Gbp/jpy

Trading Analysis Update
Tuesday – 3 September, 2024

H4 Timeframe per Movement:
H4 timeframe chart par agar hum dhyan dein to yeh nazar aata hai ke kuch hafton se EUR/JPY currency pair ka candlestick movement bullish trend ki taraf tha aur yeh izafa Monday raat ke trading session tak jari raha. Market ne apna weekly movement 161.41 level se shuru kiya aur bullish raha, aur abhi tak price 162.39 ke range mein consistently move kar raha hai. Is liye yeh expected hai ke agla trend bhi bullish trend ki taraf hi lead karega, jaise ke larger timeframe ka trend.

Analysis ke results pe pohanchne se pehle, kuch technical data jo support indicator se show ho raha hai, usse dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ki Lime line ki position lagbhag level 70 ke aas paas hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market bullish move kar raha hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position bhi level 0 ke upar hai aur histogram ki shape abhi bhi lambi hai, jo market ka mazeed upar move karne ka ishara hai. Yellow dotted MACD signal line ka direction bhi upar ki taraf lean kar raha hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position abhi bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar hai, jo mere khayal mein EUR/JPY currency pair ke trend ka abhi bhi bullish hona dikhata hai. Yeh condition aglay trend ke liye reference ho sakti hai, jisme buyer ke army ka domination kaafi likely hai.






Nateeja:

H4 timeframe charts ka istamal karte hue market ko observe karne ke baad, lagbhag tamam indicators abhi bhi upar ki taraf point karte hue technical data ko support karte hain. Mere khayal mein, yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price upward phase mein continue kare. Ek option jo potential profit de sakta hai, woh hai bullish trend ke direction mein trading karna. BUY trading transactions ke liye ideal area yeh hoga ke price ko 162.60 level tak barhne ka intezar kiya jaye, kyunke is waqt izafa ka signal valid lagta hai. Agar baad mein buyer price ko push kar ke 163.10 level tak le jate hain, to yeh chance barhta hai ke price mazeed barh kar 163.60 level tak pohanch sakta hai.

Yeh the Tuesday ke trading journal update ke results EUR/JPY currency pair ke liye. Umeed hai jo kuch main ne share kiya hai, woh aapke liye mufeed hoga aur Investsocial forum ke loyal members ke liye ek trading reference banega. Kamyabi ki dua aur umeed hai ke is haftay ke profits mazeed barhenge.

GBP/JPY Analysis on H4 Time Frame

Mojooda Market Ka Haal:

EUR/JPY currency pair filhal H4 (4-hour) timeframe chart par bullish trend dikhata hai. Isne apne pehle target ko successfully test kiya jo expected growth ke liye set kiya gaya tha. Price ab Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ek technical indicator hai jo strong bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Haalia Trading Activity:

Aakhri trading session mein, pair ne upar ki taraf move continue rakhi. Market ka bullish sentiment reversal level ke upar strong dikhai diya, jo ke pehli resistance level ko break karne mein kaamyab raha. Filhal EUR/JPY 162.75 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth ke liye, traders ko classic pivot reversal level ka reference lena chahiye.

Ainday Ki Price Projections:

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh upward trend current price se continue hoga aur dusri resistance level 165.63 tak pohanch sakta hai. Consolidation ke phase ke baad, hum ek nai rally dekh sakte hain jo pair ko mazeed northward le ja sakti hai, aur yeh third resistance line 169.86 se upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bearish sentiment wapas market mein aaye, to reference support level 155.81 par hoga.

Weekly Time Frame Analysis

Weekly Trends Ka Jaiza:

Jab hum EUR/JPY pair ko weekly timeframe par analyze karte hain, to overall sentiment growth ke haqq mein nazar aata hai. Weekly candle strong aur bullish dikhai deti hai, jo indicators jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur Stochastic oscillator ke support se positive momentum ko zahir karti hai.

Ainday Ke Liye Expectations:

Agle haftay ke liye, sabse ziada likely scenario yeh hai ke uptrend continue karega. Price shayad lower moving average (MA), upper MA, aur middle Bollinger Bands ke qareeb pohanch jaye jo ke 165.33, 166.18, aur 167.43 par positioned hain. Yeh dekhna bohot zaroori hoga ke price in teen lines ke saath kis tarah interact karti hai—yeh ya to upar break karegi ya phir in levels se bounce back hoke neeche aa sakti hai.

Price Movement Scenarios:

Agar price in lines ke upar break karti hai, to yeh overall upward trend ko follow karte hue upper Bollinger Band tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke 175.20 ke aas paas target hai. Agar price moving averages se neeche bounce back karti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh lower Bollinger Band par 159.66 tak wapas ja sakti hai.






Nateeja:

Sab ko trading mein achi kamiyabi ki dua!

Key Terms Ki Wazahat:

- EUR/JPY: Yeh Euro aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan currency pair hai.
- H4 Time Frame:Forex trading chart jo har 4 ghante ki price movements ko represent karta hai.
- Ichimoku Cloud: Ek technical analysis indicator jo support aur resistance levels, momentum, aur trend direction ko identify karne ke liye use hota hai.
- Bullish Trend: Ek market trend jo rising prices ko zahir karta hai.
- Resistance Level:Ek price point jahan rising price rukti hai aur reverse hoti hai.
- Support Level: Ek price point jahan falling price rukti hai aur reverse hoti hai.
- Pivot Reversal Level: Ek technical indicator jo market mein potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye use hota hai.
- Consolidation: Ek period jahan prices sideways move karti hain, jo market mein indecision ko zahir karta hai.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index):Ek momentum oscillator jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, aam tor par 0 aur 100 ke darmiyan.
- Stochastic Oscillator:Ek momentum indicator jo kisi particular closing price ko ek certain period ke range of prices ke saath compare karta hai.
- Moving Average (MA): Ek statistical calculation jo data points ko analyze karne ke liye use hoti hai, jisme different subsets ka average nikaala jata hai.
- Bollinger Bands: Ek volatility indicator jo chart par relative high aur low prices ko standard deviations ki base par show karta hai.

Yeh tamam elements EUR/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko samajhne mein madadgar hain aur traders ko informed decisions lene mein guide karte hain.

GBP/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko European trading session ke dauran reversal dekha, apni recent three-day winning streak se retreat kiya. Yen ki weakness ka sabab ziada tar yeh tha ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke interest rate hikes mein potential delays ka khauf tha, lekin yen ne apni resilience barqarar rakhi rising inflation aur hukumat ke intervention ke background mein. Japan ka faisla ke energy subsidies ka bohot bara hissa allocate kiya jayega taake energy costs ke badhte asrat se bachaya ja sake, ye qadam inflation ko mazeed barhawa de sakta hai. Yeh hukumat ka intervention BOJ ki hawkish monetary policy stance ke saath align karta hai, jo ke recent Tokyo inflation ke izafa se aur bhi mazid taghadi hui hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese companies ki strong capital spending growth during second quarter ne bhi BOJ ke tightening bias ko support kiya. UK mein, kuch positive economic data ne sterling ko support faraham kiya. August mein retail sales ne pichlay paanch maheenon ki fastest growth record ki, aur Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) expansionary level ke upar raha. Yeh indicators ne market ki expectations ko mazid mazboot kiya ke Bank of England (BoE) apni current interest rate policy ko upcoming September meeting mein maintain karega. Lekin, November mein rate cut ka high probability abhi bhi barqarar hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne apne 16-saal ki high se July ke baad significant decline dekhi hai, aur ab tak 8% se zyada lose kar chuka hai. Jabke pair ka recent oversold condition suggest karta hai ke aggressive selling pressure ka end nazdeek ho sakta hai, immediate outlook abhi bhi bearish hai. 2024 ke uptrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level qareebi hai, aur downward momentum ko temporarily rok sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai, to mazeed decline 188.22 support area tak ja sakti hai, aur shayad aur neeche ke levels tak bhi. Nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/JPY pair ek challenging environment ka samna kar raha hai, jo rising inflation, monetary policy uncertainty, aur technical indicators ke suggesting reversal ka sabak hai. Key economic data aur central bank ke announcements ka release pair ki future direction ka taayun karne mein bohot important hoga.

GBP/JPY ka exchange rate Tuesday ko European session ke doran kafi volatility ka shikar raha. Jabke yen ko kamzor manufacturing data aur hukoomati mudakhlat ki wajah se neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna tha, British pound ko majboot retail sales aur Bank of England ke kam dovish rehne ki umeedon se support mila. Japan ki economy kai challenges ka samna kar rahi hai. Bank of Japan ka interest rates badhane mein takheer karna, jo kamzor manufacturing data se taqat mil rahi hai, yen par dabao daal raha hai. Hukoomat ka faisla ke wo energy subsidies ke liye khaas funds allocate karein, jo zindagi ke barhtay hue kharchon ko kam karne ke liye tha, ghalti se inflation ko barha sakta hai. Ye inflationary pressure BOJ ke hawkish stance ko mazid taqat deta hai. Halankeh doosray quarter mein corporate capital spending ka barhna economic growth ke potential ka ishara deta hai.

UK mein, economy nisbatan behtar lag rahi hai. August mein retail sales ne mazboot izafa dikhaya, jo umeedon se behtar tha. Iske ilawa, manufacturing PMI 50-point level ke upar raha, jo expansion ka ishara deta hai. Bank of England apni mojooda monetary policy ko qaim rakhne ka imkaan hai, aur November mein ek rate hike ka bhi chance hai. Ye hawkish outlook British pound ko support faraham kar raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, GBP/JPY pair ko July mein sharp sell-off ke baad recovery phase mein dekha gaya hai. Recent consolidation 200-day simple moving average ke ird gird aik pause ka ishara kar rahi hai. Agar pair 200-day SMA ke upar break karne mein nakam hota hai, to is par neeche ka dabao aa sakta hai. GBP/JPY exchange rate Japan aur UK dono ke economic factors ke peche chhupi ek pecheeda interplay ka nateeja hai. Yen ki kamzori zyada tar domestic challenges ki wajah se hai, jabke British pound ko mazboot economy aur kam dovish monetary policy ki umeedon ka faida ho raha hai. Pair ki aane wali direction ka taaluq in factors ke farogh par hoga aur ye dekha jayega ke kya ye technical hurdles ko paar kar sakte hain.

Pehle, seller army ne price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish ki thi lekin wo 180.00 ke price level ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Is hafte tak, price ka position aur bhi upar ja raha hai aur 169.35 ke price level ke qareeb pahunch gaya hai. GBPJPY currency pair ka halaat abhi bhi bullish movement ke liye potential rakhta hai, kyun ke agar ghor se dekha jaye, to pata chalta hai ke pichle kuch dinon se price mein izafa nazar aa raha hai, jaisa ke H4 time frame mein dekha ja sakta hai . Candlestick ka position barh raha hai aur 191.50 ke price level ke qareeb ja raha hai.
Agar agli trading session mein candlestick is level se breakout kar jata hai, to aaj ke liye ek nayi upward momentum form ho sakti hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend ke direction mein mazeed movement ka potential abhi bhi barqarar hai. Halankeh mahine ke shuruat mein market movement bearish thi, agar mazeed ghor se dekha jaye to samajh aata hai ke price dheere dheere barhne mein kamiyab hui, aur yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko tor diya, jo ek bullish market ki tasveer pesh karta hai. Hum abhi bhi dekh rahe hain ke kya price upar ki taraf movement ka ek aur mouqa faraham karega jo zyada valid ho. Is waqt jo dekhne wali baat hai wo yeh ke ek significant bearish market reversal ki possibility hai, jaisa ke pichle hafte ke aakhir mein hua tha. Hum dekh rahe hain ke kya price phir se neeche jayega ya candlestick apna reversing upward trend continue karega. Candlestick position ke hawalay se, jo abhi bhi consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, yeh baat samajh aati hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai. Is mahine ke shuruat se early trading session mein, price 190.00 level ke upar dobara barh gaya hai. Mere khayal mein, price movements ka tendency abhi bhi zyada bullish hai, aur yeh ek reference hai ke BUY trading transaction opportunities ko dhoondhna zyada behtar hai. Bullish trend ke continuation ka potential abhi bhi zyada hai bearish direction ke mouqe ke muqable

Good evening everyone,

Aaj raat main GBP/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karunga, jo filhaal kaafi pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke is girawat ka matlab trend reversal hai ya sirf ek price correction. Iska tajziya karne ke liye, hum technical analysis ka sahara lenge.

H4 timeframe ko dekhte hue, GBP/JPY pair ne apni base area ko breach kar diya hai. Yeh aam tor par yeh indicate karta hai ke major movement trend upward hai. Mere khayal mein, is waqt jo decline dekhne ko mil raha hai, wo sirf ek temporary correction hai. Pair shayad apni base area ko dobara test kar raha hai, taake bullish movement phir se start ho sake.

Moving Average indicators ki madad se hum is analysis ko aur barhawa denge. H4 chart par, Moving Average Indicator ke 21-period aur 34-period dono indicators abhi upwards sloping hain. Price in moving averages ke range mein move kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish trend ko continue dikhata hai aur trend reversal ka koi immediate sign nahi hai.

Is analysis ke madde nazar, sab se acha strategy yeh hai ke hum BUY opportunities dhoondhen. Aap entry point ke tor par 191.81 ke price level ko consider kar sakte hain. Target setting ke liye, resistance area ko 198.74 ke price level par rakhna faydemand ho sakta hai. Risk management ke liye, stop loss ko sab se nazdeek support level 189.35 par place karna behtar rahega.

Aakhir mein, jab tak trend bullish hai, focus BUY opportunities par hona chahiye. Trend ke khilaf jana kaafi risky ho sakta hai aur potential reward bhi limited ho sakta hai. Niche main ne ek image attach kiya hai jo is analysis ko visually support karti hai. Umeed hai yeh information Investsocial forum ke sabhi members ke liye faida mand sabit hogi.

Good luck, aur happy trading!

dilchasp dastan ko samne laaya jo traders ka tawajjo ka markaz bana. Din shuru hua ek numaya khandar ke saath, jo currency pair ki raah par ek sireshta khandar ki tameer kar gaya. Jab trading day mazeed barhta gaya, to pair ne aik aham lamha ka samna kiya jab woh support level jo 190.796 par tha, ke qareeb pohancha. Umeed barhti gayi jab market participants is ahem moqa ko tawajjo se nazar andaz karte rahe, kisi bhi makhsoos tabdili mein momentum ka izhar karne ke liye. Bad mein, support level ko tor diya gaya, jo pound yen ki qeemat ki karwai ke musalsal nashist mein aik nihayat ahem tajwez ko darust karti hai.
Magar, jo agla anjaam aaya woh is chalte se ek tabeer ka dard thaa. Support level ke zahir toor par tor phir nakami saabit hua, jis ne bohat se traders ko muta'assir kar diya aur prevailing market sentiments ko dobara tajziya karne par majboor kar diya. Ye fareb daari ka tawun currency trading ki fitrat aur us ke nuqta nazar haseenayat ko raushan kiya, aur ye bhi yaad dalaya ke volatile markets mein ihtiyaat aur chokashti ka ahem hamiyat hai. Fareb daari ka yeh amal, jis ne support level ke farzi tor phor ko zahir kiya, ek kharidari singal ke tor par ek mouj-e-ummed ka roushanayi banaya. Ye signal, support level ke farzi tor phor se nikalta, fitri traders ke liye umeed ka ek roshni ka markaz tha jo market ki be-efsaadgiyon ka faida uthana chahte the aur mumkinah qeemat ke ulte charhne par faida uthana chahte the.

Peechay dekhte hue, jumeraat ki ghanton ki chart par jo waqiaat mazid umeed dilaata hai ke currency trading mein mojood tafavat aur halkayiyan ko hifazat kehtay hain. Ibtidaai kami se lekar farzi tor phor aur baad mein kharidari singal ka zahir hona, har muraad mein aik ehmiyatnak nazar aati hai market forces aur waqt par qeemat ki tajziya ke dhamakeedar khilaf. Ikhtitami tour par, jumeraat ke ghanton ki chart par pound yen ki safar ne trading ka asal

GBP/JPY ka haal ke dauran neutral nazar aa raha hai, pehle ke current retreat ke saath. Agar price 193.45 ke upar chali jaati hai, toh rebound jo 180.00 se 61.8% retracement se ho raha hai, 208.09 se 180.00 ke beech, 197.35 tak continue ho sakta hai. Lekin agar 188.23 ka support firmly break hota hai, toh yeh indicate karega ke rebound 180.00 se complete ho gaya hai, aur bias ko downside ki taraf le jaayega, 180.00 ko dobara test karne ke liye.
Badi picture mein, 208.09 se price actions ko 123.94 (2020 ka low) se rally ke correction ke taur par dekha ja raha hai. Current development yeh suggest karti hai ke pehla leg complete ho gaya hai aur medium term consolidation range 38.2% retracement ke beech honi chahiye, 123.94 se 208.09 tak ke 175.94 aur 208.09 ke beech.

Moving averages forex prediction tools mein se hain. Jaise ke naam se hi pata chalta hai, moving average forex pair ke average closing price ko ek selected time frame ke liye provide karta hai, jo ek hi length ke periods mein divided hota hai. Maslan, 12-day simple moving average ek sum hoti hai closing prices ki pichle 12 dinon ki, jo phir 12 se divide hoti hai.

Simple moving average (SMA) ke ilawa, traders exponential moving average (EMA) bhi use karte hain. EMA zyada weight recent prices ko deta hai, aur isliye recent price action par zyada tezi se react karta hai.

7-day, 12-day aur 21-day moving averages market mein short term perspective se important resistance aur support levels ko identify karne ke liye commonly use kiye jaate hain. Wahi, 50-day, 100-day aur 200-day moving averages long-term support aur resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye use kiye jaate hain.

GBP/JPY ki August ki rally ab apni tezi kho rahi hai aur niche reversal ke khatarat hain. Yeh rally September ke peak se tezi se gir gayi hai aur ek key level ke neeche chali gayi hai. Ek bearish reversal ko confirm karne ke liye zyada kamzori zaroori hai.
GBP/JPY ne 5 August ke lows se recovery rally ki shuruat ki thi. Tab se yeh 180.09 ke low se 2 September ko 193.49 ke peak tak chala gaya.

Yeh lagbhag ek mahine ki rally ab kamzori ke nishan dikhati hai, jo niche reversal ke khatar ko badha rahi hai. Agar GBP/JPY niche chala jata hai, toh bias lower prices ki taraf shift ho jayega.

Pair 2 September ke highs se kaafi steeply gir gaya hai aur abhi ek key swing low 190.26 ke aas-paas ke level ke neeche chala gaya hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator 37.77 tak gir gaya hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke peak se sell-off ke saath momentum strong tha.

In nishanon ke bawajood, bearish reversal ke hone ka yaqeen nahi hai. Pair ko zyada girna hoga taake naye bear trend ka confirmation mil sake. Ideal scenario yeh hoga ke yeh 189.50 (26 August ka low) ke niche gir jaye, jo ek naye bearish trend ke shuru hone ko confirm karega. Aisa move shayad pehle target 188.24 (19 August ka low) tak chala jaye.

Dusri taraf, recovery ab bhi mumkin hai kyunki downside confirmation ki kami hai. Agar 192.00 ke upar close hota hai, toh yeh strongly indicate karega ke August ki rally resume ho rahi hai. Aise mein yeh move 193.49 (2 September ka high) tak continue ho sakta hai.

Gbp/jpy

Britaniya ki maaliyat, aik taraqqi ka daira hai, jabke Japan ki maaliyat mein bhi karobar ki sargarmi ka izhar ho raha hai, lekin iski barhti hui dar kamzor hai, United Kingdom mein jo hum dekh rahe hain. Be-rozgar 2.9% par hai. Shayad mustaqbil mein halaat behtar ho jayenge, jaisa ke bade manufacturers ke darmiyan ka jazba index dikhata hai, jo char mahinon ke musbat zone ke baad +5 pips tak bahaal ho gaya hai. United Kingdom ke state statistics ke mutabiq, manufacturing sector mein karobar ki sargarmi mein izafa ho raha hai, aur chauthay maheenay ka GDP 1% se 1.3% tak taqreeban aahista ho gaya hai. Isi doran, is doraan karobar mein taraqqi ke liye intezaam 5.9% barh gaya hai, tawaqqaat ko par kar gaya hai. Is ke ilawa, investors vaccine ka taiz tareen schedule bhi imtiaz mein shamil kar rahe hain, jo ke United Kingdom mein kaafi faal hai aur British maaliyat mein invest karne ko bohot wada kar raha hai. Maaliyat ab pehli alaamaat par hai aur hum ne sab se pehle aakhri macroeconomic reports ke mutabiq dekha hai: retail sales mein kami, 2nd quarter mein maaishat mein 3% ki kami, aur jald hi laakhon Britaniyon ko garam karna ya khaana khareedna decide karna parega. In sharaait mein, pound ka girna wazeh hai.
Bartania ka pound United Kingdom ki qaumi currency hai aur Jersey, Guernsey, Isle of Man, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands, British Antarctic Territory, Gibraltar, the Falkland Islands, aur Saint Helena jese 8 aur territories mein bhi istemal hota hai. GBP top teen reserve currencies mein shamil hai. Pound Sterling Bartania ki rasmi currency ka naam hai, lekin yeh sirf formal texts mein istemal hota hai. Kuch ghair rasmi naam hain jo Forex traders ke darmiyan wasee istemal hote hain, jese 'sterling' aur 'cable'.

Mo'aser Japanese currency 1871 mein munaqqash ki gayi, ek mazeed peshgiar monetary system ko badal kar. Us system ka asas mon ke lohe ka sikka tha. Introduction ke baad fori tor par Japanese yen ko sonay se jor diya gaya. Jor hamesha qeemat ke izafaat ko kam karne aur ek qaumi currency ke qeemat ko mustaqil karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Maaliyat ab pehli alaamaat par hai aur hum ne sab se pehle aakhri macroeconomic reports ke mutabiq dekha hai: retail sales mein kami, 2nd quarter mein maaishat mein 3% ki kami, aur jald hi laakhon Britaniyon ko garam karna ya khaana khareedna decide karna parega. In sharaait mein, pound ka girna wazeh hai.

GBP/JPY ke liye bearish trend abhi bohot mazboot hai. Jab tak ke qeemat 191.47 JPY ke resistance ke neeche rahe, aap bearish rally ka faida utha sakte hain. Pehla bearish maqsad 190.68 JPY par hai. Agar yeh support tor diya jaye, to bearish momentum dobara shuru hoga. Phir sellers agle support ko 188.39 JPY ke taur par istemal karenge. Agar yeh tor diya jaye, to sellers ko 183.54 JPY ka maqsad hasil hoga. Sawari bearish rally ke shidat mein hosakta hai, is liye excesses choti arsi ke rebound tak le ja sakte hain. Agar yeh mamla hota hai, to yad rahe ke trend ke khilaf trading zyada risky ho sakti hai. Trend ke ulte trading ka signal ka intezar karna zyada munasib nazar aata hai.

GBP/JPY abhi neutral hai aur manzar be tabdeel hai. 193.51 se consolidation phail rahi hai lekin mazeed rally ki umeed hai jab tak 190.02 support qaim hai. Upar ki taraf, 193.51 ko tor dena bada trend ko 195.86 lamba term resistance tak dubara shuru karega. Neeche ki taraf, agar 190.02 tor diya jaye to bias neeche ki taraf ho jayega aur 187.94 support ki taraf barh jayega. Mojooda rally 123.94 (2020 ki kam) se up trend ka hissa hai, aur 195.86 lamba term resistance (2015 ki bulandi) ke liye jari hai. 187.94 support ka tor jaroort hai medium term ke topping ka pehla alaam hone ke liye. Warna, manzar barqarar rahega agar kisi waqt pehle se 180 ke asas se neeche Guppy band hota hai, kyunki phir hamein ek tasdeeq shudah lower low mil jayega. Is case mein hamara pound ki tajziati tajziya yen ke khilaf ghair mutasir ho jayega, lekin abhi hum bullish camp mein hain. Bullish intekhab jis waqt 181.00 resistance ke upar band hota hai, jo ke GBP/JPY ko phir se 21 dinon ke exponential moving average ke upar la sakta hai

seller army ne price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish ki thi lekin wo 180.00 ke price level ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Is hafte tak, price ka position aur bhi upar ja raha hai aur 169.35 ke price level ke qareeb pahunch gaya hai. GBPJPY currency pair ka halaat abhi bhi bullish movement ke liye potential rakhta hai, kyun ke agar ghor se dekha jaye, to pata chalta hai ke pichle kuch dinon se price mein izafa nazar aa raha hai, jaisa ke H4 time frame mein dekha ja sakta hai . Candlestick ka position barh raha hai aur 191.50 ke price level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Agar agli trading session mein candlestick is level se breakout kar jata hai, to aaj ke liye ek nayi upward momentum form ho sakti hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend ke direction mein mazeed movement ka potential abhi bhi barqarar hai. Halankeh mahine ke shuruat mein market movement bearish thi, agar mazeed ghor se dekha jaye to samajh aata hai ke price dheere dheere barhne mein kamiyab hui, aur yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko tor diya, jo ek bullish market ki tasveer pesh karta hai. Hum abhi bhi dekh rahe hain ke kya price upar ki taraf movement ka ek aur mouqa faraham karega jo zyada valid ho. Is waqt jo dekhne wali baat hai wo yeh ke ek significant bearish market reversal ki possibility hai, jaisa ke pichle hafte ke aakhir mein hua tha. Hum dekh rahe hain ke kya price phir se neeche jayega ya candlestick apna reversing upward trend continue karega. Candlestick position ke hawalay se, jo abhi bhi consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, yeh baat samajh aati hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai. Is mahine ke shuruat se early trading session mein, price 190.00 level ke upar dobara barh gaya hai. Mere khayal mein, price movements ka tendency abhi bhi zyada bullish hai, aur yeh ek reference hai ke BUY trading transaction opportunities ko dhoondhna zyada behtar hai. Bullish trend ke continuation ka potential abhi bhi zyada hai bearish direction ke mouqe ke muqable

, price ka position aur bhi upar ja raha hai aur 169.35 ke price level ke qareeb pahunch gaya hai. GBPJPY currency pair ka halaat abhi bhi bullish movement ke liye potential rakhta hai, kyun ke agar ghor se dekha jaye, to pata chalta hai ke pichle kuch dinon se price mein izafa nazar aa raha hai, jaisa ke H4 time frame mein dekha ja sakta hai. Candlestick ka position barh raha hai aur 191.50 ke price level ke qareeb ja raha hai.

Agar agli trading session mein candlestick is level se breakout kar jata hai, to aaj ke liye ek nayi upward momentum form ho sakti hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend ke direction mein mazeed movement ka potential abhi bhi barqarar hai. Halankeh mahine ke shuruat mein market movement bearish thi, agar mazeed ghor se dekha jaye to samajh aata hai ke price dheere dheere barhne mein kamiyab hui, aur yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko tor diya, jo ek bullish market ki tasveer pesh karta hai. Hum abhi bhi dekh rahe hain ke kya price upar ki taraf movement ka ek aur mouqa faraham karega jo zyada valid ho.

Is waqt jo dekhne wali baat hai wo yeh ke ek significant bearish market reversal ki possibility hai, jaisa ke pichle hafte ke aakhir mein hua tha. Hum dekh rahe hain ke kya price phir se neeche jayega ya candlestick apna reversing upward trend continue karega. Candlestick position ke hawalay se, jo abhi bhi consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, yeh baat samajh aati hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai.

Is mahine ke shuruat se early trading session mein, price 190.00 level ke upar dobara barh gaya hai. Mere khayal mein, price movements ka tendency abhi bhi zyada bullish hai, aur yeh ek reference hai ke BUY trading transaction opportunities ko dhoondhna zyada behtar hai. Bullish trend ke continuation ka potential abhi bhi zyada hai bearish direction ke mouqe ke
JPY 186.31 par flat trade kar raha hai, aur aaj ke range 186.18 se 186.77 ke beech mein hai.

Resistance ka saamna Tenkan-Sen par ho raha hai jo ke 186.89 par hai, aur next upside target 187.00 hai. Agar price 187.73 ko cross kar le jo last Friday ko dekha gaya tha, to yeh 188.00 ke resistance ki taraf aim kar sakta hai.

Agar price iss hafte ke low 186.00 se neeche girti hai, to agla support level Senkou Span A par 185.36 hai, jo ke February ke shuruat mein 185.22 ke low se pehle hai. Agar yeh levels clear ho jate hain, to agla target 185.00 hoga.

Pichle mahine mein GBP/JPY ne 8 saalon ka best level near 189.00 ko touch kiya tha, lekin phir thoda loss dekhne ko mila hai. Halanki, pair ne 185.50 ke aas-paas ek base establish kar liya hai. Agar yeh area hold karta hai, to buying interest shuru ho sakta hai, jo January ke multi-year high ka retest karne ka raasta bana sakta hai.

Lekin agar sellers unexpected wapas aate hain aur prices ko 185.50 se neeche push karte hain, to bearish pressure badh sakta hai. Iss se 184.20 ki taraf pullback ke conditions ban sakti hain, jo ke 100-day aur 50-day SMA ke aas-paas hai. Iss zone ke neeche trend line support 181.85 par next critical floor ban jata hai.

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[ATTACH=CONFIG]n13114334[/ATTACH] muqable mein.

GBP/JPY pehla neutral ho gaya hai current retreat ke saath. Upar ki taraf, 193.45 ke upar breakout hone se 180.00 se rebound resume ho ga, 208.09 se 180.00 tak ke 61.8% retracement par 197.35 ki taraf. Lekin, agar 188.23 support se niche tak tor phor ho jata hai, toh yeh argue karega ke 180.00 se rebound mukammal ho gaya hai aur bias wapas niche ki taraf mud kar 180.00 ko retest karega.

Badi tasveer mein, 208.09 se price action ko puri rally se correction samjha ja raha hai, jo 123.94 (2020 low) se start hui thi. Current development yeh suggest karti hai ke pehla leg complete ho gaya hai aur medium term consolidation ka range 123.94 se 208.09 ke 38.2% retracement par 175.94 aur 208.09 ke darmiyan set hona chahiye.

Moving averages forex prediction tools mein se sab se popular hain. Jaisa ke naam se maloom hota hai, ek moving average ek forex pair ki average closing price ko selected time frame par provide karta hai, jo ek hi length ke periods mein divided hota hai. Misal ke taur par, 12-day simple moving average last 12 dinon ke closing prices ka jama hota hai jo phir 12 se divide hota hai.

Simple moving average (SMA) ke ilawa, traders dusre type ka moving average bhi use karte hain jise exponential moving average (EMA) kehte hain. EMA recent prices ko zyada weight deta hai aur is liye recent price action par zyada jaldi react karta hai.

7-day, 12-day aur 21-day moving averages market mein commonly used indicators hain jo ke short-term perspective se important resistance aur support levels identify karte hain. Wahi, 50-day, 100-day aur 200-day moving averages aksar long-term support aur resistance levels identify karte hain.

GBP/JPY exchange rate ne Tuesday ke European session mein kafi volatile period dekha. Jabke yen par downward pressure tha weak manufacturing data aur government intervention ki wajah se, British pound ko support mili mazboot retail sales aur Bank of England ke kam dovish hone ki umeedon se. Japan ki economy kai challenges ka samna kar rahi hai. Bank of Japan ka interest rates ko barhane mein deri karna, jo ke weak manufacturing data se fueled hai, yen par pressure daal raha hai. Hukumat ka energy subsidies ke liye bara fund allocate karne ka faisla, jo ke rising living costs ko kam karne ke liye hai, inflation ko barhawa de sakta hai. Yeh inflationary pressure BOJ ki hawkish stance ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Lekin, dusre quarter mein corporate capital spending ka izafa economic growth ka potential zahir karta hai. UK mein, economy kaafi behtar lag rahi hai. August mein retail sales ne solid izafa record kiya, jo expectations se zyada tha. Manufacturing PMI bhi 50-point level se upar hai, jo expansion ka ishara hai. Bank of England se umeed hai ke wo apni current monetary policy stance barqarar rakhega, aur November mein ek rate hike ka bhi imkaan hai. Yeh hawkish outlook British pound ko support kar raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, GBP/JPY pair July ke sharp sell-off ke baad recovery phase mein hai. Hal hi mein, 200-day simple moving average ke aas paas consolidation dikhayi de rahi hai, jo uptrend mein ek potential pause ka ishara karti hai. Agar pair 200-day SMA ke upar break nahi kar pati, toh us par downward pressure aa sakta hai. GBP/JPY exchange rate dono Japan aur UK ke economic factors ke complex interplay se mutasir hoti hai. Yen ki kamzori zyada tar domestic challenges ki wajah se hai, jabke British pound ko ek resilient economy aur kam dovish monetary policy expectations ka faida mil raha hai. Pair ka agla rukh in factors par mabni ho ga aur yeh dekhna hoga ke kya yeh technical hurdles ko paar kar sakta hai.

Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ka istemal karte hue instrument/currency pair ka tajziya karne se yeh samajh aata hai ke is waqt ek trading plan banana faydemand ho sakta hai jo khareedari ke haq mein ho. Heikin Ashi candlesticks jo ke price value ko noticeable taur pe smooth aur average karti hain, conventional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein, ye reversal points, correction rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt pe dekhne mein madad deti hain, jo trader ke analysis ko asaan banati hain.

TMA (Triangular Moving Average) indicator jo ke linear channel ko chart pe dikhata hai, bhi trading mein ek achha assistant hai, jo asset ke movement boundaries ko current support aur resistance lines ke saath dikhata hai. Is indicator ki madad se asset ke movement ko track karna asaan hota hai aur traders ko market ki boundaries ko samajhne mein madad milti hai.

RSI oscillator indicator bhi final decision lene ke liye use hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Is tarah ke trading tools ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Provided chart pe pair ki situation aise develop hui hai ke candles blue color mein hain, jo ke ye signal deti hain ke bulls ab mazboot hain aur actively price ko upar ki taraf kheench rahe hain, isliye long positions open karne ke liye ye ek achha mauka hai.

Price quotes ne linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya hai, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad wahan se push hua aur central line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) direction le li. RSI indicator (14) bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai kyunki iska curve upwards direction mein hai aur overbought level se kafi door hai. Is sab ke madde nazar, abhi prevailing upward movement ka matlab hai ke long positions kholne ki achhi probability hai, aur isliye long deal open karne ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai.

Take profit ko channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jo price mark 194.961 par hai. Market ko profit ko loss mein nahi convert karne se rokne ke liye, trailing stop orders ka istemal karna achha rahega jab position profitable zone mein chali jaye, aur zyada se zyada profit lene ki koshish karni chahiye