Mujhe lag raha hai ke USD-CHF market mein H4 reference time frame par trend ki shuruaati stage mein ek bearish trend hai, lekin daily chart par mukhtalif surat hai jahan bullish trend ka rukh abhi bhi qawi hai. Main H4 TF par puri tafseelat ka izhaar karunga.USD-CHF market ka chart H4 TF par reference ke mutabiq, dekha ja sakta hai ke abhi candle movement Ma 200 ke area ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Magar, bearish trend abhi itna mazboot nahi lag raha, jahan ke daam abhi trend ke tabdeeli ke shuruaati marhale mein hain. Main istemal ki jane wali 3 Ma movement bhi seemit hone ki taraf lagti hai, jahan ye abhi bhi daam ko ek bullish trend mein jaari rakhne ya lambay arse ke liye ek bearish marhale mein tabdeel hone ki munsalik imkanaat ko mad-e-nazar rakhti hai. Upar ke hadood jo ke trend ko bullish marhale mein lotne ke imkanat ke liye mad-e-nazar kiye jaane chahiye, vo 0.9097 resistance area ke upar ki movement hai aur Ma 100 area ke qareeb 0.9110 ke aas paas barhne ki izafat hai. Agar ye surat barqarar rahegi, to mazeed barhne ke liye imkanat khuli hain takreeban 0.9160 ke aas paas supply area tak pahunchne ki aur phir aage barhne ke koshish ki ja sakti hai crucial resistance area ke upar tak lagbhag 0.9220 ke aas paas. Intehai, bearish trend ko jari rakhne ki imkanat ke saath saath nazdeek ke support area 0.9050 mein kami ke saath khul sakti hai. Is daam ke lehaz se neeche ki movement bech keharid ke liye nishchit ki ja sakti hai takreeban 0.9006 ke aas paas lowest support area tak girne ke liye aur nuksan ki khatra ko 0.9100 ke daam ke upar rakhne ke liye.Jumma ko, Early European trading mein, US dollar Swiss Franc ke khilaf teesri mubtala satoon mein apni girawat ki rah jaari rakha, jis mein woh manfi soorat haal mein trading kar raha tha. Pehle, USD ne 0.9224 ke qareeb sat mah ke oonchi darjat tak pohancha tha, lekin isay currency market mein dollar ki khalwat ki wajah se shumar kiya gaya hai. Sarmayakaron ko April ke non-farm payroll data ka intizaar hai, jo ke US ki maeeshat ki sehat ka aham pehloo hai aur is se umeed hai ke 243,000 naukriyan izafa dikhayi jayengi. Do din pehle, Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko be-harkat chhod diya tha lekin izhar kiya ke madda darjaat ko rokne mein progress tham gaya hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne ishara diya ke madda dar ka mudda darjaat ko Fed ke hadaf ke paas lautaega is per zyada waqt lena parega. Halankeh, yeh lambay arse mein buland US interest rates ka asar daalte hain, jo ke aam tor par dollar ko mazboot karta hai, lekin short-term manzar ghair yaqeeni hai. Is ke ilawa, Thursday ko, Swiss Federal Statistics Office ne report kiya ke April mein Swiss inflation umeed se tezi se barh gaya, jo ke USD par aur dabav dala.April mein, Price Index market ke tajziyati andazaat ko guzara aur 1.0% se barh kar 1.4% tak pohancha. Is izafa mein inflation ne Swiss Franc ko sarmayakaron ke liye ziata kashishmand bana diya, jo USD/CHF jodi par aur dabav dala. Haal hi mein Thomas Jordan, Swiss National Bank ke President, ke bemaujood remarks bhi dollar ki girawat mein hissa daale. Jordan ne sarmayakaron ko yakeen dalaya ke SNB ko inflation ka bharosa hai aur umeed hai ke keematain agle chand saalon mein apne hadaf range ke andar rehengi. Girawat ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators hai jo USD/CHF jodi ke liye support ka imkan dikhate hain. Bullish trend line, December ke kam se kam darjat se qaim ki gayi, ab tak mojud hai, aur mojooda support 0.8765 par hai. Is ke ilawa, January ke neechay girne ka tajwez karna bhi ek khareedne ka moqa ban sakta hai, aur is se mazeed girawat ko roka ja sakta hai. Magar agar support level toot jata hai, to USD/CHF ko mazeed girawat ka samna karna parega. Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence ek girawati trend ko ishara karta hain, jabke Stochastic Index 20 ke oversold threshold ke oopar ki qeemat ki taraf ishara karta hai.
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