Usd/jpy

USD/JPY currency pair ne aghaz ki alamat dikhana shuru kar di hain keh ek mumkinah downtrend ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jaise ke chart par dekha gaya hai. Abhi, keemat 156.195 ka ahem darja todne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Ye tajurba kar traders aur investors ke liye ahem hai jo is currency pair ko nazdeek se nazar andaaz karte hain, kyun ke ye market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli aur peechle urooj se mukhatab ummeed-e-taraar ke maarkooz ho sakti hai. Technical pehloo ko tajziya karne par, USD/JPY ne kai signals diye hain jo dikhate hain ke ek downtrend nazdeek ho sakta hai. Ye signals include kartay hain bearish candlestick patterns, ghatte hue momentum indicators, aur price chart par lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila. 156.195 support level ki ahmiyat ko zaada na samjha ja sakta hai; ye pehle bhi aham roke hue hai, keemat ki parchiyaan faraham karte hain. Agar is level ke neeche kamyabi se toot jaata hai, to ye aur girawat ki raah ban sakta hai, mohtayat downward movement tak pohunchte hue. Technical signals ke ilawa, mukhtalif asooli factors mojooda keemat karwaai mein shamil ho sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki interest rate policies mein tabdeeliyan USD/JPY pair par shaded asar dal sakti hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada dovish raaye ikhtiyaar karti hai jabke Bank of Japan hawkish raaye ya apni mojooda policy ko barqarar rakhti hai, to USD ko JPY ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, dono mumalik se GDP ki taraqqi dar, mahangi shumar, aur employment reports jaise arzi data releases market ki tawaqo ko shakhsiyat dene mein ahem role ada karte hain aur currency pair ke rukh ko mutasir karte hain. Market jazbat bhi ek ahem factor hai jo USD/JPY ko mutasir kar sakta hai. High risk-e-talab moasir hotay waqt, investors aman pasand assets jaise Japanese yen ki taraf bhagtay hain, jo ke JPY ko mazboot bana sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko kamzor bana sakta hai. Mukhtalif taraf pasandidgi ke doran, USD JPY ke muqable mein JPY ke muqable mein shahat mil sakti hai jabke investors ziada returns ke talabgar hote hain riskier assets mein. Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY currency pair ek ahem maqam par hai, jahan price 156.195 ke khaas level ke neeche tootne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Downtrend ki pehli alamat wazeh hain, lekin ye keh ye ek mohtayat movement banegi ya nahi, ye dekhna baki hai. Traders aur investors ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, technical signals, asooli factors, aur market jazbat par nazar rakhte hue aage ane wale khatron aur mauqe ko sahi tarah se samajhne ke liye.

USD/JPY ka rally jari rehne ka set hai, kyunki momentum buyers ki taraf hai, jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) dikhata hai. Yeh, aur prices ke Ichimoku Cloud ke upar hone ke sath, bulls ke liye near term mein 156.00 ko challenge karne ka raasta bana sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price Kijun-Sen ke neeche 155.78 girta hai, toh yeh Senkou Span A 155.22 ko challenge karne ka raasta bana sakta hai, followed by Tenkan-Sen 154.92.

USD/JPY North American session ke doran steadily advance kiya, ek worse-than-expected University of Michigan (UoM) poll ke baad, jo dikhata hai ke American consumers economy ke baare mein pessimistic ho rahe hain. Iske bawajood, major 155.83 par trade kar raha hai, 0.24% up hai.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index May mein 77.2 se gir kar 67.4 par aa gaya, jo analysts’ estimates 76 ko miss karta hai. Joanne Hsu, Director of the UoM Survey ke mutabiq, 10-point decline "statistically significant" hai aur sentiment ko uske lowest reading par lagbhag chhe mahine mein le aata hai. Survey ke mutabiq, Americans inflation, unemployment, aur interest rates ke baare mein concerned ho rahe hain.

Ek saal ke liye inflation expectations May mein 3.2% se badh kar 3.5% hui aur 3.1% par khadi thi, jo ek tenth 3.0% se ek dus saal ke period ke liye upar hai.

US 10-year Treasury note yield data release ke baad char basis points (bps) se badh kar 4.498% hui. US Dollar Index (DXY) bhi 0.14% advance hokar 105.35 par aa gaya, kyunki recession fears ne dubara janam liya, jaisa ke UoM survey suggest karta hai ke consumer spending near term mein weaken ho sakta hai.

Japanese Yen ko BoJ se support mil sakta hai agar yeh ultra-loose monetary policy stance ko khatam karne ki taraf shift indicate karta hai, possibly ek rate hike ke zariye jo saat saalon ke negative rates ka end mark karega. Governor Ueda aur Deputy Governor Hino ne December mein is bare mein kuch comments diye the. Us direction mein rumors aur speculations Yen ke liye momentum trigger karenge.

Bank of Japan Japan ka central bank hai aur yeh Bank of Japan Act ke base par established ek juridical person hai, na ke ek government agency ya private corporation. BoJ ke sabse important missions hain: banknotes issue karna aur manage karna, monetary policy implement karna aur financial system ki stability ko ensure karna. Lagbhag saari decisions Policy Board dwara li jaati hain, jo bunch of members se mil kar currency aur monetary control provide karte hain aur central bank ke next moves set karte hain.

156.52 ki keemat ka imtehaan tab hua jab MACD indicator pehlay se hi zero mark se tezi se ooper chala gaya tha, jo dollar ke mazeed barhne ki mumkinat ko mutasir kiya, subah ki tarah. Is wajah se, maine kharidne se inkaar kar diya. Main doosre farokht manzaray ka intezaar bhi nahi kiya, isliye merey paas US session ke doran dakhli nishanay nahi thay. Japan se data ke na honay ki surat mein, karobari ab aaj ke US data par tawajjo denge, jo bazaar ko shadeed hilaa sakta hai. Is lamha tak, Bank of Japan daakhil honay ka intizaar nahi karega, aur bazaar mein taqat ka tanaza badalne ki salahiyat rakhtay bade khilari bhi ahem report ki taraf mudeh hon gay. Sideways channel ke andar trading hamara markazi tawajjo hai. Hum dopahar ke tajwez mein US data ka mubahisa karenge. Intarday strategy ke tor par, main doosre tajwez ki amal par zyada bhrosa karunga. Kharidne ke signals Tajwez No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka iraada karta hoon jab keemat 156.43 par pahunch jaye jo chart par haree rekha ke zariye darj hai, niyat 156.94 ke bharta huye haree rekha par umeed ki jati hai. 156.94 k shetra mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikal jaunga aur ulat karun positions khulunga, umeed karta hun ke us level se mukhaalif rukh mein 30-35 pips ki chalaki hogi. Aaj aap USD/JPY ke barhne ki umeed kar sakte hain, lekin sirf sidewise channel ke andar. Kharidne se pehle, yaqeeni banayen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper hai aur sirf is se ubharte hue hai.
Tajwez No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidne ka iraada karta hoon agar do musalsal 156.16 ke imtehano mein waqt guzarte hue MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye jodi ki neeche ki mumkinat ko mehdood karega aur bazaar ka ulat-phir se guzarne ki taraf le jayega. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke 156.43 aur 156.94 ke mukhaalif darajayon tak barhne ki umeed hai.

Farokht ke signals Tajwez No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY farokht karne ka iraada karta hoon sirf 156.16 ke imtehan ke baad, jo chart par surkhi se darj hai, jo keemat mein shandar kami ka baais banega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem nishaan 155.76 hoga, jahan main lambi positions se bahar nikal jaunga aur turant mukhaalif mein positions kholunga, umeed hai ke us level se mukhaalif rukh mein 20-25 pips ki chalaki hogi. USD/JPY par dabaw wapas aaj ke high ke qareeb baithne mein kami aaye agar keemat naye balandaiyon par theher na paye. Farokht karne se pehle, yaqeeni banayen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is se ghat raha hai.

Tajwez No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY farokht karne ka iraada karta hoon agar do musalsal 156.43 ke keemat ke imtehanat hue jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye jodi ki upar ki mumkinat ko mehdood karega aur bazaar ka neeche phir se guzarne ka natija hoga. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke 156.16 aur 155.76 ke mukhaalif darajayon tak girne ki umeed hai.

USD JPY Outlook Technical Analysis:
Primary trend ki intricacies ko samajhne se shayad substantial insights na milen. Japanese economy ke enigmatic fluctuations ne analysts ko confuse kar diya hai, jo national currency ke precipitous decline se evident hai. Phir bhi, recent developments mein ek achanak reversal dekha gaya hai, jo speculation ko janam de raha hai ke internal measures liye gaye hain economic stability ko bolster karne ke liye. Lekin, yeh volatile economic landscape formidable challenges present karta hai, khaaskar technology sector aur vulnerable marginal zones ke liye.

Ek chhoti si span mein teen din tak, margin ne ek lafz-gardani tarz mein oscillate kiya, teesri martaba rukh badal gaya. Aise be-dhang rawayat ka agah hokar, main is behaal haal ke baad ek market ka mustaqbil ke saath aawaaz ki talash mein raha. Magar afsos, maujooda mahol sirf ek aur marginal tabdili ko tasleem karta hai, is baar shumal se janoob ki taraf. Magar, main is tabdili ki sachai par ghor kar raha hoon, aise volatile candlestick patterns se nikalne wale trading signals ki reliability par shak karte hue. Maaliyati market ke mamle mein, uncertainty sab se bada hai, jo risk aur inaam ka lagaataar cycle barqarar rakhta hai. Magar, is halchal ke darmiyan, samajhdar traders be-inteha gumraahi ke darmiyan patterns ko pehchante hain jo seemit be-inteha lag rahi ho, apne insight ka faida uthakar chalaang lagate hain taake mushkil manzar mein tezi aur hosla dikha sakein. Is kaam mein, woh market ki jazbaati manzilon ke be-dhang mizaj ko muqabla karte hain, aur munafa ke raste ko banate hain.

Mawjudah market ki harkaton ki zahir se be-qabu hone ke bawajood, samajhdaar traders apne tasalsul ke liye musalsal parcham ke peechhe hain. Jabke in harkaton ko chalane wale tareeqe nazar andaz rahe hain, chust shanasi karne wale dekhte hain ke mukhtalif factors, jaise ke geopolitical tensions se lekar macroeconomic policies tak. Waise bhi, aise toofani paniyon mein se guzarna ek ehtiyaat aur mustahkam hona ka milaap talab karta hai, jabke traders asal trends ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain be-inteha market ki shor-gul ke darmiyan. Be-yaqeeni ke darmiyan mustahkamgi ki talash mein, traders risk aur inaam ki asli misaal se joojh rahe hain. Jabke harkat paida karna munafa ke liye mouqa deti hai,