nzdchf

NZDHF Ka Tajziya aur Istehkaam

Assalam-o-Alaikum traders! Filhaal hum NZDCHF currency pair par focus kar rahe hain, jahan kaafi ziada volatility aur liquidity dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Lagta hai ke yeh pair 0.5262 level ki taraf barh raha hai, jahan mein buy orders lagane ka plan bana raha hoon, kyun ke abhi buying ka trend hai. Alligator indicator yeh darsha raha hai ke agle chand ghanton mein main moving average cross ho sakti hai. Haliya price movement balance line tak pohanch gayi, jahan se rebound 0.5210 par hua, aur 0.5209 par exit karna ideal hota. Abhi mein sirf dekh raha hoon aur practice kar raha hoon, aur meri primary strategy buying hi hai. Price abhi tak negative zone mein hai, saath hi ek chhoti si divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai.

NZDCHF Ka Tajziya aur Peeshgoi

Mein aakhri fractal se confirmation ka intezaar kar raha hoon, takay koi action liya jaye, jese ke price evolve ho rahi hai. Pichlay trading session mein, pair ne southward move karne ki koshish ki, pivot level ko break kar diya, aur abhi 0.5726 par hai. Agar bearish trend barh gaya, toh shayad initial support 0.5650 par breach ho, jo agay support line ke neeche 0.5201 tak ja sakti hai. Doosri surat mein, agar price reverse hoti hai aur 0.5367 resistance level ki taraf barhti hai, yeh bhi mumkin hai.

Abhi price 0.5222 par hai, aur MACD indicator zero ke qareeb hai. Pair Ichimoku cloud ke andar hai, jo flat market ka ishara de raha hai. RSI kisi khaas movement ko darsha nahi raha. Alligator indicator ke lines ek dosray mein lapet hui hain, jo stagnant market condition ko darsha rahi hain, is liye abhi trading karna munasib nahi. Mein mashwara doon ga ke market ko iss flat phase se bahar anay dein, phir hi trading ka socha jaye.






Daily chart par, pair ke liye ek bullish Wolf pattern samnay aya hai, jo 5th Wolf wave mein growth ka ishara de raha hai. Guzishta hafte, ek existing downtrend ko break karne ki koshish naakam rahi, jis ka natija downward movement mein nikla. Price pechlay low ko lagbhag touch kar gayi thi, phir reverse hui. Yeh mumkin hai ke ek triangle formation ho rahi ho, jahan pair 0.5816 tak barh kar triangle ki upper border ko establish karegi. Doosri surat mein, ek ascending channel ban sakta hai, jo pair ko 0.5189 tak push kar sakta hai.

Agar pair upper channel boundary ko break kar deti hai, toh mazeed price ascent ka imkaan hai. Pehle mein upar ki taraf ek rise ki tawaqo kar raha tha, lekin haali movement lower boundary ko construct kar rahi hai. Ek triangle pattern develop ho gaya hai, aur hali upward price momentum ko dekhte hue, 0.5247 tak barh sakti hai. Agar yeh level cross ho gaya, toh pair 5th wave of bullish Wolfe pattern mein dakhil ho sakti hai, jo usay 0.5373 tak le ja sakti hai.

Sab forum members ke liye nek khwahishat!

NZD/CHF D-1

Daily chart ko dekhte hue, Monday ko koi khaas halchal nazar nahi aayi. Price sirf 40 pips barhi, jo long-term traders ke liye chhoti movement hai. Resistance 0.544 ab bhi watch level hai. Jab price ne is level ko touch kiya, to mujhe woh reaction nahi mila jo mein expect kar raha tha, isliye main ek ya do din intezaar karunga dekhne ke liye ke kya hota hai. Mera plan ab bhi wahi hai. Price ne 21 October ko downward trend break kiya tha aur 18 August se upar ki taraf chal rahi hai. Isliye, price thodi si wapas aa sakti hai. Price ko bounce back karna chahiye aur 0.5342 par support level ko retest karna chahiye. Yeh best opportunity hogi buy position enter karne ki, with a stop loss below the last low formed at 0.590, jo 160 pips ke barabar hai. Main take profit ko triple kar sakta hoon, jo 480 points hote hain. Yeh ek bahut long-term contract hai, jo do se teen mahine ya usse zyada lag sakta hai implement hone mein. Toh sabr rakhein aur opportunities ka intezaar karein. Phir trade karein aur market ko apna kaam karne dein. Yeh meri long-term prediction hai.





NZD/CHF M-15

15-minute time frame mein, aaj price ne 0.515 ka resistance level overcome kar diya hai. Afsos, price ke upar jane se pehle hum is resistance ko retest nahi kar paye, isliye buy karne ka mauka miss ho gaya. Lekin yeh trading ka nature hai. Jab market move karti hai, hum use catch nahi kar sakte. Ab mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein broken resistance level ka retest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Price ab gir gayi hai aur abhi koi obvious trading opportunity nahi hai. Sirf ek cheez jo main soch sakta hoon, woh yeh hai ke dekhna hai agar price wapas broken resistance level ko touch karke support level ban jati hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to main long position open karne aur naye trend ko follow karne ka sochunga jo 21 August se start hua hai. Ek aur idea yeh hai ke dekhna hai agar price ascending channel ke lower band ko touch karti hai. Price ne is level ko do baar touch kiya hai, aur teesri baar yeh best opportunity ho sakti hai market me buy karne aur price ke upper line of the channel ko touch karne ka intezaar karne ke liye. Lekin is baare mein main abhi sure nahi hoon. Mujhe intezaar karna padega aur dekhna padega.

NZD/CHF

Is instrument ka chart selected timeframe par humein clearly dikhata hai ke pehli degree ki regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke current true trend ka direction aur state dikhati hai, north ki taraf slope hai, jo ke upward movement ke period ko indicate karta hai. Nonlinear channel (convex lines) jo near future direction ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, uska bhi noticeable upward slope hai. Nonlinear regression channel ne linear channel ke golden line ko neeche se upar cross kiya hai aur price mein izafa dikhaya hai. Price ne red resistance line of the linear channel, 2nd LevelResLine, ko cross kiya hai aur maximum value 0.55076 tak pohnchi, lekin uske baad growth ruk gayi aur price girne lagi, jo ab 0.54853 par trade ho rahi hai. Isse nazar rakhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke price 2nd LevelResLine channel line (0.54609) Fibo level 76.4 ke neeche wapas aayegi aur further girti jayegi, golden line LR of the linear channel 0.543200 tak, jo Fibo level 61.8 ke saath coincide karta hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators strongly overbought area mein hain aur sell trade open karne ka acha mauka dikhate hain.

Trend change indicator ab sales ki taraf trend change dikhata hai, lekin abhi bhi priority bullish direction par hai, aur yeh relevant rahegi jab tak critical minimum 0.544 break nahi hota. Kisi bhi surat mein, bullish rally ko continue rakhne ke liye buyers ko resistance 0.544 ko break karna hoga, jiske baad ek trading channel khulega jo next important high 0.548 tak le jayega. Yahan history mein bears ne trend reverse kiya tha. Agar bulls maximum 0.583 ko break nahi kar pate, to price shayad short direction mein chale jayegi. Agar is range ke paas reversal formation banati hai, to mere liye yeh moving averages ka weaving ban jayega, phir downward scenario mein, support area 0.542 par decline ka level expect kiya ja sakta hai. Ya phir impulse candle ke beech mein reversal formation ka formation, tab buying market mein more favorable prices par entry ke decisions liye jayenge.

NZD/CHF

Pichlay haftay ke trading ke dauran NzdChf ki price mein kaafi gehri girawat dekhi gayi, jiski wajah se yeh 100-period ke simple moving average zone ko cross kar gayi. Is haftay ke shuruati trading period mein, market ka situation abhi bhi upward hai, price ek consolidation phase mein hai, aur kal raat ke closing par ek bullish candlestick form hui hai jo ke halki si increase dikhati hai. Aisa lagta hai ke market ko seller se koi zyada resistance nahi mila, is liye price abhi bhi ek uptrend mein chal rahi hai. Weekly timeframe mein dekha jaye to market mein girawat nazar aa rahi hai. Agar pichlay haftay se market ki trading situation ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh dikhai deta hai ke sellers market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko 0.5166 ki position tak gira sakte hain.

Graph se aisa lagta hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein market ne ek bullish correction experience kiya, jis se candlestick mein izafa hua. Agar pichlay haftay ke candlestick ki journey ko monitor kiya jaye, to aisa lagta hai ke trend ko sellers control karne mein kamiyab rahe, aur pichlay haftay tak price girti rahi. Maujooda situation mein lagta hai ke candlestick mein aur girawat ka chance hai, jo ke 100-period ke simple moving average zone ko chhorte hue neeche ja sakti hai. Agar sellers decline ko continue karne mein support karte hain, to yeh situation downtrend journey ko continue karne ke liye ek supporting factor ban sakti hai.

Is maheenay ke shuruati trading se aisa lagta hai ke sellers ne buyers ke price barhane ki koshish ko nakaam banaya, jiski wajah se lower zone ki taraf journey abhi bhi mazboot lag rahi hai. Is haftay lagta hai ke candlestick ka safar dobara neeche jaane wala hai, aur price ke 0.5156 zone ke aas paas jaane ka chance hai. Candlestick 100-period ke simple moving average zone se aur neeche gir chuki hai, meri rai mein yeh indication hai ke market ke bearish side par jaane ka chance zyada hai. Personal tor par, mujhe umeed hai ke market abhi bhi neeche jaa sakti hai aur target area ki taraf barh sakti hai.