eur/usd

EUR/USD k bare mein apna analysis share karen?

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein taraqqi se kami nazar aayi hai, jise bade currencies ke khilaf US dollar ke mustaqil mazboot honay ka bara sabab hai. Ye trend maali lafzat mein rukhne ki economic la tajarubaat mein aaman ki talaash karne wale investors ki taraf se dawat deta hai. Mukhtalif factors ne euro par dabao daala hai, khaaskar eurozone mein, khaas tor par Germany mein bigarte hue economic conditions, jo pair ki giravat ko mazeed barha raha hai. Ibtidaati trading expectations mein EUR/USD pair mein khaas zyada volatility ka intizaar nahi tha. Jabke giravat ka jari rehne ka imkaan tha, wahaan thora saaray kaam hone ka imkaan tha, jahan market analysts ne 1.0835 ke aas paas aik mojooda mukaarar point par ankh rakhi. Planat inhein is manzil ke neeche bechna tha, jahan targets agle levels par set kiye gaye the jaise 1.0735 aur 1.0685. Mukhtasir tor par jo soch thi woh cautious tha EUR/USD pair ke liye, maazi ke market conditions ko dekhte hue sust negative dabaav ka imkaan tha. Chhote arsay ke kharidari mawaid ko rokne ki sochi gayi, jise chalte hue giravat ka trend bana rehta tha. Magar, agar H1 chart 1.0823 ke upar chadh jata to ek umeed hai ke upar ki correction ho sakti hai, magar is se pehle bearish momentum ka imkaan tha. Bechna 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar mashwara diya gaya, jo daily chart par saathwe figure ke neeche girne ki taraf ishaara karta tha. Magar, giravat ke douran intraday pullbacks se ehtiyaat ki zarurat thi. Mumkin mukhaalifat ke bawajood, peheli prioriti bechne par thi. Market players ke shift hone ke saath, kal ke Asian session mein ziada volatility ka imkaan tha, jise European session mein kami ka imkaan tha. Darmiyani doran, chaarwein wave number char ke neeche halat ka hal chal raha hai, jahan ahem level ab 1.0800 par hai, jo bechne ka aik factor bhi hai. Upar ke trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara 1.0800 ke breach se hoga. In dynamics ke darmiyan, traders ko hoshiyar rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ka mashwara diya gaya taa ke douran market conditions ko hal kiya ja sake. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical events aur macroeconomic data releases ka tasavvur tha ke pair ki harkat ko asar andaz ho sakta tha, trading landscape mein mazeed complexity ka ek aur layer daal deta tha. Isliye, traders ke liye zaroori tha ke wo inform rahen aur unke faisla kun processes mein agile rahen tak ke potential opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake aur risks ko effectively kam kiya ja sake. Mukhtasar tor par, EUR/USD pair ki short se medium term ke liye nazarya giravat mein raha, temporary upward corrections ka imkaan hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat aur ahem levels aur technical indicators ko qareeb se dekh kar maqool trading decisions lene ki zaroorat thi.

EUR/USD

Time frame H4:-
Kal ke trading ke doran, bull apni upar ki movement jaari rakh sakte the pehle America ki mazeed taaqatwar statistics ka ijra hone ke bawajood, halankeh yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke maaliyat ke izafa se mutaliq data mayoos kun tha, jabke updated data ne ek numaya kami ko zahir kiya... jaanib. Se mutawaqqa. Aaj hum doosre personal consumer spending par maloomat ka ek sath intezaar kar rahe hain, jiska mumkinah izafa US dollar ko support de sakta hai. Technical surat-e-haal 4 ghanton ke chart par tabdeel ho rahi hai, aur qeematien Asian session ke doran mude ho gayi hain aur ab neelay moving average ke neeche wapas ane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar kaamyaab rahein, to hume umeed hai ke pullback 1.0690 ya is se kam support level tak pohanch sake, jis se trading range ka darmiyani had 1.0670 ke darja tak set hogi. Ek doosra manzar-e-amal shamil kiya jayega, agar 1.0745 ke darja ke upar ek pur amin breakdown aur qeemat ke mazboot honay ka milay. Toh, haan, mujhe umeed nahi hai ke qeematien figure aath mein hongi; H4 chart par, uptrend ki taraf jaate hue raaste par, ek mazboot resistance level 1.0763 par hai, jo ke is doran trading range ke darmiyan had ka darmiyan almost barabar hai, jo ultay ko upar jane mein bohot mushkil bana deta hai. Darmiyan muddat ke liye, southern taraf, qeematien 1.0643 ke support level ko pehchanna chahti hongi. Pichle haftay ke aakhri kaam karne ke din sab ko salaam.

Thursday ko, America mein mukhtalif khabron ke baad, hamara asla lahriya dakshin mein gir gaya, lekin bhi uchhal gaya. EURUSD ke darajat 1.0719 par hain. Hourly chart par lage aksar indicators abhi bhi kharidne ki taraf hain. Aaj bhi America ki maaliyat ke baray mein kuch statistics hain, lekin woh itne ahem nahi hain. Main samajhta hoon ke aaj European session ke doran woh thoda sa southern taraf rukh sakte hain. Lekin jab shaam ke qareeb hoga, main sochta hoon ke kharidne wale dobara ubhar aayege aur EURUSD ke darajat 1.0800 ki taraf badhte rahenge.

US mein ujrat mein izafa ne mali mandiyon ko pareshan kar diya hai. Investors ko khadsha hai ke ye izafa inflation ko hawa de sakta hai aur Federal Reserve ko shurkh rate kam karne se rok sakta hai, bawajood is ke ke US maishat kamzor hoti ja rahi hai. Is se safe havens ki taraf flight hui hai, jis ne Euro ko Dollar ke muqable neeche daba diya hai. European mandiyan budh ke roz Labor Day ki wajah se band thein, is liye sab ki nazar Fed ke aane wale shurkh rate faislay par thi. Bazar ko tawakul hai ke shurkh rate barqarar rahega, lekin inflation ki fikar aur US ki mayus kun maishat ke data ke sath, investors Fed se zyada wazeh rehnumai ki talash mein hain. Ye khabar US ke mukhtalif maishati asarat ke darmiyan aayi hai. Ghar ki qeemat aur payroll akhrajat barh rahe hain, jabke consumer aur karobar ki confidence gir rahi hai. Is se stagflation ka khatra paida ho raha hai, jo ke aik sust maishat ke sath unchi inflation wali sorat hai. Is se Fed ko 2024 mein shurkh rate jaldi kam karne ki umeed par rok lag sakti hai. Euro ye khabar tootne par naye haftawar pasti par pohanch gaya hai. Filhal ye 1.0660 ke support levels ke qareeb test kar raha hai, jo ke Tuesday ko Dollar ke muqable 1.0670 se gira hai. Is girawat se pehle 1.0885 ke uonchai se 2% gir chuka hai.



Euro ki qismat inflation ke khauf se munsalik hai. April mein jab inflation data ne tawakulat se zyada izafa dikhaya, to Euro ne 2024 ke past tareen level 1.0600 ko chhua. Agarche is ne kuch behtari ki hai, technical indicators mazeed pasti ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar Euro phir se raftaar hasil kar sake, to is ka pehla resistance 1.0752 par ho sakta hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne ke baad ye 1.0795 ke zone ka test kar sakta hai, jo saal bhar support aur resistance dono ka kaam kar chuka hai aur jo 200 din ke simple moving average ke sath milti hai. Agar ye area paar ho jaye, to Euro apne September ke uonchai 1.0884 tak ja sakta hai. Bar aks, agar pasti ka rujhan jaari raha, to Euro ko apne February ke past tareen 1.0694 par waqtan fa waqtan support mil sakti hai. Mazeed girawat isay qareebi support level 1.0673 par test karwa sakti hai, ya phir 2024 ke past tareen 1.0600 ko dobara dekh sakta hai.

EUR/USD ki mumkin market scenarios ka tajzia:

1. Bullish Outlook:
Maujooda market scenario mein, bullish trend ka jaari rehna mumkin hai. 1.0683 ki resistance level ka tootna price action mein mumkinah bulandi ki nishandahi karta hai. Traders ko is bullish trend ki mazeed tasdeeq ke liye market ko ghor se dekhna chahiye, khaaskar agar qeemat is level se upar musalsal barh rahi ho. Higher highs aur higher lows ka hona traders mein musbat jazbaat ka ishara hai, jo qareebi mudat mein mazeed bulandi ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

2. Bearish Scenario:
Dosri taraf, ek bearish scenario ka bhi imkan hai, jo ek mumkinah neeche ki taraf trend se muta'arif karwata hai. Agar 1.0683 ki support level toot jati hai, to traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyun ke ye breakout jhoota ho sakta hai. Aise surat mein, support level ke neeche price ki tasdeeq ka intezar karna zaroori hai is se pehle ke bearish position par ghaur kia jaye. Breakout ke baad foran neeche ki taraf retracement market ke rukh mein be yaqeeni ki nishandahi karta hai. Is liye, traders ko asal price action ko ghor se dekhna chahiye taake bearish trend ki validity ka taeen kiya ja sake.



3. Consolidation Phase:
Filhal, market ek consolidation phase mein nazar aata hai, jo range-bound price movement se pehchan rakhta hai. Consolidation ke dauran, qeemat ek khaas range ke andar trade karti hai, jahan koi saaf rukh nahi hota. Lekin, yeh note karna ahem hai ke consolidation phases aarzi hotay hain, aur market is range se kisi bhi simt mein toot sakti hai. Traders ko sabr ka muzahira karna chahiye aur kisi wazeh breakout ka intezar karna chahiye is se pehle ke koi naye positions shuru ki jayein. Ahem support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna traders ko mumkinah breakout points ka andaza lagane aur apni strategies ko us ke mutabiq adjust karne mein madad karega.

Khulasa yeh hai ke market do mumkinah scenarios pesh karta hai: ek bullish outlook agar 1.0683 ki resistance level tooti hai, aur ek bearish scenario agar support level toota hai. Is ke ilawa, maujooda consolidation phase market ke rukh mein be yaqeeni ko zahir karta hai, jo price action ka ghor se mushahida aur sabr ka muzahira karne ki ahmiyat ko ujagar karta hai. Hoshiyar reh kar aur market ke badalte halat ke mutabiq apne aap ko adjust karte hue, traders maloomati faislay kar sakte hain aur trading ke moqay se faida utha sakte hain.

EUR/USD pair ke qareebi mustaqbil ka manzar 1.06930 ke qareeb mojud hai, jo bullish momentum ke liye aik ahem rukawat hai. Is ahem qeemat par, karobarion ko rah-e-raast ki koi nishaanion ke liye market dynamics ka intezar hai. Is level ke atraaf qeemat ki harkat mumkin hai ke doosri qeemat ka short-term trend muntakhib kare, jis mein ooper ya neeche se guzarne wale signals market ke shirakatdaron ke liye ahem isharaat sabit ho sakte hain.

Unertainty mein izafa ek notable volatility ka decrease bhi hai jo EUR/USD pair mein daily basis par dekha gaya hai. Ye volatility mein kami market mein consolidation ya faisla na karne ki muddat ko dikhata hai, jabke traders naye positions lenay se pehle saaf signals ka intezar karte hain. Volatility mein kami ko bhi bahar se muaqqif kisat jese ke ma'ashi data releases, siyasi tensions, ya central bank ke announcements, ka role ho sakta hai, jo market ke jazbat ko asar andaz karte hain aur qeemat ki harkaton ko kam kar dete hain.

Decreased volatility ke darmiyan, EUR/USD pair ki qeemat ki harkat mein symmetric triangular pattern ka ubhar gaya hai. Ye pattern aam tor par consolidation ki muddat ko darust karta hai, jahan qeemat do milti julti trend lines ke darmiyan tezi se badal rahi hoti hai. Is halat mein, triangular pattern ka ooperi had 1.06738 ke halat se milti hai, jabke neeche ki had 1.06740 ke round level se milti hai. In trend lines ke milne se yeh samjha jata hai ke market indecision ka samna kar raha hai, jahan kharidar aur farokht karne wale apna qabza hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Traders symmetric triangular pattern ka taraqqi se muntazir hain, kyun ke ye aksar qeemat mein aik ahem breakout ya breakdown ke pehle aata hai. Pattern ke ooperi had se guzarna bullish momentum ka aik silsila shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke buland resistance levels ki dobara testing tak le ja sakta hai. Mukhalif, had ke neeche se guzarna mojooda uptrend ka uksaav kar sakta hai, jahan mazeed downside movement ka imkan hai





Mukhtasir tor par, EUR/USD pair ka qareebi mustaqbil abhi tak uncertain hai jab wo 1.06930 ke level par rukawat ka samna karta hai aur volatility mein kami ka samna karta hai. Symmetric triangular pattern ka ubhar consolidation aur indecision ki muddat ko dikhata hai, jahan traders naye positions lenay se pehle saaf signals ka intezar karte hain. Market ke mukhtalif marahil mein, traders triangular pattern ka taraqqi se muntazir rahen ge, jo ke agle dino mein qeemat mein breakout ya breakdown ke liye ahem trading opportunities faraham kar sakta hai

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein taraqqi se kami nazar aayi hai, jise bade currencies ke khilaf US dollar ke mustaqil mazboot honay ka bara sabab hai. Ye trend maali lafzat mein rukhne ki economic la tajarubaat mein aaman ki talaash karne wale investors ki taraf se dawat deta hai. Mukhtalif factors ne euro par dabao daala hai, khaaskar eurozone mein, khaas tor par Germany mein bigarte hue economic conditions, jo pair ki giravat ko mazeed barha raha hai. Ibtidaati trading expectations mein EUR/USD pair mein khaas zyada volatility ka intizaar nahi tha. Jabke giravat ka jari rehne ka imkaan tha, wahaan thora saaray kaam hone ka imkaan tha, jahan market analysts ne 1.0835 ke aas paas aik mojooda mukaarar point par ankh rakhi. Planat inhein is manzil ke neeche bechna tha, jahan targets agle levels par set kiye gaye the jaise 1.0735 aur 1.0685. Mukhtasir tor par jo soch thi woh cautious tha EUR/USD pair ke liye, maazi ke market conditions ko dekhte hue sust negative dabaav ka imkaan tha. Chhote arsay ke kharidari mawaid ko rokne ki sochi gayi, jise chalte hue giravat ka trend bana rehta tha. Magar, agar H1 chart 1.0823 ke upar chadh jata to ek umeed hai ke upar ki correction ho sakti hai, magar is se pehle bearish momentum ka imkaan tha. Bechna 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar mashwara diya gaya, jo daily chart par saathwe figure ke neeche girne ki taraf ishaara karta tha. Magar, giravat ke douran intraday pullbacks se ehtiyaat ki zarurat thi. Mumkin mukhaalifat ke bawajood, peheli prioriti bechne par thi. Market players ke shift hone ke saath, kal ke Asian session mein ziada volatility ka imkaan tha, jise European session mein kami ka imkaan tha. Darmiyani doran, chaarwein wave number char ke neeche halat ka hal chal raha hai, jahan ahem level ab 1.0800 par hai, jo bechne ka aik factor bhi hai. Upar ke trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara 1.0800 ke breach se hoga. In dynamics ke darmiyan, traders ko hoshiyar rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ka mashwara diya gaya taa ke douran market conditions ko hal kiya ja sake. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical events aur macroeconomic data releases ka tasavvur tha ke pair ki harkat ko asar andaz ho sakta tha, trading landscape mein mazeed complexity ka ek aur layer daal deta tha. Isliye, traders ke liye zaroori tha ke wo inform rahen aur unke faisla kun processes mein agile rahen tak ke potential opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake aur risks ko effectively kam kiya ja sake. Mukhtasar tor par, EUR/USD pair ki short se medium term ke liye nazarya giravat mein raha, temporary upward corrections ka imkaan hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat aur ahem levels aur technical indicators ko qareeb se dekh kar maqool trading decisions lene ki zaroorat thi.

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ke rawaiye ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Humain 1.0757 ke resistance level ke oopar mazbooti se mazboot position dekhni hogi taake aik oonchi bharak utrai ko shuru kar sakein, jo 1.0808 tak pohanchne ke imkanat ko kafi barha degi. Yeh aik bullish momentum ka dobara ubhaar utayega, jis ka nishana 1.1034 pe sthapit qareebi uncha hai. Magar hume spekuletion se bachna chahiye aur intezar karna chahiye ke market se tasdeeq ho. Technical tor par, spekulative trading range 1.0678 se le kar 1.0759 ke darmiyan hai, jisme dusre ko ek mazboot resistance point hai. Agar ye resistance dikhata hai, to ye aik neeche ki sudhar ki nishaani ho sakti hai 1.0673 ki taraf, jise 1.0599 tak barha sakte hain








Market ki fa'aliyat Europan session ke doran qareebi thi, sath hi Amrican ya Asian sessions ke doran aik numaya dhaare padte rahe, jo overall upar ki dabao ko barqarar rakhte rahe. Halankeh 1.0625 ke level ke saath jura maqsood abhi tak na poora hua, humein waqtan-fawaqtan is darjoo mein apni tawajju ko dhoratay hain aur oonchi darjoo ke signals ki intezar karte hain. Market aik bullish sentiment mein hai jo aik mustaqil nazar hai. Haal hi ki market ke keemat ke harkaat, jinhe technical glitches ke asar ka hona maloom hai, asli market dynamics ko nahee darust karti hain. EUR/USD pair ke keemat ke liye short-term grow prospects ke bawajood, 1.0769 ke resistance ko par karna munasib nahi lagta, agar spekulativ kharidari dabao se nahi barhaya jaye. Agar koi bhi, to shayad Wednesday ka trend, ek mumkin nuqsaan ki taraf mael ho sakta hai. Is liye, koi bhi upri harkat ek mumkin giraavat ke pehle ek aagahi hai. Humare asli maqasid neeche 1.0673 ke darmiyan sideways price movement se bahar nikalna hai aur aane wale US session ke saath D1 support level ke ird gird 1.0598 ka imtezaar karna hai

EUR/USD
Hamari guftagu mojooda EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ka tajziya karne par mabni hai. Takneeki bullish trend correction ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ke Forex market mein bearish sentiment ka imkaan hai. Qeemat haal hi mein 1.0805 ke resistance area se ubhri hai, aur farokht karne wale US dollar ki taqat barhne ke natayaj mein saalana kamzoriyon ki taraf ja sakte hain. Maqami geo-political tensions ke douran, yeh mauqa faida uthane ke liye munasib qeemat par istemal karne ka mashwara diya jata hai. Magar farokht ka faisla ab bhi maqbool hai, lekin agar chaha jaye, kharidne ko bhi protsahan diya jata hai kyun ke dono waqiyaat ki imkaaniyat qareebi tor par barabar hai. Sa'at ki qeemat ka chart dikhata hai ke market price ek ascending channel ke andar hai aur 1.0708 ke nichle had tak gir sakti hai, phir se uthne ki taraf. Dosri taraf, 4-hour ka chart ek channel ke andar descent ko dikhata hai, jo 1.0708 ko torne ke baad 1.0573 tak pohunch sakta hai, halan ke abhi halat bullish harkat ko favor kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0807 par ek breakthrough ho, to yeh kharidne ke dilchaspi ko darust karega, haal hi ke fluctuations ko nazar andaz karte hue.



May 6 ke liye karobarik shreniyaan madde nazar rakhte hue, bechna kshetra 1.0583 se lekar 1.0674 tak hai, jabke kharidne ka kshetra 1.0688 se lekar 1.0783 tak hai, jahan haal ki qeemat 1.0761 hai, thori si istidadiyat 1.0773-1.0797 ke aas paas. Main 1.0794-1.0828 se potential faiday ka nazar rakhta hoon aur rojana karobar ke mauqe ko uthane ka intikhab karta hoon aur bas bekar mein intezaar nahi karta. Mumkin harekaton ke hawale se, tawajju teen ahem darajon par hoti hai: 1.0747, 1.0725, aur 1.0687. Bearish raah ko dekhte hue, bechars ko ma'ni khinchao ki kami mehsoos hoti hai agar 1.0672-1.0647 ko tor diya jaye, jo aane wale bearish trend ki ishaaraat ko darust karta hai.

Sab ko salam! Kal humare market ka opening hoga, aur yahan kuch mukhtalif scenarios Asia session ke saath samne aa sakte hain. Pehle tarjeeh ko girawat di ja rahi hai, haalaanki overall plan ke resistance tak pohonch nahi gaya. Is ke saath, ek speed resistance bhi hai, jo pehle se kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar hum us se gir rahe hain, to pehle hone wale bullish trend se girawat ka mauka hai, to is ke baad channel se nikalna southern boundary ke zariye - yeh mukhya scenario hai. Hafta kaafi complicated tha moves ke liye, kyun ke Federal Reserve ke meeting mein concrete direction ke bajaye corridor dekha gaya, aur asal mein is ke liye taiyaar hona chahiye tha, kyun ke yeh intermediate meeting thi, aur regulator se

thori alag tarah ki rhetoric ki umeed thi, yeh factor stalling ko Friday tak banane mein pehla number lene laga. Agar umeed hai ke bullish movement hogi, to phir 1.0830-50 area mein jaana hoga aur us ke baad southern direction mein move karna hoga, kyun ke mujhe yakeen nahi hai ke bina rukawat ke bullish trend chalega, aur zyada tar hum fundamental realities k qeemat par istemal karne ka mashwara diya jata hai. Magar farokht ka faisla ab bhi maqbool hai, lekin agar chaha jaye, kharidne ko bhi protsahan diya jata hai kyun ke dono waqiyaat ki imkaaniyat qareebi tor par barabar hai. Sa'at ki qeemat ka chart dikhata hai ke market price eke mutabiq southern trend mein hain. Agar inflation rate ek haftay mein increase hota hai, to phir poori Federal Reserve ki logic ki planning fuzool jaayegi aur EUR/USD giray ga, shayad smooth tareeqay se, lekin yeh vector mukhya hoga. Agar aur madad chahiye ho ya kuch aur poochna chahte hain, toh batayein.

EUR/USD 1.08 Ke Uper Chale Gaya NFP Figures Ke Baad, Karkardagi Kam Karnay Ki Tawakul:

EUR/USD jori ne aham izafa dekha, 1.08 ke oopar naye darwazay ko shikast diya NFP shumarat ka aghaz karne ke baad. Ye data, Jumma ko zaahir kiya gaya, umeedon ko roshan kiya ke Federal Reserve ke qarz muafi ka imkan hai, jise forex sphere mein umeedon ki raushni phail gayi. NFP report, Amreeki Mazdor Market ki tawanai ka aik sangeen jaiza hai, jis ne shumaraat ko asal main intehai naram tajziye ke taur par nishana banaya, kaam ke banane mein rukawat ki alamat. Ye tajziye investors ke darmiyan tanqeed ko sambhalne ka fiker karwa rahi hai ke Federal Reserve mazid maali rafah mein istihkam ke liye kis tarah ke karwaiyat ki ghor karega. NFP shumarat ke sath, Jumma ko zaahir kiye gaye doosre Amreeki maali data ne desh ki maali raftaar ka mukhtalif tasawwur pesh kiya. Kai indicators, jese ke manufacturing activity aur consumer kharch, pehle se zyada naram nazr aaye, jis ne zabardast ka uthhanay ka khatra barhaya. Aglay sooch hai, market participants ke tawajjo se agle maali azeem manzar ke taraf, khas tor par European Retail Sales data aur US consumer sentiment figures ko dekha jaye ga jo mukhtalif economies ki quwwat ko mazeed samajhnay aur currency dynamics ko mutasir karne ka imkan rakhne ke liye hai.

Euro Dikha Raha Hai Istehkam, Maqsood Qeemat Ke Qareeb Barh Raha Hai Mukhtalif Signals Ke Darmiyan:
Euro ke ooparward momentum ka mazahir istemal karte hue, apni muntazir maqsood qeemat tak pohnch raha hai. Magar, haal hi ke marahil ishara dete hain ke bechne walay moatabar hain, jin ke liye do mazeed rukawatain samne aa rahi hain. Pichle Jumma ko, Amreeki manfi data ka sannata currency par mazeed dabao dalta raha, isay taqat bakhasha.

Momentum Oscillator (OsM) aik musbat tasveer paish karta hai, lekin EUR/USD ke asal chart ne abhi tak darwazay ko neeche ki ore ke resistance line ke neeche dikhaya hai, jo 50-day Exponential Moving Average ko shaamil karta hai. Chhote time frame par, currency pair kuch moving averages se support pa raha hai, jo H4 chart mein bullish miltazim nazar aata hai.

Downtrend line ko tor karne ka matlab kharidne ka moqa ho sakta hai, jabke resistance area par koi bhi bearish reversal candle aata hai to yeh selling strategies ki taraf manzil par ja sakta hai. Traders ko in ahem technical indicators ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhne ke liye kaha jata hai taake unhe market mein apne positions ke baare mein jaan boojh kar faislay kar sakein.

Forex market par umeedon ki chhat par baitha hua hai jab ke EUR/USD currency pair maamooli rastay par chal raha hai. Federal Reserve ka faisla ke interest rates ko mustaqil rehne ka, jo ke bohot se logon ne umeed kiya tha, aane wale maheenon mein gehra kat aurat de diya hai. Halqi tawajjo 1 rate kam hone ki taraf lean hai November tak. Europi data, jo ke chand din pehle release hone wale haftay ko aakhri European Manufacturing PMI (HCOB) hai, mukhya nazar mein hai. Umeed hai ke data pehle se hi mutarif tajziyay ko nakshe ki roop mein dikhaega. Phir sab nigahein Jumma ko Amreeki non-farm payrolls report par ja rahi hain, aik data point jo ke market ke rukh par bohot bara asar daalne wala hai. Peshgoi hai ke April ke payrolls 243,000 tak pohanch jayein ge, pehle maheene ke 303,000 figure se buhat kam. Data ki revisions ko nazdeeki se dekha jaye ga, jabke





mukhtalif sectors mein layoffs ki aik ripple phail rahi hai. Investors bhi inflation ke barhte huay masael ke baray mein tawajjo se dekhna chahte hain ke average hourly earnings April mein 0.3% mahana basis par khatam rehtay hain ya nahi. Pichle chhe trading sessions mein, EUR/USD pair aik ittehad zone mein phasa hua hai, jahan 1.0700 resistance level ko paar karne ki koshish kar raha hai. 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aik pivotal midline ki tarah kaam karta hai, jahan upper aur lower limits mutafarriq tor par 1.0740 aur 1.0650 ke qarib estimate kiye gaye hain. Daily candlestick chart ek qareebi term ka neeche ka darwaza banane ki ishaarat deta hai jo ke 1.0600 ke qareeb qaim hai. Magar, pair ko 200-day EMA ke downside se muqabla karna pad raha hai jo ke 1.0790 ke qareeb hai.




Pichle paanch dinon mein aik numaya sell-off ne market ko qabza kar liya hai, jisse short-term outlook bearish trend ki taraf mael ho raha hai. Technical indicators aik mukhtalif tasveer paish karte hain, jahan RSI 30 ke neeche ghum raha hai aur MACD apne trigger aur zero lines ke neeche trading kar raha hai, dono hi manfi momentum ko zor-o-shor se faraham kar rahe hain. Agar sell-off mazeed barh gaya, to pehla support level dekha jaye ga jo 1.0515 par mojood hai, jo ke November 1 ki kam umar darjat mein establish hua hai. Bilateral tor par, bullish resurgence mutarif tajziye se guzrega 1.0655 level par pehle, phir 1.0695-1.0720 zone tak. Tooti hui uptrend line, sath mein 1.0760 ke price point, pair ko 20-day moving average tak pohanchne se pehle hurdles ka kaam bhi kar sakti hain. Aane wale dino ke liye umeed hai ke EUR/USD pair ke liye rakhsh hai, jahan mukhtalif data releases aur technical levels uske rukh ko tay karenge.

EUR-USD PAIR KI PESHGUFTARI



Is hafte ke trading session tak, H4 timeframe mein candlestick ki harkat ab tak oonchi rahti thi, ye halat market mein ghalib bull candlesticks ki chalti hui harkat se dekhi ja sakti hai, khaaskar April se May ki mukhalfat tak jo ke is hafte tak ab bhi kharidar dwaara control kiya jata hai. Ye bullish harkat lagta hai ke kamyabi hasil ho chuki hai ke candlestick ko itna ooncha utha liya gaya ke ye Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 ke resistance ko chhed sakti hai. Lagta hai ke kai dafa bechne wale ke koshish ki gayi ke wo price ko neeche gira den, lekin hamesha 1.0745 ke price level ke neeche nahi gira saktay. Mere khyal mein, ye halat aane wale hafte ke liye ek mumkin bullish harkat ke liye ek reference ho sakti hai.

Nateeja:

Rozana aur H4 timeframes ke zariye hasil ki gayi takhmeenat ki nateejay mein aur market mein price ki harkat ko tajziye karne ke liye istemal kiye gaye sabhi indicators ko parhne ke baad, ye dikhata hai ke zyadatar indicators ab bhi ek tasveer aur ye mumkinat faraham karte hain ke agle market mein phir se oopar ja sakta hai.

Is liye, ek aakhir mein nateeja ke tor par, agle hafte EURUSD currency pair ka imkan hai ke woh apni harkat ko ek bullish trend ke taraf jaari rakhe. BUY trading transactions ke liye mukhtasir candlestick ka moqami hona chahiye ke price ko 1.0780 level tak uthne ka intezaar karein. Agla bullish target price level 1.0825 par rakh sakta hai. Stoploss level ko transaction price se 35 pips ke qareeb rakha jaana chahiye.

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EUR/USD pair ke qareebi mustaqbil ka manzar 1.06930 ke qareeb mojud hai, jo bullish momentum ke liye aik ahem rukawat hai. Is ahem qeemat par, karobarion ko rah-e-raast ki koi nishaanion ke liye market dynamics ka intezar hai. Is level ke atraaf qeemat ki harkat mumkin hai ke doosri qeemat ka short-term trend muntakhib kare, jis mein ooper ya neeche se guzarne wale signals market ke shirakatdaron ke liye ahem isharaat sabit ho sakte hain.

Unertainty mein izafa ek notable volatility ka decrease bhi hai jo EUR/USD pair mein daily basis par dekha gaya hai. Ye volatility mein kami market mein consolidation ya faisla na karne ki muddat ko dikhata hai, jabke traders naye positions lenay se pehle saaf signals ka intezar karte hain. Volatility mein kami ko bhi bahar se muaqqif kisat jese ke ma'ashi data releases, siyasi tensions, ya central bank ke announcements, ka role ho sakta hai, jo market ke jazbat ko asar andaz karte hain aur qeemat ki harkaton ko kam kar dete hain.

Decreased volatility ke darmiyan, EUR/USD pair ki qeemat ki harkat mein symmetric triangular pattern ka ubhar gaya hai. Ye pattern aam tor par consolidation ki muddat ko darust karta hai, jahan qeemat do milti julti trend lines ke darmiyan tezi se badal rahi hoti hai. Is halat mein, triangular pattern ka ooperi had 1.06738 ke halat se milti hai, jabke neeche ki had 1.06740 ke round level se milti hai. In trend lines ke milne se yeh samjha jata hai ke market indecision ka samna kar raha hai, jahan kharidar aur farokht karne wale apna qabza hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Traders symmetric triangular pattern ka taraqqi se muntazir hain, kyun ke ye aksar qeemat mein aik ahem breakout ya breakdown ke pehle aata hai. Pattern ke ooperi had se guzarna bullish momentum ka aik silsila shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke buland resistance levels ki dobara testing tak le ja sakta hai. Mukhalif, had ke neeche se guzarna mojooda uptrend ka uksaav kar sakta hai, jahan mazeed downside movement ka imkan hai