gbp/usd

Aaj, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka jaaiza lenge. Yeh munfiq taur par barhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunke khareedne wale abhi control mein hain. Magar, unki position mazeed mustahkam ho sakti hai, aur woh nihayat jiddi tarah agay barhte hain. Agar yeh trend jaari rahe, to hum kuch ghanton mein price mein izafa dekh sakte hain. Halankeh bears ab bhi mazboot hain, lekin unki neakami unki mukhalifat ko kamzor kar degi. Naye asaasi data market ke liye taza josh faraham kar sakta hai. Bears agar tajwez ke baad kisi aitmadi trade ka izafa dekhte hain to daakhil ho sakte hain. Aham aanay wale khabron ka bhi market ko oopar le ja sakta hai, jo is cycle mein teesra jhataka darust karta hai, jo trend resistance aur channel highs ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 1.2716 par aham resistance level is rukh ka tay karna mein ahem hai.

GBP/USD pair ke liye, ab bhi bearish signals hain. Aaj subah, maine GBP/USD pair ka tajziya kiya, double-top pattern ki bajaye iska mojooda rawaiye par zyada ghor kiya. Pair rozana resistance zone ko test kar raha hai, aur is level ke upar chadhna bearish outlook ko negat kar sakta hai, aur rozana trend line ya haftawar resistance zone ki taraf mazeed uthao ko le ja sakta hai. Agar resistance qaim rehta hai, to hum agle dino mein ek Double Top ke ikhtiyar ka munsifana daikh sakte hain. Pound overbought nazar aata hai, aur thori si izafa ke bawajood, resistance ko torne mein nakam reh gaya hai, jo khareedne walon mein kamzori ki nishani hai. Is manzar ke tehat, hum umeed karte hain ke 1.2705 ke aas paas ittela ki jaye gi, aur phir 1.2506 ke aham nishaan ki taraf mumkin impulsive girawat dekhi jaye gi. Is liye, trading tajweezat mojooda seviyon se bechnay ka tawajjuh rakhti hain, jiska nishana 1.1805 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, jabke agay barhne ki sambhavna hai, to 1.2712 par aham rukawat aur mustaqil bullish momentum ki kamzori se ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai.

Aaj, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka jaaiza lenge. Yeh munfiq taur par barhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunke khareedne wale abhi control mein hain. Magar, unki position mazeed ho sakti hai, aur woh nihayat jiddi tarah agay barhte hain. Agar yeh trend jaari rahe, to hum kuch ghanton mein price mein izafa dekh sakte hain. Halankeh bears ab bhi mazboot hain, lekin unki neakami unki mukhalifat ko kamzor kar degi. Naye asaasi data market ke liye taza josh faraham kar sakta hai. Bears agar tajwez ke baad kisi aitmadi trade ka izafa dekhte hain to daakhil ho sakte hain. Aham aayan wale khabron ka bhi market ko oopar le ja sakta hai, jo is cycle mein teesra jhataka darust karta hai, jo trend resistance aur channel highs ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 1.2716 par aham resistance level is rukh ka tay karna mein ahem hai.
GBP/USD pair ke liye, ab bhi bearish signals hain. Aaj subah, maine GBP/USD pair ka tajziya kiya, double-top pattern ki bajaye iska mojooda rawaiye par zyada ghor kiya. Pair rozana resistance zone ko test kar raha hai, aur is level ke upar chadhna bearish outlook ko negat kar sakta hai, aur rozana trend line ya haftawar resistance zone ki taraf mazeed uthao ko le ja sakta hai. Agar resistance qaim rehta hai, to hum agle dino mein ek Double Top ke ikhtiyar ka munsifana daikh sakte hain. Pound overbought nazar aata hai, aur thori si izafa ke bawajood, resistance ko torne mein nakam reh gaya hai, jo khareedne walon mein kamzori ki nishani hai. Is manzar ke tehat, hum umeed karte hain ke 1.2705 ke aas paas ittela ki jaye gi, aur phir 1.2506 ke aham nishaan ki taraf mumkin impulsive girawat dekhi jaye gi. Is liye, trading tajweezat mojooda seviyon se bechnay ka tawajjuh rakhti hain, jiska nishana 1.1805 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, jabke agay barhne ki sambhavna hai, to 1.2712 par aham rukawat aur independent bullish momentum ki kamzori se ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai.

GBP USD


GBP/USD Mazboot Hoti Hai, EUR/GBP Girta Hai Jabke UK Mai April Mai Mehngai Barhti Hai, Aur Sood Ki Sharh Me Khatoti Ki Umeed Kaam Ho Jati Hai

Budh ke din (22 May), British CPI data jo aaj release hui, 2.3% saal dar saal barh gayi, jo March mai inflation rate se kam thi magar ma'eeshat daanon ke umeed se zyada thi. Data release hone ke baad sterling mazboot hui aur GBP/USD ooper trade kar raha tha.

April Mai Garam Mehngai Ne Sood Ki Sharh Me Khatoti Ki Umeed Ko Kam Kar Diya.

British inflation data jo April ke liye release hui hai, Bank of England (BoE) ke liye sood ki sharh kam karna ek mushkil bun gaya hai. Saal dar saal CPI rate ka barhna inflationary pressures ke dubara se barhane ka aghaz hai, jo Bank of England ko tightening policies implement karne par majboor kar raha hai.

Umeed thi ke kam headline inflation se services sector inflation par cooling effect hoga 2024 ke April tak. Lekin aisa nahi hua. Monthly aur annual measures of inflation for the services sector ne na sirf average estimate balki forecast data ke maximum estimate ko bhi exceed kiya.

Headline CPI umeed se zyada thi, magar headline inflation ko kam karne me kafi progress hui. Core CPI (year-on-year) bhi kam hui, magar itni nahi jitni overall indicator, 4.2% se 3.9% (3.6% expected) tak gir gayi.

Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, ne kaha ke UK mai rate cut ka imkaan kam hota nazar aa raha hai jabke inflation umeed se kam tez raftar se kam ho raha hai. Aur disappointing baat yeh hai ke services inflation mai sirf thoda hi kam dekha gaya, jo Bank of England ke policymakers ke liye ek badi chinta ka sabab hai. Unhone kaha ke yeh "June mai rate cut ko unlikely banata hai aur August ke rate cut ke imkaan par bhi shakk paida karta hai".

April ke UK inflation data ne rate cut bets aur pound par major asar dala. Kal shaam, market ne umeed ki thi ke Bank of England pehli martaba June mai sood ki sharh kam karegi, jo thodi si zyada thi 50% se. Aaj, yeh hissa gir kar sirf 14% tak reh gaya, August se November tak rate cut ki umeed barh gayi. Iske ilawa, is saal ke do rate cuts ki umeed sirf ek reh gayi, jo ke zyada likely hai.

UK CPI data release hone ke baad, pound mazboot hua US dollar ke muqablay mai.



CPI data se mutasir hokar, pound US dollar ke muqablay mai mazboot hua, jo pehle ke swing high 1.2736 (November 2023) se ooper trade kar raha tha, magar data ke baad exchange rate wapas us high se neeche gir gaya.

Data se pehle, GBP/USD ne bullish fatigue ke signs dikhaye the jabke daily trading range zyada prominent ho gayi thi 1.2736 level ke pehle, aur daily trading range contract kar rahi thi. Lekin unexpected data ne bullish catalyst provide kiya, aur pair ooper gaya. 1.2800 price agla resistance level banega aur 1.2585 jo 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke kareeb hai, agla support level banega. Relative strength indicator par, pair ab overbought territory ke kareeb hai, jo matlab hai ke resulting momentum ko closely dekhne ki zarurat hai taake pullback ka risk prevent ho sake.

European Central Bank ke June meeting se pehle, EUR/USD ab bhi dekhne layak hai.

GBP-USD taaluk ki analayze

Humain pata hai ke peechle do dinon mein GBP-USD ka andaza karne ka silsila flat reha hai, isiliye mombati ab bhi 1.2709 ke qareeb rehti hai aur ab tak koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. Halankeh halaat abhi bhi mazboot ho rahe hain, magar 1.2722 ke qeemat par rukawat abhi tak nahi paar ki gayi. Ye baat GBP-USD ko apni izaafi uthaanay mein mushkil bana rahi hai. Asal mein, ab wo dhire dhire kamzor ho raha hai. Kal ke amreeki session mein toh ye kaafi gir gaya tha, lekin zahir hai ke kuch ghanton ke andar wapas oopar chala gaya.

Agar h1 timeframe par tajziyah kiya jaye, toh dekha jaa sakta hai ke mombati abhi bhi 1.2698 ke qareeb chal rahi hai. Jab tak maamla yunhi raha, toh mujhe ahtiyaat barqarar rakhni chahiye kyunki qeemat kabhi bhi barh sakti hai. Lekin, khaaskar aaj mujhe yeh yaqeen hai ke GBP-USD jald giray ga kyunki mombati abhi tak 1.2710 ke SBR ilaqe ko paar nahi kar sakti. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh ilaqa GBP-USD ko wapas neechay laane ke liye bohot acha maqam hai. Masla ye hai ke, jab se oopar gaya hai, toh GBpusd ne koi correction nahi kiya hai. Iske baad GBpusd ka maqsad 1.2646 ke qareeb support ki taraf janay ka hai.

Agar ichimoku indicator ka istemal tajziyat ke liye kiya jaye, toh dekha jaa sakta hai ke tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ek dusre ke saath milte hain. Yeh haal peechle do dinon se ho raha hai. Yeh tab hua kyunki market abhi bhi side mein tha. Abhi, ichimoku indicator ko positions kholne ka rujhan nahi hona chahiye kyunki yeh indicator jab market flat hota hai toh kamzor hota hai. Behtar hai ke pehle market ko active hone diya jaye.

Is dauran, stochastic indicator ka maqam abhi beech mein hai. Halankeh, stochastic indicator abhi bhi koi wazahat nahi deta kyunki market abhi bhi zyada busy nahi hai. Agar time frame bara ho, toh wazeh hai ke haalat pehle se hi over bought hain. Shayad GBP-USD abhi neechay jaane ke liye tayar ho raha hai kyunki main dekh raha hoon ke kharidaron ki dabao kamzor ho rahi hai.

Toh aaj ki analayze ka ikhtitam ye hai ke gbpusd ka abhi bhi neechay jaane ka moqa hai kyunki mombati abhi tak 1.2718 ke SBR ilaqa ko paar nahi kar sakti. Jab tak yeh ilaqa nahi toota, mujhe lagta hai ke neechay jaane ka moqa bohot zyada hai. Isliye, main doston ko yeh mashwara deta hoon ke sirf short positions par tawajju den. Aap take profit target ko qareebi support 1.2640 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.2729 ke resistance par rakh sakte hain.

GBP/USD Technical Forecast for Today
British Pound (GBP) aaj ke awal trading session (Asian session) mein filhaal intezar ki halat mein hai. GBP/USD currency pair abhi tak ek tight range mein sideways trade kar rahi hai, jahan price mein kam hi utar chadhav dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh sukoon ka mahol shayad investors ke intezar karne ki wajah se hai, jab tak ke UK se kuch important data nahi aa jata jo aaj thodi der baad release hone wala hai. Sabse important event jiska sab ko intezar hai, wo hai Britain ke consumer price index (CPI) ka release for April. CPI inflation ko measure karta hai, jo ke goods aur services ke prices badhne ki raftar hoti hai. Agar CPI strong hoti hai, yani ke inflation zyada hoti hai, to yeh Pound ke liye positive ho sakta hai. Kyunki zyada inflation ke wajah se central banks aksar interest rates badhate hain. Higher interest rates foreign investors ko better returns ki talash mein attract karte hain, jo currency ko mazboot kar sakta hai.






Lekin, agar CPI weak aati hai, yani ke inflation kam hoti hai, to yeh Pound par downward pressure dal sakta hai. Investors ko yeh concern ho sakta hai ke Bank of England (BOE), jo UK ka central bank hai, shayad kuch arse tak interest rates na badhaye. Is wajah se kuch investors apne Pounds ko bech kar zyada attractive interest rates wali currencies ko kharid sakte hain. CPI figure ke ilawa, kuch aur economic indicators bhi UK ke liye aaj release honge, lekin woh CPI ke muqable mein kam ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agle trading session (American session) mein, focus US par shift ho jayega. Yahan par sabse zyada interest secondary housing market ke data release par hoga. Secondary housing market ka matlab existing homes ki buying aur selling se hai. Agar is sector se strong data aata hai, to yeh US economy ke liye positive sign mana jayega, jo US Dollar (USD) ko boost de sakta hai.

American session ka sabse important event hai recent Federal Reserve meeting ke minutes ka release. Yeh minutes US central bank ke current state of the US economy aur monetary policy plans, including interest rates, par insights faraham karenge. Analyst ne 1.2665 ka ek key level identify kiya hai. Agar GBP/USD price is level se neeche dip kar ke consolidate karti hai, to yeh further potential decline ka signal ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, analyst 1.2635 aur 1.2615 ke aas paas buying opportunities dekh rahe hain, taake potential reversal ka faida uthaya ja sake. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2665 ke upar hold karti hai, to analyst GBP/USD ko buy karne ka soch rahe hain, with a target price range between 1.2765 aur 1.2815. Yeh scenario tabhi possible hoga jab UK se positive data aaye, jo investors ko Pound mein confidence badhane mein madad kare.

GBP/USD Analysis
Hello everyone, aaj mein GBP/USD aur forex market ke fundamentals par nazar daal raha hoon. GBP/USD ne lagbhag poora din ek flat range mein guzar diya, jo ke 1.2691 aur 1.2701 ke darmiyan tha. Ji haan, aapne sahi suna, price ne European trading session aur aadhi US session ke doran sirf 10-point ke sideways channel mein move kiya. Yeh Monday ke din British currency ke movement ka mukammal khulasa hai. US session ke beech mein price is range se upar nahi gai, lekin thodi dair ke liye upward movement hui. Yeh questionable hai ke kya is buy signal ko capitalize karna worth tha, jo ke lagbhag 8 ghante mein form hua, given ke poore din ki overall volatility 40 pips tak bhi nahi pohanchi. Hourly timeframe par ascending trend line ab bhi relevant hai, aur ab tak British currency ke growth ke khatam hone ke koi signs nahi hain.






British pound bina kisi substantial basis ke rise kar raha hai, lekin yeh baat traders ko ab hairan nahi karti. Pichle chhe mahine (ya us se zyada) se pound consistently illogical growth dikha raha hai. Humne phir se dekha ke pound kaise low market activity ke bawajood rise kar raha hai, chahe wo Monday ho, fundamental aur macroeconomic events ki kami ho, 250-pip rally ke baad ho, aur Bank of England ke expected rate cut ke samne ho. Agar humare readers ko hamare groundless growth wale conclusions par shak tha, to wo kal ke din is baat ka khud dekh sakte the. Kehna mushkil hai ke yeh movement kitni dair tak chalegi. Technical perspective se trading upwards possible hai, lekin fundamentally, is pair ko buy karna mushkil hai.

1H chart par, GBP/USD bullish correction se guzar raha hai. Price ne 1.2605-1.2620 area ko doosri koshish mein bagair kisi masle ke overcome kar liya, aur 1.2691-1.2701 area bhi buyers ko rok nahi saka. Market dikhata hai ke wo pound ko buy karne ke liye tayar hai, chahe fundamental aur macroeconomic background kuch bhi ho, ya kuch bhi na ho. Iska matlab yeh hai ke pair ka movement groundless hai, to patterns talash karna bekaar hai. Current trend line break hone ka matlab yeh zaroori nahi ke decline start hoga.

Tuesday ko US mein koi important events ya reports scheduled nahi hain. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ka speech hoga, jo bohot interesting ho sakta hai. Zyada precisely, yeh interesting tab hota agar market logically react karta news aur events par. Kyunki yeh aisa nahi hai, isliye yeh matter nahi karta ke Bailey kya kehte hain. Market ke bohot zyada chances hain ke wo unki baaton ko pound ke favor mein interpret kare.

GBPUSD Analysis 23 May 2024

Subah bakhair doston, aur mere bohot hi simple trading journal mein khush amdeed. Kal ke trading results kaise rahe? Umeed hai ke hum forex market se maximum results hasil kar sakein aur umeed hai ke hum sab hamesha sehat mand rahen aur hamare tamam kaam asaan ho jayein. Aaj subah ke mauqe par, mein GBPUSD market ka analysis karunga taake aaj ki entry ke liye tayari kar saku. Mukammal analysis ke liye, hum neeche di gayi tasveer par tawajju dein.






Jaise ke hum upar di gayi tasveer mein dekh sakte hain, GBPUSD currency pair ab bhi bullish bias mein nazar aa rahi hai aur is waqt 1.2719 ke price par trade kar rahi hai jo ke pichle din ke opening price se zyada hai. D1 time frame par jo candle form hui hai, wo ab MA 24 aur MA 200 ke line ke upar hai, jabke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ab bhi level 80 ke aas paas hai. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke buyers ki strength ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai aur market par aaj ke trading mein dominate kar rahi hai.

Upar diye gaye analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ki trading ke liye, GBPUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ko continue karne ki umeed hai, halan ke pehle kuch downward correction ho sakti hai uske baad bullish trend continue hoga. Aaj ke liye mera trading plan yeh hai ke main pair mein buying opportunities talash karunga. Yeh zaroori hai ke mm ko theek se implement karun taake account ki resilience mazboot aur achi tarah maintained rahe.

Aaj subah, main 1.2700 ke price par buy limit order place karunga, sirf ek kaafi profit target aur ache tareeke se measured stop loss ke sath. Yeh trading journal update hai jo main aaj subah faraham kar sakta hoon, umeed hai ke yeh mufeed hoga aur dosre doston ke samajh mein aayega aur hamari insight ko barhaayega. Bas yeh hi mujh se aur sab doston ko happy trading!

Jaisay hi Asian session Wednesday ko shuru hui, GBP/USD pair kareeb 1.2730 ke aas paas hover kar rahi thi, jo abhi abhi release hui UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ki waja se mazboot hai. British Pound (GBP) ko support mil rahi hai UK economy ke Q1 mein 0.6% ke robust expansion se, jo expectations se zyada hai aur mulk ke mukhtasir mandi ke daur ke khatam hone ka ishara de rahi hai. Yeh surge pichle do saal mein sabse mazboot growth ko represent karta hai, jo UK economy ke liye ek umeed bhari tasveer pesh karta hai.
GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Strong GDP figures ke bawajood, speculation hai ke Bank of England (BoE) ka interest rates par kya stance hoga. Traders potential rate cuts ko price kar rahe hain, aur expectations hain ke August mein 25 basis point (bps) ki reduction hogi aur poore 2024 mein 50 bps cut hoga. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne ek recent press conference mein zor diya ke agle data releases ko monitor karna zaroori hai pehle ke koi rate adjustments ka faisla liya jaye. Anay wali UK employment data April ke liye significance rakhti hai jo economic landscape ka insight de sakti hai aur mazeed monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakti hai.





Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ko significant resistance aur support thresholds ka samna hai. Agar buyers 100-DMA (Daily Moving Average) ko dobara hasil kar lete hain, to next resistance aaj ke peak 1.2759 par milti hai, phir additional barriers 1.2782 aur 1.2807 par hain, aur phir possibly year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2895 tak pohonch sakte hain.

Conversely, sellers ka irada hai ke 100-DMA se neeche breach karna, aur us level ke neeche daily close ko test karna, jo support 1.2577 par milegi. Iske baad 50-DMA 1.2591 par aur 200-DMA 1.2536 par key support levels hain.

GBP/USD pair kal apnay target level ki taraf aagay barha, lekin sirf thora sa qareeb tha. Lekin kyunke kisi bhi level ki shiraei hoti hai, to main samjhta hoon ke hum ye tasleem kar sakte hain ke pair ka mojooda maqsad barhne ka ho gaya hai. Is liye, ab ek rollback ki taraf amal ho raha hai. Halankeh pound munsif hai ke kal ka uncha sabqat karay, lekin woh ab bhi ek manoranjan hai. Isi doran, kal phir se pound futures mein OI mein izafa hua. Jaisa ke maine likha, buyers tay hain aur sargarmi se positions hasil kar rahe hain. Aur jab tak woh unhe darj nahi karte, achi tarah ka rollback umeed nahi kiya ja sakta. Jaise hamesha, hum apnay hath dekhte hain. Is par, is currency pair ke liye ibtidaai barhaw ka asal maqsad haqeeqat mein hasil ho gaya hai. Ab rollback mumkin hai.
M30 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:

Jab GBPUSD currency pair ko Bolinger indicator istemal karke tajziyah kiya jata hai, to teen ahem satah pehchanay jate hain: support 1.27153, resistance 1.27301 aur average price 1.27227. Mojooda trading 1.27335 par hai, aur main ye samajh sakta hoon ke farokht ki ibtidaai sargarmi hai. Tasveer wazeh tor par kharidaron ki mumkin saturation ko zahir karti hai. Main faislay ke mutabiq farokht ke orders mojoodi qeemat par 1.27335 par khulne ka faisla karta hoon, mein kuch limit sell orders bhi unchi qeemat par lagao ga. Dhaak kay plan ke mutabiq, munafa do marahil par darj kiya jayega: darmiyani satah 1.27227 par aur support satah 1.27153 par. Main doosri bar farokht ka amal shuru karne ki mumkin dastiyabgi ko ghor kar raha hoon jab qeemat 1.27227 ke satah se neechay darj ho. In orders aur munafa satahon ke is tawun ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, main buland nateejay haasil karne ki mumkin raahat ka samjhta hoon.

GBP USD

Forex trading ke realm mein, GBP/USD market aik significant arena hai jahan traders speculation aur investment karte hain. Yeh dynamic market demand karta hai ke price movements ko carefully observe kiya jaye aur effective risk management strategies, jaise ke stop losses ka istemal kiya jaye. Price fluctuations ke ebb aur flow ko closely monitor karke, traders volatility ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain jo currency pairs trading mein hoti hai.

Forex trading ke hamesha evolve hotay landscape mein, market trends aur patterns par vigilant nazar rakhna imperative hai. Is vigilance ka aik crucial aspect hai ke various time frames mein emerge hotay patterns ko recognize aur interpret kiya jaye. GBP/USD currency pair ke case mein, traders four-hour time frame mein bearish GIP pattern jaise patterns ko observe kar sakte hain. Bearish GIP pattern, jo apni distinctive shape aur price movements ki sequence se pehchana jata hai, GBP ki value USD ke muqable mein downturn ka potential signify karta hai. Traders jo in patterns ko identify aur interpret karne ki acumen rakhte hain, is insight ko apni trading decisions ko inform karne ke liye leverage kar sakte hain. Lekin, zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat baratni jaye aur additional analysis ke sath in observations ko corroborate kiya jaye, kyunke patterns akelay hamesha conclusive signals nahi dete.

Forex trading ke realm mein, timing aksar paramount hoti hai. Jab trade ko enter ya exit karna hai, yeh decision uski outcome ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. Jab perceived patterns ya fluctuations ke response mein impulsively act karna tempting hota hai, patience aur strategic foresight exercise karna long run mein ziyada favorable results de sakta hai. Patterns ke confirmation ya validation ka wait karke pehle trades execute karna, premature ya ill-timed transactions se associated risks ko mitigate kar sakta hai.

Jumma ko British pound ka aik unsteady din tha. Shuru mein din ko nichayi rukh par khatam hua, lekin phir American trading session ke doran $1.2750 tak chadha. Ye izafa US mein taqreeban umeed se kamzboot inflation data ke baad aaya. Core personal consumption expenditures price index, jo Federal Reserve ke dekhnay wala ahem inflation ka aik pehlu hai, April mein umeed se dheemi raftar se grow hua. Ye ishara karta hai ke shayad inflation ko control mein rakha ja sakta hai, jis se Federal Reserve par interest rates barhane ka dabao kam hota hai. Aam tor par US mein buland interest rates US dollar ko digar currencies ke muqable mein mazboot karte hain. Is liye agar Federal Reserve interest rates na barhaye to ye dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur pound ko izafa kar sakta hai. Isi wajah se GBP/USD exchange rate inflation data ke baad barh gaya.

Magar, pound ke liye mustaqbil puri tarah se wazeh nahi hai. Currency pair ne shuruati izafa ke baad thoda sa peechay hat gaya. Technical tor par, analysts Fibonacci retracement levels par nazar daal rahe hain, jo aise areas hote hain jahan qeemat ke harkat aksar ruk jaati hai ya ulte jaati hai. GBP/USD ab 61.8% retracement level ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo kuch support faraham kar sakta hai. Lekin agar qeemat is level ke neeche gir jaaye to ye mazeed kamzori ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Ek aur indicator jo dekhna hai wo Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. Ye yeh nikaalta hai ke koi currency overbought hai ya oversold. GBP/USD ke liye RSI ab middle range mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke na to bulls na hi bears qabil-e-khaas tor par control mein hain. Lekin, haal hi mein RSI mein girawat ke nishanat hai jo dikhata hai ke upar ki taraf ki momentum kamzor ho rahi hai. Overall, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook musbat hai, lekin thori ehtiyaat ke saath. Agar qeemat $1.2750 ke oopar reh sakti hai to wo mazeed barhti rahi. Lekin, agar kuch ahem support levels ko tor diya jaaye to girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Ahem cheez ye hogi ke market mustaqbil ke maali data aur Federal Reserve ke izhaarat ka kaisa react karta hai.

British pound ne Friday ko ek volatile din dekha. Yeh pehle din ke end par neeche tha, magar phir American trading session mein $1.2750 tak jump kar gaya. Yeh izafa US inflation data ke release ke baad hua jo expected se kamzor tha. Core personal consumption expenditures price index, jo inflation ka ek key measure hai aur Federal Reserve ke liye important hai, April mein anticipated se slower pace par bara. Yeh suggest karta hai ke inflation control mein ho sakti hai, jis se Fed par interest rates raise karne ka pressure kam ho jata hai. Higher interest rates US dollar ko other currencies ke muqable mein mazboot karti hain. Agar Fed rates na barhaye, to yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakti hai aur pound ko upar le ja sakti hai. Isi liye inflation data ke baad GBP/USD exchange rate bara.
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Magar pound ka outlook puri tarah se clear nahi hai. Currency pair ne initial jump ke baad thoda retreat kiya. Technically, analysts Fibonacci retracement levels dekh rahe hain, jo aise areas hain jahan price movements aksar stall ya reverse hoti hain. GBP/USD filhal 61.8% retracement level ke aas paas hai, jo kuch support offer kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to yeh further weakness signal kar sakta hai. Ek aur indicator jo dekhne layak hai wo Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. Yeh measure karta hai ke ek currency overbought ya oversold hai. GBP/USD ka RSI filhal middle range mein hai, jo suggest karta hai ke na bulls aur na hi bears mazboot tor par control mein hain. Lekin recent decline in RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke upward momentum shayad fade ho rahi hai. Overall, short-term outlook for GBP/USD positive hai, magar kuch caution ke saath. Agar price $1.2750 ke upar hold kar sakti hai, to yeh continue kar sakti hai upar janay ko. Magar key support levels ke neeche break hone par yeh decline trigger kar sakta hai. Key cheez yeh hogi ke market future economic data aur Fed pronouncements par kaise react karti hai.

### GBP/USD H4 Analysis Translation in Roman Urdu
**Subah bakhair. Haan, main mutafiq hoon ke yeh possibility hai ke wo kam az kam 1.28932 level tak ja sakte hain. Is scenario mein zyada confident hone ke liye, aapko 1.27999 par breakout aur consolidation dekhna hoga. Jahan tak wave signs aur structures ka taluq hai, aapko hamesha kam az kam do options hone chahiye price development ke liye - upar aur neeche. Apne signals ki accuracy par bharosa karna ek worthwhile task nahi hai. Market hamesha reset ho sakti hai. Kuch wavelength, corrections apne aap ko reset kar sakti hain, aur expected zigzag ek triangle ban sakta hai. Aur agar higher levels par marking mein koi ghalti hui hai, to current expected correction lower level par continuation movement ban sakti hai, aur vice versa. Maine ab tak ek bhi wave rider nahi dekha jiska marking 100% accurate ho. Is liye, experienced wave makers hamesha kai options mark karte hain, aur sirf ek mark par nahi tikte, sirf soch kar ke yeh sahi hai.

**Pair GBPUSD H4:**

1-4 hour chart par, pound ne trading ke end par central area of the band mein stall kiya, aur bands ne inward tick kiya aur ek dusre ki taraf move kiya. Is area ko move karna kisi bhi direction mein develop ho sakta hai, aur ek active alternative exit ka intezar karna chahiye ek band ke bahar nikalne ka taake ek naya signal mile price ke increase ya decrease ke liye, aur phir assess karen ke bands outward open hoti hain ya nahi. Ya phir koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar hum fractals ki baat karen, to price ne nearest fractal par step nahi kiya uske breakdown ke baad, aur ek naya reference point upar move karne ka intezar karna chahiye, ek naya, close-up fractal. Price declines ke liye, ek near-downward fractal form hua hai. Uska breakdown aur consolidation price ko 30 May ke fractal ke qareeb 1.26800 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

**AO Indicator:** Zero mark ke qareeb hai aur koi significant signal nahi de raha. Ek bullish signal milne ke liye, intezar karein ke price zero cross kare aur positive zone mein move kare. Agar hum negative territory mein active growth dekhte hain, to humein price ke fall ka ek powerful signal milega.

GBP/USD Ki Fundamental Aur Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD karan instrument 1.2710 ke aas paas hai kyunke investors UK ke inflation report aur US Federal Reserve (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain. Market participants ko naye signals ki zarurat hai jab Federal Reserve officials se mixed messages mil rahi hain. Governor Christopher Waller, jo aam tor par higher rates ke support me rehte hain, ne kaha ke abhi aur interest rate increases ki zarurat nahi hai. Lekin unhone yeh bhi kaha ke woh strong data ka intezar karenge pehle ke Federal Reserve ke workforce ko reduce karne pe raazi hon. Dusri taraf, Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic ne aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf warn kiya. Unhone dheema approach ko pasand kiya taake inflation wapas na badh sake.

UK me, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne future me rate cut ka ishara diya. Unhone umeed ki ke April ke data me inflation drop karega, jo ke Wednesday ko release hoga. Forecast ke mutabiq, April ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) me 2.1% ka rise hai, jo ke pehle report me 3.2% tha. Annual inflation rate April me 3.6% hone ki umeed hai jo ke March me 4.2% tha. Agar higher inflation data aata hai toh BOE ke rate cut delay ho sakta hai. Aur agar lower report aata hai toh is se borrowing costs is saal ke baad kam ho sakti hain. Aane wala data ye tay karega ke rate cut kab hoga.

Technically, GBP/USD pair apni two-hundred-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar cross kar chuka hai, jo encouraging hai. Lekin abhi bhi yeh short-term bearish trend line ko obstacle ke tor pe dekh raha hai. 50-day SMA ke aas paas 1.2590 par additional support mil raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator weak momentum show kar raha hai. Yeh breakout line ke upar hai lekin abhi bhi zero ke niche hai. Stochastic oscillator rising hai ek bullish crossover ke baad, jo hint kar raha hai ke pair ki value increase ho sakti hai. Agar GBP/USD diagonal resistance ko 1.2746 ke kareeb break karta hai, toh yeh 1.2791 ke aas paas aur resistance face karega. Is level ko surpass karna outlook ko neutral kar dega. Downside par, agar yeh 1.2590 se niche girta hai toh selling business shuru ho jayega.

GBP/USD pair mein decline expect nahi ho saka, jaise maine Friday ko socha tha. Pair 1.2649 reference point ke support ki taraf decline continue karne mein nakam raha, jo ke already heavily overloaded hourly chart ko unload kar sakta tha. Pair ne phir se 1.2742 reference point ke resistance ko break karne ki koshish ki aur almost kaamiyab bhi ho gaya, lekin din ke end tak phir se neeche chala gaya, 1.2742 ke support point par ruk gaya, jo ab bhi resistance hai. General mein, nayi hafte se pair ko minimal decline karna zaroori hai, kam az kam jo Friday ko expect kiya tha.
Clock pe congestion hai, yeh weak hai, toh agar yeh north ki taraf kuch din ke liye jaata hai toh kuch bura nahi hoga, kyun ke agar 1.2742 resistance reference point break hota hai, toh pair grow karte hue 1.2780 ki taraf ja sakta hai, M15 ko north ki taraf break kar sakta hai aur phir growth reference point 1.2840 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Is se zyada consider nahi karta, kyun ke sentry tab tak heavily overloaded ho jayega aur phir bhi reduction hoga. Basically, main 1.2742 se rebound aur pair ke decline ko 1.2649 tak dekh raha hoon, Monday ko goal ka intezar hai, aaj shayad 1.2670 tak aadhe raste pe ruk jaayen, shayad thoda upar bhi, lekin kisi bhi case mein, aaj south ka chance north se zyada hai taake pair sentry pe averages ko unload kar sake.

Monday ko hourly chart congested hai, aur aise congestion mein pair ke liye next reference point 1.2780 ki taraf grow karna unlikely hai. Lekin M15 pe north ka naya signal hai, toh woh 1.2780 tak pohanchne ki koshish kar sakte hain, is se zyada consider nahi kar raha hoon, although mujhe lagta hai ke resistance 1.2840 tak growth aur wahan se reversal ho sakti hai, breakout consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke hourly aur bhi zyada critically congested ho jayega. Therefore, wahan se reversal hai, lekin general mein, main dekh raha hoon ke pair phir se downward movement ko continue karne ki koshish karega resistance 1.2742 se, jo Friday ko break nahi ho saka, aur fall support 1.2649 tak continue hoga. Interesting point hai ke agar yeh support pe aadha din guzarta hai, aur pair Monday ko yeh kar sakta hai, toh hourly pe averages unload ho jayenge, aur shayad phir se growth mein reversal ho jayegi. Maximum jo main consider kar raha hoon ke agar 1.2649 ka breakdown hota hai, toh support 1.2590 tak lead karega, iske baad kehna mushkil hai. M15 pe north ka signal hai aur yeh fresh hai, lekin is kaam ka nahi hoga kyun ke sentry critically overloaded hai aur drop kam az kam 1.2649 tak zaroori hai sentry ko unload karne ke liye aur isse SM15 ko phir se south ka signal milega aur phir yeh 1.2590 ka target kuch din mein achieve kar sakta hai. Hourly pe averages ko unload karke phir se reversal start ho jayegi. Yes, resistance 1.2742 ko break kar sakta hai aur higher consolidate kar sakta hai. Main 1.2780 tak growth expect kar raha hoon, shayad 1.2840 reference point tak aur phir se south ki taraf reversal 1.2649 tak.