Gbpusd

GBP/USD Analysis

Hello dear traders, GBP/USD analysis ke zariye hum GBP/USD pair par asar dalne wale factors aur market sentiment ka mukammal jaiza lete hain. Aayiye, kuch ahem nuqaat ka wazeh taur par jaiza lete hain:

High Volatility:

Haal hi mein EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs ke saath saath Gold mein bhi high volatility movements nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh dynamic market environment ko zahir karta hai jahan prices tezi se fluctuate kar rahe hain. Yeh volatility mukhtalif factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jinmein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur investor sentiment mein shifts shaamil hain.

US Consumer Price Index (CPI):

Aaj ka main event US Consumer Price Index for April ka release hai. Thodi inflation slowdown ki umeed hai jo US dollar par pressure daal sakti hai. Magar yeh bhi note kiya gaya hai ke agar inflation thodi si slow hoti hai, to yeh dollar ke fundamental background ko ya Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance ko khas taur par change nahi karegi.

UK Economic Data:

Kal UK ne apna economic data release kiya, jis mein unemployment rate mein izafa, unemployment benefit claims mein izafa, aur average wage growth rate mein izafa shaamil hai. Wage growth aur benefit claims pound ke liye positive samjhi jaa sakti hain, magar unemployment rate mein izafa currency par pehle asar dalta hai. Magar, US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki tarah, sellers baad mein piche hat gaye.

Technical Analysis:

1-hour chart par GBP/USD bullish correction ka samna kar raha hai, magar yeh concern hai ke yeh continue karega ya dobara downward trend mein transition karega. 1.2605-1.2620 ka area overcome na karne se medium-term downward trend mein wapas jane ka imkaan barh jata hai. Is ke ilawa, GBP/USD ne aik haftay se zyada sideways channel mein trade kiya hai, jo short term mein clear direction ki kami ko zahir karta hai.

Overall Analysis:

Aapka analysis fundamental aur technical dono aspects ko shaamil karta hai, jo GBP/USD market situation par aik well-rounded perspective deta hai. Economic data releases aur market movements ko monitor karte rehna zaroori hai taake trading strategies ko accordingly adapt kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD H4 time from


Aaj GBP/USD currency pair ne ek dilchasp pattern dikhaya, trading session ke doran 1.26966 ke pivotal point ke aaspaas mazboot maujoodgi banaye rakhi. Is sthir sthiti ne market mein ek mehsoos kamzori ko darust kiya. Halaanki, is ahem tharah pe koi numaya giraawat karne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin keemat mazboot rahi, aur aur girawat ko na hone diya. Ye mazbooti ek chhipi mazbooti ka ishara hai, jo kisi bhi mazeed niche girne ki momentum ko rok rahi hai.


GBP/USD pair ne tawazun aur be-yakeeni se mukhtalif raston par guzra hai. Ek trader ke liye, munasib waqt par dakhil hona, behtar tor par kam keemat par, hamesha mojood hai. Magar, bazaar ki halat aksar aise hoti hai ke, traders ko haqeeqat mein badal kar faislay karne par majboor karta hai. Manzoori chahiye entry point ko chhodne par bhi, dekha gaya hai ke breakout mein buland rukh ka zahir hai, haala ke uski barqarar rehnumai ke bare mein kuch shak hai. Aage dekhte hue, ek ahem level 1.2805 ke aas paas hai, jahan par qeemat ko rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh ek ehtiyaat bhari farokht ka moqa paish karta hai, khaaskar agar bullish momentum kamzor hone ke nishan dikhata hai.Kal GBP/USD pair ka 1.26400 ke aas paas ka qeemat kaarobaar utharne ka tajziya karta hai, haalaanki naye nichle maqam tak pohanch nahin saka. Dopahar ke akhri waqt ka shumara, jismein ek ghair-tawun market mein uttar chal raha tha, southern correction ko manzoori dene ke liye kafi mazboot bunyad nahi pesh karta.

GBP/USD Analysis

GBP/USD Rate Aur Market Sentiment

GBP/USD pre-dawn quietude mein Wednesday ki Asian session ke doran 1.2580 par pahunch gaya, jo ke Tuesday ke established range ke andar hi hai. UK markets Early May bank holiday ki wajah se band hain, is liye currency pair mein muted volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai aur prevailing market sentiment asar dal sakta hai.

Federal Reserve Ki Soch Aur Interest Rate Cuts Ka Ihtimal

April mein US employment data mein slow down ne investors ko yeh speculate karne par majboor kar diya ke US Federal Reserve iss saal interest rate cuts kar sakta hai. Yeh sentiment shift Federal Reserve officials, jaise ke Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, ke remarks se bhi barhawa mila, jo yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke current interest rate level economy ko effectively moderate kar sakta hai aur inflation ko 2% ke target par la sakta hai.

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis ke President Neel Kashkari aur doosre Fed officials ki dovish tone Greenback par downward pressure dal sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko interim mein support de sakti hai. Market indicators, jaise ke LSEG ka rate probability app, financial markets mein growing expectation ko zahir kar raha hai ke 2024 ke end tak cumulative 46 basis points (bps) worth ke rate cuts honge, aur pehla cut September ya November mein expected hai.

Pound Sterling Ki Potential Path: Support Aur Resistance Levels

Sterling ka recent climb bullish momentum mein rukawat daal sakta hai, jo ek corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai. Pound ke liye pehle support levels 1.2508 par hain, phir May 2nd low 1.2473 aur subsequent pivot low 1.2468 par hain. Agar yeh break hota hai, to psychological level 1.2400 agla critical support zone hoga jo watch karna zaroori hai.



Agar bulls wapas control hasil karte hain, to pair ka initial challenge 200-day moving average (DMA) ke aas paas 1.2549 par hoga. Sustained buying pressure pair ko 1.2600 resistance level tak propel kar sakta hai, aur phir 50 aur 100-DMAs ke double test ka potential hai jo 1.2611 aur 1.2643 par positioned hain.

GBP/USD Aur DXY Ke Darmiyan Safar

GBP/USD ne DXY ke khilaf aik safar par kaha, jama rakh kar faida kamaya jab ke apni haal hi ki teen hafton ki unchaiyon se peechay hat gaya. Ye tabdeeli narm tareen intahai data se milay ho sakti hai jo ke US se aaya. Halankeh GBP/USD 1.2588 par pahuncha, lekin 1.2600 ke ooper ek jaga qaim rakhna mushkil tha, jo ke 200-day moving average (DMA) ki taraf se test ka raasta saaf karta hai. Abhi, GBP/USD 1.2536 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.09% ka aik zyada sahaara darust kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve Ki Umeeden Aur Bank of England Ka Manzarnama:

Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke baray mein market sentiment tabdeel ho rahi hai, jahan initial rate cut ki umeed ab November ke bajaye September ke liye darust ki ja rahi hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September ki meeting ke doran 25 basis points (bps) ke rate reduction ki imkaan 48.8% tak pahunchi hai, sirf aik hafta pehle 43.8% thi.

Bank of England (BoE) apni anay wali meeting mein rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakhne ka intezar hai. Investors ne BoE ke interest rate cuts ki umeed ko September tak taal diya hai, UK mein mazboot tanqeed ki wajah se jo ke mukhtasir inflation ko barhawa de rahi hai, jo central bank ki pasandida inflation ka nuskha hai.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis:

Abhi, GBP/USD pair aik ihtiyati "intezaar aur dekho" ka tareeqa apna raha hai, jise aik neutral manzar samjha jata hai lekin thori umer mein ooper ki taraf halki inclination hai. Markazi nazar 1.2600 resistance level par hai, jo ke 50-DMA (1.2587 par thora neeche) ke qareeb hai, aur jo pound ke anay wale rukh ko mutasir karne wala aham rukawat hai.



Halaanki, daily chart aik mazeed mufassal tasveer pesh karta hai. Haal hi mein GBP/USD mein izafa, jo ke 50 aur 100-DMA ko tor diya, aik 'shooting star' pattern ko yaad dilata hai, jo ke bechnay ka dabao bulata hai aur jis se hali ke darjat tak wapas hikmat amoz chalte hain. RSI se kharidar ki taqat ke isharaat ke bawajood, iska samtaur peechidgi mutasir hone ki soorat mein bhi maqooz hai, jo market dynamics ka aik mumkin normalization ya consolidation ya ulta ishaara karta hai.

Chalo, hum D1 ka chart dekhte hain. Is haftay ke shuru se hi, GBPUSD jodi nay qabil-e-tawajju tadad mein izafa kiya hai, lekin American dollar ki kamzori sirf Europi currency ke khilaf nahi, balkay tamam market ke darmiyan kamzori dikha rahi hai. Budhwar khas tor par tezi se guzra, jismein USA mein jaari khabron ka aham kirdar tha. Sab se ahem baat to ye hai ke consumer price index tajwez se kam aur muntazir shumaron se kam nikla, jo ke USD ke liye ek manfi bear market ko zahir karta hai. Jo ke haqeeqat mein graph mein dekha ja raha hai. Tezi ke doran, keemat ne April ke mahine ka aakhri ziada takmeel karne ka moqa mila. 1.2685 aur 1.2707 ke darjat ke darmiyan ek mazboot rukawat ka ilaqa hai aur ye ek mumkin bechnay ka ilaqa hai. Kal M15-M30 par mirror level ki tezi ke kinare ek formation thi, support se tabdeel ho gaya tha, aur aap aasani se bech kar apne 30 points kama sakte the. Hum naye correction ke baghair aage nahi ja sakte aur main tasleem karta hoon ke aaj, tezi se tezi se guzara hone ke baad, aaj ek correctional din hoga aur kal ki mombati is baat ko tasleem karti hai, ye aik u-turn ki khasiyat hai, ek aise spinning top ke kinare par. CCI indicator ne upper overheating zone mein gehraai se dakhil ho gaya hai aur jald hi ise chor dega. Samjhte hue ke ab sales zone ke andar keemat ke bade top ki wajah se, ek correction ke imkaanat barh jaate hain. Kisi hal mein, yahan kharidne ki koi jagah nahi hai, aap tezi ke peak ko pakad sakte hain, lekin phir bhi aapko ek pullback ka intezaar karna hoga. Agar kami tazi se phailti hai, to maksad jaga jahan main keemat ko dekhna umeed karta hoon, wo hoti hai 1.2562 ke horizontal support level par, ya thora oopar, jahan support zone ko mark ki gayi keemat se uparward indent ke saath draw kiya ja sakta hai. Yani, main ek daily support level ke test ka tasawwur karta hoon jo mombatiyon ke band honay wali keemat se tameer kiya gaya hai. Aaj koi khaas ahem khabrein nahi hain, bas ek aam

GBP/USD Aur DXY Ke Darmiyan Safar

GBP/USD ne DXY ke khilaf ek safar par qadam rakha, aur apne hala hi ke teen hafton ki unchaiyon se peechay hat kar faida rakhne mein kamyab raha. Yeh utar chadhao US se aanay wale narm tareen data ke baad dekhne ko mila. Halankeh GBP/USD 1.2588 tak pahunch gaya tha, lekin 1.2600 ke ooper apni position qaim rakhne mein mushkil ka saamna kar raha tha, jo ke 200-day moving average (DMA) ka test ban sakta hai. Abhi, GBP/USD 1.2536 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.09% ka thoda izafa darshata hai.

Federal Reserve Ki Umeedain Aur Bank of England Ka Manzarnama:

Market sentiment Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke bare mein tabdeel ho raha hai, aur pehla rate cut ab November ke bajaye September ke liye mutawaqqe hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September ki meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) ka rate reduction hone ki imkaan 48.8% tak barh gayi hai, jo sirf aik hafta pehle 43.8% thi.

Bank of England (BoE) apni anay wali meeting mein rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakhne ka intezar hai. Investors ne BoE ke interest rate cuts ki umeed ko September tak taal diya hai, UK mein mazboot wage growth ke hawalay se jo core inflation ko barhawa de rahi hai, jo ke central bank ka pasandida inflation measure hai.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis:

Abhi, GBP/USD pair aik ihtiyati "intezaar aur dekho" ka rukh apna raha hai, jo ke ek neutral manzar ke sath saath kareeb waqt mein ooper ke rukh ki taraf halka jhukao hai. Markazi nazar 1.2600 resistance level par hai, jo ke 50-DMA (1.2587 par) ke thoda neeche hai, aur jo pound ke anay wale rukh ko mutasir karne wala aham rukawat hai.





Halaanki, daily chart aik mazeed pechida tasveer pesh karta hai. Haal hi mein GBP/USD mein izafa, jo ke 50 aur 100-DMA ko tor diya, aik 'shooting star' pattern ko yaad dilata hai, jo ke bechnay ka dabao bulata hai aur jis se haali ke darjat tak wapas hikmat amoz chalte hain. RSI se kharidar ki taqat ke isharaat ke bawajood, iska samtaur peechidgi mutasir hone ki soorat mein bhi maqooz hai, jo market dynamics ka aik mumkin normalization ya consolidation ya ulta ishaara karta hai.

Kal, GBP/USD currency pair ne ahem rawayati rawayati taur par pechida rawayati taur par 1.26400 ke darje ke aas paas mawjood the. Ye level market mein southern correction ke tasdeeq ke tor par kaam karta tha. Lekin, is correction ke bawajood, keemat ne is level ko torne ya naye lower boundary sthapit karne mein nakam raha, jo mazeed nichlay rawayati ke liye mukhtalif imtiaz ki nishaani hai. Jab trading din khatam hone ke qareeb pohancha, aik dilchasp tabdeeli aayi: keemat shumali taraf rawana hui, pehle ke neeche ki rukh ko palat diya. Ye upar ki harkat effectively us southern correction ko mita deti hai jo din ke zyadatar waqt tak qaim raha tha. Phir bhi, ahem hai ke yeh shumali rawayati waqar mein ho raha tha jo ke kisi had tak aajza ki kami thi. Is tabadlay ke doran market mein liquidity ki kami ka matlab hai ke keemat ki harkatain itni wafad nahi ya nahi hai ke mazid bazaar ke trends ka izhaar karein.

Market ki conditions aur keemat ki harkatain ke context mein, main utnahteri ki mawajoodgi ke hawale se shumali mawalat ki darusti ke hawale se ikhtiyat se barqarar rakhta hoon. Tabdeeli ke doran market ki liquidity ki kami ishara karti hai ke shumali rawayati harkat asal market jazbat mein tabdeel ko numaya nahi karta. Is liye, main is upar ki correction ko nazar andaz karne par majboor hoon kyunke yeh market ke raaste ke baraabari mein kafi ahem wazan nahi rakhta. Monday aur ane wale trading sessions ki taraf nazar daurte hue, main sirf GBP/USD jodi ke liye chhoti positions par muttajir rahonga. Pehli tasdeeq southern correction ki, jo ke 1.26400 ke darje ke paar mukhtalif harkatain ke bawajood, ek bearish nazar mein madad karta hai. Maazi se shumali rawayati harkat, jo ke kam liquidity mein hui, kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye kafi saboot nahi deta. Isi tarah, maine faisla kiya hai ke is waqt kisi bhi lambi position ko mana karna hai.

Jumla tor par, GBP/USD jodi ke keemat ka 1.26400 ke aas paas kal ka amal aik tasdeeq shuda southern correction ko darust karta hai, halankeh naye nichlay darjy ko torne ki kami rahi. Din ke akhri waqt ki shumali harkat, jo aik kam liquidity wale market mein hui, southern correction ko mansookh karne ke liye kafi mazboot buniyad faraham nahi karti. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, meri agle strategies pe focus karna rahega chhote positions par, jab ke lambi positions ko abhi ke liye side par rakhna hai. Ye ihtiyaati rukh is maqsad ke liye hai ke mawqe ke mustaqbil ki ihtemalat ke saath wabasta khatarnakion ko kam kia ja sake aur yeh yaqeeni bana sake ke meri trading ke faislay zyada mukhlis aur ahmiyat ke hamil market signals par mabni hoon.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis aaj ka muzakara mawad hai. Main teen darjat par nazar rakh raha hoon: markazi 1.2686 par, pehla 1.2748 par, aur doosra 1.2811 par. Mojooda qeemat 1.2692 jo 1.2684 ke oopar hai, currency pair ki tezi nisbatan rahegi, isliye main long positions ka taraqqi pasand hun. Zyada volatility ke doran, main apni long positions ko 1.2811 par exchange rate pohanchne par band karne ki taraf mutawaqqa hun. Main bechne ka irada nahi rakhta agar exchange rate 1.2814 ke oopar ya 1.2686 ke neeche trade na ho. In suraton mein, 1.2557 kharidne walon ke liye ek intikhabi nishana hai, lekin yeh faisla makhsoos market ke haalaat par munhasar hai. H4 time frame ki jaaiza lene par, mujhe qeemat ki bewaqt chalane ki shakhsiyat nazar aati hai. Mojudah halat mein, qeemat channel ke ooper hisse ke andar hai aur aik resistance level ki taraf ja rahi hai.
Is tajziya ke mutabiq, qeemat jald hi is resistance level tak pohanchegi. Magar agar qeemat is resistance ko paar na kar sake, to yeh bullish momentum ki kamzori ka saboot de sakta hai, jo shayad channel ke support ke neeche girne ki taraf ishara kare. Halankeh yeh andaza hai, H4 ke movement ke choot par ek stop signal se forex market ki anayatiyat ki ahmiyat ko talash karta hai, khaaskar GBP/USD ki teziyat mein. Main wasiqa market ke mutabiq trading strategies ka ahmiyat ko maanta hun, khaas tor par kameyaab hone ki umeed mein. Main jaldi bechne ya lot size ko barhane ki bajaye, sabar aur soch samajh kar amal ka tareeqa pasand karta hun. Halankeh mojooda European session ke dauraan kareeb 1.2705 ki tangi hai, lekin main aane wale kuch trading dino mein 300 point ki keemat girawat ka intezar kar raha hun, shayad agle haftay tak phel jaye. Ghairat se maamooli fesle par amal karne ki ahmiyat ko tasleem karte hue, main ehtiyaat aur fikrmandi se kaam kaaj jari rakhta hun.

Aaj, hum GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka tajziya karne par tawajjo denge. Pair ne din ki shuruaat mein thori si neeche ki taraf khaai ki, lekin jald hi apni upar ki rukh ko jari rakha. Rozana ka chart dikhata hai ke upar ki harkat mein abhi bhi keemaat mein mazeed izafa mumkin hai. Agar keemat 1.2635 ki support level tak gir jaye, to long positions ke liye faida mand hoga. Agar keemat chadhati price channel se bahar nikalti hai ya bullish maqasid 161.8% aur 200% Fibonacci extension levels ko paar karti hai, jin ki keemat 1.2732 aur takreeban 1.2848 hai, to farokht shuru karne ka tawazon karen. Yeh mumkin manzar mazeed barhane ke liye ho sakta hai, jab USD mein barqarar kami ka sabab GBP/USD pair ki izafa mein izafa ho sakta hai.
Rozana chart par, upar ki taraf chalne wale channel ka irteqa mukhtalif hai, jis se tor phor ke darjayat aur nichla channel banne ka imkaan hai. Baad mein, keemat upar ki taraf chalne wale channel ke support tak wapas gayi, phir apni upar ki harkat jari rakhi, dono upar ki taraf aur niche ki taraf chalne wale channel ki manzil ko tor diya. Ye tabdeelion ka ishara hai ke market shirakat daron ke liye mehfooz taur par munafa kamane ka ek aramdayak silsila hai. Halankeh ahem loss ke bajaaye, jaldi position bandi ne nuqsanat ko kam kiya hai, aur aise waqiyat aam tor par mukhalif hoti hain. Rozana ke tanqeedi izafe ka tawaqqo hone ke bawajood, bechnay ki dabav ki kami ek bullish bias ko dikhata hai. Pichle haftay ke maqasid ke faaiz ko tor karne ka tawaqquq gira, aur bullish momentum jari rahega, jise haftawar barahwin moving average ko paar karne ka imkaan hai.

Chalo, hum D1 ka chart dekhte hain. Is haftay ke shuru se hi, GBPUSD jodi nay qabil-e-tawajju tadad mein izafa kiya hai, lekin American dollar ki kamzori sirf Europi currency ke khilaf nahi, balkay tamam market ke darmiyan kamzori dikha rahi hai. Budhwar khas tor par tezi se guzra, jismein USA mein jaari khabron ka aham kirdar tha. Sab se ahem baat to ye hai ke consumer price index tajwez se kam aur muntazir shumaron se kam nikla, jo ke USD ke liye ek manfi bear market ko zahir karta hai. Jo ke haqeeqat mein graph mein dekha ja raha hai. Tezi ke doran, keemat ne April ke mahine ka aakhri ziada takmeel karne ka moqa mila. 1.2685 aur 1.2707 ke darjat ke darmiyan ek mazboot rukawat ka ilaqa hai aur ye ek mumkin bechnay ka ilaqa hai. Kal M15-M30 par mirror level ki tezi ke kinare ek formation thi, support se tabdeel ho gaya tha, aur aap aasani se bech kar apne 30 points kama sakte the. Hum naye correction ke baghair aage nahi ja sakte aur main tasleem karta hoon ke aaj, tezi se tezi se guzara hone ke baad, aaj ek correctional din hoga aur kal ki mombati is baat ko tasleem karti hai, ye aik u-turn ki khasiyat hai, ek aise spinning top ke kinare par. CCI indicator ne upper overheating zone mein gehraai se dakhil ho gaya hai aur jald hi ise chor dega. Samjhte hue ke ab sales zone ke andar keemat ke bade top ki wajah se, ek correction ke imkaanat barh jaate hain. Kisi hal mein, yahan kharidne ki koi jagah nahi hai, aap tezi ke peak ko pakad sakte hain, lekin phir bhi aapko ek pullback ka intezaar karna hoga. Agar kami tazi se phailti hai, to maksad jaga jahan main keemat ko dekhna umeed karta hoon, wo hoti hai 1.2562 ke horizontal support level par, ya thora oopar, jahan support zone ko mark ki gayi keemat se uparward indent ke saath draw kiya ja sakta hai. Yani, main ek daily support level ke test ka tasawwur karta hoon jo mombatiyon ke band honay wali keemat se tameer kiya gaya hai. Aaj koi khaas ahem khabrein nahi hain, bas ek aam takneeki utar chadh ki umeed hai bila kisi hairat ke.

GBP/USD daily H4 timeframe chart
GBP/USD daily H4 timeframe chart

Salam. American dollar ek upar ki raftar ka samna kar raha hai, aur kal isne ek naye maqami bulandi tak pohanch gaya, rozana chart par dynamic channel ke upper boundary ko paar kar gaya. Yeh taraqqi ek bullish trend ka possible jari rehne ka zahir karta hai, agle target hai GBP/USD daily H4 timeframe chart ka resistance level 1.27025, jo ke Fibonacci grid ke sath milta hai. Lekin mojooda market mein ahem volatility ki kami hai ek chhuti ke wajah se. Kal bhi currency pair ke liye kuch khaas hone ka intezar nahi hai, lekin roshni daalne wali mazboot khabrein jin ka asar dono British pound aur American dollar par hoga, mangalwar ko mutawaqqa hai. Is liye, resistance level ka breakthrough parson ki tawajjo ka mutawaqqa hai.



Yeh ek mushkil market mahol tayar karta hai, jahan traders ko chaukanna aur tayar rehna zaroori hai. Market ka jazbaat tezi se tabdeel ho sakta hai, aur akhri taza updates ke bare mein maloom rahna faisle karne ke liye ahem hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), market ke trends aur potential reversal points ke bare mein mazeed insights faraham kar sakte hain. Aakhri tajziya daily chart ka, market ke overextended sharaait ki wajah se, ek neeche ki correction ke liye buland imkanat ka sujhaav deta hai. Sab se zyada mumkin scenario mein, GBP/USD daily H1 timeframe chart mein 1.26996 ke level se ek rebound hoga, aur baad mein 1.26830 tak ja sakti hai. Agar bearish momentum jari rakhta hai, to mazeed giravat tak ja sakti hai. Albatta, agar market 1.27025 ko tor deti hai, to ek buland uthane ki sambhavna 1.27370 tak hai, phir ek ahem correction hone ke pehle. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur mukhya levels aur technical indicators ko moniter karna chahiye taake yeh mushkil market mahol ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Intricate dance in levels ka zikar, market ki dynamic tabiyat ka ek saboot hai. Yeh sartaaj hai ke multiple scenarios ke liye tayar rehne ka ahemiyat, kyunke market ki harkat aksar tawaqo ko dafa karti hai. Maloomat hasil karke aur ek mazboot trading strategy ka istemal karke, traders market ke mauqe ko behtar taur par samajh sakte hain jabke risk ko kam karte hain. Chahe market 1.26996 se rebound kare ya phir 1.27025 ko tor kar buland uthaye tak jaaye, tayar rehne ki ahemiyat hai aur market ke sharaait ke tabdeel hone par jawabdeh hona hai.


GBP/USD daily H1 timeframe chart

GBP/USD currency pair ki price abhi buyers ke control mein hai, aur yeh likely hai ke yeh rise karegi. Lekin, buyers agay barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur unki position abhi bhi zyada secure nahi hai. Agar yeh pattern continue karta hai, toh hum kuch hi dair mein price increase dekh sakte hain. Albeit, bears abhi bhi strong hain, inertia unki opposition ko weaken kar degi. Market ko naya momentum mil sakta hai naye fundamental data ki wajah se. Bears ko seriously sochna chahiye entry lene ke baad agar most transactions development ki taraf shift hoti hain. Significant upcoming news market ko upwards drive kar sakti hai, marking the third wave in this cycle, jo trend resistance aur channel highs ko lead kar sakti hai. Basic resistance level 1.2716 par significant hai is direction ko determine karne mein.



Bearish Signals Persist

Aaj subah, maine GBP/USD pair ko dekha, aur double-top pattern ko nahin, balke iski current behavior ko dekha. Pair everyday opposition zone ko try kar raha hai, aur agar yeh level break karta hai, toh negative outlook ko nullify kar sakta hai, aur further upward movement ko lead kar sakta hai towards the daily trend line ya weekly resistance zone. Ek Double Top kuch dinon mein emerge ho sakta hai agar resistance hold karti hai. Pound overbought lag raha hai, aur thoda rise hone ke bawajood, yeh opposition ko breach karne mein fail ho gaya, indicating weakness among the bulls. Is situation ko dekhte hue, hum expect karte hain consolidation around the 1.2705 level, followed by a potential sharp downfall towards the critical mark 1.2506. As a result, trading recommendations suggest selling the pair at its current levels, aiming for a possible decline below 1.1805. In summary, jabke upward movement ka potential hai, significant resistance at 1.2712 aur weakening bullish momentum alert suggest karte hain.

Kal ki trading session ek 4 ghantay ka market chart par mabni thi, jahan sellers ne zehni support level 1.2650 ko test karne ki koshish ki, lekin ye koshish kamyabi hasil nahi hui. Agar ye support level kamyabi se penetrate ho jata hai, to mumkin hai ke qeemat ko mazeed nichayi ki taraf daba diya jaye, aglay support level ko test karne ke liye. Sellers ke nakam hone ke sath, market ki halat dobara se buyers ke poori tarah kabze mein hai, aur ab qeemat middle band aur EMA50 ke upar trading kar rahi hai. Ye saaf taur par darust karta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ko khareedne ka mazboot trend ab bhi jaari hai, bullish candlestick ki mazbooti ke sath, buyers ko qareebi resistance level 1.2750 ko test karne ki umeed hai. Shayed, agar ye resistance level kamyabi se penetrate ho jata hai, to qeemat ko mazeed buland kiya jaye ga, aglay resistance level ko test karne ke liye.
Trading plan Upar di gayi bunyadi takneeki tajziya ka istemal kar ke, GBPUSD currency trading plan khareedne ke options ko mad e nazar rakhta hai. Market mein dakhil hone ke liye, behtar hai ke hum qareebi support level ko test karne ka correction price ka intezar karen, taake hume ideal re-entry setup mil sake. Aur pin bar candlestick pattern, hum bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ka istemal kar sakte hain GBPUSD currency price ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq ke tor par, taake hume khatre ko behtar taur par control kar sakein. Trading shuru karne ke liye, pehle support level 1.2700 par kharidne ka plan, agar ye support level kamyabi se penetrate ho jata hai, to hum doosre support level 1.2650 par intezar kar sakte hain. Aur stop loss ke liye, hum ek minimum 1:1 set kar sakte hain, aur profit target ke liye hum 100 pips le sakte hain, hum mojooda market shiraa'at ke mutabiq bhi isay adjust kar sakte hain.

Takneeki tajziya ke ikhtitam se wazahat hai, kyunki GBPUSD currency ka bullish trend ab bhi qanooni hai, ek dilchasp kharidne ke trading option ko mad e nazar rakhen, jise hume khaas tor par qareebi resistance level tak pohanchne par tawajjo deni chahiye.

GBP/USD ne DXY ke khilaf aik safar par kaha, jama rakh kar faida kamaya jab ke apni haal hi ki teen hafton ki unchaiyon se peechay hat gaya. Ye tabdeeli narm tareen intahai data se milay ho sakti hai jo ke US se aaya. Halankeh GBP/USD 1.2588 par pahuncha, lekin 1.2600 ke ooper ek jaga qaim rakhna mushkil tha, jo ke 200-day moving average (DMA) ki taraf se test ka raasta saaf karta hai. Abhi, GBP/USD 1.2536 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.09% ka aik zyada sahaara darust kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve Ki Umeeden Aur Bank of England Ka Manzarnama:

Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke baray mein market sentiment tabdeel ho rahi hai, jahan initial rate cut ki umeed ab November ke bajaye September ke liye darust ki ja rahi hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September ki meeting ke doran 25 basis points (bps) ke rate reduction ki imkaan 48.8% tak pahunchi hai, sirf aik hafta pehle 43.8% thi.

Bank of England (BoE) apni anay wali meeting mein rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakhne ka intezar hai. Investors ne BoE ke interest rate cuts ki umeed ko September tak taal diya hai, UK mein mazboot tanqeed ki wajah se jo ke mukhtasir inflation ko barhawa de rahi hai, jo central bank ki pasandida inflation ka nuskha hai.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis:

Abhi, GBP/USD pair aik ihtiyati "intezaar aur dekho" ka tareeqa apna raha hai, jise aik neutral manzar samjha jata hai lekin thori umer mein ooper ki taraf halki inclination hai. Markazi nazar 1.2600 resistance level par hai, jo ke 50-DMA (1.2587 par thora neeche) ke qareeb hai, aur jo pound ke anay wale rukh ko mutasir karne wala aham rukawat hai. Halaanki, daily chart aik mazeed mufassal tasveer pesh karta hai. Haal hi mein GBP/USD mein izafa, jo ke 50 aur 100-DMA ko tor diya, aik 'shooting star' pattern ko yaad dilata hai, jo ke bechnay ka dabao bulata hai aur jis se hali ke darjat tak wapas hikmat amoz chalte hain . RSI se kharidar ki taqat ke isharaat ke bawajood, iska samtaur peechidgi mutasir hone ki soorat mein bhi maqooz hai, jo market dynamics ka aik mumkin normalization ya consolidation ya ulta ishaara karta hai.

GBP/USD Daily Forecast ka Exclusive Pehla Jhalak
British pound (GBP) ne hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai US dollar (USD) ke against Asian trading mein. Halankeh GBP/USD pair ne opening bell par thoda dip kiya, lekin jaldi hi apne sab losses recover kar liye aur pichle hafte ke high ko bhi surpass kar gaya. Yeh upward movement Euro (EUR) ke rise ko mirror karti hai jabke US dollar major currencies ke against weaken ho raha hai. Kai factors American dollar par downward pressure daal rahe hain. Investors filhal traditional safe-haven assets mein panah dhoond rahe hain, jo economic uncertainty ke dauran typically benefit karte hain. Monday ko overall news flow relatively quiet nazar aa raha hai, lekin market participants Bank of England aur US Federal Reserve ke policymakers ke upcoming speeches par close attention denge. Analysts predict kar rahe hain ke trading day ke pehle hissa mein GBP/USD pair mein potential downward correction ho sakta hai





Magar, dominant outlook upward trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai. Ek key level jo watch karne layak hai woh hai 1.2645. Agar pair is point ko surpass kar leta hai, to analysts anticipate karte hain ke buying opportunities potential price targets 1.2765 aur hatta ke 1.2815 par ho sakti hain. Alternatively, agar GBP/USD pair 1.2645 level se neeche girta hai aur consolidate karna shuru karta hai, to yeh further decline ki rah de sakta hai towards 1.2615 aur potentially hatta ke 1.2595. Seedhi baat mein, British pound filhal US dollar ke against strengthen ho raha hai kuch factors ke combination ke wajah se, jinmein dollar ki weakness aur investors ka safety ki taraf flight shamil hain. Early on temporary dip ho sakti hai, lekin overall expectation yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair rising continue karega. Key level jo monitor karne layak hai woh hai 1.2645, jo likely pair ki direction ko determine karega baki ke din ke liye.