Gbpusd

GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke andar ka taqreebati tajziya mubahisa ka mozu bana hua hai. Support mazboot hai 1.2596 aur 1.2574 par, jo ke juma ko qeemat mein izafa ka sabab bana. Magar, agar 1.2649 ke oopar jam'a nahi ho paata, to 1.2595 par mustaqil dabao ka samna ho sakta hai. 1.2653 par calls hain, aur 1.2719 par aik premium hai, jo ke 1.2643 ko torne par izafa ke imkanat ko darust karta hai, jis se 1.2745 ka imtehaan mumkin hai. Ziyada se ziyada interest puts mein 1.2750 strikes par hai, jahan puts 1.2596 par hai. Is ke oopar, 1.2752 par liquidity ki taraf izafa mumkin hai. Premium range 1.2596-1.2719 hai, jahan priority 1.2719 tak ke izafa par hai aur 1.2594 ka dobara imtehaan mumkin hai. Izafa mansookh hone ke imkanat kam hain, lekin agar 1.2593 ke neeche jam'a ho gaya, to is ka matlab consolidation hoga. Bazaar ka manzar aur qeemat ka jaeza bullish bias ko support karta hai, is liye is bazaar mein na bechen.

H1 chart par, wave analysis dikhata hai ke downtrend se uptrend mein rukh badal gaya hai. Bearish channel tora gaya hai, jahan par resistance 1.2613 par tor di gayi, aur pound/dollar bullish move 1.2638 tak pohanch gaya hai, ek naye bullish-based channel ko banate hue. Juma ke band hone par mazeed izafa 1.2705 resistance ki taraf ishara karta hai. Koi wazeh faiyda nahi hai, 51% traders kharidne ka faisla karte hain aur 49% bechne ka, jo ke ek flat trading inclination ko darust karta hai. Daily chart ka jaeza ek numaya kharidne ka signal dikhata hai, flat channel ke andar teesra urooj ka nirmaan ho raha hai. Juma ke girawat ke baad foran kharidne ka ishara mazeed oopar ki taraf umeed hai, kareeb kareeb 1.2924 ya 1.2905 par channel ke ooperi border ki taraf. Izafa ka qisam-aggressive aur impulse wala ya zigzag constant decline aur correction ke saath mutassir hoga aur aane wale harkaat ko hukumat karega.

GBP/USD currency pair ke 15-minute chart ki qeemat ke lihaz se tafteesh mein, market ke dynamics aur technical indicators par mabni kuch ahem tajziyat aur tajwezat ki gayi. Ibtida mein, jab jodi 1.2679 resistance level ke oopar trade kar rahi thi, toh bechne ki volume ko dekha gaya. Ye ek mogheye niche ki taraf ke chalne ki sambhavna ko darust karta tha, jo ke tajwez ke mutabiq 1.2646 support level ki taraf gir gayi.
Support level ke neeche girne ke baad, ek range-bound trading pattern samne aaya, jo jodi ke agle qadam ko anumaan lagane mein mushkil bana diya. Is dauran kisi bhi naye buyer ya seller volume ki kami ne guman barhaya.
Thori izafa shuda buyer maujoodgi ke bawajood, jodi ne apni niche ki taraf ke raastay par jaari rakha aur ek aur range bana. Ye market mein saaf rukh ki kami ko darust karta hai.
Uske baad, jab berozgari ke data ka ijaad hua, to jodi ne 1.2588 support level tak aur girawat dekhi. Halankeh kuch izafa shuda harqat ke baad, minimal buyer volume ne mazeed girawat ki sambhavna darust ki.

Magar, haalaat tab badal gaye jab achay berozgari ke data ne buyer activity mein izafa kiya. Ye jodi ki nichli movement ko tala dene ka temporary rukh bana.
Haal mein, market mein range-bound trading ki kuch hawas hai, peechli ghatnawo ke qareeb ek range ban rahi hai. Moujooda buyer volume ke mutabiq, ek upri raasta ka tajwez diya jata hai jis ki taraf jodi 1.2655 resistance level ki taraf ja sakti hai.
Agley hawalon ke liye, umeedain mustaqbil ke price behavior ke bare mein insights faraham kar sakti hain. Ye umeedain mustaqbil ke price behavior ke bare mein insights faraham kar sakti hain. Ye umeed is par mabni hai ke achay inflation ke data ka asar buyer sentiment aur market direction par hoga.
Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD currency pair ke 15-minute chart ki tafteesh ne market ke movement ka tajziya karte waqt, ahem support aur resistance levels ko nigaah mein rakhne ki ahmiyat ko ujagar kiya hai, sath hi volume dynamics ko bhi. Chhotay arsey ke fluctuations aur range-bound trading ke bawajood, ane wale maqami iqtisadi data ka tajziya ane wale qeemat ke ponch mein insights faraham kar sakta hai.

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Sterling $1.26 ke neechay girtey rahay jab ek mazboot US jobs report ne ummedain barha di ke Federal Reserve is saal Bank of England se kam interest darwazay katega. Forex foreign exchange trading company platform ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat aane wale Jumma ko 1.2574 ke support level tak gir gayi, haftay bhar ke faiday ko jo 1.2683 ke darjay tak phel gaye thay, chhod diya, aur is ahem haftay mein stable 1.2574 ke darjay par karobar shuru kiya, jo ke 1.2625 ke darja tak intezar kar raha hai jo ek currency pair ki keemat ko mukhtalif tarha se mutasir karne wale ahem data aur waqeeyat hain.

Maliyat markets ab Britain ko is saal lagbhag 70 basis points se zyada interest darwazay katega ka intezar karte hain, khaaskar jab do Bank ke sab se hawkish members ne aakhri meeting mein darwazay ko barhane ki darkhwast ko chhod diya. Iss haftay, UK GDP data jo Jumma ko muntazir hai, ummeed hai ke February ke doosre maah ke liye taraqqi ko tasdeeq karega aur mulk ko ek halkay se araamdayak mahangaai ke baad 2023 mein munasib ubhar ki taraf rahay ga.

Aam tor par, MUFG ab bhi umeed rakhta hai ke U.S. mahangaai data aham aur mukamal tor par madadgar kirdar adaa karegi; "Is haftay jari kiye jane wale taaza U.S. CPI aur March PPI reports Fed rate cut expectations aur dollar ke rukh ke liye is mahine ke baad zyada ahem honge."

GBP/USD Tadbeer:

Rozana chart ki performance ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ki keemat ka 1.2600 ke support ke neechay barqarar girna trend ke dabao ko madad de ga, khaaskar agar USD ko mazboot mumkin momentum hasil hoga US mahangaai data ke ikhtitami aur peechle Fed meeting ke minutes ke izhaar se, aur jab yeh hoga, toh bears ko 1.2570 aur 1.2490 ke support ki taraf barhne ka acha mauqa milega, final technical indicator is level se shadeed oversold levels par chalega.

Dosri taraf, yehi muddat ke doran, jaise maine pehle bhi kaha, 1.2775 ke resistance level sab se ahem resistance level banega jahan bulls qaboo hasil karte hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke GBP ke darjay mukhtalif US data ke natayej ke reaction ke dairay mein rahenge.

Is haftay GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ka bartao ka tajziya dilchasp raha. Bhalay hi kai moqay thay jahan dollar ko euro aur pound ke khilaf mustaqbil mein mazbooti hasil karne ka mauqa tha, lekin ye maqami tor par stagnate raha. Is behtareen khabron ka kisi wajah se dollar par asar na hona, jo aam tor par dollar ko faida pohanchata hai, sawalat uthata hai. Aik mumkin wazahat Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki hali guftagu ho sakti hai, jis mein unho ne inflations par tawajjo di aur bayrozgari report ke baray mein kam baat ki. Ye ishara deta hai ke inflations ke data, khas tor par core inflation figures jo ke Budh ke din muntazir hain, Federal Reserve ke faislon ko interest rates ke hawalay se shakl dene mein zyada asar andaz honge.
Core inflation, jabke girne ke nishaan dikhata hai, dosray sectors se bhari dabawat ka samna karta hai. Ye tawanai bazaar mein be sabri peda karta hai jab ke investors ahem data releases ka intezaar karte hain. Jumeraat ko, pound-dollar pair ne ibtidaai izafa kiya phir kami ka samna kiya. 1.2639 par support level ke bharakne ka khayal hai ke keemat ka pheecho wapas chalna is mein kirdar ada kya. Lekin, ye pheecho ko jhooti tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jo tijarat karne walon ke liye 1.2608 par support level ko nishana banane wale logon ke liye ek farokht signal ke tor par kaam karta hai.

Agay dekhte hue, bazaar ke shiraaqi shirkat daaron ne ahem iqtisadi nishanat ko tawajjo se dekhna hai, khas tor par core inflation ko, takay Federal Reserve ke siyasat ke tor par tehqeeq ki ja sake. In data releases mein tawaqo se kisi imtiaz ka intikhaab, currency markets mein jhool jhool sakti hai, shamil hai GBP/USD pair. Is ke ilawa, saiyasi waqi'at aur markazi bankon ki dakhaliyat qareebi tor par tareekh mein exchange rates ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

Is manzar mein, tijarat karne walay mukhtalif technical aur bunyadi tajziya auzaraat ka istemaal karne ka ghoor kar sakte hain taake bazaar mein uljhanat ka samna karne ke liye. Strategies jese ke trend analysis, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators trading ke imkanaat aur khatra ko foran pehchaan ne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

Kul mila ke, GBP/USD pair ki keemat ka bartao iqtisadi data, markazi bank policies, aur bazaar ki jazbat ki peshkash ka pesh nazar hai. Is liye, maqami aur bazaar ke sharaait ki tarah maloomat hasil karna aur un bhiyat bazaar ke halaat ke mutabiq tarteeb dena tijarat karne ke liye bohat zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Outlook Tahlil

GBP/USD pair nedai arse mein khaas zor se neeche ki taraf mawjudgi dikhane lagi hai, jo nazdeeki mustaqbil mein is trend ka jaari rehne ka izhaar kar sakti hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke dhiyan diya jaye ke markets aksar aise lambi chalti hui harkaton ke baad pullbacks ka samna karte hain, aur mojooda neechayi raftar jald hi ek waqtan-fani ulte ko mukammal karne ke liye samna karega. Ye pullback zaroori hai takay mojooda harkat ko asani se dobara shuru kiya ja sake aur kisi bhi jama hui qarz ya ziada tezi ko door kar sake.

Ghante ke chart ka tajziya karne par, indicators neechayi raftar ka ishara jaari rakhte hain, jo yeh darust karta hai ke bechne walay market par qabu rakhte hain. Iske ilawa, kal din ke doran pair ne ek bechne ka signal ka jawab diya, jo neechayi nazar ka aghaz ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai.

Karobar karnewalon ko ehtiyat bartaraf rakhni chahiye aur potenti trading mauqe ko pehchaanne ke liye ahem support aur resistance ke darwazay ka nigrani karna chahiye. Agar pair apne mojooda staron se palat jata hai, to karobar karnewale resistance levels ke qareeb dakhil hone ke mauqay ko talash sakte hain, trend mein waqtan-fani ulte ka faida uthate hue.

Magar, ye ahem hai ke ahtiyaat aur intizaar kiya jaye aur kisi bhi karobar ko shuru karne se pehle tasdeeqi signals ka intizar kiya jaye. Pullbacks aksar dhoka dete hain, aur karobar karnewalon ko clear isharon ka intizar karna chahiye ke neechayi raftar dobara shuru ho gayi hai qabool karne se pehle.

Doosri taraf, agar pair kisi ahem pullback ke baghair apni neechei manzil par jaari raftar ko jari rakhta hai, to karobar karnewale mojooda short positions ko qaim rakhne ya resistance levels ki taraf muradab karne ke mauqay ko talash kar sakte hain.

Aam tor par, jabke GBP/USD pair nazdeek ke maamool mein aur neechei harkat ke liye tayyar nazar aata hai, to karobar karnewale narmi aur apni strategies ko tarmeem karne ke liye mustaqil rahne chahiye. Sabar, disiplin aur qareebi kimat ke tasur ko maddah-e-amal banakar, karobar karnewale market ko mufeed tareeqay se chalay sakte hain aur trading mauqay se faida utha sakte hain jabke khoob mawafiq tarze amal ko samajhte hain.

GBP/USD currency pair abhi ek uttar ki correction ka shikaar hai, jis mein market ke tolnay ke doran margin techniques istemaal kiye ja rahe hain. Is tajziya mein, hum is correction ke complicacies ko ghoor karenge, khaas levels aur timing strategies par zor dete hue tijarat ke mauqe ko zyada se zyada azaadi denge. Uttari correction strategy mein, ek oopri trend ke andar pullback zones ki pehchaan shamil hai. Hal hi mein, tawajjuh doosre pullback zone ki taraf mabain 1.2692 aur 1.2709 ke darmiyan mudaa hoti hai. Is harkat ka faida uthane ke liye, sahi waqt bohot ahem hai, khaaskar 1.2664 ka ahem darja yaad rakhte hue ke jo agey barhne ke liye paar kar dena zaroori hai, aaj ke bullish movement 1.2664 par ghoom rahi hai, lekin ye ahem hai ke keemat rozana pivot point par 1.2653 ke neeche rahti hai. Ye dynamic trading strategy ko aur bhi zyada pechida banata hai, jo faislay banane ke processes mein pivot point interactions ka dhyan rakhne ko mangta hai.

Jab tak bullish correction unfold hoti hai, oos waqt bearish retracement ka bhi nigaah rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Is retracement ki tasdeeq is red zone ko paar karne par ho gi, jo 1.2598 se lekar 1.2606 tak phaili hui hai. Dono bullish aur bearish signals ke mutaliq huqooq banaaye rakhne se traders apne strategies ko mutabiq kar sakte hain taa ke mauqe ko mukhtalif kar saken. Keemat ki harkat ko mukarrar zones mein tafreeq karte hue tijarat ke mauqe peda hote hain. 1/4 zone ke upar uthao ke baad andar ke red zone tak waapas chale jaane se aik maqbool buying opportunity saamne aati hai, jo khaas tor par Jumma ko wazeh hoti hai. Lekin 1/2 zone tak pohnchne mein mushkilat ka samna hota hai, din mein fluctuations ke bawaajood, jo aik baazoo se entry aur exit strategies ke liye aik mutasir dhang chahiye. Din ke andar ki fluctuations trading ke faislay ko mazeed pechida bana deti hain, traders ko mazboot khatra management techniques ka istemaal karna padta hai. In fluctuations ke mool causes ko samajh kar, jaise ke market ke jazbaat mein tabdeeli ya maqroozat ke elanat, traders ke liye keemat ki harkat ka behtar andaza lagaya ja sakta hai aur apni positions ko mutabiq kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD

Maine GBP/USD ke liye ek target set kiya hai jo 50% Fibonacci retracement level par neeche ki taraf movement ke liye hai. Iske peeche ki tajwez seedha hai: sellers ne 38.2% support level ko kaamyabi se paar kar liya hai, jo ke agle level tak neeche ki taraf girne ki unki salahiyat ko dikhata hai. Halankeh abhi GBP/USD do levels ke darmiyan oscillate ho raha hai, ek temporary pause dikhate hue, lekin main bearish trend ka jaari rakhne ka intezar kar raha hun. Main ikhtiyar karta hun ke ek retracement ka imkan hai, lekin main umeed nahi karta ke yeh pehle tay ki gayi 38.2% level ko guzarega. Is haftay ki market activity khaas tor par buland rahi hai, jis se ek retracement mojooda nahi ho sakta. Halankeh, main ehtiyaat aur chaukanna rehkar, qeemat ke movement ko qareebi tor par nazar andaz kar raha hun apni strategy ko mutabiq banane ke liye. Haal ki market dynamics ne ek mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir kiya hai, jise technical indicators aur overall market sentiment ne support kiya hai. GBP/USD jodi ke haal ki performance ko tajziya karte hue, hum ek wazeh downtrend dekh sakte hain jo lower highs aur lower lows ke sath pesh a raha hai. Yeh pattern bearish outlook ko mazboot karta hai, jisse market mein tawalat farokht ke dabaav ko darust karta hai. Iske alawa, ahem support levels ko paar kar diya gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ki taqat ko aur bhi mazbooti se sabit karta hai. Behtareen maqasid ke bare mein ghabrahat aur uncertainty ke darmiyan traders ne ehtiyaat bhari approach apnaya hai. Main technical indicators aur market sentiment ko tajziya karte hue, apne target level par tawajjo jama rakh raha hun GBP/USD ke neeche ki taraf movement ke liye. 50% Fibonacci retracement level ek ahem reference point ka kaam karta hai, jo ke potential support par se resistance ban jata hai. Agar qeemat ke amal ne bearish trend ka jaari rehne ko tasdiq kiya aur yeh level ko qareeb kiya, to yeh ek mauqa pesh karega short positions mein dakhil hone ka, mukhalif market sentiment ke mutabiq. Khataron ka nigrani zameen par rehna is strategy ko amal mein laane mein zaroori hai, stop-loss orders ko takleef de kar potential nuqsaanat ko kam karne ke liye set kiya gaya hai agar ghair mutawaqqa market movement ho. Lachak bhi ahem hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, jinhe samajhne ke liye trading strategies ko tabdeel ki zaroorat hoti hai taake changing dynamics ke mutabiq hamle kar sakein. Ikhtataam mein, meri tajziya GBP/USD ke liye ek bearish outlook ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jiske liye ek target 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche ki taraf movement ke liye set kiya gaya hai. Market ke taza irteqaat ko nigrani karna aur ahem levels par dhaan dena forex market mein chalne ke liye ahem hai.

GBP/USD H1 Time Frame:

GBP/USD currency pair ke dauray ki keemat ki harkat ko tajziya karna marg technique ka istemal karte hue uttarwi correction ka izhar karta hai, jo 1.2695 se 1.2710 ke doosre pullback zone ko nishana banata hai. Is zone tak pohanchne ke liye waqt ka ahmiyat hai, aaj ke bullish harkat jo 1.2674 par hai, ke aage badhne ke liye ek tor par zaroori hai. Maazi ke dinon ke daily pivot jo 1.2655 par hai, ke neeche hone ke bawajood, taraqqi zahir hai. Tehreek mainay ka baqi rehtay hue bullish retracement jo uttarwi correction se hai, is ka tasdeeq hona laazmi hai jab laal zone jo 1.2590 aur 1.2600 ke darmiyan hai, ko tor diya jaye. Challenges ke bawajood, taraqqi mustaqil hai. Keemat 1/2 zone ke upar barh gayi aur andarun ki laal zone tak palat gayi, jo Jumma ko ek khareedne ka moqa faraham kar rahi hai. Magar, 1/3 zone tak pohanchna roz ki dauray ke fluctuations ki wajah se ghair yaqeeni lagta hai, phir bhi 1.2660 ke kareeb hai.

GBP/USD H4 Time Frame:

Forex market ke duniya mein, currencies jese ke British Pound Sterling (GBP) ke US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf harkat ko karobarion, investors aur economists ne nazdeek se dekha aur tajziya kiya. Haal hi mein Pound Sterling ko 1.2690 ke muqablay mein US Dollar ke khilaf mazbooti dikhayi gayi hai, jo market ke shiraaqeen ki tawajjo ko apni taraf khench rahi hai, risk-sensitive assest ke lehaz se. Is risk-sensitive assest mein rujhan mein izafa, un karobarat par izhaar karta hai jo zyada satah par khatra rakhtay hain lekin mukhtalif osoolon par zyada munafa bhi faraham kar saktay hain. Aise assest mein stocks, commodities ya strong growth prospects wale economies ki currencies shamil ho sakti hain. Pound Sterling, aksar global ma'ashiyati shorat aur geoploitical waqiaat ke mukhtalif osoolon par hone wali bargaashti ki wajah se ek risk-sensitive currency ke tor par shumar hoti hai, jise investors ke darmiyan barhaye hue risk ka shauq hota hai. GBP/USD currency pair, jo British Pound aur US Dollar ke darmiyan exchange rate ko numaya karta hai, Monday ke dauray ke session mein muayana shuda shiraaqati darajat ke andar mutharik hai. Ye exchange rate mein istiqamat ki daleel hai, jab ke yeh Monday ke trading session mein taay kardah range ke andar rehta hai.

GBP/USD


GBP/USD Thursday ko Asian session mein 1.2650 ke aaspaas trade kar raha tha. United States (US) ne pichle din mix ma'ashiyati data jaari kiya, jismein behtar ADP rozgaar tabdeeli thi lekin kam ISM Services PMI readings thi. Ye dollar (USD) ke liye mushkilat paida kiya. US ADP rozgaar tabdeeli March mein 184,000 se ziada thi, February mein 155,000 ke izafa aur 148,000 ke market ke tajziyah se. Is dauraan, US ISM Services PMI March mein 52.7 ke mutaqabil jald se jald kam hokar 51.4 par gir gaya, February mein 52.6 se. Is waqt, US Dollar Index (DXY) lagbhag 104.20 ke aaspaas trade ho raha hai, haal hi ke nuqsaan se bahar na nikal saka. Federal Reserve ke sood daron ki siyasat ki raah par, kuch Fed representatives ne apni rai ko naram kar diya hai.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne data ke mutabiq strategy ki baat ki jabke markazi bank ke sood dar kam karne ki ichha ko dohrate hue kaha. Mazeed tawajjo ka markazi point, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne 2024 ke aakhri maheenay mein ek sood dar kam karne ka sath diya hai. Fed Board of Governors ke rukn Adriana Kugler ne musalsal iktisadiyat mein kami aur is ka natija sood dar kam hone ki zarurat ka ishara diya. 2024 ke aakhri maheenay tak kam az kam teen kamzoriyan tajziyah ki gayi hain. GBP/USD ke keemat 1.2650$ par sab kuch ghatna ke baad mehfooz hai pichli session mein tezi se izafa ki wajah se. Aane wale sessions mein, bullish bias ko 1.2580$ ko paar karne ki tasdeeq ke saath mustahiq-e-tawajjuh kaha jayega. Agle station ka imtehan 1.2700$ par lena hai aur dhyaan mein rakhna hai ke agar ye level toot jaye to keemat aur bhi ziada barh jayegi, seedha 1.2800$ tak. Is natije mein, hum nazdeeki aur fori muddat mein mazeed izafa ki umeed karte hain. Mushkilat ka muqabla hoga agar keemat 1.2580$ ko tor deti hai, jo isay taal mein wapas le jaega, seedha nisbatan bearish raaste par.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sabhi colleagues,

GBP/USD ne 1.2550 ke ooper ek consolidation phase mein dakhil ho gaya hai Tuesday ko thori si ziada barhne ke baad. Technical outlook abhi tak umeed ko barhne ki dikkat nahi dikhata, jabke investors US se data ka intezar kar rahe hain. US Dollar ko sellers ke halkay dabao ka saamna tha American trading mein Tuesday ko, jisne GBP/USD ko izafa karne diya. Kyunki koi bunyadi waqiyaat nahi the jo US Dollar mein dilchaspi ki kami ka sabab ban sakte, is liye US Dollar index ka palatna aik technical correction ka natija ho sakta hai.

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50 ke neeche hai, aur GBP/USD pair moving averages ke neeche trading jaari hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, sirf 200-period wala chhorkar. 1.25845 par mirror level resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur sirf jab is level par mazboot band hone ke baad hum baat kar sakte hain market mein bullish taqat ke baare mein.

Sterling pound 1.2580 ke ooper recovery ko barhane ke liye har mumkin koshish kar raha hai Wednesday ke late London session mein. Market participants ka cautious behavior US ke March mein naqdi payroll data ke ijra ke pehle, UK Manufacturing PMI ke barhne ki musbat asar ko neutralize kar raha hai. Investors ab Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki taqreer par tawajju dene lage hain, jo ke 19:10 Moscow time par muntazir hai, aur US NFP data jo ke Jumma ko shaya hoga.

Powell ki taqreer central bank ko qarz ke daam ghataane ka silsila kab shuru karega, is par zyada signals faraham kar sakti hai. Abhi investors umeed rakhte hain ke Fed June ki meeting ke baad qarz ke daamon ko kam karna shuru karega.

Pair 1.2575-1.2600 ki selling zone ki taraf tajaweez ki taraf suda hua hai, lekin bohot kam volatility clear entry point for selling faraham nahi karti. Intihaai, pair mazeed 1/4 zone tak barh sakta hai 1.26141-1.26217, aur hum behtar qeemat par bechenge jab sharait pehla target 1.2500 ke taraf ban jaayengi.

Shukriya.

British Pound New signal (GBPUSD)

British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ko Asia ke Wednesday ke subah kareeb 1.2675 ke darmiyan behtar tareen tijarati halat mein hai. USD ko cautious investors ke sentiment ki wajah se support mil raha hai, jo aaj ke doran Federal Reserve ke afkar aur data releases aur speeches se pehle. Investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ka release intezar kar rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions par asar daal sakta hai. Kuch Fed officials ke haal mein taza tareen comments hawkish rahe hain. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee ne paish kiya ke mazboot jobs report inflation ko control karne ke liye economy ko nuqsan na pohchate hue zyada aggressive interest rate hike stance zaroori ho sakti hai. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari ne iqraar kiya ke labor market ab zyada garam nahi lekin tight hai. Unka barra masla inflation mein rukawat hai. Doosri taraf, British economy ko is saal 0.8% ke izafe ki umeed hai, Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) ke taza forecasts ke mutabiq, jab ke domestic demand recover hoti hai. Mulk ki GDP data Jumma ko release kiya jayega. Agar GDP data aane wale saal ke intehai mukhtalif darja ki shandar hai, to Bank of England (BoE) ke iraadon ko interest rates ko halka karne ki rok sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD pair ko support mil sakta hai. Market ab BoE se 0.75% tak ke interest rate cut ka intezar karti hai, jo mojooda 5.25% se 4.5% tak dar mein la sakta hai.





GBP/USD pair ne November mein sthapit tijarati range se bahir nikalne ke baad kafi nuqsan uthaya hai. Chutkiyon ke liye 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar tezi se badh gaya, lekin pair ne 50-day SMA resistance level tak pohanchne se pehle rukh badal liya. Agar upar ki rafter jari rahe, to pair 50-day moving average ko guzar sakta hai aur 1.2682 ke qareeb resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai. Mazeed izafe se pair December ke resistance ko 1.2793 par test kar sakta hai, jo ke 1.2826 aur 1.2892 ke baray mein potential resistance hai, 2024 ka ucha. Dusri taraf, neeche ki taraf jaari trend qeemat ko March-April ke support level 1.2574 par test karne par mabni hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milti hai. Is area ke neeche guzarne se pair ko April ke kam se kam 1.2538 aur 2024 ke kam se kam 1.2517 ke saath mabni low ko expose kar sakta hai.

Pound/US Dollar currency pair ke liye current trading plan. Timeframe H4.

Chaliye hum aaj ke market movement ke liye chune gaye instrument par popular technical analysis ke indicators Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke amli salahat ka mutala karte hain, jo humein aaj sahi tareeqay se position mein dakhil hone aur behtareen munafa hasil karne mein madad karenge. Jab mila hua signal mukammal tor par samjha jaye ga, to hum istiqamat se munafa hasil karne ke liye market position se nikalne ka barabar munafa bakhsh naka munasib point chunenge, jismein humein muntakhib dor ki extreme values ke saath kheencha gaya Fibonacci grid correction levels madadgar sabit honge.

Chune gaye time frame (H4) par linear regression channel dekhne par dakhal dene wale nezar aarai hain, jo market mein mazboot farokht ke maujoodgi aur market ke keemat ke current breakthrough ki sakht mumkinahat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Muqabil, aane wale qareebi mustaqbil ki taraf prediction karne ke liye istemal ki jane wali ghair muratab nala channel (convex lines) mein aik kaafi noticeable downward slope hai. Ghair muratab regression channel ne linear channel ke golden line ko upar se neeche cross kiya hai aur keemat ke quotes mein kami ko dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko paar kiya lekin 1.28922 ki zyadaat keemat (HIGH) tak pohanch gayi, jahan us ne apni izafa band ki aur maazi ke tahafuzat ke rukh mein chala gaya. Haalankay, mohtaaj ab instrument 1.26410 ki keemat par trade kar raha hai. Uper di gayi tamaam baton ke dastoor par, mein umeed karta hoon ke market ke quotes wapas aur 2-nd LevelResLine (1.25340) FIBO level 0% ke neeche laut kar mazbooti se mustaqil ho jaenge aur mazeed niche jaenge golden average line LR linear channel ki 1.24495, jo ke Fibo level -23.6% ke saath milta hai. Aik farokht ka transaction mein dakhil hone ki munsalikat aur tajwizat ko puri tor par RSI (14) aur MACD ke indicators ne manzoor kiya hai kyunke woh ab overbought zone mein hain.

Chaliye hum aaj ke market movement ke liye chune gaye instrument par popular technical analysis ke indicators Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke amli salahat ka mutala karte hain, jo humein aaj sahi tareeqay se position mein dakhil hone aur behtareen munafa hasil karne mein madad karenge. Jab mila hua signal mukammal tor par samjha jaye ga, to hum istiqamat se munafa hasil karne ke liye market position se nikalne ka barabar munafa bakhsh naka munasib point chunenge, jismein humein muntakhib dor ki extreme values ke saath kheencha gaya Fibonacci grid correction levels madadgar sabit honge.

Chune gaye time frame (H4) par linear regression channel dekhne par dakhal dene wale nezar aarai hain, jo market mein mazboot farokht ke maujoodgi aur market ke keemat ke current breakthrough ki sakht mumkinahat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Muqabil, aane wale qareebi mustaqbil ki taraf prediction karne ke liye istemal ki jane wali ghair muratab nala channel (convex lines) mein aik kaafi noticeable downward slope hai. Ghair muratab regression channel ne linear channel ke golden line ko upar se neeche cross kiya hai aur keemat ke quotes mein kami ko dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko paar kiya lekin 1.28922 ki zyadaat keemat (HIGH) tak pohanch gayi, jahan us ne apni izafa band ki aur maazi ke tahafuzat ke rukh mein chala gaya. Haalankay, mohtaaj ab instrument 1.26410 ki keemat par trade kar raha hai. Uper di gayi tamaam baton ke dastoor par, mein umeed karta hoon ke market ke quotes wapas aur 2-nd LevelResLine (1.25340) FIBO level 0% ke neeche laut kar mazbooti se mustaqil ho jaenge aur mazeed niche jaenge golden average line LR linear channel ki 1.24495, jo ke Fibo level -23.6% ke saath milta hai. Aik farokht ka transaction mein dakhil hone ki munsalikat aur tajwizat ko puri tor par RSI (14) aur MACD ke indicators ne manzoor kiya hai kyunke woh ab overbought zone mein hain.

Haal hi mein GBP-USD currency pair ke andar hui harkatein zyadatar bearish rahi hain, jo ke ek bearish daily candlestick ke banne se saboot milta hai. Magar, is bearish sentiment ke darmiyan, ek dilchaspi wala shadow low ka zikar hai. Ye dilchasp waqia dhalai ke andar saturation ke mumkinat ka zahoor karta hai. Meri tajziya mein, ye saturation aane wale bullish harkaton ki sambhavna ko ishara karta hai. Magar, ek bullish raah ki tasdeeq ke liye mazbut tasdeeq ke intezar ki zaroorat hai, ye zaroori hai. Ye ihtiyati taur par zaroori hai ke GBP-USD mein mojooda bearish trend shuruaat shuru ki jaye.
Technical pehluon mein gehri gehriyaan daalne par, bearish daily candlestick ke banne ka zikar, GBP-USD pair par dabi hui nichli dabao ko darust karta hai. Ye nichli ravaani market ke jazbat ko dikhata hai jo British pound ke muqablay mein US dollar ki kami ko pasand karte hain. Magar, candlestick formation ke andar shadow low ke zahoor ka eqamat mein ek tajziya hai. Ye shadow low ek temporary price dip ko darust karta hai trading session ke doran, jo ke bechne walon ke darmiyan thaknay ki nishaani hai aur momentum mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ki ishara kar sakta hai. Is tajziye ko samajhne ke liye, GBP-USD ko influence karne wale mazeed market dynamics ko ghor karna zaroori hai. Jama bearish trend British pound ko giraane wale maqami aur duniyawi siyasi muddaton ka izhar karta hai. Ye muddat, Brexit ki muzakrat, ma'ashiyati data ki rehaishat, markazi bank policies aur global macroeconomic trends waghera ko shamil kar sakti hai. Is pehlu se, bearish candlestick ke andar shadow low ke mojoodgi ne ummeed ki ek chamak dikhayi hai jo bullish traders ko apne nasib ko palatne ki talash mein madad karta hai.

haftay GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ka bartao ka tajziya dilchasp raha. Bhalay hi kai moqay thay jahan dollar ko euro aur pound ke khilaf mustaqbil mein mazbooti hasil karne ka mauqa tha, lekin ye maqami tor par stagnate raha. Is behtareen khabron ka kisi wajah se dollar par asar na hona, jo aam tor par dollar ko faida pohanchata hai, sawalat uthata hai. Aik mumkin wazahat Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki hali guftagu ho sakti hai, jis mein unho ne inflations par tawajjo di aur bayrozgari report ke baray mein kam baat ki. Ye ishara deta hai ke inflations ke data, khas tor par core inflation figures jo ke Budh ke din muntazir hain, Federal Reserve ke faislon ko interest rates ke


hawalay se shakl dene mein zyada asar andaz Core inflation, jabke girne ke nishaan dikhata hai, dosray sectors se bhari dabawat ka samna karta hai. Ye tawanai bazaar mein be sabri peda karta hai jab ke investors ahem data releases ka intezaar karte hain. Jumeraat ko, pound-dollar pair ne ibtidaai izafa kiya phir kami ka samna kiya. 1.2639 par support level ke bharakne ka khayal hai ke keemat ka pheecho wapas chalna is mein kirdar ada kya. Lekin, ye pheecho ko jhooti tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jo tijarat karne walon ke liye 1.2608 par support level ko nishana banane wale logon ke liye ek farokht signal ke tor par kaam karta hai.Agay dekhte hue, bazaar ke shiraaqi shirkat daaron ne ahem iqtisadi nishanat ko tawajjo se dekhna hai, khas tor par core inflation ko, takay Federal Reserve ke siyasat ke tor par tehqeeq ki ja sake. In data releases mein tawaqo se kisi imtiaz ka intikhaab, currency markets mein jhool jhool sakti hai, shamil hai GBP/USD pair. Is ke ilawa, saiyasi waqi'at aur markazi bankon ki dakhaliyat qareebi tor par tareekh mein exchange rates ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Is manzar mein, tijarat karne walay mukhtalif technical aur bunyadi tajziya auzaraat ka istemaal karne ka ghoor kar sakte hain taake bazaar mein uljhanat ka samna karne ke liye. Strategies jese ke trend analysis, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators trading ke imkanaat aur khatra ko foran pehchaan ne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain

At the time of writing, the GBPUSD currency pair is showing a flat trend on the H1 chart, currently positioned at 1.23483.According to the Instaforex indicator on this forum, the balance between buyers and sellers is relatively equal, with buyers holding a slight edge at around 50.12%. The second part of the indicator indicates a neutral position.Regarding potential surprises for today, no significant news is expected from the UK, but the US is releasing data on the Business Activity Index in the manufacturing and services sectors, as well as new home sales. This emphasizes the importance of incorporating fundamental analysis alongside technical analysis in our trading strategies.In summary, my outlook is as follows: I anticipate an initial northward correction for the pair towards the level of 1.2385, followed by a reversal southward towards the position of 1.2280.





Recent disagreements between Britain and the EU regarding the movement of young people may have influenced market sentiment, alongside reports from Bloomberg about the Bank of England's concerns regarding private investment and savings. Although this article may not directly impact the pair's decline, it could contribute to market uncertainty.While I entertain the possibility of a temporary uptick towards 1.2450, I ultimately view such movements as corrective rather than indicative of a sustained uptrend. Therefore, I lean towards a bearish bias and consider selling opportunities.However, it's important to acknowledge the potential for market surprises, especially considering the relatively empty news background for tomorrow, with only US crude oil reserve statistics being released. We'll monitor the movement closely to adapt our trading strategies accordingly.