative ke taur par, ek sell plan bhi tayar kiya gaya hai agar positive price movement barh jati hai aur ek pullback 104.87 area mein hoti hai, jahan qareebi weakening target 104.50–104.42 hai.

Buy plan is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue banaya gaya hai jo ke ab bhi bullish hai aur increase ka potential khula hai. Provided ke price breakout resistance 104.42 par ho, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ek upside crossover banayen, qareebi take profit level 104.97 par hai.

Pullback buy ka mauqa faida uthaya ja sakta hai agar price sahi se move kare aur 200 H1 EMA line se reject ho. Take profit area 103.84 se 104.00 ke aas paas calculate kiya gaya hai.

Stop loss market entry point se 15 pips door rakha gaya hai.

AUD-JPY Pair Forecast

Area 104.11 is haftay ka weekly open area hai aur is area ke qareeb ek bearish candle line mojood hai jo doji ke form mein hai. Yeh lagta hai ke seller pressure apply karne ki koshish kar raha hai, halankeh ab tak unki koshishen kisi natije par nahi pohanch saki hain. Lekin aisa lagta hai ke is baar halat badal sakti hai kyunki daily stochastic ne bhi yeh zahir kiya hai ke sellers ki taqat zyada dominant hai aur market overbought conditions ke baad neeche curve kar rahi hai.

Jaise ke hum jaante hain, is daily trend mein bullish condition hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 bhi upar ki taraf stick kar rahi hain, jo recent bullish current ki taqat ko zahir karti hain. Increase kafi zyada ho chuki hai aur prices lagataar upar move kar rahi hain. Is haftay ke shuru mein, prices market saturation ka thoda response dena shuru kar rahi hain, jo zaroor confirmation chahti hai taake fake signals ka shikar na hoon. Agar price 104.11 ke neeche move karne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur 103.57 ko paar kar leti hai, to price ke daily support 103.27 ki taraf negatively move karne ka imkan hai, jo maximum daily EMA 36 line tak ja sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, agar price 103.11 ke oopar move karti rehti hai aur 104.50 ko paar kar leti hai, to rally dubara hone ka potential mojood hai, jise positive movement ka target 105.12 se 106.28 area ho sakta hai. Overall, is waqt corrective movement ka potential kafi zyada hai, isliye sell option recommend ki jayegi lekin kuch specific limits ka khayal rakhte hue sell trade start karne ke liye.

AUDJPY Currency Pair Analysis

Agar hum is haftay ke trading conditions ka mazeed jaiza lein, to hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke market ab tak stable uptrend mein chal rahi hai. AUDJPY pair mein dekhi gayi market trend ke mutabiq, yeh haftay tak bullish rahi hai. Magar, humein trend reversal ka bhi khayal rakhna hoga jaise ke mahine ke aaghaz mein trading period mein hua tha jab seller ne price ko drastic tor par kam karne ki koshish ki thi. Us waqt candlestick ne kafi neeche girte hue 99.86 ka price area touch kiya tha. Yeh sach hai ke bearish trend sirf do din tak raha, lekin yeh ek warning ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai ke sellers ka market par control kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai.

Is haftay ki analysis ko zyada objective banane ke liye, humein bara time frame par bullish trend ko bhi monitor karna hoga. Agar aap upar diye gaye chart image ko dekhein, to price 104.24 zone tak upar move kar chuki hai. Yeh surat-e-haal yeh zahir karti hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein price movements ko control kar rahe hain aur meri raaye mein future trading ke liye Buy position ko chunna ab bhi aik priority hai.

Agar market movement ko dekha jaye, to ab bhi yeh lagta hai ke prices bullish predicted hain aur agle upward trend ka aim 104.52 price zone ko test karna ho sakta hai, ya shayad yeh expected se zyada upar barh sakti hain. Stochastic indicator ke signal ne 80 zone tak parwaz ki hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market bullish chal rahi hai. Is surat-e-haal ke madde nazar, trend bullish chalne ka rujhan rakhta hai, jo Buy trading option ko chunne ka ek bara mauqa faraham karta hai. Shayad agle bullish safar mein prices ko dobara upar barhne ka prediction hai.

Aaj, BOJ ki Monetary Policy aur Rate Statement AUD/JPY ke market sentiment ko baad mein determine karegi. Kal, Australian Unemployment rate aur employment data AUD/USD ke buyers ke liye helpful thay. Current market direction ko observe karte hue ek clear buying opportunity nazar aati hai, jo favorable sentiment indicate karti hai aur jo aane waale ghanton mein bhi qaim rahegi. Yeh traders ke liye ek strategic moment hai buy plan formulate karne ka aur jaldi se buy orders place karne ka. Iske alawa, significant news events ke release se buyers ka confidence boost hone ki ummeed hai, jo fundamental factors ko leverage karega jo market par substantial influence rakhte hain. Is natije mein, ummeed hai ke buyers puri trading day mein apni taqat maintain karenge aur qareebi muddaton mein key resistance zones ko paar kar sakte hain. Traders ko is prevailing market sentiment aur direction ke saath align hona chahiye aur positions avoid karni chahiye jo established trend ke khilaf ho. AUD/JPY ke case mein, main ek buy order prefer karta hoon jis ka short target point 104.54 hai. Iske alawa, financial markets ke current landscape mein ek promising trend nazar aata hai jo buyers ke favor mein hai, aur jo coming hours mein extend hone ke liye set hai. Yeh favorable sentiment traders ke liye ek strategic moment mark karta hai jahan wo jaldi se buy plans formulate kar sakte hain aur buy orders place kar sakte hain. Umeed hai ke buyers pivotal news events ke release ke baad apni dominance assert karenge, jo fundamental factors ke impactful impact se driven hai. Yeh optimistic outlook buyers ke sustained strength ke liye trading day ke dauran achha hai, aur unhe potential hai ke wo jaldi hi critical resistance zones ko paar kar sakenge. Traders ko apne strategies ko is prevailing market sentiment aur direction ke saath align karne ki salah di jaati hai, taki wo established trend ke khilaf positions avoid karke apne trading outcomes ko optimize kar sake. Chaliye dekhte hain market mein kya hota hai

AUD-JPY Pair Analysis

Aaj AUD-JPY ke movement ka general picture, mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, abhi bhi 95.60 price level tak niche ja raha hai. Saal ke pehle hissa mein, AUDJPY ka movement double bearish engulfing candle form kiya, jo ke AUDJPY ko 96.20 par sell karne ka bohot strong signal tha
Lagta hai ke AUDJPY bhi GAP se affect hua hai, jiski wajah se price phir se gir rahi hai, jo ke thodi noteworthy baat hai jab is AUDJPY pair ki baat ho rahi hai. Kyunki sideways trend mein yeh itna interesting nahi hota, magar is strong increase ke sath, lagta hai ke price aur barhne ka imkaan hai
Mujhe yaqeen hai ke jab price correct karke 94,662 support zone par pehle resistance tak pohonchti hai, toh price phir bhi barh sakti hai jab tak ke nearest resistance zone 97,000 tak na pohonch jaye, magar yeh jaan lena zaroori hai ke lagta hai ke price ne nearest support bhi wahaan penetrate kar liya hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke jo high abhi form ho raha hai wo sirf ek lower upper zone hai taake price baad mein lower low form kare
Agli move predict karne ke liye, agar price ko dekhain jo ke pehle move ke mukable mein downward deviation dikha rahi hai aur abhi bhi base zone ke andar hai, toh AUDJPY ke agle move ke liye bearish hone ke imkanat hain. Toh, mere forecast ke mutabiq, AUDJPY aur gehra giraayega, aur hum 93.07 support line par selling opportunities dekh sakte hain. Khabardar raho agar price rebound karke 95.30 line se upar break kare. Kyunki agar price upar jaye aur 95.30 line se upar break kare, toh AUDJPY ki agli move bullish hone ke imkanat hain. Mere prediction ke mutabiq, yeh ho raha hai AUDJPY ke next move ke liye

**Bunyadi Outlook**

Aaj ki Asian trading session mein, Australian dollar mehtarpur tor par mazboot hua hai jab China ke positive macroeconomic data release hue jo ke forecast se behtar sabit hue. Iske ilawa, Australian dollar ne mazeed currency pairs me bhi apni taqat ka izhar kiya hai pichle kuch dino se, jo ke iski mojooda resilience ko dikhata hai.

**Technical Outlook**

4-hour chart par price movements aur RSI (4) indicator ke darmiyan jo deviations nazar aa rahi hain, wo AUD/JPY cross currency pair ke mazid mazboot hone ki potential ko dikhati hain. Yeh is baat se confirm hota hai ke AUD/JPY price movement ek channel ke andar move kar rahi hai jo ke ooper ja raha hai aur Moving Average indicator bhi ooper ki janib slope kar raha hai aur price movement iske upar hai. Is buniyad par, anqareeb AUD/JPY ka upper rally karne ka moqa hai aur pehla target level 95.77 hai aur agar momentum aur volatility bhi increase hoti hai aur isay support karti hai toh agla target level 96.86 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is raste me koi significant downward correction hota hai aur price 93.99 ke level se neechay toot jati hai, toh tamam strengthening scenarios jo pehle bayan kiye gaye thay wo invalid ho jain gay aur apne aap cancel ho jayenge.

Bunyadi tor par AUD Japanese yen ke muqable me mazbooti dikhata hai aur ye acha idea ho sakta hai ke chhoti time frame chart par short term buy opportunities dekhi jayein, magar main 4-hour time frame chart ka zikar is liye kar raha hoon kyun ke isme clear trend aur AUD/JPY ki tafseelat dikhayi deti hain.

AUD/JPY Analysis

Australia ke Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI March ke 47.3 se barh kar April mein 49.9 tak pohanch gaya, jo aath maheenon ka sabse zyada hai. Magar, Services PMI 54.4 se gir kar 54.2 tak pohanch gaya, jo do maheenon ka sabse kam hai. ANZ-Roy Morgan weekly Australian Consumer Confidence 3.2 points gir kar 83.5 se 80.3 par aa gayi, jo is saal ka sabse kam point hai. ANZ ne financial aur economic subindices mein declines dekhein. Har housing group mein confidence kam hui, lekin renters ko sabse zyada asar hua.

Tuesday ko, AUD/JPY 99.90 par trade kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 level ke upar hai aur cross ab bhi important support level 99.65 ke upar hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bullish feeling develop ho rahi hai. 100.50 aur April ka high 100.81 ke significant level ke baad, psychological level 100.00 par immediate obstacle hai. Agar is area ke upar break hota hai, to AUD/JPY cross ascending channel ki upper bound ko challenge kar sakta hai. April mein, Australia ka Judo Bank Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) 53.3 se barh kar 53.6 tak pohanch gaya, jo 24 maheenon ka sabse zyada hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke Australian private sector dusre quarter mein zyada tezi se barh raha hai, jahan services sector growth ko lead kar raha hai.





Downside Analysis

Neeche ki taraf, psychological level 99.50 AUD/JPY cross ke liye instantaneous support faraham kar sakta hai. Agar is threshold ke neeche break hota hai, to dono 99.00 ke psychological threshold ke qareeb ja sakte hain. Agar is point ke neeche break hota hai, to dono rising channel ki bottom bound ko challenge kar sakte hain. Tuesday ko AUD/JPY pichle session ke gains ke baad stable raha. Australian dollar (AUD), jo AUD/JPY cross ko support karta hai, ko general upbeat sentiment ka faida ho sakta hai, jo Middle East mein relaxed geopolitical environment se mutasir ho sakta hai.

AUD/JPY Chart Analysis Technical Outlook

Technical summary market ki surat-e-haal ka jaiza deti hai. Yeh woh parameters hain jo market ki condition aur direction ko pehchaanne mein madadgar hote hain. Traders ko ek sahi trade spot karne ke liye comprehensive analysis ki zaroorat hoti hai. Currency correlation ek ma'yar hai jisse ek pair ka doosre pair se talluq hota hai. Currency correlation numeric scale par -1 se +1 tak hota hai, bilkul correlation coefficient ke tarah. Currency correlation mein shamil numeric values association ka level dikhati hain.

Australian Dollar Japanese Yen ke khilaf (AUD/JPY) ne ek remarkable upward trajectory dikhayi hai, jo ke chart par blue lines se symetric triangle pattern se break ho chuki hai. Yeh breakout sirf technical achievement nahi hai; yeh ek strong bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai jo pair mein build ho raha hai. Is upward movement ke sath ek key horizontal resistance ka breach bhi shamil hai, jo green color se chart par identify kiya gaya hai, jo ke current trend ki strength ko aur validate karta hai.

AUD/JPY ka recent surge kafi impressive hai. Magar, forex trading ki duniya mein, aise steep ascents aksar bearish corrections ki possibilities ko invite karte hain. Ek pullback, jo ke recently surpassed green resistance se neeche pair ko drag karne ke liye kaafi strong ho sakta hai, ko rule out nahi kiya ja sakta. Aise corrections natural aur healthy hote hain long-term trends ko sustain karne ke liye. Yeh un traders ke liye mauka faraham karte hain jo initial wave of uptrend ko miss kar chuke hain ongoing bullish narrative mein participate karne ke liye.

Australian dollar ko ek commodity currency kaha jata hai Australia ke global gold production aur export mein kirdar ki wajah se. Aussie ka long-term positive correlation hai gold ke value ke sath. Jabke, Canadian dollar ko bhi commodity currency classify kiya jata hai aur iska correlation energy products crude oil aur natural gas se hota hai. Kyun ke Australian dollar pehla currency (base currency) hai aur Canadian dollar doosra currency (quote currency) hai, is pair ko cross currency pair kaha jata hai.





AUD/JPY moderate rahti hai magar yeh slightly bullish basic trend ko question kar sakti hai. Aise conditions mein trading direction ko advise karna mushkil hai. Pehla support 96.71 JPY par located hai. Pehla resistance 97.80 JPY par located hai. Aap sidelines par reh sakte hain aur is instrument par zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar kar sakte hain. Ek nayi analysis tab ki ja sakti hai jo zyada clear signals faraham kare.

AUD/JPY ek popular currency pair hai trading ke liye, lekin yeh har kisi ke liye zaroori nahi ke best ho. AUD/JPY currency pair volatile reh chuki hai aur is liye yeh zyada experienced traders ke liye suited ho sakti hai jo quick price fluctuations ko capitalize kar sakte hain. Yeh currency pair un logon ke liye bhi suitable ho sakti hai jo higher volatility markets mein trading ko prefer karte hain aur long-term investors jo yeh believe karte hain ke Australian dollar ka value Japanese yen ke khilaf waqt ke sath barhega. Kisi bhi trading type ke sath, yeh zaroori hai ke thoroughly research kiya jaye sab factors ko AUD/JPY pairing mein engage karne se pehle aur ensure kiya jaye ke aap market forces ko achi tarah samajhte hain jo is pairing ko affect karte hain.

Primary buy signal robust rehta hai aur yeh tab tak hold karega jab tak AUD/JPY apni position triangle pattern ke upar sustain rakhti hai. Is pattern ke upar break hone ne ek bullish precedent set kiya hai, aur sirf triangle ke boundaries mein wapas aane se yeh outlook dampen hoga. Triangle mein wapas move karna sirf bullish momentum ka loss signify nahi karega, balki ek sell signal ko trigger karega ek false breakout scenario ke basis par.

AUD-JPY Pair Review

AUD-JPY pair ke price movement par nazar daali jaye to maloom hota hai ke sellers ka selling pressure ab kamiyab hota nazar aa raha hai. Thursday ke trading session mein, price dobara bearish movement mein chali gayi. Iski wajah yeh thi ke sellers ne buyers ke buying pressure ko kam kar diya, kyunke buyers ab tak resistance area 97.50–97.65 ko break karne mein nakam rahe the. Yeh resistance area ko break na karne ki nakami ne price ko dobara neeche le aaya, aur price ne bearish movement ikhtiyar ki.

Friday ke trading session se yeh bhi samajh aata hai ke sellers ne ab tak bearish price movement ko control mein rakha hua hai. Buyers ko bullish movement rokne ke liye, sellers ne dynamic resistance area 97.35–97.40 par maintain rakha. Agar price 96.90–97.00 ke buyer support area ke neeche penetrate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to price further neeche move karke support area aur Middle Bollinger Bands area 96.55–96.50 ko target kar sakti hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator bhi yeh show kar raha hai ke price jo pehle level 56 par thi, ab level 55 ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers ka selling pressure ab bhi kaafi strong hai aur price ko aaj RSI level 50 area tak le ja sakta hai.

Mandi ke Ruju':

AUD-JPY pair ke price movement ko ab bhi gehra bearish movement ka mauka mil sakta hai. Sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur price ko Upper Bollinger Band area se door le aaye hain. Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke ek solid bearish candle ka dominance bhi hai.





Friday ka Market Behavior:

Friday ko, sellers ne market mein apni pakad banaye rakhi aur price ko neeche ki taraf dhakelna jari rakha. Agar price 97.35–97.40 ke dynamic resistance area ko break nahi kar pata, to price neeche 96.90–97.00 ke support area ko target karegi. Yeh break hone par, price 96.55–96.50 ke Middle Bollinger Bands area ko bhi target kar sakti hai.

RSI Indicator Analysis:

RSI indicator se maloom hota hai ke price jo pehle level 56 par thi, ab level 55 ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke selling pressure ke strong hone ki nishani hai. Agar yeh trend jari raha, to price RSI level 50 area tak neeche ja sakti hai.

Nateejah:

AUD-JPY pair ke price movement ko ab bhi gehra bearish movement ka mauka mil sakta hai. Yeh is liye kyunke sellers ne market mein apni pakad banaye rakhi aur price ko Upper Bollinger Band area se door le aaye hain. Pending sell limit order ko 97.40–97.45 ke price area par place karna chahiye, aur TP (Take Profit) area ko 96.55–96.60 par rakhein.

Is sab ka khulasa yeh hai ke AUD-JPY pair ke price movement ko nigrani mein rakha jaye aur bearish trend ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Agar price support area ko break karti hai, to yeh signal hai ke price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Doulat-mand trading ke liye, market ke trend aur indicators ko ghore se dekhna zaroori hai taake sahi faislay kiye ja saken.

AUD-JPY Pair Review

AUD-JPY pair ka price movement yeh dikhata hai ke price mid-Bollinger Bands (BB) ke upar rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai, halan ke jab yeh upar ko bounce karti hai, to top-BB tak nahi pohanchti. Magar agar ghoor se dekha jaye, to price movements naye highs bana rahe hain jo pehle se zyada hain. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price movement ka rukh ab bhi bullish condition mein hai aur yeh 98.48 ke resistance ko test karne ki koshish kar sakti hai.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke zariye monitor kiya jaye to maloom hota hai ke seller ne price ko control kar liya hai, jo price ko Upper Bollinger Bands area se door neeche le aaya hai. Yeh strong bearish candle banane se seller ki position AudJpy market pair ki trading mein dominate karti nazar aati hai. Aaj bhi bearish pressure hone ka imkaan hai, jahan sellers ka plan hai ke price ko 96.90–96.95 ke nearest buyer support area ko test karte hue Middle Bollinger Bands area tak le aayein.



RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye to maloom hota hai ke price direction ke hawale se koi yaqeen nahi hai. Kyun ke RSI parameter sirf level 50 ke aas-paas upar neeche hota rehta hai bina oversold ya overbought zone mein ghussay. Iska matlab yeh hai ke aglay movements mid-BB ke ird gird consolidate karne ka rujhan rakhtay hain, jab tak price apne nearest lower prices ya high prices ko cross nahi karti.



Mere khayal se, agar daily timeframe ko dekha jaye to trading option par tawajju deni chahiye woh mid-BB area hai. Misal ke taur par, agar price ab mid-BB ko touch karne ke liye neeche aati hai, to aap foran buy position place kar sakte hain jiska target nearest high price ho. RSI indicator parameter (14) ko confirmation ke liye use nahi kiya ja sakta kyunke iska movement ab bhi level 50 ke aas-paas neutral hai.

Nateeja:

AUD-JPY pair ka price movement ab bhi bullish condition mein hai, lekin sellers ne market ko temporarily control kar liya hai aur price ko neeche le aaye hain. Aane wale dinon mein bearish pressure continue ho sakta hai aur price 96.90–96.95 ke support area ko test kar sakti hai. RSI indicator ka neutral hona yeh batata hai ke price movements mein koi clear direction nahi hai aur market mid-BB ke ird gird consolidate kar raha hai. Trading ke liye mid-BB area par tawajju dena zaroori hai aur buy position tab place karni chahiye jab price mid-BB ko touch kare.

AUDJPY Technical Outlook

Australian Dollar ek badi currency hai aur duniya ki sab se zyada traded currencies mein se ek hai. Australia kay pass bohat ziada natural resources hain, jin mein iron ore, coal aur gold shaamil hain, jo uski exports ka bara hissa hain. India aur China, jo ke Australia ke kareebi mulk hain, in cheezon ke bohot bara importer hain. Iske ilawa, Australia in mulkon se heavy machinery aur doosri cheezein import karta hai. Jab yeh mulk jo Australian maal ke bare importer hain, kisi economic instability ka shikaar hote hain, to yeh Australian exporters ko nuksaan pohanchata hai aur Australian dollar ko kamzor karta hai.

JPY ko aksar safe haven currency mana jata hai aur investors economic risk ke doran is currency mein invest karte hain. Iske ilawa, JPY ko doosre mulkon mein investments ke liye valuable funding source mana jata hai, kyunke iske interest rates bohot kam hain. Is liye financial risks investors ko high-yield assets chhod kar JPY ko badhane par majboor kar sakte hain.

Magar, pehle JPY ko safe haven asset mana jata tha, lekin is saal yeh itna sahi sabit nahi hua. Yen doosri major currencies ke muqable mein gir gayi hai. Surging dollar aur Japanese economy ki fikrein, aur central bank ka soaring inflation se nibatne ke liye koi action na lena, yen ko niche le aaye hain.

Technical analysis ek zaroori tool hai trades enter aur exit karne ke liye, magar directional bias zyada tar macroeconomic factors se mutasir hota hai jo broader markets aur individual economies ko affect karte hain. Misal ke taur par, Ukraine-Russia conflict, inflation, soaring energy prices waghera ne is saal market ko drive kiya hai. Iske ilawa, interest rates, employment, inflation data, GDP aur doosre factors bhi kisi mulk ki currency ko mutasir karte hain. Is liye, technicals ko use karna market enter aur exit karne ke liye (stop-losses set karna, take profits waghera) zaroori hai, magar economic aur geopolitical data aur activities se up-to-date rehna bhi utna hi zaroori hai.





Haal ka short-term bearish trend jaldi se neutral ya bearish trend ko reset karne ki umeed hai. Short term ko contradict na karte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke AUD/JPY ke liye short positions (for sale) favor ki jayein jab tak price 99.64 JPY se neeche rahe. Next bearish objective sellers ke liye 98.95 JPY set kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh support break ho jaye to bearish momentum wapas aa sakta hai. Sellers phir support ko target kar sakte hain jo ke 98.58 JPY par located hai. Agar yeh cross ho jaye to next objective support 98.28 JPY par hoga. Base trend clearly displayed na hone ke bawajood, price response ko 98.95 JPY par support par dhyan dena chahiye.

Price action ka overall context narrowing formation ko reflect karta hai jahan trendline resistance level (Red line) 98.00 ke upar hai. Resistance line ke upar break aur close hona price action ke raaste ko khol sakta hai. Agar price action resistance ke upar break na kare, to yeh narrowing formation ke andar wapas resume ho sakta hai.

Price apne EMA9 aur monthly pivot of 95.95 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo annual pivot point aur monthly S1 calculation ke near level 93.80 par support ka confluence show kar raha hai. Chart par price action aur tick volume ke darmiyan negative divergence identify kiya gaya hai, aur ek aur negative divergence price action aur RSI ke darmiyan bhi hai, jahan price action higher highs bana raha hai magar indicators lower highs dikha rahe hain.

Inverted complex Head and Shoulder formation choti time frames (4 hours) mein dekhi ja sakti hai jab traders FOMC interest rate cuts par speculate kar rahe hain. Theoretically, USD par lower rates AUDJPY ke liye positive reflect karne chahiye, lekin kitna already price mein discount hua hai, yeh sawal hai. Non-Farm Payroll release time ke karib neckline par price action ko closely monitor kiya ja sakta hai. False breakout aur pattern failure bhi ek possibility hai, khaaskar weekly chart aur uske trendline resistance level par negative divergences ke sath.

AUD/JPY

Subha bakhair!

Jo pressure mahsoos hua tha jab keemti hasili ko banaye rakhnay ki koshish ki gayi thi, ab tak rukawat mein tha kyunke buyers ki taqat abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Guzishta Jumme ko trading mein, price movements kum flexible rahein aur had tak simit rahein, chahe ke sellers ne koshish ki ke prices ko aur neeche dhakel sakein. EMA 200 jo ke price movement se neeche hain aur jo ke lagbhag pohanch gaya hai, ek mazboot neeche ka resistance ho sakta hai jo negative price movement ko rok sakta hai. Kal ke liye kya mauqay hain?

Last Jumme ko aisa mehsoos hua ke market mein price movements kum joshili thi. Isi tarah ka asar AUDJPY market par bhi tha. Asian session mein, prices ne koshish ki ke jumme se chal rahi kamzori ko jaari rakhein. Price Jumme ke daily open 99.64 se shift hokar 99.39 ka support qasat kar gaya. Badqismati se, 99.05 ka target area jo EMA 200 H1 line ke parallel hai pohanchne se pehle price ne 99.14 se rukh badal diya. Buyers ki taqat wapas aayi aur prices ko Jumme ke daily open tak le aayi aur market close tak is area mein consolidate kiya, chahe ke sellers ne kuch distraction paida ki, magar buyers ka asar is halchal ko rokne mein kamiyaab raha.

AUDJPY market aakhir kar 99.70 par close hua, jo ke same rahe jumme ki trading ka closing price tha. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 neeche ki taraf point karte hue twist ho rahe hain kyunke buyers ne apne moves karne shuru kar diye hain aur prices dheere dheere mazboot ho rahi hain. Ab yeh dono choti EMAs ne ek cross banaya hai aur upar ki taraf lagay hue hain. EMA 200 ab tak apni asli position mein hai, matlab ke price movement ke neeche, to bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai aur dubara confirm hui EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke upward cross se. Magar is surat mein, yeh yaqeen nahi hai ke price dubara rally karega ya yeh ek trick hai ke price aur neeche gir sake.

Jumme ko jo kamzori jaari rakhnay ki koshish thi woh naakaam hui kyunke us din ki trading mein price movement ne ek bullish candle payda ki jismein lambi tail thi. Sellers ke price ko 99.05 ki daily support par rokne mein naakaam rehne se ab yeh imkan khulta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf move kare. Magar, is imkan ko possible banane ke liye price ko jo rukawat ka samna karna hoga woh hai daily resistance 99.81 aur critical buyer area 100.10 – 100.34. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 upar ki taraf hain, aur EMA 200 price movement se bohot neeche hai, jo trend ko mazboot aur bullish indicate karte hain. Wahi, daily Stochastic upar ki taraf point kar raha hai aur level 80 tak pohanch chuka hai. OSMA indicator bar positive zone mein hai jo is mazbooti ko support karta hai. Magar, agar price ab bullishly reject hoti hai 99.81 ki daily resistance se ya buyer's critical area se guzarne mein naakaam hoti hai, to yeh dobara bearish price path khol sakta hai taake correction period enter ho sake.




Plan H1:

Filhal, price support aur resistance 99.38 aur 99.90 ke darmiyan hai. H1 time frame ke mapping aur do waqt ke observations se, yeh hai AUDJPY par Monday ka transaction plan.
Price movement ke direction ko follow karte hue jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, buy option ko tarjeeh di jayegi jab tak ke price breakout resistance 99.89, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 upar ki taraf point karti hain, with take profit orders calculated at levels 100.29 to 100.98.
Pullback buy plan ek option hoga agar dubara kamzori hoti hai aur price 200 H1 EMA line se reject hoti hai, to mazbooti ka target 99.65 – 99.98 area mein rakha jayega.
Agar price 99.90 ke upper limit ko penetrate nahi kar sakta to selling ek option hoga agar support 99.38 par breakout hota hai, downside crossover form hota hai EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke darmiyan, aur weakening target level 99.05 par calculated hota hai jo original target tha. Agar seller pressure price ko 98.99 se guzarne par majboor karta hai aur price EMA 200 ke neeche move karti hai, to selling ko maintain kiya ja sakta hai agle target level 98.58 par takreeban EMA 633 H1 line tak.
Sell pullback recommended hai agar price 100.10 – 100.34 area se reject hoti hai aur qareebi target hai real-time EMA 12 aur EMA 36 positions ko pay attention karna.
Stop-loss entry point se 15 pips ki doori par.