𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Technical analysis of the USDJPY pair

4-hour chart

Mumkin hai ke pair ki keemat ooper jaane ka trend shuru ho jaye, kyun ke keemat kai ghanton se nichle laal channel ke darja par mustaqil ho rahi hai.
Is haftay ke doran, keemat do channels se paida hone wale keemat ke triangle ke andar trade karne ka aghaz kiya, jin mein se aik laal rang mein bearish channel hai, jo peechle haftay ke price movement ko numaya karta hai.
Doosra channel neela rang mein side mein hai aur peechle do hafton ke price movement ko numaya karta hai.
Keemat ooper chali gayi, aur triangle aur laal channel ooper se toot gaye, ab waqt ke doran, keemat ko mazeed uthane ke liye sahara mil raha hai, kyun ke kharidari ko dakhil kar sakte hain baad mein agar keemat haftay ka pivot level 155.03 ke ooper trade ho jaaye aur nishana set kiya jaaye haftay ka resistance level 158.18 ke neeche.
Maeeshat ke front par, Japani yen dobara 154 yen se zyada ke mukablay mein gir gayi US dollar ke liye, peechle haftay ke faidein ko chhod diya, jab ke sarbarahi mudra diplomat Masato Kanda ne kaha ke hakoomat tayyar hai be-kabu aur tajzia kiye ja rahe forex movement se larnay ke liye. Magar, Kanda ne inkaar kiya ke Japanese authorities peechle haftay ke shak mein ghair mutahammil aur jhoote tareeqe par yen ki ghutti hui karwai ke peechay hain jab yen ne zyada se zyada 5.2% ke had tak pahunch gayi.
Aam tor par, Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq is ne qaribi $60 billion kharch kiye currency ko bachane ke liye. Is ke baad bhi, analysts ne kaha ke is harkat ne sirf Japani authorities ko thoda sa waqt diya jab ke market ke asli bunyadiyat Japani yen ke liye bearish rahi. Us ke hisaab se, America ke Khazane Wazir Janet Yellen ne bhi haftay ke doraan kaha ke dakhalat kam aur mashwaray hon chahiye, isharaat dete hue ke forex policy par Japan aur America ke darmiyan ittehad ka na hona.
Amreeki Federal Reserve ke afseer is haftay ke doran

USD/JPY: Ghairat Mandi Ko Samajhna
USD/JPY ke qeemat ka rawiya haal mein garm mudda ban gaya hai. Ek izafay ka faisla karne ke liye koi buniyadi buniyad nahi hai. Hum is jori ke junubi hisson ke liye musbat nazar rakhte hain, aur is sharafat ke darja ko itefaqi nahi samjha jata; bunyadi data farokht ki taraf zyada hai. Abhi, qeemat 151.47 ke darje tak neeche ja rahi hai, aur is harkat ko jari rakhne ke liye, 152.42 ke darje ko fatah karna zaroori hai. Mujhe yakin hai ke jald humein is trend ko barqarar rakhne ka moqa milega ya humein rukh badalna parega, halankeh is ke imkaanat kam hain. 152.42 ke darje ke upar nikalne ka aik imkaan be shak hai, aur bearish trend ke andar, hum 150.52 ke darje ki taraf aik harkat ka imkaan dekh sakte hain. Jabke main ek promotion ka imkaan ki khuli hoon, yeh bohot kamzor hai. Agar yeh manzar waqe ho, to hum behtareen halat mein 154.33 ke darje tak pahonch sakte hain. USD/JPY jodi ke 160.00 recordon ke bare mein, ab jo yen ke tanaza aur Bank of Japan ke is ki karwaiyon ke gird uth gaya hai, us ke sath, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke Bank of Japan ki maeeshat ki siyasiyat mein koi bunyadi tabdeeliyan nahi aayi hain, jo haqeeqat mein, kuch hissay mein, USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein izafa aur yen mein kami ka sabab ban gayi hai. Is liye, shirakat daaron ko jo ab sirf jodi ko neeche jaate hue dekh rahe hain, unhen khud ko behkane nahi dena chahiye.

Tamam ye dawayein, bina maeeashati siyasiyat ke nizaam ka theek taur par intizam kiye, sirf aik waqtanawi tadbeer hain, aur agar bank darja barhaye baghair aur dawa kare ke maeeshati siyasiyat ab zyada sakht hogi, behatar hai ke Fed darja kam kar de, to aakhir mein, agar kuch bhi na ho, to hum dekhein ge, aik waqtanawi rukawat ke baad jodi ke keemat mein izafa, aur naye tareekhi unche ko naye izafon ka nashaa. Aam tor par, hum aik trend ke samne hain jo bharon ka fatah hone ke sath khatam hoga. Farokht karne walon ko ab waziha faida hai: har rukawat darje par, wo khiladi jo giravat par paisa kamana chahte hain, initiative lete hain, shumali harkat mukammal karte hain. Yeh trend doosri giravat ke qadam se kat jata hai aur ek bearish trend ka bunyadi asas ban jata hai. Agar yeh trend jari rahe, to hum USD/JPY ke liye ahem madadgar darja 151.47 tak ki taraf aik numaya harkat ka imkaan dekh sakte hain. Isi doran, bullish potential kabhi kabhi apne aap ko kam darja mein zahir karta hai lekin ahem hai ke 154.33 ke darje ko rukawat ke taur par nahi paar kiya jaye. Main bhi farokht ki nukta-e-nazar par muttafiq hoon; 154.00 tak wapas aane par, aap aaram se USD/JPY ko farokht kar sakte hain. Takneekan, agar woh 152.00 ke support ko daba den, to is ke imkaan hai ke ek durusti ka koshish kiya jaye 147.00 tak, lekin sab kuch bas aik wide range ke andar hi reh sakta hai, aur ghairat barhawa pan aik waqtanawi taur par kum ho jaye, jo ke Bank of Japan ko hasil karne ki koshish hai. Is liye, dekhte hain ke USD/JPY keemaat aaj ke riyasati shumaray ke mukabil kis tarah ka peshkash karta hai aur keemaat kis taraf jati hai.

Bank of Japan Ke Naye Hoshedar Qadmon Ka Aghaz



Bank of Japan aam tor par hoshedar ban gaya hai, jahan zyadatar shiraa'kat karne wale hissadaraat ne yeh kaha ke hobby rate hikes ki zarurat hai.

USD/JPY ka naya rate 155.46 tha, aur opening rate 155.53 tha. Bank of Japan ke April ke meeting ke reports ka ikhtisaar dikhata hai ke zyadatar central bank ke tajziye ke shiraa'kat karne wale hissadaraat ne hoshedar ban gaye hain, aur bohot se shiraa'kat karne wale hissadaraat ne yeh kaha ke inflation ke khatre ko rokne ke liye daramadon ko ba-qadri ba-qadri barhane ki zarurat hai.

Ek report ke mutabiq, jo Thursday ko jaari hui, kuch shiraa'kat karne wale hissadaraat ka yeh manna hai ke ab inflation ka khatra yeh hai ke ya to yeh Bank of Japan ke 2% target level par rahay ya isse bhi zyada ho jaye, is liye interest rate hikes ka raftar pehle se zyada tezi se ho sakti hai. Is baat ko samne rakhte hue Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne haal hi mein kuch bemayni rate hikes ka ishaara diya hai aur agle maheenon mein muddatbardar iqsaam ke adayegi ka imkan ko barha diya hai. Ikhtisaar mein shamil hone wale mazeed opinions ne interest rates ko ba-qadri barhane ki zarurat ko dobara yaad dilaya aur mustaqbil mein Bank of Japan ke bond purchases ke maamle mein kami karne ka mashwara diya. Ek member ne kaha ke Bank of Japan ko apni interest rates ko daramadi tor par barhane ka imkan ko samne rakhte hue interest rates ko halka phulka barhane ka imkan ko yaad rakhna chahiye taake ye apne rate target ko barqarar rakh sake.

USD/JPY ne Wednesday ko teesri musalsal session ke liye sabz mein band kiya, jahan pair ne apni 50-day moving average 152.72 se technical support hasil kiya aur bull market mein trade karna jaari rakha, ek mumkin "tide in" ke bawajood. Yeh saal mein 10% se zyada izafa kar chuka hai.

Har Indicator Ki Apni Fawaid aur Nuqsanat Hain



Har indicator apni fawaid aur nuqsanat rakhta hai. USDJPY pair par, Ichimoku indicator ki taaqat dikhayi de rahi hai, jab market 155.203 level par trade kar raha hai, Senkou Span A 154.111 aur Senkou Span B 153.225 lines ke ooper. Medium-term izafa par nazar rakhne wale kharidari walay is ilaake ko dominate karte hain, jo ke "cloud" ke naam se mashhoor hai. Main khareedne ka soch raha hoon aur jab tak indicators kuch aur signal na dein, mujhe is position ko qaim rakhne ka koshish karunga. Kuch kamzor pehlu Tenkan-sen 154.912 aur Kijun-sen 154.623 lines ka guzar hai, jo ke fluctuations ka shikaar hain aur penetration ke baghair signals de sakte hain. Ye product (jo ke "Golden Cross" bhi kehlaya jata hai) khareedne ke liye bohot hi mufeed hai. In signals ka imtizaaj ek mazboot bullish signal ke tor par consider kiya jata hai, is liye izafa ka imkan hai. Mujhe paisa kamana hai. Meri zimmedari sirf paisa kamana hai. Jab waqt aya ke cloud mein wapas integration ke liye jana tha, main ne procurement ko band kar diya.

USD/JPY H-4


USD/JPY pair Asian session ke doran urooj par tha. Yen phir se major currencies ke khilaf gir gaya. Mukhtalif factors ne Japanese yen ko nicha daba diya hai. Khaaskar, investors ko yakeen nahi hai ke Japan ki maeeshat izafa karaygi. Pair bhi US dollar ke dynamics ke mutabiq izafa kar raha hai. Yen par mazeed dabao Federal Reserve ki monetary policy se bhi ata hai. Is pair ke liye, din ke pehle hisse mein kuch nichli correction ke baad, lekin overall, main uptrend ka izafa muntazir hoon. Bull completely is currency pair ke trading par qabu rakhte hain. Ek moharik maqam 154.25 level hai, jis ke ooper main khareedna pasand karunga, maqsad ke tor par 156.25 aur 156.75 levels ka. Agar pair neechay jaaye aur 154.25 level ke ooper chala jaye aur merge ho jaye, to rasta khul jayega 153.75 aur 153.25 levels ke taraf.

USD/JPY currency pair ne kisi taqatwar aur bullish movement ko sabit kiya hai. Is movement ne pair ki keemat ko 158.43 tak pohancha diya hai, jo ek aham juncture hai. Yeh tezi se badh raha hai aur traders ke liye naye opportunities ka darwaza kholta hai. Is bullish movement ke piche kai factors ho sakte hain. Sabse pehla factor ho sakta hai economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures. Agar ye sabhi indicators strong hain, toh market confidence badhta hai aur currency pair bhi tezi se badhta hai. Doosra factor ho sakta hai geopolitical tensions ya kisi specific event ka impact. Agar koi bada event ho jaise ke trade deals ya political developments, toh market react kar sakta hai aur currency pair ko influence kar sakta hai.





USD/JPY pair ki 158.43 tak pohanchne ke baad, traders ko market ke further movement ka jawab dhoondhna hoga. Yeh ek crucial resistance level hai, jahan se pair pehle bhi bounce back kar chuka hai. Agar pair is level ko paar kar leta hai, toh yeh ek bullish trend ka indication ho sakta hai aur traders ko aur bhi zyada confidence mil sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bullish movement ke beech mein bhi kuch challenges hote hain.Aaj ke trading session mein USDJPY currency pair mein 155.354 ke level par resistance ke signs nazar aa rahe hain. Ye resistance level ahem hai kyunki yeh ek point ko darust karta hai jahan buyers ka kamyabi ka imtehan ho sakta hai, aur yeh long positions mein mukhtalif fayda hone ka point bhi ho sakta hai. USDJPY pair ka mojooda quote 155.324 par hai, jo resistance level ke qareeb hai, jisse buyers ko bullish trend par faida uthane ka mumkin mauqa ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair D1 time frame mein ek bahut shandar uptrend dekha ja raha hai, jo tezi aur bechaini se numaya hai. Haal hi mein, Jumma ko, ye ek be misaal level tak pahunch gaya 158.30, jo uski tareekhi irtiqa se be misaal hai. Ab, analysts ye soch rahe hain ke ye barhti hui raftaar jari rahegi ya agar ek junubi rukh qareeb hai. Pichle haftay ki harkaton ko dekhte hue, utasalar Jumma ki, lagta hai ke Bank of Japan ne keemat control se nikal diya, jo amreeki ghod ko aagey barhne diya bina kisi rukawat ke. Ye pehli shawar yeh chingariyan ko hasil karti rahi thi jo Jumma ke Bank of Japan ke meeting se aai, jahan interest rates chhuhe gaye, mulk mein hamesha kam inflation ko wajah banate hue.
Jumma ki meeting ki ahmiyat ko bohot hi zyada nahi kiya ja sakta. Status quo ko barqarar rehne ka faisla karke, Bank of Japan ne essentailly USD/JPY pair ko apni silsilewaar barhti hui raftaar jari rakhne ki ijaazat de di. Ye faisla sirf currency traders ke liye hi nahi blke mukhtalif followers mein economic sentiment aur policy outlooks par bhi asar andazi rakhta hai. Tafseelan iss rishte ki faidaemandi mein jaane se, wazeh ho jata hai ke USD/JPY ki irtiqa maeetdari ke nataayej aur market ki umeedon ka wider chakra ka pehloo hai. Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko mustabar rakhte hue, yeh tasalli deti hai ke isne maafi dene wale monetary measures ki goi ki hai, jo ke muddat ke sath American dollar ki mazid izzat ko mazid mazboot karti hai against Japanese yen. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ki shaded irthi hai zarai narrative ko siyab deti hai mulk ki mukhtasir currency ke khilaf dollar ke istitab ke sath jo factors se chala jata hai, jese ke mazboot economic indicators, himmat vegana projections, aur Federal Reserve se mudat mein huddo monetary policy ki umeed ke sath. Haan, is shidat bhari ralli ke darmiyan hoshyari se labraiz awazain nikalti hain, jo is tezi se izzafa se juray khatron aur nazukiyaton ko roshan karte hain. Garam hawa peesh aati hai, tajawee fazai haad se leke, aur doosray nuksan jatke jise investors ko financial markets ki asli ghair mutawaqtgi ki yaad dilate hain.

USD/JPY pair ne 157.500 target level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo forex market mein ek trend ki nishani hai. Lekin traders ko ye zaroor maloom hona chahiye ke Ichimoku indicator par pura bharosa karke trading decisions lena khatarnak ho sakta hai. Ichimoku indicator market trends aur momentum ke baray mein bhut aham maloomat faraham karta hai, lekin kabhi kabhi yeh ghalat signals bhi de sakta hai, khaaskar jab liquidity kam ho ya volatility zyada ho. Trading decisions mein ziada aghai hasil karne aur risk kam karne ke liye, traders ko apni analysis ko doosri technical indicators aur bunyadi factors ke sath mukammal karna chahiye.
Agay dekhte hue, Japanese yen ke samne mazeed neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna hone wala hai qareebi mustaqbil mein. Is trend ka ek bada sabab investors ki Japan ki economic growth ke imkanat mein bharosa kam hona hai. Sarkar aur monetary authorities ke koshishon ke bawajood, mazid challenges jaise ke bharashta abadi aur deflationary pressures ki wajah se Japan ka recovery rukawat mein hai. Is ke ilawa, US dollar ki taqat hone ne yen ko aur bhi kamzor bana diya hai. Dollar ki taqat barhne ke piche wajuhat mein shamil hain mazid taqatwar economic data, ziada interest rates, aur Federal Reserve ki tight monetary policy ke expectations.

Yen ke depreciate hone par ek aur important factor monetary policies ke farak mein Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan hai. Jab ke BOJ ne ultra-low interest rates aur quantitative easing measures ke sath ek accommodative stance maintain ki hai, wahi Federal Reserve apni bond purchases ko dheere-dheere kam kar rahi hai aur monetary tightening ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is monetary policy ke ikhtalaf ne dono currencies ke darmiyan interest rate differential ko barha diya hai, jis se yen ko ziada attractive nahi milti investors ko jo ziada yields ki talaash mein hote hain.

Is ke ilawa, global geopolitical tensions aur overall risk sentiment bhi yen ki performance par asar dalte hain. Jab market mein uncertainty ya toofani dor hoti hai, to investors safe-haven assets jaise ke US dollar ki taraf daurte hain, jo yen par mazeed kamzori dalta hai.

Mukhtasar tor par, Japanese yen ka US dollar ke samne mazeed neeche jana expected hai weak economic fundamentals, monetary policy divergence, aur global market dynamics ke ek taqreeban hosla afzai cheezon ke joroobat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh developments ko qareeb se monitor karen aur tezi se badalte hui market conditions ke mutabiq tayar rahen. Ghair inthai hony, ya market sentiment mein tabdeeli ke achanak hadsat ki surat mein currency pair ke raaste mein tajwaz ho sakta hai.

Forex market ke complexities se nijat paane ke liye, traders ko apni trading strategies mein mukhtalif technical indicators, fundamental analysis aur market sentiment shamil karne chahiye. Is tarah se traders sahi faislay le sakte hain, risk ko behtar tareeqe se manage kar sakte hain, aur munafay ke liye trading opportunities ko faidah utha sakte hain. Alert rehna aur flexibility apne approach mein laane se traders forex market ke complexities se samna kar sakte hain aur mukhtalif sharayat ke mutabiq tabdeelon ka saamna kar sakte hain.

mein aise volatility ka intezar nahi kar raha tha kal. Aur zahir hai ke Japan Bank zimmedar thi, chahe chutti ka din tha, lekin mujhe shak ka aur koi wazeh tareeqa nahi mila. Halankeh, haqeeqat mein, phir bhi, humein ab bhi ek urooj raftar hai, aur kal humne 155 ke asray ko hataya aur ab bhi hum barh rahe hain aur shumal ki taraf dabao daal rahe hain. Aur jabke aaj volatility thori kam hogayi hai, to ahem hai ke dollar mustaqbil mein kis tarah se trade karega. Halankeh har soorat mein short initiative ab bhi mojood hai. Lekin mein ye imka
par, USDJPY pair mein aam tor par upar ki movement nazar aati hai, jisme price mein significant swings hain, jaise ke zig-zag indicator se zahir hota hai. Khaaskar, significant chhoti aur bari points mein izafa ho raha hai, jo strong khareedne wale dabao ko darshaata hai. Trend indicator, 120 ke doran ek moving average, price ke neeche position par hai, jise buyers ki taqat ko highlight karta n ko bhi rad nahi karta ke hum dobara 159-159.30 ke asray mein aa sakte hain, lekin main wahan bechna ki koshish karunga. 157.00 ke jhooti break out ho sakta hai, uske baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. 156.65 ke range ko todna aur uske neeche jam jana mumkin hai, phir ye bechna ka signal hoga. 157.00 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se,

girawat jari rahegi. Main ke range ke jhooti break out ko tasleem karta hoon, lekin uske baad bhi, girawat jari rahegi. 156.70 ke range mein support hai aur shayad uske neeche, girawat jari rahegi. Jab tak main 157.00 ke range ka barhav aur girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, girawat jari rahegi. Shayad 157.00 ke range ka jhooti break out pehle hi ho chuka hai aur uske baad, hum dheere dheere girawat aur 157.60 ke support range ka break out karte hain. Agar hum
156.65 ke range ko tod kar uske neeche jam jaate hain, to ye bechna ka signal hoga.Shab Bakhair dosto! Natural tor par, abhi tak dakchhin ko sirf chhote chhote dakchhin uljhanon ke liye maqool nahi samjha ja raha hai, jo ki intehai buland agressiveness ki urooj raftar ko qaim karne ke liye hoti hai, aur phir se urooj raftar ke range mein wapas lautne ke liye. Aaj ka daily candle USD/JPY currency pair ke liye, Jumeraat ke super large daily candle ki taqreeban correction ko dikhata hai aur ab hum kaafi zyada ma nuqsanat ko kam kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko markazi hawalaat ki tajwezat ke jawab mein muntaqil karna chahiye. Mazboot risk management asoolon ka paalan karne aur takneeki tahlil ke insights ka faida uthane se, traders apne aap ko USDJPY market mein mutawazi taur par muqarrar kar sakte hain taake umeed ki gayi niche ki taraf qeemat ka rawaya se faida utha sakeinrket volatility ke sath shumali raftar mein agay barh rahe hain, jo urooj ki shumal trend ki jari rahi hai. Asal mein, main 155.87 ke support zone tak mumkinah correction

Japan Bank ki currency market main interventions ke moamle mein halat bohot gehrai wale hain. Haal hi mein hue transactions ki limited maloomat aur halat ke bare mein shak hai is liye is mamle par kisi final raaye ko banane mein mushkil aa rahi hai. Lekin yeh wazeh hai ke currency market ko mutasir karne ke liye kafi assests istemal kiye gaye hain. Agar yen dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed kamzor hoti jaati hai to kya bank dobara mudakhilat karega, yeh aik ahem sawal banta hai.

United States Treasury Secretary ne interventions ke khilaf aghah karte hue dhamkiyaan di hain, jise kehte hain ke America interventions ke maamle mein pareshan hai. In tanbeehon ke bawajood yen ka mazeed kamzor hona jari raha hai, jo ke Bank of Japan ke mumkinana future mudakhilat ke bare mein guftagu ka sabab bana. Bank of Japan ke peechle amal, sath hi mojooda market ki harkat, daleel dete hain ke USD/JPY pair 156.52 ke aas paas halkar par hai. Yeh kehne ka shak hai ke agar exchange rate is level ko paar kar jata hai to yeh ek farokht ka mauqa dikhata hai. Agar local market participants yen ki istehkamat par yaqeen nahi rakhte hain, to yeh currency mein amoomi market ke imaan par sawal uthata hai.

USD/JPY pair ki rah ka tasavur karne par yeh wazeh hai ke yeh aik upward channel ke andar chal raha hai, jo ke aksar technical analysis ke textbooks mein shamil hota hai. 152.0 ke aas paas tasweerat ya ek thos breakthrough par USD/JPY ko 156 ki taraf ura sakti hai, mukarar trend ke mutaabiq. Lekin, technical analysis bhi darust nazrain dikhata hai ke tight 32-point range ke andar taqseem hone ka bhi amkan hai, jo ke aam tor par zyada dynamic USD/JPY pair ke liye ghair maamooli hai. Raat ke trading ki be-takallufi aur izafi harkatoun ke tasawur mein bhi nashanat dena aage ki forecast ko aur bhi mushkil bana deti hai.

Jab kehayalain mein tawaqqu rakhne ke bawajood, traders aur analaysts ko Bank of Japan ke mumkin amal aur unka asar market par nazar rakhna laazmi hai. United States Treasury Secretary ki tanbeeh is moamle mein mazeed uljhan aur shak bhi peda kar deti hai. Traders ko mukhtalif scenarios ke liye tayyari hona chahiye aur hanoolon ki strategies ko barqi tor par badalna chahiye taake wo bazar mein ho sakti chalangeyat ka muqabla kar sakein.

Currency market ki mojooda shorat mein, bank of japan ke potential interventions ke nishane par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Market par inn mudakhilat ke asar ka bohot bada hota hai aur ye trading decisions aur market sentiment par asar dal sakta hai. Traders ko mutasir hona chahiye aur market ke developments ke mutaliq malomaat hasil karte rahein taake wo achi tarah tayyar hokar market mein hone wale asriyat ka samna kar sakein.

Ikhtitam mein, Japan Bank ke mohtamim decision aur currency market mein interventions ke mumkin moamle bohot gehre aur museebat angaiz hain. Jese hi signs nazar aayein ke yen aur kamzor hoti jaaye to bank ke mudakhilat hone ke imkanat ka paish-e-khameeri sign ban jata hai, United States Treasury Secretary ki tanbeeh ik naya level ehtiyaat ka imtehan deti hai. Traders aur analaysts ko market ko ghaur se monitor karna chahiye taake kisi bhi moghtalif surat haal ke pechhe chupe asri muzirat ko dhorate hue munafa nikaal sakein.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Ka Tafteeshi Jaiza



Main aaj kaam kar raha hoon taake main USDJPY currency pair ki girhavat ka tafteeshi jaiza 4 ghanton ka mool chart istemal kar ke kar sakoon. Aaj ke trading session mein, market ke halaat ab bhi sust hain, aur hum traders jo market ko samajh chuke hain, chaukanna rehna chahiye, kyun ke ek ahem qeemat GAP ke liye jaa sakti hai. Aur filhal USDJPY currency ki qeemat Middle Bands aur EMA50 ke upar trading kar rahi hai, ye saaf hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai. Aur bullish candlestick ki mazbooti ke sath, aaj raat ko ye tajwez hai ke USDJPY currency apni kharidari trend ko mazbooti se barqarar rakhega, aur ye tajwez hai ke kharidar qareebi resistance level 157.00 ko test karenge. Mumkin hai, agar ye resistance level kamyabi se guzara jaye, to qeemat ko mazeed uncha kiya jayega, agle resistance level ko test karne ke liye.




Technical Reference:

Kharidari: 155.200 ke upar rehne ke liye kharidari
Resistance 1: 156.135
Resistance 2: 156.400
Support 1: 155.200
Support 2: 154.960

Tehqiqati Hwalaat:

Ooper diye gaye hourly chart mein, USDJPY European session mein tezi se high aur low range (155.778 - 155.262) mein madghar hua, pehle bearish channel ko torhne ke baad. Aik bullish ishaara bhi Moving Average (MA) dwara diya gaya hai jo chal rahi qeemat ke neeche hai, jo ke iska mtlb hai ke moving average ab bhi bullish hoga. Zigzag bhi bullish potential faraham karta hai kyun ke ye ek upward pattern bana raha hai.

Aik ghanta chart tafteesh ke mutabiq, ooper diye gaye 15 M chart mein, USDJPY bhi kharidari signal dikhata hai kyun ke Stochastic indicator izzat guzari shetani mein aik izafa ke liye mumkinat faraham karta hai kyun ke indicator par laal aur neela line oversold area mein cross kar chuke hain. Agar tajwez ke mutabiq, USDJPY ko resistance level 156.135 ko test karne ka moqa hai.

USD/CHF H-1 USD/JPY H1 Mein currency pairs ko ghanta ke waqt frame par mutalia karta hoon aur is waqt ek kharidari farokht mein dakhil hoona kaafi munasib samjhta hoon. Main is nateeje par kyun pohancha hoon? Mere asal arguments darj zeel hain:

1. Keemat MA200 ke upar waqif hai, jo saaf tor par bullish jazbaat ko darust karti hai.
2. Kal ke doosre hisse mein, jodi ne din ka opening level ke upar trade kiya aur trading day ko uske upar khatam kiya.
3. Keemat ke values ne lagbhag Ballinger ke upper band ko choo liya hai, jo uttar ki raah ko zor se dikhata hai aur yeh zyada possibility hai ke saamaan aage ki taraf chalta rahega.
4. Trading mein, main hamesha RSI indicator ka reading dekhta hoon jis ki ek muddat 14 hai aur agar woh overbought condition mein hai (70 se oopar) ya oversold condition mein hai (30 se neeche), to main koi position dakhil nahi karta. RSI ab ek kharidari nazar se mukhtalif nahi hai, kyun ke woh qabooli hadd ke andar hai.
5. Main ek take profit Fibo level 211% par lagaoonga, jo keemat ke level 157.227 ke barabar hai. Aur phir, ek hisse ko breakeven par le jane ke baad, main mazeed uttar ke Fibo levels par mukhaalif quotes ke liye talaash karonga.

Jodi poori haftay bhar mein barhti rahi aur Bhaluon ko amuman koi mauqa nahi mila. Aise taraqqi par stop ya brek vents ka group pakarne ka mawqay tha. Halanki, ab bhi bhaalu farokht karne wale ko ghalib hain aur maujooda halat mein ek buland ya past kya zaroorat hai, magar yeh na bhoolen ke kabhi bhi farokht karne wale bhaalu ke intezam le sakte hain. Aur phir jodi aasani se mudaaba kar sakti hai aur dakan mein muraad le sakti hai.

USD/JPY ke basic 4-hour market chart par grow karne ki tafseeli guftagu mein hissa lenay ki koshish karunga. Aaj ke trading session mein, market ki conditions abhi bhi sust hain, aur hum traders jo pehle se market ko samajhte hain, unhe chaukanna rehna chahiye, kyun ke ek ahem qeemat GAP ka potential hai. Aur filhal USD/JPY currency ki keemat Middle Bands aur EMA50 ke upar trade ho rahi hai, yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi mazboot hai. Aur bullish candlestick ki mazbooti ke sath, aaj raat ko tajwez kiya jata hai ke USD/JPY currency apna mazbooti sekhne wale trend ko jari rakhega, aur tajwez kiya jata hai ke kharidne wale qareebi resistance level 157.00 ko test karenge. Shayed, agar yeh resistance level kamiyabi se tora gaya, to keemat ko mazeed buland dhakel diya jayega, aglay resistance level ko test karne ke liye.

Technical Reference: 155.200 ke upar hokar khareedain Resistance 1: 156.135 Resistance 2: 156.400 Support 1: 155.200 Support 2: 154.960

Upar di gayi hourly chart mein, USD/JPY European session mein uncha nicha range mein ghoom raha tha (155.778 - 155.262) pehle bearish channel ko torne ke baad. A bullish ishaara bhi dikhaya gaya hai Moving Average (MA) ke zariye jo running price ke neeche hai, jo kehta hai ke moving average abhi bhi bullish rahega. Zigzag bhi bullish potential provide karta hai kyunki yeh ek oopar ki pattern banata hai.

Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke saath miltab, upar diye gaye 15-minute chart mein, USD/JPY bhi ek khareedne ka signal dikhata hai kyun ke Stochastic indicator oopar jaane ke potential ko deta hai kyun ke red aur blue lines indicator ke oversold area mein cross ho gaye hain. Agar scenario ke mutabiq ho, to USD/JPY ko 156.135 ke resistance level ko test karne ka mauqa hai.

USD/JPY Ki Tahlil

Main aaj USDJPY currency pair ke girami 4 ghanton ke market chart par baat cheet mein hissa lenay ki koshish karunga. Aaj ke trading session mein, market ki haalaat abhi bhi sust hain, aur hum traders jo pehle se market ko samajhte hain, unhein chaukanna rehna chahiye, kyun ke ek significant price GAP ka potential hai. Aur abhi USDJPY currency ka daam Middle Bands aur EMA50 ke oopar chal raha hai, yeh saaf hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi mazboot hai. Aur bullish candlestick ki taqat ke saath, aaj raat ko USDJPY currency ka tawazun mazeed barhne wale kharidari trend ko jari rakhega, aur buyers ka qareebi resistance level ko 157.00 par imtehaan lenay ka andaza hai. Mumkin hai, agar yeh resistance level kamyabi se tor diya jaye, to qeematain mazeed uncha kar di jayengi, aglay resistance level ko imtehaan dene ke liye.

Tekniki Hidayat: Khareedain jab tak yeh 155.200 ke oopar hai Resistance 1: 156.135 Resistance 2: 156.400 Support 1: 155.200 Support 2: 154.960

Upar diye gaye ghanton ke chart mein, USDJPY European session ke dauraan uncha neecha daaira (155.778 - 155.262) mein tang harkat kiya, jis se pehle bearish channel ko tor diya gaya tha. Ek bullish ishara bhi dikhaya jata hai Moving Average (MA) ke zariye jo daur rahe daam ke neeche hai, jiska matlab hai ke moving average ab bhi bullish rahega. Zigzag bhi bullish potentiak ko deta hai kyun ke yeh ek oopar ki shakal banata hai.

Ek ghanton ke chart ki tahlil ke mutabiq, upar diye gaye 15 M chart mein, USDJPY bhi ek khareedne ka signal dikhata hai kyun ke Stochastic indicator imtehaani ka imkaan deta hai kyun ke indicator ke laal aur neela rekhaein oversold ilaqa mein guzar chuki hain. Agar scenario ke mutabiq, USDJPY ko bulandaiyon ko imtehaan dene ka mauqa hai 156.135 ke resistance level par.

Maine dekha hai ke humari guftagu ab USD/JPY ke daamon ke haliyat ko samajhne par mabni hai. Abhi asset ke daam 151.73 hain, aur main chand short positions mein sakht shamil hona pasand karta hoon. Bollinger envelope ka niche ka hadood, level 151.61, faida hasil karne ka maqsood banata hai. Qeematoun ke unwaan ka histogram bhi meri nigaah mein hai. Agar qeemat 151.61 ke neeche gir jaaye aur volumes mein izafa ho, toh main samjhaunga ke yeh bechnay ka aakhri daur hai jise ek correctiv pullback takraaye. Aise maamlay mein, ek lambi position kholna mojooda trading din mein palatne ke doraan maqbool ho jayega, jo dikhata hai ke qeemat 151.70 ke upar chadh jaayegi aur 151.70 ke upar istiqamat hasil hoga. Magar, yeh mere secondary plan ka hissa banega mojooda trading din ke liye. Abhi fikar karni chahiye bechne ke muamele par. Aanewale din ki session is masle par kuch roshni daalne wali hai, aur agar bazaar mein koi giravat nahi dikhai deti, toh hum umeed kar sakte hain ek bullish trend ki wapas aane ki. Yeh khaas taur par zaroori hoga ke 151.94 ke resistance level ko paar kiya jaaye, jo USD/JPY pair mein bullish movement ka raasta rokta hai, aur is level ko torne ke baad, hum umeed kar sakte hain ke upward trend jaari rahega aur 152.89 aur phir 153.84 ke level tak pahunchega.
Iss marhale mein, hum ek faisla shuda paar karne ko dekh sakte hain, jo aam tor par mushkilat ki wajah se bahar nikalna aasaan nahi hoga. Shayad aaj hum triangle ke bahar jaane mein kaamyab ho jaayein. USD/JPY bazaar mein bullish trend nihayat taqatwar ho raha hai jabke ek saath hi mojooda raaste ko barqarar rakhne ke liye naye asbab tayar ho rahe hain. Namuna ke taur par, 151.94 ke level ka mazboot level banne ka tawaqo hai jahan se mazeed izaafa shuru hoga. Iss dhamake daar aghaaz ke saath, mujhe umeed hai ke is level ke uttar mein izaafa jaari rahega, mazeed faida haasil karne ke umeed ke saath. Agla kya hota hai, yeh khaas data ka tajziya ki zaroorat hai. Magar, ek aehem baat hai ke qeemat 153.84 ke level tak barh sakti hai, isliye bear ko is upward movement mein kamiyabi ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye. Mumkin hai, main USD/JPY bechnay ke liye trade kholne ki tavajjo nahi doonga, kyunke yeh qeemat ka aam raasta ke khilaaf ja sakta hai. Preshani se bachne ka ek tareeqa bazaar dynamics par mabni rehna hai, haalaanki yeh ek nihayat mushkil kaam ho sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY bulandar ho gaya, jaise hum umeed karte hain, to agla maqsood ho sakta hai 153.00 ho. Iske baad, yeh agay barh kar 154.00 ki taraf ja sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke psikolojik tor par ahem miqdaar Haqeeqat mein, yeh ke pair ke sellers abhi bhi positions mein baithe hain aur unhe barha rahe hain, to is taur par USD/JPY ke daam mein giraavat mein jaldi nahi hai, magar wo bhi naye unchaayiyan ko dahain. Mehfooz bullish rally ke maqam par ghor karen, excesses choti dor mein mukhtalif correction ka sabab ban sakte hain. Agar aisa hai, to dhyan rahe ke trend ke khilaf trading karna zyada risky ho sakta hai. Zahir hai ke trend ki muddat ko palatne ki daleel ka intezar karnabaa rahe hain. Aur, chahe jitna bhi muqami authorities aur Japan ke bank

“hysterical” ho, wo dollar/yen pair ke daamon mein is izafa ko rok nahi sakte, aur khaas tor par yen ke exchange rate mein jaari giravat ko rok nahi sakte. Is liye, hum aap ke saath ittefaq155.00 tak jaaye, jo November se December ki taraf giraavat se chhapi gayi 127.2% Fibonacci extension level ke saath milta hai.USDJPY ne aakhri haftay aur aadhe mein kisi bhi jaga tezi se nahin ki hai. Lekin trend saaf tor par bullish hai baad mein rates ne pichle teen mahino mein barhaye hain. USD/JPY ne muqami do saalon mein bane huwe uchayiyon ko briefly breach kiya tha jo 151.91 se le kar 151.95 tak the, aur March mein 181.97 mein aik izafi unchaai tak pahunch gaya tha. Us level ka tezi se rad e amal karna neeche ke aur bearish case ko tasdeeq karne ke liye kuch calls uthaye gaye the, lekin hum ne kisi mazeed downside follow through ko tasdeeq karne ke liye koi wakai nahi dekha hai. USD/JPY 154.77 resistance ke breach ke saath. Bada uptrend phail raha hai. Lekin 4H MACD mein bearish divergence condition ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, pehli koshish par correction ko le kar 155.20 fibonacci level se mazboot resistance dekha ja sakta hai. Neche, 153.58 support ke tor par break