Gbp/usd

GBP/USD ke darja 1.2457 ka aqibat mein ek rukawat ka darja sabit hua hai. Is darje ke aam tor par technical analysis aur market dynamics ke zariye tajwezat diye jaate hain. Ye darja mukhtalif wajahon ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke economic indicators ka impact, geopolitical events, aur trading sentiment ka tabdeel hona. Ek darja ka aqibat, ya phir support/resistance level, kisi bhi currency pair ke movement ka aham hissa hota hai. Agar GBP/USD ke darja 1.2457 pe rukawat aayi hai, to ye ek signal ho sakta hai ke market mein kisi badi tabdeeli ka imkan hai. Is tarah ki rukawat aksar traders aur investors ke liye significant hai, aur woh isay analyze karte hain ke ye kyun hua aur iska future impact kya ho sakta hai. Is rukawat ka darja mukhtalif tajwezat par asar daal sakta hai. Agar ye resistance level hai, to iska matlab hai ke market ke zyada tar traders is darje ko paar karna pasand nahi karte, aur isay ek strong selling area ke tor par dekhte hain. Iske mawafiq, market ne neeche ki taraf jhukav dikha sakta hai. Ek aur maqsad ye ho sakta hai ke ye ek support level ho, jise traders ne aik martaba pehle support ke tor par dekha tha. Agar ye darja support level hai, to iska matlab hai ke market ne is darje ko pehle se sath nibhaya hai, aur ab traders isay ek bullish reversal ke ishaare ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Is halat mein, market ko upar ki taraf jhukav dekha ja sakta hai. Is rukawat ka darja samajhne ke liye, traders aur investors ko mukhtalif factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue analyze karna hota hai. Economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates, sath hi geopolitical events aur central bank policies bhi market ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Overall, GBP/USD ke darja 1.2457 ka aqibat mein rukawat ka darja, market ke dynamics aur traders ki behavior ke teht mukhtalif interpretations ki ja sakti hai. Isay analyze karte hue, traders apne trading strategies ko adjust karte hain taake woh market ke potential future movements ka behtareen faida utha sakein.

GBP-USD H4



Di gayi chart par, aap turant note kr skte hain ke pehla darja ka tanasub line (golden dotted line), jo aala ka disha aur mojooda trend ka halat darust krta hai, chune gaye waqt frame (waqt-frame H4) mein upar ki taraf rukha hua hai, jo mashriqi rukh mein domanat trend ka saaf izhar hai. Issi waqt, ghair lineari channel, jo qareebi mustaqbil ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, peela-hara rang mein hai aur aage chal kar aala ke idaray par quotes ka izafa dikhata hai, kyun ke ye janubi taraf ki taraf rukha hua hai. Keemat ne neela sahara line ko par kar liya hai jo lineari tanasub channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ka hai, magar 1.23054 ke quotes ka kam az kam darja (LOW) tak pohanch gaya, jiske baad isne apna giravat ko roka aur dheere dheere barhne laga. Halankeh, aala ab keemat dar 1.25095 ke darjay par trade ho raha hai.Aaj ka flat 1.2530 aur 1.2517 ke darajon ke darmiyan tha, halankeh GBP/USD ne 1.25 ke qareeb aane ka koshish kiya, lekin ise barqarar nahi rakh saka. Chalein dekhte hain ke unhone somvar ko kya nikala, aur mein yeh tasleem karta hoon ke kami ke liye, humein doosre din aur kam krne ki zaroorat hai ya to wahi flat range mein rehna hai, ya phir seedha HyP formation ke right shoulder ko banane jana hai aur phir is shakal ko volumes ke hatane par kam krne ki koshish krni hai. Aaj aap ko koi serious harkat ka intezar nahi karna chahiye, kyunke sarmaya bazaar United States mein lagbhag band ho chuka hai, aur sirf trading band hone mein ek ghanta bacha hai. Is tarah hum keh sakte hain ke tehwar ek chhoti range mein the, aur aaj unhe aise spread ke saath pakadne ka koi maqsad nahi tha. To din khaali tha, aur mein euro ki bechne mein phans gaya tha, kyunke mujhe 5-7 points ke faiday ko band karne ka koi maqsad nahi nazar aya.

Mai wazeh hoon ke 9 May ko mojooda Bank of England policy meeting financial markets aur policymakers dono ke liye aham hai. In meetings mein Bank ke Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) economic halat ka jaeza leta hai aur monitory policy ka munasib rasta muntakhib karta hai, jo ke interest rates aur asset purchases par faislay shamil hote hain. In meetings ke natayej currency values, interest rates, inflation, aur overall economic performance par significant asraat dal sakte hain.
Is ke ilawa, investors mukhtalif economic data points ki release ka bhi tawajjo se intezar karenge. Ye points Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ko shamil karte hain, jo ke economy ki overall sehat aur growth trajectory ke baray mein izafi maloomat faraham karte hain. Trade balance data mulk ke exports aur imports ke darmiyan farq ko darust karte hain, aur mulk ki trade relationships aur global markets mein uski competitiveness ke baray mein roshni daalte hain. Industrial aur manufacturing production numbers in ahem sectors ke performance ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain, jo output, capacity utilization, aur overall economic activity ke trends ko darust karte hain.

Is ke ilawa, monthly GDP tracker official GDP releases ke darmiyan economic performance ka timely estimate faraham karta hai, jo ke economic trends aur momentum ke baray mein qeemati real-time maloomat faraham karta hai. Analysts aur investors in data releases ko scrutinize karte hain takay economy ki taqat ka andaza lagaya ja sake, emerging trends ko pehchana ja sake, aur apni investment strategies ko mutabiq kara sakein.

Technical analysis ke daire mein, amal karne wale historical price aur volume data ko forecast future price movements aur potential trading opportunities ko pehchane ke liye analyze karte hain. Currency pairs ke liye, technical analysts charts, patterns, aur indicators ko study karte hain takay market sentiment ka andaza lagaya ja sake, aur key support aur resistance levels ko pehchana ja sake. Ye analysis traders ko inform kiye bina positions enter ya exit karne aur risk ko effectively manage karne mein madad faraham karti hai.

Aam tor par, in factors ke aikhtilaf - Global Construction Sector PMI, Bank of England policy meeting aur economic data releases - currency markets ke dynamics par asar dalte hain aur traders ko market conditions mein adjust hone mein madad faraham karte hain.

GBP/USD jodi ne aaj shandar karkardagi ka muzahira kiya, 1.2512 par ek unchaai tak pohanch kar, phir aik ahem wapas chhapa. Ye wapas chhapa, jismein saabit kharidari ka aaghaaz na hua, darust hai ke jodi mukhtalif asseertiv stand le sakti hai. Is asseertiv rukh ki taraf barhne par, jodi mukhtalif asaamiyon ki mukhtalif matwazanat se mukabla karegi, jo ke aaj se pehle ki kamzor tarraqi ki wajah se gira hai. Is mumkin girawat ka khatma yahan par nahi hota; agar jodi apni nichi taak mein jari rakhti hai, to wo mazeed support levels ka samna karegi, khaaskar 26 April ko dekhi gayi nichi satah par 1.2448 par, iske baad aik ahem rohani satah par 1.2400 par. Jodi ki manzar-e-aam mein movement ko banane wala pehlu do monetary powerhouses ke darmiyan ek wazeh takraar par mabni hai: Bank of England aur Federal Reserve. Jabke pehla ahtiyati aur ihtiyaati approach banaye rakhta hai, doosra aik mazboot aur proactive rukh ikhtiyar karta hai. Is fitri mukhalfat ne currency pair ki rukh ko nirdhaarit karne mein kirdar ada kiya hai, jabke market participants dono central banks se aane wali fazail aur kharaji data points ko tawajju se dekhte hain.
Asal mein, GBP/USD pair ki mustaqbil ki raah central bank ke afraad ki bayanat aur maqbool maali data points ki tawajju se khaas tor par munsalik hai. Is tarah, Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan jaari tug-of-war foreign exchange market ke pesh e nazar kachra kunddah hai. Is ke alawa, central bank policy mukhalfat ke ta****il mein dakhil hone par maali indicators, siyasi hawalat, aur market sentiment ka shawafi kariye dikhaai deta hai. Jabke Bank of England ka ehtiyaati rukh maaloom hota hai ke inflationary dabavat aur maali be-sakooni ke aasraat hain, Federal Reserve ka zyada aggressive rukh ekta se maqsood maali nezafat aur pandemic ke rehnumai asraat ko kam karne ki koshish ko jhalakata hai.

Is pesh e nazar ke saath, market participants ko chaukna rehna chahiye, daakhil hone wale data ko nizaam se tajziya karna aur central bank ke messages ko kisi bhi taqatwar rukh ke liye tezi se darust karna chahiye. Bilkul sahi rukh ya dhanak se kisi bhi ahamara se riyasat se chhoti si mukhalfat GBP/USD pair mein tezi se movement ko paida kar sakti hai, is tarah traders aur investors dono ke liye maujooda waqiyat aur khatrat pesh karta hai.

Ikhtitami taur par, GBP/USD pair ki haal ki performance aur mumkin mustaqbil ki raah kamaal monetary policy mukhalfat aur market dynamics ke darmiyan nazuk tabaahi ke darmiyan aik nafees tawazun ko zahir karta hai. Jab central banks post-pandemic recovery ke be-tareekh paniyon mein chal rahe hain, to currency markets investor sentiment aur maali nazriyat ka ek mizan ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan GBP/USD pair bade forces ki tasweer hai jo tajziya karte hain.

Jab hum dhoondte hain, to USD, ek pasandeeda safe-haven currency, zyada demand se faida uthata hai. GBP/USD pair ko abhi kam taraf dekha ja raha hai. Pair abhi $1.2440 ke important support level ko test kar raha hai, jo monthly descending channel ka hissa hai. Agar ye level cross ho jaye, to mazeed girawat ka aghaaz ho sakta hai, jis takreeban $1.2370 tak ja sakta hai aur shayad $1.2220 tak bhi gir sakta hai. Bara tasweer dekhte hue, GBP/USD March ke buland peaks se nichla gaya hai. Ab ye apni trading range aur volatility bands ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar sellers apna qabza barqarar rakhte hain, to qeemat phir se February ke levels ke qareeb aa sakti hai, jo ke kareeb $1.2517 hai. Psychological support $1.2500 ke neeche jaane ka rasta khol sakta hai aur ek ahem support zone $1.2400 ke taraf ho sakta hai. Magar, agar pair mojooda levels par support dhoondta hai, to ek urooj ka moqa bhi hai. $1.2600 ke oopar jaana, jahan 20-period moving average hai, ek potential upside move ka signal de sakta hai. $1.2640 aur 200-period moving average $1.2680 ke resistance ko par karne ke liye ahem hain ek independent bullish reversal ke liye. Aisa koi kadam aik mukhalif uptrend line $1.2715 par ponch sakta hai. Aane wale dino mein, traders mojooda support levels ke aas paas price action ko kareebi tor par dekh rahe honge aur kisi bhi urooj ka izhaar hone ke kisi bhi mumkin nishano par nazar daalenge. GBP/USD ka overall rukh maali data releases, siyasi manzar nama mein taraqqiyan aur US Federal Reserve ke maali policy stance ke aik combination par mabni hai.Extraordinarily important hai. Yeh British pound (GBP) aur United States dollar (USD) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko sahih taur par darust karta hai. Iski tezi se tabdeel hone wali halat mein hararat hoti hai, matlab ke iska qadamat ghair independent hota hai aur yeh tariqe se tezi se tabdeel hota rehta hai. Is pair ki tezi se tabdeel hone ki wajah se, traders ko mukhtalif trading mauqe milte hain. Tezi, yaani ke currency ke qeemat mein tezi ya ghirawat, traders ke liye munafa banane ka ek zariya ho sakta hai. Jab currency pair ki tezi se tabdeel hone ki shiddat zyada hoti hai, to iska matlab hai ke qeemat mein tezi ya ghirawat ke imkaan zyada hote hain. Iska matlab hai ke traders ko mukhtalif trading strategies istemal kar ke munafa kamane ke liye mouqa milta hai. Jaise ke, agar ek trader ko lagta hai ke GBP/USD ka exchange rate barhne wala hai, to wo long position le sakta hai aur jab rate barh jata hai, to usko munafa milta hai. Saath hi, agar kisi trader ko lagta hai ke GBP/USD ka rate girne wala hai, to wo short position le sakta hai aur jab rate gir jata hai, to usko bhi munafa milta hai. Is tarah, tezi se tabdeel hone ki wajah se, traders ke liye mukhtalif tareeqon se faida uthana mumkin hai. GBP/USD ki tezi se tabdeel hone ki wajah se, yeh pair aksar khabron aur ma'ashiyati releases ke waqt bhi zyada tezi se tabdeel hota hai. Jab ma'ashiyati data ya kisi bhi ahem khabar ka asar hota hai, to GBP/USD mein sudden price movements dekhe ja sakte hain. Is waqt, traders ko tezi se react karne ki zaroorat hoti hai taake wo trading opportunities ko faida utha sakein ya nuksan se bach sakein. Isi tarah, GBP/USD ki tezi se tabdeel hone ki wajah se, traders ke liye ek double-edged sword hai.

GBP/USD Pair: Ek Ahem Mor Par

GBP/USD pair apne aham mor par hai jab is ne key 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) level, 1.2542, par mazboot rukawat ka saamna kiya hai. Ye level ek sakht rukawat sabit hua hai, jise torne ke liye khas momentum ki zaroorat hai. Agar pair is rukawat ko torne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to ye ek bullish trend ka aghaz ishara kar sakta hai, jo ke aage mukhtalif rukawaton ka samna karne ke liye mansubat bana sakta hai.

Pehle, 200-day SMA ke oopar se guzarne ka raasta May ki choti ko, 1.2634, par imtehan kar sakta hai. Ye level aitihasik tor par aham nokar hai, jo traders aur investors dono ke liye aham lamha hai. Is level ka kaamyab tor ek market ki jazbaat mein tabdeeli ka ishaara nahi sirf karega balkay mazeed faiday ke darwazay ko bhi khol dega.

May ki choti ke baad, pair ko April ki choti, 1.2709, par aur bhi rukawat ka saamna ho sakta hai. Ye level bhallon ke liye ek aur aham mushkil hai, kyun ke ye qeemat ke hawaale se haal hi mein aham unchaai thi. Magar agar pair is raahat ko paar karta hai, to ye upri raftar ka ek silsila ka ishaara kar sakta hai, jismein mazeed bulandio ka nishaan bhi ho sakta hai.



Aage dekhte hue, March 21 ki hafte ki oonchi, 1.2803, agle aham rukawat level ke tor par hai. Ye level aham nafsiyati wazan rakhta hai, kyun ke ye traders aur investors ke liye pair ki karobariyaat ka mushkilat se nazar rakhta hai. Is level ka kaamyab tor ek naye josh ka aghaz kar sakta hai GBP/USD pair mein, jismein mazeed upar ka safar bhi ho sakta hai.

Jari upar ka safar pair ko 2024 ki choti, 1.2893, par nishana banane ki sambhavna hai. Ye level is saal tak pair ki sab se unchi unnat ki misaal hai aur maujooda trend ki taqat ka saboot hai. Is level ke upar ka tor ek bullish rukh ka silsila ishaara kar sakta hai, jismein pair 1.3000 ke nafsiyati level ko apna agla maqsood banayega.

Hello. Pound mein, kharidari karne walon ko kal bechnay walon ki koshish ko rokna mumkin tha, lekin mumkin hai ke bechnay walon ki doosri koshish ho aur wo 1.24655 ke darje par guzar jayein aur wahan qadri bana len. Is level ka tootna oopri trend ko tor dega aur nichle harkat ka mumkin jari rahna ka ishaara dega. Is surat mein buland tajziye ke liye nishana buland 1.22989 hoga. Agar hum oopar ki harkat ka tajziye karte hain, to kharidari karne walon ko 1.25042 ke darje par guzar kar mazboot hona hoga. Agar ye shirayat kamyabi se milti hain, to qeemat phir 1.25644 ke darje tak uth sakti hai.

GBPUSD pair M5:

1- 5-minute chart par pound ne neeche ki fankar ko naye tehzeeb ke taur par banane ki koshish ki hai, aur ek behtar signal ke liye qeemat girne ka intezaar karna chahiye, phir dekhein ke fankar baahar kholte hain ya koi rad-e-amal nahi hota.



2- AO indicator manfi ilaaqe mein hare aur laal bars ko lagbhag barabar ke star par badal raha hai, aur ye kisi bhi signals nahi deta. Is halat mein, behtar hai ke zero ke taraf nisbatan active kamzori dekhi jaye, jo ke qeemat mein izafa ka ishaara dega, ya manfi ilaaqe mein active tezi jo ke daraar mein girao ka ishaara dega.

3- Farokht ke liye dakhilah nukta 1.24866 ke darje par tasavvur kiya ja sakta hai; tootne aur mazbooti ke doran qeemat girne ka intezar 1.24807 ke darje tak kiya ja sakta hai.

4- Kharidari ke liye dakhilah nukta 1.25012 ke darje par ho sakta hai, qeemat girne aur mazbooti ke doran intezar kiya ja sakta hai 1.5108 ke darje tak kiya ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Takniki Tahlil:

Poore haftay ke karobar ke doran, GBP/USD currency pair ne ahem kami darj ki, jo 4 ghanton ke time frame par khas tor par bearish jazbat ki taraf tawajjo ko ishara karta hai. Ye tabdeeli qeemat ke andar ke harekati ko jaanchte hue wazeh hoti hai. Shuru mein, jodi ek bullish channel ke andar ek uroojati rukh par tha. Magar, 1.2590 se 1.2440 tak ka bare paimai giravat ne channel ka rukh barqarar rakhte hue ek ahem tabdeeli ko zahir kiya, jo ek janubi rukh ko darust karti hai. Qareebi jaiza karne par, channel ke rukh mein is tabdeeli ka tasur baray paimane par market mein ek sakhti mein bearish tawajjo ko darust karta hai. Karobar karne walay aur tajziakar dono ne is tabdeeli ko note kiya hai, jo mustaqbil ke karobarati tajaweez aur GB/USD jodi ke positions par asar dalti hai. Is tahlil ko zehan mein rakhte hue, karobar karne walay pair ke liye farokht ki positions ko ahem samajh sakte hain, jo mojooda bearish rukh ke sath mawafiq hoti hai. 1.24 ke kam shuruat tak maqsood tay karna aik maqool kadam ho sakta hai, jis ko currency pair par nichle dabao ke tasur ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue strateejik tor par ghor kiya ja sakta hai. GBP/USD ke tabdeeli mein shamil hone wale mukhtalif factors ko tasleem karna ahem hai, jin mein ma'ashiyati pesh gwaahiyan, siyasi waqe'at, aur markazi bank ke policies shamil hain.





Ye chezen overal market jazbat mein shamil hoti hain aur choti aur lambi muddat mein qeemat ke harkaton par asar dal sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, takniki tahlil, jese ke qeemat ke channels ko dekhte hue, market ke rujhanat aur mumkin karobarati mouqaat mein qeemati dalail faraham karti hai. Takniki aur bunyadi tahlil dono ko shamil karke, karobar karne walay karobarati strategies tayyar kar sakte hain jisse ke wo dinamik forex market mein kamiyabi se safar kar saken. Aakhri mein, GBP/USD jodi mein haliya ka giravat bearish lehje ki taraf ishara deta hai, jese ke qeemat ke channels mein tabdeeli ka saboot dete hain. Karobar karne walay is tahlil ka faida utha kar apne karobarati faislon ko rehnumai kar sakte hain, jisme pair ke nichle levalon ki taraf farokht ki positions ko ahmiyat di jati hai. Magar, hawaalat ki mutghirat ka dhuhaai rakhna aur technical aur bunyadi tahlil ko mila kar istemal karna lazmi hai.

GBP USD Ke Mutaala Takniki Tahlil:
Jari bullish jazbat ke aab-o-hawa ke andar musbat tor par barqarar rukh ki mukhtalif imkaanat mojood hain. Ye umeed mandi ko aik mustaqbil ka saabit karne ke liye yakeen deney wali projections se madad milti hai. Is ke intezaar mein, mazeed kharidarein karobar mein dakhil hone ke liye tayyar hain, jo ke BUY trading activities mein shamil ho rahe hain. Waqt ke sath sath karobar ki character mein izafa hone ka trend aksar dikhaya gaya hai aur yeh doosri kharidarein ko bhi bazaar mein dakhil hone par amada karta hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ka moqam jo level 50 se oopar uth gaya hai, is ka matlab hai ke bazaar bullish trend mein ja raha hai. Meray khyal mein, GBPUSD currency pair ke mutaala se intizaar hai ke yeh aage barh kar price range 1.2575 ko dobara check karega. Main bazaar ke rukh par jo abhi tak bullish hai us par tawajjo di jayegi aur main market mein mojoodah mein behtareen BUY trading entry points ko talaash karonga. Umeed hai ke bazaar tajziya aur manzar ke mutabiq amal karega.





Mujhe yakeen hai ke meri aagey ki strategy sirf barqarar rukh par tawajjo deni aur market mein mojooda behtareen BUY trading entry points ko khojna hoga. Is tareeqe se, main mojoodah bullish momentum par faida uthane ka irada rakhta hoon jabke tahlil aur manzar ke mutabiq kaam karonga.

Sarasar, bazaar ki mojoodah rukh zahir karta hai ke mojooda bullish jazbat par chowkidari barqarar rakhna aur khud ko behtareen karobarati mouqe ko hasil karne ke liye tawajjo dena ahem hai. Mehnat aur tahlil ke mutabiq main umeed rakhta hoon ke bazaar hamari tajziya ke mutabiq unfold hoga.

Sterling ke liye, halaat Eurobuck ke mutabiq hain. Wahi daire 1.2446 aur 1.2593 ke darmiyan musalsal trade ho raha hai, jiske baad daire se bahar nikalna jori ko mazeed raasta dega. Magar phir usne khatra uthaya aur abhi wo weekend par chali gayi. Halankeh ek choti si faida chhupane ka mauqa tha, maine pehle hi faisla kar liya ke wo mazeed neeche jaegi aur main ghalat tha. Keemat pooray din mere order ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. To ab shuruwat se peer ko main faisla karunga ke is ke saath kya karna hai. Ya to qaim rahna hai ya minus darj karna hai. Yahan masla daire se bahar nikal kar hal ho jayega. Mere khula order ke mutabiq, wazeh hai ke mera taraqqi dakshin ki taraf hai. Aur 1.2446 ka toot jana mera andaza tasdeeq kar dega. GBPUSD:
GBPUSD ke darja 1.2451 ka aqibat mein ek rukawat ka darja sabit hua aur is ke qeemat is trading instrument ki bulandini par 1.2533 tak uth gayi, jahan se hum ab haqeeqat mein ikhata hain ek accumulative flat mein. Agar hum ab mazeed oopar udte hain, to shayad aise keemat barhne ka maqsad upar mojood current price ke oopar wale volume level ko test karna na hoga, balke ek mojooda maximum ko update kar ke upar se liquidity ko mukammal tor par hata lenge, aur agar hum asal mein mojooda maximum se upar ud jaate hain point x tak aur aise action ke saath GBPUSD ki keemat ki liquidity poori tarah se upar se hata di jati hai, to is tajziyat ke mutabiq, mojooda maximum ka tajziya hone ke baad, is jori ki keemat aik balark tarah se neeche gir sakti hai mojooda volumes of money ke level ke ilaqe mein, jo 1.2489 par mojood hai. Agar hum seedha yahan se badhne wale volumes ke saath neeche girte hain, to yeh sabit hota hai ke keemat neeche jaane ke saath, neeche wale liquidity ko poori tarah se hataya nahi gaya tha, aur is halat mein, agar aisa uttar mumkin hai, to poori tanzeel ho sakti hai, kyunki aise surat mein hum mojooda minimum se neeche gir sakte hain.

Brittish Pound US Dollar ke khilaf muskilat ka saamna kar raha hai, jari decline ko barqarar rakhta hai. Thursday ke early Asian trading session mein, GBP/USD pair lagbhag 1.2489 ke darje par hai, jise kai factors ki wajah se dabaya ja raha hai. Pehle to, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay se pehle market par ek had dar hai. Jab ke koi rate mein tabdeeli ka intezar nahi hai, Thursday ka economic calendar dosre market ko harkat dene wale maamlat se bharpoor hai. Ye ehtiyaat risk ki bhukh ko kam kar rahi hai aur pound jaise currencies par dabao daal rahi hai. Dusra, US dollar teesri muddat se mazboot hota ja raha hai. Ye zyadatar halqa Federal Reserve officials ke hawale se haalat hai. Is haftay ke shurwat mein, bara eham US economic data release ki ghair mojoodgi ne traders ka dhyan Fed policymakers ke comments par shift kar diya.



Ye comments sab ne Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke interest rates ko barhane ki commitment ko zor-o-shor se bayan kiya. Boston Fed President Susan Collins ne inflation ko control karne aur use 2% Federal Reserve ke maqsood tak lana ke liye mustaqil buland interest rates ki zaroorat ko stress diya. Bilkul is tarah, New York Fed President John Williams aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne bhi apni tawajju ko mustaqil daroosho ke hawale se bana rakha. Ye hawkish stances ne USD ko barhawa diya, jise GB/USD pair par significant dabao daal diya. Pound ne haal hi mein ikhtiyati alaamato ko dikhaya tha, jo ke paanch mahinay ke dar takarib se oopar chalay gaya aur mukhtalif 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko mukhtalif kiya. Magar, ye momentum ruka jab pair nay zaroori 50-day moving average ke oopar na chala gaya aur baad mein March mein banaye gaye downtrend line ke neeche gir gaya. Agar ye downward pressure barqarar rahe, to GBP/USD apna April ke support level par phir ja sakta hai jo 1.2410 hai. Mazeed nuqsaan paanch mahinay ke darje tak pahunch sakta hai jo 1.2300 hai. Agar is ilaake ke neeche se tor par guzara gaya to November 2023 ke support level 1.2195 tak pahunch sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, khareedari ke dilchaspi ka naya josh pair ko downtrend line ke oopar pahuncha sakta hai. Is surat mein, April-May ki resistance zone 1.2567 pehla rukawat banayegi. Is area ke upar ka paka tor ek potential turning point ka ishaara kar sakta hai, jahan pair mukhtalif kar sakta hai 1.2635. Us level ko paar karna April ki choti ka imtehan hai jo 1.2710 hai, jo ke mazboot rukawat ka nukta ho sakta hai. GBP/USD ke liye aane wale muddat mein ghair yaqeeni hai. Pair ke liye zaroori 50-day moving average ko dobara hasil karne ki na-kami pareshani ka sabab hai. Aane wale BoE faislay aur US economic data releases, GBP/USD ka future direction tay karne mein ahem honge. Agar BoE hawkish stance ya US data mein inflation ke shorashakar signals milte hain, to pound aur nichle pressure ka saamna kar sakta hai. Ulta, ek dovish BoE ya US data se, GBP/USD ke liye kuch support wapas aa sakti hai.

Brittish Pound iss hafte ke apne kam se kam darje ke qareeb $1.2500 ke qareeb muawin hai, jabke investors Bank of England ke interest rate faislay ka intezar karte hain. Bank ke current rate 5.25% ko barqarar rakhne ka wide intezar hai, lekin investors rate cuts kab shuru honge ke bare mein khabron ke nishaan se zyada waaqif hain. Kuch policymakers, jaise ke Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, kaaynat ka manana hai ke agle teen saalon mein inflation dobara Bank ke 2% maqsood tak wapas aa jayega aur wo rate cut ke liye dabaav banayenge. Unhe ek haal hi mein Bank of England ke survey ne dikhaya hai ke aane wale saalon ke liye inflation ki umeedon mein kami, saath hi umeedwar tanqaa aur maamooli bharakat mein kami hai. Magar, in mubarak signs ke bawajood, Bank abhi tak apni hawkish stance mein koi tabdeeli ka ishaara nahi degi. Umeed hai ke Pound apne haal ki trading range ke andar rahegi, aur kisi bhi ahem harkat pe kuch logon ke technical levels ko torne par depend karegi.



Pound ke izafe ke liye, isay kisi lehaz se mustaqil tor par $1.2545 ke oopar chadna hoga, jo ke 200-day moving average hai. Agar ye level ko guzar gaya aur barqarar rahe to, ye 2024 ke 2893 dollar ya phir psychological level $1.3000 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Pound ki momentum khatam ho jaye, to ye apne haal ke $1.2299 ke darja tak wapas ja sakta hai. Is level ke neeche mazeed girawat ek ahem tor par hoti hai aur ye shayad ek giravat ka rasta le kar October 2023 ke kam se kam darje tak pohanch sakta hai jo $1.2037 hai. Agar bearish dabaav jari rahe to qeemat agar girti rahi to 1.2405 April ke support level tak ja sakta hai. Phir paanch mahine ka kam se darja 1.2298 girna mazeed girawat ka nishan ho sakta hai. Agar qeemat us zone ke neeche jaati hai to, shayad November 2023 ke support level 1.2186 ka samna kiya ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar buyers phir se zahir ho jayein aur qeemat ko giray huye trendline ke oopar laayein to, 1.2564 April-May ki resistance zone pehla line of defense ki tarah kaam kar sakti hai. Aam tor par, Pound ke qareebi rukh Bank of England ke policy faislay par aur iska asar investor sentiment par mabni hai. Halankeh aaj rate cut mumkin nazar nahi aata, lekin dheere-dheere inflation aur tanqaa ki girawat ke nishanon se Pound ko lambi muddat mein kuch support mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD Technical analysis:

Trading week ke darmiyan, GBP/USD currency pair ne aik qabil-e-zikar girawat ka samna kiya, jo khaas tor par 4 ghantay ke time frame mein bearish jazbat ki taraf aik shift ko ishara deta hai. Ye shift wazeh tor par channels ke andar price movement ka jaeza lene par zahir hoti hai. Shuruaat mein, pair aik bullish channel ke andar aik urooj ki taraf ja raha tha. Magar, 1.2590 se 1.2440 tak ka aik nihayat kam hona ne channel ki raah ko kafi tabdeel kiya, jo ek janib ki trend ko dikhata hai. Qareebi mutalia se, channel ki raah ko tabdeel hone ka ye asar market ke andar aam jazbat ko afsurda karne ka ishara karta hai, jo future trading strategies aur positions ke liye ahem hai. Is tajziya ke sath, traders ko pair ke liye farokht ke positions ko ahmiyat dena chahiye, jo maujooda bearish momentum ke sath milti hai. Ek nishana set karna, 1.24 ke niche level ki taraf, aik aqdasia kar hai, currency pair par dabe peshi ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Zaroori hai ke GBP/USD exchange rate ko asrat ko tasleem kiya jaye, jin mein ma'ashiyati indicators, geopolitical waqiat aur markazi bank policies shamil hain.

Mai GBPUSD ke darmiyan apne darmiyan hoon. Aur yahan aapko hello, Tanya, aur yahan aik achi weekend ki dher sari duayein. Aam tor par, aap aur main ek hi khayalat rakhte hain. Meri taraf se, mai bhi umeed karta hoon ke dollar ka aik silsila mazid mazboot ho (shayad dollar ka aakhri silsila bhi, kyunki darmiyan ya lambi dor ke liye dollar ka mazboot kamzori ke khawab dikhayi deta hai), magar mujhe nahi pata ke ye acha hai ya bura (ke meri soch milti hai). Kuch log kehte hain ke bewakoof aik jaise sochte hain, aur aik angrez kahavat hai ke bade dimagh aik jaise sochte hain. Angrez mere qareeb hain, kyunki... Mai is topic ko nahi phelana chahta. Mujhe pichle hafte ke aakhir mein is instrument par koi trade nahi kholi, magar mai hafte ke akhri dinon mein bhi sirf euros mein farokht kar gaya. Choti si baat, mai umeed karta hoon ke is asset ka price tag kam az kam 1.2300 tak giray ga. Aur wahan dekhenge.

Is liye, nazdeeki mustaqbil mein aik bullish movement ka tajzia muntazir hai, jis mein price zikar shuda hadafat ko hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Traders ko resistance aur support levels ke sath price action ko nazdeek se dekhte hue, sath hi stochastic oscillators ko bhi market direction ki further tasdeeq ke liye nazarandaz karna chahiye. Ma'loomat hasil karke aur market ke halat ke mutabiq tabdeel ho kar, traders apne aap ko faida mand tarikay se position kar sakte hain taake wo potential price movements par munafa haasil kar sakein.

GBPUSD pair ki Daily time frame ki tafseeli tehqiq.
GBPUSD pair ka trading Jumeraat ko phir se ek side mein tha jahan bechnay walay aur khareednay walay barabar tor par bearish ya bullish dabao dene mein masroof thay kyun ke keemat abhi tak resistance area ko tor nahi paayi thi jo ke 1.2540-1.2535 ke keemat par hai aur area support 1.2505-1.2500 par hai is liye keematain abhi tak mehdood taur par harkat kar rahi hain.

Rozana time frame ke Moving Average indicator ke zariye dekha jaye to dekha jata hai ke keemat ya mumkinat abhi tak Yellow MA 200 area ke neechay hai jo ke 1.2535-1.2540 ke keemat par hai jahan bechnay walay ko khareednay walay ke dabaav ko penatrate hone se bacha saktay hain. Halankeh, khareednay walay ne peechlay trade ko mukammal kar ke bullish Doji candlestick banake band kiya, jo ke ishara deta hai ke bullish dabaav mukhtalif taur par ab bhi GBPUSD pair ke trading mein qaboo mei rahega Jumeraat ko. Khareednay walon ko agar GBPUSD pair ki keemat ko mazeed buland le jana hai to unhe keemat ko Yellow 200 MA area ke ooper laana hoga aglay maqsad ki taraf jo ke Red 50 MA area par hai jahan keemat 1.2590-1.2585 ke keemat par hai.

Aane wale Maanu ko trading ke aagay dafa sellers ke zair e kontrol hone ka imkan hai jo ke GBPUSD pair ki keemat ko neechay bearishly le janay ki koshish karenge khareednay walon ke support area ko 1.2505-1.2500 ke keemat par test karke aur agar kamiyab hue to keemat aur bhi gehra bearishly giraygi ek maqsad ke saath khareednay walon ke darkhwaast support area par keemat 1.2470-1.2465 ke keemat par. Magar agar nakam rehta hai, to keemat bilkul khareednay walon ke zair e kontrol hogi jo ke bullish keemat ko mazeed buland le aayenge.

Ikhtitami Faisla:

Khareednay ya khareednay ke trading options mushtarik kiya ja saktay hain agar keemat ko bechnay walon ke resistance area ko torne mein kamiyab hojata hai aur pending order buy stop area ko 1.2535-1.2540 ke keemat par rakh kar TP area ko 1.2585-1.2590 ke keemat par rakhte hain.

GBP USD

Jumma ko GBPUSD pair mein trading phir se ek taraf se doosri taraf ki shirakat mein thi jahan bechnay walay aur khareednay walay dono bullish ya bearish dabaav lagane mein barabar they, kyunke keemat abhi tak resistance area jo ke 1.2540-1.2535 ke daam par hai ko tor nahi payi thi aur support area 1.2505-1.2500 par hai, is liye keemat abhi tak hadood mein hi ghoom rahi hai.



Daily time window mein Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ya mombatti abhi tak Yellow MA 200 area ke neeche hai jo ke 1.2535-1.2540 ke daam par hai aur jise bechnay walay ne khareednay walay ke taraf se mukablay mein bacha sakte hain. Magar, khareednay walay ne peechli trade ko band kar diya hai ek bullish Doji candlestick banakar, jo ke ishara karta hai ke bullish dabaav zyada tar trading ko control karega GBPUSD pair mein peer ko. Khareednay walay ko keemat ko upar laana hoga Yellow 200 MA area ke upar agar woh chahate hain ke GBPUSD pair ki keemat mazeed upar jaye, agle target ke taraf jo ke Red 50 MA area hai 1.2590-1.2585 ke daam par.

Aane wale peer ko trading ka intizaar hai ke bechnay walay dabaav ko control kareinge jo ke GBPUSD pair ki keemat ko neechay giraane ki koshish karenge buyer support area ko test karke jo 1.2505-1.2500 ke daam par hai aur agar yeh kamiyaab hui, to keemat aur zyada neechay giraaye jayegi bearish tor par ek target ke sath jo ke buyer demand support area hai 1.2470-1.2465 ke daam par. Magar agar yeh kamiyab nahi hoti, to keemat bilkul khareednay walay ke control mein hogi jo ke bullish keemat ko aur zyada upar le jayenge.

Nateeja:

Kharid ya khareed trading ke options ko amal mein laaya ja sakta hai agar keemat bechnay walay ka resistance area tor jata hai pending order buy stop area ko lagake 1.2535-1.2540 ke daam par TP area ko rakhte hue 1.2585-1.2590 ke daam par.

Farokht ya farokht trading ke options ko amal mein laaya ja sakta hai agar keemat kamiyaab ho kar buyer support area ko tor jata hai pending sell stop order ko lagake 1.2505-1.2500 ke daam par TP area ko rakhte hue 1.2470-1.2465 ke daam par.