AUDCHF Technical Outlook
AUD/CHF Australian dollar ka Swiss franc ke muqablay ka rate darust karta hai. Ye pair ka volatility darmiyanah hai, ye din mein 60 se lekar 110 pis tak vary ho sakta hai, jabke Australian dollar khud ek zyada volatile instrument hai. AUD ko raw materials ka export volume par bohot zyada asar hota hai (mining industry ab bhi desh ki arzi se baray hisse mein hissa hai), sath hi agricultural sector ke haalat par bhi. Switzerland ki maeeshat ki baat karte hue iski stability mashhoor hai. Natural resources ki kami ke bawajood, doosri industries, jese ke banking aur service industry, bohot ache taur par taraqqi kar chuki hain. Swiss franc pehle gold ke qeemat par bohot zyada depend karta tha. Ye dependence waqt ke sath kam hui hai, lekin gold ab bhi kabhi kabhi currency ke rate par asar dalta hai. Ye currency pair indices aur qeemti metals ke sath taluq rakhta hai, masalan: XAU/EUR, XAU/USD, XAG/EUR, HK50
Swiss Franc aur Australian economic events mein movement exchange rates ko tay karte hain. Sarfeen ki pehle darja economic events mein GDP, Employment Change, Industrial Production, aur Consumer Price Index shamil hain. Agar tajaweez se behtar data aaye, to related currency ki demand barh jati hai aur ya to Australian Dollar ya Swiss Franc ke qeemat par asar dalta hai, jo ke AUD/CHF exchange rate mein fluctuations paida karta hai. Franc ke monetary policy ko Swiss National Bank (SNB) tay karta hai, jo currency ki stability ke liye interest rates ka target karke apna mandate pura karta hai. SNB dono tareeqon se intervene kar sakta hai, ya to currency ko naram karna ya mazboot karna. Reserve currency hone ke nateejay mein, ye ek safe haven status rakhta hai jo currency ko zyada mazboot bana raha hai. Is liye, SNB ab saalon se isay kamzor karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
Bullish movement phir aglay resistance ki
taraf ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6002 CHF par waqay hai. Iss resistance ke baad, buyers 0.6150 CHF ko target kar sakte hain. Mojooda pattern ke sath, aapko chhotay corrections ka khayal rakhna hoga jo ke bohot hi short term mein ho sakte hain. Ye mumkin corrections traders ko mauqa dete hain ke wo bullish trend ki taraf entry lein. In possible corrections ka faida uthane ki koshish karna sales ke sath jaahir taur par risky lag sakta hai. AUD/CHF ek bohot mazboot bullish trend ka hissa hai. Traders sirf long positions (khareedari ke waqt) ka tawajjo dein jab tak ke keemat 0.5781 CHF ke nichay acchi tarah se rahay. Agla resistance jo ke 0.5893 CHF par hai, agla bullish maqsood hai jo ke pohancha jana chahiye. Iss resistance mein bullish break bullish momentum ko izafa kar dega. Daily timeframe par, AUDCHF: D1 downtrend se bahar aaya. Kai technical analysis indicators ne mazeed izafay ke signals banaye. Hum ek bullish movement ko nahein rad karte agar AUDCHF: D1 sab se taaza up fractal yani 0.638 se oopar chala jata hai. Ye level entry point ke taur par istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Shuruati risk cap Parabolic signal, aakhri 2 neeche fractals aur May 2020 ke low ke neeche mumkin hai: 0.616. Ek pending order kholne ke baad, hum Bollinger aur Parabolic signals ke mutabiq stop ko aglay fractal low tak le jate hain
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