𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY: Price Action Analysis Ka Hunar

Hum filhal USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Halanki rozana movement kam hai, bullish trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, jis se khareedna preferred strategy hai. Hum dekhte hain ke price ne pichle din ka high chhua, lekin phir bearish taraf palat gaya. Ye pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers aur buyers filhal strength mein hain. Magar, buyers ne teen din pehle apni dominance establish ki thi, lekin sellers abhi bhi challenge kar rahe hain. Ek impulse move, jo ke zyadatar upward hone ka imkaan hai, nashar aa raha hai. Is waqt, pair ke upar janay ka imkaan zyada hai bajaye neeche girne ke. Halanki bullish move mumkin hai, market dono directions mein shift ho sakti hai, ya to bearish ho sakti hai ya 151.945 ke upar ja sakti hai. Direction ka ta'aluq upcoming news par aur pehle significant daily candle ki formation par hai jo ke corrective exit ke baad banay gi.

Ek deep, bullish correction ko aam tor par ek sharp, bearish movement ke baad dekha jata hai jo ke ek aggressive trend ke sath hota hai. Daily hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair ek sideways zone bana raha hai weekly price action ke doran. Abhi resistance 148.01 par hai, jo ek formidable level hai aur jise pair tor kar upar janay mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hai, is se yeh indication milti hai ke ek aur deep bullish correction ka imkaan hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal ke madde nazar, 141.73 support zone ka retest hone ki umeed hai, jo ke haal hi mein ek significant volatility ke sath chhuna gaya tha. Ye zone bhi lower Bollinger Band ke sath align karta hai, jo ke bottom price range ko mark karta hai. Jab ye area touch karega, to ek double-bottom pattern emerge ho sakta hai, jo ke ek technical rebound aur bullish direction ki taraf turn ko trigger kar sakta hai. Japan ki interest rate ka asar is asset ki pricing par bhi hai.

U.S. dollar mein budh ki subha zordar izafa dekha gaya, jo ke aham 149 yen ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa un retail sales ki wajah se aya jo U.S. mein bohot ziada strong thain, aur umeed se chaar guna zyada thain. Yeh un umeed se kam unemployment data ke sath sath, dusray economic indicators ne bhi achi performance dikhai. Is se bulls aur bears ke darmiyan medium aur long-term market trends mein confusion barh sakta hai.

In developments ke nateeja mein, ab tawajju dubara Bank of Japan aur yen ki depreciation par ja sakti hai. Agar Federal Reserve faiz kaat bhi le, tab bhi U.S. Treasury aur Japan ke darmiyan faiz ki faraq 4.5% aur 4.75% ke darmiyan rahega. Yeh bara faraq in dono funds ko rakhna kafi attractive banata hai, kyun ke investors ko inhe rakhne ka inaam milta hai—aik ahem factor jo in dono ko lambi muddat mein barha sakta hai.

Agar dollar 150 yen level ko tor leta hai, to yeh mazeed buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ke global "carry trade" ko barhawa de sakta hai. Markets dobara profit-producing trajectories mein wapas aanay ke liye betaab hain, is liye hum dekh rahay hain ke aise trades mein dilaasa milna shuru ho gaya hai.

Mukhtasir mein, U.S. dollar ka yen ke muqable mein qeemat barhna behtari ki taraf ja raha hai, jahan U.S. strong economic conditions ke zariye support le raha hai aur faiz farq mein musalsal kami hoti ja rahi hai. Market mein 150 yen se upar jaane se ahem faidey ho sakte hain aur global automotive market ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai, kyun ke investors koshish kar rahe hain ke behtareen halat ka faida uthaya jaye.

USD/JPY ki currency pair ka price movement abhi bhi upward trend mein hai, lekin yeh daily Pivot level ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai. Ek strong trading plan zaroori hai, magar yeh thorough analysis aur accurate forecasting ke baghair possible nahi. Isi liye, continuous learning aur improvement in areas mein essential hai. Pair ne haal hi mein 147.74 ke aas paas resistance ko test kiya hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh further gains ki umeed hai, jo 148.52 aur 151.19 tak ja sakte hain. Hamara recommendation yeh hai ke buying opportunities par focus karein aur stop loss ko 145.35 ke neeche rakhein.

USD/JPY pair ke liye, maine apni position 147.29 level ke neeche hourly chart par li hai, aur abhi trading 146.98 ke aas paas ho rahi hai, jo ke support zone 145.40 aur 145.79 ke darmiyan clear path indicate kar raha hai. USD/JPY pair par selling pressure ka imkaan hai kal tak.

Agar U.S. inflation data mein koi growth nahi hoti ya phir decrease hota hai, toh U.S. Dollar mein intense selling pressure aane ka imkaan hai. Yeh pressure USD/JPY pair mein zyada hoga, kyunke Bank of Japan apni interest rates ko increase karegi Japan ki inflation ke response mein, jo Euro zone ke contrast mein hai, jahan rate adjustments U.S. Federal Reserve se slow hain, magar future rate cuts ka plan hai. Main kuch key indicators par highlight karna chahta hoon jo hourly chart par dikhate hain ke bullish correction filhal continue ho sakti hai. Price abhi 75% support level 145.68 aur 1/12 angle ke bilkul upar hai, jahan bears shayad enter karen, aur bulls koshish karenge ke bullish movement ko dobara se shuru karein. Agar yeh kamyab hote hain, toh immediate target 1/7 angle hoga. Agar bulls ko zyada momentum milta hai, toh yeh 50% resistance level 151.11 tak push kar sakte hain, jo ke previous bearish trend se complete correction hogi.

Hum filhaal USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj, USD/JPY pair ne 147.76 ke resistance level ko chharnay ki koshish ki, lekin chouthi baar bhi ye fail ho gaya. Bears ne jaldi se control hasil kar liya, aur pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakel diya. Aam taur par, lagta hai ke price ek narrowing side channel mein phans gayi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke kisi bhi waqt breakout ho sakta hai jaise pressure build up hota hai. Kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke kal ke significant news is breakout ko trigger kar sakte hain. Halanki pair 147.76 ke resistance ko paar karne mein naakām raha, bears ke signs hain ke wo yen ko aur neeche ki taraf push kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.95 ya usse bhi kam tak le ja sakta hai. Pair ne recently daily chart par ek sideways pattern follow kiya hai, aur aaj ki movement bhi is range ke andar hi hai. Yeh uncertain hai ke kya yeh sideways trend continue karega ya phir shift ho sakta hai.

Technical analysis ko dekhein to moving averages sell signal de rahe hain, technical indicators strongly selling ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur overall outlook bearish hai. Iska matlab hai ke bearish side par movement ka zyada chance hai. Aaj United States se aane wali important news, khaaskar crude oil inventories ke bare mein, negative bias ke saath expected hai. Japan se koi significant news nahi hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, pair bearish direction mein trend kar raha hai, jahan potential sales 145.59 ke support level tak ja sakte hain. Lekin, buying ka potential bhi hai 147.99 ke resistance level tak. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend-based movement honay ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh current sideways range ke andar hi reh sakta hai.

D1 Moving Average Line, USD/JPY jese currency pairs ke liye ek bohat hi ahm tool hai, khaaskar un traders ke liye jo currency market mein active hain. Yeh line kisi bhi asset ki defined days ke doran average price ko darshati hai aur aksar ek trend indicator ke tor par istemal hoti hai. D1 moving average price fluctuations ko smooth karti hai, taake traders ko prevailing trend ki direction samajhne mein asaani ho. USD/JPY pair ke lehaz se, yeh tool khaas tor par important hai kyun ke yeh currency pair macroeconomic factors aur market sentiments ke liye bohot sensitive hota hai, jo significant price movements ko janam de sakte hain.
Jab USD/JPY ki price D1 moving average line ke upar rehti hai, to yeh aam tor par bullish trend ka continuation darshata hai. Yeh is wajah se hota hai ke observed period mein average price rising hoti hai, jo US dollar ki strength ko reflect karti hai Japanese yen ke muqable mein. Traders isay signal samajhte hain ke apne long positions ko maintain karein ya phir increase karein, kyun ke upward momentum ke continue rehne ka imkaan hota hai. Aise scenarios mein, moving average line ek dynamic support level ke tor par kaam kar sakti hai, jahan price buying interest dikhati hai aur deeper pullbacks se bachne ka chance hota hai.

Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY D1 moving average line ke neeche trade karna shuru kar de, to yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ke start hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price sustained move kar ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh darshata hai ke average price gir rahi hai, jo ke bullish trend ke weakening ka early warning sign ho sakta hai. Aise halat mein, traders apne long positions ko reduce karne ka soch sakte hain ya phir short positions mein enter kar sakte hain, anticipating further declines in the pair. Is surat mein, D1 moving average ek resistance level ke tor par kaam kar sakti hai, jahan price ko upar break karne mein mushkilat hoti hain, jo market sentiment ke shift ko confirm karti hai.

Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke price D1 moving average ke sath kis context mein interact kar rahi hai. Misal ke tor par, agar price briefly dip kare moving average ke neeche lekin jaldi recover ho jaye, to yeh sirf ek pullback ho sakta hai within a larger uptrend. Iske muqable mein, agar price prolonged period tak moving average ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein significant underlying weakness hai. Isliye, jab ke D1 moving average ek valuable trend indicator hai, isay doosray technical aur fundamental analysis tools ke sath milakar istemal karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Aakhri mein, D1 moving average USD/JPY ke overall trend direction ko determine karne ka ek ahm barometer hai, jo traders ko market mein confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai.

Trades ka tajziya aur Japanese Yen trading ke liye kuch tips dein:
Aaj USD/JPY ke 147.12 price level ka test hua jab MACD indicator ne zero line se neeche significant move kiya aur oversold area mein kaafi waqt guzara. Ye signal tha ke dollar khareedna chahiye, is umeed mein ke woh recover karega. Dusra test bhi 147.12 pe confirm hua, jo market mein sahi entry point ko darshata hai aur iska natija 30 points se zyada ke rise mein hua. Dekha ja sakta hai ke pair ne channel se breakout nahi kiya, aur iska sabab anticipated important statistics hain jo U.S. economy ke bare mein aane wale hain. U.S. retail sales ki report aur FOMC ke member Patrick T. Harker ka speech bhi market pe asar daal sakta hai, khaaskar agar fundamental statistics disappoint karte hain, toh dollar ke liye challenges barh sakte hain. Mere intraday strategy mein, mein Scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 ke implementation ke base par action plan bana raha hoon.

**Buy Signal:**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 147.46 ke qareeb pohonchti hai (chart pe green line ke saath indicate kiya gaya hai) aur mera target 148.14 tak ka rise hai (thicker green line pe). 148.14 ke aas paas, mein apne long positions close karoon ga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karoon ga, jahan mein expect kar raha hoon ke level se wapas neeche 30-35 points ka move hoga. Aaj pair mein strong rise positive U.S. news ke baad aasakta hai. Note: Buy karne se pehle yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero line ke upar ho aur rising ho rahi ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein USD/JPY ko aaj tab buy karne ka soch raha hoon agar 147.06 price level ka do baar test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur ek upward reversal le aayega. Resistance levels 147.46 aur 148.14 tak ka rise expect kiya ja sakta hai.

**Sell Signal:**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 147.06 level (chart pe red line ke saath indicate kiya gaya hai) update hoti hai, jisse pair mein quick decline aayega. Sellers ka key target 146.32 level hoga, jahan mein apne short positions close karoon ga aur immediately long positions opposite direction mein open karoon ga, wahan se wapas upar 20-25 points ka move expect karta hoon. Agar statistics weak rahti hain toh pair pe pressure wapas aayega. Note: Sell karne se pehle yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero line ke neeche ho aur decline karna shuru kar rahi ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka soch raha hoon agar 147.46 price level ka do baar test hota hai jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur downward reversal le aayega. Support levels 147.06 aur 146.32 tak ka decline expect kiya ja sakta hai.

Aaj, 15 August 2024, USD/JPY currency pair mein qeemat ka harakat aik mukarrar range mein dekhne ko mil raha hai. H1 chart par dekha jaye to current price 147.474 ke aas paas hai, jahan pehle yeh support aur resistance ke dirmiyan fluctuate kar raha tha. Technical analysis se maloom hota hai ke short-term EMA (9-period) ab long-term EMA (21-period) ko cross karna shuru kar raha hai, jo ke price consolidation ya sideways movement ka ishara hai. MACD indicator filhaal bullish signal de raha hai, lekin MACD histogram mein positive momentum mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke uptrend mein kamzori aur possible correction ka sign ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, RSI indicator 59.16 ke level par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair abhi overbought zone mein nahi gaya, lekin us level ke qareeb hai. Isliye, agay further increases ka potential hai, lekin correction ka bhi khatar reh sakta hai.
Aise technical conditions mein pending order strategy istemal ki ja sakti hai trading opportunities ko optimize karne ke liye. Ek pending buy limit order 147.200 ke level par rakha ja sakta hai, jo current price se thoda neeche hai, jahan profit target 147.800 aur stop loss 146.800 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh strategy temporary correction ke potential par mabni hai pehle ke price apna uptrend continue kare. Dosri taraf, pending sell limit order 147.800 ke level par rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke upper resistance area hai aur umeed hai ke yeh price increase ko rok sakta hai. Is sell limit ka profit target 147.200 par aur stop loss 148.200 par rakha ja sakta hai taake kisi false breakout ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Kul mila ke, USD/JPY pair filhaal limited range mein move kar raha hai, aur pending buy limit aur sell limit strategies ka istemal is price fluctuation ka faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Technical indicators aur market sentiment ka qareebi jaiza lena zaroori hai taake trading decisions mein zyada accuracy ho.

**USDJPY Analysis Updates



"AudUsd market ke liye price increase ka chance hai."

USDJPY pair ne pichle hafte bullish journey dekhi. Jab forex market kal raat ke trading period mein chalu hui, to price position abhi bhi increase continue kar rahi thi. Jo candlestick pehle seller ne neeche push karne ki koshish ki thi aur 141.71 ke aas-paas gir gayi thi, ab wapas 147.51 zone ki taraf barh rahi hai. Dekha jaye to, ab tak jo price increase hui hai usse lagta hai ki seller ke liye movement ki koi jagah nahi bachi hai jo pichle hafte sirf ek decrease bana paaye.

Shaayad aaj raat tak trading mein zyada volatile bullish journey dekhne ko mil sakti hai. USDJPY market ke chart se dekha jaye to price rise kar rahi hai, jo maine 4-hour aur 1-hour time frames mein monitor kiya hai. Pichle kuch hafton se seller ne price ko neeche laane ki koshish ki lekin woh continue nahi kar paya, isliye ek upward bounce dekha gaya. Market ki long-term sentiment abhi bhi bullish lagti hai, isliye current market situation par focus rakhna behtar hoga.

Market conditions ke mutabiq, 4-hour time frame se dekha jaye to weekly trend abhi bhi Uptrend side ki taraf hai. Current market situation ek consolidation zone mein hai jo aaj subah se start hua hai. Pichle hafte trading mein buyers ne price ko upar le jane ki koshish ki thi. Results se lagta hai ki ab bhi buyer power market mein enter kar rahi hai, jisse price trend Uptrend side ki taraf jaane ke chances hain.

**Trading Recommendations:** BUY (4-Hour Chart)

**Position Opening Strategy:**

Daily time frame se dekha jaye to sabse important price zone 148.00 ke aas-paas tha jo buyers ne kal raat successfully reach kiya. Lekin seller ki Sell transaction ke bawajood price abhi bhi uske niche chal rahi hai. Aaj ke market situation aur shuruat ke hafte ke trend ko dekhte hue, market trend abhi bhi bullish price continue karne ke chances rakhti hai. Candlesticks ab 100-period simple moving average zone ke paas aa rahi hain.

Agar candlestick journey 147.58 price zone ko touch karti hai, to yeh ideal zone hoga Buy position open karne ke liye. Agle bullish journey ke target ke liye, buyers shayad 147.96 area ko test karne ki koshish karein aur upward price trend ko continue karne ka chance milega, jisse candlestick highest trading zone ko pass kar sakti hai.

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USD/JPY ka drop surprising hai, yeh kyu itna bara deal hai? Mujhe lagta hai ke Bank of Japan aage rate hikes ka hint de raha hai, is liye yen kharidna ek wajah ho sakta hai. Dusri wajah Iran aur Israel ho sakti hai, agar koi major war break out hota hai, to bohot saare yen as a defensive currency kharidenge. Shayad abhi yen kharida gaya aur yuan ne 141 se bohot lambi rise ki, phir ek mahine ke gains ko wipe out kar diya, over 2,000 points gir gaya. Main imagine kar sakta hoon ke jin logon ne 150 pe buy kiya hoga, unhone pullback expect kiya hoga. Maine apne post mein likha tha ke buy nahi karna chahiye kyun ke ascending channel break ho gaya hai. Yeh trend mein change hai aur ek aur confirmation ke against the trend trade nahi karni chahiye. Technically speaking, descending channel break downward hua, jo phir se confirm karta hai ke descending channel buy nahi kiya ja sakta aur ascending channel sell nahi kiya ja sakta. Lekin agar hum ek aisa black channel establish karte hain, to 145 se 146 se try kar sakte hain sell karne, chahe jo bhi ho, level 149 key hai. Is ne bhi 800 points gir gaya. Agar exchange rate 149 pe wapas aa jata hai, to decline significant nahi hoga, lekin mujhe nahi pata ke south ne is ko solve kiya ya nahi.
USD/JPY currency pair chart par trading 141.910 par ho rahi hai, sirf ek reference point reh gaya hai dekhne ke liye aaj, jo 141.910–140.289 range hai. Is liye, meri strategy hai ke pair ko sell karun jab tak price support ke 140.289 ke kareeb nahi aati. In the meantime, rebound se buy karne par resistance 148.072 ko target karna interesting hoga. Abhi, sirf tabhi position open karun jab price 148.072 ke kareeb wapas aati hai, ya phir buy karun jitna close 140.289 ke possible ho jab market is price ko reach kare. Yeh range abhi ke liye kaafi solid lagti hai aur given pair ka performance recent days mein, hum is range ke andar kuch movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh khas tor par true hai jo main 141.910 aur 140.289 key levels consider karta hoon.USDJPY currency pair ke liye, sab kuch US dollar ke liye bohot bura hai aur Japanese yen ke liye sab kuch acha hai. Instrument quotes aur bhi niche ja rahi hain. Decline ka scale already colossal hai, lagta hai "ab kitna aur niche ja sakta hai, rollback ka waqt aa gaya hai", lekin fundamental factors jo is decline ko provoke kar rahe hain, unka serious impact hai.

Pehli baat, humein Bank of Japan ki monetary policy tightening dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jis ki wajah se Japanese yen ka rate supported hai.
Doosri baat, humein US labor market ka bohot bura data dekhne ko mil raha hai, jis ki wajah se US dollar ka rate gir raha hai.
Teesri baat, Middle East mein escalation ki probability badh rahi hai, jo stock markets mein girawat ka sabab ban rahi hai, jis ki wajah se hedging currencies, jaise ke Japanese yen, ki demand badh rahi hai.

Nateejah: Fundamental analysis yeh show karta hai ke USDJPY currency pair mein strong decline ho raha hai, is liye mujhe 140 area ke niche girawat pe koi hairani nahi hogi.
Click image for larger version

, USD/JPY ke upar jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko successfully cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko ehtiyaat karni hogi kyun ke candle abhi tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Is area ke aas paas rebound ho sakta hai jo ke isko girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to is trading instrument mein aage chalkar price distribution ka option kaam kar sakta hai, khas tor par agar yahan par puppeteer ziada market participants ko yeh yaqeen dila dey ke corrective rollback mukammal ho gaya hai aur ab se iss pair ko bechna shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke price ziada upar nahi ja rahi hai. Shayad bohot se market participants ye soch rahe hain ke yahan se price neeche gir sakti hai.
Japan ki monetary policy expectations ke beech ke gap ko widen karne ke baad aaya hai. Kamzor US jobs report ne financial markets ko Fed se is saal ke liye further interest rate cuts ke liye prepare kar diya hai, jo economy ke slow hone ke signs ko dekhte hue hai. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% tak badhaya hai, jo 16 saal ka high hai, aur agar economy zarurat rakhti hai to aur bhi rate hikes karne ki willingness dikhayi hai. Financial markets is fiscal year ke dauran, jo March 2025 ko khatam hota hai, do aur rate hikes ki bet laga rahe hain, ek December mein bhi ho sakta hai.
Economic calendar ke mutabiq, recent data ne yeh bhi dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne currency ko support karne ke liye July mein 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye. Japanese government ne kaha ke kamzor yen household purchasing power ko erode kar sakti hai kyunki yeh inflation ko wage growth se zyada push kar sakta hai, jo officials ko currency ko support karne ki zarurat ko highlight karta hai.
Yen ne US dollar ke khilaf apni strength barhayi hai, lekin shayad Japanese financial markets ke nuksan par. Yen ne authorities ke intervention se pehle chaar decades ka low touch kiya. Lekin, officials shayad isse Japanese stock market mein bear market trigger karne mein kaamyaab hue hain. Trading week ko khatam karte hue, Japan ka benchmark Nikkei 225 index lagbhag 6% gir gaya aur Friday ki session ko 35,909.70 par close kiya. Japan ka consumer price index ne March 2020 mein sabse bura single-day performance record kiya, pehli baar January ke baad 36,000 ke neeche gaya.
USD/JPY ne recently 158.34 ke ek key resistance level ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke neeche hover kar raha hai. Jab ke pair ne recent dinon mein 159.80 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya hai, 159.00 ke crucial level ke neeche break potential downside correction ko signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold kar leta hai, toh abhi bhi further rise ka chance hai. Agar current peak 160.20 ke upar decisive break ho jata hai, toh yeh 162.75-163.10 ki taraf surge ko pave kar sakta hai. Us ke baad, ek psychological level jo 165.35 ke aas-paas hai ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level next ho sakta hai

USD/JPY Markit Taqareer Haal Ki Sitaish

Hafta ko US dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf mushkilat ka samna karna pada, halanki kafi trading activity jari thi. Is se pata chalta hai ki market abhi bhi samajhne ki koshish kar raha hai ki dollar 148.50 yen ke ahem resistance level ko toot sakta hai ya nahi, jo ki zyada taqatwar momentum generate kar sakta hai. Lekin dollar abhi bhi long-term trend mein struggle kar raha hai, aur agar yeh level ko nahi toot sakta hai to aage ki zaroorat hai.

Market Ki Umeedein

Maujooda scenario ko dekhate hue, market ko thoda sa subdued rehna hai. Agar Monday ki swing low ko toot dete hain to dollar ke liye yeh negative sign hoga, jo ki yen ki zyada taqatwar hone ka pata deta hai. Yeh situation market mein deleveraging aur risk management ke ahem issues se judi hui hai. Halanki dollar-yen pair ne thoda sa bounce back kiya hai, lekin current level ki enthusiasm limited hai.

Dono Currencies Ko Monitor Karna Zaroori

Dono currencies ko monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh market ki overall risk appetite ki zaroori jhalak deti hain. Dollar ki yen ke saath interactions typically global financial markets ki ahem trends ko reflect karti hain, jo traders ke liye various asset classes ko consider karte hue important factor ban jati hain.

Dollar Ke Liye Challenges

Agar US dollar ko upar uthna hai to yeh major resistance levels ke khilaf significant challenges ka samna karega. Agar yeh levels ko nahi toot sakta hai to yen strong rahega, khaskar agar broader market conditions risk-averse ho jaye. Traders ko in currency dynamics ko close watch karna chahiye, kyunki yeh global markets ki direction ki zaroori jhalak deti hain

Stochastic curve bhi bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, jo trend ke bearish hone ko indicate karta hai. Open price aur SMA5 ke resistance level ke darmiyan gap ko dekhte hue, price apne decline ko continue karne se pehle is dynamic resistance level tak correct ho sakti hai. Yeh scenario sell positions ke liye potential entry points present karta hai, jo demand ke likely decline par focus karte hue capitalize kiye ja sakte hain.

H4 chart ka evening analysis ek triangle pattern ko reveal karta hai. Is pattern mein ek break aaya, jo temporary price increase ka sabab bana, aur ek direction ka ishara diya. Northern path ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko H4 ke upward reversal levels ko break karna hoga, specifically 161.55 level ko overcome karna hoga. Yeh level H4 zigzag ke low se ek trend line aur remaining triangle support se supported hai.

Akhir mein, agar D1 price zone ko south ki taraf break kiya jata hai, toh meri sell decision ko solidify karega. Main agle hafte mazeed tafseelat provide karunga. Mere analysis aur morning horoscope ke mutabiq, mujhe pata hai ke mujhe deal ko 160.75 par stop karna hoga, kyunki potential win meri position se paanch guna zyada significant hoga. Agar market mere desired goals ki taraf move nahi karta, toh main exit karke kal dobara evaluate karunga. Aane wala din hamesha uncertain hota hai, aur news events is uncertainty mein significant role play karte hain. Losses ko risk karne se behtar hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye. USD strengthened hua Fed's Williams ke dovish comments aur Japan ke weak current account data ke baad, jiski wajah se USD/JPY 36 pips up hokar 161.30 par close hua.

USD/JPY currency pair conflicting forces face kar raha hai. Ek taraf, weak Japanese yen, jo Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke pressure mein hai, ne USD/JPY pair ko strengthen kiya hai. Yeh weakness ne speculation ko fuel kiya hai ke Bank of Japan shayad expected se pehle interest rates raise kar sakta hai, jo further yen ko weaken kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar khud filhal flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation ke bare mein cautious hai aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ki possibility ko lekar bhi, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakti hai.

Technically, USD/JPY daily chart ek interesting formation dikhata hai - ascending triangle. Yeh, bullish RSI indicator ke saath mil kar, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair shayad upper trendline of the triangle ko retest karne ki koshish kare near the psychological barrier of 157.00. Agar yeh level ke upar decisively break hota hai, to pair 160.32 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya.

Support levels bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar price immediate support ke neeche girti hai at the lower end of the triangle, uske baad key 155.50 level, to yeh aur neeche slide kar sakti hai test karne ke liye 21-day EMA at 155.25. Iss level ke neeche break ek potential reversal indicate karega aur USD/JPY par downward pressure daalega.

Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level par hinge karta hai. Agar 157.00 ke upar decisively close hota hai, to focus shift ho jayega resistance zone between 157.83 aur 158.70 par. Iss area ko conquer karna door khol sakta hai for a surge above 159.10 aur potentially even ek retest of the 34-year high at 160.20. Agar yeh level bahut strong sabit hota hai, to next potential upside targets ho sakte hain in the 161.53 to 162.50 range, jo potentially June 2023 resistance line ka break lead kar sakte hain.

**USD/JPY Price Review**

Aayein USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka jaiza lete hain aur is se kya analysis nikaala jaa sakta hai. Main weekly USD/JPY chart ko dekh raha hoon, lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh sirf visual insights dega, trading ke liye zyada potential nahi dikhega. Diagram zig-zag upward movement dikha raha hai, jo ke growth ko zahir karta hai, shaayad 150.0 mark tak, aur 151.89 bhi dimaag mein aata hai. Lekin USD/JPY mein na to koi khaas decline ke liye momentum hai aur na hi koi strong rally ke liye, kyunki candlestick shadows inconsistent hain. Pehle humne 140.26 ka zikar kiya tha, lekin yeh kuch waqt pehle ki baat hai. Pichle hafte ka local low 141.68 tha. Agar pair 147.0 mark ko tod kar 141.68 ko test karta hai, to yeh 140.26 ko bhi paar kar sakta hai aur further bearish ho sakta hai. Meri current strategy yeh hai ke short trades se parheiz karun aur sirf cautiously buying opportunities ko dekhoon.

**Daily Chart Analysis**

Daily chart par, USD/JPY do key levels dikhata hai jo ongoing decline se rebound ka sabab ban sakte hain. Pehla level 147.19 hai; lekin zyada important weekly level 146.29 hai, jiske neeche koi significant weekly price consolidation nahi hui. Agar market is level ki weakness par react karta hai, to bearish trend unpredictably continue ho sakta hai. Main naye trading week ke shuru hone par market ke reaction ko in levels par monitor karunga taake current market direction ko behtar samajh sakoon aur informed trading decisions le sakoon. Bearish trend ke likely continue hone ke imkaan hain, aur pichle hafte ki bullish correction sirf ek temporary rebound thi daily price chart ke qareeb. Pair ne Friday ko aggressively 150.0 resistance zone se bounce kiya, aur Thursday ki daily candle ko absorb kar liya. Yeh further downward movement ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo support ko 141.73 par tod sakta hai, jese ke lower moving average bearish continuation ko suggest karta hai.

**USD/JPY H-1 142.01**

Pichle do din mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations dekhe hain. 5 August ko, yen ne saat maheenon ke highest level par apni quwwat barhayi jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervention kiya, aur lagbhag 5.53 trillion yen spend kiye. Yeh intervention us waqt hua jab 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield 0.8% se neeche gir gayi, jiska sabab tha ke Federal Reserve ki interest rates ko zyada aggressively cut karne ki umeed thi, US jobs data ke kamzor hone ki wajah se.



Usi din, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ek ghaflati rate hike announce kiya, benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya, aur agar economic conditions supportive rahi, to rates barhane ka irada zahir kiya. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke bawajood hua, jaise ke declining private consumption aur contracting economy.

**USD/JPY H-1 142.01**

M30 chart par, USD/JPY pair ek steady downtrend mein hai. Haal hi mein, price ek significant level, jo do daily supports at 146.36 se supported tha, ke neeche gir gayi aur consolidation shuru kar diya, jisse yeh supports resistances mein tabdeel ho gaye. Iske baad, humne daily support level 142.01 se break kiya aur corrective upward move shuru kiya, pehle se broken level ko opposite side se test kiya. Is test ke doran, price ne do downward bounces aur pin bars ke sath retrace kiya, jo strong sellers ki presence ko signal karta hai. Pullback ke bawajood, price daily aur weekly growth levels se intersect hui, jo is level par resistance ko reinforce karta hai. Arrow indicator bhi continued decline ko support karta hai. Isliye, current market conditions sales ke liye favorable lagti hain, aur target 142.01 support level hai.