𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY Ka Performance ka Tajziya


Currency traders Japan ki sarkar ko tanaza se bachane ke liye mamooli tor par dabaav dalne ka intezaar kar rahe hain, kyunke maqami taaqat mazeed kam ho sakti hai. Yen ki qeemat fori tor par barh gayi thi asyain trading ke doran peer ko, jab Japanese markets chuttiyon ki wajah se band thay, Forex Currency Trading Company Platform ke mutabiq. Yeh harkat yeh samjhane par bala tha ke Japani afisaal be sabr ho rahe hain, itaafaqat bana rahe hain aur inhe support karne ki dhamkiyon ka jawab de rahe hain. Yuan ne is saal ab tak dollar ke muqablay mein takreeban 10% giravat darj ki hai, jo Dashak ke 10 currencies mein sab se barri giravat hai, 160.22 darjay ke 34 saal ke record ko chhoo kar gir gaya. Lekin peer ko achanak se is par muddat kaar phir agaya. Yeh foran 154.53 ke qareeb aagaya, likin likhne ke waqt 156.20 ke darjay per muqeem hai.

Federal Reserve ke policy makers ko maheene ke dosray aur teesray din milne wale hain, jis se investers ka khauf hai ke dollar ghate mein ja raha hai, yen ko dollar ke darmiyan $155 aur $160 ke darmiyan trading ki umeed hai.

4 baje ke waqt yen $156 ke darjay ke qareeb trading ho rahi thi, New York ke waqt ka aadha samay guzar chuka tha. Yeh currency dophar ke bad New York mein thori muddat ke liye barh gaya, jis se ikhtilaaf ki guftagu shuru ho gayi ke Japan US kaam ke doran aagaya. Is barhti hui qeemat ka barhna Asian waqt ke muqable mein thora sa tha, jise kuch tajziakaar overnight intervention talks ke natayaj ke bad market ke buland daur ki wajah se manaa gaya.

Aaj ka USD/JPY ka tajziya:

Yen ne chaar mahine tak girawat ki. Traders ne naye wajoohat ko dekha ke Bank of Japan ne pichle haftay apni ahem darjati dar mein 0% aur 0.1% ke darmiyan rakha aur kaha ke wo bond kharidne mein kami nahi karega. Mazeed, United States mein, Federal Reserve ka darjati maheena ke teesre charan mein interest rates ko 0% aur 0.1% ke darmiyan rakhega. Is liye, USD/JPY mein overall upar ki rukh jaari rahegi kuch waqt tak. Isliye ke yen ne is saal United States aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate farq ko khaas tor par mad-e-nazar rakha hai.

Is haftay ke maqami data bhi ahem hai. Jumma ke din April ke U.S. rozmara kaam ke data par tawajjo do. Agar kamzori ke nishaan nazar aaye, to yeh umeed jata sakti hai ke Federal Reserve jaldi policy ko naram kar de, jo market ke mohtaajon ke mutabiq. Report mein yeh umeed hai ke is maheene mein rozmara kaam barhna kam ho gaya hoga, lekin is still musbat rahay ga.



Conclusion

Technical analysis bhi USD/JPY ke liye bullish taur par dakhil hai. Daily chart par, jo pair apni 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke upar trading kar raha hai, yeh ik bullish trend ko dikhata hai. MACD indicator bhi musbat ilaqon mein hai, jo ke bullish bias ko mazeed tawajjo deta hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY pair ka tajziya karta hai ke agle dino mein iska upar ki rukh jaari rahega, interest rate farq aur musbat maqami data ki madad se. Lekin, traders ko ihtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur maqami intizamaat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye, kyun ke kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqi khabar ya data ki riayat pair ka performance asar daal sakta hai.

USD/JPY daily
USD/JPY currency pair D1 time frame mein aik nihayat shandar uptrend par raha hai, jo tezi aur be chaini se numayan hai. Haal hi mein, Jumma ko, ye ek be misaal level tak pahunch gaya 158.30, jo uski tareekhi irtiqa se be misaal hai. Ab, analysts soch par mabni hain ke ye barhti hui raftaar jari rahegi ya agar ek junobi rukh qareeb hai. Pichle haftay ki harkaton ko dekhte hue, khaaskar Jumma ki, lagta hai ke Bank of Japan ne keemat control se nikal diya, jo amreeki ghod ko aagey barhne diya bina kisi rukawat ke. Ye pehli shawar yeh chingariyan ko hasil karti rahi thi jo Jumma ke Bank of Japan ke meeting se aai, jahan interest rates chhuhe gaye, mulk mein hamesha kam inflation ko wajah banate hue.


Jumma ki meeting ki ahmiyat ko bohot hi zyada nahi kiya ja sakta. Status quo ko barqarar rehne ka faisla karke, Bank of Japan ne essentailly USD/JPY pair ko apni silsilewaar barhti hui raftaar jari rakhne ki ijaazat de di. Ye faisla sirf currency traders ke liye hi nahi blke mukhtalif followers mein economic sentiment aur policy outlooks par bhi asar andazi rakhta hai.Tafseelan iss rishte ki faidaemandi mein jaane se, wazeh ho jata hai ke USD/JPY ki irtiqa maeetdari ke nataayej aur market ki umeedon ka wider chakra ka pehloo hai. Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko mustabar rakhte hue, yeh tasalli deti hai ke isne maafi dene wale monetary measures ki goi ki hai, jo ke muddat ke sath american dollar ki mazid izzat ko mazid mazboot karti hai against japanese yen. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ki shadeed irthi hai zarai narrative ko ahamiyat deti hai mulk ki mukhtasir currency ke khilaf dollar ke istitab ke sath jo factors se chala jata hai, jese ke mazboot economic indicators,himmat wegana projections, aur Federal Reserve se muddat mein huddo monetary policy ki umeed ke sath. Haan, is shidat bhari ralli ke darmiyan hoshyari se labraiz awazain nikalti hain, jo is tezi se izzafa se juray khatron aur nazukiyaton ko roshan karte hain. Garam hawa peesh aati hai, tajawee fazai haad se leke, aur doosray nuksan jatke jise investors ko financial markets ki asli ghair mutawaqtgi ki yaad dilate hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ka itna high volatility ke saath rukh mur chuka hai, ke iske utaar chadhaav traders ko haar waqt hairan kar rahe hain. Aaj bhi yehi sthiti rahi, jaise hi pair 160.00 ke level tak gir gaya, usne turant apni disha badal li. Yeh tezi mere weekend ke predictions ke saath mili thi, jo forex market mein technical analysis ki keemat ko darshaati thi.

Abhi, pair 155.60 par trade ho raha hai, jo tafseelati price movement ko darshaata hai. Maamooli trading volumes ki mojoodgi is halat ko aur bhi pechida bana rahi hai. Sirf subah ke trading session mein hi 500 pips ke oopar ka movement dekhne ko mila, jisse is currency pair ke ird gird hone wale shor ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.

Guzarish hai ke trendline support ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai pair. Agar yeh safalta purvak hota hai aur price trendline ke neeche consolidate ho jaata hai, to yeh neeche ki taraf ke trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin, pehle hi itni badi giraavat hote hue, agle kadam ka sahi anuman lagana mushkil ho jaata hai. Bazar ki aniyamit prakriti is halat mein ek anishchitya bhavna ko bhi jod deti hai.

Is tarah ki unchi volatility ka handle karne ke liye, traders ko mahatvapurna hota hai ki ve moolbhut staron aur soochakon par dhyan dein. Yeh sadhan bazar ke dynamics aur nigraani me aane waale keemat ke hausle aur sambhav price movements ke liye mahatvapurna suchna pradan kar sakta hai. Saath hi, robus risk management strategy bhi zaroori hai trading capital ko baadh mein rahe bazar ki kathinaiyon ke douran bachane ke liye.

Shaktishali rahkar aur savdhani bartate hue bazar ke complexities ka samna karna, khaaskar un samayon par jab volatility adhik hoti hai, forex market ke liye mahatvapurna hai. Thorough analysis aur risk factors ka dhyan rakh kar, sahi anuman lagake traders strategic roop se apne aap ko position kar sakte hain mauke ka faayda uthane aur nuksan ko kum karne ke liye.

USD/JPY currency pair ke asamanya gatiyan ek yaad dilati hain thay forex market ke gati shaalak prakriti ke baare mein aur trading strategies mein sudhaar karna zaruri hai. Approach mein lachiliata aur discipline ke sath, traders takraavat mein safar kar sakte hain aur bazar ki gatiyon ka faayda utha sakte hain.

Jaise trading ka din aage badhta hai, price action ko karib se dhyan se monitor karna aur bazar ke rukh ko samajhne ke liye trading strategies ko badalne ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Proactive rahne aur ek tez ho kar rahe traders mauke ka faayda uthane aur forex ka manzarnuma peshewar mein mushkilat ka grip karne ki kshamata ko sudhar sakte hain.

Ant mein, USD/JPY currency pair ka volatile mahaul ehtiyaat aur proactive approach ki avashyakta ko pesh karta hai. Technical analysis ka istemal kar ke, moolbhut staron ki nigraani rakh kar aur robus risk management vyavasthaen lagakar, traders bazar ke anishchityaon ka samna kar sakte hain adhik vishwas ke saath aur bahar se aane wale tezi se keemat movement ke mukhya upkrothon se faayda utha sakte hain.

USDJPY currency pair par neddaawwaza intaafuzat ka markazi khelafen ke hawalay se hilchul dekhi gayi hai, jisay Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka muqarar bandobast ke anasir ka saboot deti hai. Taaza intervent Yom Jumma ko kamanay par hone kay baad, ek ziada safg ashkaal mein 160.20 ke level par hua. Yeh darasal yeh batata hai ke Bank of Japan yen ki mazeed mazbooti ke khilaf 160.0 ke level ka muqabla karne ka irada rakhti hai.

Jo log 152.0 par bech chuke hon, unke liye haalat thora sa mushkila ban sakti hain. Bank of Japan ke 160.0 level ko maddafaat karne ka tasalsul, jinhon ne halkay levelon par becha hai unko apne strategies doobara gor karna hoga. 160.0 ya mohtem 161.0 waghaira jaise mazeed levelon ke qareeb dobara intarf aik rujhan saabit karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Bank of Japan yen ko kamzor karne ke liye apne amal jari rakhne ke liye mustaid hai.

Tareekhi lehaz se, Bank of Japan ne yen mein shiddat pasand rukh ko counter karne ke liye liquidity injections ka istemal kiya hai. Mazeed ahalon ka iqrar hai ke aise interventions ne forun maarket participats ko yen khareedna bala lamha dete the. Magar, mojooda manzar par, Bank of Japan yun sharaikyon ko yen bikvane ki taraf majbur karega takay wo apne maqasid ke exchange rate maqasid haasil kar sakein. Natija, market ki dynamics aur in interventions ke nateejo ka farq ho sakta hai pechle waqiyat se.

Cart par neela rang main dikhaye gaye mumkin scenario yeh isharah karta hai ke agar Bank of Japan apne intervention strategy ko poora haftay tak barqarar rakhta hai, to USDJPY jora 150.0 ke level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh ek nihayat ahem tezi hadood se target ke samne lena ki dalail ki sath ek tabdeeeli hoga exchange rate mein aur yen ke qeemat ko farogh dena ahtiyati karobari imdad.

Taqneegi analysis aur asli muaashat ke pechidgi, currency trading mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Bank of Japan ki intervention USDJPY market mein aala wattaman aur pashtunagi ka aghaaz kar ta rhaye hain, jo maeeshiyati tanazaafi aur trading strategies mein khalal daal sakta hai. Traders ko ameen rehna chahiye aur BoJ ki kisi bhi elaan ya amal ke asar par dekhna chahiye jo USDJPY jorre ko mutasir kar sakta hai.

152.0 par farokht karne wale traders ke liye, taaza intervent ke safhat ka analysis karne aur mukhtar exits tadaad ke zair-e-ehtiyaat hain. Market ki tabdeeli aur central banks ke intervent ke asar par karobari tareeqay ko tabdeel karne ke zaruriyat hai traders ko. USDJPY jorre mein waqeya hone wale qayamiyat aur resistane levels, market dynamics ke jawab mein mumkin price movements ka intezar karna chahiye.

Pakistan "Express Tribune" mein shaamil taslleedi riwayat, Bank of Japan ke USDJPY market mein intervention ek naya tasur ho sakta hai, jisay karobari ke liya be’ded authaniat our tabdil ker sakta hai. Bank of Japan ke yen ke dam par effects ko tawajju mein rakhte hue traders ko mustahkam or tez raheyne shamil hai. Bank of Japan ke USDJPY jorre par jo amliyaat yakeen ki nafarmaan chadai aur pareshan talab treen tulna mein be misl raqam de sakti hai.

USD/JPY Ke Qeemat Ki Tehqiqat


Maine pehle di gayi text ka khayal note kiya hai. USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ke rawayyaat ka tajziya karne ke baad, ab focus yeh hai ke kya chart ke halqeen harkaat market manipulation ka natija hain ya nahi. Agar hain, toh ek urooj ki sambhavna hai. Magar haal hi mein qeemat ka giravat ek ahem level par, yani 154.67 par, test ki gayi hai, jo ke aham market interest ki dalil hai jo aik wapas ka amal shuru kar sakti hai. Agar USD/JPY pair mazeed ooper jaata hai aur volumes barhne lagte hain, toh yeh bullish rukh ki taraf le jane wala ek mansooba ko faa'el kar sakta hai, jis se ke 156.84 ke qareeb ek level tak pohanch sakta hai, phir tizi tareen giravat hokar 153.28 ke ikatthe ilaqa ki taraf ruju karega. USD/JPY pair ke ascending channel ko anjam dene ke liye, trading bullish rukh mein tawajjo ka markaz rehta hai. Takhleeqi danishwaro aur tajwezat wazeh trading mauqe faraham karte hain, jin ki tawajjo mein haal hi ki bashaoor tajwezat munafa hasil hone wali trades mein muma'arif izafa hua hai.


Mojooda market dynamics dollar ko mazid mazboot karne ki taraf ishaara deti hain, jis se pair 160.43 ke global price channel ke ooper had tak qareeb pohanch raha hai, jis se chalte hue sudhaar ke bawajood is level ke ooper mawazna ke potential ka izhar hota hai. Aaj ke USD/JPY trading halaat ka jaiza, H1 waqt frame par tawajjo ko dene se pair 155.805 ke neeche trading kar raha hai, jahan bearish momentum mein kami dikhayi deti hai jab naye buyers dheron mein market mein dakhil ho rahe hain. 155.80 par buy trades shuru karne aur stop loss ko 155.780 par set karne se ghaire mutawaqqa nuqsanat ho sakte hain, jab ke maqsood ko munafa lenay ke liye 158.43 par ooper ka sath le jaane ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Iske ilawa, 157.890 ke qareeb ek neechay ka sudhar ka intezar ek aur buy activity ke liye mouqa faraham karta hai, jis se aik mukammal trading strategy mukammal hoti hai.

USD/JPY H4 Waqt Frame
Adaab. Aur beshak, yahan kuch bhi ho sakta hai, kyunke yahan yen hai, aur main khud is pair mein aise volatility ka intezar nahi kar raha tha kal. Aur zahir hai ke Japan Bank zimmedar thi, chahe chutti ka din tha, lekin mujhe shak ka aur koi wazeh tareeqa nahi mila. Halankeh, haqeeqat mein, phir bhi, humein ab bhi ek urooj raftar hai, aur kal humne 155 ke asray ko hataya aur ab bhi hum barh rahe hain aur shumal ki taraf dabao daal rahe hain. Aur jabke aaj volatility thori kam hogayi hai, to ahem hai ke dollar mustaqbil mein kis tarah se trade karega. Halankeh har soorat mein short initiative ab bhi mojood hai. Lekin mein ye imkan ko bhi rad nahi karta ke hum dobara 159-159.30 ke asray mein aa sakte hain, lekin main wahan bechna ki koshish karunga. 157.00 ke jhooti break out ho sakta hai, uske baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. 156.65 ke range ko todna aur uske neeche jam jana mumkin hai, phir ye bechna ka signal hoga. 157.00 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se, girawat jari rahegi. Main 157.00 ke range ke jhooti break out ko tasleem karta hoon, lekin uske baad bhi, girawat jari rahegi. 156.70 ke range mein support hai aur shayad uske neeche, girawat jari rahegi. Jab tak main 157.00 ke range ka barhav aur girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, girawat jari rahegi. Shayad 157.00 ke range ka jhooti break out pehle hi ho chuka hai aur uske baad, hum dheere dheere girawat aur 157.60 ke support range ka break out karte hain. Agar hum 156.65 ke range ko tod kar uske neeche jam jaate hain, to ye bechna ka signal hoga.



Shab Bakhair dosto! Natural tor par, abhi tak dakchhin ko sirf chhote chhote dakchhin uljhanon ke liye maqool nahi samjha ja raha hai, jo ki intehai buland agressiveness ki urooj raftar ko qaim karne ke liye hoti hai, aur phir se urooj raftar ke range mein wapas lautne ke liye. Aaj ka daily candle USD/JPY currency pair ke liye, Jumeraat ke super large daily candle ki taqreeban correction ko dikhata hai aur ab hum kaafi zyada market volatility ke sath shumali raftar mein agay barh rahe hain, jo urooj ki shumal trend ki jari rahi hai. Asal mein, main 155.87 ke support zone tak mumkinah correction ka intezar karta hoon aur phir hum upar barhenge psychological zones of round numbers 157.00 se aage, 158.00 aur 159.00 yeh psychological levels zahir hai ke market mein kaam kiye jayenge, kyunke traders ye resistance zones par bohot se limit orders lagate hain jahan qeemat un par react karti hai.

USD-JPY Currency Pair: Weekly Analysis


USDJPY pair ka daily chart. Aur is hafte ka aghaz kisi tarah se bohot bechain nikla; samajh nahi aa raha ke kya ho raha hai, aaj ke moves ki range pehle hi kareeb 500 points hai, aur aadha din bhi nahi guzra hai. Ye baat yaad rakhtay hue ke aaj Japan ka aik chutti ka din hai, Showa Day. Yahan tumhara chutti ka din hai; woh aise kartay hain. Market ke opening mein unho ne bhi qeemat ko bulandh banaya jitna hosakta tha, aur wahan se tezi se kami aayi. Jismani tor par, stop-outs ko trigger kiya gaya tha; doosri alfaaz mein, baray deposits jal gaye aur is wajah se qeemat tezi se neeche gir gayi. Lehar ka dhancha ab bhi barh raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle haftay aisa lag raha tha ke ye currency pair aik ulta waqar ke liye tamam moatabar sellers ko mukammal tor par dafan karne ka irada kar chuka hai, aur ab sudhar ka aghaz shuru ho gaya tha aur sab se qareebi support level 154.94 tak pohanch gaya tha. Agar koi deals nahi hain, to mein is pair par abhi bilkul bhi kaam nahi karunga; ye be hayaee, bazaar nahi hai. Lagta hai ke Japanese apni currency ki qeemat ko kam kar ke faida utha rahe hain, aur is mein Bank of Japan ka koi qasoor nahi hai. Jitna ke suna hai, Japanese duniya ke sab se baray speculation karne wale hain; woh apne khalis gharelo ajza ki bohot bari hissa speculation par kama lete hain. Lagta hai yahan sirf aik mode activated ke saath Japanese trading robots bethay hain: khareedna, lekin aaj inhone algorithms mein kuch tabdeeli ki hai, aur jo bhi sab dekh rahe hain woh ho raha hai. Abhi mojooda waqt mein CCI indicator mein bearish divergence hai jo istemal kiya gaya hai. Mein isay aik kaam karne wala aur acha signal samajhta hoon, aur qeemat lambay arsay ke bulandh hone ke baad shayad girne ka silsila jaari rahega. Baharhaal mein is pair par trading se bachunga, wazeh hai ke yahan koi bara kirdar ada kar raha hai jo janta hai ke uske dimagh mein kya hai. Tum maaliat ka calendar nazar andaz kar sakte ho; aaj is jori ke liye koi ahem khabrein nahi hain.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ke maqablay mein US dollar ke sath tasalsul rahta hai, jahan Japanese authorities ke taraf se JPY ki madad ke liye mukhtalif amal ki khabron ka tajzia kiya gaya hai, lekin abhi tak kisi official tasdeeq nahi hui. Is madad ke kami ne USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein tajziya ki mukhtalif paisay ki tajawuz ke saath, jismen US dollar ki mazeed farokht se is jodi par dabao pad raha hai. Amreki Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) waqai inflation ke samney mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai, jo current samaji maqboul tareeqe se Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki musbat rate ke nazar nahi hai. Yeh mukhtalif monetary policy ke asrat ke saath intezar e rate ko mutasir karta hai aur mutasir hone ki tawaqo kharij karta hai. Is ke sath, market mein maqbul risk tassurat ne JPY ka safe-haven currency banne ki lehaz se rujhan ko mehdood kar diya hai, jo USD/JPY ki jodi ke liye 155.00 ke nehzati had tak khareedne wale ko attract kar raha hai.

Is saal ke shuru mein, USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein mustawar oopri rukh nazar aya, jo ke apne 200-day simple moving average ko paar kar ke Thursday ko aik naya 34 saal ka record bun gya. Ye rally Japanese authorities ko exchange rate ko mustahkam karne ke liye faueran action lene ki raah dikhayegi. Agar USD/JPY par oopri dabao jari rahe, to keemat chunoti bhari leval tak pohanch sakti hai, mumkin hai ke 154.64 leval tak pohanch jaye, jo 151.90 aur 140.24 ke darmiyan Fibonacci retracement ka 123.6% extension darust karti hai. Mazeed rukawat ki levalen 159.10 par mil sakti hain, jo pehle April 1990 mein bailon ne qaboo pa li thi. Aksar, agar aik wapis hoti hai, to ibtedaai support 154.63 leval par mil sakti hai, aur mazeed support 151.89 aur 150.76 par bhi ho sakta hai. Tijarati logon ko ab akhraaj dene wale channel se bahar nikalne ko aik potential khareedne ki mauka samajhna chahiye, aur tijarat aur market ke raay se liye RSI ka mutalia karte hue faail hone wale dinon mein faail hone ke tawazun par ghor karna chahiye.


Aage ki taraf dekhte huye, tijarati logon ko ihtiyat aur masawaat se kaam lena chahiye taa ke woh USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein mazeed taoonon ka samna kar saken. Amriki aur Japani monetary policies ke darmiyan mukhtalifiyat, sath hi global maishiyati factors, exchange rate movement ko mutasir karne jari honge. 157.00 leval aik ahem nishaan hai jise dekhna chahiye, kyunke yeh USD/JPY ke jodi ki mustaqbil ki rah ka faisla kar sakta hai. Technically, RSI ne intehai uncha leval dikhaya hai, jisse lambi muddat tak tijarat karne ki mumkin dhamki samjhi ja sakti hai faail hone ke dinon mein. Magar, agar wapisi ka hawala milta hai, to 157.00 leval pass me support daryaft kar sakti hai, jo bullish channel ki tor di hui resistance darust karta hai.

Akhri mein, tijarati log saanji aur masawaat mein rahain aur currency markets ke gehre aurataysh ke jawab mein lahaq rehne ke tayyar rahein. USD/JPY ke exchange rate ko mukhtalif baahri factors ka samna hai, aur tijarati logon ko baazari tassuratiyon mein hone wale tabadlon ke jawaab denay ke liye maqbul aur tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Ahem levalon aur indicators ko qareeb se nigaah dalkar, tijarati log USD/JPY jodi ke hali halchal mein behtar reh sakty hain.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Guzishta hafte ki trading mein, USD/JPY jore ne 154.75 par mukhtasir tor par stabilize hone ke baad, Japanese yen mazeed kamzor hua aur ek naye record low tak pohanch gaya. Range ke upper end ko 154.75 par aahista aahista daba kar, qeemat ne oopar ki taraf movement karni shuru ki aur stabilize hui, jo ke baad mein tezi se barhne ke liye mazboot support faraham kia. Natijatan, tawaqo ki gayi target area ko na sirf hasil kiya gaya balke usay kafi had tak taajub khiz tor par maat di gayi. Taham, is ke foran baad qeemat mein tezi se kami aayi, aur sab pehle ke faide mita diye.

Technically, agar hum 4 ghante ka chart dekhein, toh dekhte hain ke jore ne 155.00 se oopar mazbooti se positive stability barqarar rakhi hai, aur simple moving average ka support musalsal faida mand momentum faraham kar raha hai taake faide jaari rahein. Yahan se, uptrend 154.90 ki mazboot support ke oopar trading kar ke barqarar hai, agla target 155.70 hai, yeh jaan kar ke is level se oopar ka break motivating factor hai, jo 156.00 tak pohanchne ke imkanat ko barhata hai. Agar 154.90 se neeche move hota hai toh jore par manfi dabao aayega, aur target 154.45 aur 154.00 tak dobara barhne ki koshishon se pehle retest hoga. Neche di gayi tasveer ko dekhein:




Filhal, qeemat hafte ke aghaz ke muqabale mein thodi ziada hai, tez rise aur foran baad ki giri ke baad. Ahem support areas ko test kiya gaya hai aur wo apni integrity barqarar rakhte hue oopar ki taraf vector ko favor karte hain. Qeemat filhal ek naye price zone mein consolidate ho rahi hai jiska nichla boundary 154.75 hai, jabke main support area ke boundaries intact hain. Is level ka bar bar test hone se agle rebound wave ke development ke moqaat faraham hote hain, aur target 161.29 aur 163.05 ka area hoga.

Agar support toot jata hai aur qeemat 153.35 ke reversal level se neeche gir jati hai, toh mojooda scenario ko cancel karne ka signal mil jayega.

USD/JPY Ki Taza Maloomat

Aap ke diye gaye matan ka jayeza lenay ke baad, maine USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka bartao dekha hai. Ab tak ka tajziya yeh hai ke agar recent price ki movements market manipulation ki wajah se hain, to phir iski qeemat mein ooncha uthanay ka imkan hai. Haal hi mein qeemat mein kami ne 154.67 ki ahem satah ko test kiya hai, jo ke bazar mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai aur is ke natije mein ek rebound trigger ho sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY pair mazeed barhne ke saath volumes mein izafa hota hai, to yeh ek bullish rukh ki janib aik manzar ko fa'aal kar sakta hai, jo ke pehlay 156.84 ki satah tak pohanch sakta hai aur phir tezi se 153.28 ke jama area ki taraf girta hai. USD/JPY pair ke barhti hui channel ko follow karte hue, bullish direction mein trading aik taraajih hai. Taza tajziyati baseerat aur peshangoiyan mo'atabar trading moqay faraham karti hain, kyunke pair ne numayan tor par barhotri ka tajurba kiya hai.




Mojooda market dynamics dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki nishandahi karti hain, jis ke saath pair global price channel ke ooperi had tak pohanch raha hai jo 160.43 hai, is satah ke ooper musalsal consolidation ki imkanat ke bawajood. Aaj ka USD/JPY trading ka jayeza, H1 time frame par mabni hai, jahan pair 155.805 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur bearish momentum kamzor par raha hai jab ke naye khareedar ahista ahista bazar mein daakhil ho rahe hain. 155.80 par buy trades shuru karne ke saath 155.780 par stop loss set karna, naa-mutawaqa nuqsanat ko mumkin bana sakta hai, jab ke ooperi resistance level 158.43 par faida uthane ko yaqeeni bana raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 157.890 ke gird neeche ki correction ki tawaqo ek mazid buying activity ke liye moqa pesh karta hai, jo ke aik jam'a trading strategy ko mukammal karta hai.

USD/JPY Tijarti Guftugu

Daily Timeframe Ka Manzar:

Main ne daily interval par switch kiya aur channel ki resistance ko adjust kia, ab mujhe channel ke upper border par ek unchi point mili hai, agar wo ooper dabao dalain to 161 se ooper ek purkashish manzar khul sakta hai. Magar filhaal, mujhe market mein mumkinah kami nazar a rahi hai jaisa ke pehshangoi ki gai thi. USD/JPY saaf tor par ek bearish rujhan ki taraf dekh raha hai aur is disha ko barqarar rakhne ke liye izafi iqdamat kar raha hai. Misal ke taur par, 156.23 ki satah ko price todne ki imkaan hai, jiske baad mazeed girawat dekhi jayegi. Jab ye dynamics nazar aata hai, main price ke is satah ke neeche rukne ka intezar karta hoon taake girawat ke silsile ko jaari rakhne ke liye tayar rahoon. Aage kya hoga - yahan par imkaanaat par tawajju dena zaroori hai. Mumkin hai ke price 154.33 ki satah tak pohanch jaye, jo ke girti hui USD/JPY ke peechay bulls ke liye mushkil sabit ho sakta hai. Filhaal, main is currency jore ko kharidne ke liye len-den khulne se guraiz karoon ga, kyunke saaf nazar aata hai ke market ka rukh barhi had tak badal sakta hai. Is liye, nuqsan se bachne ke liye, aise len-den se guraiz behtar hai, kyunke manfi position se nikalna intehai mushkil ho sakta hai.




H1 Hour Timeframe Ka Manzar

Yen ke H1 chart ka tajziya karne ke baad, main yeh nateeja akhaz karta hoon ke market khareedari ki inteha ko pohanch chuki hai aur price ke girne ka aghaaz hua hai. Umooman, yeh pata chalta hai ke hamare paas rate ke neeche ki taraf palatne ke liye achhi shartein mojood hain. Hum pehle hi ek ooper ki impulse aur corrective growth bana chuke hain, jiske baad girawat jaari rahegi. Jab tak 157.30 ki range mein mazahemat hai aur us se, girawat jaari rahegi. Hum aahista aahista naye tareekhi bulandiyan qaim kar rahe hain aur is surat mein, hamen bechnay ke liye achhe darje mil sakte hain. 155.10 ki range se pehle hi ek uchal bana chuka hai aur is surat mein mazbooti jaari reh sakti hai bina mazeed jhooti breakout ka formation kiye. Mumkin hai ke hum 155.10 par ek jhooti breakout hasil karen, phir us ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. 155.05 ki range ka jhooti breakout ek achha signal ho sakta hai ke khareedna hai. 157.25 ki range mein mazahemat hai aur wahan se girawat mazeed jaari hai. Agar hum mojooda satah se neeche 155.12 se bhi kam gir jaate hain, to hum be fikr hokar bechna shuru kar sakte hain, kyunke yeh rate ke girne ki ibtida ka signal hai.

Japanese yen ke liye fir se selling ka pressure hai. Ye tab shuru hua jab pir ko currency ko support karne ke liye hakoomat ki madad ki qiyas aarayiyan hui thin. Magar, Japan aur US ke darmiyan barhtay huay interest rate ka farq, aur Middle East mein tensions ka kam hona, yen ki safe-haven appeal ko kamzor kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, kuch dollar ki khareedari ne USD/JPY jore ko taqat bakhshi hai. Phir bhi, traders hoshiyar hain aur Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke interest rate faisalon ke baray mein zyada wazeh isharay milne se pehle bade bets lagane se gurez kar rahe hain. Aanay wala Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka meeting ka natija budh ko aur US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ki report jumay ko, ahem mawaqif samjhe ja rahe hain. Is dauran, mangal ko US ki economic data, jisme Chicago PMI aur Consumer Confidence reports shamil hain, bhi USD/JPY jore par asar andaz ho sakti hain.




Technically, USD/JPY jore ne pir ko mazbooti dikhayi, 200-hour simple moving average (SMA) ke oopar bana raha. Haal hi ki tez girawat ki 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke oopar tor phor ka imkaan pair ke liye upside potential ko zahir karta hai. Ye ghanta chart ke oscillators par musbat momentum ke isharat ke zariye tasdeeq shuda hai. Agar USD/JPY 157.00 ke level ke oopar chala jata hai, to ye 157.40 ke qareeb 50% Fibonacci level ki taraf barh sakta hai. Ye momentum 158.00 ke gol number ya 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level tak barh sakta hai. Ye levels dekhne ke liye ahem mazahimat points ban jatay hain. Neche ki taraf, agar USD/JPY 156.75-156.70 zone ke neeche gir jata hai, to ye 156.35 ke area ke qareeb support dhoond sakta hai, uske baad 156.00 ke level tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar 156.00 ke neeche faisla kun tor par toot jata hai, to ye 200-hour SMA support ko 155.35 ke qareeb be-naqab kar sakta hai. Agar girawat mazeed barhti hai, to jore 155.00 ke nafsiyati level ko tor sakta hai aur raat bhar ke swing lows ko 154.00 ke qareeb challenge kar sakta hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) aur uska US ke sath muqabla aj kal kafi utar charhav ka shikar hai. Jahan ek taraf Japanese authorities ki taraf se JPY ko support karne ki afwah thi, wahan koi sarkari elan nahi hua hai. Is kami ki wajah se USD/JPY exchange rate mein tezi se recovery hui hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar (greenback) ki zyada farokht ne USD/JPY par neeche ki taraf dabao dala hai. Dusri taraf, US mein Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) musalsal inflation ki wajah se challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Japan ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke uncertain rate outlook ke muqablay mein ek khaasa farq pesh karta hai. Yeh monetary policy mein ikhtilaf kuch waqt tak barqarar rahne ka imkaan hai, jo ke USD aur JPY ke darmiyan exchange rate ko mutasir karega. Positive risk sentiment ne bhi JPY ki safe-haven currency ke tor par appeal ko kam kar diya hai, jo kuch khareedaron ko USD/JPY ke psychological 155.00 mark ke qareeb khinch raha hai. Is saal ke shuru mein, USD/JPY ne ek mustahkam upward trend dikhaya, apne 200-day simple moving average (SMA) se upar uth gaya. Jumeraat ko, exchange rate ne ek nayi 34 saal ki buland tareen satah ko haasil kiya, apni rally ko ek aise shetar mein le jaya gaya jo ke Japanese authorities ki taraf se mudakhilat ko dawat de sakti hai.




Agar USD/JPY par upar ki taraf dabao barqarar raha, to price ek mushkil satah ko haasil kar sakta hai. Ek mumkinah target 154.64 level hai, jo 151.90 aur 140.24 ke darmiyan Fibonacci retracement ka 123.6% extension hai. Is nuqta se aage, mazid izafa 161.8% Fibonacci extension level 159.10 tak mahdood ho sakta hai, jo ke April 1990 mein bulls ne fateh kiya tha. Baraks, agar USD/JPY mein pullback hota hai, to ibtidaai support 154.63 ki Fibonacci retracement level par mil sakti hai. Agar decline mazeed jaari raha, to bears ke liye agla hurdle November 2023 ki high 151.89 ho sakta hai. Mazeed support ke baghair, price April ke support level 150.76 tak gir sakta hai. Technically, hal hi mein trend channel se breakout ek nayi khareedari ka moqa traders ko deta hai. Rozana chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal intehai uncha level dikhata hai, jo ke hafte ke aghaz par faal long-term trading ko hawasila bana sakta hai. Magar, koi neeche ki taraf correction 157.00 level par support dhoond sakta hai, jo bullish channel ke tootay huye resistance ko darust karta hai. Yeh level USD/JPY exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko tae karna mein khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai.

USD/JPY D1

Kitnay hi accounts is urooj ki wajah se doob gaye honge! Main lambay arsay se trading mein stops lagane ki himayat karta aaya hoon, magar haal hi mein main yen ke sath kaam karte hue bilkul bhi stops ke baghair kaam karne ki tajweez nahi dunga. Ya phir deposit par choti lots ka load umeed ke sath ke inhi interventions ki wajah se. Halankay bohot se log sochtay hain ke jitna ooncha hum chadhay hain, utna kam imkaan hai ke yen mazeed kamzor hoga ya USD/JPY barhega. Magar yeh ek ghalat fahmi ho sakti hai jab transaction kholne ke liye lot ka intekhab karte hain. Humare paas mojooda qeematon se ooper kya hai? Price movements ki barikion ko samajhna zaroori hai. Is framework mein, candles ka neeche ki taraf safar market dynamics ki aik wazeh tasveer pesh karta hai, har neeche ki taraf movement prevailing bearish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Yeh musalsal neeche ki taraf momentum overarching trend ko underline karta hai.

Screenshot dekhiye: Screenshot_20240428-082148_1.png





159.700-160.16 (waise, haal hi mein afwahen phaili hain ke yen 160 tak apni growth/fall mein pohanch sakta hai), level hai 161.80, aur phir zone hai 166.75-167.35. Magar saath hi, main dohraata hoon ke agar agle chand dinon mein growth hoti hai, to mujhe umeed nahi hai ke yeh 158.70 se zyada barh jaye, magar phir bhi, agar aap cut karte hain, to zaroor stop use karein. 146.5 behtareen hai, magar wahan pohanchne ke liye aapko zones 154.23-154.33 aur 153.0-153.13 - jo ke qareebi correction targets hain, se guzarna hoga. Yeh 154.789 se ooper band hua. Is liye, Jumma ko maine growth ki taraf resistance 156.566 ki taraf tarjeeh di. Jumma ko din bhar growth hi hui, price ne resistance 158.390 tak pohancha. Main ne is resistance ko abhi test nahi kiya, is liye Pir ko bhi main growth ki taraf resistance 160.213 tak tarjeeh dunga. Kam az kam, mujhe lagta hai ke resistance 158.390 ko test kiya jaye ga aur zyada se zyada yeh ke price is level ke ooper band ho jaye.

USD/USD ke mojooda bazar ki surat e haal, H1 waqt ke frame mein zahir hone wale ek musalsal neeche ki taraf rujhan ke zariye numayan hai. Yeh neeche ka rujhan candlesticks ke zariye manifest hota hai jo musalsal moving average line ke neeche trading positions ko dikhate hain. Magar is neeche ki taraf momentum ke darmiyan, ek mumkinah sust raftar mein kam hone ke ishaarat maujood hain. Yeh khaas tor par tab zahir hota hai jab peechay chalne wali neeche ki taraf ki movement Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke readings ke mutabiq oversold territory mein daakhil hoti hai. Jab market ke observers USD/USD bazar ki dynamics ka analaysis karte hain, to yeh waziha hota hai ke ek ghalib bearish sentiment ne apne aap ko mazbooti se qaim kiya hai. Yeh sentiment price action mein sahi tarah se zahir hota hai, jahan candlesticks musalsal moving average ke neeche aik position ko barqarar rakhte hain, jo musalsal neeche ki taraf pressure ko denote karta hai. Aise price behavior se prevailing market sentiment ko underline kiya jata hai jo USD ki apne aap ke muqablay mein depreciation ko favor karta hai, jo ek numayan rujhan ko signal karta hai.




Technical analysis mein mazeed gehraai mein jaate hue, H1 waqt ka frame aise lens ke tor par kaam karta hai jis ke zariye market participants price movements ki barikion ko scrutinize karte hain. Is framework mein, candles ka neeche ki taraf safar market dynamics ki aik wazeh tasveer pesh karta hai, har neeche ki taraf movement prevailing bearish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Yeh musalsal neeche ki taraf momentum overarching trend ko underline karta hai, jo market mein bearish forces ke asar ko numayan karta hai. Magar phir bhi, bearish sentiment ke zahir hone ke darmiyan, neeche ki taraf momentum mein susti ki nafis magar ahem nishaniyan maujood hain. Yeh khaas tor par RSI readings mein zahir hota hai, jo oversold territory mein daakhil hui hain aik aisa zone jo tareekhi tor par prevailing trends mein potential reversals ya waqfay se wabasta hota hai. Oversold conditions aur broader neeche ki taraf trend ke convergence se market dynamics mein aik mumkinah inflection point ka ishara milta hai, jo traders ko ehtiyaat baratne aur developments ko qareeb se dekhne ki talqeen karta hai.

Bunyadi tor par, jabke USD/USD bazar H1 waqt ke frame par ek numayan neeche ki taraf trend ko zahir karta hai, bearish momentum mein susti ke isharat ke ubharte hue nishanat ko ghor se dekhne ki zaroorat hai. Market participants ko chokas rehne ki salah di jati hai, kyun ke prevailing trends aur technical indicators ke darmiyan interplay se mustaqbil ke price movements mein qeemati basirat faraham ho sakti hai.