𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

mein aise volatility ka intezar nahi kar raha tha kal. Aur zahir hai ke Japan Bank zimmedar thi, chahe chutti ka din tha, lekin mujhe shak ka aur koi wazeh tareeqa nahi mila. Halankeh, haqeeqat mein, phir bhi, humein ab bhi ek urooj raftar hai, aur kal humne 155 ke asray ko hataya aur ab bhi hum barh rahe hain aur shumal ki taraf dabao daal rahe hain. Aur jabke aaj volatility thori kam hogayi hai, to ahem hai ke dollar mustaqbil mein kis tarah se trade karega. Halankeh har soorat mein short initiative ab bhi mojood hai. Lekin mein ye imka par, USDJPY pair mein aam tor par upar ki movement nazar aati hai, jisme price mein significant swings hain, jaise ke zig-zag indicator se zahir hota hai. Khaaskar, significant chhoti aur bari points mein izafa ho raha hai, jo strong khareedne wale dabao ko darshaata hai. Trend indicator, 120 ke doran ek moving average, price ke neeche position par hai, jise buyers ki taqat ko highlight karta n ko bhi rad nahi karta ke hum dobara 159-159.30 ke asray mein aa sakte hain, lekin main wahan bechna ki koshish karunga. 157.00 ke jhooti break out ho sakta hai, uske baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. 156.65 ke range ko todna aur uske neeche jam jana mumkin hai, phir ye bechna ka signal hoga. 157.00 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se,



girawat jari rahegi. Main ke range ke jhooti break out ko tasleem karta hoon, lekin uske baad bhi, girawat jari rahegi. 156.70 ke range mein support hai aur shayad uske neeche, girawat jari rahegi. Jab tak main 157.00 ke range ka barhav aur girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, girawat jari rahegi. Shayad 157.00 ke range ka jhooti break out pehle hi ho chuka hai aur uske baad, hum dheere dheere girawat aur 157.60 ke support range ka break out karte hain. Agar hum
156.65 ke range ko tod kar uske neeche jam jaate hain, to ye bechna ka signal hoga.Shab Bakhair dosto! Natural tor par, abhi tak dakchhin ko sirf chhote chhote dakchhin uljhanon ke liye maqool nahi samjha ja raha hai, jo ki intehai buland agressiveness ki urooj raftar ko qaim karne ke liye hoti hai, aur phir se urooj raftar ke range mein wapas lautne ke liye. Aaj ka daily candle USD/JPY currency pair ke liye, Jumeraat ke super large daily candle ki taqreeban correction ko dikhata hai aur ab hum kaafi zyada ma nuqsanat ko kam kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko markazi hawalaat ki tajwezat ke jawab mein muntaqil karna chahiye. Mazboot risk management asoolon ka paalan karne aur takneeki tahlil ke insights ka faida uthane se, traders apne aap ko USDJPY market mein mutawazi taur par muqarrar kar sakte hain taake umeed ki gayi niche ki taraf qeemat ka rawaya se faida utha sakeinrket volatility ke sath shumali raftar mein agay barh rahe hain, jo urooj ki shumal trend ki jari rahi hai. Asal mein, main 155.87 ke support zone tak mumkinah correction

USD/JPY Technical Analysis (14-5-2024) Mojooda Surathaal ka Jaiza:

USD/JPY currency pair ke H4, daily, aur weekly technical outlook ke mutabiq, yeh pair aage barhne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh ek bullish trend me hai. Agar aap trade kholna chahte hain, toh aap 156.40 level par buy trade initiate kar sakte hain. Magar agar price 155.66 level se neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Short-Term Bullish Target:

Is short-term bullish outlook ka projected target 157.58 level ke ird gird hai. Lekin safe trading ke liye, aap apni trading position ko 156.90 level par close kar sakte hain.

Weekly Outlook:

Kal market 155.75 level par khuli thi. Kal ke trading session mein, isne 156.25 ka high aur 155.51 ka low dekha. Yani, kal ka trading range taqriban 74 pips tha aur market sentiment bullish hai. Market weekly pivot level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh yahan se upar ki taraf bullish move ko jaari rakh sakti hai.

Daily Outlook:

Daily bias market ka bullish hai. Meri strategy ke tamam indicators bullish move signal kar rahe hain:

RSI14: 50 level se upar move kar raha hai.
MACD: Apni zero histogram line se upar move kar raha hai.
MA Strategy: Market ki bullish strength ko represent kar raha hai.
Bullish Fractal Pattern: Appear hua hai, jo bullish trend ki nishandahi karta hai.
H4 Time Frame Price Action Outlook:

H4 time frame par bhi, aaj bearish move continue karne ke asar hain kyunki:

Pair ne resistance line ko upside break kiya hai.
Yeh EMA 30 se upar move kar raha hai.
Yeh daily pivot level ke upar move kar raha hai.
Strategic Analysis:

USD/JPY pair ke current technical indicators aur price action analysis se yeh zahir hota hai ke market bullish hai. Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price 155.66 level se neeche na jaye, warna yeh short-term bullish trend ko invalidate kar dega. Safe trading ke liye 156.90 par apni position ko close karna samajhdari hogi.

Conclusion
USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh batata hai ke yeh currency pair abhi bullish trend mein hai. H4, daily, aur weekly technical outlooks bhi bullish signal de rahe hain. Agar price 155.66 se neeche nahi jati, toh traders 156.40 level par buy position open kar sakte hain aur 156.90 par close karke apni gains ko secure kar sakte hain. Market ki current surathaal ko dekhte hue, aage bhi bullish move ki umeed hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Forex Market Mein Trading Kaise Karein USD/JPY pair ke daily chart par, humein ek naya bearish momentum dikhai de raha hai jo ascending channel aur crucial monthly pivot level ke breach hone ke baad paida hua hai. Iss mahine ke shuruat mein, pair ascending price channel mein adjust ho raha tha, jahan upper boundary ek prominent resistance level ke taur par kaam kar rahi thi. Halanki, initial anticipations ke bawajood, yen ki currency strength ne pair ki downward movement ko barhawa diya hai.

Maujooda Market Dynamics:

Is waqt, USD/JPY price ek naye selling zone mein hai, jo breached red channel aur pivotal monthly pivot level ke neeche position mein hai. Yeh shift yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trajectory continue rahegi, jismein potential targets monthly support level 154.40 par hain.

Key Observations:

Friday ka Bullish Session: Friday ke trading session mein bullish activity dekhne ko mili, jo price ko daily chart par 156.90 ke naye resistance level tak le gayi, jo depicted blue channel ke bohot kareeb hai.
Supportive Action: Mahine ki shuruat mein pair apne lowest levels ke kareeb trade kar raha tha, channels ke lower boundary ke kareeb. Isse supportive action mili aur price ka upward movement aur multiple resistance levels ka breach possible hua.
Potential Retracement: Aane wale waqt mein, red channel ke breached hone par retracement ka possibility hai, jiske baad ek aur upward movement ho sakti hai.
Trading Opportunities:

Is complex landscape mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye sabse enticing trading opportunities buying positions mein hain. Yahan kuch key setups hain jo dekhne hain:

Red Channel ka Retest:

Scenario: Jab price daily chart par red channel ko retest kare.
Confirmation: Channel touch hone par bullish price action ka formation.
Action: Buying positions initiate karein.
Blue Channel ka Breach:

Scenario: Jab price blue channel ko breach kare aur uske upar consolidate kare.
Confirmation: Channel boundary ke upar daily candle ka closure.
Action: Buying positions consider karein.
Strategic Considerations:

Traders ko price movements aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake forex market ki complexities ko effectively navigate kar sakein. Key points jo consider karni chahiyein:

Bearish Momentum: Maujooda bearish momentum potential further declines indicate karta hai. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur confirmed signals ka wait karna chahiye long positions enter karne se pehle.
Risk Management: Prudent risk management strategies implement karein, jismein stop-loss orders aur position sizing shaamil hon, taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake.
Market Adaptability: Emerging market conditions ke liye adaptable rahiye. Forex market bohot dynamic hai aur flexible strategies long-term success ke liye essential hain.
Conclusion:

USD/JPY pair ek challenging yet opportunistic scenario face kar raha hai, jo shifting dynamics aur potential trading prospects se characterize hota hai. By strategically capitalizing on favorable setups aur prudent risk management ko exercise karte hue, traders forex market ki complexities ko confidence aur efficacy ke sath navigate kar sakte hain. Chahe buying on retracements ho ya consolidations above key channels, informed aur adaptable trading strategies crucial hongi favorable outcomes achieve karne ke liye USD/JPY market mein.

USD/JPY Ki Tehqiqat: Bullish Trend Aur Market Dynamics Price Analysis Aur MACD Indicator
155.81 ke price assessment ne ek crucial moment par align kiya, jab MACD indicator neutral zero mark se upar uthne laga, jo dollar par bullish position adopt karne ka ek advantageous mauqa signal kar raha tha. Halanki, yeh bullish trend bohot jaldi khatam ho gaya, kyunke United States ke weak economic data ne USD/JPY pair par downward pressure daala.

Morning Session Aur Market Stabilization
Morning session ke dauran market stabilize hui, positive indicators ki support ki wajah se, jaise ke Japanese household spending mein behtari, bank lending activities mein fluctuation, aur current account balance. Yeh sab factors market ko support karte hain, despite initial efforts to surpass the daily high.

US Consumer Sentiment Index Aur Inflation Expectations
Disappointing results from the US consumer sentiment index aur United States mein increasing inflation expectations ne dollar par renewed pressure daali. Aaj ka forecast suggest karta hai ke pair defined range mein fluctuate karega, market participants actively dollar acquire karne ki koshish kar rahe hain taake naye local highs establish kiye ja sakein. Halanki, advantageous low levels par long positions initiate karna advised hai.

Intraday Strategies Aur Scenario Analysis
Intraday strategies ke liye, ek nuanced approach recommend ki gayi hai, jahan Scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 ke execution favor ki jati hai.

Scenario No. 1: Buy Signal
Buy signal Scenario No. 1 ke tehat plan yeh hai ke USD/JPY positions initiate ki jayengi jab price specified entry level 155.96 par align ho, jo chart par upward trend se mark hui hai. Iska target peak 156.25 hai, jo ek clearer green line se indicate kiya gaya hai. Jab price 156.25 mark par pohonchegi, long positions close karke short positions shift karne ka approach adopt kiya jayega, anticipate kiya gaya hai ke subsequent reversal 30 se 35 pips ke beech hoga.

Market Sentiment Aur Bullish Outlook
Maujooda market sentiment USD/JPY ke liye bullish outlook favor karta hai, jo prevailing upward trend reflect karta hai. Market participants is bullish trend ko leverage karte hue naye trading opportunities dhoond rahe hain, aur strategic positions initiate kar rahe hain advantageous levels par.

Conclusion
USD/JPY pair ka yeh analysis indicate karta hai ke market dynamics ko samajhne aur strategic approach adopt karne se profitable trading opportunities capitalize ki ja sakti hain. MACD indicator aur market stabilization factors ko monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, aur advantageous positions establish kar sakte hain. Intraday strategies mein buy signals aur reversal points ko focus karte hue, prudent risk management ke sath trading ki ja sakti hai, jo long-term success ke liye zaroori hai. Market ke evolving conditions ke sath adaptable rahiye, aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karte rahiye, taake effective trading strategies implement ho sakein.

USD/JPY Pair Ki Technical Analysis Daily Chart Aur Bearish Momentum
USD/JPY pair ka daily chart ek impending bearish momentum ko reveal kar raha hai, jo ascending channel aur monthly pivot level ke successful breach ke baad dekha gaya hai. Is maheene ke trading ke aaghaz mein, pair ne apne aap ko ek ascending price channel mein adjust kiya, jahan upper boundary resistance level ke tor par act kar rahi thi. Initial expectations ke bawajood, jo monthly pivot level par correction aur phir rebound ke the, yen currency ki strength ne pair ki decline ko intensify kar diya. Ab price ne breached red channel aur monthly pivot level ke neeche ek nayi selling zone mein enter kiya hai, jahan se further downward movement expected hai, potentially monthly support level 154.40 ko target karte hue.

Bullish Activity Aur Resistance Levels
Friday ke trading session mein bullish activity witness ki gayi, jahan price ne daily chart par ek naya resistance level 156.90 ko touch kiya, jo blue channel ke sath closely align tha. Yeh maheena pair ke trading ke aaghaz ke saath hi uski lowest levels par trading dekh raha tha, jo past do months mein sabse neechi thi, aur channels ke lower boundary ke qareeb thi. Yeh support ne price ko facilitate kiya, jo upward movement aur multiple resistance levels ke successful penetration mein madadgar sabit hua.

Agle Hafte Ka Outlook
Agle hafte ke liye, ek retracement possible hai jo broken red channel ko retest karegi, uske baad ek aur upward movement expected hai. Sabse favorable trading opportunities buying positions mein dekhi ja sakti hain. Ek mauqa tab arise hota hai jab price retraces karegi aur red channel ko daily chart par retest karegi, aur bullish price action form hota hai jab channel ko touch karegi. Iske ilawa, buying viable hai jab price blue channel ko breach karte hue consolidate karti hai, jo confirm hota hai daily candle ke closure se channel boundary ke upar.

Buying Opportunities Aur Strategy
USD/JPY pair ke liye favorable buying opportunities ka strategy yeh hai ke price jab red channel ko touch karte hue bullish price action dikhaye, to buying positions initiate ki ja sakti hain. Iske ilawa, agar price blue channel ko breach karte hue consolidate kare, aur daily candle channel boundary ke upar close ho, to yeh ek aur buying opportunity signify karta hai.

Conclusion
USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis humein market dynamics aur future price movements ke liye valuable insights provide karti hai. Retracement aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake favorable trading opportunities ko capitalize kiya ja sake. Technical indicators aur price action ko analyze karte hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur strategic positions establish kar sakte hain. Agle hafte mein potential retracement aur upward movement ke sath, buying positions ke liye favorable setups ko leverage karna prudent risk management ke sath profitable trading opportunities provide kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Pair Ki 4-Hour Chart Analysis USD/JPY pair ki 4-hour chart ko analyze karne par ek aane wali downward wave ka indication milta hai, jo potentially weekly support level 153.30 ko target kar sakti hai. Is hafta ke aaghaz mein price ne significant weekly pivot level ke neeche trading shuru ki, jo ab tak ek notable resistance point hai. Iske ilawa, price ek red descending channel mein move karti rahi, jo pehle haftay ke price action ko reflect karta hai, aur ek blue channel jo upward trend dikhata hai, jo pichle do haftay ka price trend signify karta hai.

Red Descending Channel Aur Blue Channel Ki Movement
Price ne descending channel se break karne ke baad consolidation dikhai. Magar, weekly pivot level se resistance ka saamna karte hue upward movements attempt kiye gaye. Yeh scenario ek favourable selling opportunity present karta hai, jahan expectations hain ke price blue channel ke lower boundary ki taraf gravitate karegi aur eventually support level 153.55 ko breach karegi, jo bearish trajectory ko reinforce karega.

Buyers Ka Threshold Breach Aur Trading Strategies
Darmiyan, buyers ne 153.80 threshold ko breach kiya, jo USD/JPY currency pair ki purchasing preference ko indicate karta hai. Market dynamics ke response mein trading strategies ko adjust karna imperative hai taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Jab market 156.80 zone ke upar trade kar raha hai, to buyers ka next target 152.40 level ho sakta hai. Is liye, safe trading ke liye caution aur prudence ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Current Market Sentiment Aur Future Expectations
Is waqt ka market sentiment buyers ke favor mein hai, jab ke weekly calendar mein aaj pair ke liye koi pertinent news nahi hai. Magar, kal ka US CPI data release US dollar mein volatility introduce kar sakta hai. Aaj ke liye, prudent trading based on technical analysis advise ki jati hai taake profit potential ko optimize kiya ja sake with patience and discernment.

Conclusion
4-hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mein downward wave ki potential dikhai deti hai jo weekly support level 153.30 ko target kar sakti hai. Weekly pivot level se resistance aur descending aur blue channels ki movements ke bawajood, selling opportunities dikhai deti hain. Buyers ka threshold breach karna aur trading strategies ko adjust karna market dynamics ke hisaab se imperative hai. Current market sentiment buyers ke favor mein hai aur kal ka US CPI data release volatility la sakta hai. Aaj ke liye prudent trading advised hai taake profit potential ko optimize kiya ja sake. Hum umeed karte hain ke is hafta achi profit hasil kar sakein.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Technical Analysis Haal Ki Surat-e-Haal:
Hello everyone, aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis karenge. Iss waqt, price 4-hour chart par MA50 aur MA200 ke upar hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke uptrend ka continuation mumkin hai.

Support Aur Resistance Levels:
Ab support level ko 155.00 ke aas paas identify kiya ja sakta hai, jabke resistance level 156.00 ke kareeb hai. Agar price support level ko break karti hai, to yeh mumkin price decline ka signal ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar resistance level ko break kiya jata hai, to buying pressure mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai.

Indicators:
RSI abhi overbought territory mein hai, jo ek potential downward price correction ko indicate kar sakta hai. MACD bhi halki uptrend dikhata hai.

Trading Strategy:
Haalat ko dekhte hue, ek possibility yeh consider ki ja sakti hai ke agar price support level 155.00 se neeche confidently hold karti hai, to USD/JPY ko sell karna sahi ho sakta hai, aur target 154.00 ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi recommend kiya jata hai ke stop-loss support level 155.00 ke upar place karein.

Conclusion:
4-hour chart par technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke USD/JPY market mein upward price movement ka continuation ho sakta hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke risk management ka dhyan rakhein aur capital ko protect karne ke liye stop-loss ka use karein.

Trading ko cautiously approach karna aur market ki movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Is tarah se, traders potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain aur unnecessary risks se bach sakte hain.

USD/JPY Ke Daam Ki Tafseel:
Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Meri choti short positions USDJPY par mojud hain, magar main lagbhag 157.10 ka munafa expect kar raha hoon. Ye pair 157.82 tak barh sakta hai, aur is waqt growth ka darwaza abhi khula hai. Japan ke Central Bank ki ghair faaliyat ka matlab hai ke bears ka bulls par dabao hai. Foran 160 tak barhna mumkin nahi lagta, magar aste aste 158 tak pohanchna Budh tak mumkin hai. Agar keemat mojuda plate number 1 line ko cross kar jaati hai, jo ke 155.18 ke qareeb hai, to downward trend jari reh sakta hai, aur S3: 155.008 par support ka nishana banega. Asian session ke doran, keemat ne daily pivot aur older chart support levels ko breach kiya hai. Higher time frame indicators jo overbought levels ke qareeb hain, yeh imkaan dete hain ke designated target tak decline mumkin hai, magar is se zyada gehra ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar resistance levels break ho jate hain to target R3: 156.28 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.



USD/JPY Ke Hourly Chart Ka Jaiza:

Hourly chart par USDJPY ek lambe muddat ka bullish trend darust karta hai, jo indicators se tasdiq hota hai. 120-period moving average ek upward direction darust karta hai, jo keemat ke neeche mojood hai. Zigzag patterns bhi ek bullish structure ko tasdiq karte hain, jahan highs barh rahi hain. Intraday trading ke liye, 155.83 se buying karna ek acha option hai, jis ka initial profit target 156.20 aur subsequent 156.61 hai, sath hi stop loss 155.51 par rakhna chahiye. Din ke waqt short positions mumkin hain agar pair 155.20 ke qareeb settle hota hai, aur closing target 154.82 ke qareeb hona chahiye, sath hi stop loss 155.50 par rakhna chahiye. Fifteen-minute chart par moving average aur zigzag indicators upward momentum ko tasdiq karte hain, jahan hourly candle 155.92 ke qareeb close hui, jo moving average ke nisbat upward movement structure ko darust karti hai.

Jaiza Aur Tajziya:

USD/JPY ke daam ka tajziya is waqt bullish trend ko darust karta hai, magar yahaan kuch possible downward corrections bhi mojud hain. Keemat ka 155.18 ke niche break karna downward momentum ko darust kar sakta hai, magar agar resistance levels break hote hain, to bullish trend ko mazeed support milega. Intraday trading ke liye buying aur short positions dono options mojud hain, lekin market dynamics ko samajhna aur hoshyari se risk management karna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY 155.85 Mark Par Stabilit:
USD/JPY currency pair ne recent period ke baad 155.85 mark ke qareeb stability maintain ki hai. Yeh period Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se strength gain karne par khatam hua. Ab investors eagerly key data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain, jese ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), aur retail sales figures. Yeh week mein aane wale hain aur yeh data pair ke trajectory ko influence kar sakte hain. Aaj baad mein, Federal Reserve officials Jefferson aur Mister speeches dene wale hain, jo market speculation ko mazeed barha sakte hain.

Aaj subha Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni monetary policy shift ka ishara diya hai jab unhone Japanese government bonds ki purchases ko kam kiya. Iss se kuch log, including ruling party, yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke normalization ke liye conditions favourable ho sakti hain.


Char Ghante Ki Time Frame:

USD/JPY pair ne aik complex phase mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jahan upward aur downward movements ke conflicting signals nazar aa rahe hain. Bank of Japan ke recent intervention ne significant price drop cause kiya, magar naye buyers ab bhi targets dekh rahe hain 158.60 ke upar, hatta ke 161.84 tak. Mazeed, MACD(12,26,9) oscillator ne ek uptrend ko return kiya hai. Magar growth mein recent slowdown dekha gaya hai, jahan resistance 153.45 par hai, jo Fibonacci level 50% ke qareeb hai. MACD(12,26,9) oscillator ke signs dikh rahe hain ke yeh zero line ke upar return kar raha hai. Aik decisive signal price khud dega, jab daily candle 153.45 ke upar ya neeche close hogi.

Bearish Scenario Mein:

Agar bearish scenario develop hota hai, to MACD line 150.35 ke qareeb target banegi, jo Fibonacci level 23.6% ke qareeb hai.

Bullish Scenario Mein:

Agar bullish scenario develop hota hai, to target intermediate level 156.00 banega.





Best of luck all traders.

لیکن یہ زیادہ دلچسپ لگتا ہے کہ قیمت اگلے مزاحمتی زون کی طرف بڑھ جائے گی، جو 156.80-158.30 پر ہے۔ موجودہ سے، یا 154.40 کے نیچے ایک غلط بریک آؤٹ کے ذریعے، لیکن اگر نمو دی جاتی ہے، تو ہاں، یہ دیکھنا دلچسپ ہوگا کہ بینک آف جاپان مداخلت کے لیے کتنا تیار ہے، حالانکہ میرا خیال ہے کہ مداخلت کی حد ختم ہو چکی ہے، اور وہ زبانی طور پر اتار چڑھاؤ کو روکنے کی کوشش کریں گے۔ لہٰذا، اگر شارٹس کو لوڈ کرنا جاری رکھا جائے، تو نمو جاری رہے گی، اور پھر سے ہم 160 کے ہندسے کی طرف نکلتے دیکھیں گے، شارٹ میں ایک تیزی سے کمی، اور خریداروں میں اضافہ، اور یہ بھی ممکن ہے، جو قیمت میں تبدیلی اور کمی کی طرف لے جائے گا۔
usdjpy دوپہر بخیر جمعرات کو، بُلز دو دن کی ایک قسم کی اصلاح میں چلے گئے، اور آج صورتحال بالکل بدل سکتی ہے؛ 4 گھنٹے کا نمو انڈیکس، جو پہلے بئیرز کے پاس گیا تھا، آج بُل میں تبدیل ہو سکتا ہے، جو نمو کی اگلی لہر کا سبب بن سکتا ہے، اب ہفتہ وار پیمانے پر۔ مختصر میں، آگے ہم 155.96 تک بریک تھرو کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں اور پھر 156.50 کے علاقے تک نمو۔
دراصل، حرکت کسی بھی سمت ہو سکتی ہے، لیکن گھنٹہ وار نمو انڈیکس کی موجودگی خود میں تبدیلی کی نشاندہی کر سکتی ہے؛ 4 گھنٹے کا نمو انڈیکس، جو پہلے بئیرز کے پاس گیا تھا، آج بُل میں تبدیل ہو سکتا ہے، جو نمو کی اگلی لہر کا سبب بن سکتا ہے، اب ہفتہ وار پیمانے پر۔ مختصر میں، آگے ہم 155.96 تک بریک تھرو کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں اور پھر 156.50 کے علاقے تک نمو۔
دراصل، حرکت کسی بھی سمت ہو سکتی ہے، لیکن قیمت کے بعد گھنٹہ وار نمو انڈیکس کی موجودگی بُلش زون میں جاری شمالی نمو کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے۔ تاہم، حجم میں کمی جاری ہے، لہٰذا اگر انڈیکیٹر کے اشارے مختلف ہوں، تو میں بینچ پر رہنا پسند کرتا ہوں، لیکن اگر 155.97/155.33 میں سے کوئی ایک لائن ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو میں داخلے پر غور کروں گا۔
دراصل، اصلاح کے دوران کمی نہیں ہوئی، لہٰذا اس وقت میں حمایت 155.33 کے بریک ڈاؤن تک شمالی نمو کی توقع کرتا ہوں؛ نیچے بریک کے ساتھ، شمال منسوخ ہو جاتا ہے اور میں جنوبی سمت پر غور کرتا ہوں۔ لیکن میں دہراتا ہوں، اب ترجیح شمال ہے اور 155.97 کا اوپر کی طرف بریک آؤٹ کا انتظار کرنا ضروری ہے، لیکن پہلے 4 گھنٹے کی موم بتی کے اوپر 155.97 کے بریک آؤٹ کے ساتھ فکس ہونا ضروری ہے۔ آج، تیسرا منظرنامہ ممکن ہے، 155.97/155.33 کی تنگ حدوں میں رہتے ہوئے۔


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میں، آگے ہم 155.96 تک بریک تھرو کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں اور پھر 156.50 کے علاقے تک نمو۔ دراصل، حرکت کسی بھی سمت ہو سکتی ہے، لیکن گھنٹہ وار نمو انڈیکس کی موجودگی خود میں تبدیلی کی نشاندہی کر سکتی ہے؛ 4 گھنٹے کا نمو انڈیکس، جو پہلے بئیرز کے پاس گیا تھا، آج بُل میں تبدیل ہو سکتا ہے، جو نمو کی اگلی لہر کا سبب بن سکتا ہے، اب ہفتہ وار پیمانے پر۔ مختصر میں، آگے ہم 155.96 تک بریک تھرو کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں اور پھر 156.50 کے علاقے تک نمو۔ دراصل، حرکت کسی بھی سمت ہو سکتی ہے، لیکن قیمت کے بعد گھنٹہ وار نمو انڈیکس کی موجودگی بُلش زون میں جاری شمالی نمو کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے۔ تاہم، حجم میں کمی جاری ہے، لہٰذا اگر انڈیکیٹر کے اشارے مختلف ہوں، تو میں بینچ پر رہنا پسند کرتا ہوں، لیکن اگر 155.97/155.33 میں سے کوئی ایک لائن ٹوٹ جاتی ہے،

On Friday, the USD/JPY pair didn't initiate a proper corrective pullback, resulting in a small bullish candle within the previous day's range, with its closing price near an important resistance level of 155.953. For the upcoming week, I'll keep an eye on this resistance level to spot potential trading opportunities.
At this resistance level, two possible scenarios could unfold. The priority scenario is that the price consolidates above this level and continues its upward movement. If this scenario plays out, I anticipate the price to advance towards the next resistance level at 160.209. A confirmed breakout from this level could signal further upward movement towards the 164.500 resistance level. As the price approaches this latter target, I'll look for potential setups for the next trading direction.

During the upward movement, I'll have to assume that pullbacks will occur along the way. During these pullbacks, I'll try to identify bullish signals near support levels to capitalize on the continuous uptrend within the emerging global trend.

On the other hand, an alternative scenario could be the formation of a reversal candle at the 155.953 resistance level, resulting in a downward movement. If this scenario unfolds, I hope the price remains towards the support levels at 151.856 or 150.890. Near these support levels, I'll keep an eye out for bullish signals and maintain a disciplined expectation for an upward movement.

For the upcoming week, no significant trading opportunities are apparent at the moment. However, I lean towards a northern trend, and I'm scouting potential bullish setups towards the current resistance levels.

It's crucial to remain flexible in our trading approach and adjust our strategies according to market dynamics and price action. By closely monitoring market movements and keeping an eye on price actions, we can prepare ourselves to seize upcoming opportunities in the market.

In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair holds potential opportunities for both upward and downward movements in the upcoming week. By examining price action in detail and staying informed about market dynamics, we can effectively navigate the markets and make informed trading decisions to achieve our desired trading outcomes.

USD/JPY currency pair ne European trading ke shuruat mein teen dinon ke downtrend ko ulta kar ke 153.70 ke aas paas ghooma. Is tabdili ko US Dollar (USD) mein izafa se jor diya ja sakta hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke USD ki taqat ko major currencies ke basket ke muqable mein darust karta hai, 105.10 ke qareeb tha. Yeh izafa mukhtalif factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Ek to yeh ke US ki economy se mutaliq kuch achi khabren aayi hain jinhon ne investoron ka aitmaad barhaya hai. US ki GDP growth rate mein izafa aur employment data bhi acha raha, jisse yeh lagta hai ke US economy mazid stable ho rahi hai. Issi ke saath Federal Reserve ki policies bhi aik aham kirdar ada karti hain. Agar Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko barhata hai ya unhe uchi rakhne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh US Dollar ki demand ko barha sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, Japanese Yen (JPY) bhi apni kamzori ki wajah se pressure mein hai. Bank of Japan apni monetary policy ko kaafi loose rakhta hai, jisse Yen ki value stable nahin reh pati. Low interest rates aur quantitative easing ki policies Yen ko weak rakhti hain, jisse USD/JPY pair mein USD ko faida hota hai. USD/JPY pair mein trading karte waqt kuch technical factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko dekh kar traders ko maloom hota hai ke market ka trend kya hai. Agar moving averages upar ja rahe hain to yeh bullish trend ka ishara hota hai, jabke niche jaane par bearish trend ka.

Fundamental analysis ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions bhi currencies ki value ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Agar duniya ke kisi hissa mein instability hoti hai to investors safe haven assets jaise ke USD aur Gold mein invest karte hain. Abhi ke liye, US aur Japan ke darmiyan koi khas geopolitical tension nahi hai, lekin agar aane wale dinon mein aisa kuch hota hai to yeh bhi USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Currency pair ke movements ko samajhne ke liye economic calendars aur financial news sources par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Economic calendars mein major economic events aur data releases ki dates hoti hain jisse traders apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis (14-5-2024) Mojooda Surathaal ka Jaiza:

USD/JPY currency pair ke H4, daily, aur weekly technical outlook ke mutabiq, yeh pair aage barhne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh ek bullish trend me hai. Agar aap trade kholna chahte hain, toh aap 156.40 level par buy trade initiate kar sakte hain. Magar agar price 155.66 level se neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Short-Term Bullish Target:

Is short-term bullish outlook ka projected target 157.58 level ke ird gird hai. Lekin safe trading ke liye, aap apni trading position ko 156.90 level par close kar sakte hain.

Weekly Outlook:

Kal market 155.75 level par khuli thi. Kal ke trading session mein, isne 156.25 ka high aur 155.51 ka low dekha. Yani, kal ka trading range taqriban 74 pips tha aur market sentiment bullish hai. Market weekly pivot level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh yahan se upar ki taraf bullish move ko jaari rakh sakti hai.

Daily Outlook:

Daily bias market ka bullish hai. Meri strategy ke tamam indicators bullish move signal kar rahe hain:

RSI14: 50 level se upar move kar raha hai.
MACD: Apni zero histogram line se upar move kar raha hai.
MA Strategy: Market ki bullish strength ko represent kar raha hai.
Bullish Fractal Pattern: Appear hua hai, jo bullish trend ki nishandahi karta hai.
H4 Time Frame Price Action Outlook:

H4 time frame par bhi, aaj bearish move continue karne ke asar hain kyunki:

Pair ne resistance line ko upside break kiya hai.
Yeh EMA 30 se upar move kar raha hai.
Yeh daily pivot level ke upar move kar raha hai.
Strategic Analysis:

USD/JPY pair ke current technical indicators aur price action analysis se yeh zahir hota hai ke market bullish hai. Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price 155.66 level se neeche na jaye, warna yeh short-term bullish trend ko invalidate kar dega. Safe trading ke liye 156.90 par apni position ko close karna samajhdari hogi.

Conclusion
USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh batata hai ke yeh currency pair abhi bullish trend mein hai. H4, daily, aur weekly technical outlooks bhi bullish signal de rahe hain. Agar price 155.66 se neeche nahi jati, toh traders 156.40 level par buy position open kar sakte hain aur 156.90 par close karke apni gains ko secure kar sakte hain. Market ki current surathaal ko dekhte hue, aage bhi bullish move ki umeed hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne pichle haftay ke trading sessions mein ahem izafa dekha. Japanese yen par mukhtalif factors ki wajah se dabaav aya hai. Yen ki kami investoron ka Japan ke future economy mein aitbaar kam hone ki wajah se hai. Japan se aane wale economic data mei ghair wazehi hai, jo investors ke darmiyan tashweesh paida kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar ki taqat aur US Federal Reserve aur Japan ke monetary policies bhi yen ki kamzori ka sabab ban gaye hain.
USD/JPY currency pair ka doosra factor Bank of Japan ka interference mein kami hai jo national currency exchange rate ko asar andaz nahi kar raha hai. Central bank ki kam interference se market forces majorly currency pair ki movement par qabza rakhti hain. Is interference ki kami ne US dollar ki taqat ko Japanese yen par zor daalne ki ijaazat di hai, jo ke greenback ke khilaaf kamzor hone ka sabab bana.

Agar agli saptah ke shuruaat mein neeche ki taraf taqseem hona mumkin hai, lekin overall trend USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bullsih hai. Pair ko abhi bullish sentiment se chalaya ja raha hai, aur kisi bhi mumkin neeche ki harkat mein traders ke liye buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Currency pair ke liye ek potential reversal point 154.75 level par mojood hai. Agar pair is level ko paar karta hai aur consolidate ho jata hai, to masalsal apni upar ki manzil ki taraf barh sakta hai 156.75 aur 157.25 ke levels tak.

Doosri taraf, agar pair neeche ki taraf move karta hai aur 154.75 mark ko todkar chalne lagta hai, to 154.25 aur 153.85 levels par support mil sakta hai. In levels se traders currency pair par dobara long positions le sakte hain, kisi bhi mumkin buying opportunities ka faida utha kar.

Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh amariyat mei rahen aur future mein hone wale kisi bhi khabar ya waqeaton ke bare mein muntazir rahen jo USD/JPY currency pair ki movement par asar dal sakte hain. Forex market economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies ke liye intihai sensitive hoti hai, jo exchange rates par asar dal sakte hain. Trading plan aur risk management strategy ko behtar banane ke liye zaroori hai ke traders market ke conditions aur updates ke mutabiq chicane trading decisions lein.

Aakhri alfaaz mein, USD/JPY currency pair halat mein bullish sentiment ke control mein hai, traders ke liye potential opportunities ke saath upar ki taraf rujoo rakhne ke liye. Kam muddat ki correction ho sakti hai, lekin currency pair ke liye overall outlook mazid hai. Traders ko mustafi rahne aur market conditions aur taraqqiyat ke mutabiq chuninda trading decisions lene ke liye tayar rehne chahiye.

Khush trading aur aapki trades munafa mand ho!

Maine dekha hai ke humari guftagu ab USD/JPY ke daamon ke haliyat ko samajhne par mabni hai. Abhi asset ke daam 151.73 hain, aur main chand short positions mein sakht shamil hona pasand karta hoon. Bollinger envelope ka niche ka hadood, level 151.61, faida hasil karne ka maqsood banata hai. Qeematoun ke unwaan ka histogram bhi meri nigaah mein hai. Agar qeemat 151.61 ke neeche gir jaaye aur volumes mein izafa ho, toh main samjhaunga ke yeh bechnay ka aakhri daur hai jise ek correctiv pullback takraaye. Aise maamlay mein, ek lambi position kholna mojooda trading din mein palatne ke doraan maqbool ho jayega, jo dikhata hai ke qeemat 151.70 ke upar chadh jaayegi aur 151.70 ke upar istiqamat hasil hoga. Magar, yeh mere secondary plan ka hissa banega mojooda trading din ke liye. Abhi fikar karni chahiye bechne ke muamele par. Aanewale din ki session is masle par kuch roshni daalne wali hai, aur agar bazaar mein koi giravat nahi dikhai deti, toh hum umeed kar sakte hain ek bullish trend ki wapas aane ki. Yeh khaas taur par zaroori hoga ke 151.94 ke resistance level ko paar kiya jaaye, jo USD/JPY pair mein bullish movement ka raasta rokta hai, aur is level ko torne ke baad, hum umeed kar sakte hain ke upward trend jaari rahega aur 152.89 aur phir 153.84 ke level tak pahunchega.
Iss marhale mein, hum ek faisla shuda paar karne ko dekh sakte hain, jo aam tor par mushkilat ki wajah se bahar nikalna aasaan nahi hoga. Shayad aaj hum triangle ke bahar jaane mein kaamyab ho jaayein. USD/JPY bazaar mein bullish trend nihayat taqatwar ho raha hai jabke ek saath hi mojooda raaste ko barqarar rakhne ke liye naye asbab tayar ho rahe hain. Namuna ke taur par, 151.94 ke level ka mazboot level banne ka tawaqo hai jahan se mazeed izaafa shuru hoga. Iss dhamake daar aghaaz ke saath, mujhe umeed hai ke is level ke uttar mein izaafa jaari rahega, mazeed faida haasil karne ke umeed ke saath. Agla kya hota hai, yeh khaas data ka tajziya ki zaroorat hai. Magar, ek aehem baat hai ke qeemat 153.84 ke level tak barh sakti hai, isliye bear ko is upward movement mein kamiyabi ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye. Mumkin hai, main USD/JPY bechnay ke liye trade kholne ki tavajjo nahi doonga, kyunke yeh qeemat ka aam raasta ke khilaaf ja sakta hai. Preshani se bachne ka ek tareeqa bazaar dynamics par mabni rehna hai, haalaanki yeh ek nihayat mushkil kaam ho sakta hai.