Gbp/usd

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

4-hour chart par, price 1.2720 par peak hone ke baad neeche ki taraf move karte hue jaari hai. Is hafte, price ascending aur sideways channels se bane triangle ke andar trade karne ka aghaz kiya. Hafte ke shuru mein, price ne upar jaate hue triangle ko break kiya aur price channels ko upar ki taraf le gaya, haftawar level 1.2780 tak pahunchne se pehle neeche gir gaya. Lekin price ne giravat jaari rakhi, channel lines aur pivot indicator ke levels ko toorna shuru kiya. Ab price ne red channel ko bhi toorna hai, usko retest kiya hai, aur haftawar pivot level ko bhi toorna hai, jo ke neeche ki blue channel line ki taraf move ko indicate karta hai.

1-hour chart par, price aaj ek selling zone mein daakhil hua hai, jahan par daily aur weekly pivot levels aur descending channels ke upper border se resistance mil raha hai. Asian session mein price sideways trade kiya, haftawar pivot level par mazboot resistance encounter kiya, phir giravat shuru ki. Pehla support level 1.2675 ko toorna gaya hai, aur ab price red channel ko toorna ki koshish kar raha hai. Ye baat ke price abhi bhi haftawar pivot level ke neeche trade ho raha hai, downward trend ko support karti hai.



Aap current level se sell position enter karne ke liye 4-hour chart par bharosa kar sakte hain, neeche ki blue channel line tak jaane ke liye, stop loss aaj ke highest trading price se thoda upar set karte hue. Ab price channel line se resistance milne ki ummeed hai aur phir neeche girne ke liye haftawar support ko toorna jaayega aur 1.2590 ke support level tak girne jaayega. Price ko 1.2570 ke level se support mil raha hai jo ke upar ki correction ka saadhan ho sakta hai, phir se girne se pehle.

GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

Pair ki price ek price triangle ke andar trade kar rahi hai jo safed mein mark ki gayi hai, jo do price channels dwara bane hain jo pichle do hafton mein movement ko represent karte hain, jisme upar aur sideways trends nazar aaye hain. Hara rasta ek izafa ko darshata hai, jahan par price triangle ko upar ki taraf toor sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to price upar neeche ki taraf oscillate ho sakta hai, upper triangle line se support mil sakta hai aur upper red channel line aur resistance level 1.2740 ke darmiyan move kar sakta hai. Peela rasta sideways movement ko darshata hai price triangle ke do lines aur haftawar pivot level ke darmiyan tak jab tak price triangle ko neeche toorna na ho.



TRADING PATTERN:

Laal rasta ek downward movement ko darshata hai, jisme price triangle aur haftawar pivot level ko toorna ke baad bharosa kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price triangle ko upar toorta hai aur uske upar 4-hour candle ko bandh karke, aap ek buy position enter kar sakte hain jiska target resistance level 1.2765 ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai. Agar price pivot level tak girta hai, to ek rebound ka intezaar karein aur candle ke reversal pattern ka formation ho. Agar price upper triangle line se rebound karta hai aur reversal pattern banata hai, to aap sell kar sakte hain. Agar price price triangle aur haftawar pivot level ko toorta hai, to aap ek sell position enter kar sakte hain jisko unke neeche 4-hour candle bandh karke. Price phir neeche gir gaya, bottom ko toorna aur do peaks ko banane ke baad, ek naye downward wave ko confirm karta hai, jo red channel line aur haftawar support level 1.2550 tak pahuncha.

GBP/USD

British Pound (GBP) ne Friday ko ek volatile din dekhne ki umeed hai jab key economic data releases samne aayengi. Ye sab Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates ko 5.25% par stable rakhne ke faisle ke baad ho raha hai. BoE ka faisla, inflation concerns ke bawajood, investors ko monetary policy ke future path ke bare mein uncertain chhod gaya hai. BoE ka inflation ko "sustainably" low rakhne par focus aur zarurat par tight restrictions maintain karne ke liye taiyari, potential rate cuts ke bare mein ambiguity paida kar raha hai. Ye ambiguity aur tight labor market ke sath, upcoming economic data par focus shift ho gaya hai. Friday ko UK retail sales aur updated S&P Global PMI figures dono UK aur US ke liye release hongi. Market expectations hai ke UK retail sales rebound karegi, May mein 1.5% increase ke sath, jo pehle -2.3% decline thi. Iske alawa, UK's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) mein thodi improvement dikhne ki umeed hai, manufacturing 51.3 tak badhne ke sath jo pehle 51.2 thi aur services 53.0 tak jo pehle 52.9 thi. Across the pond, US PMI figures thodi dip hone ki umeed hai, manufacturing 51.0 tak girne ke sath jo pehle 51.3 thi aur services 53.7 tak jo pehle 54.8 thi.



Technically, GBP/USD pair is waqt ek downtrend face kar rahi hai, jo Thursday ko 1.2700 level ke neeche gir chuki hai. Ye weakness tab aur emphasize hui jab price key 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.2721 ko hold nahi kar payi. Agar ye downtrend bina challenge ke continue hui, toh pound ki value aur gir sakti hai. Daily chart bhi bearish picture paint kar raha hai, 1.2800 resistance zone par ek confirmed rejection ke sath. Ye suggest karta hai ke 200-day moving average ke taraf potential return ho sakta hai, jo currently 1.2580 ke around hai. Furthermore, 50-day moving average par support 1.2674 bhi weaken ho raha hai. Agar bears control mein rahe, GBP/USD 2024 lows ke paas near 1.2300 level ko revisit kar sakti hai. Friday ka data releases crucial honge GBP/USD ke next move ko determine karne ke liye. Strong UK data, aur weak US figures ke sath, current downtrend ko reverse kar sakti hain. Lekin agar disappointments hui, toh ye weakness ko aur badha sakti hain aur pound ko apne yearly lows ki taraf push kar sakti hain.

Navigating the Waves: GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka main mawad hoga. Kal ke US stock market ke izafay ne dollar ko market ke darmiyan kamzor kar diya. UK ke inflation report aur Bank of England ke rate decision ke agay, market volumes mein numayan kami nazar aayi hai, jo histogram indicator par dekha gaya hai. Agar pair 1.2664 support level ke neeche consolidate hota hai jo ke do din se toota nahi hai, to bikri mein izafa ho sakta hai. Ye rasta 1.2584 ki taraf aur neeche tak khul sakta hai, lekin hum kal ke inflation report ka intezar kar rahe hain. Abhi filhaal sab kuch retail sales data par tika hua hai. Takneeki tor par, kal ke correction ke baad bikri prominent hai, aur main ek teesre giravat ke shuru hone ka imkaan samajh raha hoon. Lekin US stock market ka izafa bina kisi correction ke jaari hai, jo ke ek achanak giravat ka imkaan hai.

Chaliye M5 time frame par GBP/USD pair ko tajziya karte hain. Haal hi mein, maine asanai ke liye faisla kiya hai, sirf Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par base hone wali trading strategy istemal karne ka. Chart mein sirf RSI ko reflect kiya gaya hai, kisi bhi bekaar element ko nahi dikhaya gaya hai. Notice karein ke RSI 30 zone mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo ke ek kamzor bearish movement ko darshata hai, jahan price 1.2681 par hai. Entry point M5 time frame par market ke mutabiq hota hai, jahan hum market ke hisab se khareedte hain. Har trade mein munasib risk lete hain, jo ke risk/reward ratio 1:3 se 1:5 ka hai, jisse potential nuqsanat ko kam kiya ja sakta hai. Munafa-deh zone tak pohanchne par, main trailing stops ka istemal haath se karta hoon. Ye tariqa khaas tor par mere jaise day traders ke liye bohat asar andaz sabit hota hai.



Stop losses ke hawale se, maine ek mustaqil 15-pip ka stop loss istemal kiya hai, jo ke aakhri price extreme se aagee strategically place kiya gaya hai, taake false breakouts se bacha ja sake. GBP/USD pair ka yeh tajziya yahan khatam hota hai. Aap sab ka tawajjo ke liye shukriya.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis

Pichle hafte, pound ne phir se aik local high banane ki koshish ki, 1.2788 ka barrier torna chaha, lekin kamyab nahi ho saka. Is se aik tez reversal hua, jiske baad price 1.2667 tak gir gayi. Natija yeh hua ke expected target area achieve nahi ho saka. Is ke sath hi price chart supertrend ke red zone mein dakhil ho gaya, jo ke sellers ki zyada activity ko indicate karta hai.

Takneeki nazar se dekha jaye to current move bearish hai, kyun ke daily indicator 1.2800 ke psychological resistance barrier ke neeche break kar gaya, aur daily stochastic indicator pe clear signs of overbought nazar aa rahe hain. Upar ki taraf, pair ne key support 1.2700 ke upar day's session ko end kiya, jo current trading level hai, jabke moving average ab bhi emerge ho raha hai. Hum daily consolidation ko 1.2700 ke upar favor karte hain, kyun ke humein pata hai ke aur aik price consolidation 1.2855 ke upar agay 1.2920 aur 1.2960 ki taraf madadgar hogi. Yaad rahe, 1.2700 ke neeche break hote hi koi bhi upar ki taraf attempts ruk jayengi aur pair ko neeche ki taraf move karna padega pehle 1.2665 aur 1.2630 ke next price target set karne se pehle.

Pair filhal har hafte thoda neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support area ko test kiya ja raha hai, lekin background aur naye price range mein break hone mein nakami ko dekhte hue, is area ka breakout hone ka strong imkaan hai, jo ke possible reversal ko indicate karta hai, to Downward Aspect update ho gaya hai. Is ko confirm karne ke liye zaroori hoga ke final break 1.2667 ke neeche ho, jo ke major resistance area ka boundary ka kaam karega, consolidation ke neeche hone se pehle. Is area se subsequent pullback decline ko continue karne ka moka dega target area ke darmiyan 1.2521 aur 1.2401 tak.



Agar resistance aur price reversal level 1.2788 ko break kar dete hain, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD

Assalam-o-Alaikum, Sergey! Mere paas yeh kirdar hai Assol ka: Captain Gray ke ships ko milna aur rukhsat karna. Aaj maine #GBP/USD par ek jhalak li. Hua yeh ke aaj humare paas Briton ke liye kuch news aane wali hain. Lekin Briton, apni purani riwayat ke mutabiq, shayad in par koi tawajju na de. Is liye maine GBP/USD ko indicators ke zariye further dekha.

Daily chart par nazar dali to samajhna mushkil hai ke yeh instrument kya chah raha hai. Yeh jaisa ke fellow judges/prosecutors kehte hain, process mein hai. Mera khayal hai ke tops abhi finalize nahi huye taake ek normal girawat shuru ho sake. Indicators ke mutabiq:

MA100 space ko floor ke parallel chal raha hai yeh is instrument ke flat hone ki nishani hai within the week. Saari candles abhi local MA100 ke upar zone mein ban rahi hain - yani ke yeh bohot bullish market hai.
Abhi ka main trading signal global sales from Semaphore hai. Yeh signal last week place hua tha jab price upper Bollinger band ke upar space mein enter kar gayi thi. Yeh ek pattern situation hai jo dikhati hai ke bulls ne ab kuch goals achieve kar liye hain aur woh retire hone ke liye tayar hain.
Teeno Bollinger Bands abhi local MA100 ke upar zone mein hain yeh indicator hai ke market waqai bullish hai, aur abhi bears sirf girawat ka sapna hi dekh sakte hain.



Global sell signal ke potential par, price ne lower Bollinger band ko touch kar liya baghair nearby powerful support MA100 ko catch kiye. Yani, abhi ke liye main yahaan kuch samajh nahi paa raha hoon: ek taraf, girawat ko pura karna tedious hoga MA100 (level 1.2640) ko test karna, doosri taraf, jo growth shuru hui hai (in the form of a correction) woh bhi khuli reh gayi hai isse bhi complete karna zaroori hai. Main abhi market mein nahi hoon.

GBP/USD M-30 Timeframe Analysis:

Aaj subah maine ek ascending channel banaya aur umeed thi ke girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin hua yeh ke price ne is channel se upward nikalna shuru kar diya aur pair ne upward move karna shuru kar diya. Ab maine ek naya ascending channel banaya hai aur aisa lag raha hai ke, upward move karte hue, price is channel ki upper border tak, yani 1.2718 level tak pahunch gayi hai. Is level tak pohanch kar, price ne wapas mudna shuru kar diya aur niche move karna shuru kar diya.

Aaj yeh mumkin hai ke 1.2718 ko tod kar growth barqarar rahe. Hum pehle hi 1.2690 ko tod chuke hain aur iske baad growth continue reh sakti hai. Filhal, ek koshish hai ke price ko further niche le jaaya jaye aur downward correction continue rahe. Ek false breakout 1.2655 level par ho sakta hai, jiske baad rate mazid strengthen kar sakta hai. American session mein, 1.2720 par resistance ka possible breakdown aur uske upar consolidation ek signal hoga long positions kholne ka. Agar 1.2670 ka level tuta aur niche consolidate kiya, to yeh selling continue rakhne ka signal hoga.



Ho sakta hai ke 1.2660 ka level tod kar niche consolidate kare, to yeh rate ke girne ka signal hoga aur aap sell kar sakte hain. Lekin 1.2720 ke breakout ke baad, growth dobara resume hone ki umeed hai. 1.2760 ka level todna bhi buy ka signal hoga. Is level tak pahunch kar, ek reversal ho sakta hai aur price dobara upward move karna shuru kar degi. Yeh pair channel se niche bhi nikal sakta hai aur price girawat continue kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD H-1

Aaj ki analysis GBP/USD currency pair par markaz rakhti hai. Filhal yeh 1.2682 par trade kar raha hai, aur technical indicators bearish trend ko signal kar rahe hain. Dono Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators strong sell signals de rahe hain, jo yeh batate hain ke sellers abhi bhi market par dabao banaye hue hain aur bullish reversal nahi hone de rahe. Iske ilawa, Moving Average (MA) indicator bhi strong sell ko signal kar raha hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market aaj downward trend par continue karega. Agar price in moving average lines ke neechay drop hoti hai, toh yeh trend ke direction mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders aksar moving averages ka use trend dekhne ke liye karte hain. Jab price ek important moving average ke neechay move hoti hai, toh yeh trend ke shift hone ka signal de sakta hai.

GBP/USD chart ko dekhte hue, pehla resistance level 1.2707 par hai. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, toh yeh ek bullish trend ke shuru hone ka signal de sakta hai, jo price ko agle resistance 1.2810 tak push kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, pehla support level 1.2658 par hai. Agar price is support ke neechay girti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai, jo price ko 1.3323 support level tak le ja sakta hai. Koi significant economic news na hone ki wajah se, traders ko sirf technical analysis par hi rely karna chahiye apne trading decisions ke liye. Is analysis mein use hone wale indicators mein RSI, MACD, aur MA shamil hain. GBP/USD pair filhal 1.2682 par trade kar raha hai, aur bearish trend show kar raha hai. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD selling pressure ko suggest kar rahe hain. Pehla resistance 1.2707 par hai; agar yeh break hota hai, toh price 1.2810 tak barh sakti hai. Support level 1.2658 par hai; agar yeh girta hai, toh price mazid niche ja sakti hai.

Ek koshish mein 1.2700 ke round-level resistance ko cross karne ke liye, pound sterling (GBP) selling pressure mein hai. Jaisay hi US dollar thodi si decline ke baad, jo six-week high se hui thi, mazid strength gain karta hai, GBP/USD pair dheere dheere decline ho raha hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ki value ko chay major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 105.00 se upar hai jab tak Federal Reserve (Fed) ke representatives yeh argue karte hain ke is saal sirf ek martaba interest rates ko kam karna chahiye.

Aaj, GBP/USD currency pair mein significant decline dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo ke strong downward momentum se characterized hai. Sellers ne successfully four-hour chart par 200-period moving average ke neeche break kar liya hai, jo ek critical technical indicator hai aur traders ke liye potential trend reversals ya continuations ke liye aksar dekha jata hai. Yeh breach suggest karta hai ke bearish sentiment gain kar raha hai aur currency pair apni descent continue karne wala hai 39.4% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf, jo ke ek target hai jo main pehle anticipate kar raha tha lekin immediately nahi ponch saka.

200-period moving average forex traders mein widely used metric hai. Yeh medium-term horizon ke over market ke overall trend ka barometer serve karta hai. Jab price is moving average ke upar hoti hai, toh generally bullish signal consider kiya jata hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market sentiment positive hai aur price barhne ki umeed hai. Iske baraks, jab price is moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ko signal karta hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers control mein hain aur price apni downward trajectory continue karne wali hai. GBP/USD ke case mein, recent break 200-period moving average ke neeche four-hour chart par ek clear indication hai ke sellers ka upper hand hai.

Is break ki significance aur bhi mazid strong ho jati hai broader context ke hisab se GBP/USD trading environment mein. Kai fundamental factors is downward pressure mein contribute kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, UK se aane wale economic data releases disappointing ho sakte hain, jaise ke lower-than-expected GDP growth figures, rising unemployment rates, ya future interest rate hikes ke hawale se Bank of England ka dovish stance. Yeh factors British pound mein investor confidence ko undermine kar sakte hain, jo increased selling pressure ka sabab ban sakte hain.

British Pound (GBP) ko ek volatile Friday ka samna karna parega jab key economic data releases center stage par aayengi. Yeh tab ho raha hai jab Bank of England (BoE) ne markets ko surprise karte hue interest rates ko 5.25% par steady rakha. BoE ka decision status quo maintain karne ka, rising inflation concerns ke bawajood, investors ko future path of monetary policy ke bare mein uncertain chhod gaya hai. Unka focus inflation ko "sustainably" low rakhne par hai, aur zarurat par tight restrictions maintain karne ke liye tayar rehne se potential rate cuts ke bare mein ambiguity create hui hai. Yeh ambiguity aur tight labor market ke combination ne focus ko upcoming economic data par shift kar diya hai. Friday ke releases mein UK retail sales aur updated S&P Global PMI figures dono UK aur US ke liye shamil hain. Market expectations yeh hain ke UK retail sales mein rebound hoga, with a projected increase of 1.5% in May compared to a previous decline of -2.3%. Iske alawa, UK ka Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slight improvement dikhane ki forecast hai, with manufacturing rising to 51.3 from 51.2 aur services climbing to 53.0 from 52.9. Across the pond, US PMI figures mein slight dip expected hai, with manufacturing falling to 51.0 from 51.3 aur services dropping to 53.7 from 54.8.

Technically, GBP/USD pair is waqt ek downtrend face kar rahi hai, Thursday ko 1.2700 level ke neeche girne ke baad. Yeh weakness aur emphasize hoti hai jab price 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.2721 ke upar hold nahi kar saki. Agar yeh downtrend chalta raha aur challenge nahi hota, to pound ki value aur gir sakti hai. Daily chart bhi bearish picture paint karta hai, with a confirmed rejection at the 1.2800 resistance zone. Yeh suggest karta hai ke potential return 200-day moving average ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke currently 1.2580 par hai. Furthermore, support from the 50-day moving average at 1.2674 weakening ho raha hai. Agar bears control mein rahe, GBP/USD 2024 ke lows near the 1.2300 level ko revisit kar sakta hai. Friday ke data releases crucial honge GBP/USD ke next move ko determine karne mein. Strong UK data aur weaker US figures milkar current downtrend ko reverse kar sakte hain. Lekin, agar disappointments hui to weakness aur barh sakti hai aur pound apne yearly lows ki taraf push ho sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ko interest rates cut karne ke liye consistent evidence chahiye declining inflation ka over several months. Hal hi mein disinflation ka process resume hua hai after stalling in the first quarter, lekin Fed officials wary hain rates jaldi reduce karne ke, jo inflationary pressures ko fir se ignite kar sakta hai. Is context mein, pound sterling ko struggles ho rahi hai gains sustain karne mein against US dollar beyond significant resistance level of 1.2700. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke around selling pressure indicates near-term trend for GBP/USD pair uncertain hai.Lekin, pound ko robust support mil raha hai 50-day EMA pe at 1.2670, aur 1.2667 pe, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hold kar raha hai, jo calculate kiya gaya hai high of 1.2900 on March 8 se low of 1.2300 on April 22 tak. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo 40.00 aur 60.00 ke beech hover kar raha hai, upward momentum mein deceleration point karta hai. Tuesday ke London session ke dauran, pound sterling ko selling pressure ka samna hai jab wo critical resistance of 1.2700 ko surpass karne ki koshish kar raha hai against US dollar.

Ye pressure aaya hai jab US dollar strength gain kar raha hai ek brief dip ke baad from a six-week high. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ko six major currencies se compare karta hai, 105.00 ke upar bana hua hai, Fed officials ke ongoing statements se buoyed hai jo indicate karte hain ki interest rate cuts ko postpone karna chahiye until later in the year. Iska result yeh hai ki GBP/USD pair slowly decline ho raha hai, reflecting broader strength of US dollar in current economic environment, Fed se hints mil rahe hain fewer anticipated interest rate cuts ke baare mein. Ye, combined with sluggish economic growth in UK, ne downward pressure exert kiya hai GBP pe.Technically, GBP/USD currency pair currently support levels aur resistance levels ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jahan strong support 1.2670 aur 1.2667 pe located hai, aur significant resistance 1.2700 pe face kar raha hai. Momentum indicators aur technical levels suggest karte hain ki market participants ko caution maintain karna chahiye aur closely monitor karna chahiye upcoming economic data aur central bank policies ko, jo future price movements ko influence kar sakte hain.
resistance face kar raha hai, price repeatedly unable hai surpass karne mein 1.28 mark, jo caution signal kar raha hai bullish traders ke beech, especially UK's national elections ke looming July mein. Ab tak significant sell-off nahi hua hai, lekin analysts caution karte hain confirmation ka wait na karne ke liye action lene se pehle. Ek notable decline in GBP/USD signify kar sakta hai recent upward trend ka end. Aage dekhte hue, kuch support levels Pound ke liye relief provide kar sakte hain. Initial potential stopping point approximately 1.2755-1.2750 pe hai, aur 1.2715-1.2710 range offer kar sakta hai temporary stability agar price further fall kare. Ek deeper decline GBP/USD ko le ja sakta hai towards critical 100-day SMA support, jo currently near 1.2640-1.2635 pe positioned hai. Ek convincing breach below is level strengthen kar sakta hai bearish sentiment aur prompt kar sakta hai additional losses.

Ek extended pullback ke event mein, 1.2669 area serve kar sakta hai as first line of defense for Pound. Further support observe kiya ja sakta hai around 1.2598, ek level jo steady hold kiya in both January aur March. Agar ye barrier breach hota hai, price drop ho sakta hai towards February low of 1.2517. Overall, recent strength of Pound diminish ho rahi hai in light of resurgent US Dollar aur lackluster UK economic data. Upcoming elections introduce kar rahe hain another layer of uncertainty. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye market developments aur economic indicators ko for making informed decisions.

GBP/USD pair ke liye, kal mein zaroor zyada rukhrawi aur Bank of England ke dar mein kami ka intezar tha, lekin zahir hai ke bankaron ko acha impression nahi hua, shayad, aur jodi dheere se neeche chali gayi, 1.2680 ke saahata ko tor kar 1.2570 ki saahata ki taraf ja rahi thi, lekin unhe ye hasil nahi hua, daam to gir sakte the magar jaise ke maine pehle hi kaha tha ke bankaron ne umeedon ka mukabla nahi kiya aur is liye maqsad tak pohanchne ka koi imkaan nahi tha, aur zyada tar wo aaj bhi nahi pohanchenge, kyunke aik correction ki zarurat hai aur phir sadeh mein waqt na honay ki wajah se, lekin aam tor par, agar hum kal ki tawaqquat ko jama karte hain, to jodi ne ulta chakkar kha gayi baghair 1.2750 ke saath wapas mud gayi, neeche 1.2680 ko tor diya, jo ke mujhe theek yahi umeed thi, aur giravat ko jaari rakha, 1.2680 ke saahata ke neeche mazid sakoonat hasil hui.

Aaj ke mutabiq GBPUSD ke liye, 1.2680 ke darja ko saahata ka kaam karna chahiye aur mein ek roz ke andar us par wapas jane ka tasawwur karonga, agar 1.2680 ka saahata nahi tor sakte, to phir se mein umeed rakhta hoon ke is se neeche ek impulse aayega, 1.2570 ki taraf, maqsad tak ke faslay ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aaj is maqsad ko pooray karne ke koi zyada imkaan nahi hain aur zahir hai ke ye agle haftay mein kaam kiya jayega, aaj yeh mumkin hai ke figure 1.26 se bhi neeche nahi jaane diya jaye, lekin abhi yahi tassawur hai. Agar jodi 1.2680 ke saahata ko tor sakti hai, to hum 1.2750 ke saahata par lautenge, lekin aaj ek breakout ki umeed nahi hai, ye bhi aik lamba fasla hai aur sirf naye haftay se is saahata ko torne ki koshish ki jayegi, is liye agar jodi 1.2680 ko tor kar mushtamil ho jati hai, to hum 1.2750 ke saahata aur 1.2680 ke saahata ke darmiyan hi rahenge jaise ke is haftay ke doran rah chuke hain. Federal Reserve ko dilchaspi daroj karne ke liye, unhe mukhtalif hafton mein kam hone wale mehengai ka mustaqil saboot chahiye hota hai. Halan ke mehengai ka silsila halq mein dobara shuru hua hai pehle maheenay mein rukawat ke baad, lekin Fed afseerat mehengai ke dobara barhne ka khatra hai, jo ke mehengai ke dabao ko phir se jalane ka sabab ho sakta hai. Is silsile mein, pond sterling ko amrika dollar ke khilaaf 1.2700 ke ahem saahata darja se guzarne mein mushkil hoti hai. 20-dinon ki Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke ird gird farokht dabaao aik ghaafil qareebi muddat ke trend ke liye ishaarai hai. Magar pond ko 50-dinon ki EMA par 1.2670 mein mazboot saahata milti hai, aur 1.2667 par wo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko pakad rahi hai, jo ke 8 March ko 1.2900 ki bulandiyon se 22 April ko 1.2300 ke darja se hisaab se calculate kiya gaya hai. 14-muddat ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo 40.00 se 60.00 ke darmiyan hai, ishare hai ke ooper ki harkat mein rukawat hai. Mangalwar ke london session mein, pond sterling amrika dollar ke khilaaf 1.2700 ke qareebi ahem saahata ko guzarne ki koshish karte hue farokht dabaao ka samna karta hai. Ye dabaao aik chhote arse ke liye aik chhote arse ke liye a

Agar hum agle dino ki taraf dekhein, GBP/USD mazeed girawat ka samna kar sakta hai. Halankeh pair haal hi mein 1.2575 par apne do mah ke uchayi tak pohancha tha aur yeh ab bhi apne ahem moving averages par hai, jo ke 1.2575 par hai, aur shayad mazeed neeche bhi ho sakta hai. Agar neeche ki trend jari rehti hai, to GBP/USD ke liye agla potential support level 1.2465 ho sakta hai, phir ek paanch mahine ka low, 1.2300. Yeh manzar pound sterling ke liye aham giravat ko darust karta hai.

Ikhtitam mein, currency market ne Jumma ko kismat ki paltan dekhi. Federal Reserve ke mutasir tajziye ke peechay US dollar mazboot hua, jabke UK ki muashiyat ke mutalbat ki wajah se pound dab gaya. Yeh dynamics agle hafton mein GBP/USD mein mazeed kamzori ka bais bana sakti hai, jahan potential support levels aham ho sakte hain.

Chalein, aaj ke munafa-kar trading ke mumkinat ko tajziya karte hain jo teen indicators ke signals - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke mutabiq hain, jo hamein sab se mutma'in market entry point ka intikhab karne mein madad faraham karenge. Ek tawil tawaja se soorat haal ka dawam dena, ek barabar eham kaam hoga, jo haal ki eham nukta-e-nazar se Fibonacci grid banane ki salahiyat ka faisla hoga. Is maqsad ke liye, hum mojooda hadood par Fibonacci grid banaenge aur, maamla band karne ke liye, hum qareebi correctional Fibo levels par tawajju denge.

Di gayi chart par, aap foran dekh sakte hain ke pehla darja regression line (golden dotted line), jo instrumental ki taraf ishaarat deta hai aur isy intikhab shuda time frame (time-frame H4) mein mojood trend ka haalat dikhata hai, ko upar ke janib ek zyada 30% ke angle par hota hai, jo ke uttar ki dominant trend movement ko dikhata hai. Naqal kiye gaye ghair linear regression channel ke alaamat, jaise ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, ek bend complete kar chuki hai, neeche se upar ko guzri aur ab ek uttarward disha mein hai. Keemat ne laal resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko paar kiya, lekin 1.27880 tak ziada quote value (HIGH) tak pohancha, jis ke baad isne apni izafa ko roka aur mustaqil tor par kam hone laga. Tawalud fil hal, aalaat ab ek keemat darj kiye gaye hain, main umeed karta hoon ke market ke daam wapas aur munsif hone ke liye 2-nd LevelResLine channel line (1.24981) par aur mazeed neeche aage barenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.22983 tak, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath milta hai. Ek aur argument jo ek transaction ka faida uthane ke liye hai, woh yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD ke indicators bhi bechne mein sahih dakhil hone ki tasdiq karte hain, kyun ke woh overbought zone mein hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, traders! Chart se ham dekhte hain ke currency pair ko bechna kharidnay se zyada munasib hai. Moving average ne daam ke ooper chala gaya aur farokht karne walon ki taqat ko tasdeeq kiya. MACD indicator ke zero mark ko neeche se ooper cross karna daam ke signal ke khilaf hai. Is liye zaroori hai ke hum intezar karein jab tak zero mark ooper se neeche cross na ho jaye. Sab upar diya gaya yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke behtar hai ke 1.0757 ke level se bechain - yeh aaj market mein dakhil hone aur munafa banane ka ideal point hai. Indicator ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke is level se acha munafa hoga. Hum transaction par nuqsaan ko stop loss level par mehdood karte hain. Main ne stop 1.0777 ke level par rakha hai, agar yeh activate hojata hai to hum pura deposit bilkul khushak hone se bacha lenge. Hum 1.0697 ke level par munafa letay hain. Hum aur kuch nahi kar sakte, hum intezar karte hain jab tak daam stop loss ya take profit level tak na pohanchta hai.

Aadaab! Kal se EUR/USD mein taiz girawat ko EUR/GBP pair ne roka hai, jahan par EUR taizi se barh raha hai aur taqat hasil kar raha hai, jo isay yahan girne se rokta hai, lekin yeh aik waqtan-fa-waqt nazar anay wala muzoo hai, kyun ke GBP girna jari rahegi. Aaj, border ka resistance 1.07171 hai; agar yeh ooper se guzar jaye, to kharidari zyada sakht hogi aur aik chand dairay tak ka short-term izaafa hosakta hai. Haftay ki time frame ko dikhate hue, 4 ghantay ka chart farokht karne walon ki tajwez mein hai, yahan par volumes girte ja rahe hain bearish zone mein aur izaafa indeks bearish farokht zone mein hai. Yeh haftay ke paimane par kya matlab hai, ke girawat zyada tar is haftay ke khatam hone tak jari rahegi jab tak resistance 1.07171 ko toota na jaye, ooper se guzar ke 1.07285 aur daily candle ke zariye jamane ke saath shumara ho, shumali manzil ehtiyat ban jaye gi. Aik ghantay ka chart, jo asal mein din ko darust karta hai, bhi bearish zone mein hai, aur Asian session mein barhne ki koshish kar raha hai aur abhi mukhtasir muddat ki barhaw se guzar raha hai. Magar barhne ka indeks aur volumes, jo ke bearish halat mein mazbooti se hain, lambi barhne ko jari rakhne nahi denge, aur is liye aaj ka zyada se zyada barhna 1.07171 hai aur phir neeche ke rukh ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. 1.07300/1.07437 ilaqa mein maqsad ke ooper se nikalne par.
1.07171 se rukh karne par, neeche bearish maqsad 1.06949/1.06800 aur haftay ki support ilaqa tak maximum girawat 1.06685 tak hosakti hai.

GBP/USD:

GBP/USD pair ke liye, kal maine ziada volatility aur Bank of England rate mein kami expect ki thi, magar lagta hai bankers impressed nahi huye, aur pair dheere dheere neeche ki taraf chala gaya, support level 1.2680 ko tor kar, aur 1.2570 support ki taraf chala, magar yeh target nahi mil saka, rates ko lekar bankers ne umeed par poora nahi utre aur isliye target reach nahi ho saka, aur zyadatar chances hain ke aaj bhi target nahi milega kyun ke ek correction zaroori hai aur phir waqt nahi bachega. Agar hum kal ke expected ko sum up karein, toh pair resistance 1.2750 ko tode bina neeche ki taraf mud gaya aur 1.2680 ko tor diya, jo exactly maine expect kiya tha, aur decline ko continue karte hue 1.2680 support ke neeche consolidate kar gaya.Kal mein ne ziada volatility aur Bank of England rate mein kami expect ki thi, magar pair dheere dheere neeche chala gaya, aur 1.2680 support level ko tor kar 1.2570 ki taraf badha. Magar yeh target nahi mil saka kyunke bankers ne umeed par poora nahi utre aur isliye target reach nahi ho saka. Aaj ke liye bhi yeh target milne ke chances kam hain kyunke ek correction zaroori hai.
Kal pair ne resistance 1.2750 ko torne bina neeche ki taraf move kiya aur 1.2680 ko tor diya, jo exactly maine expect kiya tha, aur decline ko continue karte hue 1.2680 ke neeche consolidate kar gaya.

Aaj ke GBP/USD ke mutabiq, 1.2680 ka level resistance ke taur par kaam karna chahiye aur mein assume karta hoon ke din ke andar wapas us level tak rollback hoga, agar resistance 1.2680 break nahi hota, toh mein dobara neeche ki taraf impulse expect karta hoon 1.2570 ki taraf, given ke target tak ka distance, aaj ke din is target ke kaam karne ke chances kam hain aur zyadatar nayi hafte se is target ko kaam kiya jaayega. Aaj ke din yeh bhi mumkin hai ke 1.26 figure se neeche nahi jane diya jaaye, magar yeh filhal assumption hai. Agar pair resistance 1.2680 ko tor sakta hai, toh hum wapas 1.2750 resistance ke taraf jayenge, magar aaj ke din breakout expect nahi karta, yeh bhi lamba distance hai aur nayi hafte se hi is resistance ko tor karne ki koshish hogi, isliye agar pair resistance 1.2680 ko tor kar consolidate kar jata hai, toh hum 1.2750 resistance aur 1.2680 support ke beech mein reh jayenge jaise ke poore hafte rehe hain.