gbpjpy

Yo, GBP/JPY market aaj ke lovely Wednesday evening ke Asian session mein thoda sluggish hai. Prices is waqt 200.08 area ke aas paas test kar rahi hain, jo ke aaj ke opening price 199.88 ka closest upper resistance hai.

Agar hum pichle maheenay ke price action ko dekhein, to upward trend build hone ke signs nazar aaye the. Price ne 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar rehne mein kamiyabi hasil ki thi, aur yeh is hafte bhi upar push karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, halaanke pichle hafte sellers ne isay neeche lanay ki koshish ki thi.

Agar hum current 4-hour chart dekhein, to price rising zone mein steady lag rahi hai. Meri rai mein, agla move yeh hoga ke buy side pe opportunities dhoondhi jaayein. Lekin yaad rahe - overall trend bullish lag raha hai, magar hamesha chance hota hai ke yeh dobara neeche ja sakta hai, jaise pehle dekha gaya hai.





Filhaal, main recommend karunga ke kuch initial confirmation ka wait karein pehle jump karne se. Agar price 200.23 zone tak chadh sakti hai, to yeh acha spot ho sakta hai long position open karne ka. Lekin jaldbazi se bachna zaroori hai - hum nahi chahte ke kisi long-term floating loss mein phans jaayein. Agar prices upar chalti rahti hain, to agla potential resistance area 200.46 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/JPY is waqt thoda bullish lag raha hai, to hum is ka faida uthaa sakte hain is hafte. Bas patient rahna, right signals ka wait karna, aur apne risk ko acche se manage karna zaroori hai. Sound good?

GBP/JPY Forecast: Psychological Resistance ke Qareeb Stable

Japanese Yen ki kamzori ne bulls ko GBP/JPY exchange rate mein mazboot grip rakhne di hai. Iss waqt analysis likhte huye, yeh pair 200.55 resistance level ke aas paas stable hai, aur saare technical indicators severely overbought levels pe hain. Yeh baat consider karte huye ke kabhi bhi strong profit-taking ho sakta hai agar Japan achanak foreign exchange market mein intervene kare aur yen exchange rate ko girne se roke. Is liye, main ab bhi GBP/JPY pair ko kisi bhi bullish level pe sell karna prefer karta hoon, khaaskar 200.00 ke psychological resistance ke upar, magar bina kisi risk ke. Japanese Yen ke liye ek important date Friday ko hai jab Bank of Japan apni latest monetary policy announce karega.

Dusri taraf, UK 10-year bond yield GDP data release hone ke baad girti rahi.

Reliable Trading Company ke platform ke mutabiq, UK 10-year government bond yield 4.3% se neeche gir gayi jab data se yeh pata chala ke UK economic recovery ruk gayi hai, jo ke Bank of England ko is saal ke baad monetary policy ko ease karne ka zyada room de sakti hai. April mein, UK economy expected ke mutabiq weak hui thi, jisme industrial production aur construction output expected se significantly zyada giri thi.





Bank of England 20 June ko monetary policy decision karegi, aur traders August ya September mein rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, is mahine nahi. Isi dauraan, Tuesday ko labor market data ne yeh dikhaya ke unemployment rate unexpected tor pe 4.4% tak barh gaya, jo September 2021 se sabse zyada hai, aur job vacancies kam hoti rahi, halaanke wage growth ab bhi high hai.

Stock trading companies ke stock exchange mein. FTSE 100 apne ek mahine se zyada ke lowest level pe gir gaya.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, UK mein April mein unemployment rate unexpected tor pe barh gaya, average income growth accelerate karne mein nakam rahi, aur private sector profits, jo ke Bank of England close dekh raha hai, 2022 mein apne lowest level tak gir gayi.

GBP/JPY ka currency pair is hafte quiet hai aur zyada data releases nahi ho rahi hain. Investors dono UK aur Japan se significant economic reports ka intezar kar rahe hain jo agle hafte aane wale hain. Yeh pair 200.00 aur 199.00 JPY mark ke beech thoda fluctuate kar raha hai. Thode arse ke liye stability ke bawajood, Japanese Yen (jo "Guppy" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai) is saal kaafi weaken ho chuki hai, aur losses 11% se zyada hain. Iss hafte UK aur Japan se economic data releases itne impressive nahi the. Lekin investors ne Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke pronouncements ko closely monitor kiya. BOJ apni quantitative easing aur bond-buying programs ko unwind karne ki koshish kar raha hai, magar Japan mein inflation wapas aane ka dar unhe apni dovish monetary policy stance maintain karne pe majboor kar raha hai. Kamzor Japanese Yen pe major central banks ke global interest rate cuts ke slowdown ka negative asar para hai. Agle hafte ke start mein Japan ke first-quarter GDP figures expected hain, jahan forecasts 0.5% contraction ka ishara kar rahe hain compared to the prior quarter. Isi tarah, UK ko Tuesday ko new labor market data release karni hai, jahan expectations hain ke April tak ke teen mahine mein kareeb 177,000 jobs lost hui hain.






Haal hi ki price movements bullish momentum se shift ka ishara kar rahi hain jo GBP/JPY pair ko propel kar rahi thi. Price apne recent range ke beech mein settle ho gayi hai, aur 199.00 JPY level ke comfortably upar hai. 200-hour exponential moving average is waqt 199.33 JPY pe hai, jo additional support provide kar rahi hai. Late May mein, GBP/JPY pair ne 34-year high 200.75 JPY ko touch kiya tha. Tab se, yeh stabilize hui hai aur 197.00 JPY ki taraf dip hone ke signs dikhaye hain. Interesting baat yeh hai ke technical indicators ab bhi bullish trend ka ishara kar rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) barh raha hai, jo June 2023 se GBP/JPY pair ke liye strongest directional movement indicate kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator ne dobara "Overbought" zone mein entry ki hai, jo current uptrend ko reinforce kar raha hai. Magar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) naye highs register karne mein nakam hai, jo uptrend mein kuch exhaustion hint kar raha hai. Agar bullish sentiment continue karta hai, to traders GBP/JPY pair ko 198.59 JPY ke upar hold karne ki koshish kar sakte hain pehle ke April 29th, 2024 ke high 200.50 JPY ko retest karein. Magar, successfully us level ko reach karna Japanese authorities ko Yen weaken karne ke liye intervene karne ko majboor kar sakta hai, jo GBP/JPY pair ke liye losses lead kar sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Pair ki Technical Analysis

4-hour Chart

4-hour chart pe, GBP/JPY pair ka upward trend dekhne ko milta hai. Do hafton ke sideways trading ke baad, jab price 200.90 level ko break nahi kar payi thi, ab price behavior is baat ki indication de raha hai ke is hafte price is resistance ko break karne mein kamyab ho sakti hai aur upar jaari reh sakti hai. Price ne trading start ki hai mid-lines of the price channels aur weekly pivot level se supported hokar. Price price channel lines tak barh gayi aur unhe break karne ki koshish karte hue aakhir kar ismein kamyab ho gayi pichle aur current candle ke dauran.

Is pair pe trade karne ke liye, agar price rise hoti hai aur resistance level 200.93 ke upar ek ghante ke liye stabilize hoti hai, to humein ek acchi buying opportunity mil sakti hai. Hum resistance level 202.50 tak buy kar sakte hain.

Economic Side

Economic side pe, Japanese Yen ki kamzori ne bulls ko GBP/JPY price performance pe mazboot control diya hua hai. Japanese Yen ke liye ek important date Friday ko hai jab Bank of Japan apni monetary policy update announce karega. Dusri taraf, UK 10-year government bond yields GDP data release hone ke baad aur gir gayi.






Reliable Trading Company ke Platforms ke Mutabiq

Reliable trading company platforms ke mutabiq, 10-year British government bonds ka yield 4.3% se neeche gir gaya hai jab data ne yeh dikhaya ke Britain mein economic recovery ruk gayi hai, jo Bank of England ko is saal ke aakhir mein monetary policy ko ease karne ka zyada flexibility de sakti hai. April mein, UK economy expected ke mutabiq falter hui, jabke industrial production aur construction output expected se zyada significant gir gayi.

Yeh sab dekhte hue, agar price 200.93 resistance level ko break karke stabilize ho jaati hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Is buying opportunity mein 202.50 resistance level tak potential hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke price pe nazar rakhi jaaye aur price movements ko closely monitor kiya jaaye taake sahi waqt pe sahi decision liya ja sake.

Summary

Summary yeh hai ke 4-hour chart pe GBP/JPY pair upward trend mein hai aur pichle do hafton ke sideways trading ke baad ab upward movement dikhayi de rahi hai. Price behavior is baat ka ishara kar raha hai ke price is hafte 200.90 resistance level ko break kar sakti hai. Agar price 200.93 resistance level ke upar ek ghante ke liye stabilize hoti hai, to ek acchi buying opportunity mil sakti hai jo 202.50 resistance level tak potential rakh sakti hai. Economic side pe, Japanese Yen ki kamzori ne bulls ko GBP/JPY price performance pe mazboot control diya hai aur UK 10-year government bond yields GDP data release hone ke baad gir gayi hain, jo Bank of England ko monetary policy ko ease karne ka flexibility de sakti hai. Is context mein, GBP/JPY pair pe nazar rakhna aur price movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake sahi waqt pe sahi decision liya ja sake.

GBP/JPY Pair ki Technical Analysis

Chart Overview

Yeh 4-hour chart GBP/JPY currency pair ka hai jo significant price action, Fibonacci retracement levels aur marked zones of interest ko dikhata hai. Chart ki detail analysis kuch yeh hai:

1. Predominant Trend:
- Chart strong bullish trend se shuru hota hai October ke early days se December ke mid tak. Yeh uptrend blue rectangle se marked hai jo significant price appreciation ka period indicate karta hai.

2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
- Fibonacci retracement levels October ke low se December ke mid ke high tak draw ki gayi hain.
- Key Fibonacci levels jo identify kiye gaye hain woh hain:
- 23.6% takreeban 142.87
- 38.2% takreeban 139.42
- 50% takreeban 136.65
- 61.8% takreeban 133.04
- 76.4% takreeban 130.38

3. 50% Retrace, Support-Check:
- High tak pohanchne ke baad mid-December ke around, price 50% Fibonacci level tak retrace hui, aur 136.65 ke aas paas support mila. Yeh level ek significant support zone ke taur pe act karta hai, jo red rectangle se indicate hai.

4. Bullish Price Action Returns:
- 50% level tak retracement ke baad, bullish price action wapas aayi aur price ko 23.6% level tak push kiya. Yeh period green rectangle se marked hai jo renewed buying interest aur price recovery ko suggest karta hai.

5. Bank of England (BoE) Influence:
- Chart pe ek specific event mark hai, jo shayad Bank of England ka announcement ya decision ho. Iss event ne noticeable price fluctuations ko lead kiya, jo currency pairs pe central bank actions ke impact ko emphasize karta hai.

6. Current Price Action:
- Price dobara 38.2% Fibonacci level (takreeban 139.42) tak retrace hui hai, jo prior swing lows ke saath coincide karti hai. Yeh level critical hai kyunki yeh ek potential support zone represent karta hai jahan buyers step in kar sakte hain, jo text "buyer support at prior swing" se indicate hai.






Analysis aur Implications

- Support aur Resistance Levels:
- 50% retracement level (136.65) pehle strong support ke taur pe act kiya tha. Agar price decline continue karti hai, toh yeh level dobara ek potential support zone ke taur pe aa sakta hai.
- 38.2% level (139.42) currently ek significant area of interest hai. Is level ke neeche break hone se further bearish momentum signal ho sakta hai, jo potentially 50% level ko dobara target karega.

- Market Sentiment:
- Market sentiment multiple times shift hota dikhayi diya hai. Pehle strong bullish momentum tha, phir ek significant correction aayi, uske baad recovery hui, aur ab ek aur retracement phase hai.
- Key Fibonacci levels pe reactions indicate karti hain ke market participants in technical points ko closely watch kar rahe hain trading decisions ke liye.

- Central Bank Influence:
- Marked BoE event highlight karta hai ke fundamental news aur central bank actions ka currency prices pe kitna zyada asar hota hai. Traders ko aise events ka aware hona chahiye aur unhe apne analysis mein incorporate karna chahiye.

Conclusion

GBP/JPY chart bullish aur bearish forces ka complex interplay dikhata hai, jahan Fibonacci retracement levels key insights provide karte hain potential support aur resistance zones ke baare mein. 38.2% aur 50% retracement levels especially crucial hain current context mein. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, saath hi saath upcoming fundamental news jo market sentiment ko impact kar sakti hai. Technical analysis aur fundamental events ke dynamics ko samajhna essential hoga informed trading decisions banane ke liye is pair mein.

GBP/JPY Pair Analysis

GBPJPY pair ab bhi wazeh tor par yeh dikhata hai ke current price movement bullish trend ke direction ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle ek impulsive decline aya tha jo support (S1) 197.47 tak pohanch gaya aur takreeban SMA 200 ko touch kar gaya tha, magar phir price movement dheere dheere phir se upar uthne lagi. Prices ne, jo apni upward rally ko continue karne ki koshish kar rahe the, EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 199.04 ke aas paas consolidate kiya. Aakhir mein, price movements consistent rahi jab tak ke resistance (R1) 200.92 tak nahi pohanch gayi. Jab tak price dono Moving Average lines aur pivot point (PP) 199.04 ke upar hai, ek mauka hai ke resistance (R1) 200.92 ko cross kar ke higher upward rally ko continue kare.

UK economic data report ka zyadah asar nazar nahi aaya hai, chahe kuch data jo release hua hai woh forecast se lower tha. Japanese Yen currency ka weakening outlook main factor bana hua hai jo GBPJPY pair ki upward rally ko support kar raha hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki point of view dekhte hue jo ab bhi uptrend momentum ko maintain kar raha hai, yeh price ko resistance (R1) 200.92 test karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator ke liye abhi tak koi certainty nahi hai kyunki parameter filhal level 50 ke aas paas hai. Agar parameter level 50 ko cross kar le aur oversold zone ki taraf move kare, toh price pehle EMA 50 ke aas paas down ho sakti hai. Agar ulta hota hai aur parameter level 50 ko cross kar ke overbought zone ki taraf jata hai, toh current upside rally ko support mil sakta hai.





Position Entry Setup

Trading options bullish trend ke direction ko follow karte hain chahe hum bearish engulfing candlestick pattern se reversal signal dekh rahe hain. BUY entry position place karne ke liye intezar karein ke price pehle EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 199.04 ke aas paas down ho. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 aur level 20 ke darmiyan cross karenge. AO indicator ka histogram consistent green rahega level 0 ya positive area ke upar. Take profit resistance (R1) 200.92 pe place kar sakte hain aur stop loss SMA 200 ya support (S1) 197.47 ke aas paas.

GBP/JPY Analysis

GBP/JPY mein buyers ke liye choudah musalsal jitne wale sessions ke baad tezi se badh rahi hai. Yeh bullish surge naye saal ke unchi levels ko khol raha hai, lekin ahtiyaat ke liye khatra bhi samne hai. Jabke overall trend musbat rehta hai, lekin momentum mein thanda pan nazar aa raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo overbought conditions ka ek measure hai, extreme highs tak pohanchne ke baad thanda hone laga hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke ek retracement mumkin hai, jo keh raasta par hai jabke pair 200.00 ke andar gir raha hai. Technical indicators ek mix picture paint karte hain. Agar GBP/JPY 199.03 ke Kijun-Sen support level ke neeche gir jaye, toh yeh aur girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai jis ki taraf 197.54 Senkou Span A se mark kiya gaya hai. 197.00 crucial level ke neeche girne ka matlab ho sakta hai, jo keh Tenkan-Sen ke turning point ke saath 196.05 par hai, aur yeh ek zyada significant reversal ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, bulls abhi tak jung se bahar nahi hue hain. Agar 200.00 ke upar laut aaye, toh yeh buying pressure ko dobara jaga sakta hai, aur pair ko saal ke high 200.74 ki taraf punah test karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai. Yeh level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke late April mein Yen ko kamzor karne ke liye Bank of Japan ne do baar market mein interfere kiya tha.






4-Hour Period Analysis

Aaj main 4-hour period par tawajjo dena chahta hoon, kyun ke kuch technical points hain jo mujhe dilchaspi se mutalliq hain jaise ke bulls level pe pahunchte hain pehle se, jaise ke main samajh raha hoon, ek mukammal reversal se pehle. Chart par, price 1/1 angle ke neeche hai, jo keh meri rai mein bulls ne pahunch sakta hai. Haalanki haal hi mein, reversal ke ishaarey puri tarah se chal rahe hain, magar jaise ke hum chotey arsey se dekh rahe hain, mujhe lagta hai ke bulls aakhri northern impulse banana chahte hain. Agar hum 198.67 support ko break karte hain, girawat jaari rahegi. Aaj humein 200.60 range ko break karne ka mauka mila hai, jahan resistance hai, aur agar hum iske upar consolidate karte hain, yeh ek buy signal hoga. Shayad humein 200.80 range ka false breakdown mil sakta hai, uske baad rate gir sakta hai. 200.80 range mein resistance hai, phir girawat jaari rahegi. Kharidne walon ki taraf se zyada pressure hone ke bawajood, aur rate ko 200.75 range ke upar majboot hone diya gaya, behtar hoga keh bech den. Agar hum 198.75 range ko break karte hain aur iske neeche consolidate karte hain, toh yeh ek sell signal hoga. Agar hum 200.75 range ko break karte hain, toh girawat jaari rahegi aur aap kharid sakte hain. Agar hum 200.70 range ko break karte hain aur iske upar consolidate karte hain, toh girawat jaari rahegi. Haal hi ke correction ke baad GBP/JPY exchange rate mein girawat jaari rahegi. Main 198.65 break ke baad bechne ke liye tayyar hoon.

Yeh analysis current market conditions aur technical indicators ke mutabiq hai, jo keh trading ke faislon mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

GBP/JPY Analysis

Kal ke mutabiq GBP/JPY mein price uttar ki taraf aetmaad se nahi badha, jis ki wajah se ek kuch ziada bullish candle bani, jo keh qareeb tareen resistance level tak nahi pohanch saki, jo keh meri markings ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Saaf hai keh uttar ki taraf movement mushkil se ho rahi hai, aur aaj main is indicated resistance level ke nazar andaz ki jaari rakhunga, jahan situation ke development ke liye do mukhtalif manazir ho sakte hain.

Priority Scenario

Priority scenario se ta'alluq rakhta hai price ke is level ke upar consolidation aur mazeed uttar ki taraf movement se. Agar yeh plan kamyaab hua, toh main intezar karunga keh price resistance level 207.995 tak pohanche. Is resistance level ke qareeb, trading setup ki formation ki umeed hai, jo trading ke further direction ko taeyar karne mein madad dega. Ek aur option hai keh mazeed door ki uttar target ki taraf kaam karna, jo keh meri markings ke mutabiq 215.892 par hai. Magar agar yeh plan implement hota hai, toh uttar ki taraf jaate hue price ke darmiyan main puri surat mein junubi pullbacks ki ijazat deta hoon, jinhe main istemal karunga nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals dhoondne ke liye, mazeed growth ki tawaqo mein, ek global bullish trend ke tor par.





Alternative Scenario

Aaj resistance level 200.539 ko test karte waqt price ke movement ke liye ek alternative plan yeh bhi ho sakta hai keh ek turning candle ki formation ho aur phir junubi movement dobara shuru ho. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, toh main intezar karunga keh price support level 197.201 ya phir support level 195.044 tak laut aaye. Main in support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dhoondne jaari rakhunga, intezar karte hue keh price apni uttar ki taraf movement ko dobara shuru kare.

Conclusion

Aam taur par, aaj ke liye local taur par mujhe koi dilchaspi nahi nazar aati. Amm taur par, main global uttar trend ke jariye jari rahunga, lekin kharidne ke options ko madde nazar rakhne ke liye, mujhe chahiye keh price qareebi resistance level ke upar aetmaad se consolidate ho. Yeh mukammal analysis current market conditions aur technical indicators ke mutabiq hai, jo keh trading ke faislon mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

GBP-JPY Pair Forecast

GBP-JPY ke trading mein Budhwar ko kharidar phir se apna qadam barha. Keematain subah se oonchi hoti ja rahi hain. Chhoti harkatein aisi mumkin hain jo is pair mein bullish price ke baaray mein abhi tak koi yaqeeni raay nahi deti keh yeh tez raftar qaim rahegi jab tak keh yeh hareef 200.69 ke resistance tak na pohanchay. Is ilaqe mein qaidgi shuru ho gayi jo baad mein tasdeeq ki gayi jis se keematain kamzor ho gayin. Magar yeh kamzori sirf lamha bhar ki rahi. Keemat phir se ooper mud gayi aur 200.69 ke ilaqe ko azmaaya. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi ooper ki taraf jaari hain, haan ke kabhi kabhi doosri EMA line tang ho jaati hai lekin kabhi bhi naye crossover ka shakl nahi leti. Keematain 200 h1 EMA ke ooper chal rahi hain is liye yeh ab bhi bullish asar ke neechay hain, raily ke muqabil mehsoos ki jati hai. Aaj ke trading ke liye market 200.52 par khula tha. Keemat pooray Asian session mein majoodgi jama kar rahi hai. Yooropi market ke dakhil hone ke sath chhoti upri harkat zahir hone lagi jahan 200.69 ilaqa guzra gaya. Keemat ab resistance 200.94 ko azma rahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi apni asal jagah par hain, yani ke ooper ki taraf jaari hain, jo ke market mein mojood bullish hawa ko abhi bhi darsha rahi hain.



Trading Plan GBPJPY H1

Upar di gayi situation se, GbpJpy pair ke liye aaj ka transaction plan yeh hai:

Buy Option:
- Price ko buy karne ka option jahan tak hai keh agar price resistance 200.94 ko tor de, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ooper jaari hain, take profit 201.64 se lekar 202.90 ke level tak.

Another Buy Plan:
- Agar price correctively move kare aur EMA 200 H1 line se reject ho, toh aur ek buy plan tayyar hai, jahan qareebi increase target Thursday ke daily open tak lautne ka mauqa ho.

Sell Option Prepare:
- Agar price ne 200.94 ilaqa ko nahi tora aur support 200.12 ko penetrate karne mein kamiyaab nahi hua, toh sell option ke liye tayyar ho jaye. Isko EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyan downward crossover ki formation ke saath support kiya ja raha hai aur EMA 200 H1 ke haqeeqi waqt ke position par tawajjo di ja rahi hai, jahan take profit 199.41 se lekar EMA 633 H1 tak ya 198.01 tak ho sakta hai. Is sell option mein EMA 200 H1 ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta kyunki yeh dynamic support ki tarah kaam karta hai jo keemat ko is ilaqe mein pullback hone aur phir ooper chadne ki ijazat deta hai.

Sell Pullback Plan:
- 203.03 ilaqa se stronger price bouncing ki umeed ke saath sell pullback ka plan hai, jahan potential correction 202.32 se lekar 201.70 tak ho sakta hai.

Stoploss order area se 15 pips door rakha gaya hai.

Yeh mukammal trading plan GBP-JPY ke liye muqarar kiya gaya hai, jo ke current market conditions aur technical indicators ke saath ta'alluq rakhta hai, jo trading ke faislon mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

GBP-JPY Pair Ki Jaiza

GBPJPY pair ka qeemat Asian session se barhne ka rujhan raha hai, lekin European session mein dakhil hone par yeh kamzor nazar aata hai. Agar ham tawajjo dein, to yahan ek mukammal bearish engulfing candlestick pattern hai kyunki candle ki shakal aur shadow/tail pehle bullish candle se zyada hai. Yeh ek mukhalif signal hai jo keemat ko nichay ki taraf durust karne ke liye kafi barhiya haasil hota hai. Yaad rakhein ke trend ka rukh ab bhi bullish halat mein hai, is liye keemat girawat sirf aik durust faseel tak mehdood hai. Agar keemat jo ke EMA 50 ki taraf ja rahi hai, nichay ki taraf durust karne mein na kaamyaab hoti hai, to upar keemat phir se 201.28 ke buland keemat ko dobara test kar sakti hai. Alag taur par, keemat ke liye aisa mauqa hai ke woh 199.91 ke kam keemat ko test kar sakti hai ta ke aik bunyadi tabdeeli ho. MACD indicator ko dekhne par, lagta hai ke histogram jo ke level 0 ke ooper ya musbat ilaqay mein rehta hai, ab bhi trend mein izafa dikhata hai. Magar yeh Stochastic indicator se mukhtalif hai jo ke keemat ke harkat mein nichay ki durust faseel ko abhi bhi dikhata hai kyunki parameters ne oversold zone jo level 20 - 10 hai, cross nahi kiya hai. Mumkin hai ke keemat wapas buland rukh aur uptrend momentum mein aa jaye jab parameters kamyabi se oversold zone ko cross kar lein jo ke sastaai bechnay ka nuqsan ho chuka hai, is ke sath.





Mujhe lagta hai ke trading plan wazeh hai jo bullish trend ki halat aur keemat ke pattern ki shakal ko dekhte hue jo ke abhi bhi higher high - higher low ko dikhata hai. Dakhli darja wahan rakha jaye ga jab keemat nichay ki durust faseel ko mukammal kare jo ke EMA 50 ya keemat ke faslay 200.42 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Tasdeeq ke liye aik sahi Stochastic indicator parameter cross kiye jaane ka intezaar hai jo ke oversold zone jo level 20 - 10 hai, mein hai. Is beech, MACD indicator lagta hai ke musbat ilaqay mein uptrend momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye kafi hai. Munafa hasil karne ka maqsad buland keemat 201.28 pe rakha ja sakta hai aur nuqsan ko rokne ke liye kam keemat 199.91 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Pair Ka Taqabul

Industrial Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) April mein 54.9 tak barh gaya, jo ke 11 mah tak ka bulandi hai, jabke 53.0 ke tasawwur se kam hone ki tawajjo thi. Is maheene ke data ne manufacturing PMI mein tezi se kami ko poshida kiya, jo ke 48.7 par gir gaya, jabke 50.3 ke tasawwur se kam tha. UK ki arzi hawa mein, jahan services sector ki dominancy hai jo ke total kharche ka 80% se zyada hissa leta hai, manufacturing ke 9.3% ke muqablay mein, is se maloom hota hai ke investors ne manufacturing ki kamzori ko nazar andaz kiya hai. Ab market Japan ki aane waali economic data ka intezar kar rahi hai jo Jumma ko jaari kiya jayega. Bank of Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ko 2.6 percent par qaim rehne ke liye buland demand darj kar rahi hai. Bank ke tasdeeq ki bhi zarurat hai ke iske taqreeb ke aakhri taqseem ka shamil kiya jaye ga jab ke us waqt qareeb jaari kiya jaye ga. Investors Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke press conference par tawajjo denge ke future monetary policy raste ki koi dalil ho.






Technical hawale se, GBP/JPY currency pair 192.80 aur 193.00 ke darmiyan purane resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Halankay, is waqt yeh range ke andar aur 190.00 level ke thora ooper trade ho raha hai. Daily price action April range mein mehdood hai, jahan GBP/JPY bas 194.00 par hai, jo March ke 9 saal ke buland se thora kam hai. Saaf hai ke girawat ke bawajood, overall sentiment GBP/JPY ke liye bullish hai. Pair apne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) jo 184.90 par hai, ke ooper aaram se trade kar raha hai. Lekin kuch technical indicator traders shakist hain. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 se kam hai, jo ke bazar ko trend ke baghair batata hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas hai, jo ke durust hai. Stochastic indicator ek possible buland rukh ki alamat de raha hai lekin isko mazboot signal kehne ke liye zyada momentum ki zarurat hai. Agar bullish momentum mazboot hota hai, to GBP/JPY July 21, 2005 ke 192.57 low par resistance test kar sakta hai aur shayed January 2, 2024 ko qaim ki gayi uptrend line ko bhi tor sakta hai. Agar yeh tor kamyaab ho jaye, to GBP/JPY 193.52 ke qareeb 195.00 ke naye 2024 ke buland ko qaim kar sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Taqdeer Nigari

Adaab aur Subah bakhair doston!
GBP/JPY ki keemat abhi 199.76 ke resistance zone ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai. Aur, bechne walay 199.52 zone ko phir se guzarnay ke baray mein umeedwar nazar aa rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, UK GDP, Prelims Count Changes, aur dosray khbarat baad mein bazar ke jazbat par asar dalen ge. Mazeed, bazar ka taqabul, mohtaat maaliyat, aur khatarnaak mohlikat ka izhaar inehin halaat mein lazmi hai. Mufeed maaliyat nizam traders ko bazar ke khatron se bachata hai, jis se mohtaat halat mein bhi maali isthqaam barqarar rahta hai. Sakht nuqsan ki hudood laga kar aur aitmaad ke saath trading amliyat ko qaim rakhna traders ko achanak bazar ki harkaton ya ghair mutawaqa waqiyat se hone wale bari nuqsanat se bachata hai. Khatarnaak mohlikat techniques jese ke taqseem aur stop-loss orders capital ko mehfooz rakhne aur lambi muddat tak trading kamiyabi ko barqarar rakhne ke liye zaroori hain. Jab ke bazar ki halaat barhte hain, aane wale khbarat data mustaqbil ke rujhanat ko murattab karnay mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Bechne walay ke liye yeh maloomat zaroori hosakti hain keh woh zarori leverage ko muqarrar karnay ke liye bari support zones ko guzaren ge, jo ke aam tor par buland khareedari sakhti ki shanakht karte hain. In zones ko kamyaab tareeqay se sail karna aane wali khbarat aur mustahkam technical indicators par munhasir hoga, jin mein se sellers ko bazar mein un ki dominance barqarar rakhne mein taqat deti hai. GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, mojooda bazar dynamics sellers ke faislay ke in faide mein hain, jo ke wazeh tor par buyer ki kamzori ko dekh kar bazar ki khabar ko control kar rahe hain. Yeh trend mutawaqqa hai ke jari rahe ga, sellers apne bazar ke qeemat ko barqarar rakhain ge aur buyers par mushtamil dabaav jari rahe ga. Traders ko bazar ke saath badi ehtiyat se muqabla karna chahiye, tamam mawaqifat ko ghor se sochna chahiye aur apni strategies ko GBP/JPY ke mojooda bazar ke mutabiq tarteeb dena chahiye. Mujhe umeed hai keh GBP/JPY ke bazar sellers ke faide mein qaim rahe ga aur woh aglay kuch ghanton mein 199.55 ke ilaqe ko test karen ge.
Allah Hafiz aur apna khayal rakhen!

Yeh tasweer British Pound/Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) ke liye aik 1 ghantay ke time frame par technical analysis chart hai. Yahan pey key elements aur un ke mumkin asarat ka izhaar kiya gaya hai:

Key Elements:
1. CHoCH aur BOS:
- CHoCH (Change of Character):Is se yeh zahir hota hai ke trend ki rukh mein badalao hosakta hai, bullish se bearish ki taraf.
- BOS (Break of Structure): Jab CHoCH ke baad keemat naye lower low tak pohanchti hai, to yeh bearish structure ko tasdeeq karta hai.

2. Support aur Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Zone (164.295 - 164.544): Isko red box mein highlight kiya gaya hai, yeh area aik significant resistance level darj karta hai jahan keemat bechnay ki dabao ka samna kar sakti hai.
- Support Zone (159.548 ke aas paas): Yeh green horizontal line ke tor par mark ki gayi hai, yeh area aik significant support level ko dikhata hai.

3. Chart Patterns:
- Descending Wedge: Keemat aik descending wedge pattern ke andar consolidate ho rahi hai, jo ke aksar aik breakout se pehle hota hai.

4. Projected Movements:
- Bullish Scenario: Keemat ka intezar hai ke wo resistance zone (164.295 - 164.544) ki taraf barh sakti hai. Yeh long position ke liye pehla target hosakta hai.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Resistance zone tak pohanchne ke baad, keemat ko mukhtalif kar ke support zone (159.548) ki taraf lotne ka intezar hai.

Asarat:
- Short-Term Bullish: Keemat resistance zone (164.295 - 164.544) ki taraf barhne ke liye jari rah sakti hai, jo aik short-term bullish moqaat pesh karta hai.
- Long-Term Bearish: Resistance zone se mukhtalif hone se bearish trend continuation ke intezar mein hai, jo support zone (159.548) ki taraf nishana ban sakta hai.






Trading Strategy:
- Long Position Considerations:
- Resistance zone (164.295 - 164.544) ki taraf barhne ke liye long positions mein dakhil hon.
- Risk ko manage karne ke liye halke stop losses recent lows ke neeche lagaen.
- Profit resistance zone ke qareeb le jaen.

- Short Position Considerations:
- Resistance zone (164.295 - 164.544) mein reversal signal ka intezar karen.
- Support zone (159.548) ki taraf mukhtalif hone ke liye short positions mein dakhil hon.
- Risk ko manage karne ke liye stop losses resistance zone ke ooper lagaen.
- Profit support zone ke qareeb le jaen.

Risk Management:
- Stop Losses:
- Long positions ke liye, descending wedge ke andar recent lows ke neeche stop losses lagaen.
- Short positions ke liye, resistance zone ke ooper stop losses lagaen.
- Take Profits:
- Long positions ke liye, resistance zone ko nishana banayen.
- Short positions ke liye, support zone ko nishana banayen.

Conclusion:
Yeh analysis yeh isharah karta hai ke resistance zone ke nazdeek keemat ki tafteesh mein monitoring karni chahiye. Agar keemat is ilaqe tak pohanchti hai aur reversal ke alamat dikhata hai, to yeh aik acha shorting moqaat pesh kar sakta hai. Mukhtalif taur par, agar keemat resistance zone se guzar jati hai, to yeh aur bullish momentum signal kar sakti hai, jo bearish outlook ko manzoor na karta hai.

Hamesha ki tarah, bazar ki halaat tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur trading faislay mein economic data, geopolitical events, aur overall bazar ki jazbat ko ghor se madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Ki Mojooda Surat-e-Haal

GBP/JPY currency pair ke hawale se, lagta hai ke keemat 199.76 ke resistance zone ke aas paas mandla rahi hai. Bechne walay 199.52 zone ko phir se cross karne ke liye pur-umeed nazar aa rahe hain. Aane wala economic data, jaise ke UK GDP aur Prelims Count Changes, agle waqt mein bazar ke jazbat par asar daal sakti hai.

Aise volatile bazar mein, market analysis, mohtaat maaliyat, aur asar daar risk management strategies ki ahmiyat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko disciplined trading practices apnani chahiye, jin mein sakht loss limits bhi shamil hain, taake apne capital ko mehfooz rakha ja sake aur lambi muddat tak trading mein kamiyabi hasil ki ja sake. Techniques jaise ke diversification aur stop-loss orders ka istemal bazar ke khatrey ko kam karne aur achanak bazar ki harkaton ya ghair mutawaqqa waqiyat se hone wale bari nuqsan se bachane ke liye zaroori hain.

Jab bazar ki halaat tabdeel hoti hain, to aane wala khbarat data mustaqbil ke rujhanat ko murattab karne mein ahm kirdar ada karega. Bechne walon ke liye, yeh maloomat zaroori leverage faraham kar sakti hain taake significant support zones ko overcome kiya ja sake, jo aam tor par heightened buyer activity ke ilaka hotay hain. In zones ko kamyabi se sail karna favorable news aur mustahkam technical indicators par munhasir hoga, jo mil kar sellers ko bazar mein unki dominance barqarar rakhne mein madad de sakti hain.





GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, mojooda bazar dynamics sellers ke haqq mein nazar aa rahe hain, jo bazar ka control hasil karne mein aggressive hain jabke buyers ki kamzori wazeh hai. Yeh trend mutawaqqa hai ke jari rahega, sellers apne bazar ke value ko barqarar rakhain ge aur buyers par musalsal dabaav daalain ge. Traders ko bazar ko bohot ehtiyat se dekhna chahiye, tamam zaroori factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue aur apni strategies ko GBP/JPY ke mojooda bazar ke mutabiq tarteeb deni chahiye.

Analysis ke mutabiq, yeh ummed hai ke GBP/JPY ka bazar sellers ke faida mein rahega, aur aglay kuch ghanton mein woh 199.55 area ko test karne ki koshish karenge. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur bazar ko bohot dehan se monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein aur apne risk ko asar daar tareeqe se manage kar sakein.

GBP/JPY ne apni girawat ko Jumma ko jari rakha, aur European trading mein takreeban 198.70 tak pohanch gaya Japanese Finance Minister ke hawkish comments ke dabao ki wajah se. Magar, yen ki taqdeer mein izafa mehdood ho sakta hai. Japan ke foreign exchange reserves, jo May mein announce hue, khaas tor par gir kar $1.231 billion par pohanch gaye, jo ke February 2023 ke baad se sab se kam level hai, hukoomati mudakhlat ki wajah se yen ko defend karne ke liye. UK mein, kuch positive economic data ne kuch support faraham kiya. Gharon ki keematain May mein 1.5% barh gayi, jo ke umeed se zyada thi. Lekin, Tuesday ko aane wale employment data negative ho sakte hain. Teen consecutive mahine ki girawat aur aane wali lay offs ki alamatain GBP ko kamzor kar sakti hain jabke investors expect kar rahe hain ke Bank of England (BOE) zyada ehtiyat se kaam karegi. Halanke overall inflation gir rahi hai, BOE service sector mein tightening ke baare mein fikar mand hai, jis se is saal kai rate cuts ke imkanat kam ho jate hain. Pound ne May ke aghaz se mazboot recovery dekhi hai, Japanese mudakhlat ke baad jaldi se losses ko reverse kar diya. US markets 27th May ko band hain, jis se Bank of Japan ko zaroorat parne par additional mudakhlat ka moka milta hai.



Technical indicators yeh izhar karte hain ke GBP/JPY ke liye potential upside ho sakti hai. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) bullish hai, jo March-June 2023 rebound ke baad se sab se strong trend dikhata hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi uptrend ko tasdeek karta hai. Magar, indicator ki strength fikar ka sabab ho sakti hai, kyun ke yeh nayi high levels ko nahi pohoch rahi. Bulls shayad pair ko 198.59 ke upar hold karne ki koshish karain aur April 29th ki high 200.50 ko dobara test karne ki koshish karain. Magar, aisi move Japanese authorities ki taraf se dobara mudakhlat ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo bulls ke liye nuqsan ka sabab ban sakti hai. Mumkin hai ke woh GBPJPY ko 198.59 se neeche le jane ki koshish karain aur June 24, 2015 ke high jo 195.87 hai, ki taraf le jain. 192.57-193.60 ka ilaqa, jo 50-day SMA, July 21, 2005 trendline, aur 50-day SMA ke saath hai, ko aise move ki surat mein dhairay dhairay dobara test kiya ja sakta hai.