Eur/chf

EUR-CHF Currency Pair Analysis

Swiss Franc ke liye, Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA aur RSI indicators ka use karte huye jo analysis kiya gaya hai, us se ye pata chalta hai ke iss waqt kharidari ki direction mein trading plan banane ka ek acha moka hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks jo ke aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price ko zyada smooth aur average karte hain, trader ko reversal points, corrective rollbacks aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par notice karne mein madad deti hain. Yeh trader ke liye analysis ko kaafi asaan banati hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) jo ke chart par support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai, trading mein ek acha assistant hota hai, jo asset movement ke boundaries ko clear karta hai.

RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal aakhri faisla lene ke liye kiya jata hai, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. In trading tools ka chuna technical analysis ko kaafi asaan banata hai aur market mein ghalat entries se bacha sakta hai. Sab se pehle, provided chart par yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke iss period mein candles ne blue color show kiya hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke bulls is waqt mazboot hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa rahe hain. Yani ke is waqt ek acha moka hai ke long positions ko khola jaye.

Price quotes ne linear channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, lekin jab yeh minimum extreme point tak pohanchi, toh price ne wahan se bounce back kar ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf rukh kar liya. Sath hi, RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, kyun ke iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Is tamam analysis ke madde nazar yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke current upward movement ka matlab hai ke kharidari ka moka kaafi acha hai, aur is liye long position kholne ka faisla liya ja sakta hai.

Take profit ko channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ke qareeb set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke price mark 0.96225 ke aas paas hai. Market mein profit ko negative mein jane se bachaane ke liye trailing stop orders ka use kiya jaye jab position profitable zone mein chali jaye, aur zyada profit hasil karne ki koshish ki jaye.

EUR/CHF abhi bhi French CAC aur German DAX ke saath ek mazboot seedha talluq dikha raha hai. August ke liye Cheen ke core inflation aur producer prices ne andarooni talab mein rukawat ka silsila jaari rehnay ki nishani di. Cheeni masarif ki sust talab European luxury cheezon, gaadiyon aur machinery bananay walon ke munafa ko nuksan pohoncha sakti hai. EUR/CHF 0.9255 par ahem imdadi level par nazar rakhain. Yeh humari pehle ki report, jo 2 August, 2024 ko shaaya hui thi, ka follow-up analysis hai
September ke aaghaz se hi global benchmark stock indices ne girawat dekhi hai, jahan MSCI All-Country World Index ETF (NASDAQ: ACWI) ne guzishta Juma, 6 September ko haftawar 4% nuksan ke saath khatam kiya, jo ke 6 March, 2023 ke haftay ke baad se sab se bura performance hai. Yeh us waqt hua jab US mein ek ilaqai banking buhran ka aaghaz hua. Shakal 1: 9 September, 2024 tak CAC 40, DAX, EUR/CHF aur dusre bade stock indices (US, UK, Japan) ka 3-mahina rolling performance (source: TradingView). Guzishta haftay ki risk-off episode mein EUR/CHF ne France CAC aur Germany DAX, dono key European benchmark equity indices ke saath harakat ki; unke 60-period rolling correlation coefficients likhte waqt ek mazboot musbat qeemat, 0.82 aur 0.84, par rahe (dekhein Shakal 1)
Shakal 2: August 2024 se Cheen mein Masarif ki Mehngai aur Producer Price Trends (Source: TradingView). Aaj ke Cheen ke August inflation data ke nashar hone se yeh nishani milti hai ke Cheen ki andarooni talab ki surat-e-haal abhi bhi sust hai aur deflation ke khatre baghair kisi wazeh ishaare ya cheen ke aala qarar dane walo se taghreer pasand policies ke baghair dobara samne aa rahe hain, jo masarif aur karobar ke etimad ko barha sakay. Cheen ki core consumer inflation (khoraak aur energy ke baghair) lagataar chaar mahinon se girti rahi, jo ke August mein 0.3% y/y ho gayi, jo July mein 0.4% thi. Cheen ki factory prices, jo ke product prices se waqif hoti hain, August mein 1.8% y/y gir gayi, jo pehle mahine ki 0.8% girawat se tez aur 1.4% girawat ki ummed se kam thi (dekhein Shakal
Cheen ki masarif ki sust talab, jo ke European luxury cheezon, car aur machinery manufacturers ke liye aik ahem market hai, kehte hain ke un European firms ke munafay ko mazeed nuksan pohoncha sakti hai, aur natijatan France CAC aur Germany DAX mein mazeed girawat ke imkaanaat ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta

EURCHF Analysis

Chart par ek demand zone nazar aa raha hai jo ke blue box se mark kiya gaya hai, aur yeh 0.9535 se 0.9525 ke qareeb hai. Yeh zone wo jagah hai jahan pe pehle price ne girawat ke baad ek significant izafa dekha tha, jo strong buying interest ko show karta hai. Jab price is zone ke qareeb aaye ya dobara iss mein daakhil ho, toh bohot zyada chances hote hain ke price ko yahaan se support milay aur woh wapas upar ki taraf bounce kare. Jo traders Supply and Demand (SND) strategy ka use karte hain, woh aksar confirmation ka intezar karte hain, jaise ke bullish candlestick formation ya koi khaas price pattern jo is area mein rejection ko show kare, isse pehle ke woh long position lenay ka faisla karein.

Doosri taraf, ek red horizontal line nazar aa rahi hai jo ke 0.9547 ke qareeb hai. Yeh resistance level hai jo yeh dikhata hai ke pehle price ko yahan se upar janay mein mushkil ka samna tha, jo significant selling pressure ko show karta hai is level par. Agar price is resistance ke qareeb aaye, toh price reversal ka potential hota hai ya kam az kam uptrend mein slowdown ka chance hota hai.





Iss waqt price lagbhag 0.9535 par hai, jo demand zone ke andar hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price upar ki taraf rebound kar sakti hai, khas tor par agar yeh zone selling pressure ko withstand kar leta hai. SND strategy use karne wale traders is area mein long positions lene ka soch sakte hain, aur target ko resistance 0.9547 tak rakh sakte hain. Warna, agar price demand zone ko tor kar 0.9525 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh selling pressure ke barhne ka indication ho sakta hai, aur price aglay support ki taraf neeche ja sakti hai.

(EUR/CHF Analysis )

Is weekend ke trading session mein market abhi bhi buyer ke aagay kirdar ka intezar kar raha hai jo ke most likely koshish karein ge ke EURCHF currency pair ko dobara upar ki taraf push karein. Agar yeh koshish kamiyab hoti hai, toh price ziada confidence ke saath ek higher level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Lekin agar buyer fail ho jatay hain, toh price wapas gir kar 0.9500 ke price range tak aasakti hai. Agar hum current trend dekhein jo abhi tak bullish condition mein hai, toh buyer ke paas bohot achi potential hai ke woh price ko bullish movement ki taraf layen. Daily aur weekly timeframes mein market conditions ke hawalay se upward price trend par bharosa karte hue lagta hai ke price ke upar jane ke liye abhi bhi kaafi potential mojood hai.

Humein kuch moqa ka intezar bhi karna parega kyun ke 0.9580 ka breakout level ek valid point hai trading decisions lene ke liye. Market conditions ke mutabiq jo maujooda price position hai, woh abhi bhi bullish trend ke continuation ka andaza de rahi hai jo ke shayad aaj se dobara shuru ho jaye. Market ke price conditions ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke price 0.9552 ke level par hai. Lime line jo ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par level 50 ke ooper hai, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke trend abhi bhi consistently bullish direction mein move kar raha hai.

Aaj ke liye behter hoga ke hum price movement ka intezar karein ke yeh dobara upar ki taraf jaaye taa ke upward trend ke continuation ko dekhna ziada clear ho sake. Buyer ki army se yeh umeed hai ke woh candlestick ko upar push karenge aur target kareinge 0.9600 ke price range ko. Apni transactions mein risk ko limit karne ke liye, hamesha disciplined raho aur har transaction par ek stop loss zaroor set karo taa ke loss ko control mein rakha ja sake.

EUR/CHF Analysis

EURCHF pair ki price movement mein ek downward correction phase dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar dekha jaye toh price jo is waqt EMA 50 par consolidate kar rahi hai, lagta hai ke woh 0.9580 se ooper naye high prices banane mein fail ho gayi hai. Magar agar price EMA 50 par rejection face karti hai aur downward correction phase ko continue nahi kar pati, toh price ke paas potential hai ke woh psychological level 0.9600 ko test kare. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo kai dafa overbought zone (level 90-80) mein cross kar chuke hain, yeh ek bearish divergence signal banate hue lag rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ke price ka upar ka volume Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke sath mutabiq nahi hai, jo ke buying ke saturation point ko zahir kar rahe hain.

Price ke neeche correction ka potential RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) area 0.9491 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin current bullish trend ka direction abhi bhi bohot strong hai kyun ke price ne ab tak SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke tor par touch nahi kiya hai.

Trading plan ke hawalay se behtari isi mein hai ke intezar kiya jaye ke price downward correction phase complete kare jab tak yeh RBS area 0.9491 tak pohanch jaye, aur uske baad BUY entry position place ki jaye. Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 aur level 20 ke darmiyan cross karein toh yeh ek confirmation hogi. Take profit ke liye psychological level 0.9600 ko target kiya ja sakta hai, jabke stop loss SMA 200 ke aas paas ya phir low prices 0.9426 ke qareeb set kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR-CHF Currency Pair Analysis

Chart par jo asset dekha gaya hai, uss waqt ek clear bullish mood dikhai de raha hai, jo asaani se Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator ka istemal karke pehchana ja sakta hai. Yeh indicator traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price quotes ka zyada smooth aur average value dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ko bohot aasan banata hai aur sahi trading decisions lene mein madad karta hai.

TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi trading mein madadgar hai, jo ke moving average ke sath support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai, aur currency pair ki movement ki boundaries ko waqt ke mutabiq illustrate karta hai. Signal filtering aur deal ka faisla karne ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo asset ki overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Chart par iss waqt dekha ja sakta hai ke Heiken Ashi candlesticks ne blue color liya hua hai, jo price ki northern direction (upar ka rukh) ko dikhata hai.

Market quotes ne linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, lekin jab minimum point tak pohanch gayi toh wahan se bounce kar gayi aur phir se channel ki middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf chali gayi. RSI (14) basement indicator jo signal ko filter karta hai, yeh bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai, kyun ke yeh long position lene ke decision se mukhalifat nahi karta; iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur abhi overbought level se door hai. In tamaam baaton ke madde nazar, sirf buy positions ko relevant samjha jaa sakta hai. Hum ek long deal open karte hain, aur instrument ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) tak move hone ka intezar karte hain, jo ke price mark 0.96255 par mojood hai.

EUR/CHF Analysis

EURCHF Daily Analysis

EURCHF ke daily timeframe chart par yeh wazeh hai ke yeh currency pair ek downtrend mein hai. Iska andaza EMA 50 ke EMA 100 ke neeche hone se hota hai, jo ke market mein kaafi strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Jo area blue color mein shade kiya gaya hai, woh ek supply zone hai jo ke 0.95300 se 0.95800 ke level ke aas paas strong resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Har dafa jab price is area ke qareeb aati hai, toh ek rejection hoti hai jo price ko phir se neeche gira deti hai.

Filhaal, EURCHF price 0.94063 ke aas paas hai, jo ke supply zone se significant decline ke baad aayi hai. Yeh girawat EMA indicator ke bearish trend ke mutabiq hai. Yeh bhi mumkina hai ke price neeche gir kar agle support level 0.92930 tak pohanch jaye, jo chart ke neeche red horizontal line se mark kiya gaya hai. Agar candlestick pattern ko dekha jaye, toh seller ki taqat iss waqt market mein bohot zyada hai. Kayi bearish candles lagataar yeh dikhati hain ke price supply zone ko cross nahi kar paya aur selling pressure zyada hai.

Agar price EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke neeche rehne lagti hai, toh yeh ek confirmation ho sakti hai ke downtrend abhi bhi strong hai. Aisi surat mein EMA area ya supply zone tak pullback ka intezar kar ke sell position lena ek interesting strategy ho sakti hai. Magar ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, agar support level 0.92930 tak pohanchne se pehle price reversal ke signs dikhaye. Agar reversal signal milta hai, toh yeh market mein correction ya trend change ka indication ho sakta hai.






EURCHF H1 Analysis

H1 timeframe par, EURCHF pair ek strong bearish trend ki taraf jaata dikhai deta hai. Price movement se yeh wazeh hai ke selling pressure kaafi zyada hai, khaaskar jab key support level 0.94504 ko breach karne ke baad price neeche gira. Is girawat se pehle ek upward correction hui thi, magar price upper level tak pohanch nahi payi aur EMA 50 ke qareeb reject ho gayi. Is rejection se yeh zahir hota hai ke sellers ka control abhi bhi market movement par hai.

EMA 50 par rejection ke baad, price neeche girti gayi, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke buyers abhi tak significant resistance nahi de pa rahe. Filhaal, price 0.94052 ke level ke aas paas hai, aur ab tak koi aise signs nahi dikh rahe jo ongoing trend ko reverse kar sakein. Yeh level ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunke price yahan temporarily rok sakti hai, isse pehle ke yeh aur neeche jaaye.

Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main upward correction ka intezar karoon, jahan price dobara break hone wale resistance level ko retest kar sakti hai. Is case mein, 0.94504 ka level bohot important hai. Yeh level pehle strong support tha, magar ab yeh ek significant resistance ban sakta hai. Agar price iss level tak pohanchti hai aur wahan se rejection ke signs dikhati hai, jaise ke bearish candle formation ya clear rejection, toh main ek short position lene par ghour karoon ga.

EUR-CHF Currency Pair Analysis

EURCHF currency pair ka tajziya aur forecasting Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke zariye dikhata hai ke is waqt ek achi trading plan banayi ja sakti hai khareedari ki direction mein. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price value ko smooth aur average karti hain, trader ko reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs bar waqt dekhne mein madad deti hain. Yeh trader ke liye technical analysis ko bohot asaan bana deti hain.

TMA linear channel indicator, jo ke Moving Average ke zariye chart par support aur resistance lines ko zahir karta hai, trading mein bohot acha madadgar sabit hota hai. Yeh asset ke movement boundaries ko zahir karta hai jo ke us waqt ki market situation ke mutabiq hoti hain. Aakhir mein, RSI oscillator indicator istamal hota hai deal ka final faisla karne ke liye, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Yeh trading instruments ka combination technical analysis ko asaan bana deta hai aur ghalat market entries ko avoid karne mein madad karta hai.

Sabse pehle yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke provided chart par jo situation hai, us mein candles blue color ki hain, jo yeh signal deti hain ke bulls abhi bohot strong hain aur price ko northern direction mein le ja rahe hain. Yeh ek acha mauqa hai long positions kholne ka behtareen prices par. Price quotes linear channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) se neeche gaye, magar minimum point par pohanchne ke baad, wahan se rebound kiya aur central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move karna shuru kiya.







Iske sath hi, RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai kyunke yeh long position choose karne ke conditions se mutabiq hai—iski curve abhi upwards hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. In sab batoon ko dekhte hue, hum yeh andaza laga sakte hain ke is waqt ka upward movement purchases ke liye ek acha mauqa hai, aur hum ek long deal open kar sakte hain. Take profit ko channel ki upper boundary ke aas paas set karna chahiye, jo ke 0.95925 ke price mark par hai.

Market se profit ko loss mein badalne se bachne ke liye, mein mashwara doon ga ke trailing stop orders ka istamal karen jab position profitable zone mein chali jaye aur aur bhi zyada profit lene ki koshish karen.

EUR/CHF Pair Analysis on the H-4 Time Frame

Technical Analysis: Bearish Outlook

Is hafte ke trading session mein EUR/CHF currency pair ka price strong selling pressure ke neeche hai. Abhi ke market condition ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke price Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche hai, jo ke downward trend ko temporarily delay kar raha hai.

Market structure jo ke bearish hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke long term mein price phir se neeche ja sakti hai, aur mere liye 0.9330 price level target hai with a Sell trading option. Jo price composition 1.2621 level tak pahunchi hai, yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke trend shayad aur neeche jaaye. Magar agle hafte tak main trading signal ka intezaar karunga, ya shayad agle hafte ke beech mein enter karunga.

Agar pichle hafte ke shuru mein candlestick movement ne Simple Moving Average indicator ko break kiya, lekin is subah market band hone tak price ab bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki Lime line ab bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo ke bearish potential ko dikhata hai.

Agar price phir se upar chali gayi aur current level ko break kiya, to next bullish target upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Mere liye, SELL trading ko pursue karna zyada interesting hai kyun ke pichle kuch dino se market ka trend bearish raha hai. Lekin traders ko month ke end ke near market conditions ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, jo ke aam tor par quiet hote hain.

EUR/CHF Analysis Aur Mustaqbil Ke Tajwez

Mojuuda Market Situation

Abhi EUR/CHF pair 0.9369 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikh raha hai. Market ki dheemi movement traders ke cautious sentiment ko indicate karti hai, jo kai economic factors aur geopolitical considerations se influence hoti hai. Euro (EUR) aur Swiss franc (CHF) pair kaafi had tak economic data releases, central bank policies, aur global risk sentiment se affect hota hai. CHF, jo aksar safe-haven currency samjha jata hai, economic uncertainty ke waqt strengthen hota hai, jo EUR/CHF ke bearish trend mein contribute karta hai.

Mojuuda Trend Ko Affect Karne Wale Factors

1. Eurozone Economic Data: EUR ki performance Eurozone ke economic data se closely tied hai. GDP growth, employment rates, aur inflation jese indicators EUR/CHF exchange rate par significant impact dalte hain. Eurozone se mixed economic data ne bearish trend ko contribute kiya hai.

2. Swiss Economic Conditions: Switzerland ki economy relatively stable hai, low inflation aur strong banking sector ke sath. GDP growth, trade balances, aur inflation jese economic indicators bhi CHF ki value ko determine karte hain. Stable economy global uncertainty ke waqt investors ko attract karti hai.

3. Central Bank Policies: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) ki monetary policies bhi crucial hain. Filhal, ECB ki policy stance aur future interest rate changes ke hints EUR ko affect kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, SNB ne accommodative monetary policy maintain ki hui hai, negative interest rates ke sath jo CHF ki strength ko curb karne ke liye hain.

4. Global Risk Sentiment: CHF aksar safe-haven asset samjha jata hai jo global economic ya political instability ke waqt investments ko attract karta hai. Yeh CHF ko strengthen kar sakta hai, especially agar major economies mein trouble ya geopolitical tensions dikhai dene lagen.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators abhi EUR/CHF pair ke liye bearish trend show kar rahe hain. Price key moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo downward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) jese oscillators bhi bearish signals de rahe hain.

1. Support Aur Resistance Levels: EUR/CHF ka immediate support level 0.9350 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to 0.9300 ki taraf further downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 0.9400 ke aas-paas hai, uske baad 0.9450. In levels ke upar break hone se bearish trend ka reversal indicate ho sakta hai.

2. Trend Lines: Daily chart par descending trend line bearish sentiment ko confirm karti hai. Jab tak price is trend line ke neeche rahegi, bearish outlook intact rahega.

Badi Movement Ka Potential

Mojuuda bearish trend ke bawajood, agle dino mein significant movement ka potential hai. Kai factors EUR/CHF pair mein substantial shift trigger kar sakte hain:

1. Economic Announcements: Aane wale economic data releases, jese GDP figures, employment numbers, aur inflation rates Eurozone aur Switzerland se, market sentiment ko influence kar sakti hain aur volatility ko trigger kar sakti hain.

2. Central Bank Policies: ECB aur SNB ke unexpected announcements ya policy stance mein shifts significant price movements lead kar sakte hain. Traders rate hikes ya cuts ke hints par keenly watch karenge.

3. Geopolitical Events: Global geopolitical developments, jese trade negotiations, political instability, ya international relations mein changes, investor sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain aur EUR/CHF pair mein sharp movements cause kar sakte hain.

Nateejah

Summary mein, EUR/CHF pair filhal 0.9369 par bearish trend mein trade kar raha hai, lekin aane wale waqt mein badi movement ka potential hai. Market participants ko key economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake trend mein potential shifts ko anticipate aur react kiya ja sake. Immediate support aur resistance levels pair ke direction ko determine karne mein critical role play karenge, aur in levels ke upar ya neeche break hone se significant move ka signal mil sakta hai.

Traders ko balanced approach employ karni chahiye, jo technical analysis ko fundamental factors ke sath combine karti hai, taake uncertainties ko navigate kiya ja sake aur EUR/CHF market mein potential opportunities ka faida utha sake. Dono EUR aur CHF ki global risk sentiment aur economic conditions ke sensitive nature ko dekhte hue, informed aur adaptable rehna successful trading ke liye key hai.

Eurozone aur Switzerland ke developments aur broader global economic trends par nazar rakh kar, traders behtar position le sakte hain taake EUR/CHF pair mein potential movements ka faida utha sakein. Yeh approach risks ko manage karne aur trading strategies ko optimize karne mein madad karegi ek dynamic aur aksar unpredictable market environment mein.

EUR/CHF ab bhi French CAC aur German DAX ke saath high direct correlation dikhata hai. China ke core inflation aur August ke producer prices ne domestic demand ki continued subdued trend ko indicate kiya hai. China ki sluggish consumer demand European luxury goods, auto aur machinery makers ke profits ko nuksan pohcha sakti hai. EUR/CHF ke liye key transitory support level 0.9255 dekhna zaroori hai. Yeh analysis hamari previous report ka follow-up hai jo 2 August, 2024 ko publish hui thi.

**Global Benchmark Stock Indices ki Halat:**

Global benchmark stock indices ne September ke shuru hone ke baad se lagbhag girawat dekhi hai. MSCI All-Country World Index ETF (NASDAQ:ACWI) ne last Friday, September 6th ko weekly loss ka samna kiya, jo 4% tha—yeh uski sabse badi performance girawat thi March 6, 2023 ke baad, jab US mein regional banking crisis shuru hui thi. Figure 1 mein aap CAC 40, DAX, EUR/CHF aur dusre major stock indices (US, UK, Japan) ka 3-month rolling performance dekh sakte hain (Source: TradingView). Pichle haftay ke risk-off episode mein EUR/CHF ne France CAC aur Germany DAX ke sath milkar move kiya, jahan inke 60-period rolling correlation coefficients 0.82 aur 0.84 ke high positive value par the (Figure 1 dekhein).

**China ki Consumer Inflation aur Producer Price Trends:**

Aaj China ke August inflation data release se yeh pata chala ke China ki domestic demand ab bhi kamzor hai aur deflationary risks wapas forefront par hain bina kisi clear signals ya initiatives ke jo China ke top policymakers ne expansionary policies ko introduce karne ke liye diye hon. China ki core consumer inflation (food aur energy ko exclude karke) char consecutive mahine tak girti rahi, August mein 0.3% y/y ho gayi jo July mein 0.4% thi. China ke factory prices, jo product prices ko represent karte hain, August mein 1.8% y/y gir gaye, jo pichle mahine ke 0.8% decline se tez hai aur expectations ke 1.4% decline se kam hai (Figure 2 dekhein).

China mein continued weak consumer demand, jo European luxury goods, car aur machinery manufacturers ke liye ek key market hai, in European firms ke profits par aur nuksan pohochane ka potential rakhti hai. Isliye, France ke CAC aur Germany ke DAX mein aur declines ko najarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

EUR/CHF Analysis Forecast:

Market ka trend bearish hai. Bullish price action bullish pullback ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai. Kal market 0.9326 level se khuli thi. Kal ke trading session mein, isne 0.9383 ka high aur 0.9284 ka low touch kiya. Is tarah, kal ka trading range lagbhag 100 pips tha aur market sentiment bearish hai. Market daily pivot level par trade kar rahi hai aur yeh bearish move ko continue kar sakti hai. Market ne weekly horizontal level 0.9601 ko hit kiya hai. RSI 14 is level par overbought hai. Yahan ek pin bar candlestick pattern bhi bana. Pin bar candlestick formation ke baad bearish rejection ne end of the day par bearish momentum ko confirm kiya. MACD bearish divergence bhi is level par nazar aayi hai. Pair MA 100 ke neeche move kar rahi hai.

Mujhe aaj EUR/CHF mein bearish move ki ummeed hai. Yeh isliye hai kyunki pair ne double-top pattern banaya hai aur EMA-30 ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Yeh daily pivot level se neeche open hoti hai. Price action agle trading sessions mein market ko neeche le jaayegi. Aap 0.9420 aur 0.9380 ke beech sell order open kar sakte hain. Agar market 0.9440 level ko upar break karti hai, toh yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate karega. Is bearish move ka projected target 0.9210 level ke aaspaas hai. Lekin safe trading ke liye aap apne trading position ka aadha 0.9250 psychological level par close kar sakte hain. Main forex trading ko 10 saal se kar raha hoon aur pichle 2 saalon mein maine kuch khaas discoveries ki hain. Is forum mein main apni technical analysis pesh karunga. Aapko koi improvements lagti hain toh zaroor batayein. Main is par aapke sath discussion karne ko tayyar hoon. Apna support dikhane ke liye "like" button ko click karein.

EUR-CHF pair filhal kuch ahem levels se kaafi door hai, aur yeh pakka nahi hai ke yeh levels jaldi tak reach ho jayenge. Magar kal price ne upar ki taraf move kiya tha lekin phir se middle Bollinger Band ke neeche aa gayi, jo ke filhal 0.9346 par hai. Aaj price ne phir se upar ki taraf push kiya, lekin lagta hai yeh Bollinger Bands ke lower side par wapas aane ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Stochastic indicator upward momentum dikhata hai, jabke RSI (Relative Strength Index) thoda downward trend indicate kar raha hai. Ab hum in indicators ko monitor karte rahenge. Agar price middle Bollinger Band ke neeche close hoti hai, jo ke filhal 0.9268 par hai, toh yeh bottom band ki taraf wapas aane ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jahan se rebound hone ki bhi sambhavana hai.

Agar price Bollinger Band ke average ke upar tik jaati hai aur upar ki taraf movement dekhi jaati hai, toh hume teen resistance levels dekhne honge: lower moving average (MA), upper Bollinger Band, aur upper moving average, jo ke filhal 0.9400, 0.9426, aur 0.9452 par hain. In teen lines ke paas, hume yeh dekhna hoga ke kya price in levels ko break karti hai aur upar chali jaati hai, ya in points se wapas neeche aati hai.







Trading mein aapko shubh kamnayein! Main positive market dynamics ke forecast se sahmat hoon. EUR-CHF pair kaafi confident lag raha hai aur mere hisaab se buyers bullish vector ke sath upar move karne ke liye positioned hain. Yeh clear hai ke buyers 0.9712 ka resistance level jaldi tak reach kar sakte hain, aur meri nazar 0.9752 par hai month end tak.

Yeh analysis EUR-CHF currency pair ki current state ko cover karta hai. Bollinger Bands ka zikr price ki volatility aur moving averages ke basis par kiya gaya hai. Price ka upward aur downward movement traders ke sentiment aur potential future movements ko indicate karta hai.

Indicators jaise Stochastic aur RSI traders ko momentum samajhne mein madad karte hain aur yeh batate hain ke price apne current direction mein continue karegi ya reverse hogi. Proposed resistance levels woh areas hain jahan price ko aage badhne mein mushkil ho sakti hai, jo traders closely observe karenge.

Overall, writer EUR-CHF pairing ke liye optimistic hai aur near future ke liye potential price movements ko highlight karta hai. Yeh buyers ko ek energetic trading environment provide karta hai, jahan wo market trends aur statistics ke basis par upward movement ki ummeed rakhte hain.

EUR-CHF pair par jo levels hain, woh abhi kaafi door lagte hain, aur yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh kabhi bhi materialize ho. Haan, lekin kal price upward roll back hui thi jab tak ke middle Bollinger band (jo abhi 0.9346 par hai) se neeche nahi chali gayi. Aaj phir se isse higher push kiya gaya hai, lekin woh phir se Bollinger bands ke lower side par lane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Stochastic upward point kar raha hai jab ke RSI thoda downward hai. Hum filhaal isko hi dekhenge. Agar price middle Bollinger ke neeche close hone mein kamyaab hoti hai, jo ke abhi 0.9268 par hai, to hum bottom band ko revisit kar sakte hain aur wahan se price upward rebound kar sakti hai.
Agar Bollinger average ab price ko hold karti hai aur hum aur aage badhte hain, to humein teen resistances ka samna hoga, lower MA, upper Bollinger band aur upper MA, jo ke filhaal 0.9400/9426/9452 par hain. In teen lines ke paas humein dekhna hoga ke price in lines ke upar break karti hai ya phir inme se kisi ek se neeche bounce hoti hai.

Good luck trading! Main market par positive dynamics ke forecast se agree karta hoon. EURCHF confidence dikha raha hai, aur mere khayal se, buyers bullish vector ke saath aage badhne ke qabil honge jab statistics ko analyze karenge. Yeh obvious hai ke buyers near future mein 0.9712 resistance ko reach karne mein kamyaab ho jayenge, aur mahine ke end tak main 0.9752 par hone ki umeed karta hoon

EUR/CHF ka French CAC aur German DAX ke saath direct correlation abhi bhi high hai. China ke core inflation aur August ke producer prices ne domestic demand ke subdued trend ko dikhaya hai. China ki sluggish consumer demand European luxury goods, auto aur machinery makers ke profits ko nuksan pohcha sakti hai. EUR/CHF ke liye key transitory support 0.9255 par nazar rakhein. Yeh analysis hamari pehli report ka follow-up hai jo 2 August 2024 ko publish hui thi.

Global benchmark stock indices ne September ke shuruat se falter kiya hai, MSCI All-Country World Index ETF (NASDAQ: ACWI) ne 6 September ko 4% ki weekly loss ke saath finish kiya, jo March 6, 2023 ke baad se sabse bura performance tha, jab US me regional banking crisis ka shuruat hua tha. Pichle hafte ke risk-off episode ne EUR/CHF ko France ke CAC aur Germany ke DAX ke saath move karte dekha; inke 60-period rolling correlation coefficients us waqt 0.82 aur 0.84 par high positive value par the (dekhain Figure 1).

China ke August inflation data ki release se yeh suggest hota hai ke China ka domestic demand situation ab bhi kamzor hai aur deflationary risks phir se foreground par hain bina kisi clear signals ya initiatives ke from China ke top policymakers ke jo stronger expansionary policies ko introduce kar sakein consumer aur business confidence ko barhane ke liye. China ka core consumer inflation (food aur energy ko chhod kar) chaar consecutive mahino se decline kar raha hai, August me 0.3% y/y pe gir gaya jo July me 0.4% tha. China ke factory prices, jo product prices se represent kiye gaye hain, August me 1.8% y/y gir gaye, jo pichle mahine ke 0.8% decline se zyada sharp hai aur 1.4% decline ke expectation se kam hai (dekhain Figure 2).

China me consumer demand ki kamzori, jo European luxury goods, car aur machinery manufacturers ke liye ek key market hai, in European firms ke profits ko aur nuksan pohcha sakti hai, aur is wajah se France ke CAC aur Germany ke DAX me further declines bhi ho sakti hain.