Eurusd

EUR/USD ka technical nazar se dekhain to yeh ek mazboot uptrend mein hai, jo kay kuch moving averages se support hasil kar raha hai. Chart par, main do moving average lines ka istemal karta hoon: ek short-period (red) aur doosra long-period (blue) moving average. Yeh uptrend agust ke shuruat se chal raha hai, aur abhi price dono moving averages se upar hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi kaafi strong hai.

Lekin ek khaas area hai jo 1.1156 ke aas-paas hai—jise maine chart par blue box se mark kiya hai. Yeh ek naya support area hai jo ke haal hi mein price decline ke baad bana hai, uske baad ek strong bounce aaya. Is area ko hum demand zone keh sakte hain, jahan buyers lagta hai ke position lena shuru kar rahe hain taake rally jaari rahe.

Aakhri candlestick ko dekhte hain, to humein support area par rejection nazar aata hai, jo yeh signal mazid mazboot karta hai ke price ke paas ab bhi aage barhne ki potential hai. Lekin, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke 1.1215 par kaafi strong resistance hai, jo pichle kuch hafton ka highest level hai. Agar price is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to EUR/USD ka rally jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

Aise situations ke liye ek technique hai "buy on dips", yaani jab price temporary decline karti hai uptrend mein, to kharidari karna. Is case mein, 1.1156 ke aas-paas ka support area ek dilchasp entry point hai, jiska target price nearest resistance, yani 1.1215 par rakh sakte hain. Stop loss is support area ke neeche, misal ke taur par 1.1130 par rakhna chahiye, taake agar price scenario se bahar chale jaaye to risk kam ho.

Iske ilawa, jo moving average indicator main istemal karta hoon, us mein short-period aur long-period moving averages ke darmiyan koi cross nahi hua. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke uptrend ab bhi intact hai, aur haal ke time par hui correction sirf temporary hai. Agar yeh trend jari rahta hai, to hum is currency pair par long positions ko optimize karne ke liye mauqe dekh sakte hain.

Yeh analysis hamein yeh samajhne mein madad karta hai ke kis tarah se market ki movements ko samjha ja sakta hai aur kaise humein apne trading decisions ko behtar banana hai.

Eurusd
EUR/USD apni quwat dikhate hue Tuesday ko 1.0917 ke six-week high tak pohanch gaya, jab US dollar kamzor ho raha tha aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policy plans ke hawalay se uncertainty barh rahi thi. ECB ne kisi fixed course of action par commit karne se inkar kar diya hai, aur ek data-driven approach apnai hai, jis ne 2024 mein aggressive easing ke liye market expectations ko thanda kar diya hai. Shuru mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts anticipate kiye the, magar June ki meeting ke baad yeh projection ek rate cut tak revise kar di gayi, kuch ECB officials ke warnings ke baad ke bohot zyada dovish policies inflationary pressures ko dobara barha sakti hain.

Isi dauran, USD ko weakness ke dor ke baad support mil raha hai, aur US Dollar Index 104.30 tak recover kar gaya hai, jo risk appetite ke dip ki wajah se hua. Investors ziada cautious ho gaye hain, jab ke Federal Reserve ke September rate cut par bets cool down ho gayi hain. Fed officials ne current interest rates ko maintain karne ka irada signal kiya hai jab tak unhe inflation ko neeche lane mein substantial progress na dikhai de, aur market ab expect kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke last quarter mein rates ko lower karna shuru karega.

Euro currency ne strong strides le kar apna pehle ka two-month high 1.0917 wapas haasil kar liya hai. Is level ke upar ek decisive break ise aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai, potentially March 21st peak 1.0951 tak ya psychological barrier 1.1000 tak breach kar sakta hai. Magar agar exchange rate 200-day Exponential Moving Average 1.0803 ke neeche decline karta hai, to yeh ek downward correction trigger kar sakta hai. Upcoming key economic data releases from Eurozone aur US dono se currency pair ki performance par significant asar padne ki umeed hai.

Euro ki current strength, jo ke Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se breakout hone se bolstered hui hai, iske further gains ki potential ko suggest karti hai. Phir bhi, Relative Strength Index indicator ek temporary pause in upward momentum ka hint de raha hai.
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EUR/USD
EUR/USD taajirun, sarmaya darun, aur siyasat danon ke darmiyan ek aham currency pair hai jo Euro (EUR) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan tabdeel hota hai. Ye currency pair dunya bhar ki tijarat aur maaliyat mein ek aham kirdar ada karta hai aur forex market mein beshumar traders, investors aur policymakers ke liye ahem hai.

EUR/USD pair aksar "Euro" ke tor par pehchana jata hai aur iska qeemat mukhtalif asaroon ke zair e asar hoti hai, jaise ke maaliyat ke data, siyasi aur maali tajaweez, central bank ke faislay, aur global tijarat ki halat. Eurozone ke mulk, jin mein Germany, France, Italy, aur Spain shamil hain, ki maali satah aur Euro ki qeemat par asar dalta hai.

European Central Bank (ECB) Euro ki qeemat ko mukhtalif policies ke zariye mawafiq rakhne ka zimmedar hota hai, jaise ke monetary policy decisions, interest rate changes, aur quantitative easing programs. ECB ke faislay aur economic outlook statements EUR/USD pair par asar dalte hain aur market mein taqatwar harkat paida karte hain.

Doosri taraf, United States dollar, dunya ka sab se bada reserve currency hone ki wajah se, beshumar factors ke zair e asar hai, jaise ke US economic indicators, Federal Reserve ke policies, aur global maaliyat ki halat. Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions, monetary policy statements, aur economic data releases USD ki qeemat par asar dalte hain aur isay taqatwar ya kamzor kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa ya kami ke wajohat mukhtalif hoti hain, jaise ke economic indicators, central bank ke faislay, geopolitical tensions, aur global market sentiment. Technical analysis, chart patterns, aur indicators ka istemal traders ke liye ahem hai taake wo price movements ko samajh sake aur trading opportunities pehchan sakein.

Iske ilawa, EUR/USD pair ka correlation bhi doosre financial instruments aur asset classes ke sath closely monitored hota hai, jaise ke bond yields, equity markets, aur commodity prices. Market mein taqatwar aur stable currency hone ki wajah se EUR/USD pair hedging ke liye bhi istemal kiya jata hai.

European Union ke siyasi aur maali halat, Brexit jaise events aur global economic conditions bhi EUR/USD pair par asar dalte hain. Is liye, taajirun aur investors ko economic indicators, central bank announcements, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Akhri taur par, EUR/USD pair forex market mein aik ahem currency pair hai jo traders, investors, aur policymakers ke liye ahem hai. Iski qeemat par asar daalne wale mukhtalif factors ko samajhna aur unpar tawaja dena taajiron ke liye zaroori hai jo is market mein kamiyabi hasil karna chahte hain

EUR/USD apni quwat dikhate hue Tuesday ko 1.0917 ke six-week high tak pohanch gaya, jab US dollar kamzor ho raha tha aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policy plans ke hawalay se uncertainty barh rahi thi. ECB ne kisi fixed course of action par commit karne se inkar kar diya hai, aur ek data-driven approach apnai hai, jis ne 2024 mein aggressive easing ke liye market expectations ko thanda kar diya hai. Shuru mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts anticipate kiye the, magar June ki meeting ke baad yeh projection ek rate cut tak revise kar di gayi, kuch ECB officials ke warnings ke baad ke bohot zyada dovish policies inflationary pressures ko dobara barha sakti hain.

Isi dauran, USD ko weakness ke dor ke baad support mil raha hai, aur US Dollar Index 104.30 tak recover kar gaya hai, jo risk appetite ke dip ki wajah se hua. Investors ziada cautious ho gaye hain, jab ke Federal Reserve ke September rate cut par bets cool down ho gayi hain. Fed officials ne current interest rates ko maintain karne ka irada signal kiya hai jab tak unhe inflation ko neeche lane mein substantial progress na dikhai de, aur market ab expect kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke last quarter mein rates ko lower karna shuru karega.

Euro currency ne strong strides le kar apna pehle ka two-month high 1.0917 wapas haasil kar liya hai. Is level ke upar ek decisive break ise aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai, potentially March 21st peak 1.0951 tak ya psychological barrier 1.1000 tak breach kar sakta hai. Magar agar exchange rate 200-day Exponential Moving Average 1.0803 ke neeche decline karta hai, to yeh ek downward correction trigger kar sakta hai. Upcoming key economic data releases from Eurozone aur US dono se currency pair ki performance par significant asar padne ki umeed hai.

Euro ki current strength, jo ke Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se breakout hone se bolstered hui hai, iske further gains ki potential ko suggest karti hai. Phir bhi, Relative Strength Index indicator ek temporary pause in upward momentum ka hint

EUR-USD Pair Ka Tajziya

EUR/USD ka chart dekhne par yeh maloom hota hai ke yeh ek mazboot uptrend mein hai, jo kay kayi baar moving averages se support le raha hai. Main is chart par do moving average lines istemal karta hoon: choti muddat ki (laal) aur lambi muddat ki (neela) moving averages. Yeh uptrend agust ke shuru se chal raha hai, aur aaj ki date mein price dono moving averages ke upar hai, jo ke bullish momentum ki mazbooti ko darshata hai.

Lekin ek area jo khaas taur par dilchasp hai, wo 1.1156 ke aas-paas hai—jise maine chart par neeli box se mark kiya hai. Yeh ek naya support area hai jo haal hi mein price ke girne ke baad ban gaya hai, uske baad ek mazboot bounce aaya. Is area ko hum demand zone keh sakte hain, jahan buyers apne positions lena shuru kar rahe hain taake rally jari rakh sakein.

Aakhri candlestick ko dekhne par hume support area par rejection nazar aata hai, jo is signal ko mazid taqat deta hai ke price ab bhi upar ki taraf barhne ki potential rakhta hai. Lekin yeh dhyan rakhna zaroori hai ke 1.1215 ke aas-paas ka resistance kafi mazboot hai, jo ke pichle kuch hafton ka sab se uncha level bhi hai. Agar price is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to EUR/USD ki rally zyada high levels tak ja sakti hai.




Aise mauqay par ek technique jo hum istemal kar sakte hain wo hai "buy on dips," yani jab price temporary decline ka shikaar hoti hai tab kharidna. Is case mein, 1.1156 ke aas-paas ka support area ek accha entry point hai, jahan target price agle resistance ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1215 hai. Stop loss is support area ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai, jaise ke 1.1130 ke aas-paas, taake risk ko kam kiya ja sake agar price hamari soch se hatkar chale.

Iske ilawa, jo moving average indicator main istemal kar raha hoon, us mein short-period aur long-period moving averages ke darmiyan kisi crossing ke asar nahi hain. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai, aur haal hi mein jo correction aayi hai wo aksar temporary hoti hai. Agar yeh trend jaari raha, to is currency pair par long positions optimize karne ke mauqay mil sakte hain.

EUR/USD Ki Price Activity

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya is waqt mukhtalif pehluon par khula hai. Jabke EUR/USD ka jo pair hai, wo 1.10 level tak nahi pahuncha, lekin kuch pehle ke signals nazar aa rahe hain jo potential activity ki taraf ishara karte hain. Main is area mein koi significant rally ki umeed nahi rakhta, kyun ke haal ka girawat kisi badi wajah ke baghair hui hai. Yeh decline technical factors ki wajah se ho raha hai, na ke kisi fundamental shift ki wajah se. Sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh pair aage girta rahega, kyunki yahan kaafi strong support levels hain jo bearish hain.

Is hafte ke shuru mein, humne ek aisa hi dip dekha, jiske baad tez recovery hui, lekin aaj ki surat-e-haal kuch alag lag rahi hai. Market sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai, aur price ab bhi bullish hai. Weekly price close bullish momentum ke liye acha nazar nahi aata.




Is ke bawajood, main ab bhi bullish taraf rujhan rakhta hoon aur 1.1176 ki taraf recovery ki umeed karta hoon. Aaj ka din pair ke liye kuch ajeeb raha, kyunki hum pehle 1.12 level ke upar gaye, lekin baad mein lagbhag 101 points gir gaye. Behtar samajh ke liye, maine technical perspective se kuch corresponding lines chart ki hain, jo trading ke liye ek mazboot strategy faraham karti hain. Lekin bearish trend ab bhi price ko neeche kheench raha hai, khaaskar H4 time frame mein, jo pair ke liye upar ki taraf rally karna mushkil bana raha hai. Fibonacci grid, jo 101-161.9 range mein hai, kuch dinon se kaam kar raha hai, isliye yeh ek ahm factor hai jo nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Jese jese hum September ke akhri dinon ki taraf barh rahe hain, aaj Thursday hai aur kal Friday hai, jo weekend ki taraf le jata hai. Aaj ke order book mein zyada tar sell orders nazar aa rahe hain.

EUR/USD Price Action

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya is waqt mukhtalif pehluon par charcha ka mawad hai. Main 1.1179 level par nazar rakhta hoon, jahan kuch slowdown ho sakta hai, lekin main isay ek mazboot rukawat nahi samajhta. M-30 aur H-1 charts mein jo downward wave nazar aa rahi hai, agar buyers bohot aggressive ho gaye, to yeh time frames ek nayi upward push ko support kar sakte hain kyunki yeh abhi neutral hain. Halankeh, maine sellers ko subah tak ek choti si mauka dene ka faisla kiya hai, yeh dekhte hue ke Asian market aaj ke peak par kaise react karta hai.

Aane wale elections aur dollar par unke asar ke hawale se, aam tor par currency election se pehle kamzor hoti hai. Agar Trump ko support milta hai, to dollar majboot ho sakta hai, lekin yeh sirf andazah hai. Tareekh ke hisaab se, markets aksar elections se pehle ek direction chun leti hain aur results tak chup rehkar us par amal karti hain. Abhi bhi aisa lagta hai, khaaskar kyunke lambi muddat ka range ab upper side break ho chuka hai.




EUR/USD pair ab 1.1137 par becha ja raha hai aur iska average 1.1162 hai, lekin price ab bhi barh raha hai. Humne aksar 1.1197 ke resistance level ki ahmiyat par baat ki hai, jo euro ne Federal Reserve ke faislon ke baad tay kiya. Lekin dollar ki girawat ko rokne ke liye koi mazboot technical levels ya news events nahi hain. Main dekhte rahunga, kyunki aage aur averaging ki zaroorat nahi hai. Bulls ab bhi control mein hain jabke dollar kafi kamzor hota ja raha hai, jo sirf euro ko nahi, balki doosre currencies ko bhi asar kar raha hai. Koi rebound ka nishan nahi hai, na hi chhoti si recovery ka. Iske bajaye, ek mazboot bullish candle bani hai, jo is waqt ki aam tor par khamosh samay mein ajeeb hai. Yeh ek naye growth wave ka ishara hai.

Halankeh ek significant resistance level upar hai, bullish sentiment mazboot hai aur isay todna mushkil hai. Isliye, 1.1199 ka level pahunchnana kal ke liye ek priority aur realistic target lagta hai. Is level tak pahunchnay se pehle koi badi pullback hone ki umeed kam hai.

EUR/USD Market Analysis
25 September 2024

H4 Hour

EUR/USD currency pair ka weekly period ka haal ab bhi bullish trend mein chal raha hai. Yeh halat monthly market mein bhi nazar aa rahi hai, kyunki kuch hafton se bullish direction mein kaafi wida range ke sath movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo market mein upward trend ko mazid haqeeqi bana raha hai. Jab market ne neeche ki taraf correction dekhi, to phir se buyers ne price ko upar ki taraf push kiya, jo shaam ko price ke barhne ka sabab bana.

Iss hafte buyers ki koshish ab bhi market ko dominate karne ki hai, jo price ko bullish trend ki taraf le ja rahi hai. Abhi ke market mein price 1.1189 level ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai. Halankeh major timeframe par price barh rahi hai, lekin choti timeframe mein neeche ki taraf aur correction ka khatra barqarar hai.




Agar hum current market conditions par nazar daalain, to meri rai hai ke hume BUY transactions ke mauqay talash karne chahiye. Maine dekha hai ke pichle kuch dinon mein ab bhi aage barhne ka acha potential hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime line ab bhi level 50 ke upar hai, jo buyers ki dominance ko darshata hai. Aasha hai ke buyers phir se market ko dominate karenge aur price ko upar le jaayenge. Pichle kuch hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue, market conditions ab bhi bullish direction mein hain. Candlesticks ka upar ki taraf barhna umeed kiya ja raha hai taake 0.6385 level range ko test kiya ja sake.

Hafte ke beech mein market volatility mein izafa hone ki sambhavna hai. Iss hafte buyer troops ka market par ghalba hone ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD Market Update

Currency pair ne haal hi mein kafi significant fluctuation dekhi, apne intraday gains kho diye aur 1.1200 mark ke neeche aa gaya, jabke isne Wednesday ke North American session mein 1.1217 ka naya weekly high achieve kiya. Yeh momentum ka reversal US Dollar (USD) ki mazboot recovery ki wajah se hai, jo ke apne mukablay mein majboot hota ja raha hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki performance ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, lagbhag 100.60 tak surge kar gaya, jo pehle ke losses se kafi acha rebound hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September meeting mein potential interest rate cut ke hawale se uncertainty barh gayi hai, jo ke recent US economic data ki wajah se hai. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne August mein 142,000 naye jobs ki reporting ki—jo expected 160,000 se kam hai lekin July ke revised figure 89,000 se behtar hai. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.2% par aa gaya hai, jo pehle 4.3% tha, aur yeh forecasts ke mutabiq hai. Yeh mixed signals Fed ke monetary policy direction par cautious outlook ko janam de rahe hain.

European Central Bank (ECB) bhi apni monetary policy ko aasan karne ki taraf barh raha hai. Jab headline inflation 2% ke target ke kareeb hai aur long-term inflation expectations is level par stabilize ho rahi hain, to ECB ke paas rate cuts ke liye kaafi justification hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone se mixed Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ne further easing ke liye expectations ko mazboot banaya hai, jo shared currency ke liye ek uncertain environment bana raha hai.




Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.1100 area se recent recovery, jo ke 1.1066 ke do hafton ke low ke baad hui, ne latest downward correction ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level par resistance ka samna kiya. Halankeh, 1.1188 ke upar overnight breakout—jo 38.2% Fibonacci level aur daily chart par 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko shamil karta hai—bullish traders ke liye favorable raha, jo ke further gains ka potential darshata hai.

Resistance 1.1217 level par tay hai; lekin agar weekly close 1.1200 ke upar hota hai, to yeh pair ke liye technical taur par constructive hoga. Current spot gains low 1.1200 zone mein EUR ke liye short-term charts par nayi upward momentum faraham kar rahe hain. Intraday Directional Movement Index (DMI) ka daily aur weekly studies mein bullish trends ke sath alignment yeh darshata hai ke EUR ke liye downside potential kafi limited hai, isliye currency pair ke liye aam taur par positive outlook bana hua hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

EUR/USD ka rate 1.1200 ke nazdeek barh gaya hai jabke Euro ne Eurozone ki economic growth ke bare mein gehre chinta ke bawajood izafa kiya. ECB se umeed hai ke wo is saal bachi hui do policy meetings mein se kisi ek mein interest rates ko cut karega.

US Dollar ke liye agla bada trigger Friday ko August ka US core PCE inflation data hoga. EUR/USD ne Wednesday ki European session mein 1.1200 ke saal ke unche star par pohanchne ki koshish ki. Yeh major currency pair tab izafa kar raha hai jab US Dollar (USD) dabao mein hai, kyunki China ke massive stimulus plans ki announcement se investors ka risk appetite behtar hua hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke dauran US Dollar ki taraf investment flows kam ho jate hain.

China ke stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein bade rate cut ke bets ne bhi US Dollar ko peeche kar diya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, Wednesday ko thoda barha hai lekin 100.20 ke saal ke low ke kareeb hai.

CME FedWatch tool yeh dikhata hai ke Fed ke 50 basis points (bps) tak interest rates ko 4.25%-4.50% ke range mein cut karne ki sambhavna 37% se barhkar 60% ho gayi hai. Fed ne 18 September ko policy easing cycle shuru kiya tha, jab unhone 50 bps ka zyada rate cut kiya tha kyunki unhe labor demand ke girne ki chinta thi.

Iss hafte US Dollar ke liye major trigger August ka core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hoga, jo Fed ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hai, jo Friday ko publish hoga. Andaza hai ke underlying inflation measure 2.6% se barhkar 2.7% ho gaya hai.

Fed ke pasandeeda inflation gauge se pehle, investors Thursday ko US Durable Goods Orders par focus karenge, jo August ke liye publish kiye jayenge. New Orders for Durable Goods ke 2.6% girne ki umeed hai, jabke July mein yeh 9.8% ki mazboot growth thi.




EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke key resistance ke nazdeek barh gaya hai aur Wednesday ki European trading session mein isay capture karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh major currency pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke nazdeek strong buying interest milne ke baad sharp recovery de raha hai, jo 1.1100 ke aas-paas hai.

Major currency pair ka outlook tab tak mazboot rahega jab tak yeh 1.1000 ke psychological support ke nazdeek Rising Channel chart pattern ka breakout banaye rakhta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.00 par gir raha hai, jo momentum ke kamzor hone ki nishani hai.

Agar 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko decisive break milta hai, to yeh July 2023 ke high 1.1276 ki taraf mazeed izafa de sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.1000 ka psychological level aur 17 July ka high 1.0950 ke aas-paas major support zones honge.

EUR/USD Market Update

Somwar ko, Euro ne North American trading mein thodi si recovery dekhi jabke Asian session mein usne kaafi significant losses ka samna kiya. 1.11 level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek aham psychological zone hai. Tareekh ke mutabiq, EUR/USD aam tor par bade round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai, isliye agar Euro girta raha, to agla logical target 1.10 level hoga.

1.10 mark pehle bhi ek aham support area raha hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar market recover hota hai, to 1.12 level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, pair choppy aur sideways action ka samna kar raha hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par focus karna chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se influenced hai, in levels ko khaas taur par sensitive banata hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke phase mein hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi complex bana raha hai.




Is mahol mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan long-term winner ka pata lagana mushkil hai. Isliye, zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakta hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ko maap kar doosri currency pairs par apply kiya jaye. Agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein mazid majboot hota hai, to dollar ko kisi tez movement karne wali ya exotic currency ke against trade karna zyada faida mand ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair, maujooda market volatility aur price level fluctuations ko dekhte hue, zyada tar short-term chart analysis ke liye behtar hai.

Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke madde nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Yeh levels significant support aur resistance points ke tor par kaam karte hain aur short-term trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions ke asar se barh gayi hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apni easing measures ko jari rakhte hain, to pair mein volatility barhne ki umeed hai, isliye short-term trades long-term positions se zyada faida mand sabit ho sakti hain. Traders ko cautious aur agile rehna chahiye, aur current market environment ko effectively navigate karne ke liye technical analysis par focus karna chahiye.

EUR/USD Pair ka Technical Analysis

1-hour chart par, aaj price ne do dinon ka sabse uncha trading price todte hue trading shuru ki. Price channels mein, pehla channel jo ke neela hai, sideways trend dikhata hai aur pichle do trading dinon ka trend hai. Dusra channel, jo ke laal hai, upward trend dikhata hai aur sirf kal ki movement ko represent karta hai.

Neela channel toot gaya hai aur ab price isay dobara test karne aa raha hai. Isliye umeed hai ke price neela channel line ko touch karne par upar ki taraf rebound karega aur din ke dauran 1.1211 ke resistance level tak barhta rahega.

Bearish scenario bhi maujood hai agar price dobara neela channel ke andar trade kare, is surat mein price 1.1139 ke weekly pivot level tak girne ki sambhavna hai, aur phir wahan se upar ki taraf rebound kar sakta hai.




Economic Side se Jaankari:

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, Eurozone mein business activity September mein na-ummeed taur par contraction ka samna kar rahi hai, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein masail ki badhati hui shakal dikhata hai. Region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), jo S&P Global ne compile kiya hai, August mein 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke February ke baad pehli baar contraction dikhata hai.

Yeh girawat, Germany aur France jaise bade economies mein weak demand aur economic challenges ki wajah se hui hai, jo future growth prospects ko lekar chinta ko barhata hai aur European Central Bank ke policy easing ke speculation ko tez karta hai. PMI ka 50 ke critical threshold ke neeche girna eurozone mein economic conditions ke kharab hone ko darshata hai. Services PMI August se 52.9 se gir kar September mein 50.5 tak aa gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI 45.8 se gir kar 44.8 par aa gaya. Germany, jo region ki sabse badi economy hai, is se khaas tor par mutasir hua, doosre quarter mein -0.1% ki contraction ka samna kiya aur teesre quarter mein aur girawat ka samna kar raha hai.

EUR-USD Pair Ka Jaiza

Aaj bazar khulne par hum dekhte hain ke EURUSD pehle hi resistance ki taraf hai, jiska daam 1.1189 hai. Maujooda pattern ko dekhte hue, aaj EURUSD ke liye resistance area ko todna asan ho sakta hai kyun ke iska trend bullish hai, jo ke MA200 ke upar chal raha hai. Agar EURUSD is resistance area ko tod leta hai, to agla resistance 1.1275 ke aas-paas hoga. Lekin agar yeh resistance nahi tuti, to EURUSD phir se gir sakta hai aur support 1.1123 tak aa sakta hai.




EURUSD bazar mein kharidne wale log asal mein daam barhane ke liye serious hain. Jab daam EMA200 H1 ke neeche chala gaya tha, tab dheere dheere yeh comeback kar raha hai. Yeh breakout buy candle ka signal hai jo upar BB line ko todta hai, aur ab daam 1.1163 - 1.1168 ke blue supply level ko penetrate kar chuka hai, jo ab ek aham support ban gaya hai. Intraday momentum indicator ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi market overbought hai, isliye market mein correction hone ki sambhavana hai. Yeh market aam tor par is blue demand area ki taraf neeche aane ki koshish karega taake support ko test kar sake. Yahan se mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek behtareen buying point hoga, jahan se daam phir se 1.1274 ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Aaj mein EURUSD par kharidne ka mauka dekhne ki koshish karunga, lekin mein resistance area 1.1189 ko successfully todne ka intezar karunga. Mein demand area mein 1.1146 par buy limit ka pending order rakhunga. Stop loss mein 1.1119 par rakhunga, jabke target ko khula rakhunga aur EURUSD ke price action ko dekhte rahunga.

EUR/USD 30-Minute Chart Ka Jaiza

EUR/USD ka 30-minute chart ek numayan bullish rally dikhata hai, jab yeh pair 1.11928 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. 1.11200 se 1.11600 ke darmiyan ek consolidation ke baad, daam ne aham resistance ko tod diya hai aur tezi se upar ki taraf chala gaya hai. Chart par kuch aham liquidity zones (DLiq) nazar aate hain, jahan daam in levels ke aas-paas kai martaba interact hua hai. Mazboot upward momentum ko 1.11200 ke aas-paas fair value gaps (FVG) ke saath bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jo ab bhar chuki hain, isse current upward move ke liye ek zyada stable buniyad milti hai.

Is rally se pehle, 19 tareekh ko ek tezi se girawat dekhi gayi thi, jahan daam ne 1.10800 ka support level test kiya. Is region mein liquidity grab hone ka bhi asar hai. Iske baad kharidne wale logon ne mazbooti se entry ki, jisse daam wapas range mein aaya aur pehle dekhi gayi resistance 1.11600 ko tod diya. Yeh area, jo pehle fair value gap tha, ab support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai aur bullish sentiment ko aage badha raha hai.




Aage dekhte hue, pair ek key supply zone ki taraf barh raha hai jo 1.12000 ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle sessions mein resistance ke taur par kaam kar chuka hai. Agar daam is level ko todne aur momentum ko barkarar rakhne mein kamiyab hota hai, to aage 1.12200 aur usse aage tak barhne ki sambhavana hai. Lekin, traders ko yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke pehle ke support zones, khaaskar 1.11600 ke aas-paas, dobara test hone ka khatara hai, pehle aage barhne se pehle.

Agar koi retracement hota hai, to 1.11200-1.11400 ka range ek critical support area hai, is recent price interaction aur liquidity levels ke madde nazar. Agar yeh area hold nahi hota, to pair phir se 1.10800 ke aas-paas ke lower levels par ja sakta hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, bias bullish hai aur ongoing upward momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai. Traders ko key resistance zones aur 1.12000 ke upar breakout ki sambhavana par nazar rakhni hogi taake uptrend ki aur confirmation mil sake.

EUR-USD H4 Analysis

Main baat kar raha hoon 4-ghante ke chart par euro-dollar pair ke baare mein. Yeh bilkul samajh aata hai ke yeh pair barh raha hai—Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad yeh apne pehle ke uchaaiyon ko paar kar chuka hai. Jab sellers ke limits trigger hue, to yeh mazbooti se barha aur mujhe laga ke yeh pair aage barhta rahega, gray range ke lower bounds tak.

Mujhe yeh bhi lagta hai ke Federal Reserve jab 50 basis points ka interest rate cut karega, tab bhi inflation 3.2% tak uchi rahegi. Is wajah se mujhe lagta hai ke pair bina inflation ke girawat ke aur nahi barh sakta. Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad kuch kami aayi. Pehle ke peaks tak pahunchne ke baad thoda girawat hui, lekin pair ne phir se pehle wale peak ko update kiya.

Yeh dono abhi bhi vikas kar rahe hain aur sab kuch samajh aata hai, lekin yeh ajeeb hai ke jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates ghataye, tab pound itna ucha chala gaya. Mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke yeh pair gray area ke lower bounds tak jaega, jahan 1.09231 ka support hai, jab tak inflation ghatne nahi lagti.



EUR/USD pair abhi apni vikas ki shuruaat mein hai, chahe yeh pehle se 1.0700 se barh kar paanch growth figures ko darshata hai.

Mujhe yeh bhi lagta hai ke agle meeting mein, jo October mein hai, US Federal Reserve se 0.5% ka aur interest rate cut hone ki umeed hai. Aur jab hum is zone se upar trade kar rahe hain, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 1.1227 - 1.1246 ke resistance zone ki taraf barhta rahega, jahan se shayad humein thoda rollback dekhne ko mile, lekin wo zyada se zyada 1.1180 ke aas paas hoga. Technology bhi is waqt is baat ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Support zone 1.1120 - 1.1138 ke levels se limit hai.