𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

**Dollar/Yen ka Technical Analysis**

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaf 146.50 yen se upar rally extend ki hai, jo pichle March ke baad se sabse strong level hai. Yeh move US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy expectations ke beech ke gap ko widen karne ke baad aaya hai. Kamzor US jobs report ne financial markets ko Fed se is saal ke liye further interest rate cuts ke liye prepare kar diya hai, jo economy ke slow hone ke signs ko dekhte hue hai. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% tak badhaya hai, jo 16 saal ka high hai, aur agar economy zarurat rakhti hai to aur bhi rate hikes karne ki willingness dikhayi hai. Financial markets is fiscal year ke dauran, jo March 2025 ko khatam hota hai, do aur rate hikes ki bet laga rahe hain, ek December mein bhi ho sakta hai.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, recent data ne yeh bhi dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne currency ko support karne ke liye July mein 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye. Japanese government ne kaha ke kamzor yen household purchasing power ko erode kar sakti hai kyunki yeh inflation ko wage growth se zyada push kar sakta hai, jo officials ko currency ko support karne ki zarurat ko highlight karta hai.

Yen ne US dollar ke khilaf apni strength barhayi hai, lekin shayad Japanese financial markets ke nuksan par. Yen ne authorities ke intervention se pehle chaar decades ka low touch kiya. Lekin, officials shayad isse Japanese stock market mein bear market trigger karne mein kaamyaab hue hain. Trading week ko khatam karte hue, Japan ka benchmark Nikkei 225 index lagbhag 6% gir gaya aur Friday ki session ko 35,909.70 par close kiya. Japan ka consumer price index ne March 2020 mein sabse bura single-day performance record kiya, pehli baar January ke baad 36,000 ke neeche gaya.

Japanese government bond yields bhi gir gaye, benchmark 10-year yield 1% se neeche chala gaya, jo do mahine ka lowest hai.

Lekin jab Tokyo ke financial markets kamzor hue, yen ne ek dramatic reversal dikhaya. Yeh Bank of Japan ke interest rates ko raise karne aur aane wale saalon mein kam bonds kharidne ki planning ke wajah se hua. Yeh decision BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke suggestion ke baad liya gaya, jahan unhone kaha ke kamzor yen inflationary threats ko barha sakti hai aur struggling Japanese households ko higher prices ka bojh uthana pad sakta hai.

Investors aam tor par is saal ke end tak ek aur rate hike ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Friday ko release hui data ne dikhaya ke United States mein job growth sharp tarike se slow hui hai, unemployment rate 4.3% tak barh gaya aur wage growth slow hui hai. Yeh weak manufacturing data ke upar aaya. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ne US mein factory activity mein zyada-than-expected contraction dikhaya, jabke China mein factory activity bhi unexpectedly contract hui, jo pichle October se pehla decline mark karti hai.

**Aaj ka Dollar/Yen Forecast**

**USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis**

Daily chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki price ek downward channel path par hai aur 146.00 ka support bears ki control ko confirm karta hai, jabke technical indicators bhi strong oversold levels ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Risk-free buying support levels 142.45 aur 142.00 se ki ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar 152.50 ke resistance ke upar stability banayi jati hai, to bulls ko control ka ek naya mauka mil sakta hai. USD/JPY ki price aage global central banks ke policies aur investors ke risk appetite ke hisaab se affect hoti rahegi.

USD/JPY Price Movements

Filhaal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Peak 162.9 tak pohnchne ke baad, significant selling shuru hui. Shuru mein yeh minor thi, lekin jab US dollar ne ground khona shuru kiya, to sellers aur speculators ne shorts add kiye aur selling intensify hui. Halankeh buyers ne react kiya, lekin woh USD/JPY trend ko significantly alter nahi kar paaye, sirf minor corrections aur pullbacks ko cause kiya. Four-hour chart par bearish trend dominate kar raha hai, aur bears control mein hain. Minor pauses 155.199 par hue, phir 151.79 se rebound hua, uske baad sales phir se resume hui. Naya low 146.899 buyers ko temporary correction mein madad de sakta hai, lekin yeh ongoing downward trend mein ek brief reprieve hi lagta hai. Sellers ka aim hai ke pair ko 146 ke neeche push karein, aur 144 aur 142 ko target karein. Humhe bounce par hona chahiye aur buy-trade setups se bachna chahiye.

Giraawat ab tak lagbhag pandrah figures tak pohnch chuki hai, jo ke kai intense levels ko tod chuki hai, chahe woh technical ho ya psychological. Dollar-yen apni rapid decline ko continue kar raha hai, jo Friday ko 329 points se tez hui, aur 146.43 par majboot support ko test kiya. Halankeh stochastic indicator oversold zone mein hai, lekin ab tak reversal nahi aayi. Technically, current zone buying suggest karta hai, lekin 145 ya 140 tak further drops ka lagataar darr selling ko uncomfortable banata hai. Aapka cautious approach yen trading ke liye sabse prudent lagta hai, aur shayad ek matra sensible approach hai. USD/JPY pair ek significant downward trend ka shikaar hai, jahan minor corrections brief reprieves deti hain. Technical analysis buying opportunities suggest karta hai, lekin persistent fears of further declines ko dekhte hue cautious trading sabse sensible strategy hai. Aise market conditions mein, stop loss ke saath trading karna essential hai.

Certainly! Here’s the text converted into Roman Urdu:

Jab USD/JPY ki qeemat monthly level 147.50 ke nazdeek pohnchti hai aur daily chart par price peak banati hai, toh yeh dobara upar ki taraf barh sakti hai. Jab yeh is mahine monthly pivot level 1.4780 ke neeche trade karna shuru hui, toh yeh selling zone mein thi. Iske natije mein, qeemat ne pichle do mahino ki price movement ko reflect kartay hue price channels ke saath downward trend mein trade kiya.

Qeemat ne price channels ko upar ki taraf tod kar barhna shuru kiya, phir channel lines ke bottom aur 148.30 level ke top ke beech mein sidewise chalti rahi. Jab yeh level todh kar uske upar kuch din rahi, phir phir se gir gayi. Is surat mein, pichli price behavior upward trend ki taqat ko darshati hai, aur 146.80 ka level higher prices ko support karna chahiye. Agar price 146.40 ke support level tak girti hai aur wapas upar ki taraf bounce karti hai, toh aap 1-hour chart ke bottom par buy kar sakte hain.

Yeh kehna hai ke ma'ashiyat ke hawale se, yeh jo pair hai, pichle hafte upar chala gaya, jab yeh mehsoos hua ke markets shayad US inflation data par overreact kar gayi thi. Is hafte ke ahem inflation data se pehle, sterling mein tensions barh rahe the. Currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ne apne 4 hafton ka sabse uncha level 147.90 par pohnchne ke baad, 1.48.40 par apne 5 hafton ka sabse uncha level par chadhne ke baad, thoda kam 146.75 par gir gaya. Is liye, qeemat wahan se phir se upar chadhne ke umeed hai. Agle kuch dino mein, qeemat 148.10 tak upar ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY ka drop surprising hai, yeh kyu itna bara deal hai? Mujhe lagta hai ke Bank of Japan aage rate hikes ka hint de raha hai, is liye yen kharidna ek wajah ho sakta hai. Dusri wajah Iran aur Israel ho sakti hai, agar koi major war break out hota hai, to bohot saare yen as a defensive currency kharidenge. Shayad abhi yen kharida gaya aur yuan ne 141 se bohot lambi rise ki, phir ek mahine ke gains ko wipe out kar diya, over 2,000 points gir gaya. Main imagine kar sakta hoon ke jin logon ne 150 pe buy kiya hoga, unhone pullback expect kiya hoga. Maine apne post mein likha tha ke buy nahi karna chahiye kyun ke ascending channel break ho gaya hai. Yeh trend mein change hai aur ek aur confirmation ke against the trend trade nahi karni chahiye. Technically speaking, descending channel break downward hua, jo phir se confirm karta hai ke descending channel buy nahi kiya ja sakta aur ascending channel sell nahi kiya ja sakta. Lekin agar hum ek aisa black channel establish karte hain, to 145 se 146 se try kar sakte hain sell karne, chahe jo bhi ho, level 149 key hai. Is ne bhi 800 points gir gaya. Agar exchange rate 149 pe wapas aa jata hai, to decline significant nahi hoga, lekin mujhe nahi pata ke south ne is ko solve kiya ya nahi.
USD/JPY currency pair chart par trading 141.910 par ho rahi hai, sirf ek reference point reh gaya hai dekhne ke liye aaj, jo 141.910–140.289 range hai. Is liye, meri strategy hai ke pair ko sell karun jab tak price support ke 140.289 ke kareeb nahi aati. In the meantime, rebound se buy karne par resistance 148.072 ko target karna interesting hoga. Abhi, sirf tabhi position open karun jab price 148.072 ke kareeb wapas aati hai, ya phir buy karun jitna close 140.289 ke possible ho jab market is price ko reach kare. Yeh range abhi ke liye kaafi solid lagti hai aur given pair ka performance recent days mein, hum is range ke andar kuch movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh khas tor par true hai jo main 141.910 aur 140.289 key levels consider karta hoon.USDJPY currency pair ke liye, sab kuch US dollar ke liye bohot bura hai aur Japanese yen ke liye sab kuch acha hai. Instrument quotes aur bhi niche ja rahi hain. Decline ka scale already colossal hai, lagta hai "ab kitna aur niche ja sakta hai, rollback ka waqt aa gaya hai", lekin fundamental factors jo is decline ko provoke kar rahe hain, unka serious impact hai.

Pehli baat, humein Bank of Japan ki monetary policy tightening dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jis ki wajah se Japanese yen ka rate supported hai.
Doosri baat, humein US labor market ka bohot bura data dekhne ko mil raha hai, jis ki wajah se US dollar ka rate gir raha hai.
Teesri baat, Middle East mein escalation ki probability badh rahi hai, jo stock markets mein girawat ka sabab ban rahi hai, jis ki wajah se hedging currencies, jaise ke Japanese yen, ki demand badh rahi hai.

Nateejah: Fundamental analysis yeh show karta hai ke USDJPY currency pair mein strong decline ho raha hai, is liye mujhe 140 area ke niche girawat pe koi hairani nahi hogi.

Aaj, USD/JPY currency pair ne ek naye haftay ka kam marka darja kiya. Rozana ki mom candle bechne walon ka faida de rahi hai, jo agle trading session mein ek naye kam ko mukhtalif banane ki sambhavna hai. Char ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, jodi ne ek downtrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darust karata hai. Isliye, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. wazeh hai. Ahem support level 156.80 par hai, jo ke short-term buying ka moqaa faraham karta hai agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pehla target 156.46 high par hai. Agar ye range break hoti hai, to raasta significant level 156.04 tak khulta hai, jo pehle notable bearish movement dekh chuka hai. Agar price critical range 155.92 ko breach karti hai, to ek potential reversal short position ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke buyers’ zone 154.45 tak impulse le ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne ek substantial correction undergo ki hai extended ascent ke baad. Jaisay ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, ye correction 300-800 points par mushtamil thi. Pair ne 300 points retrace kiye, jo ke 154.32–154.65 imbalance zone tak pahuche aur phir rebound hua Aaj ke session mein, jodi ne apni giravat jaari rakhi, teesra support level par 154.95 ke neeche stabilise ho gayi. Ek intraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat abhi ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak jaari rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek naye giravat ka jhatka de sakti hai, jo jodi ko aur bearish karega 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area tak. Ulta agar bulls wapas aaye, to resistance level 157.84 mojooda chart ke iss hisse ko nirdeshit karega.
Jab main wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, to mojooda nichle impulse se 157.78 buland se, D1 chart par bearon ka target doosre impulse zone par 154.28 ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke darmiyan ke fundamentals par nirbhar karega. Agar bearish trend ke baray mein bari time frames ke mutabiq agle pullback ke baad mukhtalif ho raha hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke neeche ke had tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY quotes pehle impulse zone par wapas aate hain 155.55 par, to bearish pullback mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Chhotay term mein, pehle zone ke neeche ki had 155.08 ke market ke reaction ko expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem samjha jayega. USD/JPY jodi bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, jahan mukhya support aur resistance levels uski movement k
USD/JPY currency pair Asian trading hours mein is Wednesday ko ek narrow trading range mein phasa hua hai. Yeh us waqt aya jab pehle hafte ke dauran 34-year high ko briefly touch kiya. Lekin, USD/JPY ke upside potential limited hai Japanese authorities, khas tor par Bank of Japan (BOJ), ke potential intervention ke wajah se. Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations par concerns voice ki hain aur Yen ko support karne ke liye measures lene ka hint diya hai. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai US mein hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath, jo dollar ko upar push kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently 158.34 ke ek key resistance level ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke neeche hover kar raha hai. Jab ke pair ne recent dinon mein 159.80 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya hai, 159.00 ke crucial level ke neeche break potential downside correction ko signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold kar leta hai, toh abhi bhi further rise ka chance hai. Agar current peak 160.20 ke upar decisive break ho jata hai, toh yeh 162.75-163.10 ki taraf surge ko pave kar sakta hai. Us ke baad, ek psychological level jo 165.35 ke aas-paas hai ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level next ho sakta hai

zana ki mom candle bechne walon ka faida de rahi hai, jo agle trading session mein ek naye kam ko mukhtalif banane ki sambhavna hai. Char ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, jodi ne ek downtrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darust karata hai. Isliye, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. wazeh hai. Ahem support level 156.80 par hai, jo ke short-term buying ka moqaa faraham karta hai agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pehla target 156.46 high par hai. Agar ye range break hoti hai, to raasta significant level 156.04 tak khulta hai, jo pehle notable bearish movement dekh chuka hai. Agar price critical range 155.92 ko breach karti hai, to ek potential reversal short position ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke buyers’ zone 154.45 tak impulse le ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne ek substantial correction undergo ki hai extended ascent ke baad. Jaisay ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, ye correction 300-800 points par mushtamil thi. Pair ne 300 points retrace kiye, jo ke 154.32–154.65 imbalance zone tak pahuche aur phir rebound hua Aaj ke session mein, jodi ne apni giravat jaari rakhi, teesra support level par 154.95 ke neeche stabilise ho gayi. Ek intraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat abhi ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak jaari rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek naye giravat ka jhatka de sakti hai, jo jodi ko aur bearish karega 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area tak. Ulta agar bulls wapas aaye, to resistance level 157.84 mojooda chart ke iss hisse ko nirdeshit karega.
Jab main wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, to mojooda nichle impulse se 157.78 buland se, D1 chart par bearon ka target doosre impulse zone par 154.28 ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke darmiyan ke fundamentals par nirbhar karega. Agar bearish trend ke baray mein bari time frames ke mutabiq agle pullback ke baad mukhtalif ho raha hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke neeche ke had tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY quotes pehle impulse zone par wapas aate hain 155.55 par, to bearish pullback mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Chhotay term mein, pehle zone ke neeche ki had 155.08 ke market ke reaction ko expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem samjha jayega. USD/JPY jodi bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, jahan mukhya support aur resistance levels uski movement k
USD/JPY currency pair Asian trading hours mein is Wednesday ko ek narrow trading range mein phasa hua hai. Yeh us waqt aya jab pehle hafte ke dauran 34-year high ko briefly touch kiya. Lekin, USD/JPY ke upside potential limited hai Japanese authorities, khas tor par Bank of Japan (BOJ), ke potential intervention ke wajah se. Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations par concerns voice ki hain aur Yen ko support karne ke liye measures lene ka hint diya hai. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai US mein hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath, jo dollar ko upar push kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently 158.34 ke ek key resistance level ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke neeche hover kar raha hai. Jab ke pair ne recent dinon mein 159.80 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya hai, 159.00 ke crucial level ke neeche break potential downside correction ko signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold kar leta hai, toh abhi bhi further rise ka chance hai. Agar current peak 160.20 ke upar decisive break ho jata hai, toh yeh 162.75-163.10 ki taraf surge ko pave kar sakta hai. Us ke baad, ek psychological level jo 165.35 ke aas-paas hai ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level next ho

USD/JPY ke currency pair ke price movements ka hum abhi analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne guzishta saalon mein khaas taraqqi dikhayi thi, lekin ab decline experience kar raha hai. 23.6 Fibonacci level 147.96 hai, aur 38.2 level 139.54 hai, jabke closing price 146.50 hai. Monday aur agle haftay ke liye, 139.54 se 147.96 ke range mein trading karna munasib hai, behtareen strategy yeh hogi ke 147.976 tak growth pe sell karen agar indication mile. US Federal Reserve ne rates kam karne ka plan banaya hai, jabke Bank of Japan rates barhane ka irada rakhta hai.

Isliye, jo log yen ko funding currency ke taur par use karte hain, woh interest dene se bachne ke liye isse offload karenge. Yeh pair steadily decline kar raha hai. Sellers jo ke draw down ko bardasht karne ke liye kafi funds nahi rakhte, woh pareshaan ho sakte hain jab anticipated decline hota hai, yeh sabit karte hue ke price hamesha barh nahi sakta. MACD indicator ne is decline ka ishara diya tha, ek significant bearish divergence banate hue, jo ke itni lambi time interval mein bohot kam hota hai, saal mein sirf ek dafa ya usse bhi kam.

Doosre CCI indicator pe bhi bearish divergence note hui thi jab maximum update hui thi. Yeh confirm hua jab price ne reversal pattern se downward exit kiya—ek ascending wedge. Price gir gayi, har obstacle ko todte hue, aur har jagah briefly pause karti rahi. Pehle rebound hui thi, lekin support level of 152.15 eventually sellers ke pressure se gir gayi. Uske baad, price ascending support line tak pahunch gayi lekin rebound nahi hui, mostly isliye ke Friday ko unfavorable US news aayi thi, jiski wajah se US dollar market mein weak ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment numbers ka indicator forecast se bohot worse tha. US unemployment rate 0.1 points barh gaya. Yeh news shayad line ko neeche le gayi, causing expected price rise to the previously broken level of 152.15, jo promising lag raha tha. Given the news-induced break of the ascending line, ek corrective return aur normal correction development bohot probable hain.

USD/JPY H4

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements aur analysis par baat karte hain. USD/JPY pair filhal 153.97 level ke upar apni position banaye rakha hai, jo ek solid upward trend ko indicate karta hai aur agay barhney ki potential bhi dikhata hai. USD/JPY ka probable direction dekhte hue, 157.51 level is haftay ka viable target nazar aa raha hai, jo kuch dinon mein achievable lagta hai. Panch din se pair sideways movement show kar raha hai, support zone aur psychological level 153.02 se bounce off karte hue, jo ek strong foundation ka kaam karta hai. Psychological levels trading par is liye asar dalte hain kyun ke yahan par significant trading volume accumulate hota hai, jo volatility ko slow down karta hai, jaisa ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh instrument ascending bullish channel ke lower boundary se exit kar chuka hai aur ab descending bearish trend ke continuation ke liye stage set kar raha hai.


Technical analysis ke hawale se, hum aaj bearish hain, simple moving average se negative crossover signal milne ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur trading stability 153.70 ke strong resistance se neeche ho rahi hai. Is liye, decline ke continue hone ki umeed hai aur target 151.25 par hai, jo expected official level hai. Pair ke price action ko in levels ke qareeb monitor karna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh short term mein important hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair 153.70 ke upar solid trade kare toh decline ruk sakta hai, aur pair jaldi se 155.00 recover kar sakta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

Conclusion mein, yen ke thoda appreciate hone ke bawajood, Bank of Japan appreciation ke wajah se, interest rate differentials US dollar ke liye favorable hain. Aane wala Federal Reserve announcement kuch uncertainty add kar raha hai, is liye ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai. Aik strong market rally commodities ka end aur favorable dollar conditions ki wapsi ka matlab ho sakta hai. Filhal, buying opportunities dekhna aur dekh-bhal karna behtar approach lagta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum sabko, USD/JPY currency pair filhal H1 timeframe par strong bullish signs dikha raha hai. Is bullish trend ka ek indication yeh hai ke price resistance level 159.901 par atka hua hai. Pehle, price ne correct hoke support level 159.296 ko touch kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko dikhata hai jo price ko support area tak le gaya. Jab price ne support level 159.296 ko touch kiya, uske baad price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur lagataar barhata raha. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke support level 159.296 ne price decline ko successfully rok diya, aur buyers ko market mein wapas aane ka turning point ban gaya. Is support ko touch karne ke baad price ki increase yeh suggest karti hai ke market sentiment ab bhi buying power se dominated hai.

Abhi, price dobara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko todta hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power itni strong hai ke price ko aur upar le ja sake. Is resistance breakout ke baad price ko aur barhne ke mauqe mil sakte hain aur agle resistance levels ko chhu sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair Asian trading hours mein aaj Wednesday ko ek narrow trading range mein stuck hai, jab ke pehle is hafte mein ek 34 saalon ka high touch kiya tha. Magar, USD/JPY ke upside potential ko Japanese authorities, specifically Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke potential intervention ke karan limited rakha gaya hai. Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur Yen ko support karne ke measures ki hint di hai. Yeh stance US ke hawkish Federal Reserve ke contrast mein hai, jo dollar ko upar kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recent mein ek key resistance level 158.34 ko tod diya tha aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jab ke pair ne pichle kuch dinon mein 159.80 ke aas paas resistance face kiya, ek crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break ek potential downside correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar rehta hai, to ek further rise ka chance hai. Ek decisive break current peak 160.20 ke upar, surge ka raasta khol sakta hai towards 162.75-163.10. Uske baad, psychological level around 165.35 ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level agla target ho sakta hai.

Have a nice day!

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Aaj Ka USDJPY Trading Analysis

Aaj USDJPY ki trading price 147.23 par khuli. Agar aap H1 timeframe dekhen, toh candle ab bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully break hota hai, toh USDJPY upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Lekin agar resistance area ko cross karne mein fail hota hai, toh USDJPY phir se gir sakta hai. Pichle Thursday ko, USDJPY ne decline ke baad rise kiya, khaaskar jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt, iski movement kafi high thi, kyunki yeh lagbhag 150 pips upar gaya.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke upar move karne ke chances ab bhi hain kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin, hamesha ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunki candle ne MA50 line ko abhi tak cross nahi kiya hai. Is level ke aas-paas ek rebound ho sakta hai, jo baad mein decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein, price distribution is trading instrument mein shuru ho sakti hai agar puppeteer market participants ko yeh convince kar de ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur woh is pair ko bechna shuru kar dein. Yeh mumkin hai ke bahut se market participants ko lagta hai ke price yahan se gir sakti hai.

Agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USDJPY seedha 159.13 tak upar ja sakta hai bina kisi rollback ke. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh 159.13 level se tezi se gir sakta hai. Main personally predict karta hoon ke USDJPY upar ja sakta hai kyunki H1 support price 145.88 abhi tak break nahi hui hai. Isliye, agar aap is pair ko trade kar rahe hain, toh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance price 151.20 par aur stop loss support price 145.45 par set kar sakte hain.

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USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair, jo filhal 147.04 par hai, traders aur investors ke liye ek interesting situation pesh kar raha hai. Yeh pair bearish trend mein hai, aur jabke market dheere dheere move kar raha hai, agle kuch dino mein significant movement ka potential barh raha hai. Is market ko samajhna zaroori hai agar aap is market ko effectively navigate karna chahte hain.
Current Market Conditions


USD/JPY ne gradual decline dekha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Yeh movement kai factors se influenced hai, jinmein United States aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ke differences shamil hain. Federal Reserve ka interest rates par approach aur Bank of Japan ka stance is trend ke key drivers hain.

Recent times mein, U.S. dollar ko pressure ka saamna karna pada hai kyunki ummeed hai ke Federal Reserve apne rate hikes ko dheere kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Japanese yen relatively stable raha hai, partly due to Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy. Yeh divergence USD/JPY ko pressure mein rakhti hai, jo slow but steady bearish trend ko contribute karta hai.
Key Factors to Watch

1. Monetary Policy Decisions: USD/JPY pair ko influence karne wala sabse significant factor monetary policy decisions hain jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke dwara liye gaye hain. Agar dono central banks mein se kisi bhi bank ne interest rates mein changes ya hints diye, toh yeh currency pair mein substantial movement trigger kar sakta hai.
2. Economic Data: United States aur Japan ke economic indicators USD/JPY ke direction ko determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Inflation rates, employment figures, aur GDP growth jaise data traders ke dwara closely watched honge. In numbers mein koi bhi surprises increased volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.
3. Geopolitical Factors: Global geopolitical landscape bhi USD/JPY ko impact kar sakta hai. Major economies ke beech tensions ya unexpected political developments risk-off sentiment ko lead kar sakti hain, jis se yen safe-haven currency ke roop mein favor ho sakti hai. Conversely, positive developments dollar ko support kar sakti hain.
4. Market Sentiment: Financial markets mein overall sentiment USD/JPY ko influence karega. Agar investors ka risk appetite barhta hai, toh yen kamzor ho sakta hai kyunki capital riskier assets mein flow hota hai. Conversely, agar risk aversion prevail karti hai, toh yen strong ho sakta hai, USD/JPY ko niche push kar sakta hai.

Potential Scenarios


Current bearish trend ko dekhte hue, agle dino mein kuch scenarios unfold ho sakte hain:

1. Continuation of the Bearish Trend: Agar current bearish trend ko drive karne wale factors wahi rehte hain, toh USD/JPY apni slow decline continue kar sakta hai. Yeh scenario Federal Reserve se dovish stance ke additional signs ya Japan ke stronger-than-expected economic data se support kiya jayega.
2. Reversal and Bullish Movement: Dusri taraf, market dynamics mein significant shift trend reversal ko lead kar sakta hai. Jaise agar Federal Reserve ne zyada aggressive rate hike path signal diya, ya Japanese economic data disappoint kiya, toh USD/JPY sharp upward movement dekh sakta hai.
3. Increased Volatility: Chahe direction kuch bhi ho, USD/JPY ko near term mein increased volatility ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Market participants tense hain, aur koi bhi unexpected developments rapid price swings ko trigger kar sakti hain. Traders ko is possibility ke liye prepared rehna chahiye aur apni risk management accordingly set karni chahiye.

Technical Analysis


Technical perspective se, USD/JPY ke key support aur resistance levels hain jo traders ko monitor karne chahiye. Current level jo 147.04 ke aas-paas hai, yeh significant hai, aur is level ke neeche break karna further downside ko signal kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar pair is level ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh potential rebound ke liye raasta khol sakta hai.

Moving averages, trendlines, aur other technical indicators additional insights provide kar sakte hain. Jaise, moving averages mein crossover trend change ko indicate kar sakta hai, jabke oscillators jaise RSI overbought ya oversold conditions ko signal kar sakte hain.
Conclusion


USD/JPY critical juncture par hai, jahan agle dino mein significant movement ka potential hai. Jabke current trend bearish hai, market mein uncertainty ab bhi hai, aur kai factors pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Traders ko monetary policy, economic data, geopolitical events ki latest developments se informed rehna chahiye, kyunki yeh upcoming movement ke key drivers honge.

Aaj USD/JPY trading ka aghaz 147.23 par hua. Agar aap h1 timeframe par dekhen, to candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar ye area successfully penetrate ho jata hai, to USD/JPY mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Lekin doosri taraf, agar resistance area ko paar nahi kiya gaya, to USD/JPY dobara neeche aasakta hai. Guzishta Jumeraat ko, USD/JPY neeche girne ke baad phir se upar chala gaya tha. Ye tab hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansa tha. Us waqt iski movement kaafi tezi se hui, kyun ke isne kariban 150 pips ka izafa kiya.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke upar jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko successfully cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko ehtiyaat karni hogi kyun ke candle abhi tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Is area ke aas paas rebound ho sakta hai jo ke isko girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to is trading instrument mein aage chalkar price distribution ka option kaam kar sakta hai, khas tor par agar yahan par puppeteer ziada market participants ko yeh yaqeen dila dey ke corrective rollback mukammal ho gaya hai aur ab se iss pair ko bechna shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke price ziada upar nahi ja rahi hai. Shayad bohot se market participants ye soch rahe hain ke yahan se price neeche gir sakti hai.

Agar puppeteer ka yeh trap kaam kar gaya, to is scenario ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair seedha yahan se, baghair kisi rollback ke, 159.13 tak barh sakta hai. Aur agar aisa hota hai, to is scenario ke mutabiq, 159.13 level se neeche girne ke imkaanat bhi hain, jo ke minimum se neeche ja sakta hai. Main khud yeh tajwez deta hoon ke USD/JPY mazeed barhta rahega kyun ke h1 support 145.88 par abhi tak nahi toota. Isliye, main aap sab ko yeh recommend karta hoon ke is pair mein sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance par 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support par 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

**USD/JPY Trades Analysis aur Tips:**

Volatility dheere dheere normal ho rahi hai, lekin pair abhi bhi movement dikhata hai. Kal price ne 146.49 ka test kiya jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se upar move karna shuru kiya, jo dollar ko buy karne ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai. Is ka nateeja yeh nikla ke USD/JPY lagbhag 100 pips tak upar chala gaya. Aaj, buyers ne kal ke high ka test kar liya. Lekin, phir se pair par pressure waapis aaya, jo market mein bade sellers ki maujoodgi ko dikhata hai jo recent hafton mein dollar ke downtrend par bet kar rahe hain. Japan ki money supply data ne market par zyada asar nahi dala. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada focus karunga scenario No. 1 aur 2 par implement karne par.

**Buy Signals:**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price 147.20 ke aaspaas entry point ko touch kare, jo chart par green line ke zariye plot ki gayi hai, jiska target 148.27 hai, jo thicker green line ke zariye chart par plot ki gayi hai. 148.27 ke aaspaas, mein long positions se exit karke opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, 30-35 pips ka movement expect karte hue us level se opposite direction mein. Aap expect kar sakte hain ke pair aaj ek upward correction ke hissa ke tor par upar jayega. Lekin jitna pair upar jayega, utna hi dollar ko sell karna zyada attractive ho jayega. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur wahan se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko us waqt bhi buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 146.58 ke do baar test hote hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hota hai. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke reverse upturn ko lead karega. Aap growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 147.20 aur 148.27 tak

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis:

USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, downward trend ki continuation ki ummeed hai. Yeh trend Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator se saaf nazar aata hai. Is downward movement ko Zigzag indicator aur auxiliary technical tools jaise Laguerre aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) se bhi support mil raha hai, jo overbought zone mein hain aur short-selling opportunities ke liye signal dete hain. Market mein abhi bearish sentiment prevail kar raha hai, aur analyst ka plan yeh hai ke open position ko -23.6% Fibonacci support level par close karna hai, jo 144.694 ke price par located hai. Risk ko mitigate karne ke liye, analyst position ko profitable territory mein enter karne ke baad stop-loss order ko breakeven level par shift karenge. Yeh approach trader ko bearish momentum ka faida uthane ka mauka deta hai, jabke potential price reversals se bachav bhi hota hai.

US labor market data ke recent release ne USD/JPY price ko southward move ki taraf push kiya hai. Yeh development trader Dmitry ke liye positive hai, jo ab is bearish trend se profits enjoy kar rahe hain. Lekin, analyst ko lagta hai ke Japanese yen vertical strength ko lambi muddat ke liye maintain nahi kar sakegi, aur price eventually stabilize ho sakti hai, leading to consolidation ya phir northward move. Halankeh current bearish sentiment ke bawajood, analyst US dollar ko completely write-off karne ke against hain. American currency apni resilience ke liye jani jati hai aur kisi point par comeback kar sakti hai, ya to USD/JPY pair ke reversal ke zariye ya phir doosre currency pairs ke strength ke through. Analyst market conditions ko closely monitor karenge aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karenge taake kisi bhi potential opportunity ka faida uthaya ja sake.

Foreign exchange market mein trading inherent risks ke sath hoti hai, aur investors ko hamesha thorough research karni chahiye, risk management strategies implement karni chahiye, aur investment decisions se pehle professional guidance lena chahiye. Agle Federal Reserve meeting tak abhi ek pura mahina baqi hai, aur is dauran is currency pair ki price mein significant increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dollar ki strength ko drive karne wale factors, jaise US economy ka robust performance aur Fed ka hawkish monetary policy stance, fundamental level par change nahi hue hain. Recent economic data release ke bawajood, jo kuch speculate karte hain ke elections se pehle ek rosier picture paint karne ke liye government agencies ne manipulate kiya, dollar ka long-term trajectory bullish hi raha hai.

EUR/USD H4

Hamari guftagu mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ka tajzia karenge. Powell ne ECB forum par baat ki aur, mamool ke mutabiq, US dollar ko "giraya", halan ke unse pehle Lagarde ne euro ko kuch had tak support diya tha. Powell ne kuch naya nahi kaha, lekin phir bhi EUR/USD ne 1.0739 level ko tor diya aur ab resistance 1.0749 ke qareeb hai. Ahem resistance level, jo EMA-200 se mark kiya gaya hai, 1.0759 par hai. Ye samajhna mushkil hai ke market ne Powell ke remarks par is tarah kaise react kiya, kyunke unki baton mein kuch khas naya nahi tha. Unhone yeh zikar kiya ke labor market mazboot hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur kuch disinflation ke asar hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke inflation sahi simt mein ja raha hai, lekin yeh kehna abhi mushkil hai ke yeh yahin par reh jayega. Powell ne wazeh kiya ke Fed shayad apne faisalon mein jaldi nahi karegi aur ke US aur Europe mein inflation mukhtalif masail hain jo mukhtalif approaches ki zaroorat hain. Unki baton ke bawajood, market US dollar kharidne mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hai.

Europe mein siyasi developments ne market sentiment par khasa asar dala hai, khas tor par European parliamentary elections ne euro par aitmaad ko kamzor kiya hai. France ka apni parliament ko torna aur snap elections ka elan karna, jo ke President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein badi haar ke baad kiya, ne market mein be-itiqadi barha di hai. Marine Le Pen, jo ke National Rally ki right-leaning conservative siasatdan hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ke imkanaat ne financial markets mein khauf peda kar diya hai. Le Pen ka platform, jismein shadeed tax cuts, retirement age kam karna, aur sakht immigration controls shamil hain, France mein kafi maqbool ho raha hai.

Le Pen ki fatah ke imkanaat ne European financial markets mein fikar ko barha diya hai. Unki policies khasa fiscal challenges peda kar sakti hain jabke European economic indicators pehle hi underperform kar rahe hain. Mazeed, European Central Bank (ECB) ko Eurozone mein persistent inflation ke masail ki wajah se rate cuts implement karne mein mushkilat ka samna hai.