𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY pair, jo ke Ameriki Dollar aur Japani Yen ke darmiyan tabadla ka darja darja hai, forex market mein aik maqbool trading azeem hai. Traders ke liye ehmiyat hai ke is pair ki takneeki pahluon ka tajziya karen taake maloomati trading faislon par amli safayi kar sakein. Is tajziya mein istemal hone wala aik indicator Heikin Ashi indicator hai, jo zariye alag candles ka istemal karke keemat ka amal ko narm taur par paish karta hai. Ye Heikin Ashi candles market ke shor o gharare ko kam karke keemat ka trend wazeh karne mein madadgar hai. Candles ke rang par nazara daal kar, traders market par kis ki hukmarani hai yeh pehchaan sakte hain.
Heikin Ashi indicator ke sath, Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator istemal kiya jata hai jo chart par support aur resistance lines ko plot karta hai. Ye lines traders ko mojudgi ke price boundries ka tasweeri dhang deti hain, jin ke andar instrument move kar raha hota hai. In boundries ko samajh kar, traders apne trades ke liye behtar entry aur exit points ka faisla kar sakte hain.
Trading signals ko further confirm karne ke liye, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillator filtering tool ke tor par istemal hota hai. RSI traders ko market mein overbought aur oversold conditions ko pehchane mein madad karta hai, jo potential reversal points ko zahir karta hai. RSI curve ki tajziya karke, traders current trend ki taaqat ka andaza laga sakte hain aur behtar trading faisley kar sakte hain.
USD/JPY pair ka mojooda chart dekhte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke Heikin Ashi candles ne lal rang par palat gaye hain, jis se ye zahir hota hai ke sellers waqtan fawaq hain. Price hal hi mein upper channel boundary se guzar gayi hai aur ab channel ka darmiani line ki taraf palat rahi hai. Ye price movement traders ke liye aik selling opportunity ka ishara deta hai.
Is ke ilawa, RSI oscillator sell signal ko tasdeeq karta hai, kyun ke iski curve neeche ki taraf hoti ja rahi hai aur ab tak oversold territory mein nahi hai. Ye indicators ka alignment traders ko mawafiqat deti hai ke is waqt USD/JPY pair ko bechna ka moka hai.

Trade mein dakhil hone ke waqt, munasib risk management measures set karna ahem hai. Take profit level ko lower channel boundary par set kiya ja sakta hai, jabke stop loss ko hal hi ki unchi unnchai par rakhna chahiye taake nuqsaan ke waqt maliyat ko bachaya ja sake. Risk management trading ka aham pehlu hai jo traders ko unke paisay ko mehfooz rakhne aur bade nuqsaan se bachne mein madad karta hai.
Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY pair ki takneeki analysis ek selling opportunity ko zahir karti hai based on Heikin Ashi, TMA channel, aur RSI indicators par. Ek munasib trading approach ko barqarar rakhne aur theek risk management techniques ka auzar karte hue, traders forex market mein munafiq faisle hasil kar sakte hain. Traders ko sabr se rahne, tasdeeq signals ka intezar karna aur hamesha apni trading strategies mein risk management ka ahemiyat dena chahiye. Khush trading!

USD/JPY D1



USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda halat ka tajziyah karte hue, wazeh hota hai ke mustawazah tabdiliyon ki nazar market dynamics mei ek tarteeb ka sath darust hai. Jab exchange rate 155.10 ke qareeb mazid jari rahta hai, ye ek moqa dikhaata hai jahan kharidne walay ya farokht karne walay dono taraf ka kisi ne tasallut qaim nahi kar paaya. Ye mawazna ek waqti rukawat ki nishani hai, jahan market forces seemit nazar aati hain. Chupke se stabil hone ke bawajood, mustaqbil ki manzur haiyat ke hawale se ek pur-asar bechaini ka ehsas hai USD/JPY currency pair ke liye. Market sentiment ek neeche ki pressure ke imkan ko ishaarah karta hai, jo qareebi nazaryat par ek saya daalta hai. Ye ahtiyaat is wajah se aati hai ke 154.10 ke shanakhtiyat H1 support level ke taraf ek mazeed kami ka mauqa ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level nakaam ho jaye, to yeh mojooda mustawa ko bigaar kar selling activity ka aaghaz kar sakta hai.Market ki tawajah ab aham support levels par hai, jab traders mozu par tafseel se intikhaab kaarnay walay muqaam ko ghor se dekh rahe hain mojudah bechaini mein. Ek mazid neeche ki taraf chalne ka manzar aham hakah hai jo market mein mojood mahsoosiaat mein ehtiyaat bhari lehja ko zahir karta hai. Har choti si harekath market mein barabar balance ko





bigkarne ke liye qareeb se nazarandi ke liye pazeez hai aur kisi ek taraf se kharidne walon ya bechne walon ke faide mein tehri ho jaane ke liye. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, bazar dynamics mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ki alamat ke liye development ko nazdeeq se nazarandazi ke liye tai amin karna chahiye. Ye nazarandazi aur tayaree ke bawajood, asal halat mein tezi aur agle qareebi manzar ke liye koi ittila ki gunjaish hai.Is mawad mein, mufeed risk management zaroori hai. traders ko tezi se tabdeel shurao karne ke liye tayar hona chahiye aur apne positions ko mehfuz rakhne ke liye stop-loss order lagana chahiye. Chondeshkar market ko durust dekhna aur anay wale tahqiqati harkat ko tayyar hona kya zaroori hai asal mein aisa nahi ban sakta. USD/JPY currency pair khamosh rehta hai, traders ko mawafiq aur khush-ehtiyati se amal karna chahiye jab wo agle muskil mashriqi ke ghayriori manzar ke liye safar mein the.Agay dekhne main, market participants aham economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies ko tafseel se dekhain ge taqreeban market direction ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. In ilm ke sheharat main koi bari taur par major vikas, aam moves, and bullish ya bearish movements in the USD/JPY currency pair ke liye palati shaktiyan . Be-yakeeni ke moqa par traders ko maloom hona chahiye, muntazim rahain aur kisi bhi mumkin moshara main tayar ratib karain jo ek zyada se zyada volatile aur unpredicted trading terrain dikhne wala hai mazeed agle main kamyabi ke liye apne aap ko tayyar karna

USD/JPY: Ghairat Mandi Ko Samajhna
USD/JPY ke qeemat ka rawiya haal mein garm mudda ban gaya hai. Ek izafay ka faisla karne ke liye koi buniyadi buniyad nahi hai. Hum is jori ke junubi hisson ke liye musbat nazar rakhte hain, aur is sharafat ke darja ko itefaqi nahi samjha jata; bunyadi data farokht ki taraf zyada hai. Abhi, qeemat 151.47 ke darje tak neeche ja rahi hai, aur is harkat ko jari rakhne ke liye, 152.42 ke darje ko fatah karna zaroori hai. Mujhe yakin hai ke jald humein is trend ko barqarar rakhne ka moqa milega ya humein rukh badalna parega, halankeh is ke imkaanat kam hain. 152.42 ke darje ke upar nikalne ka aik imkaan be shak hai, aur bearish trend ke andar, hum 150.52 ke darje ki taraf aik harkat ka imkaan dekh sakte hain. Jabke main ek promotion ka imkaan ki khuli hoon, yeh bohot kamzor hai. Agar yeh manzar waqe ho, to hum behtareen halat mein 154.33 ke darje tak pahonch sakte hain. USD/JPY jodi ke 160.00 recordon ke bare mein, ab jo yen ke tanaza aur Bank of Japan ke is ki karwaiyon ke gird uth gaya hai, us ke sath, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke Bank of Japan ki maeeshat ki siyasiyat mein koi bunyadi tabdeeliyan nahi aayi hain, jo haqeeqat mein, kuch hissay mein, USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein izafa aur yen mein kami ka sabab ban gayi hai. Is liye, shirakat daaron ko jo ab sirf jodi ko neeche jaate hue dekh rahe hain, unhen khud ko behkane nahi dena chahiye.

Tamam ye dawayein, bina maeeashati siyasiyat ke nizaam ka theek taur par intizam kiye, sirf aik waqtanawi tadbeer hain, aur agar bank darja barhaye baghair aur dawa kare ke maeeshati siyasiyat ab zyada sakht hogi, behatar hai ke Fed darja kam kar de, to aakhir mein, agar kuch bhi na ho, to hum dekhein ge, aik waqtanawi rukawat ke baad jodi ke keemat mein izafa, aur naye tareekhi unche ko naye izafon ka nashaa. Aam tor par, hum aik trend ke samne hain jo bharon ka fatah hone ke sath khatam hoga. Farokht karne walon ko ab waziha faida hai: har rukawat darje par, wo khiladi jo giravat par paisa kamana chahte hain, initiative lete hain, shumali harkat mukammal karte hain. Yeh trend doosri giravat ke qadam se kat jata hai aur ek bearish trend ka bunyadi asas ban jata hai. Agar yeh trend jari rahe, to hum USD/JPY ke liye ahem madadgar darja 151.47 tak ki taraf aik numaya harkat ka imkaan dekh sakte hain. Isi doran, bullish potential kabhi kabhi apne aap ko kam darja mein zahir karta hai lekin ahem hai ke 154.33 ke darje ko rukawat ke taur par nahi paar kiya jaye. Main bhi farokht ki nukta-e-nazar par muttafiq hoon; 154.00 tak wapas aane par, aap aaram se USD/JPY ko farokht kar sakte hain. Takneekan, agar woh 152.00 ke support ko daba den, to is ke imkaan hai ke ek durusti ka koshish kiya jaye 147.00 tak, lekin sab kuch bas aik wide range ke andar hi reh sakta hai, aur ghairat barhawa pan aik waqtanawi taur par kum ho jaye, jo ke Bank of Japan ko hasil karne ki koshish hai. Is liye, dekhte hain ke USD/JPY keemaat aaj ke riyasati shumaray ke mukabil kis tarah ka peshkash karta hai aur keemaat kis taraf jati hai.

USD/JPY Keemat Tahlil: Raftar Numa'ayandagi Aham Data Ijraat Ke Pehle Tezi Se Gir Gai.
Yen haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam par dollar ke muqable mein thora buland ho gaya jabke investors musalman kiya rahe ke Japani hukoomat yen ko support karne ke liye asal mein kya kar rahi hai. Ab tak kisi bhi kharabi ka koi saboot nahi mila hai foreign exchange market mein, aur kuch traders yeh samajhte hain ke yeh kafi nahi ho sakta. USD/JPY exchange rate ne profit-kamai farokht ka shikaar hua hai, jo hum aksar yaad dilate hain ke mool currency pair mein izaafi harkat ke baad kabhi bhi ho sakti hai. Yeh harkatein aaj USD/JPY ko 152.75 tak daba deti hain, agar US jobs data ummeedon ke mutabiq na niklay to yeh ek bearish haftay ka andaza de sakti hai.

Tokyo ko yeh maloom hai ke yeh budhwar ko market mein intervention ke liye qareeb $24 billion kharch kiya gaya tha aur yuan ko 1999 ke April ke kam se kam darje tak girne ke baad sambhal liya gaya tha. Halankeh Japan ke Finance Ministry ne ye tasdeeq nahi ki hai ke koi karwai ki gayi hai, investors yeh samajhte hain ke officials yen ke daamon ko barhane ke liye kadam utha chuke hain. Isko pata lagne mein ek hafta lag sakta hai kyun ke FX trading ko stable karne mein do business days lagte hain aur Japani market May 6 aur 7 ko chutti ke liye band hai.

Bank of Japan ke data ne dikhaya ke ye shayad $35 billion ko support karne ke liye issued kiya gaya tha jab USD/JPY pair ne Monday ko 160.00 ke manfiat se sabit ki thi.

Yen is haftay mein 3% se zyada hasil kiya hai, jise Japani authorities ne kam az kam do maqamat se shak-o-shuba se shuru kiya tha. Japani hukoomat ne inhen yeh tasdeeq dene se inkaar kiya hai ke yeh sudden yen ke izafa ke peechay hain, halankeh Bank of Japan ke data ne dikhaya ke Tokyo ne yen ko support karne ke liye lagbhag $60 billion kharch kiya hai. Aik report ne bhi suggest kiya ke Japan companies ko munafa yen mein convert karne ke liye tax breaks dena sakti hai.




Aaj ka USD/JPY ka tajziya:

Rozana chart ke performance se guftagu karte hue, USD/JPY ab bhi ek niche ki tashreef ki rah par hai, aur 150.00 ke darja ka tutna mool trend ke bearish hone ka aham factor hoga. Abhi ke liye, kisi ko bhi kam support sochna chahiye, kyun ke Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke policy ikhtilaafat yuan ke qadar mandi ko support karte rahenge, halankeh Japan ne market mein intervention kiya hai takay exchange rate ko mazeed plunge se roka ja sake.

haftay mein dekhi gayi kami ke bawajood, buyers mustaqil rahe hain. Ye mustaqil pan imtiazan darust karta hai ke aaj aur kal dono ke liye buyers ke favor mein ek mustaqil bias hai. 153.763 ka resistance zone ek ahem level ko darust karta hai jahan qeemat ko haal hi ke trading sessions mein paar karne mein mushkil hui hai. Aise resistance zones aksar traders ke liye ahem faisla lene ke point hote hain, kyunke ye areas wo jagah hote hain jahan bechne ki dabaav kharidne ki dabaav ko khatam kar sakta hai, jis se qeemat ka movement reverse ya consolidate ho sakta hai. Magar, ye ke buyers ke mustaqil rahe jane ka haqeer bawajood resistance ke ishaara karta hai ke market ke participants mein qeemat ko buland karne ki mazboot yaqeen hai. Ye mukhtalif factors ke zariye hosakta hai, jaise ke musbat ma'ashiyati data releases, geopolitical developments, ya monetary policy outlook mein tabdiliyan.






Ek sambhav explanation buyers ke mustaqil pan ka economic fundamentals mein sudhar ho sakta hai ya to America ya Japan ke liye, ya dono ke liye. Musbat ma'ashiyati indicators jese ke GDP growth, employment figures, ya consumer sentiment surveys apne muqami currencies mein iltiqa barha sakte hain aur investors ko aakarshit kar sakte hain. Doosra factor jo buyers ko support kar sakta hai wo United States aur Japan ke markazi banks ki monetary policy stance hai. Agar Federal Reserve ek dovish stance signal kar rahi hai, jo ke accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ki tayyari ko darust karta hai, jab ke Bank of Japan monetary policy ko zyada tezi se tight karne ke baray mein ehtiyaat barqarar rakhti hai, to ye ek mojooda environment ko barqarar kar sakta hai jo USD/JPY ke appreciation ke liye mufeed ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, geopolitical developments bhi US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan exchange rate ko asar andaz ho sakte hain. Kisi bhi geopolitical tensions ka barhna ya kam hona, khaaskar woh jo America ya Japan ko shamil karte hain, investor sentiment ko mutasir kar sakta hai aur currency flows ko drive kar sakta hai.

Main 4 ghanton ki chart par USD/JPY jodi dekh raha hoon. Jodi pehle ek sabz rectangular consolidation ke andar trade kar rahi thi, phir ek girawat aayi support par 146.454. Shuru mein, maine yeh girawat sirf short-term mein samjha tha, medium aur long term mein, mujhe umeed thi ke izafa hoga. Main samajhta tha ke jodi pichli uchayiyon tak pohanchegi, aur sach mein, yeh ek rukawat par pohanch gayi 151.979 par. Is rukawat ke baad, jab jodi phir se range mein trade karne lagi, phir se main yeh samjha ke jodi buland jaegi. Hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh 160.735 par ek rukawat tak pohanchi, iske baad ek girawat shuru hui, jo support par 155.030 par giri. Is support se, maine umeed ki jodi buland hogi, kyunke maine yeh nafa hasil karne ka samjha, khareedne wale volume ikattha kar rahe the, aur maine yeh umeed ki ke jodi buland jaegi kyunke khareedne wale volume ikattha kar rahe the. Magar, buland hone ke baad, ek aur girawat shuru hui, aur phir maine socha ke yeh khareedne wale nafa le rahe hain. Jab khareedne wale nafa lete hain aur volume ikattha karte hain, aam tor par up-trend ka jari rehta hai. Magar yahan hum dekhte hain ke pichli nafa le jane ki star ke neeche ek girawat ho rahi hai, is mamle mein, yeh ek mazeed durusti ke taur par samjha ja sakta hai.



Pehle, kuch aisa hi hua tha 2023 mein jab Bank of Japan ne dakhal diya, aur jodi khareedne wale nafa le jane ki star ke neeche gir gayi. Phir jodi ne apna up-trend dobara shuru kiya. Main manta hoon ke jodi phir bhi izafa karti rahegi kyunke iske taqat barhane ke koi wajah nahi hain. Main yeh bhi nahi samajhta ke yeh khaas taur par Bank of Japan ka dakhal hai, balki investors ke Bank of Japan ke bolne wale dakhal se dar hain. Dakhal khud abhi tak shuru nahi hua hai. Aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh kabhi shuru bhi nahi hoga kyunke kayi mulk tange karne ke baad apni currencies ki qeemat girane lagenge, toh phir Japan apni currency ko kyun barhaye jab ke woh pehle se hi tange hai. Haal hi mein, Ueda ne kaha ke yen ki qeemat unki maal aur maal ke leval par koi asar nahi dalengi. Main manta hoon ke jodi izafa karti rahegi. Unki maal aur maal ke leval currency ki qeemat se mutasir nahi hain, jaise ke maine lambi muddat ke tamam akhbaron ko parh kar samjha hai, balki kuch aur se judi hui hain, aur yeh saaf nahi hai ke kya.

USD/JPY Trading Tafseel
Khushkismati se, mojooda market ke jazbat khareedne walon ke lehaaz se farmaanbardaar hain. Woh baad mein wapas aa sakte hain. Kal, USD/JPY ke khareedne walon ne apna maal giraya. Magar, woh ab bhi 153.03 ke range ke oopar hain. Is liye, woh baad mein wapas aa sakte hain aur dobara resistance zone ko guzar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jo log karwai ke rujhan mein hain, unke liye aik nakaara 20-25 pips ke nafa ke point ke saath ek kharid order aqeedati tor par aik sahi tajurba sabit ho sakta hai. Ye sirf faida hasil karne ki ijaazat deta hai balkay market ke jazbat ko durust taur par qaim karna ka zariya bhi hai. Ikhtilaafat aur laat-saazi se charachterized mahol mein, mojooda mizaj ka pata lagana aik qeemti asasa hota hai, jo kamyabi aur nakami ke darmiyan farq ban sakta hai. USD/JPY aur market ke resistance medan ke case mein, khareedne wale dabaav ka dhairey dhairey barhne ka sabaq kuch hai jo mojooda tijarat ke jazbat ko tay karta hai. Khareedne wale dabaav ka yeh mustaqil aur jurrat-mand izhar mojooda market dynamics ko numainda karta hai. Ulta, farokht karne walay apne kamzor muqami ke saath samajhota kar rahe hain, mojooda khareedne wale ka dominance ke darmiyan aik mainghty insaaniat ki insaaf raai mein. In tajziyaat ke roshni mein, humein hosla aur tajurba karne ke tareeqon ko ahtiyaat aur maharat ke saath amal mein laana chahiye, market ko sahi aur qabil-e-faeeda taur par sail karke. USD/JPY ke case mein, mein 153.42 ke qareeb ek chand dinon ka trading plan ke liye aik kharid order tareeqa pasand karta hoon. Yaad rakhiye ke khareedne wale aur farokht karne walon ke amliyat ke confluence market ke halaat aur anay wale khabroon ke izharat par mustaqil nazron ki ahmiyat ko sarfraz karti hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, anay wale data ke potential asar ko samajhna tijarat ke faislon par izafa paish karta hai, mojooda khareedne wale ki raftar ke mutabiq strategies banane mein qeemti insights deta hai. Hum khud ko kharidne wale taraf tajweez ki darust soorat mein paish karke USD/JPY ke market trading ka faida utha sakte hain. Aaiye dekhte hain anay ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Achha dosto, sham bakhair! Main trading shuru kar raha hoon. Ab hum aaj jo khabron ka zikr kar rahe hain, wo United States mein aaj jari ki gayi thi, lekin asal mein, yahan koi baat chit karne layak nahi hai, kyunki sab ahem data, including berozgari dar, nakam rahe, jo ke amreeki dollar ki position ko market mein kamzor kar diya. Amreeki currency ke liye ekmatra musbat khabar thi ke manufacturing industry mein naukriyon ki tadad mein izafa hua, lekin ye ek nazar andaz hone layak indicator hai, isliye isko ignore kiya ja sakta hai. Toh hum market mein amreeki dollar ki kami dekh rahe hain aur khaaskar Japanese yen ke liye; USD/JPY pair ke daam, filhal ke liye, 151 figure ki taraf dekh paaye, 151.85 ke darje tak, lekin 152.34 par 4 ghante ke chart par Murray level -1/8 par laut gaye hain.

Isi dauraan, stochastic pehle hi ek growth ke pullback wave ka ishara de raha hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke giraavat abhi khatam nahi hui hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke bears kam az kam Murray level - 2/8, naqabil e intiha, ko test kar sakte hain, mojooda trading echelon mein kareeb 151.56 ke aas paas aur 151 figure ke darmiyan mein madde ko pakad sakte hain. Is ke baad, daam ke liye 153.12 ke darje par support 0/8 tak uthna mumkin hoga, uske baad wahan se naye giravat ka ek naya silsila shuru hoga.

USD/JPY daily time frame

Yahi to main keh raha tha. Agar sirf EUR/USD ko dekhein toh wahan par izaafa hoga, lekin USD/JPY par ye matlab hai ke giravat hogi, aur ye pehle hi active mode mein progress kar rahi hai. Kehte hain ke Japan Bank bhi dakhal diya kyunki exchange rate buland ho gaya. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke hum aik muzmir aur janubi harekat ke saath samna karenge. Mere khayal mein, ek nichli scenario ko tayar karna zaroori hai kyun ke abhi main koi bullish trend nahi dekh raha hoon. Giraavat ki sorat mein, 152.23 ke ilaqe mein ahem support level ka intezar karna ahem hai, jo ke market ke liye nichlay janib taraqqi ka hudood nahi hoga. Lagta hai ke USD/JPY ek nichle range mein jaane ke liye tayar ho raha hai taake kam darjoo par liquidity ikhata ki ja sake aur phir janubi taraf chalay. Is tarah, agar 152.23 ke darja tak pohonchne ke baad bhi janubi harekat ka koi phailao nahi hota, toh umeed hai ke long position ko darust samjha jaye ga jisme growth ke liye 158.14 ke darje tak potential ho sakta hai. Is halat mein, USD/JPY apni rah ko kafi tabdeel kardega aur humein lambi positions par tawajjo deni hogi, shayad 159.09 ke darje tak aur, aakhir mein, 160.04 ke qareeb shumali resistance level par.Achha dosto, sham bakhair! Main trading shuru kar raha hoon. Ab hum aaj jo khabron ka zikr kar rahe hain, wo United States mein aaj jari ki gayi thi, lekin asal mein, yahan koi baat chit karne layak nahi hai, kyunki sab ahem data, including berozgari dar, nakam rahe, jo ke amreeki dollar ki position ko market mein kamzor kar diya. Amreeki currency ke liye ekmatra musbat khabar thi ke manufacturing industry mein naukriyon ki tadad mein izafa hua, lekin ye ek nazar andaz hone layak indicator hai, isliye isko ignore kiya ja sakta hai. Toh hum market mein amreeki dollar ki kami dekh rahe hain aur khaaskar Japanese yen ke liye; USD/JPY pair ke daam, filhal ke liye, 151 figure ki taraf dekh paaye, 151.85 ke darje tak, lekin 152.34 par 4 ghante ke chart par Murray level -1/8 par laut gaye hain.
Isi dauraan, stochastic pehle hi ek growth ke pullback wave ka ishara de raha hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke giraavat abhi khatam nahi hui hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke bears kam az kam Murray level - 2/8, naqabil e intiha, ko test kar sakte hain, mojooda trading echelon mein kareeb 151.56 ke aas paas aur 151 figure ke darmiyan mein madde ko pakad sakte hain. Is ke baad, daam ke liye 153.12 ke darje par support 0/8 tak uthna mumkin hoga, uske baad wahan se naye giravat ka ek naya silsila shuru hoga.

USD/JPY daily time frame

Yahi to main keh raha tha. Agar sirf EUR/USD ko dekhein toh wahan par izaafa hoga, lekin USD/JPY par ye matlab hai ke giravat hogi, aur ye pehle hi active mode mein progress kar rahi hai. Kehte hain ke Japan Bank bhi dakhal diya kyunki exchange rate buland ho gaya. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke hum aik muzmir aur janubi harekat ke saath samna karenge. Mere khayal mein, ek nichli scenario ko tayar karna zaroori hai kyun ke abhi main koi bullish trend nahi dekh raha hoon. Giraavat ki sorat mein, 152.23 ke ilaqe mein ahem support level ka intezar karna ahem hai, jo ke market ke liye nichlay janib taraqqi ka hudood nahi hoga. Lagta hai ke USD/JPY ek nichle range mein jaane ke liye tayar ho raha hai taake kam darjoo par liquidity ikhata ki ja sake aur phir janubi taraf chalay. Is tarah, agar 152.23 ke darja tak pohonchne ke baad bhi janubi harekat ka koi phailao nahi hota, toh umeed hai ke long position ko darust samjha jaye ga jisme growth ke liye 158.14 ke darje tak potential ho sakta hai. Is halat mein, USD/JPY apni rah ko kafi tabdeel kardega aur humein lambi positions par tawajjo deni hogi, shayad 159.09 ke darje tak aur, aakhir mein, 160.04 ke qareeb shumali resistance level par.

Pichle haftay mein USD/JPY pair ne ek rollercoaster safar dekha, jisme taqat aur kamzori ke nishane nazar aaye. Jhatpat 154.75 ke aas paas thaharne ke baad, Japani yen kamzor honay ka aghaz hua aur naya record low hit kiya. 154.75 par kuch arsa taqatbar se bahali hone ke bawajood, keemat ooncha chadh gayi aur support mila, jis se tez taaqatbari mili. Magar, faiday mukhtalif nahin rahe jab ke keemat jald hi ulat gayi aur pehle ke faiday mita diye gaye.
4 ghante ke chart ki tafsili jaaiz karte hue, wazeh hota hai ke USD/JPY ne 155.00 ke upar taaqatbari momentum qaim rakha, simple moving averages ke saath support se faida uttha raha hai. Yeh musbat isteqli ab tak uptrend ko qayem rakha hai jab tak pair 154.90 ke mazboot support ke upar trade kar raha hai. Agla maqam 155.70 par set kiya gaya hai, jisme se guzarne se 156.00 tak pohanchne ke imkanaat barh jaate hain. Ulta agar 154.90 ke neeche jaata hai, to yeh bullish hawa ko kam kar sakta hai, jise ke 154.45 aur 154.00 ka dubara istiqbal hone se pehle, kisi bhi taaqatbari dalali ko dobara shuru kiya ja sakta hai.
Hal mein, pair ab hafte ki shuruaat se thoda zyada upar trade kar raha hai, jahan support levels bar bar imtehan liye gaye hain aur theek se khara raha hai, bullsih rujhan ki taraf ishara karte hue. Mojooda mawaad 154.75 ke doran consolidation, yeh dikhata hai ke mukhtalif support areas abhi tak door nahi hue hain. Yeh manzar rebound wave ke liye mauqe faraham karta hai, jisme maqami darajat 161.29 aur 163.05 ke tareeqay nishanaq hai.

Jarri rakhne walon ke liye ahem support levels ke aas paas ke price action ka tawajjo se dekha jana zaroori hai, kyunke kisi bhi breakthrough ka rang badal sekta hai mojooda manzar. Anay wale nishanay jo dekhte hain woh hain 155.70, 156.00, 161.29 aur 163.05, jinke levels ke tawazon par qaim rehne se muamlon ki kashmakash ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY ka technical analysis ek musbat tasveer pesh karta hai, jab tak ahem support levels qaim rahen, pair mazeed faiday ke liye tayyar hai. Karobaron ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur unke tadarukat ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye, jin par keemat izafi halat ke mutabiq tajwezat deti hain. Support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan gehri ham aahangi ke baare mein rehna mussallas ki halat ki aane wali taraf ka asar tay karenge, USD/JPY ke liye agle rehnumai hamla ko tashwishmand aur anjaam tak pohanchane walon ko mukhattif tayyar rehne se rokega. Ek potential upar ki raftar ke tajwiz mein, karobaron ko agli dinon mein pair par asar andaazi hone wale mukhtalif manazir aur khatron ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Main bilkul tareeq ke saath ittefaq karta hoon ke keemat mein kami ki tajwez di gayi hai. Mere khayal mein, is waqt neeche ki taraf ki harkat ab bhi pehredaar hai, yeh ek technical nazarie se wazeh hai. Pichle muddat mein, ek market tasweer banayi gayi hai jo bearish trend ko support karne ki khwahish ko darust karti hai. Utna hi ahem hai, mojooda chart ne kai dafa mushaba scenarios ko dikhaya hai. Pehle, hamesha mujhe lagta tha ke dakshin ki taraf murnay ka durust waqt paish karna mushkil hai, magar is halat mein meri hisaab sehisab barabar nikla. Main ek chhotay se upward corrective move par short position le kar aage badhna chahta hoon aur ye position jitni lambi muddat tak rakhna chahta hoon, lekin tab tak nuqsan se mehfooz rehna bhi zaroori hai. Is waqt, main yeh nahi janta ke aage kis tarah se amal karna behtar hoga, isliye main USD/JPY ke halat ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karne ka iraada karta hoon.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Japanese ke mutabiq, trend mein ek naye dakshini ki taraf murnay ka tabadla ho gaya hai. Agar aap ghantay ki waqt nigarish par nazar daalain, to yahaan ek downward channel ki maujoodgi nazar aayegi. Mere tasweer mein yeh neela rang mein mark hai. Chart, is waqt is range ke lower limit 152.30 ki taqat ko azma raha hai. Is seedhi line se rabta karne ke turant baad, hum ko uttar wali toot par le gaya gaya, aur isko torne ki koshish nakam sabit hui. Aur correctional uttar stage mein jaane ki sambhaavna kaafi zyada hai. Is trading week ka maqsad behtreen tor par channel ke uttar ki sarni ho sakti hai, jis par 155.00 figure ko chhuna padega.

USD/JPY H4 Time Frame:

Adaab dosto! Main trading shuru kar raha hoon. Ab hum aaj ke United States mein shaaya hui khabron par baat kar sakte hain, haalaanki haqeeqat mein yahaan kuch baat karne layak nahi hai, kyunke saare ahem data, jaise ke bayrozgari dar, nakam rahe, jo ke amreeki dollar ki position ko bazaar mein kafi kamzor kar diya. Sirf ek musbat khabar thi jo amreeki currency ke liye aayi, manufacturing industry mein naukriyon ki tadad mein izafa, lekin yeh ek maamooli indicator hai, is liye ise nazarandaaz kiya ja sakta hai. Is tarah, hum bazaar mein amreeki dollar ki kami dekh rahe hain aur khaaskar Japanese yen ke liye; USD/JPY pair ke quotes ne abhi ke liye chand waqt ke liye 151 figures mein dekha 151.85 ke level tak, lekin 4 ghante ke chart ke Murray level -1/8 par 152.34 par laut gaye. Is dauraan, stochastic ab pehli barqi ke ibrat ki shuruat ka ishara de raha hai, lekin main samajhta hoon ke girawat abhi khatam nahi hui aur main sochta hoon ke bears kam az kam Murray level - 2/8 ko test kar sakte hain, abhi muqarrar ekalon mein 151.56 ke qareeb aur 151 figure ka darmiyan pakar sakte hain. Is ke baad, daman ke 0/8 par qeemat 153.12 ke level par uthne ke liye mumkin hoga, phir wahaan se girawat ka naya silsila shuru hoga.

USD/JPY Daily Time Frame:

Yeh wohi hai jis ke baare mein main keh raha tha. Agar bas aap EUR/USD par nazar daalein, to wahaan umeed hai lekin USD/JPY par yeh yeh girawat ka matlab hai, aur yeh pehle se hi tayar ho raha hai. Kaha ja raha hai ke Japan Bank ne bhi beech mein interfere kiya kyunki exchange rate buland ho gaya tha. Main yeh mano ke hum ek aur southern movement ke saamne rukawat paayenge. Main yeh rai rakhta hoon ke ek neechay ke manzar ka mansooba banana zaroori hai kyunke mujhe abhi kisi bullish trend ka pata nahi chal raha hai. Girawat ki surat mein, aham hai ke hum 152.23 ke ilaake mein mukhya support level ka intezaar karein, jo ke bazaar ke neeche vikas ke liye mumkinah nahi hoga. Lagta hai ke USD/JPY ne ek neeche ke daire mein dakhil hone ke liye tayyar ho raha hai takay nuksaan kam karein aur phir dakshin ki taraf jaayein. Is tarah, agar 152.23 ke level tak pohanchne ke baad bhi southern movement ka koi vikas nahi hota, to long position kholne ka tawajjo dena maqool hai jismein ek wave ke potenshel ko urooj tak pahunchne ka imkaan hai 158.14 ke level tak. Is maamlay mein, USD/JPY apni raah ko kafi tabdeel kar dega aur humein long positions par tawajjo deni hogi, shayad 159.09 ke level tak aur, aakhir mein, 160.04 ke qareeb uttar ki support level ke taraf.

USD/JPY: Volatility Ki Samajh

USD/JPY ke prices ke rawayat haal mein kafi charcha ka mozu bana hai. Isey barhne ka koi aitbaar ke liye koi buniyadi buniyadi nahi hai. Hum is pair ke southerners ke liye aik mustaqbil ki tasveer rakhte hain, aur is darust qeemat ka qayam ittefaq se nahi hai; bunyadi data zyada bikri ke taraf raghib hai. Halankeh, mojooda qeemat 151.47 ke darje tak niche ja rahi hai, aur is harkat ko jari rakhne ke liye 152.42 ke darje ko paar karna zaroori hai. Mujhe yakeen hai ke jald humein is trend ko nazar andaz karne ka mauqa milega ya humein rukh badalna hoga, halankeh iska imkan bohot kam hai. Be shak, 152.42 ke darje ke upar chadhai ka tohmat lagaya jata hai, aur bearish trend ke dauran hum 150.52 ke darje tak ki harkat ka intezar kar sakte hain. Halankeh mujhe aage chadhai ke mauqe ke khilaf tayyar hona chahiye, yeh bohot kam imkan hai. Agar yeh manzar wakai mein waqayi hota hai, toh behtar halat mein hum 154.33 ke darje tak pohanch sakte hain.

Us waqt jab USD/JPY pair ke 160.00 ke records ke bare mein baat hoti hai, aur jo sab maahol aur utsaah ab yen ke tabadlay ke dauran aur Bank of Japan ke istisnaat ke charon taraf pheela hua hai, uska bhaag yaad rakhna chahiye ke Bank of Japan ki maali policy mein koi bunyadi tabdeeliyan nahi hui hain, jo ke haqeeqat mein, hissa dar hissa, USD/JPY ke tabadlay dar mein izafa ki wajah ban gaya hai, aur, mutabiqan, yen mein girawat. Isliye, shirkiyan jo ab sirf pair ko neeche umeed rakhte hain, khud ko behla na den.

Yeh sari injektion, bila munasib monetary policy ke mosar amal hain, aur akhir mein, agar bank darust dhang se keemat ko qaboo mein na laye aur ishtiaq ka keh de ke ab maali policy zyada sakhti ke sath hogi, ideal halat mein, Fed dar ke darwaze ko khol de, phir akhir mein, agar kuch nahi hota, toh hum dekhenge, keemat ke mazeed barhne ke doraan pair ki waqi mehdooda rok, aur naye tareekhi bulandiyon ki tajdeed. Aam tor par, hum aik trend ke samne khare hain jo bareyon ke madda se khatam hojayega. Ab bikri ki har taraf aik wazeh fehmi hai: har resistance darje par, khilariyan jo girawat par paise kamane ka irada rakhte hain, daramad ka aghaz karte hain, shumal ki harkat mukammal karte hain. Yeh trend doosre murdaqa qadam se toot jata hai aur bearish trend ka bunyadi asas banta hai. Agar yeh trend jaari rahe, toh hum USD/JPY ke liye aik ahem support level, 151.47 ke darje tak aik qabal hai. Isi doran, bullish potential kabhi kabhi neechay ke tops ke zariye zahir hota hai, lekin zaroori hai ke 154.33 ke darje ko paar na kiya jaye. Main bechne ke point par bhi ittefaq karta hoon; 154.00 tak wapas chale jane par aap aram se USD/JPY ko bech sakte hain. Mufassil tor par, agar 152.00 ke support ko daba diya jata hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke ek correction ka aghaz hoga 147.00 tak, lekin sab kuch bas aik wide range ke andar reh sakta hai, aur volatility mukammal tor par kam hojayegi, jo ke Bank of Japan ko hasil karna chah raha hai. Isliye, dekhte hain ke USD/JPY keemat aaj ke haalat-by-halat statistics ke jawab mein kese react karegi aur keemat kahan jaegi.

USD/JPY: Ghairat ki Samajh

USD/JPY ke qeemat ka rawaya haal mein tawajju ki baat ban gaya hai. Ek izafay ki tassurat ke liye koi buniyad nahi hai. Hum is pair ke janoobi rukh ke liye musbat nazar rakhte hain, aur is darust darja ke qaim hona itefaqi nahi hai; asli data zyada tar bikriyon ki taraf rujhan rakhta hai. Halhi mei keemat 151.47 ke darje tak neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur is harkat ko jari rakhne ke liye, 152.42 ke darje ko paar karne ki zarurat hai. Main manta hoon ke jald hi humein is trend ko dekhne ka mauqa milega ya phir humein rukh badalna padega, halan ke is imkan ki bohot kam sambhavna hai. 152.42 ke darje ko paar karne ka is level ke upar tootna mumkin hai, aur bearkish trend ke andar, hum 150.52 ke darje ke rukh ka aaghaz ki umeed kar sakte hain. Jab ke main ek promotion ka imkan ka darust honay par khula hoon, yeh bohot kam sambhav hai. Agar yeh manzar waqe hota hai, to behtar surat haal mein hum 154.33 ke darje tak pohanch sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ke liye 160.00 ke rekard ke bare mein, jin tamam peshgoiyan aur excitement ab Yen exchange rate aur Bank of Japan ke aas paas mojood hai, aur uske interventions ke saath, humein yeh nahi bhoolna chahiye ke Bank of Japan ke monitory policy mein koi asal tabdiliyan nahi hui hain, jo ke haqeeqat mein, kuch hisson mein, USD/JPY exchange rate mein izafa hua hai aur, mawafiq tor par, Yen mein girawat. Is liye, shirakat daar jo ab sirf pair ko neeche jaane ka intezar kar rahe hain, unhe khud ko fareb na dena chahiye.

Tamam ye injections, monitory policy mechanisms ke sahi nizaam ke baghair, sirf ek temporary intizam hain, aur aakhir mein, agar bank darakht barhaye bina aur darclare kare ke ab monitory policy sakht hogi, neeche ke rukh par USD/JPY exchange rate mein izafa hoga, aur, behtareen surat haal mein, Fed darakht neeche kare, to aakhir mein, agar kuch nahi hota, to hum dekhein ge, pair ke keemat ke waqti rukawat ke baad, is ka jari rehna, aur naye tareeke se tareeke se. Aam tor par, hum aik trend ke samne hain jo bearon ki ebaarat ke sath khatam hoga. Ab bikriyon ke har resistance level par, woh khilari jo girawat par paisa kamana chahte hain, maqrooz hote hain, jari rehnay wale tarkash ke tehat uttari harkat ko mukammal karte hain. Yeh trend ek aur neeche ki seedhi se rokta hai aur bearish trend ka buniyadi sabab ban jata hai. Agar yeh trend jari rahe, to hum USD/JPY ke liye ek numaya neeche ke rukh ko 151.47 ke darje tak umeed kar sakte hain, jo ke USD/JPY ke liye ek ahem support level hai. Isi doran, bullish imkan kabhi kabar apne aap ko neeche ke adhooray darjo par zahir karega, lekin zaroori hai ke 154.33 ke darje ke resistance level ko paar na kiya jaye. Main selling point par bhi ittefaq karta hoon; agar ek wapas 154.00 tak ho, to USD/JPY ko behtareen taur par bech sakte hain. Takneeki tor par, agar woh 152.00 ke support ko paar kar de, to yeh mumkin hai ke ek tajurbaat ko develop karne ki koshish ki jaye 147.00 tak, lekin sab kuch bas ek wide range ke andar ruk jaye, aur volatility sirf waqti tor par kam ho, jo Bank of

USD/JPY ki daily chart par teesre din achi volatility nazar arahi hai, lekin ye mostly sideways move kar raha hai. Aaj, thori upar ki taraf movement hai, lekin mostly sideways hai ab tak. Ab dekhte hain ke pair ke aglay kadam kaunsa hoga, kya ye upar ki taraf aur sideways move karta rahega ya aur scenarios samne aayenge. Iske liye, pair ka technical analysis dekhte hain aur kya recommendations hain.
Moving averages aur technical indicators ki analysis se pata chalta hai ke pair mein strong buying activity hai. Isi tarah se overall conclusion ye hai ke actively buying consider ki ja sakti hai. Iska matlab hai ke is waqt buying opportunities ka wait karna behtar ho sakta hai.

Pair par asar dalne wale latest news ki taraf dekhne par pata chalta hai ke US Consumer Confidence Index haal hi mein negative result ke sath release hua hai. Aur ab market weekly crude oil inventories in the US ke data ka release ka intezar kar rahi hai, jo ab forecast ke mutabiq neutral asar hone ki umeed hai. Doosri taraf, Japan ne industrial production volume ki positive data release kiya hai, aur koi badi news expected nahi hai. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue lagta hai ke aaj ke moves pair ka upar ki taraf lean hoga.

Isi roshni mein, market mein potential buying opportunities consider karne ka tawajo dena zaroori hai. Traders 158.00 ke aas-pass target resistance level ke saath purchases initiate kar sakte hain. Opposing positions ke saath support level near 157.00 tak consider ki ja sakti hai. Technical indicators aur news releases ke hisaab se lagta hai ke pair aane wale waqt mein apni upward trajectory continue karega aur saath hi periods of sideways consolidation bhi experience karega.

Jaise har trading decision, yad rakhna zaroori hai ke trading inherent risks aur uncertainties involve karti hai. Traders ko apni research, analysis, aur risk management strategies conduct karke trades execute karne se pehle zaroori hai. Achi tarah se inform rehne aur market developments ko closely monitor karke, traders behtar decisions le sakte hain aur apne trading outcomes ko behtar kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, aaj ka trading plan USD/JPY pair ke aas paas upward movement aur potential sideways consolidation ke expectations ke around ghoomta hai. Technical indicators, news releases, aur market trends ko nazdeek se dekhte hue, traders market mein potential opportunities ke liye apne aap ko position me la sakte hain. Sabhi traders ko forex trading ke dynamic duniya mein safar karte hue khush kismati ki duaen.

Maine aapke pehle diye gaye text ka note liya hai. USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka analasis karne ke baad, ab focus hai ki kya chart ke recent movements market manipulation ka result hai ya nahi. Agar hai, to ek upward surge ka possibility hai. Halanki, haal hi mein price decline ne 154.67 ki ek critical level ko test kiya hai, jo significant market interest ko suggest karta hai jo ek rebound ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY pair adhik volumes ke saath aage badhta hai, to yeh ek bullish direction ko favor karne wala scenario activate kar sakta hai, jisme 156.84 ke aaspaas ka level tak pahunch sakta hai before accumulation area tak tezi se girta hai jo 153.28 pe hai. USD/JPY pair ke ascending channel ko follow karne ke liye, bullish direction mein trading ek priority banati hai. Analytical insights aur forecasts trading opportunities provide karte hain, jahan recent predictions profitable trades mein badal gayi hain jab pair ne significant growth experience kiya. Haal ki market dynamics dollar ke mazboot ho jane ki disha ko hint deti hain, jahan pair global price channel ke upper limit ke paas approach kar raha hai jo 160.43 pe hai, suggesting consolidation ka potential is level ke upar bhi, chal raha hai despite ongoing corrections. Aaj ka USD/JPY trading situation ka assessment, H1 time frame pe focus karte hue, reveal karta hai ki pair 155.805 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, bearish momentum kam hota ja raha hai jab naye buyers dhire-dhire market mein enter ho rahe hain. 155.80 par buy trades shuru karke 155.780 par stop loss set kar ke, unexpected losses likely hain, jabki 158.43 tak upper resistance level ko target kar ke profit-taking ensure kar sakte hain. Iske alawa, 157.890 ke aaspass ek downward correction ka anumaan lagakar further buying activity ke liye opportunity present hoti hai, ek comprehensive trading strategy ko complete karte hue.
USD/JPY pair ko closely monitor karna mahatvapurna hai, kyun ki market conditions tezi se badal sakti hain. Support aur resistance ke mukhya levels ke baare mein informed rahne ke saath hi potential market manipulation ke baare mein bhi, traders well-informed decisions lekar profitable trading opportunities ka faayda utha sakte hain. Hamesha ki tarah, risk management anjaane market movements ke khilaf bachav ke liye mahatvapurna hai.