GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko bullish trend dikhaya aur teen din se lagataar upar ki taraf chal raha hai. Yeh upward movement British Pound (GBP) ki strength ki wajah se hui, jo positive economic data se barh gayi. August ke liye S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne business activity ke rebound ka pata diya, jo July ke 52.8 se badh kar 53.4 ho gaya. Manufacturing aur services dono sectors ne is improvement mein hissa dala. Positive economic data ne GBP ki appeal ko barhawa diya, jab ke doosri major economies mein mixed picture thi. UK ke recent retail sales data ne bhi July mein growth ka return dikhaya, jo June mein decline ke baad aaya. Lekin, sab economic indicators positive nahi the. July mein government borrowing zyada thi, aur consumer confidence aur factory orders mixed trends dikhate hain. Market expectations ab bhi Bank of England (BoE) se 0.25% interest rate cut ki taraf hai, jo 2024 ke end tak ho sakti hai. Kuch analysts ne to 0.50% tak cuts forecast kiya hai. Lower interest rates se GBP ko negative impact ho sakta hai, lekin current market narrative yeh dikhata hai ke currency ki appreciation limited ho sakti hai. Wahi, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Friday ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments ke baad support paaya. Ueda ne kaha ke BoJ economic aur price trends agar expectations se match karte hain to interest rates ko aur bhi badhaya ja sakta hai, jo JPY ke liye potential upward trajectory suggest karta hai.
Technical perspective se, GBP/JPY pair ko pehle resistance ka saamna 192.01 ke recent rejection zone par hai, jo 200-day moving average ke saath overlap karta hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar sakti hai, to March ke high 193.52 tak pahunchne ka raasta khul sakta hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne ke liye, bulls ko June ke support 197.18 ko bhi conquer karna padega, jo aage chal kar resistance ban sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hain, jo near-term aur February lows ko represent karte hain. Agar pair in levels ke upar hold nahi kar pati, to yeh potential decline dekh sakta hai 180.07 ke eight-month low ki taraf.
Technical perspective se, GBP/JPY pair ko pehle resistance ka saamna 192.01 ke recent rejection zone par hai, jo 200-day moving average ke saath overlap karta hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar sakti hai, to March ke high 193.52 tak pahunchne ka raasta khul sakta hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne ke liye, bulls ko June ke support 197.18 ko bhi conquer karna padega, jo aage chal kar resistance ban sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hain, jo near-term aur February lows ko represent karte hain. Agar pair in levels ke upar hold nahi kar pati, to yeh potential decline dekh sakta hai 180.07 ke eight-month low ki taraf.
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