Usd/jpy

### USD/JPY Market Dynamics ka Khulasa
USD/JPY pair ka 151.856 se 161.951 tak barhna Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke monetary policy stance ka currency market par aham asar ko zaahir karta hai. June ke meeting mein BOJ ke Quantitative Tightening (QT) ke hawale se tafseelat na dene ka faisla yen ki kamzori ka sabab bana hai, jis se US dollar mazid mazboot hua hai. Ye faisla, ya is ka amal na karna, pair ke upward trajectory ko drive karne mein bohot mohem kirdar ada karta hai.

**Aham Asraat:**

1. **Monetary Policy Ka Ikhtilaaf:**
- **Bank of Japan (BOJ):** BOJ ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai aur tightening ki taraf kisi aham qadam se gurez kiya hai. Ye dovish stance yen ko kamzor kar raha hai, kyun ke ye Federal Reserve ki policy ke bar-aks hai.
- **Federal Reserve (Fed):** Fed ka hawkish stance, jo ke mehengai ko control karne ke liye buland soodon se mutaliq hai, ne US dollar ko investors ke liye mazid purkashish banaya hai. US aur Japan ke interest rates mein farq USD/JPY pair ki movement ka aham factor hai.

2. **Interest Rate Differentials:**
- Jab ke Fed soode barhata ja raha hai aur BOJ apni low-rate policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, dono mulkon ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq barhta ja raha hai. Ye differential USD/JPY exchange rate ka aik critical driver hai, jahan buland US rates investment ko yen se door aur dollar mein kheenchte hain.

3. **Economic Indicators:**
- **US Retail Sales Data:** Strong US retail sales data ne Fed ke further rate hikes ke expectations ko mazid barhaya hai, jo USD/JPY pair par upward pressure dalta hai. Positive economic data US se Fed ki tightening policy ko support karta hai, jo dollar ko mazid mazboot banata hai.
- **Japan’s Economic Data:** Is ke muqabil, Japan ke economic indicators ne BOJ ko apna dovish stance badalne ke liye kafi impetus nahi diya, jo yen ki kamzori mein izafa karta hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Aane Wali Outlook:**

Traders aur investors ko kuch factors ka ghor se jaiza lena chahiye taake USD/JPY pair mein potential volatility ko navigate kar saken:

- **BOJ Policy Announcements:** QT ya interest rates ke hawale se BOJ ka kisi bhi stance mein shift yen par significant asar dal sakta hai.
- **Fed Rate Decisions:** Fed ke hawkish signals US dollar ko yen ke muqabil mazid mazboot rakhenge.
- **Economic Data Releases:** Dono mulkon se GDP growth, inflation rates, aur employment figures jese key economic indicators market expectations aur exchange rate ko mutasir karenge.

**Khulasa:**

USD/JPY pair mein izafa monetary policy divergence, interest rate differentials, aur economic data ke interplay ko highlight karta hai. BOJ ka dovish stance aur Fed ka hawkish approach yen ke muqabil US dollar ke liye ek favorable environment create karte hain. Traders aur investors ko central bank communications aur economic data par nazar rakhni chahiye taake market volatility ko anticipate aur navigate kar saken.

**USD/JPY DAILY**

Shaam bakhair sab ko, aziz speculators. Maine dekha hai kai currency pairs pe jo Japanese yen ke sath pegged hain. Tasveer lagbhag har jagah ek jaisi hai, kahin zyada, kahin kam, lekin aam taur par sab kuch ek jaisa hai. Hum dekhte hain ke pichle hafte daily aur hourly period mein Bollinger indicator ki neeche wali sliding line tor di gayi hai, aur price wapas aa rahi hai neeche wali price range mein middle aur neeche wali sliding ke beech kaafi zyada volatility ke sath. Shayad humare paas ek Southern Reformation hai. Zyada se zyada hum abhi ascending north trend ko continue kar sakte hain, jo ke global plan aur higher time frame global picture mein humare paas hai. Maujooda surat-e-haal mein, hum price 157.48 se 161.64 tak points lene ki koshish kar sakte hain, is tarah double-top trader figure banate hue aur is resistance ko develop karte hue, northern trend ko aspectual kar sakte hain.

**USD/JPY H_4**

Shaam bakhair!!

Humein dekhna padega ke bulls aage kaise behave karte hain, kyunki ye hairan kun hoga agar unke paas upward trend ko continue karne ki taqat na ho, jo ke ab bade sawal ke nishan mein hai.. Ye hoga. Bas itna hai ke tareekh mein, pehle bhi aisi corrections hui hain, jab USDJPY neeche gira, aur phir ashes se uthkar, bulls ne price ko upar dhakela, aur even highs ko update kiya. To ye case mein bhi ho sakta hai. Yani 157.51 ke neeche wala level selling ke liye entry point ban jayega, aur bears pair ko neeche push karte hue support level 155.74 tak le jayenge, aur agar kuch intervene nahi kiya, to agle level 154.78 tak pahunch jayenge.. is hafte kaafi fresh news hai, khaaskar Wednesday ko, to alag alag runs ya strategies ho sakti hain jo na hon.

**Abecedarian Analysis**

North American session ke doran, USD/JPY ka exchange rate barha, 158.00 se agay na ja sakne ke bawajood, 0.06 ka izafa hua. Is waqt, major pair 157.44 par trade ho raha hai, 90-pip range ke markazi hisson mein consolidate karne ke baad. Labor market ke hawalay se chaltay rujhan ke bawajood, US dollar, DXY indicator ke zariye, apna upward trend jari rakhta hai, Friday ko 104.00 ke baray hadood se ooper jate hue, 104.30 ko hit karta hai. Safe havens mein retreat aur merchants ke easing off ke waja se yeh izafa hai. Investor ki tawajjo...

**4H Map**

Weekend se pehle, USD/JPY trades muted thay, magar merchants ka motivation abhi bhi mojood hai. Pehle do indications further weakness ke Chikou Span ke price action se neechay cross hone aur Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) negative hone par mojood hain. Iske ilawa, prices ko Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke neechay dhaka mil sakta hai agar Tenkan-Sen Kijun-Sen ke neeche cross kar jaye. USD/JPY pair ke 157.00 ke neeche close hone par, brace par pressure hoga decline hone ka, jise prices 156.00 ki taraf move kareingi aur aakhir mein Kumo ke bottom ko 155.50/60 ke qareeb transgress kareingi. In do levels ke ooper jane ke baad, agla demand zone 18 July ka low 155.37 hoga, jo 155.00 se pehle hai. Us level ke neeche, further decline mojood hai, jo 16 May ko swing low 153.61 aur 2 May ka pivot low 151.87 ko expose karta hai, phir 151.00 ke hadood ko hit karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar buyers ne USD/JPY ko 157.50 ke upar drive kar diya, to anticipate karein ke July 16 top 158.85 ka pretest hoga. USD/JPY pair ke price action ko 157.50 support level ke ird gird closely dekhna meri trading decisions ko determine karega aaj ke din ke liye. Ek bullish reversal candle is level par potential upward move towards resistance zone ko signal karega, jabke support ke neeche break further downside potential suggest karega. Market developments ko closely watch karte hue aur dono scenarios ke liye tayar rehte hue, mai informed trading decisions lene aur apni positions ko effectively manage karne ka aim rakhta hoon.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke tabadlay ka jaiza karenge. Jumeraat ko ajeeb shor-o-sharaba tha, jis mein US dollar/Japanese yen currency pair mein taqreeban 350 point ka izafa hua, jo din ka aam 58 points se zyada tha. Subah ke interest rate ka elaan naye unchi 158.48 tak pohanch gaya, lekin European session ke doran shandar giravat hui, jo ke 155.06 par pohanch gaya, phir naye upward trend ki shuruaat hui. Aise be-tukki halat mein, kisi bhi trading faislay se pehle qeemat ke mustaqil hone ka intezar behtar hai. Monday ke liye mazeed izafi harkat ka imkan hai, jis mein upper MA ki taraf rawangi ki tawaqo ki jati hai, jo ke mojooda waqt par 155.54 par hai. Agar yeh aik din mein ya pehle mumkin ho ga, to agar is line ko toor diya gaya, to nazar rakhna parega ke qeemat is line ke neeche qaim rehti hai ya phir dobara barhti hai. Mazeed neeche ki harkat neechay ke MA aur darmiyani Bollinger band ko 153.97 aur 153.39 par target kar sakti hai. In levels ke aas paas qeemat ke rawaiye ko dekh kar trading faislay lena behtar hoga. Click image for larger version

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USDJPY ka H1 chart aik qabil-e zikar trend ke ulat chaal dikhata hai jis ke baad bar bar Support tests 158.69 par, neeche ke neeche wale makkaar ke safar mein ghutne gaey. Ye harkat bohot se kharidaron ko phansane wali thi, jinho ne bullish reversal ka jhoota umeedon ko paal pos ke rakha. Agar farokht karne wale 158.28 ke minimum ke neeche kadam rakh len, to short positions ke liye aik mawafiq dakhla nazar aata hai, jo ke 158.24 ko dobara check karne ke liye mawafiq short-entry positions ko target karta hai. Dollar-yen pair ne aik din mein 156, 157, aur 158 USD/JPY levels ko paar kar diya, aik be-tareeqa waqiya. Naye unchiyo tak pohanchne ke bawajood, kharidar hamesha kaamyaab rahe, jo ke bullish jazbat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Ahtiyaat se kharidari positions mein dakhla karna, achi risk management strategies ke saath, in mazeed izafi izafa par munafe ko barhane ke imkanat ko faida uthane ke imkanat hain.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke tabadlay ka jaiza karenge. Jumeraat ko ajeeb shor-o-sharaba tha, jis mein US dollar/Japanese yen currency pair mein taqreeban 350 point ka izafa hua, jo din ka aam 58 points se zyada tha. Subah ke interest rate ka elaan naye unchi 158.48 tak pohanch gaya, lekin European session ke doran shandar giravat hui, jo ke 155.06 par pohanch gaya, phir naye upward trend ki shuruaat hui. Aise be-tukki halat mein, kisi bhi trading faislay se pehle qeemat ke mustaqil hone ka intezar behtar hai. Monday ke liye mazeed izafi harkat ka imkan hai, jis mein upper MA ki taraf rawangi ki tawaqo ki jati hai, jo ke mojooda waqt par 155.54 par hai. Agar yeh aik din mein ya pehle mumkin ho ga, to agar is line ko toor diya gaya, to nazar rakhna parega ke qeemat is line ke neeche qaim rehti hai ya phir dobara barhti hai. Mazeed neeche ki harkat neechay ke MA aur darmiyani Bollinger band ko 153.97 aur 153.39 par target kar sakti hai. In levels ke aas paas qeemat ke rawaiye ko dekh kar trading faislay lena behtar hoga.



USDJPY ka H1 chart aik qabil-e zikar trend ke ulat chaal dikhata hai jis ke baad bar bar Support tests 158.69 par, neeche ke neeche wale makkaar ke safar mein ghutne gaey. Ye harkat bohot se kharidaron ko phansane wali thi, jinho ne bullish reversal ka jhoota umeedon ko paal pos ke rakha. Agar farokht karne wale 158.28 ke minimum ke neeche kadam rakh len, to short positions ke liye aik mawafiq dakhla nazar aata hai, jo ke 158.24 ko dobara check karne ke liye mawafiq short-entry positions ko target karta hai. Dollar-yen pair ne aik din mein 156, 157, aur 158 USD/JPY levels ko paar kar diya, aik be-tareeqa waqiya. Naye unchiyo tak pohanchne ke bawajood, kharidar hamesha kaamyaab rahe, jo ke bullish jazbat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Ahtiyaat se kharidari positions mein dakhla karna, achi risk management strategies ke saath, in mazeed izafi izafa par munafe ko barhane ke imkanat ko faida uthane ke imkanat hain.

aur uske price trends ko dekh raha hoon. Currency pair ki growth prospects ki wajah se buying ka tariqa pasand kiya ja raha hai. Lekin, jis ke mojooda price 154.87 hai, buying kam munafa dene wali ho sakti hai, isliye 154.54 jaise munasib support ko talash karna ahem hai, jahan stop loss 154.52 par rakha ja sakta hai. Nishchit star tak ke ummedwar kami ka samna hai, jo 155.73 ka target offer kar sakta hai. 154.80 ka star ek jama karnay ka area ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, haalaanki chhota. Aaj, 154.96 par naye unchayi ki koshish ki gayi thi, jise ek neeche ki taraf phirte hue rebound ne followke ummedwar kami ka samna hai, jo 155.73 ka target offer kar sakta hai. 154.80 ka star ek jama karnay ka area ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, haalaanki chhota. Aaj, 154.96 par naye unchayi ki koshish ki gayi thi, jise ek neeche ki taraf phirte hue rebound ne follow kiya, jisse girawat ki shuruaat ka signal mila. Rozana ka chart ke mutabiq, 149.54 ke aas paas ka mumaani target bechne ke liye mumkin tha. Lehaaza, trading is level ko pohanchne ke liye bechnay par mabni hai. Filhal, USD/JPY chart H1 douran ek uptrend ko darust kar raha hai jo ke price ko 133-day moving average ke upar rakhta hai, jisse buying potential ko mazbooti milti hai. Chhote arse bhi is moving average ke upar close hone wale prices ko dikhate hain, jo buying ke case ko mazboot karta hai. 154.85 parprice ko 133-day moving average ke upar rakhta hai, jisse buying potential ko mazbooti milti hai. Chhote arse bhi is moving average ke upar close hone wale prices ko dikhate hain, jo buying ke case ko mazboot karta hai. 154.85 par lautne ka ishara buy trades ke liye ho sakta hai. Bechne ka mauqa sirf tab hai agar prices 153.87 ke neeche gir jaayein. Filhal, H1 uptrend ke andar buying favor ki ja rahi hai. 81% tak bechnay ki transactions ka hissa hai, jo ke hoshiyar rahne ka ishaara hai lekin haalaanki ek girawat ka sign nahi hai, jo haal hi mein trading sessions ke doran zahir hua hai. Isliye, buying aur selling prices ko resistance 154.77-85 aur support 154.12-27 ke darmiyan ghoomte hue hold par hain. Main 156 mark par upar ki breakout aur 152.



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doran zahir hua hai. Isliye, buying aur selling prices ko resistance 154.77-85 aur support 154.12-27 ke darmiyan ghoomte hue hold par hain. Main 156 mark par upar ki breakout aur 152.63-153.47 ke support zone ke andar niche ki dabaavon parFilhal, H1 uptrend ke andar buying favor ki ja rahi hai. 81% tak bechnay ki transactions ka hissa hai, jo ke hoshiyar rahne ka ishaara hai lekin haalaanki ek girawat ka sign nahi hai, jo haal hi mein trading sessions ke doran zahir hua hai. Isliye, buying aur selling prices ko resistance 154.77-85 aur support 154.12-27 ke darmiyan ghoomte hue hold par hain. Main 156 mark par upar ki breakout aur 152.63-153.47 ke support zone ke andar niche ki