𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY ke trades aur tips ka tajzia
147.13 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kafi neeche move kiya tha, jis wajah se pair ka downward potential limited tha. Isi liye, maine dollar nahi becha. Thodi dair baad, 147.13 ka doosra test hua jab MACD oversold area mein tha, jo scenario No. 2 ke liye dollar khareedne ka mauqa de raha tha. Lekin, U.S. producer price index mein kami ki khabar ne U.S. dollar ko support nahi diya, isliye ye signal poori tarah se realize nahi ho saka. Aaj, din ke pehle hisse mein pair ke thora recover karne ki umeed hai, lekin ab bhi dollar ke girne ka risk zyada hai aur yen ke mazid strong hone ka chance hai, kyun ke hum U.S. Consumer Price Index ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Hum is par tafseel se baad mein forecast mein baat karenge, lekin filhal, behtar hoga ke intezar kiya jaye aur dollar bechne ke liye zyada behtareen prices ka intezar kiya jaye. Din bhar ki strategy ke liye, main zyada ter scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par amal karne ka soch raha hoon
Buy signals
Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan banata hoon jab price 147.45 ke aas paas pohonche, jo ke chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur target 148.13 ka hoga jo ke chart par mooti green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 148.13 ke aas paas, main long positions ko exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, aur wahan se 30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein expect karunga. Aaj ke din pair ke upar jaane ka chance hai jo ek upward correction ka hissa hoga. Lekin jitna zyada pair upar jaye, utna hi dollar bechne ka mauqa behtar hoga. Ahm baat: Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho
Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan banata hoon agar do musalsal tests 146.76 par ho jayein jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ka downward potential limit karega aur market ko ulatne mein madad milegi. Hum 147.45 aur 148.13 ke opposite levels tak growth expect kar sakte hain
Sell signals
Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan banata hoon sirf us waqt jab 146.76 ka test ho jaye, jo ke chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jo pair mein rapid decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, aur wahan se 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein expect karunga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar pehle hisse mein correction unsuccessful ho aur daily high ka test na ho sake. Ahm baat: Bechne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline kar raha ho
Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan banata hoon agar do musalsal price tests 147.45 par ho jayein jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko ulatne mein madad milegi. Hum 146.76 aur 145.81 ke opposite levels tak decline expect kar sakte hain

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
U S D / J P Y**

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab log, maine technical analysis ke liye USD/JPY ko chuna hai. Aao seedha chart par chalte hain taake market ki movement ka hal jaan sakein. Likhe jaane ke waqt USD/JPY 146.52 par trade kar raha hai. Pichle budh ko USD/JPY prices mein ek significant move dekha gaya tha. Price movement bearish trend mein hai, jis se sellers ka confidence barhta hai. Market mein bearish flow ke saath jaana behtar hoga. USD/JPY pair mein neeche ki taraf movement ki opportunity abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator abhi bhi 20 ke level se neeche reading dikha raha hai, jiska matlab hai ke market conditions bearish hain. Isi waqt, hum iski moving average convergence divergence (MACD) sell signal ki tasdeeq kar sakte hain; filhal indicator zero line se neeche hai, toh jab MACD negative momentum dikha raha ho, hum sell trades add karte hain. Niche diye gaye chart par nazar daalein, toh ye wazeh hai ke USD/JPY moving average line MA (50) se neeche trade kar raha hai.



Upar ki taraf, 148.88 temporary resistance banata hai pehle 154.73. Uske baad, price agle resistance level par pohanchega jo ke 161.91 hai aur ye 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, neeche ki taraf, 141.86 temporary support banata hai pehle 137.24 jo ke 2nd level of support hai. Agar support level validly break hota hai toh bearish trend jari rahega. Uske baad, agar market price aur bhi ghat-ta hai, toh ye 133.69 ke support barrier ko chhuye ga jo ke 3rd level of support hai. In tamam maloomat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko encourage kiya jata hai ke wo correction ke baad ek solid buy entry point ya sell entry point talash karein. Iss investigation ke baare mein mazeed tafseel niche diye gaye graph mein maujood hai.

USD/JPY Price Activity

Hamari discussion live USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ko decode karne ke aas-paas ghoomti hai. USD/JPY pair upward trend ko continue kar raha hai, lekin filhal daily Pivot level ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai. Ek solid trading plan zaroori hai, lekin iske liye thorough analysis aur accurate forecasting ki zaroorat hai. Isliye, continuous learning aur in areas mein improvement zaroori hai.

Pair ne haal hi mein 147.74 ke aas paas resistance ko test kiya, aur agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh aage aur gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jo 148.52 aur 151.19 tak ja sakte hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke buying opportunities par focus karein aur stop loss 145.35 ke neeche rakhein. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main hourly chart par 147.29 level ke neeche position mein hoon, aur current trading 146.98 ke aas paas ho rahi hai, jo support zone ke beech 145.40 aur 145.79 ki taraf ek clear path dikhata hai. USD/JPY pair ko kal tak selling pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

Agar U.S. inflation data mein koi growth nahi hoti ya decrease hota hai, toh U.S. Dollar ko intense selling pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Yeh pressure USD/JPY pair mein aur zyada badh jayega, kyunke Bank of Japan Japan ki barhti hui inflation ke jawab mein interest rates ko raise karne wale hain, jabke Euro zone mein rate adjustments U.S. Federal Reserve ke mukable mein dheere hain, lekin future mein rate cuts ki sambhavnayein hain.

Main kuch key indicators ko hourly chart par highlight karna chahta hoon jo suggest karte hain ke bullish correction filhal continue ho sakti hai. Price filhal 75% support level par 145.68 aur 1/12 angle ke upar hai, jahan bears approach kar sakte hain, jo bulls ko bullish movement resume karne ki koshish karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Agar bulls successful hote hain, toh immediate target 1/7 angle hoga. Agar bulls ko zyada momentum milta hai, toh woh 50% resistance level 151.11 ki taraf push kar sakte hain, jo ke pehle ke bearish trend se correction ko complete karega.

zana ki mom candle bechne walon ka faida de rahi hai, jo agle trading session mein ek naye kam ko mukhtalif banane ki sambhavna hai. Char ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, jodi ne ek downtrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darust karata hai. Isliye, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. wazeh hai. Ahem support level 156.80 par hai, jo ke short-term buying ka moqaa faraham karta hai agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pehla target 156.46 high par hai. Agar ye range break hoti hai, to raasta significant level 156.04 tak khulta hai, jo pehle notable bearish movement dekh chuka hai. Agar price critical range 155.92 ko breach karti hai, to ek potential reversal short position ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke buyers’ zone 154.45 tak impulse le ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne ek substantial correction undergo ki hai extended ascent ke baad. Jaisay ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, ye correction 300-800 points par mushtamil thi. Pair ne 300 points retrace kiye, jo ke 154.32–154.65 imbalance zone tak pahuche aur phir rebound hua Aaj ke session mein, jodi ne apni giravat jaari rakhi, teesra support level par 154.95 ke neeche stabilise ho gayi. Ek intraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat abhi ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak jaari rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek naye giravat ka jhatka de sakti hai, jo jodi ko aur bearish karega 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area tak. Ulta agar bulls wapas aaye, to resistance level 157.84 mojooda chart ke iss hisse ko nirdeshit karega. Jab main wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, to mojooda nichle impulse se 157.78 buland se, D1 chart par bearon ka target doosre impulse zone par 154.28 ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke darmiyan ke fundamentals par nirbhar karega. Agar bearish trend ke baray mein bari time frames ke mutabiq agle pullback ke baad mukhtalif ho raha hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke neeche ke had tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY quotes pehle impulse zone par wapas aate hain 155.55 par, to bearish pullback mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Chhotay term mein, pehle zone ke neeche ki had 155.08 ke market ke reaction ko expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem samjha jayega. USD/JPY jodi bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, jahan mukhya support aur resistance levels uski movement k
USD/JPY currency pair Asian trading hours mein is Wednesday ko ek narrow trading range mein phasa hua hai. Yeh us waqt aya jab pehle hafte ke dauran 34-year high ko briefly touch kiya. Lekin, USD/JPY ke upside potential limited hai Japanese authorities, khas tor par Bank of Japan (BOJ), ke potential intervention ke wajah se. Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations par concerns voice ki hain aur Yen ko support karne ke liye measures lene ka hint diya hai. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai US mein hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath, jo dollar ko upar push kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently 158.34 ke ek key resistance level ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke neeche hover kar raha hai. Jab ke pair ne recent dinon mein 159.80 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya hai, 159.00 ke crucial level ke neeche break potential downside correction ko signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold kar leta hai, toh abhi bhi further rise ka chance hai. Agar current peak 160.20 ke upar decisive break ho jata hai, toh yeh 162.75-163.10 ki taraf surge ko pave kar sakta hai. Us ke baad, ek psychological level jo 165.35 ke aas-paas hai ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level next ho

USD/JPY price movement ka dynamic behavior real-time mein dekh rahe hain. Aaj USD/JPY pair mein significant drop dekhi gayi, jo ke dollar ki value mein girawat ki wajah se hui, jab U.S. producer prices 2.1% tak gir gayi. Magar, agar hum pehle ke trading patterns ko dekhein, toh pair ne itni tezi se decline nahi kiya, sirf 134 points lose kiye. Ye kal ke performance se contrast karta hai, jisme daily range 159 points cover ki thi, halaanke economic calendar khaali tha. Japanese session ke dauran, pair 147.49 level tak retrace kar sakti hai taake recently broken uptrend ko retest kar sake. Market abhi bhi carry trades mein engage hai, kyunki pair ke bearish direction mein dheere dheere girne ka silsila jari hai. Kal jab U.S. inflation data release hoga, toh hum aur downward movement dekh sakte hain, lekin yeh speculation hai aaj ke producer price data ko dekh kar.

Middle East conflict ke hawale se, news outlets abhi tak khaamosh hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke U.S. ne Iran ko aisa offer diya hai jo inkaar karna mushkil hai. Jab ke price movement ke direction ko estimate karna mumkin hai, lekin abhi ka modest decline broader correction ki taraf ishara karta hai jo pehle ke uptrend se related hai. Aaj ke U.S. news ne price mein sharp downturn cause ki, magar yeh bullish sentiment ko pura khatam nahi kar sakti jo week ke opening level ke around tha. Oscillator indicators mixed signals show kar rahe hain; kuch channel oscillators ne sustained decline suggest kiya hai, jab ke dynamic RSI upward trend kar raha hai, jo ke potential increase ki taraf ishara karta hai apne channel mein. Overall, correction towards increase abhi mukammal nahi lagti. Interesting baat yeh hai ke calculated reversal level price movement ke upper limit ke saath align hota hai jo ke takreeban 148.238 hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke correction aur extend ho sakti hai jab ke dip around midpoint of weekly average price movement tak, jo ke 144.746 hai.

**USD/JPY Analysis: Ahem Levels ko Samajhna Aur Strategic Trading**
USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein ek downward trend dikhaya hai, aur Tuesday ke session ke baad yeh decrease ke saath close hua. Price ne 147.431 pe resistance test kiya, aur close hote waqt 146.481 ke support level ke qareeb thi. Yeh movement Tuesday ke forecast se mutabiq thi, jisme resistance test hone ke baad girawat ka zikar tha. Pair ki price action ab bhi ehtiyaat ke saath agle direction ka taayun karne ke liye ahem levels ko dekh rahi hai.

### Tuesday ka Market Recap: Ek Wazeh Girawat

Tuesday ka trading session USD/JPY pair ke anticipated downward trajectory ko follow karte hue dekha gaya, jisme girawat ki forecast ko validate kiya gaya. 147.431 pe resistance jo Monday ko test hui thi, mazboot rahi, jiske baad price 146.481 ke support level ki taraf pullback kiya. Magar, price ne is support se neeche girawat nahi dikhayi, balki isne tested resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan range mein trading ki.

### Wednesday ka Outlook: Ahem Support Aur Resistance Levels pe Focus

Wednesday ke liye priority ab bhi girawat pe hai, khaaskar agar price 146.481 ke support level ke neeche close hoti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh agla logical target 145.265 ka support hoga. Yeh scenario tabhi mumkin hai jab bears apna control barqarar rakhein aur price ko neeche ki taraf drive karein, jo ke ongoing downward pressure se mutabiq hoga.

Iske bar'aks, agar USD/JPY pair 147.431 ke resistance ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh momentum mein shift ka ishara hoga. Aise mein focus ek increase pe shift ho jayega, jo ke agle resistance level 148.381 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh outcome yeh suggest karega ke recent pullback sirf temporary retracement tha, aur bulls dobara apni strength hasil kar rahe hain taake price ko upar push kar sakein.

### Dekhnay Layak Ahem Levels

- **Support at 146.481**: Yeh level recent trading sessions mein pivotal raha hai. Agar yeh support level ke neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh bearish outlook ko mazid mazboot karega, jisme agla logical step 145.265 ki taraf move hoga.

- **Resistance at 147.431**: Agar yeh resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh current downtrend ke reversal ka ishara hoga, jisme agla target 148.381 ke resistance pe hoga. Yeh renewed bullish momentum ka ishara hoga, jo market sentiment ya kisi external factors jaise economic data ya central bank actions se fueled ho sakti hai.

- **Further Support at 145.265**: Agar price 146.481 ke support ko breach karti hai, toh agla ahem support level 145.265 hoga. Yeh level bearish traders ke liye ek potential target ho sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem marhala hoga jahan market decide karega ke apne downward trajectory ko jari rakhe ya reversal ke liye base talash kare.

- **Higher Resistance at 148.381**: Upper side pe, agar price 147.431 ke upar move karti hai, toh yeh 148.381 ke resistance level ko test karne ka raasta khol sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye crucial hoga jo ke potential bullish breakout ka faida uthana chahte hain.

### Strategic Considerations

Haal hi ke market conditions ke madde nazar, traders ko USD/JPY pair ko ek wazeh strategy ke sath approach karna chahiye, jo key support aur resistance levels pe mabni ho. Un traders ke liye jo bearish outlook favor karte hain, 146.481 ke support level ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar yeh level ke neeche decisively close hoti hai, toh mazid downside potential ko validate karegi. Doosri taraf, jo traders bullish perspective rakhte hain, unko 147.431 ke upar close hone ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke momentum shift ka ishara hoga towards higher resistance levels.

### Conclusion: Market Signals ko Apnana


Aak
hir mein, USD/JPY pair ek critical juncture par hai, jisme key levels agle directional move ka taayun karenge. Tuesday ki girawat anticipate ki gayi thi aur resistance ke qareeb price action se justify hui, jabke Wednesday ki trading baqi haftay ke tone ko set karne mein crucial hogi. Key levels pe focus karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, market signals ko apna sakte hain aur potential opportunities ke liye apne aap ko position kar sakte hain, chahe kisi bhi direction mein ho.

**TRADING JOURNAL AUGUST 15** **USDJPY**

Daily chart ke perspective se USDJPY currency pair ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke current seller pressure ek ahem demand area pe 141.798 ke level par atak gaya hai. Yeh area price movements ke liye ek potential turning point lag raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ke paas ab ziada girawat ke liye strength kam ho rahi hai, kam az kam interim period mein. Yeh speculation uthti hai ke ek upward correction ho sakti hai, kyun ke prices is area se bounce karti hui nazar aa rahi hain aur aakhri kuch sessions mein kaafi significant upward movements dikhayi de rahi hain.

Technically, demand area se 141.798 par bounce ke sath, ek higher correction ka potential mazid strong ho raha hai. Yeh correction mumkin hai ke ek higher area tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 152.819 level tak ho sakta hai, jise ek potential supply area samjha ja sakta hai. Yeh area wo point ho sakta hai jahan sellers dobara market mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain taake prices ko phir se neeche push kar sakein. Magar, is area tak pohanchne se pehle, short-term trend mumkin hai ke upward hi rahe, given ke corrective impulse jo ke is waqt ho raha hai.


Is mauqe ka faida uthate hue, traders daily timeframe pe buy momentum dhoondh sakte hain, jo ke ongoing correction ka faida uthate hue kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh bullish momentum ek long position mein entry ka mauqa ban sakta hai, jo ke demand area se price bounce ke retracement ka faida uthate hue kiya ja sakta hai. Agar buying pressure barh jata hai, toh price apne raaste mein kuch minor resistance levels ko tod sakti hai supply area 152.819 tak pohanchne ke liye. Magar, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke halan ke yeh upside potential mazboot lag raha hai, supply area ek mazboot resistance area ban sakta hai, aur price wahan se dobara neeche reverse kar sakti hai.recent trading sessions mein pivotal raha hai. Agar yeh support level ke neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh bearish outlook ko mazid mazboot karega, jisme agla logical step 145.265 ki taraf move hoga.
Resistance at 147.431: Agar yeh resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh current downtrend ke reversal ka ishara hoga, jisme agla target 148.381 ke resistance pe hoga. Yeh renewed bullish momentum ka ishara hoga, jo market sentiment ya

**USD/JPY Price Activity: Economic Uncertainty Mein Bullish Momentum Ko Samajhna**
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing price movements ka jaiza le rahe hain, jo ke upward trend mein hai, lekin daily Pivot level ke aas-paas consolidation dikhai de rahi hai. Market ke in mauqon se fayda uthane ke liye ek achi tarah se tayar ki gayi trading plan zaroori hai, lekin yeh tabhi mumkin hai jab market ka gehra analysis aur sahi forecasting ki jaye. Is liye, forex market mein aage rehne ke liye musalsal seekhna aur apne skills ko behtar banana zaroori hai.

### Key Resistance Levels aur Bullish Potential

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek key resistance level ko test kiya jo ke 147.74 ke qareeb tha. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh agle potential targets 148.52 aur 151.19 ho sakte hain. Is setup ke madde nazar, current strategy mein buying opportunities par focus karne ka emphasis hai, aur risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss 145.35 ke niche rakhne ki salahiyat di jati hai. Yeh approach uss waqt ke liye khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai jab pair 146.98 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke support zone ke clear path ki taraf ishara karta hai jo ke 145.40 aur 145.79 ke beech mein hai.

### Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation aur Potential Downside

Overall upward trend ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair mein consolidation dikhai de rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke short term mein selling pressure barqarar reh sakta hai. Yeh khaaskar tab sahi ho sakta hai jab U.S. inflation data growth ya decline na dikhaye, jo ke U.S. Dollar par intense selling pressure daal sakta hai. Yeh scenario USD/JPY pair mein amplify ho sakta hai, khaaskar jab Bank of Japan apni inflation ke radd-e-amal mein interest rates barhane ka soch raha hai. Yeh Eurozone ke mukable mein hai jahan rate adjustments dheere hain, aur U.S. Federal Reserve mein jahan future rate cuts anticipate kiye ja rahe hain.

### Technical Indicators: Bullish Continuation ke Liye Nazren Jamayein

Hourly chart par kuch key indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bullish correction abhi ke liye continue kar sakti hai. Price is waqt 75% support level 145.68 ke bilkul upar hai aur 1/12 angle ke qareeb hai, jo ek crucial area hai jahan bearish forces ubhar sakti hain. Lekin agar bulls control wapas le lein, toh agla immediate step 1/7 angle ho sakta hai. Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, toh pair 50% resistance level 151.11 tak push kar sakta hai, jo ke previous bearish trend se ek significant correction hogi.

### Economic Factors: U.S. Inflation aur Market Sentiment

Aane wala U.S. inflation data USD/JPY pair ke agle move ka critical factor hoga. Agar data expected se kam inflation show kare, toh U.S. Dollar ko significant selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai, jo pair ko niche le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar inflation stable rehta hai ya barhta hai, toh pair apni upward trajectory continue kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ki potential interest rate hikes bhi pair par asar daal sakti hain, kyun ke traders Japan aur U.S. ki contrasting monetary policies ko weigh karte hain.

### Conclusion: USD/JPY Market ke Liye Strategy Banana



Akhir mein, USD/JPY pair ek pivotal point par hai, jahan bullish aur bearish factors dono kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, key resistance aur support levels par focus karte hue aur aane wale economic data, khaaskar U.S. inflation figures, par nazar rakhni chahiye. Current strategy buying opportunities par focus karne ki salahiyat deti hai, lekin market developments ke radd-e-amal mein positions ko adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Informed aur adaptable rehkar, traders USD/JPY market ke complexities ko behtar samajh sakte hain aur agle significant move se potentially fayda utha sakte hain.

Maujuda Market Analysis of USD/JPY Currency Pair

USD/JPY currency pair 146.03 par trading kar raha hai aur bearish trend ka shikar hai. Ye downward movement gradually ho raha hai, market sentiment ko Japanese yen ke against U.S. dollar ko favor kar raha hai. Haalaanki pair ne recent sessions mein limited volatility dikhai hai, notable potential substantial movement ke liye near future mein exists, current market conditions ko dekhte hue.

Macroeconomic Environment

Kuch factors USD/JPY pair mein significant movement ko lead kar sakte hain. Pehle, broader macroeconomic environment U.S. dollar ki strength ko Japanese yen ke against determine karne mein crucial role play karta hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke decisions, particularly interest rates ke liye, USD strength ke key drivers hain. Agar Fed ki stance mein shift ke signals hain, jaise ki rate hikes mein pause ya dovish approach, ye further weakness USD mein lead kar sakta hai, current bearish trend ko accelerate kar sakta hai.

Bank of Japan ki Stance

Secondly, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne extended period se ultra-loose monetary policy maintain ki hai, resulting yen traditionally weaker against other major currencies. Lekin, agar BoJ ki policy shift ke indications hain, jaise ki tightening ya unexpected interest rate adjustments, ye yen ko further strengthen kar sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko downward push kar sakta hai.

Global Risk Sentiment

Ek aur important factor global risk sentiment hai. Japanese yen ko safe-haven currency ke roop mein dekha jata hai, market uncertainty ke periods mein investors ko attract karta hai. Agar global economic conditions deteriorate ya geopolitical tensions arise, yen ko additional strength mil sakti hai, potentially leading to sharp decline in USD/JPY pair.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis bhi suggest karta hai ki USD/JPY pair significant move ke liye poised hai. Current bearish trend indicate karta hai ki sellers control mein hain; lekin lack of volatility suggest karta hai ki market major movement se pehle consolidate ho raha hai. Key support levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai; agar ye levels breach hote hain, ye substantial sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, resulting rapid decline pair mein. Conversely, agar pair strong support ko encounter karta hai, ye bounce back kar sakta hai, lekin ye current market sentiment mein shift ko require karta hai.

Upcoming U.S. Economic Data

Coming days mein U.S. economic reports aur data releases crucial watch karne ke liye hain, ye USD/JPY currency pair ki movement aur overall dynamics foreign exchange market mein influence kar sakte hain

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka tajzia karain gay. Japanese yen mazid mazboot hua hai, jab ke US dollar kamzor hua hai. H4 chart per ek double-decreasing zigzag pattern dekhne ko milta hai, jo daily time frame mein oversold condition (RSI = 14) ko zahir karta hai. Ye ek potential bullish correction ki nishani hai. Magar, USD/JPY pair ke mazboot downward trend ko dekhte hue, koi bhi correction descending channel mein hi rahega. Daily time frame per ye zigzag pattern reversal structure mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, jo ke ek initial diagonal bana sakta hai. Asal mein, yen ke liye surat-e-haal wahi hai, jahan ek baree girawat ho rahi hai aur mazeed downside potential hai, kyun ke market ka floor abhi bhi neeche hai.
Magar, ek pullback intehai zaroori lag raha hai. Ye surat-e-haal do badi wajoohat se paida hui hai: yen ki taqreeban recent rate hike ke baad mazid mazbooti aur US labor market data ke disappointing honay ke baad dollar ki girawat, jahan unemployment phir se barh gaya hai. Maujooda prices ko dekhte hue, mein kisi bhi direction mein transactions karne ka soch nahi raha. Magar, agar pullback 151.81 ke aas-paas hota hai, to mein selling consider kar sakta hoon. Ek correction 149.76 tak pehlay hi ho chuki hai, aur girawat jari rehne ki umeed hai. Is correction ke baad kuch mazeed growth ho sakti hai, magar downtrend ke wapas honay ki umeed hai. Ek continued decline ho sakta hai ek upward correction ke baad. Market ne chhotay traders ko buying positions mein attract kiya hai, jo ke aagay mazeed girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mein 147.36 ki testing ki umeed kar raha hoon, iske baad decline jari rehna chahiye. Agar 147.51 par ek false breakout hota hai, to hum price ko 147.01 ke range ke qareeb dekhsaktay hain jab decline phir se shuru ho.

USD/JPY currency pair ka price action ka tajziya aaj ke guftagu ka markazi maqam hai. USD/JPY pair trading week ka khatma 146.69 ke aas-paas correction ke saath kar raha hai, apne upward trend ko continue karte hue. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark ke upar hold ho rahi hain, jo US dollar par intense buyer pressure aur current levels se continued growth ke potential ko signal karta hai. Is waqt, humein ek potential price correction ki ummeed rakhni chahiye, jo 145.01 ke aas-paas support level ko test karegi. Uske baad ka rebound pair ki growth ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar pair girti hai aur 145.01 ke level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh decline continue hone ka indication hoga, jiska target 142.01 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bulls ne trend line break hone ke baad control regain karne ki koshish ki, lekin unki koshish trend line ko neeche se test karne tak hi mehdood thi, bina kisi significant breakthrough ke.

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Dusri taraf, agar bulls trend line ko phir se break karne aur uspe secure position lene mein kamiyab ho jaati hain, to yeh global trend ke restore hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Average prices ki general movement downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downtrend mein hai. Pehle, dynamic filter ka control line correction ko support karta tha, lekin ab daily candle patterns suggest karte hain ke sellers dheere dheere momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, including dynamic RSI, downward turn karna shuru ho gaye hain, lekin dynamic RSI abhi bhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui hai. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere downward shift kar rahi hai, jabke day aur week RSI neeche hain, jo downward trend ke saath aligned hain. Agle downward move mein price kitni neeche gir sakti hai yeh predict karna mushkil hai, lekin nearest target 145.51 hai. Iske baad direction uncertain hai.

USD/JPY ke trades aur tips ka tajzia
147.13 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kafi neeche move kiya tha, jis wajah se pair ka downward potential limited tha. Isi liye, maine dollar nahi becha. Thodi dair baad, 147.13 ka doosra test hua jab MACD oversold area mein tha, jo scenario No. 2 ke liye dollar khareedne ka mauqa de raha tha. Lekin, U.S. producer price index mein kami ki khabar ne U.S. dollar ko support nahi diya, isliye ye signal poori tarah se realize nahi ho saka. Aaj, din ke pehle hisse mein pair ke thora recover karne ki umeed hai, lekin ab bhi dollar ke girne ka risk zyada hai aur yen ke mazid strong hone ka chance hai, kyun ke hum U.S. Consumer Price Index ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Hum is par tafseel se baad mein forecast mein baat karenge, lekin filhal, behtar hoga ke intezar kiya jaye aur dollar bechne ke liye zyada behtareen prices ka intezar kiya jaye. Din bhar ki strategy ke liye, main zyada ter scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par amal karne ka soch raha hoon
Buy signals
Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan banata hoon jab price 147.45 ke aas paas pohonche, jo ke chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur target 148.13 ka hoga jo ke chart par mooti green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 148.13 ke aas paas, main long positions ko exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, aur wahan se 30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein expect karunga. Aaj ke din pair ke upar jaane ka chance hai jo ek upward correction ka hissa hoga. Lekin jitna zyada pair upar jaye, utna hi dollar bechne ka mauqa behtar hoga. Ahm baat: Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho
Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan banata hoon agar do musalsal tests 146.76 par ho jayein jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ka downward potential limit karega aur market ko ulatne mein madad milegi. Hum 147.45 aur 148.13 ke opposite levels tak growth expect kar sakte hain
Sell signals
Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan banata hoon sirf us waqt jab 146.76 ka test ho jaye, jo ke chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jo pair mein rapid decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, aur wahan se 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein expect karunga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar pehle hisse mein correction unsuccessful ho aur daily high ka test na ho sake. Ahm baat: Bechne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline kar raha ho
Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan banata hoon agar do musalsal price tests 147.45 par ho jayein jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko ulatne mein madad milegi. Hum 146.76 aur 145.81 ke

Aj candle bechne walon ka faida de rahi hai, jo agle trading session mein ek naye kam ko mukhtalif banane ki sambhavna hai. Char ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, jodi ne ek downtrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darust karata hai. Isliye, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. wazeh hai. Ahem support level 156.80 par hai, jo ke short-term buying ka moqaa faraham karta hai agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pehla target 156.46 high par hai. Agar ye range break hoti hai, to raasta significant level 156.04 tak khulta hai, jo pehle notable bearish movement dekh chuka hai. Agar price critical range 155.92 ko breach karti hai, to ek potential reversal short position ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke buyers’ zone 154.45 tak impulse le ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne ek substantial correction undergo ki hai extended ascent ke baad. Jaisay ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, ye correction 300-800 points par mushtamil thi. Pair ne 300 points retrace kiye, jo ke 154.32–154.65 imbalance zone tak pahuche aur phir rebound hua Aaj ke session mein, jodi ne apni giravat jaari rakhi, teesra support level par 154.95 ke neeche stabilise ho gayi. Ek intraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat abhi ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak jaari rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek naye giravat ka jhatka de sakti hai, jo jodi ko aur bearish karega 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area tak. Ulta agar bulls wapas aaye, to resistance level 157.84 mojooda chart ke iss hisse ko nirdeshit karega. Jab main wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, to mojooda nichle impulse se 157.78 buland se, D1 chart par bearon ka target doosre impulse zone par 154.28 ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke darmiyan ke fundamentals par nirbhar karega. Agar bearish trend ke baray mein bari time frames ke mutabiq agle pullback ke baad mukhtalif ho raha hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke neeche ke had tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY quotes pehle impulse zone par wapas aate hain 155.55 par, to bearish pullback mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Chhotay term mein, pehle zone ke neeche ki had 155.08 ke market ke reaction ko expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem samjha jayega.

USD/JPY currency pair filhal H1 timeframe par strong bullish signs dikha raha hai. Is bullish trend ka ek indication yeh hai ke price resistance level 159.901 par atka hua hai. Pehle, price ne correct hoke support level 159.296 ko touch kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko dikhata hai jo price ko support area tak le gaya. Jab price ne support level 159.296 ko touch kiya, uske baad price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur lagataar barhata raha. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke support level 159.296 ne price decline ko successfully rok diya, aur buyers ko market mein wapas aane ka turning point ban gaya. Is support ko touch karne ke baad price ki increase yeh suggest karti hai ke market sentiment ab bhi buying power se dominated hai.

USD/JPY ka drop surprising hai, yeh kyu itna bara deal hai? Mujhe lagta hai ke Bank of Japan aage rate hikes ka hint de raha hai, is liye yen kharidna ek wajah ho sakta hai. Dusri wajah Iran aur Israel ho sakti hai, agar koi major war break out hota hai, to bohot saare yen as a defensive currency kharidenge. Shayad abhi yen kharida gaya aur yuan ne 141 se bohot lambi rise ki, phir ek mahine ke gains ko wipe out kar diya, over 2,000 points gir gaya. Main imagine kar sakta hoon ke jin logon ne 150 pe buy kiya hoga, unhone pullback expect kiya hoga. Maine apne post mein likha tha ke buy nahi karna chahiye kyun ke ascending channel break ho gaya hai. Yeh trend mein change hai aur ek aur confirmation ke against the trend trade nahi karni chahiye. Technically speaking, descending channel break downward hua, jo phir se confirm karta hai ke descending channel buy nahi kiya ja sakta aur ascending channel sell nahi kiya ja sakta. Lekin agar hum ek aisa black channel establish karte hain, to 145 se 146 se try kar sakte hain sell karne, chahe jo bhi ho, level 149 key hai. Is ne bhi 800 points gir gaya. Agar exchange rate 149 pe wapas aa jata hai, to decline significant nahi hoga, lekin mujhe nahi pata ke south ne is ko solve kiya ya nahi.
USD/JPY currency pair, jo filhal 147.04 par hai, traders aur investors ke liye ek interesting situation pesh kar raha hai. Yeh pair bearish trend mein hai, aur jabke market dheere dheere move kar raha hai, agle kuch dino mein significant movement ka potential barh raha hai. Is market ko samajhna zaroori hai agar aap is market ko effectively navigate karna chahte hain.



USD/JPY currency pair chart par trading 141.910 par ho rahi hai, sirf ek reference point reh gaya hai dekhne ke liye aaj, jo 141.910–140.289 range hai. Is liye, meri strategy hai ke pair ko sell karun jab tak price support ke 140.289 ke kareeb nahi aati. In the meantime, rebound se buy karne par resistance 148.072 ko target karna interesting hoga. Abhi, sirf tabhi position open karun jab price 148.072 ke kareeb wapas aati hai, ya phir buy karun jitna close 140.289 ke possible ho jab market is price ko reach kare. Yeh range abhi ke liye kaafi solid lagti hai aur given pair ka performance recent days mein, hum is range ke andar kuch movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh khas tor par true hai jo main 141.910 aur 140.289 key levels consider karta hoon.USDJPY currency pair ke liye, sab kuch US dollar ke liye bohot bura hai aur Japanese yen ke liye sab kuch acha hai. Instrument quotes aur bhi niche ja rahi hain. Decline ka scale already colossal hai, lagta hai "ab kitna aur niche ja sakta hai, rollback ka waqt aa gaya hai", lekin fundamental factors jo is decline ko provoke kar rahe hain, unka serious impact hai.
USD/JPY mazeed barhta rahega kyun ke h1 support 145.88 par abhi tak nahi toota. Isliye, main aap sab ko yeh recommend karta hoon ke is pair mein sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance par 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support par 145.45 par rakh

U.S. dollar ne Wednesday subah tezi se barh gaya, jo ke crucial 149 yen ke qareeb hai. Yeh currency ek pehle ke key trend se recover hui, jo ke upside par resistance bana raha tha. Yeh izafa U.S. mein zyada ummeed se achi retail sales ke sabab hua, jo ke chaar martaba zyada thi jo ke ummeed thi. Niche ummeed se kam berozgaari data ke ilawa, doosri economic indicators bhi upar surprising thi. Is se medium aur long-term market trends ke hawale se bulls aur bears ke darmiyan confusion ho sakti hai.

In developments ke natije mein, ab tawajjo Bank of Japan ke reaction par jaye gi yen ke girawat ke hawale se. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates ko cut bhi karta hai, toh interest rate gap U.S. Treasury aur Japan ke darmiyan 4.5% aur 4.75% ke darmiyan rahe ga. Ye bara farq dono funds ko rakhnay ko attractive banata hai, jo ke investors ko hold karne par payment deta hai—aik aisa factor jo long term mein dono ko upar le ja sakta hai.

Agar dollar 150 yen ka level tod deta hai, toh yeh zyada buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ke ek global "carry trade" ko tez kar sakta hai. Jab markets har session ke end par profit-producing trajectories ki taraf wapas aane ke liye bekarar hoti hain, hum aise trades mein naye interest ke shuruati marahil dekh rahe hain.

Summary ke taur par, U.S. dollar ki yen ke muqablay mein izafa ho raha hai, U.S. ke strong economic conditions aur interest rate differentials ke continued shrinkage ke saath. Market agar 150 yen ke upar chala jata hai, toh yeh significant gains ko dekhne ko mil sakta hai aur global automotive market ko revive kar sakta hai, jab investors favorable conditions ko use karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.