Audusd

Rozana Waqt Frame Ki Nigaah:

AUDUSD currency pair par rozana waqt frame mein ki gayi technical analysis mein tawajju dene ke liye dilchasp nishanat samne aati hain. Ek ahem bullish signal mein se ek level 0.66285 par resistance break ki tasdeeq hai. Ye tasdeeq is waqt hui jab ke keemat ne resistance level ko guzar karke, jo pehle keemat ke harkaton ka ooncha hadood tha, ko tor diya. Is resistance ka torr yeh dikhata hai ke khareedari ki taqat hai jo ke keemat ko ooncha karne ke liye kaafi mazboot hai. Is ke ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ka mulaqat bhi ek mazeed bullish signal faraham karta hai. Ye crossover tab hota hai jab 50 EMA, jo ke short-term price changes ke liye zyada hisar hai, dheere 100 EMA ke ooper chala jata hai. Magar, keemat 0.67119 ke uncha darjah par phans gayi thi, jo dikhata hai ke is ilaqe mein mazboot resistance hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, AUDUSD ne ek correction ka samna kiya jo ke traders ki nafadari ko dikhata hai. Ye correction note karne ke liye ahem hai kyunki yeh dikhata hai ke haan khareedari ki taqat hai, lekin resistance level par bechnay ka dabao bhi kaafi ahem hai. Magar, filhal AUDUSD pair mein ek phir se ubhaar hai jo dikhata hai ke buyers haar nahi maan gaye hain. Is ooper ki keemat chalne ka imkan hai ke uncha darjah 0.67119 ko dobara test kiya jaye. Agar keemat is level ko tor deti hai, to hum mazeed mazboot bullish trend ka jari rahne ka imkan dekh sakte hain. Ahem hai ke 0.67119 level ke ird gird keemat ka reaction nigrani mein rakha jaye. Agar mazboot breakout ke saath bhaari volume ho, to keemat agle resistance level ki taraf barhne ka imkan hai

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AUD/USD 0.6648 Par Stable Rehta Hai Mix US Data Aur Fed Rate Cuts Ki Tawaqquat Ke Darmiyan:

Australian currency (AUD) US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 0.6655 par mustaqil hai. Ye istiqamat is ke bawajood hai ke United States se mix economic reports aur Federal Reserve ke mumkinah interest rate cuts ke baare mein chal rahe talks ke darmiyan. Haal hi mein US se economic data mix tasveer pesh kiya. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 53.8 par barh gaya, jo ke service sector mein izafa ko darust karta hai. Aam tor par, PMI 50 ke ooper ikhraj ko darust karta hai. Magar, ye musbat khabrein ADP National Employment Report se nakam job data ke zor par gaein, jo ke pichle mahine sirf 155,000 jobs ko shamil kiya, umeedon se kam. Australia ka taaza economic data maqool izafa dikhata hai. Australian Bureau of Statistics ne riwayati quarter ke muqablay mein Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ko 0.1% aur saalana tor par 1.1% ki izafa darj ki. Ye figures izafa ko dikhate hain lekin peechle quarters se tez raftar se nahi.

RBA Outlook Be Tabdeel Hai
GDP ki dhimi izafa ke bawajood, ANZ ke analysts ka khayal hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka outlook be tabdeel hai. RBA ab bhi ma'ashi shara'ait ka tawajjo se nazar rakhta hai, aur maali policy mein koi fori tabdeeli ki koi alamat nahi hai. Ab traders Australia se anay wale ahem economic reports ka intezar kar rahe hain jo AUD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Anay wale data releases mein shamil hain:

Balance of Trade: Ye Australia ka trade surplus ya deficit dikhayega, jo currency value ko mutasir kar sakta hai.
Home Loans: Ye data housing market aur consumer confidence ka sehat dikhayega.
Private Housing Approvals: Ye naye building permits ka number napta hai, jo future construction activity ka aghaz karne ka leading indicator hai.



Market Ki Tawaqqu'at
AUD/USD currency pair in anay data points ka jawab dene ki tawaqo hai. Mazboot Balance of Trade report ya positive housing data Australian Dollar ko izafa de sakta hai. Dosri taraf, kisi bhi nakami ke sorprise se AUD ko bojhal kiya ja sakta hai. America mein, traders Federal Reserve se mumkinah interest rate cuts ke signals ke liye tafteesh jari rakhein ge. Fed ki monetary policy par faisley US Dollar ko gehra asar daalne ki tawaqo hai aur, in turn, AUD/USD exchange rate par asar andaz ho sakta hai.

Price Action Market Forecast for AUDUSD (4-Hour Chart)

Hello sab log, aaj raat mein main AUDUSD currency pair ki real-time price action analysis par baat karunga. 4 ghante ke chart par, currency pair ne April 2024 ke shuruaat se ek bade ascending channel ke andar trend bana rakha hai, jo ek bullish bias ko darust karta hai. Haal hi mein, price action ke mutabiq, ek potential consolidation phase ka zahir hone laga hai jab ke channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb range kar raha hai.

Aaj European session ke doran, keemat ne ek martaba phir se channel support ko touch kiya aur rebound kiya, jo ke consolidate hone ka nazar aata hai, aur upper boundary ke taraf mazeed ek bara move ke liye tayyar ho raha hai jo ke 0.6709 area par hai. 0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan ka area ek ahem demand zone hai, jise peechle buying interest aur channel ka lower boundary mark karta hai. Dusri taraf, 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan ilaqa ek supply zone ko darust karta hai jahan selling pressure aayi hai, jo ke potential reversals ke liye nigrani mein rakhne ke liye ek ahem level hai. Chart ko tafteesh karne ke baad, ye mashwara diya jata hai ke keemat upper boundary of the channel ki taraf barhne ka imkan hai.

Is ke ilawa, chart par laal lines ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai ke pichle kuch hafton mein price action ne 0.66080 support aur 0.66920 resistance ke darmiyan ek rectangular pattern banaya hai. Ye pattern ek consolidation period ko dikhata hai, jahan is range ke ooper ya neeche ek breakout agla significant move signal karne ke imkan hai. Aur jabke price rectangular support aur ascending channel support ke neeche nahi gir saki, to yeh zahir hai ke wo mazeed ooper jaane ka imkan hai.



Umgeer, agar keemat mazeed neeche gir kar 0.6590 support ko breach karke mazid lambay arsay tak consolidation mein rehne lage, to ye meri bullish sentiment ko khatam kar dega aur aglay support 0.6560 aur 0.6500 par nishana banayega. Main yeh salah doonga ke hum fundamental factors ko mad e nazar rakhein aur ek behtar trading faisla karne ke liye risk/reward ratio ko maintain karein.

Trading Discussion:

AUD/USD ke mutaliq kal, pichle daily range ka maximum update karne ke baad, keemat ulta hui aur ek taqatwar bearish impulse ke zor par neeche daba di gayi, jis se ek mukammal bearish candle bana jo ke pichle daily range ko puri tarah se engulf kar gaya. Sachai yeh hai ke abhi tak mujhe is instrument par kuch dilchasp nahi nazar aa raha, halankeh banne wale reversal candlestick pattern southern movement ka jari rehne ka bais ban sakta hai, jismein halat ki nazdeek tareen support level ko mad e nazar rakha ja sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, mein support level par nazar rakhne ka irada kar raha hoon jo ke 0.65922 par hai ya phir support level 0.65580 par. In support levels ke qareeb do scenarios hosakte hain. Pehla scenario reversal candle ki formation aur upward price movement ka dobara aghaz ke sath mutaliq hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein umeed karunga ke keemat resistance level 0.66986 ya phir resistance level 0.67141 par wapas jayegi. Agar keemat in resistance levels ke ooper consolidate hoti hai, to mein mazeed uttar ki taraf movement ka intezar karunga, takreeban resistance level 0.68711 tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo ke agle trading direction ka tay karne mein madad karega. Beshak, mein tasleem karta hoon ke tay shumali target ki taraf keemat ki harkat ke doran jhukiyan hosakti hain, jinhein mein istemal karke qareebi support levels se bullish signals ki talash karunga, upar ki price movement ka dobara aghaz hone ki umeed ke saath. Keemat ke testing ke doran support level 0.65922 ya phir support level 0.65810 par anay wale price movement ke liye ek alternative plan yeh hosakta hai ke keemat in levels ke neeche consolidate hoti hai aur mazeed southern movement hoti hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein umeed karunga ke keemat support level 0.64653 ki taraf chalegi. Is support level ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, upar ki price movement ka dobara aghaz hone ki umeed ke saath. Amuman, agar hum chand lafzon mein baat karein to, mein abhi local tor par kuch dilchasp nahi dekh raha. Aam tor par, mein shumali trend ko jari rakhne ki taraf muntazir hoon, lekin khareedne ke options ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mein qareebi support level par price action dekhna pasand karunga aur phir shumali signals ki talash ki ja sakti hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne ek izafa dekha jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock ne ishara kiya ke agar Consumer Price Index (CPI) apne maqsood range mein wapas nahi aata, to rate hikes ki mumkinat ho sakti hain. Bullock ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke agar CPI apne maqsood range mein wapas nahi aata, to central bank ko rates barhane ka tawqo hai. Is baat ne investoron ki itminan ko barha diya hai kyun ke zyada interest rates aam tor par foreign investment ko khenchti hain, jo currency ko mazboot karti hai. Australia ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) sirf 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) izafa kiya first quarter mein, jo ke umeed se kam tha jo 0.2% tha. Ye slow economic expansion Australia ki maeeshat ke samne aane wale challenges ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakta. Is kam-umeedi ke bawajood, interest rate hikes ki mumkinat ne AUD ko madad ki hai. China ka services sector mazboot hai, jaisa ke Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne May mein 54.0 score kiya, jo ke 17th consecutive month of growth hai, jahan 50 se ooper ka reading expansion ko darust karti hai. China ke services sector ki mustaqil izafa yeh darust karta hai ke iska bara economy mazboot hai, jo global economic stability ke liye ek mufeed nishan hai. China ke services sector ka mazboot performance global markets par muzid asar daal sakta hai aur Australia jaise trade partners ko faida pahuncha sakta hai.



US Dollar (USD) Treasury yields ke barhne se mazboot ho sakta hai. Zyada yields US bonds ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banati hain, jo USD ki demand ko barha deti hai. Mazboot USD global currency markets par bohot asar daal sakta hai, mulkain ke darmiyan trade balances aur investment flows ko mutasir karke global economic dynamics ko shape karta hai. Australia Dollar ne RBA Governor ke comments ke baad ek izafa dekha hai regarding potential interest rate hikes agar inflation targets puray nahi hote. Magar, Australia ka GDP growth pehle quarter mein umeed se kam raha, kuch maeeshati challenges ko highlight karte hue. Iske ilawa, China ka services sector expand ho raha hai aur global economic activity ke liye ek mufeed outlook hai. Aakhir mein, Treasury yields ke barhne ki wajah se mazboot USD ki mumkinat currency market trends ko badal sakti hai. Ye tajawuzat global economies ke darmiyan mubashrat ko highlight karte hain aur economic monitoring aur policy adjustments ki ahmiyat ko stress dete hain.

Wednesday ke trading ke early hours mein Australian dollar ke khilaf bohot si idhar udhar hui, jahan 0.6650 level ek price magnet ke tor par kaam kiya. Yeh ranking ka rawiya ishara deta hai ke market mein ek wazeh rukh ki kami hai aur basically andaruni intizamiyat ko shamil karta hai.

Halankeh, ab market 0.6725 par ek ahem resistance level aur 0.66 par ek achha support level mein band hai. Ye key events both the 50-day EMA aur 200-day EMA ko mazid support aur resistance faraham karte hain.

In shara'it ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, short-term traders ko is market mein moqa mil sakta hai, lekin jo log 30 se 50 pips ya mazeed ke bade moves ki talaash mein hain, unhein agle Jumma ke business news se inka intezar ho sakta hai jo market ko kisi khaas rukh mein le ja sakta hai. Magar abhi ke liye, market kam ghair ya be faisla nazar aati hai.

Ye be faisla mandi sirf Australian dollar par mehdood nahi hai; bohot se major currency pairs similar uncertainty ka samna kar rahe hain. Normal tor par, summer months currencies ke liye aahista aur sust trading environment laate hain, aur is saal yeh koi istisna nahi lagta. Maal ke sath jura hua Australian dollar kuch support faraham karta hai, lekin U.S. dollar ki taqat mojood hai jo safe currency hone ki wajah se is volatility ko mehdood karta hai.



Mukhtasir mein, Australian dollar ab strong territories mein trade ho raha hai, jahan 0.6725 par mazboot resistance aur 0.66 par mazboot support hai. Short-term traders ko is channel mein moqa mil sakta hai, lekin tabdeeli shayad na mumkin lagegi agar upcoming jobs news jaise external factors ka asar na ho. Currency markets mein buland aur kam ke dauron ka broad trend jari rahega, jo ke traders ke liye zyada price appreciation ki talash karne wale ke liye challenging hai.

Rozana Taaza Maloomat AUD/USD Harkaat Par

Australian dollar (AUD) aaj mushkil waqt se guzar raha hai, jabke AUD/USD currency pair mein madum giravat dekhi ja rahi hai. Ye kamzori kai wajoohat ki wajah se hai jo Aussie par dabao daal rahi hai. Sab se pehle, Australia ke hal hi mein maeeshati data releases ne koi khaas ummed nahi jagai. Ye bezaar performance currency ke qeemat par asar daal rahi hai. Dusri baat, US dollar sab se zyada major currencies ke muqablay mein mazboot ho raha hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko mazeed neeche daba raha hai. Yeh broad market trend Australian dollars ko khareedne ko US dollars ke muqablay mein zyada mehnga bana raha hai. Teesri baat, maliyati markets mein mahaul udaas hai, jo AUD par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Australia ki maeeshat maliyati exports par mabni hai, is liye in markets mein girawat aksar Australian dollar ko kamzor kar deti hai.

Ab sab nigahein America ke maeeshati data releases par mojood hain jo US trading session ke doran ane wale hain. Khaas tor par, US private sector mein rozgar ke data ko ahmiyat di ja rahi hai. Ye data point Amreeki maeeshat ke sehat ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karega aur shayad AUD/USD pair ke rukh par asar andaz ho.

Agay dekhte hain, AUD/USD ke liye do main manazir hain. Pehla manzar mojooda neeche ki rukh ka jari rahna hai. Halat ke mutabiq yeh zyada mumkin nazar aata hai. Agar AUD/USD 0.6675 ke ahem support level se neeche gir jata hai, to yeh mazeed giravat ki rah par khara kar sakta hai 0.6615 tak aur shayad 0.6595 tak bhi. Dusra manzar, haalaanki kam mumkin hai, AUD/USD ke liye naseeb ka palatna hai. Agar yeh pair 0.6675 ke level se ooper chadh jata hai aur wahan mazid qaim hota hai, to yeh ek mumkinah izaafa ki raah ko khol sakta hai 0.6685 tak aur shayad 0.6695 tak bhi.



Akhri taur par, AUD/USD ab ahem rukawaton ka samna kar raha hai. Australia se kamzor maeeshati data, mazboot hoti hue US dollar aur maliyati markets mein manfi fehmi sab ne mil kar Aussie ki giravat mein hissa le rahe hain. Jabke ek mumkinah upri tezi durust tor par tasveer mein hai, zyada mumkin manzar neeche ki rukh ki jari rehna lagta hai. Investors ko agle Amreeki maeeshati data releases par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye mazeed rukh faraham kar sakte hain.

Wednesday ke bunyadi hadson mein koi khaas waziha nahi hai. ECB ki meeting Thursday ko hai, is liye monetary committee ke afraad ab central bank ke potential faislon par tabdeelion par tabahi nahi kar sakte. Federal Reserve ki meeting bhi nazdeek hai, is liye FOMC ke afraad bhi "blackout period" mein dakhil ho chuke hain.

Aam mukhtasir:
Aaj ke agenda par mukhtalif hadson mein ISM aur ADP reports shamil hain. Magar amooman, macroeconomic background bazaar ke liye kuch ahmiyat nahi rakhega, jo har moqa istemal karne ki koshish kar raha hai European aur British currencies ko khareedne ke liye. Agar US mazboot reports jari karta hai, to dollar mazboot hone ke imkaanat kam hain. Agar woh kamzor hote hain, to sabziya dollar girne ke zyada imkaanat hain.



Kal, Australian dollar ka giravat Monday ke barhne ke mukable mein kamzor nahi tha, aur yeh trading volumes buland the. Aaj subah, Australia ne Ai Group Manufacturing Index ke May ke liye reports jari kiye, jo -13.9 se -31.1 par gir gaya, aur Ai Group Construction Index jo -25.6 se -68.1 par tezi se gir gaya - iska itihaas ka sab se bura value hai. 2008/9 ke sheheri qarz ki crisis ke dauran bhi, sab se kamzor reading 29.5 thi. Keemat mutmaen tor par 0.6627 ke support ko tor degi aur MACD line ke support tak 0.6565 tak pohanchegi. Marlin oscillator pehle se hi zero line ko torne ki tawaqo kar raha hai. 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, Marlin oscillator pehle se hi bearish territory mein qaim hai. Keemat thori si MACD line par jam gai hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke keemat is support ko tor degi aur 0.6627 ke level ke neeche settle ho jayegi.

Australian Dollar Mein Izafa RBA Ke Rate Hike Signals Par: Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock ke isharon par rate hike ki sambhavnao ke baad izafa kiya. Bullock ne kaha ke agar Consumer Price Index (CPI) nishchit range mein wapas nahi aata, to central bank mukhtalif karza daroman bada sakta hai. Ye maali investoron ki itminan ko barha diya hai, kyunke zyada interest rates aam tor par foreign investment ko attract karte hain, jisse currency ko izafa milta hai. Australia ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) pehle quarter mein sirf 0.1% barh kar aaya, jo ke expected 0.2% growth se kam tha. Ye slow maashi phailao Australia ki arziyat mein musalsal challenges ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is kam se muntazim growth ke bawajood, interest rate hikes ki sambhavna ne AUD ko madad ki hai. China ka services sector mazboot hai, jaise ke May ke Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) jo 54.0 tha. Ye 17wein musalsal mahine ki barhao ki nishani hai, jahan 50 se ooper ki reading phailao ko darsata hai. China ke services sector mein mustaqil izafa iske zyada se zyada maashi hawaiyat mein istiqamat ki alamat hai, jo ke global maashi mustaqbil ke liye ek mufeed ishara hai. China ke services sector ka mazboot performance global markets par asar dal sakta hai aur Australia jaise trade partners ko faida pohancha sakta hai.



US Dollar Mazboot Ho Sakta Hai Treasury Yields Ke Izafay Ke Sath: US Dollar (USD) mukhtalif Treasury yields ke izafay ke bais mazboot ho sakta hai. Zyada yields US bonds ko investors ke liye zyada kashish kar dete hain, jisse USD ki demand barhti hai. Mazboot USD global currency markets ko gehra asar dal sakta hai, mulkain ke darmiyan trade balances aur investment flows ko mutasir kar ke global maashi dynamics ko shakal dete hain. Australian Dollar RBA Governor ke comments ke baad izafa kar raha hai jahan unho ne inflation targets ko pura na hone par interest rate hikes ke baray mein kaha. Magar Australia ka GDP growth pehle quarter mein umeed se kam tha, jo kuch maashi challenges ko dikhata hai. Intehai, China ka services sector mazeed phail raha hai, global maashi sargarmiyon ke liye aik mustaqbil ki roshni deta hua. Aakhri mein, Treasury yields ke izafay se US Dollar ka mazboot ho jana currency market ke trends ko tabdeel kar sakta hai. Ye tajziyat global maashi taraqqi ki darmiyanat aur eham maashi monitoring aur policy adjustments ki ahmiyat ko zarooratmand banati hain.

Australian dollar is expected to continue rising sharply this week. North American session mein, AUD/USD 0.6641 par trade ho raha hai, din ke 0.71% ke izafe ke sath. Australia ka 0.55% ka izafa peer ko ghata diya gaya tha.

Australia ne aaj pehle hee kamzor data jaari kiya, jo neeche daba diya gaya. Corporate profit third quarter mein mukhalf 2.5% q/q gir gaya, jo ke pehle quarter mein mukarar 7.1% ke izafe ke baad hai. Ye market ki tajziya ke -0.9% se kafi kam hai. Corporate profit saal bhar mein 8.6% gir gaya, jo ke choutha musalsal girawat ka mark hai.

Australia ne Q1 mein net cash flow ko A$4.9 billion mein jaari kiya, jabke pehle quarter Q4 2023 mein mukarar cash flow A$2.7 billion tha. Ye A$5.9 billion hai. Trade surplus tabahi hui buland imports aur kam exports ke bais, jabke steel production mein qeemat girne ki wajah se rupee surplus ki market ki tajziya ke khilaaf. Aaj ke chandi stock ne farokht ko izafa diya, jo ke aprail mein thori si miqdar mein 0.1% m/m ke izafe ke baad maarch ke -0.4% reading ke baad hui.

Australia ki muntazim 1.2% ki tezi se kami ki ummeed hai. Chouthay quarter mein, Australia GDP 1.2% ki saalana tor par girne ki umeed hai, jo ke 2023 ke chouthay quarter mein 1.5% ke mukablay hai. Consumer spending nai umeed se kam hai jabke logo ko bulandi darjat ke interest rates aur mehengai ka samna karna pad raha hai.



March GDP figures dikhayenge ke Australia ko tangi se bachaya gaya. Amumantah, aise maashi halaat Reserve Bank of Australia ko maamooli arthvyavastha ka aghaz karne ke liye rates ko katne par majboor kar sakte hain. Magar mehengai tajziya se tez hai, is liye RBA shayad interest rates ko girane ke liye intezaar karegi aur mehengai ko cover karne ke liye rates ko barhane ke liye razi na ho.

Australian Dollar RBA Ke Rate Hike Signals Par Izafa Karta Hai:
Australian Dollar (AUD) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock ke signalat par mehsoos karte hue izafa kiya hai jab unhon ne mumkinah interest rate hikes ka zikr kiya. Bullock ne kaha ke agar Consumer Price Index (CPI) maqsood shua'rt mein wapas nahi aaya, to central bank mukarar rates barha sakti hai. Ye investor confidence ko behtar bana diya hai, kyun ke zyada interest rates amooman foreign investment ko akarshit karte hain, jo currency ko izafa dete hain. Australia ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) pehle quarter mein sirf 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) izafe ke sath barha, jo ke expected 0.2% growth se kam tha. Ye slow economic expansion Australia ki arzi challenges par ishara karta hai. Is kam se tawaqo ki gayi growth ke bawajood, interest rate hikes ke mumkinah hone ka imkaan AUD ko madad kar raha hai. China ka services sector mazeed barh raha hai, jaisa ke May ke Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 54.0 tha. Ye 17th straight month ki growth ko darust karta hai, jahan 50 se oopar ka reading expansion ko dikhata hai. China ke services sector mein mustaqil izafa iski wasee arthvyavastha ki bardasht ka ishara hai, jo ke global arthik mustehkamiyat ke liye ek musbat nishan hai. China ke services sector ka mazboot performance global markets par asar daal sakta hai aur Australia jaise trade partners ko faida pahuncha sakta hai.



US Dollar Tressury Yields Ke Izafay Ke Sath Mazeed Mazboot Ho Sakta Hai:
US Dollar (USD) tressury yields ke izafay ke bais mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Zyada yields US bonds ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banate hain, jo USD ki demand ko barha dete hain. Mazboot USD global currency markets ko gehri asar dal sakta hai, mulkoon ke darmiyan trade balances aur investment flows ko mutasir karke global arthik dynamics ko shakal dete hain. Australian Dollar RBA Governor ke comments ke baad izafa kar chuka hai jahan mumkinah interest rate hikes ka zikr kiya gaya tha agar inflations ke targets puray nahi hue. Magar, Australia ka GDP growth pehle quarter mein tawajjuh ko aakarshit kar raha tha, jis se kuch arzi maashi challenges ka pata chalta hai. Is ke ilawa, China ka services sector mazeed phel raha hai, jo global arthik fa'alat ke liye ek musbat nazar-e-andaz hai. Aakhri mein, tressury yields ke izafay ke bais US Dollar ko mazeed mazbooti mil sakti hai jo currency market ke trends ko badal sakta hai. Ye tajziyat global arzooon ke darmiyan mil jul ke taluqat ko zor-o-shor se dikhata hai aur maashi monitoring aur policy adjustments ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai.

AUDUSD


Diagram per dekh kar pata chalta hai ke candles ne blue color mein change kar liya hai, jo ke bullish driver ki dominant strength ko highlight karta hai. Price ne lower channel limit (red dashed line) ko cross kar liya hai aur bottom point se bounce karne ke baad, ab wapas apni middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Saath hi saath, RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyunki iska curve upward point kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Isliye, ye anjaam nikalta hai ke ye ek acha waqt hai ke profitable long buy trade enter karein sab se munasib prices par, upper channel limit (blue dashed line) ke level 0.67316 ko target karte hue.

Dusri taraf, agar bulls price ko 0.66341 ke upar push karte hain aur sustain karte hain, to ye signal hoga potential market sentiment shift ka jo buyers ke haq mein hoga. Agar aisa breakout hota hai aur price 0.66341 ke upar rehti hai, to main apni buying strategy continue karne ka sochunga. Ye breakout yeh suggest karega ke buyers ne control wapas le liya hai aur further upward movement ho sakti hai. Market sentiment buyers ke taraf shift hota nazar aa raha hai, jo ke upward sloping linear regression channel aur potential breakout above 0.66341 se zahir hota hai.

Charts aur data ka gahraai se tajziya karne se yeh baat wazeh hoti hai ke market abhi ek strong downtrend mein hai, lekin kuch signs hain jo potential bullish momentum ko zahir karte hain jo ke profitable buying opportunities ko lead kar sakte hain agar conditions expect ki gayi tarah align hoon. Lekin mujhe samajh nahi aa raha, agar hum AUDUSD pair ke daily butterfly ke baare mein baat kar rahe hain. Toh jab price open hone ke baad upar gayi, aur yahan, H4 par, ek butterfly hai, lekin doosri direction mein aur abhi tak koi upward zigzag nahi hai, jo yeh matlab hai ke yeh definitely work nahi kiya. Ab agar growth yahan continue hoti hai, toh hum upper Bollinger band par jaayenge, jo ke is waqt 0.6671 par hai (aapke resistance ke upar), aur price us se bounce down ho sakti hai. Pair ne kal resistance level 0.6650 ko violate kiya, unhon ne usay break through kar lia, jo matlab hai ke humare pass north turn ke conditions the, humne saara south jitna achi tarah se band kar sakte the, kar diya, lekin woh H4 support 0.6540 tak bhi nahi pahunche, lekin humain maan na padega ke unhon ne koshish ki, ek condition for decline continuation yeh thi ke pair H1 resistance 0.6650 ko break na kare, warna growth towards 0.6835 expected thi, lekin condition violate hui aur reversal into growth hua.

Aur agar Monday se pair grow continue karta hai aur H1 resistance 0.6650 ko break karta hai, toh hum pattern ko consider kar sakte hain ke no longer valid hai.

Market Updates: Australian Dollar Stable, US Dollar Mein Dushwariyan
Australian Dollar (AUD) aaj mazboot raha jabke investors RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ki aik taqreer ka intezar kar rahe the jisme ma'ashi manzar-e-am par guftugu hogi. Ye istiqrar Australia ke stock market mein mazeed achaar wala mahol banane ke darmiyan aya, khaaskar mining aur energy sectors mein, jo mazboot comodity ke prices ki wajah se chal raha hai. Dosri khabron mein, China ka Trade Balance May mein thora sa izafa ka samna karne ki umeed hai, jis mein $73.00 billion tak pohanch sakta hai, mukhtalif balance $72.35 billion ke mukable. Ye chhota sa izafa China ke trade activities mein mazid taqwiyat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Intehai, US Dollar (USD) ko mushkilat ka samna hai jab kamzor Labour data ne 2024 mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke do interest rate cuts ki umeed ko jaga diya. Ye challenge America ki ma'ashiyat aur monetary policy ke ird gird gumraahiyan ko darust karta hai, jo ke global currency markets ko mutasir kar rahi hain. Kul mila ke, ye tajaweez global ma'ashi taraqqi ke dhamake daar fitnon ko wazeh karti hain, jahan currencies mukhtalif ma'ashi daleelon aur markazi bank ke policies ka jawab dete hain. Investors chaukanna reh rahe hain, market sentiment aur ma'ashi data ke tabadlaat ko qareebi tor par nazar andaz karte hue mozu'i invest karte hain.

AUA/USD currency pair ab bhi side mein move kar raha hai, lekin kal ise neechay ki taraf dabao mehsoos hua, jo isay Ichimoku Cloud ke support level se neeche girne se rokta hai. Balkay, ye pehlay resistance level ki taraf phir se utha. Hum do so dinon ke exponential moving average mein musbat trend dekh rahe hain. Indicator pehlay se hi do martaba bounce de chuka hai, aur asset lambay arsay se EMA ke oopar trade kar raha hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke US dollar Australia dollar ke khilaf acha perform nahi kar sakta. Daily chart par bulls ko support mil raha hai, aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi musbat value maintain kar raha hai. Is liye, is currency pair ke liye aik khareedari ka moqa hosakta hai.

AUD/USD: Aaj, European trading session ke doran, asset ke price ne ek martaba phir se channel support level ko chhua aur is par wapas aya. Ye dohraya hua amal darust karta hai ke price consolidate ho raha hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke traders agle bara move par faisla kar rahe hain. Abhi filhal, lagta hai ke price bara move ke liye tayyar ho raha hai jo ke channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb, 0.6709 area ke aspas ja sakta hai.
0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan wala area bohot ahem hai. Ye zone demand zone ke tor par jaana jata hai. Pichle mein, is level par bohot zyada kharidari ka interest tha, matlab jab asset ka price is level tak pohanchta tha to bohot se traders ne isay kharida. Ye area bhi channel ka lower boundary banta hai, jo ke mazboot support ke tor par kaam karta hai. Support aik price level hai jahan downtrend ruk sakta hai demand ke ek markaz ki wajah se. Ye level ahem hai kyunki yeh dikhata hai ke kharidari karne wale kahan dakhil ho sakte hain aur price ko oopar le ja sakte hain. Dosri taraf, 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan ilaqa supply zone ke tor par jaana jata hai. Supply zone aik area hai jahan bechnay ka dabao zyada hota hai. Jab price is zone tak pohanchti hai, bohot se traders asset ko bechna shuru karte hain, jo ke price ko neeche le jane mein madad karta hai. Ye zone aik ahem level hai jise potential reversals ke liye dekhna chahiye, jahan price up se down ki taraf rukh badal sakti hai.
Chart dekh kar aur in ahem levels ko tajziya kar ke, lagta hai ke price zyada tar upar ki taraf ja sakta hai channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb. Ye tajziya is baat par mabni hai ke price ne bar bar demand zone se rebound kiya hai, jo ke neechay ke levels par mazboot kharidari ka dikhata hai. Mazeed, price consolidate hone ki nishani hai, jo ke upar ki taraf barhne ke liye momentum ikattha kar rahi hai. Aaj ka European session ne price ko channel support se lagaya aur us par rebound kiya. 0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan demand zone kharidari ka interest ke liye ek ahem area hai, jabke 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan supply zone potential selling pressure aur reversals ke liye ahem hai. Is par based kar ke, ye sujhaav diya jata hai ke price zyada tar channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb, 0.6709 area ke aspas ja sakta hai. Ye move ahem hoga jab traders demand zone mein kharidne aur supply zone ke qareeb bechne ke mouqe dhoondte hain. In levels ko qareebi tor par nigrani mein rakhna faisla karne ke liye ahem hai.

Price Action Market Forecast for AUDUSD (4-Hour Chart)
Hello sab ko, aaj raat main AUDUSD currency pair ki real-time price action analysis par baat karunga. 4 ghanton ke chart par, currency pair ne April 2024 ke shuruaat se aik bara ascending channel ke andar trend bana rakha hai, jo ke bullish bias ko darust karta hai. Haal hi mein, price action ne ek mumkin consolidation phase ka ishaara diya hai jab ke woh channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb range kar raha hai.

Aaj European session ke doran, price ne ek martaba phir se channel support ko chhua aur us par rebound kiya, jaise ke consolidate ho raha hai, aur upper boundary ke 0.6709 area ki taraf doosra bara move ke liye tayar ho raha hai. 0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan wala area aik ahem demand zone hai, pichli kharidari ke interest aur channel ka lower boundary ke sath mark kiya gaya hai. Jabke, 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan ilaqa aik supply zone ko darust karta hai jahan bechnay ka dabao aya hai, jo ke potential reversals ke liye nigrani mein rakhne ke liye aik ahem level hai. Chart ko mufassil tor par janchne par, yeh sujhaav diya jata hai ke price upper boundary ke taraf barhne wala hai.




Is ke ilawa, jaise ke chart par laal lines se dikhaya gaya hai, price action ne pichle kuch hafton mein 0.66080 support aur 0.66920 resistance ke darmiyan aik rectangular pattern bana rakha hai. Ye pattern consolidation ke doran indicate karta hai, jahan is range ke oopar ya neeche breakout agla significant move signal kar sakta hai. Aur kyunki price ne rectangular support aur ascending channel support ke neeche nahi gir saka, is liye woh mumkinan oopar jaega.

Magar agar price aur neeche gir kar 0.6590 support ko tod kar lambay arsay tak consolidation mein rehta hai, to yeh meri bullish sentiment ko khatam kar dega aur agle support 0.6560 aur 0.6500 ki taraf manzil ho sakti hai. Main mashwara dunga ke ham fundamental factors ko mad e nazar rakhen aur trading decisions mein risk/reward ratio ko barqarar rakhen.