𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY currency pair conflicting forces face kar raha hai. Ek taraf, weak Japanese yen, jo Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke pressure mein hai, ne USD/JPY pair ko strengthen kiya hai. Yeh weakness ne speculation ko fuel kiya hai ke Bank of Japan shayad expected se pehle interest rates raise kar sakta hai, jo further yen ko weaken kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar khud filhal flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation ke bare mein cautious hai aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ki possibility ko lekar bhi, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakti hai.

Technically, USD/JPY daily chart ek interesting formation dikhata hai - ascending triangle. Yeh, bullish RSI indicator ke saath mil kar, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair shayad upper trendline of the triangle ko retest karne ki koshish kare near the psychological barrier of 157.00. Agar yeh level ke upar decisively break hota hai, to pair 160.32 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya.

Support levels bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar price immediate support ke neeche girti hai at the lower end of the triangle, uske baad key 155.50 level, to yeh aur neeche slide kar sakti hai test karne ke liye 21-day EMA at 155.25. Iss level ke neeche break ek potential reversal indicate karega aur USD/JPY par downward pressure daalega.

Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level par hinge karta hai. Agar 157.00 ke upar decisively close hota hai, to focus shift ho jayega resistance zone between 157.83 aur 158.70 par. Iss area ko conquer karna door khol sakta hai for a surge above 159.10 aur potentially even ek retest of the 34-year high at 160.20. Agar yeh level bahut strong sabit hota hai, to next potential upside targets ho sakte hain in the 161.53 to 162.50 range, jo potentially June 2023 resistance line ka break lead kar sakte hain.

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Subah bakhair, traders!

Aaj hum USD/JPY pair par focus kar rahe hain, aur daily pivot point analysis use karte hue price movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. Is waqt price ek strengthening area mein hai, aur yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pichle din ke high se upar break kar raha hai. Yeh breakout potential bullish momentum ka signal hai, magar kisi buy position mein enter karne se pehle, zaroori hai ke ek downward correction ka intezar kiya jaye. Ideal tor par, aap buy entry tab dekhain jab price kamzor hota hai aur pichle din ke candle area se 38% ke aas paas hota hai. Iss waqt buy trade mein enter karna behtar nahi hoga, kyunki price abhi bhi kal ke closing candle ke qareeb hai.

Aik zyada strategic entry ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke European ya US session tak intezar kiya jaye jab price thodi si kamzor ho sakti hai, jo ke aik behtar buying opportunity present kar sakta hai. Aksar, technical analysis puranay price levels ko dekh kar future movements ka andaza lagata hai, is liye pichle high aur low points bohot ahem references hote hain.
Ahem Resistance Levels aur Scenarios


Aaj mein 161.951 ke resistance level par qareebi tawajju de raha hoon. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, do possible scenarios ho sakte hain:

1. Bullish Continuation: Agar price 161.951 ke resistance level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, to hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain. Iss scenario mein, agla target 164.500 ka resistance level hoga. Agar price is level ke qareeb aata hai, to mein ek trading pattern dekhne ki koshish karoon ga jo ke agle move ka andaza lagane mein madad karega. Agar bullish momentum mazid taqatwar rehta hai, to hum price ko long-term target 168.000 tak pohanchte hue dekh sakte hain. Magar, iss journey ke dauran kuch pullbacks ka intezar rehna chahiye jo ke support levels par price dip hone par naye buying opportunities de sakte hain.
2. Bearish Reversal: Dosri surat mein, agar price 161.951 ke resistance level ke upar rehne mein nakam rehti hai aur ek reversal candle form hoti hai, to hum ek downturn dekh sakte hain. Is case mein, mein intezar karoonga ke price support levels 160.209 ya 157.671 tak wapas aaye. In levels par, mein bullish signals dekhunga taake ek bounce back anticipate karoon jo ke overall bullish trend ke sath hoga.

Summary


Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY is waqt aik critical zone mein hai, aur 161.951 ke resistance level par reaction bohot aham hoga. Agar buyers control mein rehte hain, to yeh pair mazeed higher targets jese ke 164.500 ya hatta ke 168.000 tak aim kar sakta hai. Magar, agar ek reversal hoti hai to price wapas key support levels tak gir sakta hai, jo ke naye buying opportunities de sakte hain. Aaj patience zaroori hogi—sahi entry point ka intezar karna aapke profit ko maximize aur risk ko minimize karne ke liye crucial hai. European aur US sessions ke dauran price movements par nazar rakhein taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Is waqt, aapko apni trading strategy ko adjust karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, depending on market reaction at key levels. Price action aur market sentiment ke mutabiq apne trades ko manage karein taake aap apni trading performance ko enhance kar sakein.

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Good Morning, Traders!

Aaj ka focus USD/JPY currency pair par hai, jahan hum price movements ka jaiza daily pivot point analysis ke zariye le rahe hain. Is waqt price ek strengthening position mein hai aur kal ke high se upar break kar chuki hai, jo ke potential bullish momentum ka signal deti hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke kisi downward correction ka intezar kiya jaye pehle ke buy position consider ki jaye. Ek suitable entry point tab hoga jab price weak hote hue pichle din ke candle ke 38% ke qareeb aaye. Is waqt buy trade mein enter karna munasib nahi hai, kyunki hum abhi tak kal ke closing levels ke qareeb hain.
Strategic Entry Approach


Ek effective trading strategy ke liye, behtar hoga ke European ya US sessions ka intezar kiya jaye, jab price mein slight pullback ho sakta hai, jo ek behtar buying opportunity provide karega. Technical analysis mein guzishta price levels ko istimaal kar ke future movements forecast kiye jate hain, aur is liye previous highs aur lows aham reference points ban jate hain.
Key Resistance Levels Aur Scenarios


Main 161.951 ke resistance level ko closely monitor kar raha hoon. Apne analysis ke mutabiq, do possible scenarios unfold ho sakte hain:
Bullish Continuation


Agar price 161.951 ke resistance level se upar rehti hai, to humein further upward movements dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Is scenario mein, agla target 164.500 ka resistance level hoga. Agar price is level ke qareeb aati hai, to main ek trading pattern dekhunga jo agle move ko gauge karne mein madad karega. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to price long-term target 168.000 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai. Magar kuch pullbacks anticipate karein, jo support levels par naye buying opportunities create kar sakte hain.
Bearish Reversal


Dusri taraf, agar price 161.951 ke resistance level ke upar rehne mein mushkil mehsoos karti hai aur ek reversal candle form hoti hai, to ek downturn ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, main price ka support levels 160.209 ya 157.671 tak retreat karne ka intezar karunga. In levels par, main bullish signals ka intezar karunga jo ke overarching bullish trend ke saath align karte hue ek bounce anticipate karein.
Summary


Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY is waqt ek pivotal juncture par hai, aur 161.951 ke resistance level par reaction buhat significant hoga. Agar buyers control mein rehte hain, to yeh pair higher levels jese 164.500 ya 168.000 ko target kar sakti hai. Magar agar ek reversal hota hai, to price wapas key support levels par drop kar sakti hai, jo naye buying opportunities present kar sakte hain.

Aaj patience zaroori hai—optimal entry point ka intezar karna crucial hai taake profit maximize aur risk minimize ho sake.

Price movements ko European aur US sessions ke dauran closely dekhte rahein taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Shayad aapko apni trading strategy ko adjust karna pare market ke reaction par in key levels par. Apne trades ko price action aur market sentiment ke mutabiq manage karein taake trading performance improve ho.

Hi everyone, sab ko meri Live Trading Discussion mein khush aamdeed! Umeed hai aap sab theek hon. Aaj, main apne active trade, economic calendar, aur aane wale plan ko share karna chahta hoon. Umeed hai aapko mera post pasand aayega kyunki yeh rankings mein selection ke liye aa sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ab forex market mein khaas taur par nazar mein hai, khaaskar traders aur analysts ke darmiyan jo iske movements ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar hum current technical setup aur broader market context ko dekhen, to yeh consensus ban raha hai ke yeh pair aik bara upward move experience kar sakta hai, jo ke 152.20 ke significant level tak pohnch sakta hai. Filhal, USD/JPY pair is tarah se positioned hai ke yeh seedha upward move initiate kar sakta hai, bina kisi significant pullbacks ya corrections ke. Yeh potential move technical indicators aur macroeconomic factors ki ek confluence se driven hai jo yeh suggest karti hai ke strong bullish momentum build ho raha hai. 148.70 ka level ek key accumulation point ke taur par identify kiya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke upward movement ke liye ek magnet ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Technical aur Fundamental Considerations:

Technical nazariye se, 155.50 ka level ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh ek major resistance point hai, jo ke past mein test ho chuka hai. Market ka reaction is level par agle phase ke USD/JPY pair ke movement ko determine karne mein ahm hoga. Traders closely signs dekh rahe honge jaise ke uptrend par exhaustion ke asaar, momentum indicators par bearish divergence, ya charts par reversal patterns ka ubharna. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair 156.00 tak pohnch jaye bina kisi notable retirements ke, jo ke ek strong bullish trend ko signify karega. Yeh movement strong buying interest aur U.S. dollar ke liye positive sentiment ke saath ho sakti hai, Japanese yen ke muqablay mein. Yeh kai factors se fuel ho sakti hai, jaise ke U.S. aur Japan ke beech interest rate differentials, economic growth rates mein farq, ya global risk sentiment mein aise shifts jo dollar ko favor karte hain.

Agar USD/JPY pair is level tak pohnchta hai, to yeh trend mein ek turning point mark kar sakta hai. 152.75 ka level na sirf accumulation ke liye target hai, balke yeh current bullish wave ke liye potential ceiling bhi ho sakta hai. Agar pair is level tak pohnchta hai, to yeh strong resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, jo ke sharp reversal ki taraf lead kar sakta hai.

Aakhri mein, USD/JPY pair agle sessions mein significant volatility ke liye tayar hai. Chahe yeh seedha 150.50 tak pohnche ya raaste mein rukawatein ka samna kare, yeh level bulls aur bears ke liye ek crucial battleground hoga. Jaise ke hamesha, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, technical signals aur fundamental developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake is dynamic currency pair ke potential ups and downs ko navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis
Pichle do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair mein kafi fluctuations dekhe gaye jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se hain. 5 August ko, yen ne saat maheeno ke high tak mazbooti dikhayi jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya aur lagbhag 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye currency ko support dene ke liye. Yeh intervention partly 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield ke girne ki wajah se thi, jo 0.8% se neeche chali gayi thi kyunki umeed thi ke Federal Reserve weak US jobs data ke baad interest rates ko zyada aggressively kam karega.

Usi din, Bank of Japan ne achanak rate hike ka elan kiya, apni benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur agar economic conditions supportive rahi to aur bhi rate hikes dene ka signal diya. Yeh move Japan ke economic challenges ke bawajood aaya, jaise ke declining private consumption aur contracting economy.

Iske muqable mein, US ko disappointing economic data ka samna karna pada, jisme weak manufacturing PMI aur potential economic slowdown ke concerns shamil hain. In factors aur lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, US stock futures ne girawat dekhi aur USD/JPY pair par pressure barh gaya. Federal Reserve ke comments ne bhi US labor market ko protect karne ki baat ki, jo kisi bhi aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakta hai.



Forecast & Trading Strategy:

Aaj, US dollar index ek acchi value par nazar aa raha hai. Is wajah se USD/JPY ne apne 146.00 ke high ko break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne dekha ke quote neeche aaya aur broken resistance ko respect karte hue wapas rebound hua. Iska matlab hai ke US dollar Japanese yen ke muqablay mein mazboot ho raha hai. Daily chart mein do bottoms nazar aa rahe hain jo current price level ke qareeb hain aur currency price ke resistance ke tor par kaam karte hain. Isliye, agar 146.80 ke upar break hota hai to humein buying opportunity mil sakti hai.

USD/JPY: Recent Developments
Filhal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko analyze kar rahe hain. Aaj, Japanese yen ke buyers 141.68 ke low se upward momentum barqarar rakhe hue hain. Lekin, agar bears USD/JPY price ko 144.09 ke support level ke neeche le jaate hain, to yeh trend reverse ho sakta hai. USD/JPY ke liye qareeb ka significant resistance 145.17 hai. Bulls ko is resistance ko decisively break karna padega, khaaskar 146.36 ke bullish start line ko, taake upward trend ko poori tarah se realize kiya ja sake. Agar yeh break hota hai aur price is level ke upar rahti hai, to primary upward momentum barh jayega. USD/JPY pair phir initial target zones 149.25 aur 151.03 tak upar ja sakta hai, additional growth targets 149.69 aur 150.41 hain, lekin in levels se kuch retracement ho sakta hai.

Weekly Chart Analysis:

Jabke bullish pullbacks ki ummeed kam hai, weekly chart review se yeh pata chalta hai ke humne 148.59-49 ke aas-paas ek strong uptrend line ko breach kiya hai, jo darshata hai ke bears shayad momentarily control mein aa gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke interest rate decisions, including further increases, ke aas-paas uncertainty bhi USD/JPY ke girne ka sabab ban sakti hai. Iske ilawa, speculation hai ke Fed September se pehle apni rate ko lower kar sakta hai, jo currency pair par additional pressure daal sakta hai.




Price channel indicator ke analysis se, jo moving averages ko dekhata hai, mujhe bullish channel direction nazar aa rahi hai, jo buyers ke sellers par zyada power ko darshata hai. Halankeh minor pullbacks hain, bulls ab bhi strong hain aur apni dominance asaani se chhodne ke liye nahi lag rahe. Zigzag line ke mutabiq, long positions filhal preferable hain. MACD aur RSI indicators, jo trade signals ko refine karne mein madadgar hain, buy signal ke saath align karte hain. Main apni position ko 50% Fibonacci level par close karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo 151.82 par projected hai.

USD/JPY Price Action
Hamari guftagu ka mawzu USD/JPY currency pair ka tafseeli price action hai. Aaj subah se price tezi se barh rahi hai. Yeh pehle se 300 se zyada points upar chuki hai daily low se. Yeh growth buyers ke efforts ki wajah se hai jo actively apni market orders ko pending sell orders ke sath reduce kar rahe the. Yeh achi growth shayad khatam ho chuki hai, aur iske natije mein iski upar chadhai ka aghaz ho sakta hai. World markets panic se recover kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan dobara apni national currency rate ke sath khel raha hai. Agar USD/JPY ke value ka yeh growth north correction hai, to mera final point 148.80 hai.




Wahan se, mujhe lagta hai ke downward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. Technically, jaise ke maine kal kaha, do main triangles bane hain. Pehla triangle buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur doosra, chhota triangle sellers ki strength ko. Aur jaise ke trading results show karte hain, pehla triangle effective ho gaya hai. 146.63 ka level paar karne se agla target 148.80 ka raasta khul gaya hai. Agli actions demand par depend karti hain. Maine pehle likha tha ke mujhe yeh pair 148.50 ke aas-paas broken slope ko test karte hue dikhai deta hai. Shayad price wahan jaldi pohnch jaye, aur wahan hum selling ka option dekh sakte hain, downward trend ke phir se shuru hone ki umeed mein. Agar wahan se accha rebound mila, to mai 145.00 tak ke decline ko maanunga, aur agar usse bhi neeche gaya to minimum 141.64 tak. Baad mein, mai dekhna chahta hoon ke price 140.00 ke round level tak girti hai aur wahan pair ko kharidne ka mauka milta hai. Main filhal current level se buying nahi dekh raha, sirf selling ka soch raha hoon, yeh soch ke ke downward trend finally reverse ho gaya hai. Kam se kam iske liye fundamental changes recent mein aaye hain.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Japanese yen pichle trading week ke doran tezi se majboot hoti rahi. Price ne 154.75 ke level par partial rollback kiya, jahan resistance mila, aur phir se gir kar 141.88 ke level tak pahunch gayi, jahan yeh ruk gayi. Is tarah, expected decline scenario puri tarah realize ho gaya aur target area capture ho gaya. Filhal, price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ke control mein hone ka indication hai.

USD/JPY last weekend ke daily close 148.26 se gir kar 147.91 tak aa gaya. Monday ko, pair ne 147.67 ke low se 148.35 ke high tak rise kiya. Yen zone ka unemployment rate expected se zyada barh gaya, jo region mein labor market conditions ke kharab hone ko dikhata hai. Yeh Japanese Central Bank ko interest rates further cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai aur yen ko weigh kar sakta hai, jo May mein lagbhag 0.4 percent gir gaya. Neeche chart dekhn




Prices filhal weekly lows ke paas sharp decline mein trading kar rahi hain. Important support areas abhi tak test nahi hue hain, lekin phir bhi support kar rahe hain, jo downside ko significant banata hai. Is waqt ka corrective recovery phase apni potential ko 145.81 ke level par khatam kar chuka hai, jahan main resistance zone expected hai. Agar is level ka retest aur uske baad reversal hota hai, to nayi wave ke liye raasta khulega jo 137.72 aur 135.18 areas ko target karegi.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 149.19 ko paar karti hai, to current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis
Pichle do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne kai economic aur geopolitical factors ke asar se kafi fluctuations dekhe hain. 5 August ko, yen ne saat mahine ke high ko achieve kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervention kiya, lagbhag 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partly 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield ke 0.8% se neeche girne ke wajah se hua, jo US jobs data ke weak hone ke baad Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko aggressively cut karne ke expectations se tha.

Usi din, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ek unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur aage bhi rates ko barhane ki willingness dikhayi agar economic conditions supportive rahti hain. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges, jaise declining private consumption aur contracting economy ke bawajood hua.

Iske muqable mein, US ko disappointing economic data ka samna karna pada, including weak manufacturing PMI aur potential economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, aur lower-than-expected US earnings reports ne US stock futures ko girane aur USD/JPY pair par pressure daal diya. Federal Reserve ki commentary ne bhi US labor market ko protect karne ka hint diya, jo kisi bhi aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakta hai.

Overall, BoJ ke hawkish stance aur Fed ke cautious approach ke beech economic uncertainties ne USD/JPY pair ke liye ek volatile environment create kiya hai. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, with significant attention on US jobs report aur dono central banks se further monetary policy adjustments.

Technical Forecast & Trading Strategy

Aaj, mujhe US dollar index acchi value par nazar aa rahi hai. Is wajah se, USD/JPY ne apna 146.00 ka high break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne dekha ke quote broken resistance tak gir gaya aur level ko respect karte hue rebound hua. Iska matlab hai ke US dollar Japanese yen ke muqable mein majboot ho raha hai. Daily chart par current price level ke paas do bottoms dikhayi dete hain, jo currency price ke liye resistance ka kaam karte hain. Isliye, agar 146.80 ke upar break hota hai, to humein buying opportunity milegi.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis
USD/JPY currency pair ne do din se apni upward trajectory ko continue kiya hai, jo primarily Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke dovish stance ki wajah se hai. Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke bayan ne, jismein central bank ne market instability ke doran interest rates barhane se roknay ka kaha, yen ki kamzori ko aur barhawa diya. Halanki Federal Reserve se expected interest rate cuts ke wajah se USD/JPY ke further upside ka potential limited ho sakta hai, lekin pair ne increasing strength dikhayi hai. Technical indicators bearish se bullish momentum shift ka indication dete hain. Pair ka climb nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf aur RSI ka oversold level ke upar hona short-term rebound ke growing likelihood ko dikhata hai. Immediate support USD/JPY ke liye 140.25 level par hai, jabke resistance nine-day EMA ke aas-paas 149.22 ke level par expect kiya ja raha hai. Key resistance levels mein 154.50 level aur 50-day EMA bhi shamil hain.



Agar Monday ke low 146.58 ko decisive break kiya jata hai aur bullish doji candlestick pattern banta hai, to naye buying interest ko janm mil sakta hai aur pair ko 149.00 level ki taraf propel kiya ja sakta hai. Iske baad 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 151.50 ka breakthrough upward momentum ko 20-day SMA at 153.20 tak accelerate kar sakta hai. Lekin, pair ki recent rally ne abhi tak bearish sentiment ko puri tarah se khatam nahi kiya hai, jaise RSI aur Stochastic oscillators oversold territory mein hain. Isliye, short-term correction ya consolidation ka potential puri tarah se khatam nahi kiya ja sakta. Aakhirat, USD/JPY ki trajectory BoJ ke monetary policy, Federal Reserve ke actions, aur overall market sentiment ke interplay par depend karegi. Traders ko 200-day SMA ke trendline ko 155.00 ke upar break karte hue monitor karna chahiye, jiske baad bullish trend continue ho sakta hai aur pehle ke high 162.30 ke aas-paas ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY: Price Action Ka Nazariya
Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing live pricing evaluation ke sath align karti hai. Main USD/JPY mein girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo ke broad bearish trend ko reflect karti hai jo bade currencies mein hai. Current trend kaafi bearish hai, aur pair ka rise sirf corrective phase lag raha hai, jo robust bullish strength ka indication nahi hai. Recent price movements kaafi significant hain, aur pair ne apni sabse tez girawat experience ki hai. Rise moving average (MA) ko cross nahi kar paayi aur ab iske aas paas hi hover kar rahi hai bina kisi decisive breakthrough ke, jo sellers ko favor karta hai. USD/JPY clearly downtrend mein hai, aur 133-period moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo is bearish direction ko support karta hai. Halanke price short-term time frames par moving average ke upar close ho sakti hai, jo potential corrective moves ko indicate karta hai, lekin expectation yeh hai ke price 144.30 ke neeche consolidate karegi. Yeh consolidation selling opportunities provide karega.




Wahin, agar price 152.00 ke upar sustain hoti hai toh yeh buying opportunity suggest kar sakti hai, magar filhal selling primary strategy hai jo prevailing trend ke sath align karti hai. 142 level tak decline hona mumkin hai, aur iske baad 200 points ka further drop bhi ho sakta hai. Current trend ke madde nazar 153 level tak move hona unrealistic lagta hai, lekin recent lows around 142.00 tak correction hona zyada likely hai. Ek brief upward correction 146.50 range tak already ho chuki hai, magar downward trend continue ho sakta hai. Agar price briefly 146.40 ya 146.35 tak rise hoti hai, toh further declines ho sakti hain. Short-term corrective growth ke bawajood, overall trend downward hi rahega.

Foreign Exchange USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis
Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay mein 146 yen tak girawat dekhi, jo ke 141.68 ke seven-month high se niche aayi hai. Yeh girawat tab dekhi gayi jab popular trade deals ki liquidation slow ho gayi aur investors Japan aur United States ke divergent monetary policies ko assess kar rahe the. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq… Yen ne is hafte ke shuruat mein US dollar ke muqablay mein 141.69 yen tak ki uchaayi dekhi, kyunki expectations badh gayi thi ke Bank of Japan aane wale mahine mein interest rates ko aur barha sakta hai. Wahi, United States mein recession ka dar market ko Federal Reserve se rate cuts ki ummeed par le aaya.

Pichle hafte, Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% tak barha diya aur kaha ke agar economy strong rahi toh wo rates ko aur barha sakte hain. Financial markets ko is fiscal year ke dauran March 2025 tak do aur rate hikes ki umeed hai, jahan agla increase December mein hone ki ummeed hai. Central bank ne agle do saalon mein apni monthly bond purchases ko aadha karne ka plan bhi announce kiya.

Dusri taraf, data ne yeh dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne currency ko support karne ke liye July mein 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.

Global financial markets Monday ko gir gaye, Asian stocks se lekar US stocks tak. Sell-off ke kai reasons the, lekin ek main driver Japan tha. Pichle mahine, Bank of Japan ne interest rates barhaye aur agle mahine bhi hike ka signal diya. Central bank officials ne bond purchases ko scale back karne ke plans bhi signal kiye. Yeh Federal Reserve ke contrast mein hai, jo September mein US interest rates mein quarter-point cut ka signal de raha hai, jabke futures market 50 basis point cut ki umeed kar raha hai.




Is sab mein key factor carry trade hai. Yeh ek technical strategy hai jo institutional aur sophisticated retail traders use karte hain, jo low-yielding currency (Japanese yen) mein borrow karke aur proceeds ko high-yielding currency (US dollar) mein invest karte hain. Jab investors apne positions ko leverage karte hain, toh wo potential profitable positions ko unwind kar rahe hain taake dusre assets mein losses limit ho sakein.

USD/JPY Forecast Aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ka general trend bearish hai aur psychological support 140.00 agla target hoga agar Japanese Yen ki gains phir se badhti hain. Dusri taraf, aur isi time frame mein, resistance 150.60 ki taraf move karna bulls ke liye zaroori hoga taake wo is par phir se control start kar saken. Filhal, main USD/JPY ko har downward level se bina kisi risk ke buy karna pasand karta hoon.

Trading Chat on USDJPY

Aaj hum W1 chart ke senior period par USDJPY currency pair ko dekhte hain. Yahan dekha ja sakta hai ke is pair ki price mein lagatar girawat aa rahi hai. Mein soch sakta hoon ke un sellers ka kya haal hoga jo drawdown ke doran is pair par bethe nahi rah paye, kyunke intezaar ke baad aakhirkar girawat shuru ho gayi hai. Price ko kabhi bhi upar nahi chalna tha. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya, jahan ek bohot bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bade time interval par aik rare phenomenon hai, yeh saal mein ek baar ya usse bhi kam hota hai. Last maximum update par, CCI indicator par bhi bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab phir reversal figure, ek ascending wedge se nikalne se confirm hua. Uske baad, price gir gayi aur raaste mein sab rukawaton ko tod diya, chhoti si rukawat ke liye rukte hue. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, jo upar ki taraf rebound hua, lekin sellers ke pressure ke aage gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke ummeed thi, ascending support line tak pohnch gaya, lekin yeh zyada rebound nahi de paayi, aur neeche push ho gayi, zyada tar US mein Friday ko aaye bure news ki wajah se, jahan US dollar general market mein kamzor hua. Non-agricultural employment rate expectation se bohot kharab nikla. US mein unemployment rate bhi 0.2 points se barh gaya.

Naya hafta khulta hai aur price ne neeche ki taraf girawat jari rakhi, upar correction dene ke bina. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke paas pahunch gaye. Yeh level thoda kam raha, shayad is level ko test karne ka ek aur pass ho. Iske aas paas, mujhe lagta hai ke chhote periods par upar enter karne ki sochni chahiye taake upward correction ka hissa ban sakein. Aaj ke liye kuch important news hai: 16:45 Moscow time par: US Services Business Activity Index aur US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17:00 par: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), aur US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (ISM).

Monday Morning Update on USD/JPY
Somwar subah ko, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein apni girawat ko jari rakha aur ab 140-yen level ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Yeh zaroori sawal hai ke kya market oversold hai. Jabke aisa lagta hai, yeh girawat zyada tar yen-car trade ke suspension ki wajah se hai, jo ek bohot volatile process ho sakta hai. Yeh chart 2008 ke economic cycle ke dauran dekhe gaye trends ko darshata hai.

Yeh haalaat khaas taur par dilchasp hain kyunki Japan extreme high interest rates ko afford nahi kar sakta, aur yeh fiscal pressure iski economy ko zaroor affect karega. Nikkei 225 index pehle hi distress ke nishan dikhata hai, jo uncertain economic climate ko indicate karta hai. Yeh situation ek high-stakes game jese lagti hai, jahan duniya ke bohot se investment banks yen ko AI funds mein loan de rahe hain. AI trades ke release ne loans ka repayment kiya, jiske baad yen ki value barh gayi.

Aage dekhna yeh hai ke kya yen strong rahega. Halankeh yeh obvious lagta hai, mein bina kisi concrete evidence ke trade nahi karna chahta. Agle phase ko determine karne ke liye ek badi bounce aur trend line ka dobara jaiza lena zaroori hai. Agar dollar 140 yen ke niche girta hai, to yeh 136-yen area tak bhi gir sakta hai.

Chal rahe developments global economic systems aur currency valuations ke complex interconnections ko highlight karte hain, jo carry trading ko currency movement ka key driver banate hain, aur iski release ne notable market turmoil create kiya. Jab hedge funds apne positions adjust karte hain, yen par iska asar saaf hai, aur market ke agle moves zyada important hain.

Investors ko caution baratni chahiye aur decision lene se pehle key indicators ko dekhna chahiye. Do currencies ke value mein bade swings ki potential se strategic approach ki zaroorat hai. Market ka continue strengthen hona ya decline hona baqi hai, lekin current state of affairs suggest karta hai ke vigilance aur careful analysis zaroori hai. Economic factors aur market sentiment ka combination aage ke rukh ko determine karega, jahan 140-yen level ek key gauge ban gaya hai.

Monday Morning Update on USD/JPY
Somwar subah ko, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein apni girawat ko jari rakha aur ab 140-yen level ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Yeh zaroori sawal hai ke kya market oversold hai. Jabke aisa lagta hai, yeh girawat zyada tar yen-car trade ke suspension ki wajah se hai, jo ek bohot volatile process ho sakta hai. Yeh chart 2008 ke economic cycle ke dauran dekhe gaye trends ko darshata hai.

Yeh haalaat khaas taur par dilchasp hain kyunki Japan extreme high interest rates ko afford nahi kar sakta, aur yeh fiscal pressure iski economy ko zaroor affect karega. Nikkei 225 index pehle hi distress ke nishan dikhata hai, jo uncertain economic climate ko indicate karta hai. Yeh situation ek high-stakes game jese lagti hai, jahan duniya ke bohot se investment banks yen ko AI funds mein loan de rahe hain. AI trades ke release ne loans ka repayment kiya, jiske baad yen ki value barh gayi.

Aage dekhna yeh hai ke kya yen strong rahega. Halankeh yeh obvious lagta hai, mein bina kisi concrete evidence ke trade nahi karna chahta. Agle phase ko determine karne ke liye ek badi bounce aur trend line ka dobara jaiza lena zaroori hai. Agar dollar 140 yen ke niche girta hai, to yeh 136-yen area tak bhi gir sakta hai.

Chal rahe developments global economic systems aur currency valuations ke complex interconnections ko highlight karte hain, jo carry trading ko currency movement ka key driver banate hain, aur iski release ne notable market turmoil create kiya. Jab hedge funds apne positions adjust karte hain, yen par iska asar saaf hai, aur market ke agle moves zyada important hain.

Investors ko caution baratni chahiye aur decision lene se pehle key indicators ko dekhna chahiye. Do currencies ke value mein bade swings ki potential se strategic approach ki zaroorat hai. Market ka continue strengthen hona ya decline hona baqi hai, lekin current state of affairs suggest karta hai ke vigilance aur careful analysis zaroori hai. Economic factors aur market sentiment ka combination aage ke rukh ko determine karega, jahan 140-yen level ek key gauge ban gaya hai.