gbp/aud

Yahan par GBP/AUD ka tajzeya share karain.

GBP/AUD

March mein UK mein retail sales mein koi significant tabdeeli nahi aayi, jo ke economic analysts ka umeedon ke mutabiq izafa hone wala tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke peechle recession se economic recovery ab bhi unstable hai, aur kai consumers ko ab bhi mahangai ka dabao mehsoos ho raha hai, khaaskar basic goods ke liye. Jaise jaise salary mein tezi se izafa ho raha hai aur Bank of England (BOE) ke expected interest rate cuts ka bhi asar hone wala hai, lekin yeh positive fayde ab tak consumers tak puri tarah se nahi pahunch paye hain. Pehle quarter mein retail sales ka growth 1.9% tha, jo ke ONS ke mutabiq GDP ke dauran 0.09 percentage points ka hissa tha. Lekin yeh mehdood growth dikhata hai ke current economic uncertainty ke dauran retail sector ke saamne kis tarah ke challenges hain. Adverse weather conditions, jaise ke March mein zyada barish hui aur February mein bhi kaafi barish hui, ne retail landscape ko aur bhi bigaar diya. Retailers ne bhi disrupted purchasing patterns report kiya, jo peechle saalon se mukhtalif the aur COVID-19 pandemic ke asar ke influence mein the. Technical analysis ke hawale se, strategy mein moving average indicators ka istemaal hota hai. Vartamaan mein, sirf 200 MA line current price ke neeche hai, jabki 100 MA line uske upar hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/AUD ek downward correction experience kar raha hai. Iske alawa, RSI 14 indicator bhi 50% ke neeche ek value dikhata hai, jo ke kareeban 31% hai, jo ke decline ka continuation batata hai. Isliye, agar price aur neeche jaati hai, toh aur giravat ka imkaan hai. Ek plan ke roop mein, ek sell order Monday ko 1.9130 tak profit target ke saath aur 1.9320 tak stop loss ke saath place kiya jayega.

GBP/AUD

Currency pair ya instrument ki technical analysis ke hawale se, jo Heiken Ashi candles aur TMA (triangular moving average) aur RSI indicators ke combination par mabni hai, woh ab clear tor par bearish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein power ka current balance darust karta hai, charts par noise ko smooth karta hai, jisse technical analysis mein kafi asani hoti hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy aur sahiyat ko barhaata hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow colors ke lines) double-smoothed moving averages par mabni support aur resistance lines ko build karta hai aur saaf dikhata hai ke instrument ki movement ka current boundary kya hai. Ek auxiliary oscillator jo ke Heiken Ashi ke saath excellent results dikhata hai, woh basement RSI indicator hai. Di gayi chart mein, hum dekhte hain ke candles red paint hue hain aur sellers ki priority ko indicate karte hain. Price ne channel ka upper border (blue dotted line) cross kiya aur, maximum point se bounce karke, phir se channel mein wapis aaya aur phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf gaya. Isi doran, RSI oscillator bhi puri tarah se sell signal ko confirm karta hai kyunki uska curve abhi down direction mein move ho raha hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Hum short-sell transaction open karte hain jisme market quotes kam se kam channel ka lower border (red dotted line) touch karein jo ke price level 1.91436 hai. Phir aap position ko breakeven pe le ja sakte hain aur further profit growth ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Yeh dikhata hai ke market mein strong bearish interest ka ubhar hai jo ke sellers ka maqsad H1 channel ki direction ko downward change karna hai. Is tarah, bullish trend pe ek point laga diya gaya hai, jiske baad sellers ka superiority downward channel ke zariye manifest hoga, jo ke bearish trend ka mazboot hona dikhayega.

GBP/AUD ki mukhtasar tafseelat:



GBP/AUD currency pair, jo ke pound sterling aur Australian dollar ka aik aam exchange rate hai, duniya ke forex market par aam taur par trade hota hai aur ye ek currency ko doosre ke sath taaluqat mein nisbat ka aik rukh darust karta hai.

Bunyadi analysis ek mulk ki bunyadi maqamat ko roshni mein dalta hai. Is mein GDP ka izafa, mehengai ki dar, rozgar ki statistics, central bank ke actions, aur sahuliati taqaze shaamil hote hain. Ye asool aik mulk ki currency ko asar daaltay hain aur exchange rate mein tabdeeliyon ko mutasir karte hain.

Currency pairs jese ke GBP/AUD ke harkaat samajhna aur pehle se mutawaqqa harkaat karna asal analysis par mabni hota hai. Is mein mukhtalif currencies ki qeemat par asar dalne wale maamlaat jese ke iqtisadi, siyasi, aur samaji aspects ka jaeza lena hota hai. In ahem variables ka jaiza lenay se trading professionals strategies tayyar kar sakte hain aur shaoor ka intekhab kar sakte hain.

Australia ka official currency Australian dollar hai jo ke uska symbol AUD se represent hota hai. Is ka control Reserve Bank of Australia karta hai, jo ke Aussie dollar bhi kehlaya jata hai. Commodity prices, interest rates, aur trade relations jese factors Australian dollar ko asar daaltay hain. Australia kay bohot se commodities jese ke iron ore aur coal export karta hai, in commodities ke daamon mein tabdeeliyan Aussie dollar ko kafi mutasir karti hain.

United Kingdom ka currency British pound hai jo ke GBP se abbreviated hota hai. Bank of England pound sterling ka support karta hai, jo ke tamam tareekh mein mashhoor hai. Is ko istemal mein aane wale ikhtiyarat aur asar karte wakt stability aur widespread izat ke liye pehchana jata hai.

Business optimism businesses ki umeedon aur expectations ko darust karta hai future economic situations ke liye. Zayada company confidence aksar zayada investment, izafa, aur naukriyon ki taraqqi ka baais banta hai. Contrarily, consumer confidence logon ke rawaiyon aur paisay kharch karne aur important purchases karne ke tayyar hone ka izhar karta hai. Consumer aur business confidence economic growth ke liye ahem factors hote hain.

GBP/AUD

Aaj ka din GBPAUD currency pair ke liye khareedari ka mukhtasar jaeza. Price ka position 1.94407 jese ke set of moving averages ke liye bullish momentum ko darust kar sakta hai. Khareedari ke liye aaramdayak prices 1.94153 tak pohanch chuki hain. Behtar taur par nuqsan se bachne ke liye stop stock ko 1.94033 ke qeemat par rakha gaya hai. Ye stop chhota hai, jo ke aam taur par transaction ko as a whole behtar asar dalta hai agar hum maqsood 1.94683 ke dar tak pohanchte hain. Ye taqreeban woh halat hain jo mein filhal dekh raha hoon. Moving averages ke ilawa, Makdi indicator ka istemal kar ke bhi mein chart ka formation dekhta hoon. Parabolic bhi kuch maalumat faraham karta hai. Aam tor par, aik khaas jama ho jata hai.



Currency pair - GBPAUD. GBPAUD currency pair ke M30 chart ko dekh kar, mein short trading ka faisla karta hoon. Maqsood level ke tor par, mein munafa ke liye level 1.94063 ka istemal karna chahta hoon, jo ke LRMA BB indicator ke mutabiq lower limit ke mutabiq hai. Seller market par dabao dal raha hai aur uske koshishon ka nateeja nazar ata hai ek neeche ki taraf ki trend mein. In koshishon ki wajah se, mojooda price 1.94354 hain jo ke moving average price 1.94395 se neeche trade kar rahi hai. Agar volatility barh rahi hai aur price lower limit 1.94063 ke neeche move kar rahi hai, toh sales ka khatam ho jata hai aur mein khareedari ka faisla karta hoon jese ke middle of the range 1.94395 ki taraf correction ke liye. Agar circumstances mein breakthrough hoti hai top par 1.94395 tak, toh positions ko reverse karne ka faisla kiya jayega aur long position ko open kiya jayega LRMA BB indicator ke mutabiq top tak jo ke level 1.94727 hai.

GBP/AUD


UK mein retail sales March mein kisi significant tabdilai nahi dekhi, jo ke economic analysts ko nirasha mein daal gaya jo izafa ka intezar kar rahe the. Ye dikhata hai ke pehle ki mazi se economic behtar honay ki tabdeeli abhi tak mustahkam nahi hai, bohot se consumers ab bhi basic cheezon ke intehaai izafe ki wajah se dabaye ja rahe hain. Jald salary mein izafa aur Bank of England (BOE) ke tawafuzat ke maamlay par aetmaad hai, lekin musbat fawaid ab tak consumers ko poori tarah mehsoos nahi hue hain. Pehle quarter mein retail sales ki growth 1.9% thi, jo ke is doraan GDP mein 0.09 percentage points ka hissa tha, ONS ke mutabiq. Magar yeh mehdood izafa retail sector ke samnay mojudah economic uncertainty ke challenges ko dikhata hai. Mukhalif mausam ke halat, jaise ke March mein barish ka mousam, jo ke February ke bohot zyada barish ke baad aayi, ne retail landscape ko aur bhi kharab kiya. Retailers ne bhi disrupted purchasing patterns ka samna kiya, jo ke pehle saalon ke mukhalif the, jo COVID-19 ke asar ki wajah se abhi bhi mukhtalif hain.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, istemal hone wale strategy mein moving average indicators ka istemal shamil hai. Halat ke mutabiq, sirf 200 MA line waqt ke mojooda qeemat se neeche hai, jabke 100 MA line is ke oopar hai. Ye dikhata hai ke GBP/AUD ko ek neeche ki taraf ki tehqeeq hai. Is ke ilawa, RSI 14 indicator bhi 50% ke neeche ek value dikhata hai, jo ke 31% ke aas paas hai, jis se girawat ka jari rehna zahir hota hai. Is liye, agar qeemat girne ka silsila jaari rahe, to mazeed girawat mumkin hai. Ek plan ke tor par, ek sell order ko Monday ko lagaya jayega jis ka profit target 1.9130 aur stop loss 1.9320 hoga.

Pichli Jumma ko British pound (GBP) ne currency traders ko hairan kar diya. UK se mazeed behtar maali data ke bawajood, pound US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein gir gaya. Is ghair mutawaqqa harkat ko America ki tijarati itminan mein kami ka shakar samjha ja sakta hai, jo haal hi mein America ke istemal karne wale afraad ki itminan mein kami ka bais bani. GBP/USD joda 1.2515 tak gir gaya, jo ke 0.11% ki nuqsan ko darust karta hai. Nafsiyati tor par, yeh pechida rukh bechnay walay ko hosla afzai de chuka hai, jo ab kam ke qeemat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Mazeed kamzori ki nishaniyan bhi thin. Joda 200 din ka harkat karne wala moashiat (moving average) jo 1.2546 par hai, is ki upar chadhai ke koshishon ka nakami, is bat ko darust karta hai ke kharidari ka jazba kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh kamzori, ek bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke saath mil kar, pound ke mazeed nuqsanat ka zyada imkan bata rahi hai. Downtrend ko mustaqil banane ke liye, bechnay walon ko keemat ko 9 May ko set ki gayi hal nedam (recent low) 1.2450 ke neechay daba dena chahiye. Is level ka kamiyab tor par faash ho jana, GBP/USD ko 1.2405 ke nafsiyati level par la sakta hai, jis ke baad saal ke sab se kam ke nuqtaat 1.2300 tak ja sakta hai. Magar, ek dobara sahulat ka bhi ek imkan hai. Agar kharidari karne walay 1.2505 ke level ko qaim rakh sakte hain, to wo keemat ko dobara 200 din ka moashiat kheel karne ke liye koshish kar sakte hain, jo 1.2599 par 50 din ka moashiat kheel karne ke baad aata hai. Is ke aage, pound ke liye ek aur raasta 1.2640 par 100 din ka moashiat kheel karne ke liye hai, jo ek aur rukawat hoga.

Lambay muddat ke nazdeek se dekhne par, GBP/USD joda ne ek waqtan-fa-waqtan 200 din ka moashiat kheel karne ka aik waqtan-fa-waqtan 200 din ka moashiat kheel karne ka aik mukhtasar intezar kiya. Magar yeh izafa mukhtasar muddat ke liye raha, jab joda 50 din ka moashiat kheel karne ka koshish karne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Yeh kamzori is ka natija tha ke pair ne March se mutasir downtrend line ke neechay gir gaya. Agar pound par neeche ki dabao jari rahe, to keemat April mein dekhe gaye 1.2410 ke support level ko dobara dekh sakti hai. Aur mazeed nuqsanat ko paal sakte hain 1.2303 par panch mahine ki kam se kam level. Is zone ke neeche toot jane se, GBP/USD ko November 2023 se pehli dafa dekhe gaye support levels 1.2190 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, kharidari ke dabao ka wapas aana jo ke keemat ko downtrend line ke ooper le jane ka sabab bana sakte hain, to shuru mein rukawat 1.2569 ke area par hosakti hai, jo ke April aur May dono mein rukawat ka kaam kiya. Agar is zone ko mazbooti se tora gaya, to yeh keemat ko 1.2637 ke qareeb utha sakta hai. Is level ko paar karna April ke unchaai ka imtehaan le sakta hai, jo ke mazeed upar ki raftar ke liye chhat ka kaam kar sakta hai.

GBPAUD

Rozana ke dhaanchay mein, gbpaud pair ka trend ne EMA 200 ka breakout hone ke baad ek down trend mein dakhil ho gaya hai aur yeh haalaat ek musalsal negative movement ke saath tasdeeq hua hai. Bearish currents ke liye support ke tor par, EMA 12 aur EMA 36, jo ke abhi bhi EMA 200 ke ooper hain, ne ek crossover banaya hai aur neeche ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Ussi tarah, stochastic apni line ko neeche ki taraf mudaa hua hai aur OSMa indicator bar bhi negative zone mein khara hai jo ke price movement ki situation ko tasdeeq karta hai jo daily basis par negative hone ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ek bearish candle ki formation ko daily par dekh kar jo ke last Friday ke trading mein highs aur lows ko 1.9093 aur 1.8947 par darust karti hai, yeh kaafi convincing hai ke negative movement jaari rahegi. Is dauran, subah se shaam tak ka movement abhi bhi rokay ja rahay hain. Keemat abhi tak Monday ke market opening area ke neeche nahi ja pa rahi hai jo ke 1.8959 par hai. Agar safalta milegi, toh maqsad ko rozaana ki EMA 633 line tak barhaya ja sakta hai jaise hi daily support ko guzar jayein 1.8880 aur 1.8750 tak. Magar, agar daily open ke neeche safalta nahi milti, toh keemat ko 1.9038 par daily 200 EMA line tak sudharne ka tajarba kiya jayega. Overall, bearishness ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai apna asar daalne ke liye taake keemat mein kamzori jaari rahe.

Is potenzah ka samna karte hue, kyunki position abhi bhi flip area ke beech hai prices 1.90166 se 1.89149 tak, aap confirmation ka intezaar kar sakte hain jo dikhata hai ke resistance aur support ko H4 ya H1 time frame ke zariye sahi se paar kiya gaya hai. Agar resistance ko kaamyabi se paar kiya jata hai, toh momentum ko istemal kar sakte hain ek buy option ke liye jo ke SMA5 dynamic resistance par nishana banaye 1.90979 ke price range mein. Doosri taraf, agar woh support ko paar karne mein kaamyab hoti hai, toh is par ghor kiya ja sakta hai selling options ke liye jo ke upar zikar ki gayi demand area par nishana banaye, ya 1.087782 ke price par RBS area ke aas paas.

GBPAUD

Pichli trades ko dekhte hue, is pair ki price movements hamesha consolidation ke pehle ka nazar aata hai. Jaise ke pichle Jumma ko hua, price consolidation Asia se Europe sessions tak hua. Keemat regular tor par 1.9070 – 1.9099 ke darmiyan fluctuate hoti hai jabke EMA 12 bhi apni function nibha rahi hai buyers' impulses ke liye ek rukawat ke tor par. Jab American session mein dakhil hotay hain, seller pressure ziada taqatwar nazar aata hai kyunki prices foran 1.9085 se 1.8974 tak gir gayi ek waqt mein jiski wajah se H1 par ek lambi bearish candle ka ubhar hua. Is candle ki formation ke baad, keemat phir se consolidation mein aa gayi hai range ke andar 1.8957 – 1.8990 ke darmiyan. Yeh price decline is time frame mein prevail kar rahe bearish trend ko complete karta hai, jahan EMA 200 aur EMA 633 price movement ke upar aur upar ja rahe hain, jabke EMA 12 aur EMA 36, jo ke do bade EMAs ko cross kar chuke hain, neeche nikalte hue stick out kar rahe hain, jo ke ek kaafi mazboot bearish current ko indicate karte hain. Jumma ko jo consolidation hui thi, woh trading ke is Monday mein bhi jaari hai, isliye humein Gbpaud market mein dobara dakhil hone ka sahi momentum ka intezaar karna behtar hoga.

Transaction Plan

Keemat abhi bhi flat hai. Aaj ka gbpaud market subah 1.8960 ke price par khula aur prices abhi tak uss area mein hi ghoom rahe hain raat tak. Nazdeek ka support 1.8919 area mein ban raha hai aur resistance 1.9003 par hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke EMA 36 H1 line resistance ko touch kar rahi hai aur EMA 12 daily open area ko cross kar rahi hai. Trend abhi tak change nahi hua hai abhi current EMA 200 position ke saath. Gbpaud pair ke liye trading plan neeche di gayi details ke saath bana hai: Bearish trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, agar 1.8919 ke support area break hota hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 neeche hi tik rahe hain, toh sell karein, temporary farthest range tak take profit karein 1.8880 – 1.8849 tak jo ke 1.8749 tak hai. Agar correctiv movement hoti hai aur price EMA 200 H1 line area se reject hoti hai ya price 1.9130 – 1.9030 ke area ke aas paas se, toh sell pullback plan tayar karein, pehla profit target ho 1.8960 par. Agar price correctiv movement ke zariye 1.9003 resistance area se guzar jaata hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke beech upward crossover banata hai, toh buy option bana sakte hain, EMA 200 H1 line tak take profit karein 1.9041 – 1.9071 tak. Buy pullback ko calculate kiya ja sakta hai yeh assumption ke saath ke price negative movement karte hue 1.8736 – 1.8664 level se reject hoti hai aur take profit karein 1.8694 – 1.8924 tak. Order area se 15 pips door stoploss rakhein.

GBPAUD

Pichli trades ki nazar dauran, is jodi ke price movements hamesha consolidation se shuru hoti hain. Jaise ke pichle Jumma ko hua, price consolidation ne Asia se Europe ke session tak reh gayi. Keemat regular tor par 1.9070 se lekar 1.9099 tak fluctuate hoti hai aur EMA 12 bhi apna kaam kharidaron ke impulses ke liye aik rukawat ke tor par kar raha hai. American session mein dakhil hone ke baad, bechne walon ki dabaav zyada taqat se zahir hone laga kyunke keemat ne foran 1.9085 se 1.8974 tak gir gayi, jis se ek lambi bearish candle H1 par paida hui. Is candle ke banne ke baad, keemat phir se consolidation mein aa gayi 1.8957 se 1.8990 tak ke range mein. Ye keemat girawat ka trend mukammal karta hai jo is time frame mein mojood hai, jahan EMA 200 aur EMA 633 price movement se mazeed ooper chale gaye hain, jab ke EMA 12 aur EMA 36, jo ke do bari EMAs ko cross kar chuke hain, niche bahar nikal rahe hain, ek kaafi mazboot bearish current ko darust karte hain. Pichle Jumma ko hui consolidation is peer ke trading mein jaari rahi, is liye humein Gbpaud market mein dobara dakhil hone ka sahi waqt intizaar karna behtar hoga.


Keemat ke harkaat ab bhi flat hain. Aaj ka gbpaud market subah 1.8960 ke qeemat par khula aur keemat ab tak us area mein hi ghoom rahi hai raat tak. Nazdeeki support 1.8919 area mein bana hai aur resistance 1.9003 par hai. Aap EMA 36 H1 line ko resistance ki taraf chhoot te hue dekh sakte hain aur EMA 12 daily open area ko cross karte hue hain. Trend ke sath sath EMA 200 ke mojoodgi se wazeh tor par koi tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. Gbpaud jodi ke trading plan ke mutaliq niche diye gaye tafseelat ke sath banaya gaya hai:

• Bearish trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, agar 1.8919 support area todta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi neeche jhuke hue hain, to dobara bechne ka mauka banta hai, temporary door tak range 1.8749 tak.
• Agar correctional movement hota hai aur price EMA 200 H1 line area se ya 1.9130 – 1.9030 ke qareeb se inkaar karta hai, to sell pullback plan taiyar kiya ja sakta hai, pehla profit target 1.8960 hoga.
• Agar keemat 1.9003 resistance area ke through correctional move karta hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke darmiyan ek upar ki cross ban jati hai, to buy ek aur option ban jata hai, take profit 1.9041 – 1.9071 EMA 200 H1 line tak.
• Buy pullback umeedwar ho sakta hai ke keemat negative move karte hue level 1.8736 – 1.8664 se inkaar karta hai aur take profit level 1.8694 – 1.8924 tak hoga.
• Stoploss order area se 15 pips door rakha jaye ga.