gbp/usd

KHUSH KILLER GBP/USD TRADING DISCUSSION

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Taqreeban buland hosakta hai, lekin rasmi tor par iska izafa khatam hogaya hai. Agar taqreeban buland hai, to phir braking processes pehle se shuru ho chuke hain, aur ye is range mein aik ulte tawajjuh se khatam ho ga jo 26 se 27 figures tak hai. Mojooda marhala mein, market ne neechay ki dynamics dikhayi hai, aur kami barqarar rahe gi. Yeh wazeh tha ke pair ne neechay ki taraf rukh kiya tha, lekin main ek tehqiq mein dakhil hone ka darta raha, ghalati ka khauf tha, kyun ke MA ke ooper umeed bhi thi. Natija ye nikla ke mujhe acha munafa chhor dena para, aur meri raye ke mutabiq, ye khayal bohot he theek sabit hua. Daira mein darmiyani keemat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, hum mazeed kami ke liye resources ki baat kar sakte hain. Shayad, ek ooper ki rukawat ke doran, mujhe phir bhi fursat ka faida uthane ka faisla karna pare, aur kami ke kuch point fix karna pare, lekin sab se important baat phir se MA ke tootne ki jaal mein na phas jana hai. Agar aap waqt par is kaam ko nahi kar sakte, to mustaqbil bohot mushkil ho jata hai, aur aap ko bas baaqi mumkinat par tasalli hasil karna parta hai. Hum khabar block ko follow kar rahe hain aur umeed hai ke trend ke mutabiq barhne wale doran main volatility mein izafa hoga.






H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Mere ye sazishen koi faida nahi laati, sirf dabaav hota hai. Mein is haftay GBP/USD pair ko 1.2480 ke neeche se becha, girawat ka jari rahne ki umeed thi, lekin isay 1.2500 ke ooper khencha gaya aur phir 1.2530 - 1.2550 tak trade hui itna kafi waqt guzra ke main kal yeh natija nikala ke ye 1.2606 tak khencha jayega, aur sach mein isay wahan khench liya gaya. Lekin maine un khabron ko dekha jo aayi aur wahan kuch bhi nahi tha jiske wajah se US Dollar farokht kiya ja sake, aur isi tarah maine ye khatra kha ke US Federal Reserve ke baad, jo pehle se jante the woh 1.2450 - 1.2480 se GBP/USD pair khareed rahe the, jo khabar US mein release ki jayegi. Aur Jumeraat ko, woh us farokht ko daldal aur khabar ke khilaaf kiya, aur ab mujhe lagta hai ke Monday se GBP/USD pair wapas jayega jahan se ye aaya tha aur isay Budh ke din liya gaya tha, 1.2480 par. Shayad is se pehle woh 1.2606 tak izaafa dikhayenge, lekin aam tor par aanay wale haftay ke liye mera trading range 1.2370 ke hadood mein hoga jaisa ke intiqal ki taraf madda darjay aur 1.2616 as maximum mumkin farogh, jab ke south ko na toden.

Britishi paund (GBP) Jumeraat ko, ek kamzor greenback ki wajah se, US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf zameen haasil ki. Ye Federal Reserve ki meeting ke baad aya, jahan Chairmain Jerome Powell ke tajurbaat thorey se dovish samjhe gaye. Magar, US ki mazboot maeeshat ki asal taqat, jisme barqarar inflation aur mazboot izafa hai, abhi bhi Fed ko lambi muddat mein apna hawkish rawaya barqarar rakhne mein madad de sakti hai, shayad USD ko. Markets ka fori tawajjuh late Friday ko ahem data releases ki taraf munh kar gaya. US ke S&P Global Services PMI April ke liye aur buhat muntazir US employment data the ke US ki maeeshat ke sehat ka roshni dalenge. Fed ne interest rates ko do dashton ke darmiyan unki barri satah par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya (5.25% aur 5.5% ke darmiyan). Ye faisla barhte hue inflation ko tasleem karta hai, lekin markazi bank ne abhi tak apne 2% ka maqsad hasil karne ki taraf koi taraqqi nahi dekhi. Investor ka tawajjuh ab April ke US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report ki taraf hai. Agar report aane wale ke imkanon se kamzor ho, to ye USD par farokht dabaav ka silsila shuru kar sakta hai, shayad GBP/USD pair ko faida pohanchai. Doosri taraf, Bank of England (BOE) agle haftay apni interest rate fazam ka faisla karegi. Market ka aam taur par BOE se 5.25% ki muain rate ko barqarar rakhne ki umeed hai, tehatt barri 6th martaba. Magar, September mein aik potential rate cut ke baray mein khayalat hai.






GBP/USD pair filhal is haftay pehlay 1.2300 tak pohanch jane ke baad ab sehatyab hai aur 1.2495 aur 1.2520 ke darmiyan ek rukawat zone ki taraf nazar jama raha hai. Pair 1.2892 par pohanchne ke baad se neechay ke rukh par hai. Technical indicators jaise MACD aur Stochastic ek mumkin bullish u-turn ki taraf ishara dete hain, jab ke MACD zero ke upar jana chahta hai aur Stochastic oversold territory se bahar nikla hai. Agar kharidari ka momentum jari rahe, to qeemat upar di gayi rukawat zone tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan 1.2520 ke qareeb 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke jhurmat ke raste milenge. Mazeed rukawat 200-day SMA se 1.2555 aur 1.2585 par rukawat line se aa sakti hai. Ye darjat qareebi dair mein kisi bhi nayi upward movement ko rok sakte hain.

GBP/ USD Keemat Ki Nazar
Maujooda market performance of the GBP/USD currency pair par guftagu jari hai. Jab trading week khatam hua, GBP/USD pair ne bullish mazboot momentum dikhaya, jo keemat mein izafa ka sabab bana. Aqalmandi se faida uthane wale traders ka ittefaqan 1.2565 ke oopar level ko barqarar nahi rakhne se faida hoga. Haalaanki, setback ke bawajood, uptrend jaari hai, jo 1.25 ke darje aur neeche ke channel line se khareedne ka acha mauqa banata hai. Magar, bullish jazbaat ko 1.2563 ke resistance level par mushkil ka saamna hai, jo hoshiyar trading aur tasdeeq ke signals ko dawat dete hain. H4 chart par, bullish momentum barqarar hai, jis se resistance levels 1.2590-1.2624 ke darmiyan aur pichle bearish trend line ko tor diya gaya hai. Haalaanki, ek pullback hai, lekin ab bhi bullish bias hai, aur mazeed izafa ke liye potential hai resistance levels 1.2645-1.2650 aur 1.2773-1.2795 ki taraf. Ulta, bearish sell level 1.2460 ke neeche break hone se ek girawat shuru ho sakti hai support levels ki taraf.




Aaj, US labour market data ke ijaad ke baad GBP/USD pair mein numaya izafa hua. Magar, 1.2600 ke aaspaas ek jhooti doori hui, jo aik numaya pin bar aur potential farokht ko darust karti hai. Agar yeh pattern din ke ikhtitam tak barqarar rahe, to peer ko mumkin hai farokht ke mauqe naye downward wave ko trigger karein 1.2526 ke qareeb candle ke low ke neeche, jis se 1.2368 par munsil support ki taraf barhne ka aamna samna ho. Agle haftay ke pehle hisse mein, keemat ka istrjai manzar tahas-nafas mein trade karne ki ummeed hai, jahan potential movement ka mauqa ho sakta hai central Bank of England ki meeting ke baad. Aam tor par, traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur market ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye taake trading ke mauqe pakad sakein aur khatrat ko kam kar sakein.

Daily time frame:

GBPUSD ne rozana waqt se trend line ke ooper hisa choo liya hai, jo ke maine wazeh kardiya hai, lekin peechle haftay isne trend line ke neeche hisa choo liya tha, jo ke bullish harkat ki ibtida ka ishara tha. Is waqt ke chart par, GBPUSD ka pehla trend bearish hai kyun ke keemat abhi 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke neeche hai. Sath hi, RSI indicator ka value apne darmiyan ke neechay hai. GBPUSD ke mustaqbil ke harkat ko peshgoyi karna mushkil hai kyun ke peechle do trading dinon mein kharidaron ne aam tor par keemat mein izafa kiya hai, lekin keemat ne 26 aur 50 EMA lines ko choo liya hai. Agar kharidaron ki tadad zyada ho aur GBPUSD moving average lines ko ooper se guzar jaye, to mazeed musbat harkat dikhayi jayegi.

Haftawarana waqt frame:

December se GBPUSD mein bullish trend raha hai jab currency ka keemat 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke ooper trading kar rahi hai haftawarana waqt frame chart par. Keemat moving average lines ke ooper hai, lekin yeh ek he disha mein nahi ja rahi kyun ke trading activity ki wajah se moving average lines ka crossover ek range zone mein hota hai, jo maine diagram mein tajziyat ke liye traders ke faide ke liye highlight bhi kiya hai. GBPUSD ne peechle haftay 50 EMA line tak pohanch gaya, aur is natije mein uski keemat barhi aur aik pin bar candle bani. Zyada sambhavna hai ke GBPUSD apna bullish trend jaari rakhega aur agle hafton mein 1.3143 ke resistance level tak pohanchega kyun ke keemat ne 50 EMA line se barh kar, aur pehla trend bullish hai.

GBP/USD jodi ne aaj shandar karkardagi ka muzahira kiya, 1.2512 par ek unchaai tak pohanch kar, phir aik ahem wapas chhapa. Ye wapas chhapa, jismein saabit kharidari ka aaghaaz na hua, darust hai ke jodi mukhtalif asseertiv stand le sakti hai. Is asseertiv rukh ki taraf barhne par, jodi mukhtalif asaamiyon ki mukhtalif matwazanat se mukabla karegi, jo ke aaj se pehle ki kamzor tarraqi ki wajah se gira hai. Is mumkin girawat ka khatma yahan par nahi hota; agar jodi apni nichi taak mein jari rakhti hai, to wo mazeed support levels ka samna karegi, khaaskar 26 April ko dekhi gayi nichi satah par 1.2448 par, iske baad aik ahem rohani satah par 1.2400 par. Jodi ki manzar-e-aam mein movement ko banane wala pehlu do monetary powerhouses ke darmiyan ek wazeh takraar par mabni hai: Bank of England aur Federal Reserve. Jabke pehla ahtiyati aur ihtiyaati approach banaye rakhta hai, doosra aik mazboot aur proactive rukh ikhtiyar karta hai. Is fitri mukhalfat ne currency pair ki rukh ko nirdhaarit karne mein kirdar ada kiya hai, jabke market participants dono central banks se aane wali fazail aur kharaji data points ko tawajju se dekhte hain.
Asal mein, GBP/USD pair ki mustaqbil ki raah central bank ke afraad ki bayanat aur maqbool maali data points ki tawajju se khaas tor par munsalik hai. Is tarah, Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan jaari tug-of-war foreign exchange market ke pesh e nazar kachra kunddah hai. Is ke alawa, central bank policy mukhalfat ke ta****il mein dakhil hone par maali indicators, siyasi hawalat, aur market sentiment ka shawafi kariye dikhaai deta hai. Jabke Bank of England ka ehtiyaati rukh maaloom hota hai ke inflationary dabavat aur maali be-sakooni ke aasraat hain, Federal Reserve ka zyada aggressive rukh ekta se maqsood maali nezafat aur pandemic ke rehnumai asraat ko kam karne ki koshish ko jhalakata hai.

Is pesh e nazar ke saath, market participants ko chaukna rehna chahiye, daakhil hone wale data ko nizaam se tajziya karna aur central bank ke messages ko kisi bhi taqatwar rukh ke liye tezi se darust karna chahiye. Bilkul sahi rukh ya dhanak se kisi bhi ahamara se riyasat se chhoti si mukhalfat GBP/USD pair mein tezi se movement ko paida kar sakti hai, is tarah traders aur investors dono ke liye maujooda waqiyat aur khatrat pesh karta hai.

Ikhtitami taur par, GBP/USD pair ki haal ki performance aur mumkin mustaqbil ki raah kamaal monetary policy mukhalfat aur market dynamics ke darmiyan nazuk tabaahi ke darmiyan aik nafees tawazun ko zahir karta hai. Jab central banks post-pandemic recovery ke be-tareekh paniyon mein chal rahe hain, to currency markets investor sentiment aur maali nazriyat ka ek mizan ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan GBP/USD pair bade forces ki tasweer

Safalta is domain mein haasil karna sirf tanqeedi tajziya kaam nahin hai, balki bazaar ke bunyadi asoolon ka gehra samajh bhi shamil hai. Jabki mojooda isharaat ek mandi ki taraf mael hote hain, tab bhi qabil-e-fikr traders ki pehchaan unke be-his vigyan aur har waqt tabdeel hone wale market dynamics ke jawab mein morche par khare rehne mein hoti hai.
Jaise hi forex manzar-e-aam mein musalsal tabdiliyan hoti hain, ta'atil aur agahi traders ke liye zaroori sifat ban jati hain jo sirf zindagi bachane ki koshish nahi karte balki har tabdeel hone wale doraan mein kamiyabi haasil karne ki tamanna rakhte hain. Is taraqqi pasand meweshi mein, jaldi se mutabiqat aur ubharne wale trends ke aagah hone ka tajziya kamiyabi aur thaharav ke darmiyan farq ban jata hai. Market ke luh o qalam ko samajhne ka mustaqil azmeh kar ke, traders in mushkilat ko moqaat mein tabdeel kar sakte hain, apni ta'atil aur agahi ka faida utha kar nayi imkaanat ka faida uthate hue sath hi khatron ko kam karte hain.



Tashweesh se bharpoor tajziya aur strategic agahi se sawa laqzab traders apni safar ko GBP/USD manzar-e-aam mein ek ehsaas-e-atmiyat aur wazehi ke saath shuru karte hain. Yeh strategic tareeqa unhe moqaat ko hath lene ki salahiyat deta hai, hatta ke market ke mosem-e-hawa mein tabdeel hone wale jazeeron ke darmiyan bhi. Har market ki harkat sirf ek rukawat nahi hai, balki ek moqa bhi hai, agar kisi ke pass nazriyat aur tabdeel hone wale trends ko samajhne aur un par amal karne ki salahiyat ho.

Safal GBP/USD trading ka fun sirf mojooda halat ka jawab dene mein nahi hai, balki mustaqbil ki tabdiliyon ka agah hona aur apne aap ko mutabiq tawajju dene mein bhi hai. Bazaar ke bunyadi asoolon ka pur-kash hona aur mamooli isharaat ko tabdeel karne ki salahiyat ko hones ke zariye, traders peshwa-e-kadam reh sakte hain, apni strategies ko ubharne wale market jazbaat ke saath mila kar pehle hi tayyar kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD ke liye kal, ek chhote se janoobi rukh ke baad, qeemat ka rukh badal gaya aur uttar ki taraf impulsively agayi, jis ki wajah se ek saaf muddat candle ban gaya, jo pichle daily range ke andar tha. Aam tor par, main apne iraadon ko abhi tak nahi badal raha aur sabr se qareebi resistance level ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 1.25694 par hai. Jaise maine pehle bhi kai baar kaha hai, is resistance level ke qareebi do manazir mojood hote hain. Pehla manzar is level ke upar price ki muddat ke saath juda hua hai aur agay ki taraf chalne ka. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to main qeemat ko resistance level par pohonchte dekhunga, jo 1.27094 par hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka banne ka intezar karunga, jo agay trading ki taraf ka faisla karne mein madad karega. Beshak, door ke shumali maqasid ka bhi amal ho sakta hai, jisme se ek, mere marking ke mutabiq, 1.28032 par hai, lekin yahan par halaat dekhein aur sab kuch is par depend karega ke qeemat ke saath chalne ke doran kaisa khabr ki background shamil hogi aur qeemat door ke shumali maqasid par kis tarah ka react karegi. Jab resistance level 1.25694 ko test kiya jaye, to qeemat ke chalte ek muddat candle aur price ke phir se janoobi rukh ke plan ka bhi ek alternative hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to main qeemat ko support level par lotne ka intezar karunga, jo 1.24661 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo agay trading ki taraf ka faisla karne mein madad karega. Ek aur option hai ek door ke janoobi maqsad par kaam karna, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 1.22992 par hai, lekin yahan par halaat dekhein. Aam tor par, seedhe taur par kahoon to, aaj main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi resistance level ko kaam kar sakti hai, aur phir main bazaar ke halaat se agay barhunga

Pound Sterling (GBP) Monday ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf taaqat hasil karne mein kameyaab nahi ho saki, aur ye aik cheh hafton ka record toota. Ye naye kamzori us ke baad aai jab aik chand lamhon ka koshish se taraqqi ka moqa $1.2500 ke oopar na barh saka. Ye kami kai wajohaat ka natija hai. Sab se pehle, mazboot US maali data USD ko taqwiyat faraham kar raha hai. March mein umeed war US retail sales figures ne mustaqbil mein mazeed consumer spending ki taaqat ko nishaandah kia, jis se ek mazboot US maeeshat ka muzahir hota hai. Ye data Federal Reserve ke mazeed interest rate hikes ki umeedon ko mustaid kar raha hai, jis se USD aik zyada kashish afreen investment ban raha hai. Dusra, Middle East mein siyasi tensions bhi aag mein tail daal rahi hain, jo investors ko safe haven currencies ki taraf raghib kar rahi hain, jaise ke USD. GBP ka USD ke khilaf taaqat kam hona ek maazi ki jhalak bhi hai. Brexit ke baad se, GBP ki qeemat mein tanazaat aur uncertainty rahe hain. Brexit negotiations aur trade deals ke mutaliq reports aur rumors market ko control kar rahe hain, jo GBP ki stability ko mutasir kar rahi hain. Is ke ilawa, UK ki domestic maeeshat bhi thori darust nahi hai. UK ki maeeshat ne recent years mein kuch challenges ka samna kia hai, jaise ke slowing economic growth aur inflation ka barhna. Ye factors bhi GBP ki kamzori ko barhate hain. Overall, GBP ke kamzor hone ka ye waqt ek combination hai maali, siyasi aur taqatwar geopolitical factors ka. Investors ko ab dekhna parega ke kya GBP apni taaqat wapas hasil kar sakega ya phir mazeed girawat ka samna karna parega.



GBP-USD ka market phir se izafa dekha aakhir shukravaar ko, jab Federal Reserve ne apni dar ko barqarar rakha. Yeh khabar ne market mein taaqat ko jaga diya. Lekin, jo bullishness dikhai gayi, wo kareedaron se kafi sahara nahi mila. Is wajah se, jo bullishness thi, wo abhi tak SMA 200 line ke neeche atki rahi. Phir keemat ne SMA 200 line ke neeche inkar kiya, aur phir keemat gir gayi SMA 50 line ko chhoone ke liye. Yeh ghatnaen GBP-USD market ke harkaat mein mukhtalif rang bharna shuru kar rahi hain. Federal Reserve ki dar barqarar rakhne ki khabar ne initially market ko uchit support diya, lekin actual trading mein, traders ne kisi bhi trend ko pakadne mein mushkil mehsoos ki. Isi wajah se, market ke log abhi tak cautious hain aur trend ko confirm karne mein thoda waqt laga rahe hain. SMA 200 aur SMA 50 lines ke beech ke maidan mein kisi bhi currency pair ka movement crucial hota hai. Jab keemat ne SMA 200 line ko chhua, yeh ek bearish indication thi, lekin ab jab keemat gir gayi hai SMA 50 line ke paas, to yeh ek aur indication hai ke bearish trend aur takat ban sakti hai. Traders ko ab market ke further movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh situation kisi bhi direction mein tezi se badal sakti hai. Yeh halat aam tor par uncertainty aur volatility ko saath lekar aate hain. Isi wajah se, traders ko zaroori hai ke wo market ke har aspect ko dhyan se samjhe aur apne trading strategies ko is taaqat ke mausam ke mutabiq adjust karein. Risk management aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai, taki agar market kaafi tezi se badal gaya to nuksan se bacha ja sake. Overall, GBP-USD market mein halat abhi tak unstable hain aur traders ko cautious rehna chahiye. Jab tak trend clear nahi ho jata, samajhne aur action lene mein thoda waqt lag sakta hai. Lekin, sahi information aur analysis ke saath, traders apne positions ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur potential opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

GBP/USD D1

Haal hi ke trading sessions mein, GBP/USD currency jori ne ek numaya downturn ka samna kiya hai, jo ke is ke pehle ke rujhan se ikhtilaf rakhta hai jis mein is ne 2024 ke liye naya buland tareen markaz 1.2892 ko choo liya tha. Yeh neeche ki taraf harkat lower highs aur lower lows ki aik waziha pattern se characterised hai, jo ke bazar ke jazbaat mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Guzishta chand sessions ke doran waqti tor par recovery ki koshishain dekhi gayi hain, jaise ke paanch mahine ke low se rebound, magar jori ki ooper ki taraf momentum ko 200-din ka simple moving average (SMA) ne roka hai, jo ke ek ahem technical indicator hai aur is ka market behavior par gehra asar hota hai.

Aagay dekhtay huay, GBP/USD jori ka mustaqbil ka rujhan bullish aur bearish quwaton ke darmiyan jari kashmakash par inehsan rakhta hai. Agar bullish jazbaat ghalib aaye to jori 1.2574 ke support zone ko test karne ki imkanat rakhti hai, jo March aur April dono mein ahem satah rahi hai. Is barrier se aage ka faisle kun tor GBP/USD ke April ke high 1.2682 ko dobara test karne ka rasta hamwar kar sakta hai. Aane wale ooper ki taraf harkat ko December ke hurdle 1.2793 se resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo mazeed faidon ke liye aik rukawat ban sakta hai. Baraks mein, agar mojooda downtrend apni ghalbaat ko barqarar rakhta hai to GBP/USD jori mazeed neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna kar sakti hai. Aise manzar mein, market ke shirakat dar ahem support levels ko tor phor ke liye barabar dekhein ge, jo ke bechnay ke dabao ko tez kar sakti hai. Agar jori neeche ki taraf momentum ke hawale ho jati hai to traders short positions qaim karne ki soch sakte hain, mojooda bearish jazbaat ka faida uthate hue.

GBP USD Ke Nigah Daar Technical Tahlil:

Is shoba mein kamyabi hasil karna sirf tafteeshi tajziya ka nahi balkay bazaar ke bunyadi asoolon ka gehra ilm bhi shamil hai. Halan ke mojooda nishandahash bearish bias ki taraf jhukte hain, prudential traders ke hallmark unke be-daghi aur unki mustaqil khabardari mein hota hai aur unki tayyari har waqt badalte hue bazaar ki dynamics ke jawab mein badalne ki hoti hai.

Jese ke forex manzar har waqt tabdeel hota rehta hai, tezi aur pehchan pehchan hone wali chezain traders ke liye lazmi khubiyan bante hain jo na sirf zinda rehne ki koshish karte hain balkay bazaar ke is tabdili mein faida uthane ki asha rakhte hain. Is dynamici mahol mein, jald se jald tarmeem karne aur anay wale trends ka pata lagane ki salahiyat kamiyabi aur rukawat ke darmiyan farq bana deti hai. Bazaar ke leharo aur rawano mein tair karne ka mustaqil azm rakhte hue, traders in mushkilat ko imkanon mein tabdeel kar sakte hain, apni tezi aur pehchan ka faida uthate hue naye moaqaat par dastakhat kar sakte hain jabke ek saath hi khatron ko kam karte hain.

Ek taiz tafteesh aur stratigic pehchan ke zariye se hava ki samajh se nawazi shanasi ke sath, traders apne safar ki shuruaat GBP/USD ke manzar par ikhtiyar karte hain jise unmein ek itminan aur durustgi ka ahsas hota hai. Ye stratigic tareeqa unko moasir trading ke moqaat se faida uthane ki khabardar rakhta hai, wese hi ke bazaar ke mahol mein hamesha tabdeel hone wale samundron ke darmiyan. Bazaar ki har harkat sirf ek rukawat ko nahi dikhlati balkay ek mouqe ko faida uthane ka bhi zariya hoti hai, agar kisi ke paas samajh aur adaptability ho ke aane wale trends ko samajhne aur us par amal karne ki salahiyat ho.

Safal GBP/USD trading ka fun sirf mojooda halat ka jawab dena nahi hai balkay mustaqbil ke tabdiliyon ko peshgoi karna aur apni position ko us ke mutabiq rakhna bhi hai. Bazaar ke bunyadi asoolon ka mukammal samajh hasil karne aur halki nishandahash ko samajhne ki salahiyat ko barhane ke zariye, traders kai qadam aage bane rah sakte hain, apne strategies ko pehchan ne wale tajzia ke mutabiq pehle hi adjust karte hue jo ke bazaar ke jazbat ke sath milti-julti hain.

GBP/ USD: Muqabla Dar Asaraton Ke Zariye Exchange Rate

Chaliye GBB/USD currency pair ke hali ki qeemat ka rawayya karte hain, jo hamari tafteesh ka markazi nazar hai. Keematon ke lehaz se, Fed ab bhi top par rahega kyunki ECB ko bhi rate ko kam karna hoga, bilkul Bank of England ki tarah. Maujoda rates ko uthne nahi dena chahiye, aur unke pass states ki tarah koi potential qarz ka izhar nahi hai. Is liye, bina rates ko barhaye, Fed ab bhi doosre markazi banks ke muqable mein ek mukhlis faida rakhega. Is currency pair ki harkat kaafi pur-aetmad hai, aur ye wazeh hai ke bullish trend statistics milne ke baad mazboot ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bullishon ke liye mauqah hai ke uttar ki taraf rukh karain aur qareebi muddat mein 1.2634 ke resistance ko tor kar 1.2737 tak pohanchain. Magar, harkat ki dheemi ho jati hai buniyadi halaat ke ulajhne ki wajah se, jo ke is pair ke nuqsan mein hai. Magar, mujhe yakeen hai ke agle trading session mein, ya to hum 1.2637 ke darja tak pohanchain ge ya phir 1.2524 tak girain ge, magar har surat mein, hum kharidne par tawajjo den ge. Aaj, ye ahem hai ke GBP/USD ko 1.2404 tak girne se rokne ke tadaabir ikhtiar ki jayein, kyunki ye bazaar ka rukh badal sakti hai. Fitratan, kharidar ab tak harkat ka control rakhte hain. Bohat se Fed mein kamiyat ka intezar kar rahe the; mein bhi un mein se ek tha. Magar, bazaar ne GBB/USD ke bearon ke expectations ko pura karne mein kamiyabi nahi hasil ki. Ab umeed hai ke ab barhav ayega, jo ab mein ummeeed karta hoon. Aur ye barhav bura nahi hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke kamzor hone ke siwa giravat ke mumkin manazir ko mad e nazar rakha jaaye. Maujooda qeemat ki harkat kaafi mustqil nazar aati hai, jo ke bazaar ko ek rukh badalne ke liye tayar kar rahi hai jise aap ko tayar rehna chahiye. Magar, ye abhi ke liye mumkin hai, aur hum jald hi bazaar mein tabdeeliyan dekhein ge, jahan bunyadi factors ka ahem kirdar hoga. Hum bullish trend ki jari rah dekhenge, jo maujooda upar ki manzil ko tasdeeq karta hai. Tehleel ke mutabiq niche ki durustiyan mumkin hain, magar mujhe yakeen hai ke ye sirf ek waqtanwi nishaani hai, aur hum ahista ahista rozana waqt frame mein upar ki taraf jaa rahe hain. Mazeed is currency pair ke muamle mein, pehle bhi aya tha ke GBP/USD currency pair mein key resistance 1.2634 ke daraje par hai, aur amoomi izaafa maqsad 1.2737 ke darajay ko paar karne par 1.2853 ke daraja par hai. Anay wale bunyadi tabdeeliyon ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD currency pair ko barhne ka silsila shuru hoga, jo samajhne layaq hai.

Jumma ko, British pound (GBP) initially New York mein shuru hone wali trading mein US dollar (USD) ke khilaaf mehfooz raha, lekin baad mein ye palat gaya. Ye ulta wend aik ehmiyat ka maqam hasil hua jab United States se ahem ma'loomat jaari ki gayi. April ke liye US non-farm payrolls report mein kamzor se kamzor naukriyon ki kami aur tez wage barhne ka zor rate ka ilan hua. Yeh data awwal mein dollar ko zameen par laya. Lekin, dollar dobara recover hua jab ek aur report, ISM ke US Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), ne services prices mein izafa dekha diya. Ye ishara karta hai ke amrica ki maeeshat mein inflationary dabao barh rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ko interest rates ko katne se ruk sakta hai jaise tawaqqa tha. Pehle ki tawaqqaat thi ke Fed September mein darj karne wala hai, lekin yeh data in plans par shak dal gaya hai. Nakami jobs data ne dikhaya ke non-farm employers ne April mein sirf 175,000 jobs shamil ki, jo ke waziha tor par kam tha jese ke 243,000 ki tawaqqa thi. Berozgari dar bhi thori si barh gayi 3.9% tak. Average hourly earnings, jo ke inflation ka aik ahem nishan hai, saalana 3.9% par ghata, jo ke pehle se 4.0% se nicha hai aur 4.1% ki izafa ki tawaqqa se bhi kam hai. Mahiney bhar ki tezi bhi kam hui 0.2% par, jo ke 0.3% ki tawaqqa se kam hai.





Is kamzor US data ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair apni faaide ko mehfooz rakhne mein kamyab nahi raha. Pound ab panch mahiney ke kamzor se halat se bahar aa raha hai lekin 1.2495-1.2520 zone ke aspaas rukawat ka saamna kar raha hai. Ye kamzori ek zyada oodaan down trend ka aks hai jo is pair ko haal hi mein 1.2892 tak pohnchane par shuru hua tha. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ke qeemat mein waqtan-fa-waqt bounce hone ka izafa ho sakta hai. MACD indicator trigger line ke ooper cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur Stochastic indicator oversold territory mein chhatpar raha hai. Agar khareedari jari rahe, to pair 1.2520 ke nazdeek pohanch sakta hai, jahan 20-day moving average se mazeed rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai. Choti si bhi oopar ki harkat ko 1.2555 par 200-day moving average aur 1.2585 ke downtrend line ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Tohfiq se, GBP/USD pair mukhalif foron ke darmiyan phans gaya hai. Weak US data ne shuru mein pound ko izafa diya, lekin inflation aur Fed ki monetary policy ke outlo ke lehaz se fikar hai. Pair qareebi muddat ke liye imtehaan mein mubtala rahega jabke investors in mukhalif foron ko tauleen karenge.

hai aur shayad mazeed nichlay bhi ja sakta hai. Magar, umeed hai ke taqatwar sahara 1.0351 se 1.2452 tak ki uthalti trend ke 61.8% punarwas ke level par se aaega, jo ke 1.1417 par hai. Ye taslees ka zikar hai ke ye correction process mukammal ho sakta hai. 1.3141 ke darmiyan-term top ko 1.0351 ke 2022 ke kam se shuru hui broad upward trend mein aik tasfiyah pattern ke tor par samjha gaya hai. Halqa girawat, khaaskar 1.2892 ke chote se muqam se, is tasfiyah pattern ka teesra pao hai.
Mozu ke mohtaaj hone ki wajah se GBP/USD ka manzar-e-aam neutral ho gaya hai, qareebi arse mein kuch consolidation ki umeed hai. Magar, kisi bhi uparward movement ka intezar hai ke 1.2538 par resistance se mutasir ho. Mutasir ho, agar pair 1.2298 ke sahara level ko tor deta hai, to ye 1.2892 ke chote se muqam se niche ki movement ko dobara shuru hone ka nishan hoga, jis se 1.23654 ke zikar kiya gaya sahara level nishana ban sakta hai.


Saransh mein, GBP/USD pair apne broad uptrend ke andar aik tasfiyah marhale se guzar raha hai, jisme 1.2036 sahara level tak mazeed downside ka imkan hai. Magar, umeed hai ke 1.1417 level ke qawi sahara ka numainda punarwas hai, jo peechle uthalati hui move ka aham punarwaas hai. Mozu ke mohtaaj hone ki wajah se jadid recovery ne manzar-e-aam ko neutral kiya hai, jisme consolidation ki umeed hai, magar kisi bhi uparward movement ki hadood 1.2538 par resistance se mehdood hai. Aksar, agar 1.2298 sahara level ko tor diya jata hai, to ye girawat ke harkat ko 1.2892 ke muqam se niche le jata hai, jis se 165036 ke zikar kiya gaya sahara level nishana ban sakta hai

Meray aziz o muhtaram aazaa, jaisa ke aapko pata hai, trading session ke doran qeemat 1.2530 aur 1.2666 ke darmiyan badal gayi, aur mumkin hai ke band hone wali qeemat 1.2600 ke qareeb ho. Band hone wali qeemat puri tarah se yaqeenan nahi hai, lekin trading session ke doran dekhi gayi tabdeeliyon ke aadhar par yeh mukhtalif hai. GBP/USD ka tajziya lag raha hai ke qareebi muddat mein mazeed urooj ke liye tayyar hai, jahan keematien mazeed barh sakti hain qareebi muddat mein. Traders ko 1.2590 ke ahem resistance level par tawaju se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke is level ke oopar se breakout aur consolidation mazeed uptrend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Halanki, mojooda samay mein GBP/USD ke liye 1.2620 ke daire mein ek trade position hai. Is strategy ka shamil hai ke agar exchange rate is level ko toorna shuru karta hai to position barhaya jaayega. Yeh pair ke liye ek bullish nazar hai, traders mazeed upside potential ki umeed rakhte hain. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke keemat ne abhi tak 1.2615 ke mark tak jaane ka koi ishaara nahi diya hai. Jab yeh level test kiya jaayega aur keemat qawi rahegi, to yeh mazeed urooj ke liye ek bunyadi bunyad ke tor par kaam aayega.

Ek correct decline pehle hi ho chuka hai, jismein pair ne 1.2550 ke aas paas ka daire test kiya. Yeh dikhata hai ke kharidne wale is keemat par keemat ko samarthan dene ke liye aa rahe hain, jo GBP/USD ke liye bullish case ko aur bhi mazboot kar raha hai. Daire ka kamiyab test yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke uptrend barkarar hai aur traders ka umeed hai ke mazeed faida hone wala hai. Takneeki factors ke ilawa, bunyadi drivers bhi GBP/USD ke liye bullish nazar aa rahe hain. Maashiyati data releases, central bank policies, aur geo-political developments, sab currency markets ko asar daal sakte hain aur exchange rates par asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, UK se musbat maashiyati data, jaise ke mazboot GDP ki growth ya behtar rozgar ke figures, American dollar ke muqable mein British pound ko mazbooti de sakte hain. Isi tarah, Federal Reserve se kisi bhi dovish ishaara ya America ki maashiyati halaat par kisi bhi pareshani ka asar US dollar par ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD ke qeemat mein izafa kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, geo-political factors currency market sentiment ko shape karne mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain. Trade negotiations, Brexit se mutalliq khabrein, ya geo-political tensions ke development, exchange rates mein izafa ya giraavat laa sakte hain. Traders ko in developments se mutaliq rehna chahiye aur inke GBP/USD pair par ke asar ko anjaam dena chahiye. Risk management forex trading mein ahem hai, khaaskar taiz markets jaise ke GBP/USD mein. Traders ko apni potential nuqsanat ko had tak mehdood karne ke liye stop-loss orders set karna chahiye aur sahi risk management principles ka paalan karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, market sentiment ko monitor karna aur market ke changing conditions ke jawaab mein trading strategies ko tabdeel karne ke liye tayyar rehna bhi zaroori hai.

Ikhtisaar mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mazeed urooj ke liye potential dikhata hai, traders 1.2590 ke ahem resistance level par nigaah daal rahe hain. Is level ke oopar breakout aur consolidation mazeed uptrend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders 1.2620 ke daire mein position mein hain, jismein position ko barhane ka iraada hai agar keemat is level ko toorna shuru karta hai. Magar, risk management ahem hai, aur traders ko mutaghayyar market dynamics ke jawabdeh aur daeriyay dar rehna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne pechle haftay se ek dilchasp larayi mein phansa hua hai. Paanch mazid dinon tak, pair ne 1.2560 ke aas paas sakht mehsool mein trade ki hai, ek kamzor US dollar ki wajah se. Ye kamzori investor ki beton se aati hai ke Federal Reserve baad mein is saal interest rates ko cut karaygi. April mein nirasha janak US jobs data ne ye tajziyaat paida kiye, aur anay wale Fed officials ki taqreerain aage ke monetary policy stance ke bare mein mazeed raaz khol sakti hain. Jab dollar kamzor hota hai, to Bank of England (BoE) ka agla interest rate faisle par ye sawaal uthata hai ke GBP/USD ka upside potential kya hai. Market bohot zyada ummeed rakhti hai ke BoE apni mojooda rate 5.25% par barqarar rakhegi. Magar, Governor Bailey aur Deputy Governor Ramsden ke April mein dovish comments ka ishara hai ke ek tabadla mumkin hai. Kuch logon ke nazdeek BoE ka easing cycle zyada European Central Bank se milti hai, jo ke pound par neeche ki taraf dabav dal sakti hai.

Mazeed paicheedgi laane wala mamla hai GBP/USD ka haal hal. Pair ne ek 2024 ki unchi (high) 1.2892 se dramebaazi se girav kiya, ek wazeh downtrend qaim kiya. Jabke haal mein kuch sessionon mein recovery ki koshish ki gayi hai, lekin ahem 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) agay ki taraf mazeed izafay ke liye chhat ban raha hai. 1.2574 area se bahar nikalne se aik mumkin test signal deta hai April ki unchi (1.2682) aur December resistance (1.2793) ke liye. Mukhalif, February ki kamzor (low) 1.2517 ke niche girne se April support (1.2405) ki taraf aur paanch mahine ka low (1.2298) tak tezi se girav ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD mukhalif taqatoun ka samna hai. Kamzor dollar thori madad deta hai, lekin BoE ka dovish stance aur pair ke technical resistance levels longon me be-asar dalti hain. Anay wale Fed comments aur BoE ke rate faislay ye aham events honge jo ane wale dinon mein GBP/USD ke raaste ka direction banyenge.