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  • #136 Collapse

    AUD/USD currency pair ne February 2024 se ek neeche ki taraf raftar ikhtiyar ki hai, jismein neeche ki raftar khaaskar 2023 ke ikhtitam ke qareeb numaya hai. Technical analysis mojooda haalat ke baray mein kai ahem maalumaat faraham karta hai aur maamooli harkat ki mumkin future ko izhaar karta hai. Abhi, pair aik neeche ki trend line ko test kar raha hai jo January ki unchiyon tak wapas ja sakti hai, sath hi 50-week moving average bhi. Harkat ke indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur stochastic oscillator, mazeed keemat ki girawat ki sambhavna ko support karte hain. RSI 50 ke ird gird barh raha hai, jo umeedwar bullish harkat ko kamzor kar raha hai. Intehai daur mein stochastic overbought zone mein aik bearish crossover ki taraf ja raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke bechne walon ka control jald hi wapas aa sakta hai.



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    Agar bechne walay wakai mein control hasil karte hain, to unka pehla rukawat 0.6320 ilaqa ho sakta hai, jo haal hi mein maheenon ke tor par support aur resistance ka kaam karta raha hai. Is ilaqa ke neeche aik break aage ke girawat ka rasta dikhata hai, jo saalana low 0.6265 ko shikast de sakta hai.
    Lekin agar kharidaron ko control hasil karne mein kamyabi milti hai aur agle saal andar majooda neeche ki trend line ko tod dete hain, to pair lambe arse ke neeche ki trend line tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 100-week simple moving average ke zariye 0.6690 par dikhaya gaya hai. Is level ke upar, ahem resistance barriers 0.6700 level aur 200-week moving average 0.6750 par hain. In rukawaton ko paar karne se technical tasweer ko naram kar diya jayega aur neeche ki raftar mein mukhtalifat ka ishaara ho sakta hai.
    Aam tor par, AUD/USD currency pair ka lambe arse ke technical outlook nisbatan manfi hai. Sirf 0.6800 level ke upar ek break neeche ki raftar ko kafi had tak kamzor kar dega. Hali raftar ki dobara shuru hone ki tasdiq haal hi mein test ki gayi trend line se wapas aa kar di jayegi.

    Aakhir mein, AUD/USD currency pair abhi neeche ki dabao ka saamna kar raha hai, jahan harkat ke indicators mazeed girawat ki sambhavnaon ka ishara dete hain. Lekin, agar kharidaron ko anay walay maheenon mein ahem resistance levels ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti hai to reversl ki sambhavna mojood hai. Traders ko keemat ki harkat aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye taake pair ka mustaqbil janchna mumkin ho.
       
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    • #137 Collapse

      AUD/USD H1 Time Frame:

      Subah bakhair dosto! H1 timeframe par instrument ke bazar ki situation ka tajziya aaj kisi munafa mand kharid ke muamle ko mukammal kar ke aaj humein munafa kamane ki bulandi hai. Market mein dakhil hone ka sab se munasib entry point chunne ka amal kai lazmi shara'it ko shamil karta hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke aap ko uchit h4 timeframe par mojooda trend ka rukh tay karna hai, taake market ki mahaul mein ghalati na ho. Is ke liye, aayiyeh humara instrument ka chart 4 ghanton ke time frame ke saath khol kar dekhte hain aur mukhtasar qaidah ko check karte hain - h1 aur h4 waqt ke douron mein trend ki harkat ek dosre se muttafiq honi chahiye. Is tarah, pehle qaidah ko pura kar ke, hum yakeen karte hain ke aaj market hamein aik lamba tijarat kholne ka acha mauqa deta hai. Phir tajziya mein hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke signals par tawajjo dete hain. Hum Hama aur RSI Trend ke indicators ko neela aur sabz banne ka intezar karte hain, jo ke buyers ko sellers se bohot zyada taqatwar hone ka saboot hai. Jese hi yeh hota hai, hum ek kharid order kholte hain. Tehwar khatam hone ka amal magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq hota hai. Aaj, signal processing ke liye sab se zyada mutawaqqa levels 0.65500 hain. Ab bas yeh reh gaya hai ke chart par nazar rakhein ke jab price magnetic level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to price ka rawayya kaisa hota hai, aur ek mushkil faisla karein ke kya market mein mojoodgi ko agle magnetic level tak rakhna chahiye, ya kamai shuda munafa ko lena chahiye. Potential kamaai ko khona na chahte hue, aap aik trawl jod sakte hain.



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      AUD/USD H4 Time Frame:

      Kya yeh neeche girne ka silsila jaari rahega - kya yeh gehraiyon se kharidna hai? Mujh ke liye AUD/USD ke liye koi aur options mojood nahi the. Magar yeh tha, jese ke kehte hain, kal, aur aaj, hum keh sakte hain ke kharid ke options bay laiq ho gaye hain. Australian bohot achhi tarah se utha, aur jab pair 0.6456 ke darjat ko toorna aur mazboot hota hai, humein umeed hai ke uthne ka tahaffuz mila (zaroor, main h4 time ke baare mein baat kar raha hoon) aur shimal rukh mein zig-zag banane ke liye tayari hai. Magar shimal ke baare mein baat karne ka waqt abhi zyada waqt hai, Australian ne apna uthne ka doraan abhi tak khatam nahi kiya hai, aur yeh lehr kam karne ke liye kafi attrative nahi hai. Halankeh, ho sakta hai ke figure ko 0.65 par test karne ke baad, bechne ke options ko shamil kiya ja sake, sochna... Lekin agar uthar, bina kisi wapas ke, foran 0.6545 tak jari rahe, to main bilkul wahan se bechunga.



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      • #138 Collapse

        AudUsd market guzishta hafte bullish janib par thi ya mahana trend jari raha jo ke abhi tak uptrend tha. Darasl, mid-April mein ek bearish situation thi jis se keemat 0.6647 tak gir gayi thi, lekin yeh guzishta hafte tak nahi jaari rahi kyunki market phir se bullish janib par laut gayi hai. Is dopahar ke trading doraan keemat ne neeche ki correction zone mein chalne ki koshish ki hai. Is hafte lagta hai ke ek izafa ab bhi ummeed ki ja sakti hai, haalaanki bechne walon ki taraf se keematon ko kam karne ki koshishen bhi hain, is izafe ki mumkinat kharidarun ke liye ek umeed ho sakti hai ke bullish trend jaari rakha jaye.
        Pichle hafte ke shuru se darmiyan ke doran keemat ne neeche ki correction ki koshish bhi ki jis se candlestick 0.6529 ke maqam tak gir gayi, ab bhi upar uthne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Meri raye mein, kal ki keemat giravat shayad sirf hafte ke shuru mein ek correction thi, candlestick phir se upar uthne ka irada karta hai, jaise ke haal ki hafton mein market trend ka hota aya hai. GbpJpy pair ke liye market ka mahol aaj subah bhi shaant lag raha hai, kharidarun ki koshishen keemat ko upar uthane ki kal ki giravat se kamzor nazar nahi aati.

        Agar hum pichle kuch hafton se keemat ke rukh ko reference ke tor par lein, toh yeh dikhata hai ke trend bullish janib par ja raha hai. H4 time frame se bhi yeh zahir hota hai ke market upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Main tajwez deta hoon ke trend ab bhi upar jaane ka moqa rakhta hai jabke izafe ko jari rakhta hai aur maheenay ke uchh maqam se guzar sakta hai. Is liye ab jo market dheere dheere chal rahi hai, main yeh mashwara deta hoon ke kuch sabar karein aur market mein buland volatility ke dor mein Buy Option ka intezar karein.

        Transection Options:

        - 0.6558 ilaqa mein khareedna, Take Profit: 0.6600, Stop Loss: 0.6524

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        • #139 Collapse



          AUD/USD H-4 timeframe ki tafseelati jaiza:

          Hum ne thori si tabdeeli ka samna kiya hai aur mukhtalif zyada barhna jaari ho sakta hai. 0.66395 ke muqami uchhal ko toorna aur is ke oopar milne ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Market mein kafi saaray khariddaar mojood hain. Agar taulukat 0.65155 ilaaqay tak pohanch jaye, jaise ke is mamlay mein, tu ek sahi signal niklega; 0.6665 ke ilaaqay mein thori si correction dekhi ja sakti hai phir barhna jaari reh sakta hai. Agar tadabeer ki jaati hain, to izafa hota reh sakta hai. Market ne ek ahem correction dekha hai, is liye humein apni kharidari ko barhana hoga. Humain muqami uchhal ke ilaaqay 0.6725 ko torr kar aur is ke oopar jama kar dekhna chahiye ke mazeed kharidari kar sakte hain. Muqami uchhal 0.6800 ke oopar toornay aur is ke oopar milne ka signal acha hoga kharidari ke liye. Qareebi mustaqbil mein dilchaspi barh rahi hai, jo kharidari ka masla ho sakta hai. Ek thori si correction ke baad janubi rukh par damdar raqam barhna behtar hoga. 0.6610 ilaaqay mein ek uchhal aur jama ho sakti hai, jo kharidari ke liye acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Tawajjo janubi janib rukh ke baad barhne ki taraf hai. Jab hum 0.65630 ke oopar toorne, to humein mazid quwwat dekhai ja rahi hai. AUD/USD H4 Timeframe: Agar ek neechay ki impulsive shakal banaye aur 0.6540 ke oopar toor jaye, to ye kharidari ke liye acha signal hoga, lekin main aaj itni bari girawat ka intezar nahi karta.

          AUD/USD jodi ka maazi haal: Is ne mustaqil upri harkat dikhayi hai, jo bullish momentum ko darust karti hai jis ne ise ibtidaai rukawat ko toor karne ki ijaazat di. Jodi filhaal 0.6800 par trade ho rahi hai, aakhri maaloomaat ke mutabiq. Tawajjo classic Pivot levels ke rukhawat ke nikaat hain jab imkanat ke liye tajziye karte hain. Umeed hai ke upri raasta is ke mojooda lehron se jaari rahega, mohtemam raasta doosri rukhawat level 0.6837 ke oopar aage badhne ka rasta bana sakta hai. AUD/USD ki musbat raftar darust hai ke market mein bailon ka mazboot imdaad ka maqam darust hai, jo ke baiyon ki taraf se aik numaya dhamaka hai. Agar trader aur investors is currency pair ke andar mumkinah moqaon ki talaash mein hain, to ibtidaai rukawat level ke oopar jama hone ka ek paidawar raasta faraham karta hai mazeed oonchayi ke liye. Is upri harkat mein kai factors shaamil hain ek baaray paimanay par.


             
          • #140 Collapse



            Australian dollar U.S. dollar ki mukhtalif karwaiyon mein ghira hua hai, khas tor par Australia ki ma'ashi manzar nama aur Iraq ki maeeshat se mutaliq mayoosi angaiz shumooli adadon ka tabadla ke bajaye. Ye manfi rawiyaat ne AUD/USD ke muqablay ko neeche ki taraf dabao mein daala hai, jis se traders Australia ki currency mein invest karne ke liye zyada ehtiyaat barha rahe hain. Tawajjo umeed hai ke kya AUD/USD ke darjaat apne neeche ki taraf rahne ki manahi rahein gi takreeban roohani hawale ke muqam par 0.6536, jahan 50 din aur 100 din ke moving averages milte hain. Agar darjaat is ahem takniki manzar ko tor dete hain, to ye ek zyada numaya farokht shuru kar sakta hai, mohtaj hone wale agle ehtiyati darajat par nishana banane ke liye 0.6594 ya mazeed neeche. Australia ke dollar ke liye ahem ehtiyaati darajat 0.6400 aur 0.6467 par hain.

            Ye darajat aanay wale dinon mein nazar daasht karne ke liye shadeed zaroori honge, kyun ke ek tor par tor kar ke neeche girne ke tor par tasdeeq ho sakti hai aur mazeed girawat ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Jo manfi karwai ab ke mojooda qeemat darajat hain, aur kisi bhi koshish mein umooman sakht rukawat ka samna hoga. Agar Australia ka dollar 0.6500 se wapas atka, khas tor par agar ye exponential moving average ko tor dete hain, to aik rukh par tabdeel ho sakti hai. Takneeki indicators jaise ke RSI 50 se kam aur negative territory mein kamzor MACD mazeed manfi nazriya ko mazboot karte hain, jo ye taslees dete hain ke momentum mazeed girawat ki taraf mabni hai. 0.6400 darja ahem nuqta hai short positions ke liye, aur agar ye darja tor diya jata hai to ye neeche ki taraf raftaar ko nishaan dahi kar sakta hai. Janwari se March tak 0.6455 se 0.6430 ke darmiyan chalne wala channel aur 0.6259 se 0.6300 tak ka ehtiyaati zone qareebi dauran dekhne ke liye ahem mawaqay honge, kyun ke ye darajat waqtan fawaqtan aaram dene ya ek mukhtalif bazaar ke lehaz se aik wapas ka markaz bana sakte hain, jo ke sahuliati moaziz asoolon par depend karta hai.


               
            • #141 Collapse

              Haal hi mein, audusd currency pair ab bhi kharidaroun ke dabao mein hai, jis se uska rawayya barqarar rehta hai. Budh aur jumairat ko farokht dene mein dabaav tha jo ke isay neeche le gaya, lekin afsos ke sath yeh lamba nahi chala. Jumairat ko audusd ka trading 0.6535 ke qeemat par band hua. Agar aap istemal kar rahe hain Bollinger Band indicator ko jis se aap istemal kar rahe hain, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke daily time frame mein candle ne middle Bollinger band ko guzar diya hai, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke agar audus raat ko mazeed barhna jari rakhta hai, to agla maqsood upper Bollinger band par hai. Agar aap ka paish-e-nazar hai ke kal peer ko audusd barhne wala hai, toh main asal mein ulta pesh karta hoon kyunke mujhe yeh paish karte hain ke audusd jald hi neeche jaega. H1 time frame mein, yeh wazeh hai ke candle ab bhi supply area mein nahi pohanch saka jis ki keemat 0.6554 hai. Jab tak yeh area nahi guzarta, toh main andaza lagaata hoon ke neeche jaane ki mumkinat abhi bhi bohot zyada hai, khaaskar agar aap bade time frame par nazar daalain, to trend ab bhi bearish hai. Is liye, main doston ko tajaweez deta hoon ke aap pehle aik kharid maqam kholne ki koshish karein. Maqsood qareebi support par rakha ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6485 ke qeemat par hai.




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              Yaqeenan, pehle toh hum ne dekha ke ek farokhtoun ki fouj ne prices ko neeche dabaane ki koshish ki thi peechle haftay ke ibtida mein, lekin nikla ke prices ne neeche nahin ja sake. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke trend ko is subah tak ab bhi upri rawani ya bullish trend ka barqarar rehna hai. Dominant market ne saft ektidaar ke darmiyan se upri rawani ki taraf barhna shuru kiya hai, lekin yeh abhi khatam nahi hua lagta hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke ek kharidari ka doosraar hua jo ke prices ko bohot zyada buland le gaya, 0.6557 ke darja tak pohanch gaya tha mukhtalif buyers ke farokhtoun ki taqatwar dilchaspi ke baiys se peechle kuch dinon mein.
              Mazeed aage, jo is haftay se kharidaroun ke dabao mein aana shuru hua hai, uski umeed hai ke yeh upri rawani mein mazeed barhe ga, jis ke maqsad 0.6570 ke level ko hosakta hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar ka position phir se zero level ke upar chala gaya hai, jo ke ishaara hai ke market upri rawani mein barhna shuru kar raha hai, is liye main agle haftay ke liye sirf Kharid farokht farmaan par tawajjo doonga. Trend ke hawale se, yeh dekhta hai ke mahaul upar rawani mein hai, jese ke hum ne ek saath dekha hai, ke agle haftay market ke trend ka intezar hai ke yeh upri rawani mein barhna jari rakhe ga jo ke ab tak upri rawani ke candlesticks se dominayt hai.
                 
              • #142 Collapse

                Australian dollar/US dollar ka Technical Tahlil
                Pichle haftay, Australian dollar ne apni kami ko barhaane ki koshish ki, 0.6433 ke darje ko dobara test kiya aur phir gir kar ek bar phir bearish rawani mein dakhil hua, mazboot muddat ke baad 0.6368 ke darje tak pohancha aur wahan mazboot satah ki dhoond li. Jaise hi kharidaraan is satah tak pohanche, qeemat tayz tareen tor par uchhal gayi aur 0.6506 ke darje ki taraf barhna shuru ho gaya, peechle nuqsaanat ka zyada hissa wapas le liya, jo ke dikhata hai ke kharidaraan ne control haasil kar liya hai.

                Technical tahlil ke nazariye se, rozana bearish price curve ko H-4 time frame par bearish technical pattern ke musalsal asar ke saath sath rakha jata hai, is ke ilawa negative dabaav ke saath simple moving averages ka jari rehna. Is tarah, aaj ka beherhal intraday downtrend sab se zyada mustaqbil hai, pehla maqsad 0.6460 par hai, qanoonan dekhnay ki jagah 0.6480 par hai, aur baad mein 0.6500 par ek mumkin maqsad hai. 0.6600 ke oopar stable reverse trade bearish manzar ko rok sakta hai aur jodi ko takhfeef ke saath phir se chalne ka raasta dikhata hai, jis ka pehla maqsad 0.6640 ke aas paas hai, is ke baad upri rawani ko 0.6650 tak barhne ka mumkin maqsad hai.



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                Jodi ab haftay ke buland darajat par karobar kar rahi hai aur tezi se barh rahi hai. Khaas tor par, ahem resistance area ko dobara test kiya ja raha hai, lekin ab tak, is ne qeemat ko torne se rok liya hai, jo ke neechay ke vector ko fawaid mein rakhta hai. Isay taaza karna ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 ke darje ke neeche palatna zaroori hai (asal resistance zone ke sarhad). Is ilaqe ko dobara test karna aur us ke baad ek neechay ka rawana hone dene se ek aur neeche ki taraf rawani ka izn mil sakta hai, jis ka maqsad 0.6368 aur 0.6326 ke darmiyan hai.

                Agar resistance tor jaaye aur qeemat 0.6573 ke mukhturn maqsad ke oopar barh jaaye, to mojooda surat hal ko rad karne ka ishaara milay ga. Neechay diye gaye chart ko dekhein:
                   
                • #143 Collapse

                  UD/USD Daily Time Frame Analysis
                  Pichle Jumma, Australian dollar ne US dollar ke sath tabadla mein mushkilat ka samna kia Good Friday chhuttiyon ki wajah se kam trading volumes ke bais. Magar anay wale haftay mein forex traders ke liye zyada sargarmi la raha hai, jab ke ahem US ma'ashiyati data ke saath Federal Reserve officials ke taqreerain bhi hone wale hain. Pichle haftay ke ikhtitam par, AUD/USD joda qareeban 0.6513 par raha. Is rukh ki kami ne market ki ihtiyaati koshish ko zahir kiya hai jab wo Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ka izhar ka intezar kar raha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation ka paimana hai. Taqreeban 0.3% se core PCE dar quarterly basis par 0.4% se girne ki tawaqo hai. Halankeh, salana dar ka tasawwur hai ke 2.8% par qaaim rahega. Mukhtalif taur par, headline PCE dar ka tawaqo hai ke taqreeban 0.3% se 0.4% quarterly basis par aur 2.4% se 2.5% salana dar par izafa hoga. Sath hi, Australia mein ma'ashiyati data ne naram ma'ashi manzar ka izhar kia. Mahinayana inflation aur retail sales figures dono tawaqoat se kam rahe, jo ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko is saal ke darmiyan interest rates ko kam karne ka faisla karne ki koshish karne par majeed karta hai, sard ma'ashi ke bais.

                  Australia ki ma'ashi ke mustaqbil ke baray mein mazeed maloomat talash karne ke liye, lagta hai ke AUD/USD abhi haal mein aik neutral se bearish halat mein hai. US PCE data ka izhar hone se pehle, intezar kiya jata hai ke takreeban 0.6546 par resistance ho, jahan 100-day aur 200-day moving averages milte hain. Agar yeh level paar hojata hai, toh 100-day average ko 0.6594 tak barhne aur shayad 0.6600 ko tak karne ka imkan hai. Niche, ibtedai ​​support 0.6500 par mil sakta hai, phir March 5th ko 0.6477 ki kami hai. Taza price movements aise lag rahe hain ke AUD/USD ke short-term bullish trend ko khatra ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6500 ke level ko tankeed kar diya jata hai aur Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb manha kiya jata hai, toh ek retracement shuru ho sakta hai. Technical indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 mark ke neeche gir jaye aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) negative territory mein kamzor ho, is bearish junoon ko mazid taaeed dete hain. Agar 0.6500 ke level ko qaaim toor par tor diya jata hai, toh pehle toray gaye descending channel ke upper boundary ko (jo January aur March ke darmiyan bana) 0.6465 par ek retest ho sakta hai, aur shayad hi February mein 0.6440 ki kami ko dobara ziyarat di jaye In signals ko nazar andaz karne se 0.6370 area ki taraf tezi se girawat ho sakti hai, jo ke pandemic se bachne ke doraan support ke tor par kaam aya tha. 0.6269 aur 0.6300 ke darmiyan ka area aglay jang ke liye muqarrar ho sakta hai Click image for larger version

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                  • #144 Collapse

                    Mujhe Aussie par takneeki tajziya kiya hai, aur lagbhag sab timeframes par short janae ke signals mil rahe hain, magar haftay ka timeframe thora alag hai. Main ab 5 ghanton ka timeframe par tajziya kar raha hoon taake meri analysis sahi ho. Main yeh bhi highlight karna chahta hoon ke price ka formation ka pattern hai, jise head and shoulders pattern kehte hain. Agar hum patterns par analysis karte hain, toh hum bearish disha mein confidently trade kar sakte hain, kyun ke agla izafa taqwiyati hoga. Yahan, toh ye nahi pata ke impulse kitna lamba chalega, magar mujhe lagta hai ke ye zyada lamba nahi chalega. Isliye, 5 ghanton ke timeframe par sell position kholne ki tavsiyat hai. Abhi ke liye itna hi, trading mein kamiyabi ki duaen! AUD/USD 1D Rozana ka timeframe thora uljhan mein hai, lagta hai ke price ne resistance level ko tor kar majbooti hasil ki hai, magar Williams ke mutabiq, humein downtrend ki taraf divergence nazar aata hai, aur candle mein volume kaafi kam hai, isliye main yahan par bhi short position lena behtar samajhta hoon. Hamara mukhya Aussie nishana 1.6565 range mein hone ki umeed hai, mukhtasaran, humein pehle is range ko guzarna hoga, aur uske baad hum 1.6575 range ko dekhein ge. Zayada thos tasdeeq ke liye, humein is range ke upar qayam karna chahiye, phir hi bechna ki surat mein ghor karna chahiye.
                    0.6566 se 0.64514 tak girne ke baad, ye maali sazish apna niche girne ka andaza rakhta hai aur dheere dheere uthne lagta hai. Ab isne 0.65545 ke level tak pohancha hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ka tajziya kar ke, ek price izafa ki umeed hai, shayad ek mabain muddat ke muddat ke sath. Ye pattern bazaar mein ek mukhtalif trend ki mumkin umeed dikhata hai. Haal hi ke is instrument ki harkatein kaafi numaya hain, jo daldal ke baad sakhti dikhate hain. Dheere dheere oopar ki taraf ki trajectory mein tabdili ka andaza hai, bazaar ke shirkat daron mein izafa ke sath is instrument ki qeemat par barhne wale itminan ko darust karte hue. Iske ilawa, mojooda darajat par qeemat ka mustiqil qaim rehna mabain muddat mein izafa ki mumkin umeed dikhatahai.
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                    • #145 Collapse

                      AUD/USD Price Action Overview:
                      Mujhe Aussie par takneeki tajziya kiya hai, aur lagbhag sab timeframes par short janae ke signals mil rahe hain, magar haftay ka timeframe thora alag hai. Main ab 5 ghanton ka timeframe par tajziya kar raha hoon taake meri analysis sahi ho. Main yeh bhi highlight karna chahta hoon ke price ka formation ka pattern hai, jise head and shoulders pattern kehte hain. Agar hum patterns par analysis karte hain, toh hum bearish disha mein confidently trade kar sakte hain, kyun ke agla izafa taqwiyati hoga. Yahan, toh ye nahi pata ke impulse kitna lamba chalega, magar mujhe lagta hai ke ye zyada lamba nahi chalega. Isliye, 5 ghanton ke timeframe par sell position kholne ki ki sikket hai. Abhi ke liye itna hi, trading mein kamiyabi ki duaen! AUD/USD 1D Rozana ka timeframe thora uljhan mein hai, lagta hai ke price ne resistance level ko tor kar majbooti hasil ki hai, magar Williams ke mutabiq, humein downtrend ki taraf divergence nazar aata hai, aur candle mein volume kaafi kam hai, isliye main yahan par bhi short position lena behtar samajhta hoon. Hamara mukhya Aussie nishana 1.6565 range mein hone ki umeed hai, mukhtasaran, humein pehle is range ko guzarna hoga, aur uske baad hum 1.6575 range ko dekhein ge. Zayada thos tasdeeq ke liye, humein is range ke upar qayam karna chahiye, phir hi bechna ki surat mein ghor karna chahiye.

                      0.6566 se 0.64514 tak girne ke baad, ye maali sazish apna niche girne ka andaza rakhta hai aur dheere dheere uthne lagta hai. Ab isne 0.65545 ke level tak pohancha hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ka tajziya kar ke, ek price izafa ki umeed hai, shayad ek mabain muddat ke muddat ke sath. Ye pattern bazaar mein ek mukhtalif trend ki mumkin umeed dikhata hai. Haal hi ke is instrument ki harkatein kaafi numaya hain, jo daldal ke baad sakhti dikhate hain. Dheere dheere oopar ki taraf ki trajectory mein tabdili ka andaza hai, bazaar ke shirkat daron mein izafa ke sath is instrument ki qeemat par barhne wale itminan ko darust karte hue. Iske ilawa, mojooda darajat par qeemat ka mustiqil qaim rehna mabain muddat mein izafa ki mumkin umeed dikhatahai Click image for larger version

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                      • #146 Collapse

                        Technical Analysis of Australian dollar/US dollar
                        Pichle haftay, Australian dollar ne apna girawat barhane ki koshish ki, 0.6433 ke darje ko dobara azma kar, phir se girawat mein dakhil ho gaya, kamyabi se 0.6368 ke darje tak chala gaya aur wahan mazboot support mila. Kharidaron ne is darje ko pohanchte hi, qeemat tezi se chadh gayi aur 0.6506 ke darje ki taraf barhna shuru kiya, peechle nuqsaan ka aksar hissa wapas lete hue, jo ke dikhata hai ke kharidaron ne control ko apne hawale kar liya hai.
                        Technical analysis ke nazarie se, rozana bearish qeemat ki karkardagi ko H-4 time frame par bearish technical pattern ke jariye musalsal manfi asar ke saath support mil raha hai, sath hi simple moving averages ka manfi dabaav bana rehna bhi. Is tarah, aaj ka dintraday girawat sab se zyada mutawaqqi hai pehla maqsood 0.6460 par, official dekhnay ki id 0.6480 par hai, aur baad mein 0.6500 par mumkin maqsood hai. 0.6600 ke ooper mustaqil mukhalif karobaar girawat ka manzar rad kar sakta hai aur jo pair ki bahaali ka silsila 0.6640 ke ird gird ka pehla maqsood hai, aur baad mein chadhao ka silsila 0.6650 tak jari reh sakta hai.
                        Pair ab haftay ke urooj par hai aur tezi se barh raha hai. Ahem resistance ka ilaqa dobara azmaaya ja raha hai, lekin ab tak, is ne qeemat ko torne se rokna kaamyaabi se kiya hai, niche ki taraf ka vektor faiyvor mein hai. Isay update karne ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 ke darje (markazi resistance zone ki had) ke neeche lautna zaroori hai. Is ilaqa ke dohraye jane aur is ke baad ka rebound, 0.6368 aur 0.6326 ke darmiyan ilaqa mein doosri girawat ko ijazat de ga.
                        Agar resistance tor jata hai aur qeemat 0.6573 ke murnay ke darje ke ooper chadhai, to ab waqt ka signal mil jaye ga mojooda surat-e-haal ko rad karne ke liye. Neechay diye gaye chart ko dekhen:

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                        • #147 Collapse

                          Technical Analysis of Australian dollar/US dollar
                          Pichle haftay, Australian dollar ne apna girawat barhane ki koshish ki, 0.6433 ke darje ko dobara azma kar, phir se girawat mein dakhil ho gaya, kamyabi se 0.6368 ke darje tak chala gaya aur wahan mazboot support mila. Kharidaron ne is darje ko pohanchte hi, qeemat tezi se chadh gayi aur 0.6506 ke darje ki taraf barhna shuru kiya, peechle nuqsaan ka aksar hissa wapas lete hue, jo ke dikhata hai ke kharidaron ne control ko apne hawale kar liya hai.
                          Technical analysis ke nazarie se, rozana bearish qeemat ki karkardagi ko H-4 time frame par bearish technical pattern ke jariye musalsal manfi asar ke saath support mil raha hai, sath hi simple moving averages ka manfi dabaav bana rehna bhi. Is tarah, aaj ka dintraday girawat sab se zyada mutawaqqi hai pehla maqsood 0.6460 par, official dekhnay ki id 0.6480 par hai, aur baad mein 0.6500 par mumkin maqsood hai. 0.6600 ke ooper mustaqil mukhalif karobaar girawat ka manzar rad kar sakta hai aur jo pair ki bahaali ka silsila 0.6640 ke ird gird ka pehla maqsood hai, aur baad mein chadhao ka silsila 0.6650 tak jari reh sakta hai.


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                          Pair ab haftay ke urooj par hai aur tezi se barh raha hai. Ahem resistance ka ilaqa dobara azmaaya ja raha hai, lekin ab tak, is ne qeemat ko torne se rokna kaamyaabi se kiya hai, niche ki taraf ka vektor faiyvor mein hai. Isay update karne ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 ke darje (markazi resistance zone ki had) ke neeche lautna zaroori hai. Is ilaqa ke dohraye jane aur is ke baad ka rebound, 0.6368 aur 0.6326 ke darmiyan ilaqa mein doosri girawat ko ijazat de ga.
                          Agar resistance tor jata hai aur qeemat 0.6573 ke murnay ke darje ke ooper chadhai, to ab waqt ka signal mil jaye ga mojooda surat-e-haal ko rad karne ke liye. Neechay diye gaye chart ko dekhen:
                             
                          • #148 Collapse

                            Maliyati markets main resistance levels ka bohot ahmiyat hota hai, jo qeemat ke harkaat samajhne ke liye zaroori hote hain. Jab kisi qeemat ka rasta upar ki taraf jaata hai, to usay resistance level tak pohonchne par bechnay ka dabav mehsoos hota hai aur wo apna rasta ulta kar sakta hai ya temporary ruk sakta hai. Jaise aapne kaha, aapki strategy resistance level par giraftar bearish signals ka moniter karna, market dynamics ka gehra samajh dikhata hai. Ye resistance level traders ke liye ek ahem nishan hai, jo sambhav market sentiment aur qeemat ka rukh badalne ki nishani hota hai. Kai bearish indicators ek neeche ki taraf qeemat ke movement ko nishana banate hain, jaise bearish candlestick patterns, technical indicators mein ikhtilafat, ya momentum mein kamzori. Aapka position jo prevailing downward trend ke andar hai, wo behtar hota hai agar aap aise signals ko pehchanne mein muttafiq rahen. Risk management aur trade execution ka qayam tareeqa aapki umeed ko saath lekar chalna hai ke is hafte tak kisi bhi tabadla ka jhataka lag sakta hai.
                            Maliyati markets aksar tabadlaat ka samna karte hain, jo traders ko moatbar qeemat par dakhil hone ya apni positions ko mazeed behtar qeemat par adjust karne ke moqa dete hain. Aise manzar ke liye taiyar hona ek proactive soch aur badalte hui market conditions ka narami se jawaab hai.

                            Aur phir, aap ek bara bazaar ke andar individul qeemat ke movement ko contextualize karne ki ahmiyat ko maante hain, jo dakshini trend ko pehchan karke apne bearish bias ko mazboot karte hain. Aapki analitik tashkeel market dynamics ko taeyun karne aur strategy banane ki dhang kaai ko darust karta hai. Maliyati bazaar ke complexity ko samajhne ki salahiyat resistance levels, bearish signals aur trend analysis jaise mukhya concepts ko apne faislon ke process mein shamil karne se mumkin hai. Aapki trading ki kamyabi aur istehsal mein mazeed izafa ki tamanna karte hue, jab aap apni trading strategy ko tajurba aur tabdeeli ke mutabiq tajze karte hain. Click image for larger version

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                            • #149 Collapse

                              AUDUSD
                              4 ghantay ka time frame

                              AudUsd market ki halat peechle haftay bullish thi ya mahinay ka trend jo ke abhi tak uptrend tha, aagey jaari reh sakta hai. Darasal, beech mein April mein ek bearish situation thi jo ke keemat ko 0.6647 tak girne ka sabab bana, lekin yeh haalat peechle haftay tak nahi jaari rahi kyunki market ne phir se bullish taraf laut gaya. Aaj ke dopahar ke trading doraan keemat ne neeche ki correction zone mein daurne ki koshish ki hai. Is haftay bhi barhne ki umeed hai, haalaanki sellers ke qeemat ko kam karne ki koshishen hain, is barhne ke mauqe ke saath ye umeed ho sakti hai ke buyers ko bullish trend jaari rakhne ki safar shuru karne ki raah mil sakti hai.

                              Peechle haftay ke shuru se darmiyan ke daur mein bhi keemat ne neeche ki correction ki koshish ki jo candlestick ko 0.6529 ke maqam tak girne le aayi, ab wo phir se upar jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Meri raay mein, kal ki keemat girawat shayad sirf haftay ke shuru mein ek correction thi, candlestick ab bhi upar jaane ki taraf dikh rahi hai, jaise ke market trend jo ke peechle hafto mein raaj kar raha hai. GbpJpy pair ke liye aaj ka market ka mahol abhi bhi khaamosh lag raha hai, kal ke girne ke baad keemat ko upar uthane ki koshishen kharidaron ki taraf se kaafi mazboot nazar nahi aarahi hain.

                              Agar hum kuch peechle hafton ke trend ko price ki manzil ke rukh ke tor par lein to ye dikhata hai ke trend bullish taraf ja raha hai. H4 time frame se bhi ye nazar aata hai ke market upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Main ye peshkash karta hoon ke trend abhi bhi upar jaane ka mauqa ho sakta hai jabke barhne ki taraf badh sakta hai aur shayad mahinay ka high area 0.6647 se guzar bhi sakta hai. Isliye kyunki ab market dheere se chal raha hai, maine yeh sujhav diya hai ke thodi intezaar karein aur market mein uchch volatility ki doraan Buy Option ka mauqa aaye.

                              Transaction Options:

                              - 0.6558 ke area mein kharidari karein, Take Profit: 0.6600, Stop Loss: 0.6524 Click image for larger version

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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #150 Collapse



                                Subah bakhair dosto, ummeed hai aap sab theek honge aur is tajziya ka lutf utha rahe honge. AUDUSD daily time frame par, ek ahem waqiya saamne aya jab currency pair ne dono 26 aur 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines ko ek bearish tareeqay se cross kiya. Yeh waqia aam tor par market ke sentiment mein ek tabdeeli ki alaamat hai, jo ek bearish trend ki sambhavna ko darust karti hai. Magar ummeedon ke khilaf, AUDUSD ne moving average lines ka crossover karne ke baad turant aur tezi se bearish jawab nahi diya. Balki, isne naye qeemat dynamics ke mutabiq adjust hone tak ek moayana muddat shuru ki, jise range-bound harkaton se nawaaza gaya.

                                Bearish implications ke bawajood moving average crossover ke, AUDUSD turant nichayi disha mein tezi se nahi gir gaya. Balki, yeh consolidation ki dor mein dakhil hua, jise ek makhsoos range ke andar side mein harkat ki pehchan ki gayi. Is rawayat ki kayi wajahon ka zikar kiya ja sakta hai jo market sentiment aur participant behavior ko asar andaz hoti hain. Sab se pehle, traders moving average crossover ka reaction karte waqt ihtiyati se kaam le sakte hain, naye positions shuru karne se pehle ek mustaqil bearish trend ka tasdeeq karne ko pasand karte hain. Yeh ehtiyaat bhari approach unchayi-dar bazar mein aam hoti hai, jahan ghalat signals aur whipsaw harkatein badi nuksan de sakti hain.

                                Dusri baat, moolyati factors jaise ke ma'ashi data releases, siyasi halat, aur markazi bank ka faisla trader sentiment aur market dynamics par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Australian economy, US economy, ya global macroeconomic conditions ke mutaliq musbat ya manfi tabdeelion ka tasur AUDUSD ke moving average crossover ke turant bearish jawab par asar daal sakta hai.

                                Ilaan ke baad market participants nuqsaan ki raahat ya mawazna ko kam karne ke liye apni positions ko band karne ke liye engage ho sakte hain, jo AUDUSD par nichayi dabaw mein waqfa lene ki temporary wajah ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, technical traders aur algorithmic trading systems consolidation phase ko market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko recalibrate karne ka mouqa samajh sakte hain. Yeh market participants range-based trading strategies istemal kar sakte hain ya changing price dynamics ke mutabiq naye indicators aur parameters ko implement kar sakte hain.

                                26 aur 50 EMA ka crossover AUDUSD daily chart par ek bearish shift ki market sentiment mein ishara karta hai, lekin baad mein qeemat ka amal aik darust intezar ki traditional umeedon ke mutabiq nahi tha. Ek tez aur mustaqil girawat ke bajaaye, currency pair ek muddat ki consolidation mein dakhil hua, jo range-bound harkaton se nawaaza gaya. Technical signals aur qeemat ka rawayat ke darmiyan yeh ikhtilaaf technical analysis aur trading strategy development ke liye mukhtalif factors ka tawazun karne ka ahemiyat ko zahir karta hai.


                                   

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