Shumal Amrika mein sonay ki keemat Jumeraat ko taiz izafa kar gayi, jise do mukhtalif wajohat ne barhaya. Pehli baat to yeh hai ke Amreeki mahangai ke data ne umeed se kam numayan hokar investoron mein umeed afzai ki, ke Federal Reserve 2024 mein baad mein interest dar kam kar sakta hai. Yeh imkaan Amreeki dollar ko kamzor karta hai, jis se sona aik zyada kushadgi pasand karne wala sarmaya ban jata hai. Dusra, Europe mein siyasi tanau ko le kar investoron mein khatre se bachne ki adat ne sona ki taraf ruju kiya, jo aik traditional safe-haven sarmaya hai. XAU/USD symbol ke mutabiq sonay ki keemat 1.3% se zyada barhi aur $2,301 se neechay girne ke baad $2,333 tak pohanch gayi. Jahan kehlwat ke aitbar se naye hawalay mein ghabrahat mojood rahi, wahan par US stocks ne trading ke band hone ke qareeb kuch had tak tabadla kar liya. Nasdaq aur S&P 500 index din ke aakhir mein qareeban flat rahe, pehle ke nuqsaan ke bawajood. Jabke mahangai ke data ne sonay ke liye acha news hai, lekin doosre indicators ne mazeed mushkil tablo ko paint kiya hai. US consumer confidence index June mein gir gaya aur mahangai ke expectations stubbornly high hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke 2% target se ooper hain. Is ke bawajood, investoron ka tajziye hai ke Federal Reserve zyada aggressive rate cut strategy par ja sakta hai, policymakers ke single reduction ke bajaaye do cuts ki umeed hai. Yeh umeed federal funds rate contracts ki trading mein bhi numayan hai, jo ke December 2024 tak 39 basis points ke izafe ki taraf ishara dete hain.
Sonay ke liye musbat momentum mein izafa ke sath hi, Amreeki 10-year Treasury yield ne 3 basis points gir kar 4.211% par stable ho gaya. Yeh kami sonay ke liye faide mand hai, jo ke aik non-interest-bearing sarmaya hai, aur isay yield-bearing treasuries ke muqablay mein zyada competitive bana deta hai. Lekin, China ke People's Bank ki taazi sonay ki khareed par aik shak ka saaya dala hai. 18 mahinay tak ki khareedari ke baad, China ke central bank ne sona khareedna band kar diya hai, jis se unke maal o zar ke malikat May mein 72.8 million ounces par qaim rahi
Takneeki tor par, sonay ki keemat ka movement neutral se bearish trend mein atka hua hai. Aik "head and shoulders" chart pattern ke mutabiq mazeed girawat ki sambhavna hai. Jabke taza khareedari ki alamat hain, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish market ko darshaata hai, jis se mausam ke chand phatke short-lived ho sakte hain aur sudharon ke liye nuqsan se aarasta hain. Agar sona June 7th ke unchaayi ($2,387) se ooper chadh jaaye, to $2,400 tak pohanchne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Ulta, agar $2,300 se neechay gir jaye, to pehla support level $2,277 (May 3rd low) aur phir March 21st ke $2,222 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar downtrend jari rahe, to sellers $2,170 se $2,160 ke aas paas support zone ko nishana bana sakte hain, head and shoulders pattern ke mutabiq
Sonay ke liye musbat momentum mein izafa ke sath hi, Amreeki 10-year Treasury yield ne 3 basis points gir kar 4.211% par stable ho gaya. Yeh kami sonay ke liye faide mand hai, jo ke aik non-interest-bearing sarmaya hai, aur isay yield-bearing treasuries ke muqablay mein zyada competitive bana deta hai. Lekin, China ke People's Bank ki taazi sonay ki khareed par aik shak ka saaya dala hai. 18 mahinay tak ki khareedari ke baad, China ke central bank ne sona khareedna band kar diya hai, jis se unke maal o zar ke malikat May mein 72.8 million ounces par qaim rahi
Takneeki tor par, sonay ki keemat ka movement neutral se bearish trend mein atka hua hai. Aik "head and shoulders" chart pattern ke mutabiq mazeed girawat ki sambhavna hai. Jabke taza khareedari ki alamat hain, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish market ko darshaata hai, jis se mausam ke chand phatke short-lived ho sakte hain aur sudharon ke liye nuqsan se aarasta hain. Agar sona June 7th ke unchaayi ($2,387) se ooper chadh jaaye, to $2,400 tak pohanchne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Ulta, agar $2,300 se neechay gir jaye, to pehla support level $2,277 (May 3rd low) aur phir March 21st ke $2,222 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar downtrend jari rahe, to sellers $2,170 se $2,160 ke aas paas support zone ko nishana bana sakte hain, head and shoulders pattern ke mutabiq
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