Usd/chf

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  • #1 Collapse

    Usd/chf
    Assalam-o-Alaikum, Aaj ka tawajjo sirf USD/CHF ke price par hai. Ek technical nazar se, main sirf is chart ko analyze kar raha hoon. USD/CHF likha ja raha hai 0.9123 par is waqt. Indicator ke signal aur meri tajziya ke mutabiq, price ka trend bullish hai. Is liye, hum keh sakte hain ke buyers apni dabao ko sellers par jari rakhsakte hain. Agar hum is waqt Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators dekhte hain, to dono indicators taqatwar buy signal de rahe hain. Hum dekh sakte hain ke buyers ne bearish scenario ki bajaye ek bullish scenario ko kamyaab banaya hai. Agar hum is waqt MA indicator dekhte hain, to MA indicator bhi taqatwar buy signal de raha hai. Umeed hai ke market aaj bullish track par rahay ga. Agar hum is chart ke mutabiq USD/CHF ko is waqt dekhte hain, to pehla resistance level USD/CHF ke liye 0.9128 hai. Agar 0.9128 ke upar wala resistance tor diya jata hai, to USD/CHF ek aur bullish trend jaari rakh sakta hai aur iske baad, USD/CHF mazeed 0.9157 ke resistance level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar hum is chart ke mutabiq USD/CHF ko is waqt dekhte hain, to pehla support level USD/CHF ke liye 0.9109 hai. Agar 0.9109 ke neeche wala support tor diya jata hai, to USD/CHF ek aur bearish trend jaari rakh sakta hai aur iske baad, USD/CHF mazeed 0.9079 ke support level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Mazeed, economic calendar mein koi mukhtasir khabar shamil nahi hai. Is liye, traders sirf technical analysis ki madad se trade kar sakte hain.Click image for larger version

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  • #2 Collapse

    USD/CHF H1 Time Frame Analysis


    H1 chart ko dekhte hue, USDCHF currency pair ab upward direction mein hai. Kal price badhne ke baad, yeh reasonably strong level ko break kar gaya tha jahan do resistances thi, ek weekly resistance 0.9142 par thi. Is level ko break karke, price ne consolidate kiya aur resistance ko support mein convert kar diya, jisse price surged hui. Last Friday ko, 0.9090 level se rebound karne ke baad, solid upward impulse dekhne ko mili thi. Humne 0.9150 level par rollback dekha jahan daily resistance thi; buyers exhausted the aur level se upar nahi ja sake. Rollback ke dauran, hum pehle se broken level par gaye aur test karne ke baad, level ne upar ki taraf rebound kiya taake trend ke sath growth continue kar sake. Lekin, ek pin level ko pierce kar gaya; yeh sirf un stops ka collection tha jo immediately buy kar rahe the. Stops remove hone ke baad, trend basis par buying dekhne layak ho sakti hai.


    USD/CHF H4 Time Frame Analysis


    USDCHF ka last technical analysis abhi tak same hai; ek ascending medium-term trend channel 4-hour timeframe mein established hai. Bullish candles ne pichle Friday ko close hui thi. Stochastic indicator bullish momentum show kar raha hai. Resultantly, aap long position open kar sakte hain. Pair ne last trading session ke dauran north move karte hue pivot level ke upar gain kiya. Bullish sentiment barh rahi hai aur ab 0.9140 par trade ho rahi hai, almost short-term trend ka pehla target reach karne wali hai. Classic Pivot levels ki resistance intraday growth targets serve kar rahi hai. Agar pair second resistance level 0.9145 ko breach kar le, toh expect kiya ja sakta hai ke yeh north ki taraf move continue karegi aur resistance line 0.9213 ko cross karte hue aur grow karegi. Jab short sellers market mein wapas aayenge, woh 0.9000 ko apna reference point use karenge chart par.
    Summary


    USDCHF ka current trend upward hai dono H1 aur H4 timeframes mein. H1 chart mein 0.9142 resistance break hone ke baad support ban gaya, aur price ne 0.9150 level se rollback karte hue growth continue ki. H4 chart mein medium-term ascending trend channel hai aur bullish momentum dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo further growth ko indicate karti hai towards resistance line 0.9213. Short sellers ke liye 0.9000 reference point hai future moves ke liye.
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    • #3 Collapse

      USD/CHF Analysis


      US dollar (USD) Swiss franc (CHF) ke muqable kamzor hua hai jabke US services sector ka data disappointing raha aur Federal Reserve aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) dono ke taraf se interest rate cuts ki umeed hai. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ne report kiya ke Services Manager Index (PMI) March mein 51.4 par aa gaya, jo ke February ke 52.7 aur expected reading 52.7 se neeche hai. Yeh data is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke US economy slow ho sakti hai, jo Fed ko is saal interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

      US dollar index (DXY), jo ke dollar ki value ko ek basket of six major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ISM data release ke baad 104.40 tak gir gaya. Weak dollar ne Swiss franc ko boost kiya, jo ke economic uncertainty ke dauran ek safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai. Dollar par pressure barhne ke aur bhi wajuhat mein Switzerland mein retail sales data ka unexpected decline shamil hai, jo March mein 0.2% gir gaya jabke expectations 0.4% increase ki thi.

      Yeh data suggest karta hai ke Swiss consumers kam spend kar rahe hain, jo ke SNB ko economy ko stimulate karne ke liye interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. SNB ne recent months mein dovish monetary policy stance rakha hai aur kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke central bank is summer mein rates cut kar sakta hai. US aur Switzerland dono se weak economic data aane ke wajah se dono central banks ke taraf se rate cuts ki umeed barh rahi hai, jo US dollar par downward pressure daal rahi hai.

      Technically, CHF/USD pair is waqt 0.8765 par support test kar raha hai, jo ke December se trendline low hai. Is level ke neeche break hone par CHF aur gain kar sakta hai, jisme potential targets 0.8680 Fibonacci retracement level aur 0.8545 Fibonacci retracement level hain. Yeh levels downtrend ke 38.2% aur 23.6% retracements ko represent karte hain jo October aur December ke darmiyan hua tha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD indicator dono bearish signals de rahe hain, jo suggest karte hain ke CHF/USD pair near term mein upar jaari reh sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi negative territory mein hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai.


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