Gbp/usd

Hamari tajziya mein, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Aaj ka trading yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD pair overbought phase mein daakhil ho raha hai. Kyunki long trades jaldi hi nafa bakhsh nahi rahengi, short position initiate karna samajhdari hogi. Main apna stop loss modify karunga taake nuqsaan se bacha ja sake ya phir zyada price par apna investment barhane ka sochunga, yeh sab ek sakht risk management plan ke tehat hoga. Meri strategy mein short positions ko tab barhana shamil hai jab price 1.27931 se neeche giray, aur conservative exit ka target 1.27358 hai aur aggressive exit ka support level 1.26785 par. Main expect kar raha hoon ke yeh downtrend mein smoothly transition karega.

Halaanki bullish trend jari hai, aaj ke market movements kaafi numayan rahe hain, jo market adjustments aur Federal Reserve ke sham ke elaan ke intezar ki wajah se hain, jo ke interest rate increases signal kar rahe hain. Saath hi, stock market mein izafa economic recovery aur aane wale elections ki umeed par confidence ko reflect karta hai.

GBP/USD Price Trends and Moves

GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajzia zaroori hai. GBP/USD pair abhi thoda 1.2749 ke upar trade kar rahi hai US dollar ke muqable mein. April ke UK GDP aur industrial production data ka is par koi khaas asar nahi pada, jo ek stagnant economy ko indicate karta hai. UK economy ne April mein koi growth nahi dikhayi; service sector expand hua, lekin industrial production aur construction gir gayi due to pharmaceutical aur food production ke declines.

Aaj, main ek sell trade position consider kar raha hoon, jiska target 1.2663 aur 1.2647 ke darmiyan 1/2 zone hai. Currency pair designated selling zone tak pohanch gaya hai, jo 1.2675 se 1.2499 tak range karta hai. Main sabar kar raha hoon aur ek specific pattern ka intezar kar raha hoon jo ek opportune moment signal karega sell position initiate karne ke liye.



Main is decline ki quality ko assess karunga aur trend line ke paas price behavior observe karunga. Breakdown, puncture, false breakdown, ya technical sticking ho sakti hai. Is zone par market ka reaction crucial hoga. Aaj US se achi khabron ke sath, market likely active rahegi American session ke dauran. Agar sab kuch mere target point (TP) ke sath align hota hai, to main upper limit of the range 1.2812 ko test karte waqt long position ko break-even par exit karunga. Phir main dekhoonga ke bulls is platform ko kaise handle karte hain. Wo shayad price ko channel resistance line ki taraf further bullish push kar sakte hain, jo unhe breakout setup par long positions re-enter karne ka mauka dega. Agar market is zone par react nahi karti, to pair ke growth prospects discuss karna premature hoga.

GBP/USD Price Move Projection

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ko closely analyze kar rahe hain. Pehle hum yeh confirm nahi kar paaye the ke GBP/USD mein upward trend hoga, lekin pair ne impulsive behavior dikhaya hai with significant points. Kabhi kabhi fundamental factors technical analysis par overshadow kar dete hain. Humne long-term uptrend anticipate kiya tha, lekin recent price action ne downward correction ke baad increase dikhayi. Anticipated movement nahi hua, jis wajah se main trade enter nahi kar saka. Ab agay kya? Hume market sentiment ke stabilize hone ka intezar karna hoga aur anticipate karna hoga ke next swing high 1.2895 par test hoga. Yeh situation achi tarah resolve hui, bawajood iske ke bears price ko earlier support level 1.2636 tak drive nahi kar paaye. Subah ke liye set target 1.2822 successful raha. Market bullish traders aur sellers ke liye improve ho rahi hai aur price momentum kam ho raha hai.



Abhi, GBP/USD pair 1.2834 par trade kar raha hai. UK ne aaj apni statistics release ki. April ka gross domestic product koi growth nahi dikhaya, jabke pichle mahine ka 0.4% increase tha. Industrial production bhi 0.4% year-on-year decline hui, pehle 0.5% increase ke baad. Iske ilawa, recent British labor market data disheartening sabit hui. May mein unemployment benefit claims 8.4 thousand se badh kar 50.5 thousand ho gayi, total employment 140 thousand se drop hui, aur unemployment 4.3% se 4.4% ho gayi. Technically, pair third time ke liye 1.2951 ke kareeb aa rahi hai. Hum anticipate karte hain ke local high 1.2951 tak rise hoga, phir 1.2701 level tak retracement hoga. Hume is market mein dips par buy karna chahiye.

GBP/USD: Price Movements Ka Jaiza

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke current behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Maine naye inflation data par market ke initial response ka prediction kiya tha, lekin sharp decline ne mujhe surprise kar diya. Is wajah se GBP/USD ko resistance mila initial impulse zone levels 1.2787 aur 1.2809 par. Upward movement halt ho gayi agle impulse area 1.2846 par, jo shayad final boundary na ho. British pound ki adverse data par lack of reaction ne mujhe bear trap ka shak diya. Isne mujhe higher prices par sell karne ka mauka diya, jo maine liya. GBP/USD ka primary support level 1.2846 par hai. Lekin, hum ek naye directional shift ke signs tabhi dekhenge jab price first impulse zone ke lower boundary 1.2785 se neeche giray.



Growth ko regain karne ki koshish evident hai. Main 1.2769 se upar breakout ka intezar karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo further upward movement lead kar sakta hai. US trading session mein, agar 1.2809 se upar break hota hai, toh long positions kholne ka indication hoga. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2814 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh zyada selling potential ko confirm karega. 1.2684 se neeche girna aur wahan stay karna exchange rate mein decrease ko indicate karega. Lekin, ek short correction ke baad 1.2684 par, hum growth resume hone ki umeed karte hain. 1.2814 se upar break continued growth ko point karega. Is growth ka target 1.2814 par hai, jahaan resistance milta hai. Agar prices continue karti hain climb karna, toh yeh buying opportunities present karega. 1.2819 se upar break additional long positions kholne ka suggestion hoga. Humne pehle hi ek significant correction dekhi hai, jo favorable conditions set kar rahi hai.

GBP/USD Ke Price Move Ka Jaiza

Hamari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka assessment hai. Agar 1.2684 level toot jaye aur uske neeche consolidation ho, to exchange rate mein girawat ka signal milega. Lekin, agar halka sa correction hone ke baad 1.2684 level par growth continue hoti hai, to exchange rate ka barhna expected hai. Agar 1.2814 level toot jaye aur uske upar consolidation ho, to further growth ka indication milega. Growth ka target level 1.2814 hoga, jahan resistance hai. Agar current prices barh rahi hain, to yeh buying ka signal hoga. Agar 1.2819 level toot jaye aur upar consolidation ho, to additional long positions kholne ka signal milega. Purchases kholne ke liye ek sufficient corrective decline expected hai. Aaj bhi, pound ke sath pair ke liye notable volatility hai. Hum ya to bohot barh rahe hain ya phir significantly roll back kar rahe hain, lekin abhi bhi local highs par ek platform hai.



Waqf-e-waqt auction aur inflation figures dekhna bohot zaruri hai. Yeh lag raha hai ke hamare samne ek stretch hai. Agar main 1.2779 area mein enter karne mein kamiyab ho jata hoon, to main wahan sell consider nahi karunga. Abhi dekh rahe hain ke GBP/USD price apni growth mein Murray regression channel ke middle par 1.2755 ke resistance par pohanch gayi hai, aur bulls 1.2765 par pohanch gaye hain lekin 5/8 regression channel ke top 1.2771 tak nahi pohanch paaye, jo humne US mein inflation data publication se pehle test karne ka plan banaya tha. Lekin, price decline shuru hogi, pehle Murray ka 2/8 reversal level 1.2725 tak, jahan hum US Federal Reserve ke naye interest rate ke hawale se significant news ka intezar kar rahe hain. Murray indicator ke mutabiq, downward movement likely continue hogi, primary goal support level 0/8, 1.2694 mark ke qareeb hoga. Agar acceleration hui, to hum next Murray level 1.2679 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain.

GBP/USD: Chart Patterns Ka Istemaal Kaise Karein

Hum abhi GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis discuss kar rahe hain. GBP/USD pair abhi tak bullish breakout nahi kar payi hai, lekin is haftay significant movements ke liye tayar hai. Mazboot buniyadein aur wave patterns is potential ko suggest karte hain. Critical period ziada tar Wednesday afternoon hoga, European aur American sessions ke darmiyan, jahan hum buyers ka momentum dekh sakte hain, kyunki abhi buyers dominate kar rahe hain. Is waqt, US market mein statistics ka transition is dynamic ko drive karega. Khabron ke bawajood, market positive buying signals ke liye primed lagti hai. Agar buyers apni expectations ko meet nahi karte, to sellers lead le sakte hain aur price ko 1.2666 tak correct kar sakte hain. Agar buyers apna bullish potential achieve kar lein, to ultimate price target 1.2841 ho sakta hai, aur 1.2798 se downward reversal ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair pichle trading day ke range mein trading kar rahi hai. Critical decision level 1.275 hai. Abhi trading 1.271 ke aas-paas ho rahi hai, jo intermediate levels mein hai. Main buy position tab consider karunga jab currency 1.284 ke maximum se ooper fix ho jaye jo ke kal ka range tha. Is price behavior ke sath, ek stop order 1.277 ke minimum par set hoga.



Iske ilawa, main ek top-down scenario bhi consider kar raha hoon: agar pair 1.270 ke reference range se neeche girti hai, to yeh bullish rally mein complication ka signal hoga. Seller ki strength confirm hogi agar price significant price range 1.265 ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo ke pehle break ho chuki hai. Yeh market mein strong selling position ka indication hoga.

Daily Time Frame Outlook:

GbpUsd market pair ko guzishta Tuesday ke din seller ne bearish pressure mein dala tha, jo phir buyers ne support area mein 2712-2710 ke qeemat par rok diya. Yeh buyers ka pressure itna zyada tha ke unho ne price ko bullish movement mein upar ki taraf le gaya.

Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price dobara Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo ke 1.2733-1.2734 par hai. Buyers ne seller ke bearish pressure ko rok diya aur peechli trade ko bullish Doji candlestick banate hue close kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke GbpUsd market pair ab bhi bullish pace mein hai. Agla bullish target Upper Bollinger bands area hai jo 1.2800-1.2805 par hai. Agar yeh area successfully penetrate kar gaya, to GbpUsd pair ki qeemat aur bhi zyada barh sakti hai.

Wednesday ke din buyers ka market par ghulba tha aur unki tadaad sellers se zyada thi, jis se prices bullish movement mein seller resistance area jo ke 1.2750-1.2760 par hai, tak pohnch gayi. Agar yeh resistance area validly tod diya gaya, to GbpUsd pair ki qeemat strong seller supply resistance area jo ke 1.2800-1.2805 par hai, tak barh sakti hai.

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price jo pehle level 53 area mein thi, ab level 56 area ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure buyers ke zariye market se support hasil kar raha hai aur aaj ke trading mein 75 RSI area tak pohnch sakta hai.



Conclusion:

Sell Entry: Agar seller najdeeki buyer support area jo ke 1.2710-1.2705 par hai, ko tod dete hain, to TP target area 1.2660-1.2650 par ho sakta hai.
Buy Entry: Agar buyer najdeeki seller resistance area jo ke 1.2755-1.2760 par hai, ko tod dete hain, to TP target area 1.2800-1.2805 par ho sakta hai.

Hello, GBP/USD apni gains barhata hai aur 1.2800 se upar chala jata hai, jo ke US dollar mein renewed selling interest ke waja se hai. Yeh zyada tar kam-than-expected US inflation prints (CPI) ke nateejay mein hua. 4-hour chart par relative strength index 50 se upar chala gaya, jo ke sellers ki reluctance ko dikhata hai. Upside par, 1.2800 (ascending channel ka midpoint, psychological level, static level) agla resistance hai pehle 1.2880 (March se static level) ke mukable. Ascending channel ki lower limit pehla support 1.2730 par banata hai aur 1.2650 (4-hour chart par 200-period simple moving average) ke pehle, 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) par hai.

GBP/USD barhta gaya aur do din tak positive territory mein close kiya. Tuesday ko, US dollar ki resilience ke bawajood, pair ne apni jagah banaye rakhi, kyun ke EUR/GBP mein dekhi gayi tezi ne dikhaya ke pound sterling euro se capital outflows ke sath adjust ho gaya. GBP/USD barhta rehta hai aur 1.2750 ke kareeb trade kar raha hai, jab market ka focus US se shift hokar key macroeconomic events par aa gaya hai. US mein annual inflation, jo ke Consumer Price Index ke change se measure hoti hai, May mein 3.4% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Mahana basis par, CPI 0.1% barhne ki umeed hai, jab ke core CPI, jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko include nahi karta, 0.3% barhne ki umeed hai.



Investors mumkin hai ke mahana core CPI print par react karein, kyun ke yeh underlying effect se distort nahi hota. Agar yeh data market expectations se neeche aaye, to initial reaction US dollar selling ko trigger kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko higher push karne mein madad kar sakta hai, kam az kam tab tak jab tak Fed apni monetary policy decisions ka elan nahi kar leta. Fed se umeed hai ke policy rate ko June policy meeting ke baad 5.25%-5.5% par steady rakha jayega. Policy statement ke sath, Fed ek revised Summary of Economic Projections bhi release karega, jo ke dot plot ke naam se jana jata hai. Investors interest rate projections par react kar sakte hain. Agar publication dikhaye ke policymakers is saal ek single rate cut expect karte hain, to US Treasury bond yields barh sakti hain aur USD ko boost de sakti hain. Dosri taraf, agar dot plot is saal 25 basis points ka rate cut point out kare, to investors September rate cut ko price in kar sakte hain aur USD ko nuksan pohcha sakte hain. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets ab bhi September mein policy rates mein koi change na hone ke 50% chance ko dekhte hain.

GBP/USD Ke Utar Chadhav Ko Samajhna

British Pound (GBP) ne aaj subah Asia mein US Dollar (USD) ke mukable apni position banaye rakhi, aur ek maqsoos range mein trade kar raha hai. Lekin yeh kal ke highs se thoda neeche hai. Aaj GBP/USD currency pair ka focus United Kingdom ke aanewale economic data releases par hai. Sab se important cheez jo investors dekh rahe hain, wo Britain ka GDP data hai, jo 9:00 baje release hoga. Yeh data UK economy ki health ke bare mein aham maloomat dega aur Pound ke value ko bhi mutasir kar sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, GDP data ke sath aur bhi kai economic statistics release hongi, jo UK ki economic performance ka mukammal tasveer pesh karengi. Din ke baad mein, sab ka dihaan American trading session par hoga, jo kai data se bharpoor hoga. Din ka sab se important event Federal Reserve ka interest rate decision hai. Yeh decision US Dollar ke value ko aur, is se mutasil, GBP/USD currency pair ko bhi kafi mutasir karega. Aaj ke din ke agay ke liye, analysts ka kehna hai ke GBP/USD ke pehle ke upward correction ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Lekin, overall sentiment downward trend ke resumption ki taraf hai. Ek aham level jo dekhne layak hai wo 1.2785 hai. Agar pair is level se neeche chala jata hai, to analysts selling opportunities ko anticipate karte hain, jinke target prices 1.2685 aur 1.2635 hain.



Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD 1.2785 se upar chala jata hai aur wahan consolidate karta hai, to yeh mazeed growth ka raasta bana sakta hai. Is scenario mein, analysts kehte hain ke potential price targets 1.2805 aur 1.2835 ho sakte hain. Yani, aaj ka trading session GBP/USD ke liye do key factors ke interplay se dominate hone ka imkaan hai: UK ke economic data releases aur Federal Reserve ka interest rate decision. Investors dono data sets ko closely dekh rahe honge taake currency pair ka agla rukh tay ho sake.

H4 Trading Chat On GBPUSD:

Chalain, H4 chart par GBP/USD pair ko dekhtay hain. Meri rai mein, yeh zyada tar kam hone ke imkan mein hai kyun ke growth ke edge par ek strong mirror level hai. Level 1.2758 support se resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai aur price ne isay neeche se test kiya hai. Wese bhi, price abhi bhi ascending channel ke andar hai, jo ke matlab hai ke upward trend abhi tak break nahi hua. Channel ke neeche se hi aaj price upar ko rebound hui hai. Plus, horizontal support level 1.2680 par hai. Kami ke rukawat ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke price jald hi in rukawaton ko paar kar legi.

Main yeh nateeja sirf mirror level ke waja se nahi nikalta jo yahan four-hour chart par nazar aata hai. Agar aap daily chart dekhein, to yeh dikhai deta hai ke price ne ek bari long-term downward line se neeche bounce kiya hai. CCI indicator par bearish divergence bhi hai. Abhi ke liye, yeh lagta hai ke price neeche dab gayi hai aur yeh yahin rahegi jab tak aaj ka news release na ho jaye. Anay wali hai - UK Gross Domestic Product. 15:30 Moscow time par: Core consumer price index aur Consumer Price Index United States mein. Lekin sab se important 21:00 baje: US Federal Reserve ka interest rate decision, FOMC ke economic forecasts, Open Market Committee ka statement aur phir is sab ke baad US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee ka press conference. To sham kafi garam hone wali hai.



Aur kal din bhar, ek ajeeb din tha jahan price idhar udhar move karti rahi, expanding flat formation bani aur ek bullhorn figure tayyar hui. Yeh behavior samajh aata hai kyun ke aaj ke liye main movement planned hai. Euro ke muqable, pound itni jaldi decline nahi karna chahta tha; EUR/GBP cross rate declining hai, jo pound ke price ko euro ke saath dollar ke muqable mein decline karne nahi de raha. Lekin jaisay hi wahan growth shuru hoti hai, yeh pair bhi jaldi se euro ke decline ke saath catch up karegi.

Subah bakhair. Ab kharidar upar ki taraf movement banana chahte hain, lekin agar aap puranay halves ki taraf dekhein, to yeh growth ek correction ke ander IN wave ban sakti hai, jismein agar correction ek simple zigzag mein develop hota hai to kam az kam ek aur girawat ki wave ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Ek zyada active upar ki taraf movement banane ke liye, kharidarun ko 1.27509 level ko toorna aur is par qadam jamane ki zarurat hai; agar yeh mumkin ho, to phir unhe 1.28132 level ki taraf mazeed izafa ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Bikriyon ko, quotes mein girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye, 1.27051 level ko toorna aur is par mustahkam hona hoga, pehle targets 1.26872 aur 1.26738 levels par honge.

GBPUSD H4 pair:

1 - 4-hour chart par pound ab bhi bands ke central area mein bana hua hai, aur bands khud mazeed tang ho rahi hain aur ek dusre ki taraf move kar rahi hain. Ek naye price increase ya decrease ke liye ek naya signal pane ke liye, aapko bands mein se ek ke bahar active nikaal ka intezar karna chahiye, phir dekhein ke bands kya bahar ki taraf khulenge ya phir koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar hum fractals ke zariye situation ka analysis karein, to naye fractals upar aur neeche ban gaye hain. Nazdeeki fractal ka breakout upar ki taraf price ko June 7 ke fractal ki taraf move karne ki ijaazat dega jo 1.28132 level par hai. Nazdeeki fractal ka breakdown neeche ki taraf price ko June 10 ke fractal ki taraf move karne ki ijaazat dega jo 1.26872 level par hai.



2 - AO indicator negative area mein kamzor hona shuru kar raha hai; agar aane wale dinon mein hum zero ke zariye se transition aur positive area mein active izafa dekhte hain, to humein price ke izafa ke liye ek mazboot signal milega. Negative area mein naye izafa quotes ke girne ka signal dega.

GBP/USD apni range ko qareeb 1.2750 ke qareeb rakha Europan trading mein Budh ke din, jab UK ke GDP aur industrial production ke mukhtalif figures aaye. Market Dollar ke agay hoshyar hai. Badi U.S. dollar ki tanqeed aur Fed ki siyasi elaanat nazdeek hain, jo jodi ko khatre mein daal rahi hain.

Cable Europan trading mein thora buland hua Budh ke din, iska matlab hai ke UK ki tamam na-fa’ida ma’ashi khabron ka koi khaas asar nahi hua (GDP April mein flat/thekedar tezi se gir gayi) jabke traders U.S. release ka intezar kar rahe hain. CPI data dono simat se zahir hua hai aur Fed ki aaj ki siyasi meeting se isharon ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai.

Mumkin hai ke U.S. ke daam gir jayenge jabke markazi bank phir se siyasi ko be narmi se chhodne ki umeed hai, jo naye isharay faraham karte hain daur-e-daulat ke tanqeed aur rafter ke imkano ki nishandahi ke lehaz se.

Traders agle haftay ke BoE ki siyasi meeting par bhi tawajjo denge, jahan markazi bank sattah darjat ko saathwi martaba tak nahi badal sakta.

Behtar rozana seekh (khaaskar Tauroos chart mein taqat/bartari) qareebi amal ke bunyadi asool hain, pichle do rozana mombattiyon ke lambi shanein, ek ahem intehai dafa karne ka ishara deti hain

Magar, 1.2753 pivot (Fibo 76.4% of 1.2893/1.2299 / 10DMA) ke oopar barqarar toor par aik darusti ke ishara ko tasdeeq ki zaroorat hai.



Qareebi muddat mein buland tawaju ka imkan hai jab tak ke qeemat buland 20DMA (1.2736) ke oopar rahe, jabke 1.2680 uncha bunyadi se neeche wapas ane par kam ho jayega.
Rating: 1.2768; 1.2786 dastiyab hai; 1.2803 dastiyab hai; 1.2817 dastiyab hai. supah 1.2736; 1.2680 dastiyab hai; 1.2666 dastiyab hai; 1.2638 dastiyab hai.

GBP/USD H1 Timeframe

GBP/USD jodi H1 (ghantay) chart par ab ek bullish trend ka muzahirah kar rahi hai, jo ke market ke jazbat ko British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay favor karta hai. Ye trend yeh darust karta hai ke traders aur investors GBP ke lehaz se ummidwar hain, shayad UK se musbat ma’ashi data, pasandida faiz dar mukhtalif ya doosre macroeconomic factors jo currency markets ko mutasir kar rahe hain.

Ahem satahain, khaaskar 1.2700, is tajziya mein kirdar ada karte hain. 1.2700 satah ahem hai kyun ke ye na sirf ek psychology marker ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai balkay ek takneeki ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Psychology levels woh hote hain jo traders aksar ahem samajhte hain, jese ke puri tadadain (1.2700, 1.2800, waghera), jo kharid farokht ke faislon ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Takneekan, 1.2700 satah pehle se ek pechida rukawat ka darja bhi hosakta hai jo ab support ban gaya hai. Ek bullish trend mein, agar keemat kisi rukawat ke oopar chadti hai aur phir usay support ke tor par istemal kiya jata hai, to ye quwat ka classic nishan hai.

Ek bullish trend mein, traders aksar kharidne ke mouqay dhoondte hain, khaaskar ke keemat neeche girne ya hali ke unchiyon ke oopar breakouts par. Agar GBP/USD 1.2700 satah ki taraf wapas jata hai aur isay oopar se rukawat dikhata hai, to ye ek mauqa samjha ja sakta hai long positions mein dakhil hone ka, mazeed urooj ke intezar mein.

1.2700 satah ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakha jayega. Agar keemat is satah ke oopar rahti hai, to ye apna kirdar support satah ke tor par mustahkam karta hai, jo traders ko bullish trend ke jari rahne par ziada itminan deta hai. Mutasira ho, agar keemat 1.2700 ke neeche gir jati hai, to ye trend mein tabdili ka ishara ho sakta hai ya phir ek gehra wapas jaiz, jo ehtiyaat ki ishara karta hai.

Kargar risk management ahem hai. Traders ko tawajjo deni chahiye ke stop-loss orders ko ahem support satahain ke neeche rakhna chahiye, jese ke thori dair ke neeche 1.2700, aby anomalous market reversals se hifazat ke liye. Haal ki keemat ki amal aur takneeki isharat ke bunyadi hisaab se asal munafa maqasid tay karna bhi trades ko kargar tareeqay se manage karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.



Takneeki Isharat

H1 chart par 50-period aur 200-period SMAs jese moving averages istemal karna trend ka rukh tasdeeq karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Ek mazboot bullish trend mein, keemat aam tor par in moving averages ke oopar rehti hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jese tools mazeed tasdeeq faraham kar sakte hain. RSI ke qeemat 50 ke oopar ya MACD line ko signal line ke oopar guzarna bullish nazar ki tasdeeq kar sakte hain. Dhoondain bullish chart patterns jese ke unchi unchiyan aur neeche darjat, jo trend mein mazid quwat ko darust karte hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/USD jodi ka bullish trend H1 chart par 1.2700 ke ahem satah ke sath, GBP ke lehaz se ek pasandida manzar nazar ata hai. Traders ko kharidne ke mouqay par tawajjo deni chahiye, 1.2700 satah ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhein, aur market ko kargar tareeqay se samajhne ke liye mazboot risk management strategies istemal karna chahiye.

GBP/USD jodi ke liye, wave analysis ka mamla kaafi complicated rehta hai. April mein 50.0% Fibonacci level ko paar karne ki kamyabi ne dikhaya ke market tayar hai ek neeche ki wave 3 ya C banane ke liye. Agar ye wave sach mein apna construction jari rakhta hai, to wave pattern buhat zyada simple ho jayega aur wave analysis ke complicated hone ka khatra khatam ho jayega. Magar, pichle hafto mein, jodi wahi rahi hai, jo ke phir se humein market ke farokht ke liye tayar hone par shak karne par majboor karta hai.

Mausamati surat-e-haal mein, mere parhne walon ko ab bhi wave 3 ya c ke construction par guftagu kar sakte hain, jin ka nishana wave 1 ya a ke kam se kam neeche wale hisse 1.2035 ke markaz se darja kiya gaya hai. Is natije mein, British dollar ko mojooda satahon se kam az kam 600-700 base points aur neeche aana chahiye. Aise girawat ke sath, wave 3 ya c nisbatan choti niklegi, isliye main irtiqa ke liye buhat zyada girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon. Pura wave 3 ya c banane mein buhat zyada waqt lag sakta hai. Wave 2 ya b ka construction 5 mahinon se chal raha hai, aur ye sirf aik correction wave hai. Aik pulse wave ka construction aur bhi lamba waqt le sakta hai. Aakhri correction wave buhat lamba nikla, aur abhi tak apna construction mukammal nahi kar saka, jo puri wave layout ko khatre mein daal raha hai.

Britain mein bay-rozgari ne kharidaron ko na-umeed nahi kiya.

GBP/USD jodi ka exchange rate martaba ko budh ke din nahi badla, lekin yehi confusion ka sabab bana. Britain mein aaj teen kaafi ahem reports jaari kiye gaye, jin mein se do reports market ke liye umeed se buri sabit hui. Bay-rozgari dar 4.4% tak barh gaya jab ke market ki umeed 4.3% thi, aur bay-rozgari faiday ke lehaz se 50 hazar tak barh gayi, halanke market sirf 10 hazar ki barhish ki umeed rakhta tha. Main yeh nahi keh sakta ke ye do reports market ke liye ahem nahi hain, lekin pound sterling sirf buhat chhoti muddat ke liye gir gaya. Dosray ghante mein hi, iski demand phir se barhne lagi; samajh nahi aya kyun.

Teisra report tanqeedi hai maishat ke baray mein. Average tanqeedi maishat faide ke sath April mein 5.9% barhi (jo ke market ki umeed se zyada hai), aur faide ke baghair - 6% (jo market ki umeed ke mutabiq hai). Thori taqatwar maishat mein izafa demand ko barha sakta hai British ke liye, kyunke ye mumkin hai ke ye Bank of England ke liye aik naye khatre ka sabab ban jaye. Andrew Bailey ne pehle hi kaha hai ke mulk mein maishat bohot tezi se barh rahi hai, jo ke mehngai ko kam karne ke process par manfi asar dal rahi hai. Magar, aaj, market ne sirf maishat report ko dekha aur bay-rozgari ko mad-e-nazar nahi rakha.




Sab kuch ke istarhan se dekhte hue, Briton ko phir se "asman se girna" ka ek mauqa mila, lekin market ne farokht se guzara karne ka intekhab kiya. Corrective upward wave ab tak mukammal nahi ho sakti. GBP/USD jodi ka wave pattern abhi bhi girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is waqt, main abhi bhi jodi ko farokht karne ka ghor kar raha hoon jin ka nishana 1.2039 ke neeche darja kiya gaya hai, kyunke wave 3 ya c abhi tak mansookh nahi hua hai. Jaise hi jodi 1.2822 markaz ke qareeb reversal ka shakl ikhtiyar karti hai, sath hi expected wave 2 ya b ke unchiyon ke qareeb, to jodi ka farokht karne ka ghor kiya ja sakta hai pehli nishanaat 1.2315 markaz ke qareeb darja kiye gaye. Magar bohot ehtiyat ke sath kyunke market intehai sahakar hai aur kam barhne wala hai US currency ke liye.

Zyada wave ke paimane par, wave pattern aur bhi wazeh hai. Trend ka niche ki taraf taqseemati hissa ab tak ban raha hai, aur iska dosra wave bara shakl ikhtiyar kar chuka hai - pehle wave ke 76.4% tak. Is markaz ko paar karne ki nakam koshish 3 ya c banane ka aghaz kar sakti thi, lekin ek correction wave abhi ban raha hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate nedhi haal mein ahem izafa dekha hai, jo mazboot support satahon ki wajah se hua hai jo traders aur investors dono ki tawajjo ko hasil kiya hai. Ye ibtedai izafi harkat ahem hai kyun ke is se market ke jazbat mein tabdili ka ishara hota hai, jo British pound ko US dollar ke muqablay mein zyada umeedwar nazar ata hai. Mukhtalif factors is naye itminan ka sabab ban sakte hain jo market ke shirakat daron mein paya jata hai, jese ke pasandida ma’ashi data aur UK ki ma’ashi hawale se musbat taraqqiyan.

British pound ke qeemat mein izafa ka ek ahem sabab haal hi mein hone wale trading sessions mein mazboot support satain hain. Ye support satain currency ko mazeed girawat se bachane ka markaz banati hain, jahan se wo ooncha uth sakta hai. In support satahon ki quwat yeh dikhata hai ke neeche ke darajat par kharidari ka buland interest hai, jo upar ki taraf momentum ko barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mazeed is pasandidgi ka sabab ho sakta hai mukhtalif ma’ashi indicators ka. Maslan, umeed se behtar ma’ashi data jaari hona, jese ke zyada GDP ki growth, kam bay-rozgari darajat, ya behtar manufacturing aur services sector ka performance, investoron ki itminan ko barha sakti hai. Jab ma’ashi data umeedon ko paar karta hai, to ye aksar growth forecasts ko izafa karne ka sabab banta hai, jo kisi currency ko zyada attractive bana sakta hai.



Is ke ilawa, UK ki ma’ashi hawale se khas taraqqiyan bhi British pound ko mazboot karne mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain. Ye shamil ho sakti hain kamyabi se trade ke mawaqay, siyasi mustiqlaliyat, ya hukoomat ki qadam uthane wali tadaadat taqatwar karne ke liye. Maslan, kisi bari trade saathi ke sath kamyabi se koi trade agreement kar lena, mustaqbil ke trade disturbances ke shubhat ko door kar sakta hai aur currency ko support kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, siyasi mustiqlaliyat tashweesh ko kam kar sakti hai aur UK ko foreign investment ke liye zyada kashish mand banati hai.