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Haal ki mandi market ke kai ahem factors se barhawaar kiya ja sakta hai, jin mein technical indicators aur yeh khatra shamil hain ke mazeed kamiyaabi ke liye tasdeeq kar rahe hain. Market analysts ne support levels ko nazdeek se dekha hai, jo mazeed neeche ki harkat ka potential tay karte hain. Agar market in support levels ko toor deta hai aur in ke neeche ehtimaam karta hai, to yeh ek farokht ka signal tasdeeq kar dega, jo ke ishara deta hai ke investors ko agle ahem range ki taraf tawajju deni chahiye. Mukhalif tor par, resistance levels ne upar ki harkat ko kahan tak roka ja sakta hai, aur in levels ko torne ki kami rehne se yeh ehtimaam ko mazboot karta hai ke mazeed kamiyaabi ki umeed hai.

Support aur resistance ka tasawwur technical analysis mein bunyadi hota hai. Support levels woh qeemat hoti hain jahan ek downtrend ka intezam kiya ja sakta hai kyunki demand ka itmaam hota hai. Jab qeemat support ki taraf girte hain, to investors asset ko qeemat se kam dekhte hain aur khareedna shuru karte hain, jo ke aksar harkat ko rokta hai aur ise palat sakta hai. Lekin agar qeemat is support level ko tor deti hai aur is ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh yeh dikhata hai ke farokht karne wale khareedne walon ko hara dete hain, mazeed kamiyaabi ki nishaani dete hain.

Resistance levels mukhalif hote hain, jo upar ki harkat ko rokne ki qeemat hain kyunki supply ka itmaam hota hai. Jab qeemat resistance ki taraf barhti hai, to investors asset ko qeemat se zyada dekhte hain aur farokht karna shuru karte hain, jo ke aksar harkat ko rokta hai aur ise palat sakta hai. Agar qeemat is resistance level ko tor deti hai aur is ke upar rehti hai, to yeh yeh dikhata hai ke khareedne wale farokht karne wale ko hara dete hain, mazeed kamiyaabi ki nishaani dete hain.

Usdjpy

**USD/JPY Ka Jaiza: US Dollar Aur Japanese Yen Ka Rishta**
USD/JPY forex pair, US Dollar (USD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Yeh duniya ke sab se zyada traded currency pairs mein se ek hai, aur isko "The Ninja" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai. Is pair ka trading volume bohot zyada hai, kyunki yeh do bari economies, yani United States aur Japan, ko represent karta hai. USD/JPY pair ko trade karne ke liye US aur Japan ke economic data, interest rates, aur global market sentiment ka jaiza lena zaroori hota hai.

### USD/JPY Ki Ahmiyat

USD/JPY pair ko samajhne ke liye hume US aur Japan ki economies ka comparison karna padta hai. US Dollar duniya ki reserve currency hai, aur is par Federal Reserve ki monetary policies ka direct asar hota hai. Japanese Yen ko traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke jab markets mein uncertainty hoti hai, to log Yen mein invest karte hain. USD/JPY pair ko trade karte waqt, dono countries ke economic factors aur global market conditions ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai.

### USD/JPY Ko Influence Karne Wale Factors

1. **Federal Reserve Policies**: USD/JPY pair par Federal Reserve ki monetary policies ka bohot zyada asar hota hai. Agar Fed interest rates barhata hai, to US Dollar ki demand barh jati hai, jisse USD/JPY pair upar ja sakta hai. Agar Fed interest rates kam karta hai ya dovish stance leta hai, to US Dollar ki value gir sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair neeche ja sakta hai.

2. **Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policies**: Japanese Yen ki value par Bank of Japan ki policies ka direct asar hota hai. BoJ ka low interest rate policy aur quantitative easing ka maqsad Yen ki value ko control karna hota hai taake exports ko support kiya ja sake. Agar BoJ apne policies mein tabdeeli karta hai, to JPY ki demand par asar hota hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko move kar sakta hai.

3. **Economic Data**: US aur Japan ke economic indicators jese GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, aur trade balances USD/JPY pair ko move karte hain. Strong economic data US Dollar ya Japanese Yen ki demand barha sakta hai, jisse pair ki direction ka taayun hota hai.

4. **Global Risk Sentiment**: USD/JPY pair ko global risk sentiment bohot zyada influence karta hai. Jab global markets mein risk-on sentiment hota hai, to US Dollar ki demand barh sakti hai, lekin jab risk-off sentiment hota hai, to investors Japanese Yen mein shift ho jate hain, jisse USD/JPY pair neeche gir sakta hai.

5. **Geopolitical Events**: Geopolitical tensions aur events jese trade wars, regional conflicts, aur political instability USD/JPY pair par asar dalte hain. Jab aise events hotay hain, to investors Japanese Yen mein invest karte hain, kyunki Yen ko safe-haven currency mana jata hai, jisse USD/JPY pair neeche gir sakta hai.

### USD/JPY Ki Trading

USD/JPY pair ko forex trading platforms par spot trading, futures, aur options ke zariye trade kiya jata hai. Traders technical analysis karte waqt price charts, moving averages, aur key support aur resistance levels ka jaiza lete hain. Fundamental analysis ke liye, Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki policies, economic data, aur global market sentiment ko closely monitor karna hota hai.

### Conclusion

USD/JPY forex market mein ek bohot important pair hai, jo do bari economies, USA aur Japan, ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Is pair mein trading karte waqt, traders ko Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies, economic indicators, aur global risk sentiment ka dhyan rakhna chahiye. Agar aap in factors ka sahi analysis karte hain, to USD/JPY pair mein trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ye mukhtasir jaiza aapko USD/JPY pair ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit hoga aur trading decisions mein rehnumai karega.

USD / JPY Technical Analysis:

Salam dusto! Aaj Trump ki expansionary policies se umeed hai ke ye inflation ko zyada karengi aur Federal Reserve ki interest rates ko kam karne ki salahiyat ko seemit karengi, jo ke US dollar ko mazid taqat de rahi hai, aur USD/JPY joray ki upar ki taraf harkat ko support kar rahi hai. Haal hi mein aayi US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ki data yeh darshata hai ke inflation ko rokne mein taraqqi ruk gayi hai, jo ke Fed ke liye 2025 mein rate cuts ka imkaan kam kar rahi hai. Yeh surat-e-haal US Treasury yields mein halki si wapas aane ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo ke Greenback ko mazid taqat dega. Market ke shiraakatdaar filhal Fed se quarter-point rate cut ki 62.8% sambhavana ko daam laga rahe hain, jo ke is hafte pehle 55.7% thi. Is darmiyan, Japan mein inflationary pressures tez hoti nazar aa rahi hain, jahan Statistics Bureau of Japan ke data ke mutabiq Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein saal dar saal 2.6% ka izafa hua hai, jo ke pichle mahine 1.8% tha. Isi tarah, core inflation metrics, jismein Tokyo CPI jo Fresh Food aur Energy ko chhod kar hai, saal dar saal 2.2% tak pahuncha hai jo ke market ke umeed se zyada hai jo 2.1% thi.

USD / JPY D1 Chart:



Currency pair Friday ko US session ki taraf jaate waqt pressure mein hai jabke dollar ki halki taqat USD/JPY ko 150.00 ke key psychological level ke nazdeek apne faide ko barqarar rakhne mein madad de rahi hai. Technical point of view se USD/JPY ne bearish Broadening Formation price pattern ki lower boundary aur 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko 155.04 ke thoda neeche test kiya hai, phir wapas upar aaya. Pehla aham downside target 148.50 par hai jo ke pattern ki height ka 61.8% Fibonacci extrapolation ke sath milta hai. Iske ilawa 14-week Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.00 se neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke strong downside momentum ka ishara hai.