Gbp/jpy

British Pound (GBP) Japanese Yen (JPY) ke mukable strength gain kar raha hai aur filhal 200.00 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh upward trend UK aur Japan ke darmiyan widening interest rate differential ki wajah se ho raha hai. UK mein higher interest rates GBP-denominated assets ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banate hain, jabke Japan mein lower rates JPY ko weaken karte hain. Lekin, kuch factors hain jo near future mein GBP/JPY ke gains ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek concern yeh hai ke Japanese authorities currency market mein intervene kar sakti hain GBP ko weaken aur JPY ko strengthen karne ke liye. Japan ne pehle bhi yeh tactic apne exporters ko protect karne ke liye use kiya hai.

Technically, GBP/JPY ek bullish trend mein dikh raha hai. 4-hour chart par key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) upward slope kar raha hai, aur momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) bhi bullish hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ke liye path of least resistance upside ki taraf hai.

Lekin, kuch signs hain ke RSI momentum lose kar raha hai aur shayad peak ke qareeb hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh potential reversal indicate kar sakta hai GBP/JPY ke fortunes mein. Bulls (jo GBP khareed rahe hain) pair ko recent high 200.50 ke upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke Japanese authorities ke dusra intervention ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yeh intervention GBP bulls ke liye losses lead kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, bears (jo GBP bech rahe hain) pair ko 198.59 ke neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur potentially 192.57-193.60 area tak le ja sakte hain. Yeh area significant hai kyunke yeh 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur ek long-term trend line ko include karta hai.

Overall, GBP/JPY bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein hai. Bulls Bank of Japan ko JPY ko weaken karne ke liye intervene karne par majboor karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jabke bears GBP/JPY ke uptrend mein kisi bhi weakness ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

British Pound (GBP) Japanese Yen (JPY) mukable mein taqat hasil kar raha hai aur abhi 200.00 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh izafi trend UK aur Japan ke darmiyan taraqqi kar rahe interest rate farq ki wajah se hai. UK mein buland interest rates investors ke liye GBP-assets ko zyada attractive banate hain, jabke Japan mein kam rates JPY ko kamzor karte hain. Lekin, kuch factors hain jo qareebi mustaqbil mein GBP/JPY ke faiday ko mehdood kar sakte hain. Ek pareshani yeh hai ke Japanese authorities currency market mein interfere kar ke GBP ko kamzor aur JPY ko taqatwar kar sakte hain. Japan ne pehle bhi aisa kiya hai apne exporters ko bachane ke liye.
Technically, GBP/JPY ek bullish trend mein hai. 4-hour chart par key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) oopar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) bhi bullish hain. Yeh ishara deta hai ke pair ke liye asani se upar ki taraf ka rasta hai. Lekin, kuch nishan hain ke RSI ka momentum kam hota ja raha hai aur shayad peak ke qareeb hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh potential reversal indicate kar sakta hai GBP/JPY ke faiday mein. Bulls (jo GBP khareed rahe hain) pair ko 200.50 ke upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke Japanese authorities ke dusre interference ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yeh interference GBP bulls ke nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Doosri taraf, bears (jo GBP bech rahe hain) pair ko 198.59 ke neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur potentially 192.57-193.60 area tak le ja sakte hain. Yeh area significant hai kyunke yeh 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur ek long-term trend line ko include karta hai. Overall, GBP/JPY bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek tashadud hai. Bulls Bank of Japan ko majboor karne ki koshish kar rahe hain ke wo JPY ko kamzor karne mein interfere karein, jabke bears GBP/JPY ke uptrend mein kisi bhi weakness ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Gbp/jpy

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Monday ke subah European trading ke dauran kamzori dekhi, trading 188.70 level ke aas-paas chal rahi thi. Yeh girawat mainly Japanese yen ke mazboot hone ke wajah se thi, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke dovish sentiment aur strong Japanese Q2 GDP data se support mil raha tha. Behtar GDP figures ne BoJ ke interest rate hikes ki umeed ko barhawa diya, jisse yen ki appeal mazboot hui. Dusri taraf, British pound (GBP) ko UK ke encouraging retail sales data se support mila, jisse Bank of England ke doosre consecutive interest rate cut ki bets kam hui. Lekin, UBS analysts ab bhi November mein 25 basis point rate cut aur 2025 mein additional cuts ki forecast rakhte hain. Aakhri dino mein, GBP/JPY pair ne recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, August 5 ke lows se lagbhag 4% rebound kiya hai. Yeh rebound partially market stabilization aur Bank of England ke interest rate cut aur low liquidity conditions ke wajah se amplify price movements se hai.

Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/JPY downtrend easing ho sakta hai. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX sideways move kar raha hai, jabki Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai. Stochastic indicator ne apne moving average ko break kiya hai aur oversold zone se nikal gaya hai, jo pair mein moderate uptrend ko support karta hai. Market participants ab upcoming economic data, jaise ke S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) aur Japan ki national CPI, par dhyan de rahe hain taake dono deshon ki economic health aur GBP/JPY exchange rate par potential impact ko samjha ja sake. Overall, GBP/JPY pair ki recent performance BoJ ke monetary policy stance, Japanese economic growth, aur UK's economic resilience ka combination hai. Jaise jaise market conditions evolve hoti hain, traders economic indicators aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karenge taake currency pair ke future direction ka pata lagaya ja sake.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein Monday ko early European trading ke dauran kamzori dekhi gayi, jahan yeh 188.70 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh decline zyada tar Japanese yen ki taqat mein izafa ki wajah se hua, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke dovish sentiment aur mazboot Japanese Q2 GDP data se support hui. Expected se behtar GDP figures ne BoJ ke taraf se mazeed interest rate hikes ki umeed barha di hai, jis se yen ki appeal mein izafa hua. Doosri taraf, British pound (GBP) ko UK retail sales data se support mila, jis ne Bank of England ke doosri dafa lagataar interest rate cut ke qeemaron ko kam kar diya. Lekin, UBS analysts apni forecast mein November mein 25 basis point ka rate cut aur 2025 mein mazeed cuts ka andaza barqarar rakhtay hain.

Akhri kuch dino mein, GBP/JPY pair mein recovery ke asar dekhe gaye hain, jahan yeh August 5 ke lows se lagbhag 4% rebound kar gaya hai. Yeh rebound kuch had tak market stabilization ke wajah se hai jo ke Bank of England ke interest rate cut aur low liquidity conditions ke sabab price movements mein izafa hua.

Technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke GBP/JPY ke downtrend mein kuch ease aasakta hai. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) sideways move kar raha hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf barhta ja raha hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator apni moving average se upar break kar chuka hai aur oversold zone se bahar nikal gaya hai, jo ke pair mein ek moderate uptrend ko support kar raha hai. Market participants ab aanay walay economic data par nazar rakhenge, jismein S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) aur Japan ka national CPI shamil hain, takay dono mulkon ke economic health aur unke GBP/JPY exchange rate par potential impact ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Overall, GBP/JPY pair ki recent performance par kai factors ka asar hai, jismein BoJ ki monetary policy stance, Japanese economic growth, aur UK ki economic resilience shamil hain. Jese jese market conditions evolve hoti hain, traders economic indicators aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karte rahenge taake currency pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Tuesday ko ek resurgence dekha, do din ke losing streak ko tor kar 191.20 ke aas paas waapis aa gaya. Yeh uptick zyada tar Japanese yen (JPY) ke broader sell-off ki wajah se hua, jo short term mein jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Investors ab Friday ko Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne mazboot economic recovery ke baare mein optimism zahir kiya hai, jo unhe lagta hai ke inflation ko 2% target ki taraf le jaayega. Is umeed ne yeh speculation ko janam diya hai ke BoJ apni expansive monetary policy ko unwind karte hue mazeed interest rate hikes implement kar sakta hai. Aisa hona yen ko mazboot karega, jo un currency pairs ke liye headwinds peda kar sakta hai jo Japanese currency ko shamil karti hain.

Magar, iske baraks, global markets mein improving risk appetite aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions ka kam hona yen ko weak karta hai. US ne Israel aur Hamas ke darmiyan ek deal broker ki hai, magar surat-e-haal abhi bhi nazuk hai, aur agar koi escalation hoti hai to yeh trend ulat sakta hai, yen ke safe-haven appeal ko mazid barhata hua.

Sterling, jo GBP/JPY pair ka doosra hissa hai, ko support mil raha hai is umeed se ke Bank of England (BoE) apni interest rate ko September meeting mein 5.0% par barqarar rakhega. IBOSS ke chief economist, Robert Thompson, ka yehi khayal hai ke agla rate cut November tak defer kiya jayega. BoE ka yeh hawkish stance pound ki strength ko barqarar rakh raha hai.

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Is momentum ke upar build karte hue, GBP/JPY ne apni gains ka tisra consecutive din record kiya hai, August 5 ke low se lagbhag 4% recover karte hue. Market volatility thori kam hui hai, lekin liquidity conditions ab bhi price movements ko amplify kar rahi hain. Natija yeh hai ke investors ka dhyaan ab gradually UK ke headline CPI report ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo agle hafte scheduled hai. Technical indicators bhi recent bullish trend ko support karte hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) sideways move kar raha hai, jo weakening downtrend ka ishara deta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator apne moving average aur oversold zone ke upar hai, jo ongoing uptrend ko reinforce karta hai. Agar bullish sentiment barqarar rehti hai, to GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ka low 189.61 breach karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur uske baad 192.57 aur 193.60 ke darmiyan resistance zone ko target kar sakta hai. Yeh zone July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 se July 11, 2024 ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement mark karta hai.

Akhir mein, GBP/JPY pair ka trajectory mukhtalif factors par depend karega, jin mein BoJ ki monetary policy decisions, geopolitical developments, aur UK ka economic data shamil hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein aik significant correction dekhne ko mili hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates cut karne ke faislay ke baad hui hai. Is move ke sath hi, Bank of Japan ki recent policy shift jo ke kam accommodative stance ki taraf hai, dono economy ke darmiyan interest rate differential ko narrow kar raha hai, jis se pound sterling par downward pressure aa raha hai. Yeh pair apni 16 saal ki highs se kaafi neeche aa gaya hai, July ke peak se apni value ka 8% se zyada kho chuka hai. Yeh sharp decline GBP/JPY pair ko oversold territory mein le gaya hai, jese ke technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur Stochastic se zahir hota hai, lekin underlying long-term bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai. Filhal, yeh pair 2024 uptrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko test kar raha hai, jo ke potential support ka kaam kar raha hai. Lekin agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair apni decline ko March support area aur 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak barhane ka imkaan rakhta hai.

**Upside ke hawalay se**, agar pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar ek decisive move kiya, to yeh downward trend ke reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin December 2023 breakout support trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke aas paas resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ka future direction dono, Bank of England aur Bank of Japan ki ongoing monetary policy adjustments par kaafi depend karega. Iske ilawa broader economic conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi pair ki trajectory mein ahm kirdar ada karenge.

Akhir mein, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke GBP/JPY pair ne sharp correction face ki hai, lekin long-term bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Traders ko pair ke key support aur resistance levels par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye, aur sath hi evolving monetary policy landscape ko bhi dekhna chahiye, taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

GBP/JPY currency pair Friday ko Europe ke shuruati trading mein 197.75 se neeche trade kar rahi thi. Japanese yen ki qeemat ki izafa zyada tar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke agle policy meeting mein interest rate barhane ke imkaan ke sabab tha. Tokyo ka consumer price index (CPI) data bhi inflation ke barhne ka izhar kar raha tha, jis ne in umeedon ko mazid mazboot kar diya. Abhi market BoJ ke 15 basis points rate hike ka 38% imkaan de rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, Japanese authorities ke currency intervention ke mumkinah khauf ne bhi yen ki qeemat barhane mein madad ki hai. Japan ke top monetary diplomat Masato Kanda ne exchange rate ki zyada volatility ke economy par negative asraat ko dobarah dohraaya, aur agar zaroorat pesh aayi to intervention ka ishaara diya. Dusri taraf, British pound ko Bank of England ke interest rate cuts ke ummeedon ke sabab se niche pressure ka saamna hai. UBS analysts ke mutabiq, August ke shuruat mein 25 basis points ka rate cut hone ke imkaan hai, aur phir November mein bhi aik aur cut ho sakta hai.



Technically, GBP/JPY pair July 11 ko 208.10 ka 16 saal ka high paane ke baad se long-term downtrend mein hai. Immediate support levels 197.18 aur 195.84 hain, aur aage chal kar 193.52 aur psychological level 190.00 tak girne ka imkaan hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 200.50 par expected hai, jiske baad 202.08 aur 205.77 hain. Agar 208.10 ka high break hota hai to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Overall, GBP/JPY pair ki trajectory BoJ aur Bank of England ki mukhtalif monetary policies aur Japanese currency intervention ke imkaan se zyada mutasir hai. Investors in factors ko exchange rate par asar dekhne ke liye nazar rakh rahe hain.

GBP/JPY Technical Forecast aur Trading Strategies
British Pound aur Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair, jo ke "cross pair" kehlaya jata hai kyunki yeh US Dollar ko bypass karta hai, European trading session ke doran ek holding pattern mein hai. Yeh tab hua hai jab pair apne hafte ke sabse uchte point ke qareeb hai. Toh is action ke peeche kya wajah hai? GBP/JPY ke recent surge ka main factor Japanese Yen ki kamzori hai. Yen kuch waqt se pressure mein hai aur iski kami GBP/JPY ke faide ko barha rahi hai. Lekin, kahani sirf struggling Yen tak hi mehdood nahi hai. British Pound bhi UK elections ke baad apni taqat dikhata nazar aa raha hai, jo currency ko ek overall strength de raha hai. Iske ilawa, US Dollar ki current kamzori bhi GBP/JPY ko aur support de rahi hai. Lekin, yeh plan mein ek twist hai.

Market abhi US employment data par focus kiye hue hai, jo 3:30 PM (aapke local time ke hisaab se) release hoga. Yeh ahem economic data currency market mein significant turbulence create kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, mujhe GBP/JPY ke liye ek potential correction ki umeed hai, matlab recent rise ke baad thodi si girawat. Lekin, meri main prediction yeh hai ke current uptrend continue karega. Yahan do possible scenarios hain jo consider kiye ja sakte hain:

Agar GBP/JPY 204.65 ke critical support level ke upar reh jata hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend barqarar rehne ke imkaan hain. Is case mein, main consider karunga ke pair ko buy kiya jaye agar yeh 204.65 se upar jaye, jiske potential targets 206.45 aur 206.95 tak ho sakte hain.




Doosri taraf, agar GBP/JPY 204.65 ke critical support level se neeche gir jata hai, to yeh ek consolidation period ka signal ho sakta hai jahan price narrow range mein fluctuate ya gir sakti hai. Is scenario mein, pair 204.15 tak gir sakta hai aur shayad 203.75 tak bhi.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh sirf potential trajectories hain, aur GBP/JPY ki asli direction market ke US employment data aur doosre aane wale economic events par reaction ke upar depend karegi. Toh, stay tuned, kyunki yeh situation tezi se evolve ho sakti hai.

GBP-JPY Pair Analysis
Pichle haftay, market conditions abhi bhi bearish trend mein nazar aayi. Meri raaye mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ka movement ab bhi bearish trend continue kar sakta hai kyunki last Friday ka izafa zyada tar market mein ek momentary correction lagta hai. Isliye, price ke neeche girne se, jo ke mahine ke shuru se sabse uchte level ko chhod chuki hai, yeh lagta hai ke aage chal kar SELL trading ka waqt aa sakta hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke abhi bhi bearish movement ka potential hai, jahan buyers ka target 197.00 ke aas-paas hai. Hafte ke shuru mein trading session ke dauran, market abhi bhi sellers ke control mein nazar aati hai kyunki price thodi bearish lagti hai, lekin abhi bhi kamzor hai. Pichle hafte sellers ki taqat pichle haftay ke trading session ke muqablay mein barh gayi hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par lime line level 30 tak gir gayi hai, jo bearish trend ko show karta hai. Iske mutabiq, candlestick further neeche girne ka potential rakhti hai, jo ke market ke long-term bearish trend ke saath bhi aligned hai. Candlestick ka position abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche comfortable hai, jo market ke strong bearish hone ka illustration hai. Mere khayal se, price movements ka bearish state mein rehna meri decision ko support karta hai ke main SELL transaction opportunities pe focus rakhoon. Agar price movement 197.00 level ko dobara break kar deti hai, to price movement lower level par aur zyada bearish ho sakta hai. Isliye, market mein price movements par dhyan dena zaroori hai, aur downward trend ko dekhna bhi.

Market conditions ko analyze karte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke GBP/JPY pair ke bearish trend ka continuation possible hai. Aage ke trading sessions mein, agar market price movements 197.00 level ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh bearish trend ko confirm karega aur sellers ko zyada opportunities milengi. In scenarios ko dekhte hue, investors ko SELL transactions ki opportunities par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market ke downward trend ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

Agar price movement 197.00 level ko break nahi karti, to yeh indicate karega ke market consolidation phase mein hai aur further bearish movement ke liye time lag sakta hai. Lekin, agar price 197.00 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish trend ko aur zyada strong banayega aur lower levels tak ja sakta hai. Isliye, trading decisions ko carefully analyze karna aur market ke movements ko closely follow karna zaroori hai, taake timely aur informed decisions liye ja sakein.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY pair ke bearish trend ka continuation market ki current condition aur indicators ke mutabiq hai. Investors ko SELL opportunities par focus rakhna chahiye aur market ki fluctuations ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Analysis
GBP/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko Asian trading session ke dauran girawat dekhi, aur 196.20 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy ko tighten karne ke bawajood hui, jisme short-term interest rate target barhane aur government bond purchases ko kam karne ka faisla kiya gaya. Jabke is policy shift se aam tor par currency ko majbooti milti hai, yen ki girawat ko future mein monetary easing ke expectations ne limit kar diya. Japanese Finance Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi ne inflation targets achieve karne ke liye BoJ ke sath close coordination ko emphasize kiya.

Dusri taraf, pound sterling ko downward pressure ka samna karna pada, kyunki Bank of England (BoE) se Thursday ke meeting mein interest rate cut ke expectations barh gayi hain. Market participants 25 basis points ke rate reduction ki 58% probability price kar rahe hain. Jabke Federal Reserve ke July meeting mein interest rates ko unchanged rakha jaane ki umeed hai, future rate cuts ke prospects ne dollar ko kamzor kar diya hai aur pound jaise risk-sensitive currencies ko support diya hai.




GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke shuruat se long-term uptrend ko follow kiya hai, aur 11 July ko 208.10 ka 16-year high touch kiya. Lekin, recent downward pressure ne correction ke chances ko barha diya hai. Pair ke liye immediate support 202.08 level par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair aur neeche gir sakti hai, April ke high 200.50 tak jo recent months mein support aur resistance dono ka kaam kiya hai. Zyada significant decline June ke low 197.18 ko target kar sakti hai. Wahi agar GBP/JPY pair recover karke 205.77 level ko wapas claim karti hai, to yeh naye bullish momentum ka signal de sakti hai. Is resistance ko break karne se all-time high ko retest karne aur shayad April 2008 ke peak 209.00 ko challenge karne ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/JPY pair conflicting forces ke beech mein phansi hui hai. Jabke BoJ ki policy shift yen ko kuch support deti hai, pound ko potential interest rate cuts ke pressure ka samna hai. Pair ki future direction BoE ke meeting ke outcome aur overall market sentiment towards risk assets par depend karegi.

GBP/JPY Analysis
4-hour chart ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY pair mein nayi uptrend ki potential nazar aa rahi hai, jahan weekly resistance level 206.64 par hai. Is haftay, pair ki price rising price channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai, jo price ko upar le jane mein madad kar rahe hain. Jab price upper channel lines tak pohnchti hai, to wo peak banati hai aur phir neeche aati hai, jo ke correction ka indication hota hai. Lekin, price ne support phir se liya aur price channels se upar break karte hue, near-term resistance level 206.64 ko successfully cross kar diya hai. Yeh level current level se enter karne aur neeche targets set karne ke liye acha hai.

Economic perspective se, Japan ka Forex currency markets mein intervention mein deri yen ke losses ko barha rahi hai. Agar koi expected Japanese intervention hoti hai, to yeh currency pair ke selling ke khilaf strong resistance provide kar sakti hai. Agar selling policy ka risk nahi hai, to yeh behtareen approach hai. Monetary policy ke hawale se, Bank of England ko August mein interest rate cuts ka faisla nahi karna chahiye agar Canada aur Australia se inflation warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ko samajhti hai, to Bank of England August mein interest rates nahi ghatayegi.

Economic calendar results ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia se is haftay jo figures release hui hain, unke base par global inflation dobara barh sakti hai. Canada mein, May mein inflation ne unexpectedly 0.6% month-on-month increase dekha, jo general expectations se zyada hai. Australia mein, monthly CPI teen mahine tak 4.0% year-on-year consistently barh raha hai, jo GBP/JPY trading ke liye significant hai.

GBP/JPY trading ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis samajhna zaroori hai:

Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal karte hain future price movements ko predict karne ke liye. Support aur resistance levels ko identify karna trading decisions mein vital role play karta hai.




Carry Trade:Yeh strategy yen ko lower interest rates par borrow karke pound-denominated assets mein invest karne se related hai jo higher returns offer karte hain. Lekin, yeh risky ho sakta hai agar interest rate policies ya market sentiment mein sudden changes hote hain.

News Trading:UK aur Japan se economic news releases GBP/JPY mein rapid movements ka sabab ban sakti hain. Traders in economic reports aur central bank meetings ko closely monitor karte hain taake updated rah sakein.

Correlation Analysis: GBP/JPY aksar stock indices aur commodities jaise doosre financial instruments ke sath correlations dikhata hai. In correlations ko samajhna trading strategies ko enhance kar sakta hai.

Currency Pair GBP-JPY
Jis chart ka humne muta'liya kiya hai, usmein dekhne ko milta hai ke GBP-JPY ka currency pair filhal bullish mood mein hai. Ye bullish trend Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator se asaani se pehchana ja sakta hai, jo price quotes ka smooth aur averaged value dikhata hai, jabke traditional Japanese candlesticks kaafi volatile hote hain. Heiken Ashi indicator technical analysis ko aasan banata hai aur trading decisions ke accuracy ko bhi behtar karta hai.

Is chart mein TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi hai, jo moving average ke zariye support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai. Ye indicator currency pair ke movement ki boundaries ko dekhne mein madad karta hai. Signals ko final filter karne aur trade ka decision lene ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai.

Chart mein dekhne se pata chalta hai ke Heiken Ashi candlesticks blue color ke hain, jo price movement ke northern direction ko darshata hai. Market quotes ne linear channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko paar kiya, lekin minimum point tak pohanch kar wapas upar ki taraf middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf chali gayi. RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai kyunke iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se door hai.

In sab cheezon ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, sirf purchases ko relevant mana ja sakta hai. Isliye, ek long deal kholni chahiye aur instrument ko channel ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) tak pohanchne ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke price mark 202.583 par hai.

GBP/JPY pair filhal ek chhoti si range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan support 204.50 ke ird gird hai. Agar price is level ke nazdeek aati hai bina isay todhe, toh yeh buying opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai. Resistance ki baat karein, toh pair 199.60 base aur 201.45 peak ke nazdeek constrained hai. Agar price is specified range se bahar nikalti hai, toh neeche jaane ke chances zyada hain, jahan 203.60 ka round number bear targets ho sakta hai. Is level tak pohnchne ke baad, pair ki agle movements ka dobara assessment kiya jayega.

Hourly chart par, price ek triangle pattern mein thi lekin kal neeche ki taraf break out kar gayi. Price ne triangle ke lower border, ek ascending channel, aur ascending trend line ko tod diya, jo ke potential decline ko indicate karta hai. Magar filhal, pair last local maximum ke thoda niche consolidate kar rahi hai, aur yeh consolidation phase agle move ke liye crucial hoga. Is scenario mein, hum upper resistance levels ki taraf moves dekh sakte hain jo 202.70 se 207.60 tak ho sakti hain. Agar price 204.36 ke niche convincingly break karti hai, toh yeh 203.00 ki taraf move karne ka signal ho sakta hai baad mein significant breakdown ke. Bullish scenario ke liye, stop-loss 202.00 ke niche rakha jana chahiye, kyunki yeh critical support area hai.

Is context mein, British data releases ko closely monitor kiya jayega, aur market Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting ka intezar kar rahi hai jo 1 August ko scheduled hai. Agar data expectations se kamzor aati hai aur rate cut ke expectations phir se garam hoti hain, toh pound vulnerable ho sakta hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, latest PMI business climate data Wednesday ko release hogi, jahan market month-on-month basis par slight improvement ki ummeed kar rahi hai, kyunki manufacturing aur services expansion ranges mein rehne ke ummeed hai.

GBP/JPY
Yen ko foreign exchange market mein kamzor karne ke liye aage ke qadam uthaaye gaye hain. Yeh step UK se kuch economic data ke bawajood liya gaya hai. Halankeh unemployment claims mein thodi si izafa hua hai, magar majboot wage growth ne investors ko tasalli di hai. Bank of Japan ka market mein recent interventions do baar hua hai, jo chinta ka sabab bana hai. In interventions ke reports se spending mein izafa hua hai, jo Yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Lekin, yeh interventions alag-alag asraat de sakti hain. GBP/JPY pair ne haali mein 197.00 ko touch kiya, jo 191.50 ke ird gird se kafi upar hai, jo ek significant move hai. Former BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke mutabiq, central bank apni agli interest rate hike ko September tak postpone kar sakta hai. Yeh wait-and-see approach unhein July aur August mein aane wale economic data ko assess karne ka mauka dega. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne BoJ ke saath cooperation par zordiya hai taake currency trends ko monitor aur respond kiya ja sake. In efforts ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair apne 16 saal ke high 200.50 ke nazdeek se kafi neeche hai, aur filhal 196.47 se 198.57 ke darmiyan range kar raha hai. Market abhi BoJ interventions ke asraat digest kar rahi hai, shayad US Federal Reserve ke departure ke asar se. Yen par continuous pressure aage bhi Japanese authorities ke interventions se dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Technical indicators naye changes ka ishara de rahe hain. Jabke Average Directional Index (ADX) recent uptrend ke khatam hone ka signal de raha hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator rapid declines dikhata hai, jo Yen ke bearish outlook ka signal hai agar yeh midpoint ki taraf continue karta hai. Yeh level khas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki isne BoJ ko late April mein market mein do baar intervene karne par majboor kiya tha. BoJ ab bhi ek wildcard factor hai. Jab US markets May 27th ko band honge, toh ek aur intervention ka mauka ho sakta hai agar Bank ko lagta hai ke Yen kamzori ko curb karna zaroori hai. Potential headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators uptrend ke haq mein hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) March-June 2023 rally ke baad se apne highest level par hai, jo strong directional movement ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi overbought zone mein hai, jo current bullish momentum ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, RSI ki gahrai se jaanch se bullish armor mein kuch crack nazar aati hai. Indicator higher highs banane mein struggle kar raha hai, jo underlying weakness ka ishara hai. Agar bulls control ko banaye rakhna chahte hain, toh unhein GBP/JPY ko support level 198.59 ke upar rakhna hoga aur April 29th ke high 200.50 ko dobara test karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar successful breakout hota hai, toh Japanese authorities ka ek aur intervention trigger ho sakta hai, jo potential losses lead kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, jahan bulls aur bears tug-of-war mein hain. Agle din direction aur uptrend ke momentum ko maintain karne mein crucial honge.

Do hafton se GBP/JPY pair ek mazboot downward correction path par hai, jo humari free live trading recommendations page par aksar mumkiniyat ke tor par note kiya gaya hai. Humne GBP/JPY pair ko bechne ka tajwez diya jab yeh 207.00 se neeche gaya, aur iska record gains resistance level 208.11 tak pohncha. Iske baad successive sell-offs ne isey support level 195.86 tak le aaya, jo ke do mahine se zyada ka sabse neecha level hai.
GBP ki price zyada resilient rahi hai, lekin GBP/EUR pair zyada vulnerable ho sakta hai agar stocks apni ground kho dete hain, khaaskar jab market mein Bank of England ke rate cut ke speculation barh rahe hain.

Bank of England ke hawale se, zyada tar investment banks expect karte hain ke is hafte ke policy meeting mein interest rates cut honge, lekin financial markets is cut ke 50% se kam chances price kar rahi hain. Isliye, agar markets ko lagta hai ke Bank of England is hafte action lene wala hai, toh GBP selling ke liye vulnerable ho sakta hai. Lekin, global speculators ke British currency mein investment se currency sharp correction ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hai agar hot money phir se flood kar jaye. Latest CFTC data ne non-commercial long positions ke liye record high hit kiya hai.




Market prices ne dikhaya ke investors ne expectations ko 50% se neeche cut kar diya hai jab inflation figures ne dikhaya ke UK services inflation Bank of England ke latest forecast se zyada hai. Sterling aur government bond yields bhi iske response mein barh gaye hain. Oxford Economics ka kehna hai ke bank monetary policy report aur press conference ka istemal rate cut ke liye September mein preparation ke liye karega. “Zyada dovish members yeh emphasize karenge ke wo pichle do saal se zyada forward-looking approach le rahe hain, aur is message ko yeh expectations ke saath complement karenge ke inflation clearly target ke niche hai do saal ke horizon par,” analyst ne add kiya.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY price trend bearish ho gaya hai. Agar 195.00 ka support break hota hai, toh bears ka control trend par mazboot ho jayega. Phir yeh level 191.20 tak pohnch sakta hai. Dusri taraf, psychological resistance 200.00 ke upar stability bulls ke liye important rahegi taake wo control regain kar saken. Dono trends markets aur investors ke Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ke announcements ke reaction par depend karte hain.