Usd/jpy

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka tajzia kar rahe hain, aur mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY mazeed upar jaayega, kyun ke yeh 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh baat wazeh hai ke pair kaafi waqt se upar ki taraf chal raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek ahem resistance bana hua hai, jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum USD/JPY ko 148.72 ki taraf barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jahan stop-loss level 147.40 rakha ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, 149.33 ka target munasib lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction long positions enter karne ka moka de sakti hai, aur technical indicators bhi is move ko support kar rahe hain.

Aane wale Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ek critical challenge ka samna karegi, jab yeh 148.00-149.29 range ke upar apni position banaye rakhne ki koshish karegi. Yeh zone ahem hai jo ke agle price movement ka direction tay karega, khaaskar bulls ke liye. Agar price is range ke upar rehta hai, to bulls ko momentum mil sakta hai taake wo price ko aur upar push kar sakein. Ek ahem level jo dekhna hoga wo 147.90 ka support hai. Agar price is support ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bulls ko mazeed strength aur confidence de sakta hai taake wo psychological round mark 148.00 ko target kar sakein.

148.00 ka level intehai ahem hai, aur agar yeh cross ho jata hai, to yeh mazeed upar ke levels ka rasta khol sakta hai, khaaskar 148.70 aur 149.63. Yeh levels historically important resistance zones hain, aur agar price in par upar chali jati hai, to yeh market mein mazeed bullish momentum ka ishara ho ga. Long positions ke liye traders ke liye yeh levels critical milestones ka kaam karenge. Agar yeh resistance points successfully break aur close ho jate hain, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi hogi ke market continued upward trend ke liye tayar hai.

Magar market ki movement is baat par bhi munhasir hogi ke bulls key support levels par apna control bana kar rakh sakte hain ya nahi. Agar price 149.00 mark se neeche girti hai, to yeh ek reversal ya kam az kam short-term retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur bears ko market mein wapas la sakta hai, jo ke price ko neeche ki taraf drive kar sakte hain. Aisi surat mein, traders ko 147.90 ke support level ko dekhna hoga. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, to yeh market mein ek deeper correction ka signal de sakta hai, jahan neeche ke levels ko test karne ka imkaan ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka technical analysis karte waqt, price action, support aur resistance levels, aur moving averages ka use hota hai. Commonly, 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko trend direction ko samajhne ke liye use kiya jata hai. Agar USD/JPY ki price in averages ke upar chal rahi hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Agar price moving averages ke neeche ho, to yeh bearish trend ka signal hota hai.
Agar hum current scenario dekhein, to agar price 148.00 ke support level par hai, to is level ka hold karna important hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to price 146.00 tak neeche ja sakti hai. Wahi agar price is support level par hold karti hai, to USD/JPY phir se 150.00 ke resistance zone ko test kar sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels aur candlestick patterns ka analysis bhi trend ke reversal points ko dekhne ke liye helpful hota hai.


Fundamental factors USD/JPY ki direction ko bohot zyada influence karte hain. US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies aur interest rate decisions is pair ke trend ko direct karte hain. Agar Fed interest rates ko barhata hai, to US Dollar ki demand barh jati hai, jo USD/JPY ko upar push karta hai. Wahi agar BoJ apni monetary policy relaxed rakhta hai, to Japanese Yen weak hota hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye bullish signal hota hai.

Japan ek export-driven economy hai, is liye global trade conditions aur demand ka Japanese Yen ki strength par asar hota hai. Agar Japan ka economic data jaise GDP, inflation, ya employment data strong hota hai, to BoJ ki policies ko tighten kar sakta hai, jo Yen ko mazboot bana sakta hai. Wahi agar US economic data strong hota hai, jaise Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ya CPI, to Dollar ko support milta hai

USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements aur iske analysis ka humari guftagu ka markaz rahega. Ab hum August ke highs tak pohanch gaye hain. Kam az kam ek ya do pips ka correction reasonable lagta hai, in do developments ke madde nazar. Resistance ka chance 145.01 ke qareeb hai, aur yeh ek behtareen point ho sakta hai selling se profits secure karne ka. Kya price mazeed giregi, yeh abhi tak uncertain hai, magar is target ko hit karna justifiable lagta hai. Guzishta hafta, USD/JPY pair ne weekly chart par upward movement dikhayi. Meri pehli forecast mein expect kiya tha ke price support level 136.686 tak giregi, magar yeh nahi hua. Iske bajaye, price pehle resistance 146.333 tak gayi, phir support 143.341 ko break kiya aur in levels ke neeche close ki. Price hafta bhar barhti rahi, aur resistance 143.341 ko cross karke 149.143 ke qareeb close hui. Nateeja yeh hai ke ab current week ke liye mera focus potential growth par hai, aur target level 151.590 hai.



Haal ke chand ghanton mein, yeh pair consistent upward traction gain kar raha hai pichlay do din se, jo ke kuch aham fundamental catalysts ki wajah se hai. Ek bara factor jo kaam kar raha hai, woh hai Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy ke hawalay se uncertainty. BoJ ka yeh reluctance ke woh rate hikes ke liye koi clear signal nahi de rahe, yen (JPY) ko pressure mein rakh raha hai, jo USD/JPY ke rise ko support de raha hai. Iske muqable mein, U.S. dollar (USD) ko strength mili hai kyun ke November mein Federal Reserve ke drastic rate cut ke hawalay se expectations kam ho gayi hain. Pehle markets ne Fed se zyada aggressive stance expect kiya tha, magar stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data ki wajah se yeh expectations thandi par gayi hain. Nateeja yeh hai ke USD apni mazbooti barqarar rakha hua hai, jabke yen ki softness bullish sentiment ko mazeed barha rahi hai. BoJ ki uncertainty aur USD ki mazboot fundamentals ka mix yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye qareebi future mein aur upside potential hai. Apne purchases ko unforeseen halaat aur losses se bachane ke liye, main stop loss ke rules par amal karta hoon. Stop level price 143.556 par located hai. Yeh sab kuch USD/JPY currency pair par hai. Aur filhaal purchases meri priority hain kyun ke asset price 144.802 upar chali gayi hai aur first-order level 144.274 ke ooper move kar rahi hai. Main yeh bhi exclude nahi karta ke correctional downward movement ho. Aur yeh zaroori hoga liquidity ki mazeed accumulation ke liye taake growth ko barqarar rakhte hue second-order level 144.992 tak pohcha ja sake. Yeh mere aaj ke USD/JPY currency pair ke liye plan ka khulasa hai.

**Fundamental Analysis**

Jumeraat ki Asian session ke doran, Japanese yen (JPY) koi khaas buyers ko attract karne mein nakam raha, aur USD/JPY pair din ke aakhri mein August ke shuruat se thoda neeche band hua. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se interest rates barhane ki niyat par sawal uth gaye, jab Japan mein asal wages teen mahine mein pehli dafa ghat gaye, consumer expenditure kam hua, aur raw material prices se pressure kam hone ki nishaniyan mil rahi hain. Is se JPY ko nuqsan pahuncha aur yeh currency pair ko support dene wala ek aham factor ban gaya.

Kamzor labor market ke nishanon ke beech, pehli market response jo Thursday ko garm US consumer inflation data par aaya, wo zyada der tak nahi tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) apne nayi emphasis ke mad e nazar, jo maximum sustainable employment hasil karne par hai, interest rates ko ghatana jaari rakh sakta hai, jo US unemployment claims mein spike se zahir hota hai. Yeh development USD/JPY pair ko limit karti hai, jab traders US Producer Price Index (PPI) ki announcement ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur yeh US dollar (USD) ke proponents ko defensive position mein daal deta hai, jo pichle din bana nearly do mahine ka high ke neeche hai.

**Technical Outlook**

Technically, bulls ko pichle hafte ke 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar advance karne ka faida mila hai, jo mid-July ke baad pehli dafa hua hai, aur July–September ke girawat ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar band hone ka bhi. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par oscillators upar ki taraf chal rahe hain. Yeh overbought levels ke kareeb nahi hain, jo yeh darust karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ko upar ki taraf kam opposition ka samna karna padega. Is liye, aane wale kisi bhi girawat ka 148.00 ke aas-paas contain hone ka imkaan hai, kyunki yeh naye buyers ko attract karne ki zyada sambhavna rakhta hai.

Yeh level ek aham turning point ban sakta hai, agar yeh breach hota hai, toh kuch technical selling ka sabab ban sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko 147.35 ke intermediate support level tak le ja sakta hai, jo isay 147.00 aur 146.50 ke regions tak le ja sakta hai. Is ke muqablay mein, 149.00 ka round number ek barrier hai jise bulls ko 150.00 ke psychological level ko wapas hasil karne ke liye paar karna hoga, jo overnight swing high yaani 149.55–149.60 ke aas-paas hai. Momentum shayad 50% Fibo level ki taraf barhta rahe, jo 150.75–150.80 ke range mein hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ke amal par tawajjo deta hai. Main Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karta hoon taake moving average ke darjay ke mutabiq keemat ka rawayya jaan sakoon aur mazeed maahir ki taraf se oopar jaane wale tick volumes ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon. Haal mein, yeh pair 156.72 par trading kar raha hai, bus aam Bollinger value 156.76 ke nichay hai, jo ke aik mumkin upward price continuation ki nishani hai. Ahem Bollinger ke daraje hain 156.853 par upper aur 156.65 par lower. Bulls is market mein apni taqat kho rahay hain. Aik saaf take-profit point 156.85 par pehchana gaya hai, jabke 156.68 farokht ke liye mumkin hai. Farokht ki shuruaat ka abhi tawazo dena zyada behtar nahi hai, kyunke chhoti position ke liye sirf tab sharyat mojood hongi agar keemat 156.73 ke neeche mazbooti se milti hai. Lambi arzi positions mojooda keemat ke taqseem ke lehaaz se nuksan utha sakti hain. Isliye, meri strategy urooj ke trend par bane hue hain jabke market ke tabdeel hone par bhi adaptable rahegi.
Hum bullish tor par maqbooli se agay barh rahe hain, 157 ke darjay aur is ke ilawa mazeed izafa ki umeed hai, jis se 160 ke darjay tak pohanch sakte hain. Pair ki harkat ko tajziya kiya ja raha hai, jahan 158.17 jald se jald pohanchne ki sambhavna hai, pehli manzil ke tor par. Kharidne walay pur etmaad hain, jo izafa ki sambhavna ki isharaat dete hain. Isliye, hum is momentum ka faida uthana chahte hain aur maqsood ke darjay tak assests ko kharidna chahte hain. Magar agar bullish trend kamzor hota hai, to keemat ka 157.15 ke darjay tak girne ka imkan hai, phir mukhtalif daamo par izafa ke saath dobara barhne ki sambhavna hai, jahan keemat ka tanaza barqarar rakhne ka ahem hai. Pehchane jaane wale market ke daraje sambhavnaat ko dikhate hain ke bullish aur bearish price movements ho sakti hain, lekin USD/JPY ka rukh sahih tor par pehchanna abhi bhi ek paicheedah challange hai. Mushkil ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke imkaanat ke izafa ka intezar hai. Izafa ki sambhavna hai jab keemat 157.07 ke darjay par rukavat ko tor kar aur is ke upar aik ghante ke liye trade ho. Maasharti tor par, morgij ka asool dar, credit card aur doosre adaayegiyo par ziada mahangi ho gayi hai kyunki US Federal Reserve ne apni ahem dar ko do dedh saal se ziada ke liye buland rakha hai. Federal Reserve mehngai ko khatam karne ke liye daramad ko kaafi daboch raha hai magar ek takleefna recessions ko anjaam tak pahunchane ke bina

Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50.00 ke upar hai, iska matlab hai ke oopri harkat ab bhi qubool hai. Main samajhta hoon ke uthao is jodi ko 156.90 ke darjy tak le jaayega. Is point ke oopar, 157.00 ke gola mark, iske baad 157.30, qoutes ka maqsad honge. Magar agar keemat halaat ke hawale se abhi ke darjy se girne lage, to 155.50 ke ilaake ko pehla maqsad banaya jaayega, iske baad 155.00 ke mansoobi darje par hamla kiya jayega. Agar bhaluon ko market mein acha dabao mila aur jodi 155.00 ke darje ke neeche trade karna shuru kiya, to keemat 154.40 ke darjy ki taraf jaayegi, iske neeche 154.10 aur 153.80 ke darje hain. Chalo dekhte hain ke market kis tarah ka khail khelta hai. Sab ko khoob mubarak ho!USD/JPY H4 TAJZIYA.
Jaise ke meri tawaqo se zaahir hai, agar keemat oopar jaati hai, to yeh ek ahem vertical dhakka paida karegi, jiske natije mein mombatti kuch faslay par chale jaayegi, 100 time-frame basic moving average ke ilaake se door. Kharidari ka dabao 5,3,3 stochastic indicator ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai jo 80 ilaake tak pohanch kar oopar ja raha hai. Ek aur chhota time frame ek ghante par dekhte hue saaf dikh raha hai ke keemat ki harkat 100-period simple moving average line ke upar settle ho rahi hai. Yeh ishaara deta hai ke keemat ko shayad abhi bhi kisi naye junoon ka intezar hai taake uska hafta bhar ke izafay ka silsila jaari rahe. Is tajziye ke mutabiq, hum mahine ke ikhtitam ke liye trade ke faislon ko bana sakte hain. Market mein mukhtalif baton par ek nazar daalne par lagta hai ke wo apni bullish rah par wapas aa sakta hai. Is ke baad, Japanese yen apne chhate par laut sakta hai. Mujhe yeh darust hai ke keemat agle haftay mein 157,000 tak barhne ka imkaan hai.

Keemat 4 ghante ki trading chart par oopar ja rahi hai, aur Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50.00 ke upar hai, iska matlab hai ke oopri harkat ab bhi qubool hai. Main samajhta hoon ke uthao is jodi ko 156.90 ke darjy tak le jaayega. Is point ke oopar, 157.00 ke gola mark, iske baad 157.30, qoutes ka maqsad honge. Magar agar keemat halaat ke hawale se abhi ke darjy se girne lage, to 155.50 ke ilaake ko pehla maqsad banaya jaayega, iske baad 155.00 ke mansoobi darje par hamla kiya jayega. Agar bhaluon ko market mein acha dabao mila aur jodi 155.00 ke darje ke neeche trade karna shuru kiya, to keemat 154.40 ke darjy ki taraf jaayegi, iske neeche 154.10

Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies aur interest rate decisions is pair ke trend ko direct karte hain. Agar Fed interest rates ko barhata hai, to US Dollar ki demand barh jati hai, jo USD/JPY ko upar push karta hai. Wahi agar BoJ apni monetary policy relaxed rakhta hai, to Japanese Yen weak hota hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye bullish signal hota hai.
Japan ek export-driven economy hai, is liye global trade conditions aur demand ka Japanese Yen ki strength par asar hota hai. Agar Japan ka economic data jaise GDP, inflation, ya employment data strong hota hai, to BoJ ki policies ko tighten kar sakta hai, jo Yen ko mazboot bana sakta hai. Wahi agar US economic data strong hota hai, jaise Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ya CPI, to Dollar ko support milta hai.


Market sentiment USD/JPY ki volatility ko direct karta hai. Jab market mein risk-on sentiment hota hai, to traders US Dollar ko prefer karte hain, jo USD/JPY ko upar push karta hai. Lekin agar market mein risk-off sentiment ho, jaise geopolitical tensions ya global recession ke khauf ke dauran, to investors Japanese Yen ko safe-haven currency samajh kar usmein invest karte hain, jo USD/JPY ko neeche le jata hai.

Global events jaise US-China trade tensions, Japan ki domestic policy changes, aur global economic outlook, USD/JPY par bohot zyada asar dalte hain. Is liye traders ke liye updated rahna aur news events ko closely monitor karna bohot important hota hai

**USD/JPY Ka Outlook Analysis:**

USD/JPY D1 time frame chart par, USD/JPY currency pair filhal mazboot upward momentum dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ke pichle sessions mein bullish trend ko jari rakhta hai. Yeh pair dheere dheere barh raha hai, jo ke US dollar ki taqat aur America mein favorable economic conditions se madad le raha hai. Magar jab yeh key resistance levels ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

Pehla aham resistance 148.76 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke psychologically important level 149.20 ke qareeb hai. Yeh levels crucial hain yeh tay karne ke liye ke kya pair apne bullish momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai ya phir koi pullback hone wala hai. 148.76 par resistance ek technically significant zone hai, kyunki yeh pehle bhi further upward movement ke liye rukawat ke taur par kaam aata raha hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to yeh mazeed buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisse price 149.20 ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai. Yeh psychological level ek key threshold hai, jo aksar traders ka khinchav attract karta hai.

Agar in levels ko todne mein nakami hoti hai, to yeh profit-taking ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke temporary pullback ya consolidation ki taraf le ja sakta hai, pehle se upward trend resume karne se pehle. Jabke USD/JPY pair filhal strong bullish momentum ka lutf utha raha hai, lekin 148.76 aur 149.20 ke aas-paas ke resistance levels agle move tay karne mein bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. In levels ko successfully break karna mazeed upside ka signal de sakta hai, jabke inhe todne mein nakami pullback ya consolidation ko janam de sakti hai. Traders ko technical indicators aur fundamental factors dono par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh pair ki direction ko agle dinon mein shape karne mein pivotal role ada karenge.

**USD/JPY Ka H4 Time Frame Analysis:**

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par, Friday ki Asian session ke doran, Japanese yen (JPY) koi significant buying interest attract karne mein nakam raha. Is momentum ki kami ne USD/JPY pair ko apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhne ki ijaazat di, session ka khatma early August ke baad ke highest level ke just neeche kiya. Yeh pair haal hi mein steady upward climb par hai, jo ke US dollar ki broader strength aur Japanese yen ki continued weakness ke combination se fueled hai.

Technical standpoint se, pair ne lower levels par solid support dhoondh liya hai, jahan buyers dips par entry kar rahe hain. H4 chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY key moving averages se khaas tor par upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) upward trend kar raha hai lekin abhi tak overbought territory mein nahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke agle waqt mein mazeed gains ka mauqa hai.

Magar, yeh pair ab crucial resistance zone ke qareeb pahunch raha hai jo pehle August mein set hui highs ke nazdeek hai. Traders in levels ke aas-paas price action ko nazar rakh rahe honge taake dekhein ke kya USD/JPY isse todne mein kamiyab hota hai aur apni ascent ko jari rakhta hai ya phir kuch resistance ka saamna karta hai, jo shayad temporary consolidation ya pullback ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Fundamental backdrop ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, USD/JPY ka outlook mazeed upside ki taraf hai, agar market conditions US dollar ke liye favorable rahein.

### USD/JPY Prices Ki Samajh

USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements aur is se judi analysis hamara topic hai. Hum ab August ke highs tak pahunche hain. In do developments ko dekhte hue, kam se kam ek ya do pips ka correction hona theek lagta hai. Resistance lagbhag 145.01 mark ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, aur yeh selling se profit secure karne ka achha mauka ban sakta hai. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kya price aur girayegi, lekin is target par focus karna samajhdaari lagta hai.

Pichle hafte, USD/JPY pair ne weekly chart par upward movement dikhayi. Mera pehla forecast yeh tha ke price support level 136.686 ki taraf giregi, jo nahi hua. Iske bajaye, price pehle resistance 146.333 tak pahuncha, phir 143.341 ke support ko break karte hue in levels ke neeche close hua. Poore hafte price upar ki taraf badhati rahi, 143.341 ke resistance ko paar karte hue 149.143 ke aas-paas close hua. Is liye, mera current week ke liye focus potential growth par hai, jo 151.590 ke aas-paas levels ko target karega.

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY price movements ki ongoing assessment ko darshati hai. Aakhri chand ghanton mein, is pair ne pichle do dinon mein consistent upward traction hasil kiya hai, jo ke kuch aham fundamental catalysts ki wajah se hai. Ek badi wajah Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy outlook ke aas-paas chal rahi uncertainty hai. BoJ ki taraf se rate hikes ka signal na dene ki wajah se yen (JPY) pressure mein hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye favorable conditions create kar raha hai.

Iske muqablay, U.S. dollar (USD) ne November mein drastic Federal Reserve rate cut ke liye kam hote expectations ke beech taqat hasil kiya hai. Pehle markets ne Fed ki taraf se zyada aggressive stance ki umeed ki thi, lekin strong U.S. economic data ne in umeedon ko kam kar diya hai. Isliye, USD mazboot bana hua hai, jabke yen ki kamzori is pair ke liye bullish sentiment ko barhati hai. BoJ ki uncertainty aur solid USD fundamentals ka mix near term mein USD/JPY ke liye mazeed potential upside darshata hai.

Apne purchases ko unforeseen circumstances aur badi girawat se bachane ke liye, main stop loss ke sath kaam karne ke rules ka palan karta hoon. Stop level 143.556 par hai. Yeh sab kuch USD/JPY currency pair par hai. Filhal, purchases meri priority hain kyunki asset price 144.802 tak badh gaya hai aur pehle order level 144.274 ke upar move kar raha hai. Main correctional downward movement ko nazar nahi andaz karta. Yeh desirable hai ke liquidity ko accumulate kiya jaye taake growth ko poori tarah se continue kiya ja sake. Aur doosre order level - 144.992 par desired goal ko hasil karne ke liye yeh zaroori hai. Yeh aaj ke liye USD/JPY currency pair ka mera plan hai.