USD Index

xHaftawar chart pe, teeno musalsal hafton tak, US dollar ki keemat ek side ki taraf chalti hai, jab wo oopar ja rahi hoti hai, to wo neela channel ka darmiyani line ka saamna karti hai, aur jab wo neeche ja rahi hoti hai, to wo laal channel ki line se madad le rahi hoti hai. Lagta hai ke dono ke asar qawi hain keemat par, aur is wajah se kisi bhi trend mein tabdeeli ka intezar karna chahiye taake qareebi muddat ke trend ka pata chale. Kya dollar apne neeche ki taraf laal channel ki line tak girne ka trend mukammal karega, ya phir phir se oopar jaega aur ooper ki laal channel ki line tak pahunchega ke use tor karke neeche se neela channel ki line tak jari rahega? Is waqt, iss saal ke trading ke ibteda se, US dollar ki keemat ko laal channel se madad mili aur wo ooper ki line tak pahunchi aur gir gai, aur ab phir se ooper ja rahi hai. Qareebi muddat mein, US dollar ko ek side ki taraf trend mein samjha ja sakta hai, aur 44 ghante ka chart aane wale haftay ke dore mein trading mauqe ka tayun karne ke liye bharosa dila sakta hai. Maeeshat ke hawale se, munazzam trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... US dollar index mein izafa hua ek report ke baad jo Conference Board ne jaari kiya aur jismein bataya gaya ke US consumer confidence is maheene mein tezi se bhar gaya hai. Yeh 102 tak pahuncha, yeh pehli maheena barhavat thi February se is saal. Consumer confidence sab se ahem leading indicators mein se ek hai kyunki unki kharch unka iqtisadi nizaam ka sab se bara hissa darust karta hai. Bohat itmenan rakhte hue consumers zyada kharch karte hain, iqtisadi nashonumaat ko izafa dete hain, aur unchi muasarat ka sabab bante hain. US dollar ke liye ahem khabrein aane wali US GDP numbers hongi. Iqtisadkaar data ko isharwi taur par barhne ka tawajjuh rakhte hain ke economy pehle aadmi mein 1.6% se barhi, jo ke chehre aadmi mein 3.6% se girne ka tazad hai. Ye numbers US dollar par kuch zyada asar nahi daalenge kyunki yeh doosra tajziya hoga. Isliye, traders aane wale Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation numbers par tawajjuh denge.

USD Index

**USD Index Ka Jaiza: Ek Mukammal Nazar**
USD Index, jise **US Dollar Index (DXY)** bhi kaha jata hai, ek financial indicator hai jo US Dollar (USD) ki strength ko major world currencies ke against measure karta hai. Is index ka kaam yeh dekhna hota hai ke US Dollar ka overall value badh raha hai ya kam ho raha hai, aur yeh international trade aur finance ke liye bohot zyada important hai.

### USD Index Ka Taaruf

USD Index ko 1973 mein launch kiya gaya tha, aur tab se yeh global financial markets mein US Dollar ki value ko track karne ka ek common tareeqa ban gaya hai. Is index ko ek basket of six major currencies ke against measure kiya jata hai, jo hain:

1. Euro (EUR) - 57.6%
2. Japanese Yen (JPY) - 13.6%
3. British Pound (GBP) - 11.9%
4. Canadian Dollar (CAD) - 9.1%
5. Swedish Krona (SEK) - 4.2%
6. Swiss Franc (CHF) - 3.6%

Is basket mein Euro ka sabse bada hissa hai, jo USD Index ko Euro ke against zyada sensitive banata hai.

### USD Index Ka Formula

USD Index ka calculation ek geometric weighted average ke zariye kiya jata hai. Formula kuch is tarah hai:

\[
\text{USD Index} = 50.14348112 \times \left( \frac{\text{EUR/USD}}{0.576} \times \frac{\text{USD/JPY}}{0.136} \times \frac{\text{GBP/USD}}{0.119} \times \frac{\text{USD/CAD}}{0.091} \times \frac{\text{USD/SEK}}{0.042} \times \frac{\text{USD/CHF}}{0.036} \right)
\]

Yeh formula basket mein shamil currencies ke against US Dollar ki value ko calculate karta hai.

### USD Index Ko Influence Karne Walay Factors

1. **Interest Rates**: US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate decisions USD Index par bohot zyada asar daalte hain. Jab Fed interest rates barhata hai, to US Dollar ki demand barh jati hai, jo USD Index ko upar le jata hai. Agar Fed interest rates kam karta hai, to USD Index neeche gir sakta hai.

2. **Economic Data**: US economic indicators jaise GDP growth, employment reports, inflation, aur retail sales ka USD Index par direct asar hota hai. Strong economic data se US Dollar ki strength barh sakti hai, jo USD Index ko upar le jata hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: International political events, conflicts, ya trade agreements USD Index ko influence karte hain. Agar US aur doosre major economies ke darmiyan trade conflicts hoti hain, to yeh US Dollar ki strength ko kam kar sakti hain, jo USD Index ko neeche le jata hai.

4. **Global Risk Sentiment**: Jab global markets mein uncertainty ya instability hoti hai, to investors safe-haven assets, jaise US Dollar, mein invest karte hain. Is se USD Index upar jata hai. Conversely, agar markets stable hain, to investors riskier assets mein invest karte hain, jo USD Index ko neeche le jata hai.

5. **Central Bank Policies**: Doosre central banks, jaise European Central Bank (ECB) ya Bank of Japan (BoJ), ke monetary policies bhi USD Index ko indirectly influence karte hain. Agar yeh central banks apne interest rates ya policies ko badalte hain, to yeh unki currencies ko impact kar sakta hai, jo USD Index par asar daalta hai.

### USD Index Ki Trading Aur Ahmiyat

Forex market mein, USD Index ko ek benchmark ke tor par use kiya jata hai. Traders isko dekh kar market ka sentiment samajhne ki koshish karte hain aur trading decisions lete hain. Isko futures aur options markets mein bhi trade kiya jata hai, aur yeh investors ke liye ek popular tool hai US Dollar ki overall performance ko track karne ke liye.

### Conclusion

USD Index ek significant financial tool hai jo US Dollar ki strength ko measure karta hai aur global financial markets mein iska bohot important role hai. Is index ko influence karne wale factors jaise interest rates, economic data, geopolitical events, aur global risk sentiment, ko samajhna traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai. Is short jaize se aapko USD Index aur iski importance ko samajhne mein madad milni chahiye.

USD Index Analysis

Bearish Trend Dekha Gaya

Pichle haftay se, U.S. dollar mein bearish trend dekha gaya hai, jo ke is haftay ke aghaz se ab tak continue ho raha hai. Yeh umeed hai ke yeh trend is haftay ke akhri tak barkarar rahega. U.S. dollar index ke weekly chart ko dekha jaye, to yeh nazar aata hai ke price neechay wali red channel line ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke pichle saal se price movement ki direction ko zahir kar rahi hai. Price iss channel ke range mein fluctuate kar rahi hai.

Jab price lower channel line ke qareeb trading karne lagi aur upar ki taraf move karne lagi, to upper channel line ke qareeb aate hi decline ka samna karna para, aur ab phir se yeh lower channel line ke qareeb hai. Is liye, lagta hai ke is saal ka price movement pichle saal ki tarah sideways direction mein chalega. Iss point par, main U.S. dollar bechne aur doosri currencies kharidne ka mashwara doonga.

Dollar Par Asrat Dalne Walay Economic Factors

Economic front par, U.S. dollar index ne Friday ko 103.7 se neechay drop kiya, jo ke chaar mahine ka lowest level hai. Weak U.S. jobs report ne Federal Reserve se dovish expectations ko mazid barhawa diya. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, U.S. economy ne July mein sirf 114,000 net jobs add kiye, jo market expectation ke 175,000 jobs se kaafi kam hain. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate bhi unexpected tor par 4.3% tak barh gaya, jo ke 2021 se highest level hai, aur wage growth bhi expected se zyada slow hui hai.

Iske nateeje mein, financial markets ne Federal Reserve se is saal ke liye 100 basis points ki interest rate cuts ko price in kar liya hai, jisme 50 basis points ka total cut aur baqi 25 basis points ka cut agle teen decisions mein expect kiya ja raha hai. U.S. dollar index par Bank of Japan ke kuch unexpected interest rate hike ka bhi pressure hai, jis se yen mein Friday se 5% ka izafa dekhne ko mila.

Zyada Economic Data

Thursday ko, initial jobless claims, jo ke 26 July ko khatam hone wale hafte ke hain, woh bhi expectations se zyada aaye, yani 249,000 ke muqablay mein 236,000 expected the. Dosri taraf, non-farm sector productivity, jo second quarter ke liye thi, woh estimates se exceed hui, aur 2.3% ki change dekhi gayi, jab ke expectation 1.7% thi. Quarter ke unit labor costs bhi estimates se miss hui, yani 0.9% aayi, jab ke expectation 1.8% thi. Iske ilawa, ISM Manufacturing PMI ne bhi 46.8 ka reading record kiya, jo ke expected 48.8 se kam hai.