aud/cad

AUD/CAD TAJZIYA JULY 28, 2024

Maine market mein ik tajziya kia, lagta hai ke AUDCAD jora agle kuch dinon tak chalte rahne ka mauqa hai. Wajah yeh hai ke is hafte ke kamzor qeemat ne 0.9014 zone ko chu liya hai. Agar pichle Jumma ko ik correction ki wajah se qeemat mein izafa tha, lekin aaj subah qeemat bearish hokar bari range ke saath band hui. Isliye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke market ki halaat bearish hain lekin sellers jo apni positions chhod kar qeemat ko correct kar rahe hain, unka profit taking ka momentary upward correction hai.

Mukhtasir taur par market ki halaat pichle haftay jaisi hi hain kyun ke market Down side par chalne ki koshish kar raha hai ya bearish zone mein tak geer sakta hai. Graph se yeh nazar aa raha hai ke sirf hafte ke anth tak bullish hai. Hafte ke shuruaat se lekar Jumma ke raat tak, qeemat ka position market mein bearish chal sakta hai jo opening zone ko chhod kar aur mahine ke shuruaat mein banaye gaye opening area se aur door move karta hai. Agar aap market mein safar ke rang ka pattern monitor karte hain, toh bearish trend ka continuation ka signs hain, yeh buyers ke liye ek reference ho sakta hai ke woh candlestick ko neeche gira kar abhi ke qeemat zone se door move karne ke liye.





Mozu hal yeh lag raha hai ke qeemat ne 0.9055 position par tham gayi hai, isliye yeh halaat agle tarf ka safar ko continue karne ke liye ik supporting factor ho sakta hai.

Jab market aaj subah band hua, toh qeemat ko upar correct hone ka nazar aya, isliye yeh halaat yeh zahir karta hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend se correct kar raha hai. Is haftay ke trading mein, candlestick bearish side ki taraf move kar rahi hai, seller qeemat ko Downtrend side le jane mein havi nazar aa rahe hain. Isliye EurChf market mein bearish mauqa agle haftay mein 0.9002 zone ke aas paas girne ka tajwez hai. Halan ke agle haftay ki shuruaat mein upward correction ka continuation ho sakta hai, lekin meri ray mein bearish trend abhi tak khatam nahi hua, isliye aap Sell position par focus kar sakte hain jiska behtar faida hone ka zyada jazo hai.

Trading Tabsaray:
SELL: 0.9041
Take Profit: 0.9001
StopLoss: 0.9072

AUD/CAD H-4 TRADING CHART.

#AUD/CAD H4 Australian Dollar - Canadian Dollar. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke readings ka mutalia karne ke baad TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ko combine karke muntakhib currency pair/instrument ke liye hum ye nikaal sakte hain ke abhi market qeemat mein kami aur sellers ki taqat mein numaya izafa ko tariq deti hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein mojooda taqat ka balance dikhata hai, chart par shor ko kam karne mein madad karta hai aur is tarah technical analysis ko asan karta hai, aur trading decisions banane ki accuracy ko bhi barhata hai. TMA Channel indicator (red, blue aur yellow lines) do baar smooth kiye gaye moving averages ke bunyad par support aur resistance lines banaata hai aur jis instrument ki movement ke abadi hadood ko dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath istemal hone wala RSI Basement indicator behtareen natayej dikhane wala ek oscillator ke taur par kaam karta hai. Muntakhib jora ka chart dikhata hai ke candlesticks laal ho gaye hain aur is tarah se bears ki ranking ko dikhate hain. Qeemat ne channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur uss maksimum point se phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf mud gaya. RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko poori tarah se tasdeeq karta hai, kyun ke iski curve abhi niche ki taraf muntakhib hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Hum ye nikaal sakte hain ke ek munafa se bharpur short sale transaction ko anjam dene ke liye achi taur par moujooda hai moazzam line (red dotted line) tak pohanche ki qeemat mark 0.91330 par.

CHART H-4

AUD/CAD ROZANA M30 WAQT FARDAYN JADWAL TAARIEKH: 21/8/2023

AUDCAD currency pair ke liye, ab do support levels ahem hain. Pehla order level aur doosra order level 0.8633 aur 0.8589 hain, darusti se. Ye filhal farokht ki manzil hai. Ye instrument filhal kharidariyon ke liye mustahiq nahi hai. Ye 0.8676 ke darjai ko todne se shuroo hoti hain. Ulat todne pehle se farokht hoti hain. Agar ye hua, to kharidari ki aggression shuru hone ka waqt maloom ho jayega. Choti positions filhal zyada faidemand hain kyun ke sellers filhal AUDCAD currency pair par dabao dal rahe hain. Mein umeed karta hoon ke ye farokht ki ratio 0.8589 ke qeemat tak barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab rahunga. Is qeemat ke liye koi fursat nahi.

Currency pair AUDCAD filhal chadhane ki rujhan rakh rahi hai. Instrument ki qeemat filhal 0.8666 hai, jo ke average moving average se zyada hai, jo ke 0.8661 par hai. Is se ye zahir hota hai ke filhal assests ko kharida ja raha hai. Uppershad mark LRMA BB indicator ka istemal karen, jo ke 0.8673 par mojood hai, kharidari ke faide ka nishan bana sakti hai. Lekin yaad rakhna zaruri hai ke kharidari har waqt is qeemat mein mehdood nahi hoti. Future expansion ke mawafiq mumkinat mojood hain (magar barhti hui volatility se rukawat bhi ho sakti hai). Ye bhi zaruri hai ke 0.8673 ke upper limit ke upar moujood tamam alternatives ke liye talash karen, venders ke liye.

Ek shandaar din ki shuruaat AUDCAD currency pair ke M30 waqt mein mukammal jaiza hoti hai. Hum aasan aur mashhoor harkatain mein madad milegi tajzia mein. Aqsaat nau aur baihthatees ke liye main exponentials ka istemal karta hoon. Bhalayi ki biwi sadiyon ki tandarust kartoot hai, trading signs—aasani se samajh aane wala mishraq kausher 0.86779 par hai—is pretty straightforward. Trading volume do positions mein taqseem hota hai. Pehli half current rates se mukhtalif hai. Ek chhoti fringe ke neechay jo hum market bechte hain, dusri half uss ke peeche chalti hai. Mein koshish karta hoon ke deemak ko barqarar rakhun aur deal se deal tak sirf munasib khatra lein. Sonay ki nisbat, jise mein follow karta hoon, 1 hai.





Australian Dollar aur Canadian Dollar ke jora neechay se chal raha hai, H4 chart ke mutabiq. Indicators ya darustar bata rahe hain ke double bull (divergence) tayar ho rahi hai. Isi liye aap lambe positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Is pair ka tarika ye dikhata hai ke cross shuru ho gaya hai. Traditional Pivot levels ke resistance levels, ek din mein slide ke liye asasi hawon ke hone darjay banate hain jab bull oopar 0.87879 ke darja torne mein kamyab hoti hain. Mein kehta hoon ke current levels chadhne ka shuru hota hai. Jab 0.88085 ke resistance level todta hai, pair ka wave north mein jane wala starting ke pass 0.88321 ke nazdeek resistance line ke oopar hoga. Agar market participants negative rawayyat dikhate rahen to, to resistance levels 0.87437 aur 0.87201 ke todne ka present chart ka hissa banenge. Aap ko kehta hoon ke sirf tabhi deals karein jab chart me wazeh trading signs dikhate hon. Khushiyo bhara trading.

Observing karte hue, AUDCAD pair mein nazar ata hai ke yeh ab bhi neeche ki rally jari rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai jab ke pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ko guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum resistance (R1) 0.9110 par tawajjo dete hain to yeh mazboot resistance hai, kyun ke qeemat bar bar isay guzarti hai lekin ek jhooti toot se guzri. Magar agar yeh kamiyabi se guzar jata hai, to qeemat ki harkat ki raftar barhne ki taraf tend hoga. Chal rahe bullish trend ka rukh ab kamzor nazar ata hai kyun ke 50 EMA, jo pehle 200 SMA se door rahta tha, ab qareeb aa rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, 0.9126 se 0.9042 tak buland qeemat se mutasir tanzani ne almost SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke tor par pohanchne ki koshish ki. Bullish trend ke rukh ke rukh barhne ki koshish karte hue qeemat jo hain woh EMA 50 ke ooper nahi hai barabar. Agar qeemat ki harkatein do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan hon to, consolidation hoti hai takay agli harkat ki raftar ka faisla kiya ja sakay. Jab volume price range taqreeban kam hota hai, aur phir EMA 50 aur 200 SMA jo ke aapas mein qareeb ho rahe hain, to qeemat pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ke neeche rehti hai. Is ka matlab hai ke support (S1) 0.9020 ko janchne ki taqat zyada hai ke phir se resistance (R1) 0.9110 ko janchne ki. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke zariye dikhayi jane wali neeche ki raftar jari rehti hai. Halan ke histogram volume green hai aur 0 ke darjay se qareeb hai, lekin yeh abhi tak negative area ke neeche hai.

Neeche ki qeemat ki rally ko Stochastic indicator se bhi madad milti hai. Kyun ke paremeters jo overbought zone mein aakar cross karte hain level 90 - 80 ke liye qeemat jo upar ki taraf ja rahi hai ke liye overbought point ko darustate hain. Misal ke tor par, agar qeemat baad mein neeche ki taraf jaari rally jari rakhti hai tab tak ke woh support (S1) 0.9020 tak pohanch jaye, to woh support (S2) 0.8986 tak jari rakh sakti hai kyun ke fasla zyada nahi hai. Bas yeh jaan lena zaruri hai ke support (S1) 0.9020 mazboot support hai kyun ke pehle qeemat ne bar bar guzarne ki koshish ki lekin ke bajaye upar uth gayi.






Position dakhil karne ka setup:

Shakhsan, mere liye trading options zyada tar SELL ki taraf mael hoti hain kyun ke bullish trend ka rukh kamzor nazar aa raha hai aur jab qeemat ko 0.9044 ke kam darje ko guzarne mein kamiyab hote hain tab structure mein toot hoti hai. Dakhil karne ka position lagane ke baad, yakeen karne ke baad ke EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ke neeche karib qeemat hain. Tasdeeq ke liye yeh bhi zaruri hai ke Stochastic indicator parameter jo overbought zone mein cross kiya gaya hai woh level 80 se neeche ho. AO indicator ki neeche ki raftar ko takmeel dene chahiye, jo ke red histogram volume ko le kar islamic mein phelane mein kamiyab ho rahi hai. Take profit ke liye rakhain support (S1) 0.9020 aur resistance (R1) 0.9110 par stop loss laga kar.

AUD-CAD TAJWEZ

AUDCAD mein dekha gaya hai ke June ke end se ek kaafi mazboot uptrend chal raha hai. Iska ishara yeh hai ke qeemat EMA 50 aur EMA 100 lines ke ooper chalne ka jari rakhti hai. Jab qeemat in dono EMA lines ke ooper hoti hai, yeh dikhata hai ke market ek uptrend mein hai. Ulta, agar qeemat dono EMA lines ke neeche hoti hai, to yeh downtrend ko darust karta hai.

Chart ke daayein taraf, main dekh sakta hoon ke qeemat ne sab se buland darja 0.92515 ke qareeb se durust shuda halat se iss hisaab se 0.91743 ilaqa mein taqrar ki hai, jo pehle wala support area ke milta julata hai aur EMA 50 line ke kareeb bhi hai. Yeh aik ahem ilaqa hai jo dekhne ke liye hota hai kyun ke aksar, qeemat is support level se wapas chali jati hai agar uptrend jari rahe. Hari ilaqa chart mein 0.91743 se le kar 0.92000 tak ka consolidation zone dikhata hai. Yeh zone aik aisa ilaqa hai jahan qeemat apna uptrend jari rakhte hue taqrar karti hai. Agar qeemat is zone aur 50 EMA line ke ooper rehne mein kamyab hoti hai, to yeh ishara ho sakta hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai aur qeemat wapas jaa sakti hai pehle wale buland darja 0.92515 ke qareeb ya mazeed ooper.





Magar agar qeemat is consolidation zone aur 50 EMA line ke neeche toot jati hai, to main kisi mumkin trend change se ehtraam karna chahunga. Is surat mein, agla support level jo dekhna hoga woh 0.91000 ke aas paas hai, jo 100 EMA line ke kareeb hai. Agar qeemat 100 EMA ke neeche bhi toot jati hai, to yeh tasdeeq ho sakta hai ke trend ne neeche ki taraf palat gaya hai.

AUD-CAD PAIR TAJWEZ

Monday ko chalte hue kam karne ka chota sa imkaan un bechnay walon ke liye ek baresh rasta khola hai taake woh mojooda waqt ke market mein qeematon ka rukh sambaal saken. Kharidaroon ki kamzori sath hi overbought market ke conditions ne bechne walon ki taqat ko fir se barha diya hai taake woh is hafte ki haftawarana khilafat ko 0.9238 par khareedna zor se dabane mein kamiyab ho saken jise ke qeemat 0.9238 tak kamzor kar diya gaya hai EMA 200 H1 tak. Is ilaqe mein rukawat thi aur phir qeematain is ke aas paas taqreeban taqat hasil karne tak consolidate hui jab tak market band na ho gaya. Ab trend ab bhi biased hai kyunki prices EMA 200 H1 ke aas paas ooper neeche ho rahi hain. Intehai kamzori ke baad kal ke weaking ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyani taqat chakkar ki shuru'at kar di hai jiske maqam abhi bhi EMA 200 H1 ke ooper hai jis se ke H1 mein correction phase ki tasdeeq ki ishara hai. Prices halaanki aaj ke European session mein consolidate nazr aati hain jo kal ke market behaviour ko jaari rakhti hain. AUD-CAD market ne khud aaj 0.9202 ke qeemat par khulta hai aur yeh ilaqa EMA 200 H1 se guzar raha hai. Ab qeematien apni qareebi rukawat ko 0.9216 par test karte hue dekhi ja rahi hain. Jabke rozana bandish daily open ke pass 0.9186 ke qeemat par hai.





H1 Plan ke liye, maine is jodi par trading plan taiyar kiya hai H1 time frame ke conditions ke mutabiq.
Sell plan tayar kiya gaya hai agar qeema EMA 200 ko kamyaab tor par toor kar neeche chalane mein kamyaab hojata hai, support 0.9187 ke neeche utra hone ki mukammal tasdeeq hojati hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche late huye hain, take profit line 0.9163 par EMA 633 H1 line tak.
Agar qeema phir se taqat hasil kare aur 0.9279 ke ilaqa mein pullback momentum ka intezaar kiya jaye, to sell ko tayyar kiya gaya hai, jise ke kamzori ke imkan ko darust tor par gehrai tak gina gaya hai, real-time EMA 12 aur EMA 36 h1 maqamat ke targets 1 aur 2 ke liye.
Trend ke liye sochty hue ke barhawaati waqt mein trend ab bhi mojood hai, buy is tayyar hai agar qeema abhi tak EMA 200 H1 ke ooper chal rahi hai aur 0.9217 ke resistance par break-out hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ek ooper ka chakkar bana rahe hain, take profit 0.9238 tak.
Agar qeema EMA 200 H1 ke neeche chala jata hai, to buy pullback plan bana liya jata hai, ke qeema ne EMA 633 h1 ke line ke aas paas rad-e-qabool kiya jata hai, is ke take profit ko taqreeban 0.9170 - 0.9184 ke qareeb gina jata hai.
Order ilaqe se 15 pips ki doori par stop-loss laga di jati hai.

USDCAD Tahlil: Technical Indicators Ke Ta'aluq Say Barhawaati Manzar

Forex trading ke duniya mein, USDCAD jodi waqtan-faroshi aur dinan-faroshi bunyadon par barhawaati rukh ke liye taiyar hai. Ye manzar mukhtasir technical indicators se mustaid hai, khaaskar EMA50 (Exponential Moving Average), jo ye signal de raha hai ke agar ahem support se mutalliq qeemat barqarar rahegi toh mazid barhawa aayegi.

Tajzia ke mutabiq, USDCAD ki qeemat ne 1.3690$ ke ahem support level ke ooper bardasht dikhaya hai. Ye level barhawaati manzar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye bunyadi hai. Agar 1.3690$ ke neeche break hota hai to is mosam ke barhawa rukh ko nakaraar kar sakta hai, jise market ke jazbat ka dobara tahrir karna parhega.

Barhawaati Jazbat Ko Support Karne Wale Technical Indicators

Barhawaati tajwez ke maroof amar wahe tamam technical elements ke zariye saboot mil raha hai. Sab se pehle, stochastic indicator ne oversold shirayat ko zahiri tor par darust kaha hai, jo aam tor par qeemat mein barhne ki potenti mumkinat ka pehlu darust karta hai. Dusra, EMA50, jo ek zore tor par peecha kiya jane wala technical aala hai, barhne wale rukh ko mazeed mustaid hai, jise inayati kharidari ke barqarar rakhne ki nishani samjha jata hai.

Mutarify Range Of Trading Aur Ahem Level

Agar agay ki taraf dekha jaye toh tajziya nigaron ke mutabiq, USDCAD jodi ek maein range ke andar trad karne ko andesh hai. Support level 1.3710$ par pehchana gaya hai, jahan se kharidari ke interest ka umeedwar hai, jise ehm nuksan se bachane ke liye saamne aana chahiye. Parellel, resistance level 1.3850$ par mojood hai, jahan se bechnay wale dabao shadeed ho sakta hai, jise besudi fayda hasil kar sakti hai.

Mozooda mustawazan 1.3770$ ke aas paas ek consolidati phase ko darust karta hai, jo aksar ek breakout ki aaghaz ke tor par dekha jata hai agar barhne wale rukh ka asal waqt barqarar rahe. Barhne wale harkaat ka shurosht karne ke liye ibtedai target 1.3845$ par set hai, jise ek barqarari had darust hai, agar ye guzri toh mazeed faida hone ka rasta saaf mil sakta hai.





Chart Ki Tafsiliya aur Tasveeri Dikhaajat

Ye tajziya ke sath aik shakal shumara ki gayi hai, jo bayan karti hai:
- 1.3710$ Par Support Level: Ye neeche ki hadarad hai jahan qeemat ko ehm qaid milne ka intezar hai.
- 1.3770$ Par Mozooda Level: Mozoodgi zone ko darust karta hai, jo amwaat se pehle ishaaron mein imtiaz ke pehle.
- 1.3845$ Par Ibtedai Target: Pehla bara resistance level jo barhne wale rukh ke aghaz ko darust karta hai.
- 1.3850$ Par Resistance Level: Uper ki hadarad jahan ziada bechnay walay dabaav barh sakte hain, jo mazeed barne ko rok sakte hain.
- 1.3690$ Par Ahem Level: Aik ehm support had, agar is had ko toorna jaye toh ye shayad ek barhawaati rukh se bearish rukh ki taraf ki alamat hai.

Nateeja

Mukhtasir mein, USDCAD market ek umeedwar barhawi manzar pesh karti hai, jo mazboot technical indicators par mabni hai aur ahem support levels ke saath support hai. Tijarat karne walon ko darkhwast di jati hai ke diye gaye ahem levels par khaas taur par 1.3690$ ke markaz par tawaju di jaye, taake agle sessions mein tijarat ke mawaslat mein kisi bhi rukh ki sambhawanao mein kisi bhi tawaju se ishaaron ko barqarar rakh saken. Jab ke market barhti jaye, in technical ishaaron ka barqarari faida uthane mein bahut ahem hoga.

In indicators aur levels par nazar rakh kar, tajratkar barhawaati rukh ko barqarar rakhne ke liye USDCAD jodi mein muntakhib kar sakte hain.

AUD/CAD H-4 Time Frame Chart

AUD/CAD currency pair Heikin Ashi candlestick chart par bearish signal nazar aa raha hai, jo darust hai ke sirf farokht ke positions ko abhi shamil kiya jaye. Heikin Ashi candlestick indicator, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ke combination ka ishara hai ke price ke neeche jaane aur shayad aik ahem kami ka samna karne ka zyada gunegar hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo qadeem Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein qeemat ko naram aur average karte hain, tajir ko uksane ke asare, tehqiqi pullbacks, aur asar karne wale price movements ko zyada foran tareeqe se pehchanna asan karte hain, jise analasis process ko behtar banate hain. TMA indicator, jo Moving Average (Mashkas) par mojood support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai, trading mein ek ahem aala hai, jo assest ke movement ke hudood ko waziha karta hai. RSI oscillator trading ke faislon pe ghor karne ke liye istemal hota hai, jo currency pair ke overbought aur oversold areas ko nazar andaz karta hai. Ye mukammal set of trading tools trading process ko intehai asan banate hain aur jhooti signals par market mein dakhil hone ke khatre ko kam karte hain. Di gayi chart wazeh taur par ek bearish market ko dikhata hai, jahan candlesticks laal hain, jo darust hai ke bears ne ahem taqat haasil ki hai aur active tor par price ko neeche le rahe hain. Is bearish sentiment ke mutabiq, aik mozu hai samne aya hai ke behtareen qeemat quotes pe short positions khuli ja sakti hain. Price ne linear channel ke neeche hadood ko toor diya hai (jo laal dots se darust hai), lekin aakhri hadd tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh wapas chhala gaya hai, channel ke darmiyan ki lakeer ki taraf mod chuka hai (jo zard dots se darust hai). Khas tor pe, RSI (14) indicator farokht ka ishara mukammal tor pe tasdeeq karta hai, kyunkay iska curve abhi naeche ki taraf hota hai aur oversold level se dur hai. Ye sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue ye kaha ja sakta hai ke maamooli tor pe asbaq mein kami hone ke bawajood, is doraan me aik short position mein dakhil ho jana acha hai. Price filhal 0.91417 hai. Hamesha zaroori hai ke stop orders hamesha maujud ho, kyunki market ghaib-tarikaak taraf barh sakta hai. Jab position munfayi dene lag jaye, toh ghoonti stop order istemal karna ghalib tareeqa hai taa ke faidah qaim ho sake aur kamyabiyaan zyada se zyada hasil ki ja sakti hain.

AUDCAD TANAAZUR

Subah bakhair, is haftay ke trade ke liye kam az kam yeh nazar araha hai ke AudCad market asal mein neeche ki correction pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton mein, buyers ne candlestick ko buland karne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai taake wo bullish side ki taraf safar kar sake, lekin agar aap dekhen ke ab kya ho raha hai, to kam az kam yeh wazeh hai ke candlestick ab bhi buland karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai, price ne neeche ki correction ki taraf safar karne shuru kar diya hai. Meri raye mein, price shayad apna Uptrend safar jari rakhna chahega kyun ke abhi tak doosre buyers se kafi support ka intezar hai. Pichle mahine ke trade ke doran, candlestick ka position ab tak Simple Moving Average 100 indicator zone ke upar chal raha tha jab tak price ab bhi mustahkam hai. AudCad market ke potential ke hawale se, agar main dekhoon to shayad yeh ab bhi Uptrend chala sakti hai jaise pichle haftay hua tha, yeh buyers ke control mein nazar aata hai taake price buland ja sake. Mumkin hai ke aaj price mazeed bulandah ho jaye aur hum kuch zones ka intezam kar sakte hain takay unhe Buy positions kholne ke liye areas ban sake jo trend movement pattern ke hisab se controlled hai buyers ke zyada tor par setting a target ke barh jana jo 0.9276 ke price zone tak pohunchne ki taraf udna chahta hai. Isi tarah ab tak ke market conditions ke mutabiq, main yeh predict karta hoon ke is haftay tak agle trade period tak ab tak ek mauqa hai Uptrend ki taraf safar karne ka agar buyers price journey ko Simple Moving Average zone of period 100 ke upar maintain kar saken. Agli Buy position ke liye, wo li ja sakti hai agar price phir se buland ho sake taake bullish opportunity wazeh ho. Magar phir bhi, barish safar ka jari rehne ka khatra hai is liye trend ka palatne ka mauqa ho sakta hai bearish side ki taraf kyunki ab tak price neeche ja raha hai.

AUD/USD currency pair abhi 0.6676 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, iska matlab hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai. Mandi numayan hai jahan Australian dollar ko US dollar ke khilaf kamzor hota ja raha hai. Bazaar mein dheel movement hone ke bawajood mukhtalif factors upcoming volatility ka ishara dete hain.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators halaat ki mojooda trends aur potential future movements ke baray mein wazehati insights dete hain:

1. Moving Averages: 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum signal karta hai. Ye "death cross" mazeed downside ki sambhavna darshata hai.

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): 50 ke neeche, RSI bearish territory ko darshata hai jahan mazeed giravat se pehle oversold conditions aur ek muktalif u-turn ho sakta hai.

3. Support aur Resistance: Halki support levels ke neeche rakam tor par bearish sentiment ko darshata hai, 0.6600 agla support aur 0.6750 resistance ke tor par nazr aata hai.

Fundamental Analysis

AUD/USD pair par asar daalne wale mooli factors:

1. Economic Data: Australia mein tezi se kamzor growth aur zyada inflation, AUD ko kamzor kar raha hai. Ulta, US ki mazboot maeeshat USD ko taqwiyat deti hai.

2. Central Bank Policies RBA mein cautious policies, jab ke Fed aggressive stance apnati hai, jo USD ko barhta hai.

3. Commodity Prices: Keemat mein tabdeeliyan, khaaskar loha aur coal, Australian maeeshat ko asar daalti hain aur phir AUD ko farhamati hain.

Potential Catalysts

Events jo AUD/USD movement ko mutasir kar sakti hain shamil hain:





1. Central Bank Meetings: RBA aur Fed ke policy changes ya statements market volatility ko trigger kar sakti hain.

2. Economic Reports Roze marra ki roznamchaaron par data releases roshan hai.

3. Geopolitical Developments: Trade policy shifts ya economic sanctions market sentiment per asar daal sakti hain.

Market Sentiment

Mojooda sentiment bearish hai lekin naye maloomat ya umeedon mein tabdeeli se badal sakti hai, jaise ke behtar Australian data ya ek dovish Fed.

Conclusion

AUD/USD 0.6676 mein bearish trend mein hai, traders ko economic reports, central bank decisions aur geopolitical developments ka nigaar rakhna chahiye. Ye factors samajhne mein madad dete hain ke bazaar ke movements ka intezar kaise kiya jaye aur kaise jawaab diya jaye, jisse ke behtar natayej hasal ki ja sakti hain. Maloomat aur adaptable rehne se traders ko AUD/USD market par asani se navigtate karne mein madad milti hai, chahe wo bearish trends se faida utha rahe hon ya u-turns ke liye tayari kar rahe hon.

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Mozu'at ki tafseeli tajziyah par ab mukhya resistance level (R1) par markaz kia gaya hai jo 0.9110 hai, jo majbooti ka paegham deta hai jaise ke baar baar koshishein nakam rahi hain isay mazbooti se dayare se guzarne ki. Agar is level ke oopar ek aghaaz hota hai to yeh zahiran upar ki qeemat ke trend ka jari rakhna signal karega. Magar ashnaon ke mutabiq bullish momentum kamzor hota jata hai: khas tor par 50 muddat Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200 muddat Simple Moving Average (SMA) ki taraf milti ja rahi hai, ek potential shift ki isharaat de rahi hai.
Hilhal ek tezee se neeche ki taraf kun jhatak 0.9126 se 0.9042 tak aya aur takreeban 200 SMA ko dynamic tor se support ke tor par test kar liya, jo market ka corret karne ki koshish ko zahir karta hai baazad levelon se. Bulish trend ke mutabiq phir se barhav mein anay ki koshishon ke bawajood asal ki levelon ko maintain karne mein mushkilat ka samna karte hain.

Jab qeemat ke movements dono moving averages ke darmiyan tauz karti hain, to aam tor per consolidation ek darust trend ka tay hai se pehle ata hai. 50 EMA aur 200 SMA dono convergence karte hue aur qeemat pivot point (PP) ke neeche (0.9076) honay ke bawajood, support test karne ki sanad (S1) 0.9020 par sab se zyada mazboot nazar aati hai. Ye jazbaat bearish momentum se milti hai jise Awesome Oscillator (AO) ki taraf se darust kiya gaya hai, mazeed malomat ke liye aap histogram volume ke zero ke nazdik hain, woh ab tak negative zone mein hain.





Neche ke trend ki aur tasdiq ke tor pe Stochastic indicator se bhi faraham hoti hai, jo overbought zone (80 ke oopar) se neeche guzra hai, potential price corrections ki ishara karte hain. Agar qeemat apni kami ko extend karti hai S1 (0.9020) ki taraf, to S2 (0.8986) agla munsifo support level ban jata hai, khas tor par iske qareeb hone ki wajah se.

Trade karne ka Tareeqa:

Dekiye hui bullish stance ki kamzori ke aur 0.9044 se neeche tareeqay ki tor pe, bechnay ki taraf tarjeeh pai jani chahiye. Daakhilay ka tajwez tab samajhna chahiye jab qeemat 50 EMA aur 0.9076 ke pivot point dono ke neeche rehta hai. Iske ilawa, 80 ke neeche Stochastic indicator ki tasdiq aur AO pe bearish momentum ke dobara hone ki surat mein (jo ke negative zone mein wide red histograms ke zariye darust kiya gaya hai) masaalha hai.

Munasib nafa wasool ke liye, S1 (0.9020) jese support levels ko nishana banana, phir S2 (0.8986) ye logicale exit points faraham karte hain kyun ke ye aik qabil tawaja minimumat the hain jo neeche ke movements ko roknay mein qaabil sabat hui.

Ikhtitam mein, takneeki taqat ki tajziya ahtiyaati tareeqay ko farogh denay ka saath deti hai, jo ke neeche ka jari rehnay ki isharat karte hain. Upar diye gaye levels aur indicators ka intezar aur nazar rakna moahed nsa ham action ke faasle ko behtar tareeqay se safar karna hoga.

AUD/CAD (Australian Dollars To Canadian)

AUDCAD jori ko dekhtay hue, lagta hai ke ab bhi neeche ka rasta jari rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai jis ko pivot point (PP) 0.9076 guzarna chahye. Agar hum resistance (R1) 0.9110 par dhiyan dein to yeh ek taqatwar resistance hai, kyunke qeemat ne bar bar isay guzara hai magar mil baad nikla. Magar, agar yeh kamiyab tor par guzar jaye to qeemat ke rukh mein izafa hota nazar aayega. Ab chal rahi bullish trend ki rukh mein kamzori nazar ati hai kyunke pehle 50 EMA ne 200 SMA se apni doori banaye rakhi thi, magar ab nazdeek aaraha hai. Is ke alawa, buland qeemat se neechay rukh karne wali tezi se qeemat girnevli 0.9126 se 0.9042 tak lagbagh SMA 200 tak phunch sakti thi jaise dynamic support. Qeemat jo bullish trend ke rukh mein barhne ki koshish kar rahi hain wo aik consistent tor par EMA 50 ke oopar nahi reh rahi.

Agar qeemat ke movements do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan rehti hain, to consolidation hoti hai agle harkat ke rukh ko tay karne ke liye. Jab price range ki volume ghate, 50 EMA aur 200 SMA jo aapas mein nazdeek hoti jaati hain phir price pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ke neeche rehti hai. Iska matlab hai ke support test karne ki mumkinat (S1) 0.9020 ko bardasht karne ki bari hai R1 (0.9110) ko dobara test karne ki nisbat. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai ke abhi bhi current price ke neeche girne ke rally ko support dete hain. Hala ke histogram volume green hai aur level 0 ke qareeb ah gaya hai, magar woh ab tak negative area ke neeche hai.





Stochastic indicator ne bhi neeche ki taraf girne wale price ko support diya. Kiyunke parameters jab overbought zone mein 90-80 level par guzar kar cross karte hain to yeh dikhata hai ke prices jo upar ja rahi hain woh ek overbought point par hain. For example, agar price baad mein support (S1) 0.9020 tak neeche ki taraf invoke kar sakta hai, to yeh support (S2) 0.8986 tak bhi badh sakti hai kyunke faasla zyada nahi hai. Sirf itna janna hai ke support (S1) 0.9020 taqatwar support hai kyunke pehle preshaan price is se guzarne ki koshish zaroor karte rahi magar upar ki taraf uchhal gayi.

Position dakhilay ki tayyari:

Zati tor pe, meri liye trading options bechnay ki taraf ziada mael hain kyunke bullish trend ka rukh kamzor nazar aa raha hai aur jab price 0.9044 ke neeche ke kam az kam tor ko guzar jata hai. Dakhilay ki position ko rakhna zaroori hai jab close prices EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ke neeche rehte hain. Tasdiq ke liye yeh bhi zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone se guzar kar neeche 80 level se niche hain. AO indicator ke downtrend momentum ko phir se red histogram volume dikhane ke liye bhi dosti ki zaroorat hoti hai jo ke negative area mein barh raha hota hai. Nafa hasool ke liye support (S1) 0.9020 aur resistance (R1) 0.9110 ke liye stop loss rakhna sahi hai.

Tasweer ek technical analysis chart hai jis mein AUD/CAD ka 4 ghanton ka waqt frame shamil hai. Yahan tafseeli tor par chund ahem pehlu aur mumkin asarat ka tajziya hai:

Ahem Usool:
1. Support aur Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels:
- 0.93597
- 0.92418
- 0.91275
- 0.90530
- Support Levels:
- 0.89972
- 0.89270
- 0.88494
- Ye levels woh shanakht karne ke liye ahem hain jahan qeemat ne pehle se hi support paya hai ya rukao ka samna kia hai.

2. Ahem Waqe:
- Entry Candle: Marked kiya gaya hai jahan ek bullish reversal ko darust kia gaya tha ek downtrend ke baad.
- Safe Stop Loss:Risk ko manage karne ke liye haal he mein hoay nuksan ke neeche rakha gaya tha.
- Profit Target: Qeemat nishana wale elaqe tak pohanchi jo ke sabit karti hai ke aik kamiyab long trade hui.
- Fake Breakout:Yahan dikhaya gaya hai resistance level ke aas paas 0.92418 jahan qeemat pehle se upar chali jati hai magar tezi ko barqarar nahi rakh sakti.

3. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index):Chart ke neeche mojood hai, jo momentum ko dikhata hai. RSI ke value 70 se oopar ka ho to yeh overbought conditions ko dikhata hai jabke 30 se neeche ka ho to oversold conditions ko.

Asar:
- Bullish Scenario: Kamiyab dakhilay aur qeemat nishana wale ilaqe tak pohanch jani ka matlab hai ke bullish move mein kharidne ke mouko ka faida uthaya gaya. Agar qeemat resistance level 0.92418 ke upar aage badhe aur wahin tikay to mazeed tezi ka imkan ho sakta hai.
- Bearish Scenario:Fake breakout aur mojooda waslair resistance level ke neeche consolidation aik munsif ko ya tez tezi ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai. Agar qeemat sab se qareeb support level (0.90530) ke neeche chali jaye, to agle support levels (0.89972, 0.89270) ki taraf ja sakti hai.





Trading Strategy:
- Lambi Position Ke Liye Zaroorat:
- 0.92418 ke resistance level ke upar se aane ki daleel ki talash mein rahein aik potential bullish trend ka jari rakhne ke liye.
- Risk ko manage karne ke liye haal he ke swing low ke neeche stop losses rakhein.
- Aglay resistance levels ko nishana banaye 0.93597 aur us ke aage.

- Choti Position Ke Liye Zaroorat:
- Resistance level (0.92418) par inkar aur bearish u-turn ke nishan dekhne.
- Risk ko manage karne ke liye resistance level ke upar stop losses rakhein.
- Support levels (0.90530, 0.89972, aur neeche) ko nishana banaye.

Tasweer ke zariye dikhai gaye bullish move ne ek kamiyab long trade setup ko darust kiya. Magar, qeemat ab aik ahem resistance level ke neeche consolidation kar rahi hai. Traders ko is level par breakout ya inkaar dekhne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye taake agle kadam ka faisla kiya ja sake. Mumkin reversals ya breakouts se guzarne ke liye sahi risk management zaroori hai. Hamesha dusri market factors aur news events ka bhi ghor karein jo qeemat ki harkat par asar dal sakte hain.

DARPAISA JORA AUD-CAD

Qadam ba qadam, asaas dhire dhire oopar ki taraf ja raha hai. Kam az kam yeh ek oonchi uthati hui trend mein ho raha hai, jo taizion ke harkat se nazar aata hai, jo niche se oopar ki taraf mutawajjah hain. Aur mukhtasir tor par, qeemat ahista ahista horizontal harkat se bahar aati hai jo utarte hue channel ke saath shaumil hogi. Iss waqt, qeemat channel ke nichle border tak pohanch chuki hai aur darmiyan line ke saath kafi mazboot dabao ke saath ooper ki taraf muqarrar tarz se jaari rahegi. Yeh oscillators ke shakal se sambhav hai jo ke mazeed window mein hain.
Bade linear CCI phir se oopar mudi hui hai. Oscillator histogram be-picheeda zone ki taraf bharpoor raftar se barh rahi hai, aur chote linear CCI bhi ek hi rukh mein hai. Isliye lagta hai ke qeemat dynamic support lines ke ooper jaari rahegi aur 0.92197 ke level ki taraf badhegi.
Halankay agar qeemat sab se qareebi mukhtasir nukte 0.91746 se neeche ki taraf laut jaye to yeh hairat angaiz nahi hoga, Agar harkat zyada ham ahang nazar aaegi, Kisi tarah se, meri raay mein, Australian-Canadian jora bohot tight taur par shumali ki taraf jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh acha hai ke maine yaha deal kholi hai sath hi kharidne aur bechne ke liye. Khush nasibi se munafa taaleef mujhe yaha is daleel banata hai ke main aisay dakhilay kar sakta hoon trading mein, kyun ke meri kharidne wali deal ne 5 se 1 ratio ke sath sabit hui, aur bechne ke liye, itna 6 se 1 ratio hua. Yaani, agar koi asraar nahi hota to ek case mein kuch nuksan hoga, aur doosre mein, aam munafa hoga.

USDCAD Keemat Ka Tahlao

Muntazima Manzar

USDCAD keemat ab 1.3770$ ke level par mustahkam hai. Stochastic indicator jo pehle se manfi signals show kar raha tha, ab oversold areas tak pohanch chuka hai. Ye tabdeeli ishara deti hai ke keemat muntazim hoti ja sakti hai aur intezar mein tha ke bullish trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai ek din ke andar, agli manzil 1.3845$ par set hai.

Is surat mein, hum chhote muddat aur din bhar ke liye bull trend ki salahiyat ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat rakh rahe hain. Ye tajwez mazeed EMA50 (Exponential Moving Average) ke zariye bhi supported hai jo uthalne mein ehd e wafa hoti hai. Magar keemat ke liye 1.3690$ level ke oopar rehna zaroori hai taake muntazim manazil tak pohanch saken. Is level ke neeche gir jana bull scenario ko nuksan pohchane ka imkan ban sakta hai.
Muntazima Trading Range

Anay wali sessions ke liye, hum umeed karte hain ke USDCAD keemat ek support level 1.3710$ aur resistance level 1.3850$ ke darmiyan trade karegi.
Trend Ke Tashkeel: Bullish

Sar ka jumla, USDCAD market ko bull trend ki alamat nazar aati hain, jo ke both stochastic indicator oversold areas tak pohanchna aur EMA50 ke zariye supported hai. Keemat qareebi muddat mein 1.3845$ ka nishana ban rahi hai, lekin zaroori hai ke wo 1.3690$ ke oopar rahain is uthalne mein. 1.3690$ level ka paar kar jana aik bull outlook ki dobara tashkeel ka bais ban sakta hai.






Nichay di gayi tasveer mei ek chart hai jo muntazim trading range aur dekhnay wale ahem levels ko darust karne ke liye hai:

Chart Tafseel
1.3710$ par Support Level: Neeche ka hadaf jahan keemat ko samarthan milne ki tawaqo ki jati hai.
1.3770$ par Maujooda Level: Wo level jahan par keemat mustahkam hai.
1.3845$ par Shuru ki Target: Sab se pehla ahem level jo umeed kiye jane wale uthalne ko dikhata hai.
1.3850$ par Resistance Level: Upar ka hadaf jahan par keemat rukawat ka samna kar sakti hai.
1.3690$ par Key Level: Yeh aham level hai jo agar paar ho jaye, tu umeed ki ja rahi uthalne ko rok sakti hai aur moghalat ka ishara de sakti hai.

Yeh chart anay wali sessions mein dekhne wale traders ke liye muntazim bullish trend aur ahem levels ko monitor karne ke liye hai.