𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Halaat

AUD/USD currency pair aakhri dino mein upar ki taraf barh raha hai, jismein mustahkam izafa dekhne ko mila hai. Australian dollar ne khaas tor par mazbooti dikhai hai, jabke positive retail sales data ne US dollar ko bhi behter kiya, lekin is pair mein koi khaas kami nahi dekhi gayi. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke agle ikdamat market ki harkat par asar daal sakte hain, jo ke munafa ya nuqsan ka sabab ban sakte hain, unke faislon ke mutabiq. Jabke rate cut ki uncertainty hai, 0.4-point reduction ki umeed hai, lekin central bank ki rhetoric bohat ahmiyat rakhti hai. Halankeh overall nazar bullish hai, 0.6669 par kharidari ke mauqe mil sakte hain, chahe ye foran entry trigger na karein. Iske ilawa, AUD/USD ka 0.6776 ke upar jana yeh darust karta hai ke current upward move purani highs ke upar banni liquidity ko clear kar raha hai, jo price ko aur barhne ki ijaazat de sakta hai.

Is waqt price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, aur stochastic indicator upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo ke upar ki taraf momentum ka darust karta hai. Buyers ne doosre resistance level ke upar apni position mazboot kar li hai, aur pair abhi 0.6816 par trade kar raha hai. Potential growth ke liye main targets classic pivot reversal levels honge. Is marhale par price direction ya upward trend ke dobarah shuru hone ka koi signal nahi hai, isliye sabse mumkinah scenario hai ke niche ki taraf movement continue ho, taake 0.6712 ka support level test kiya ja sake. Agar price is level ke neeche gir jati hai aur chaar ghante ki candle is se neeche band hoti hai, to main mazeed kami ki talash karunga, red moving average ya 0.6643 ke support level tak pahunchne ka intezar karunga.




Main tab tak kisi alternative scenario par ghoor nahi karunga jab tak price blue moving average ke upar wapas nahi aata, is surat mein hum 0.6824 par current local maximum ko update karne ki ek aur koshish ki umeed kar sakte hain. Chart mein potential downward reversal ka ishara hai, jo price mein bohot badi kami ka sabab ban sakta hai. Projection yeh darust karti hai ke pair pehle purani high se upar x-point ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar price action successfully upar ki taraf liquidity ko clear kar leta hai, to phir wo niche gir sakta hai, 0.6705 ke aas-paas wapas aate hue, jahan substantial trading volume dekha gaya hai.

AUD/USD price action ka jaiza

Is analysis mein hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior par baat karenge. Pichlay hafta Australian dollar ne hourly chart par kaafi significant movement dikhayi, Monday se growth ka aghaz hua. Resistance level 0.67259 par consolidation hui, jo ke ek buy signal tha 0.67889 resistance ki taraf. Price ne Tuesday aur Wednesday ko apna safar continue kiya aur expected tor par 0.67889 resistance ko hit kiya. Wednesday ko price ne is level se bounce kiya aur wapis 0.67259 support par aayi. Thursday tak, price ne phir se 0.67889 resistance ko break kiya, jo ek aur buy signal bana 0.68521 resistance ki taraf. Ye signal Thursday ko bhi play out hua, aur price 0.68521 resistance aur 0.67889 support ke darmiyan trade karti rahi. Agar 0.68521 resistance break hota hai, to bullish target 0.69148 ho sakta hai. Aur agar 0.67889 support break hota hai, to bearish target 0.67529 ho ga.

Pichlay hafta pairs mein buying dekhne ko mili. Weekly chart ne recent sideways movement ko zahir kiya. Aane wale hafta ke liye, yeh dekhna baqi hai ke bullish trend continue karega ya kisi alternate scenario ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Aane wale hafta ke liye technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain aur recommendations ko review karte hain. Moving averages strong buy signals ko suggest karte hain, technical indicators bhi is baat ko reinforce karte hain, aur overall output yeh zahir karta hai ke buying ka mahaul active hai. Is liye, yeh pair agle hafta bhi upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Agle hafta ke liye kuch important news events bhi expected hain. Australia se news neutral lag rahi hai, aur Reserve Bank of Australia ka faisla Tuesday ko 07:29 par expected hai; is buniyad par, agle hafta sideways movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jisme buying 0.6879 resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai aur selling ka target 0.6759 support level ho ga. Overall movement sideways pattern mein rahegi.

Thursday Ke Liye Macro Economic Halaat

Thursday ko sirf kuch macroeconomic events ka ailan hai. Sabse ahm event U.S. unemployment claims report hai, lekin market isay nazarandaaz kar sakti hai. Market ke paas pehle se hi kaafi ahm maloomat hai, is liye secondary report par tawajjo dene ki ummeed kam hai. Din ke pehle hissa mein dono currency pairs kal ke Federal Reserve meeting aur U.S. central bank ke faislon se mutasir ho sakte hain. Din ke doosre hissa mein, tawajjo Bank of England par shift hogi.

Sirf ek ahm fundamental event Thursday ke liye schedule hai. Dopehar ke aas-paas, BoE apni interest rate ka faisla announce karega. Is mein koi rahasya nahi hai. Jese market kal Fed ke rate cut par 100% yaqeen rakhta tha, waise hi aaj yeh yaqeen hai ke rate unchanged rahega. Lekin central bank ki meeting sirf rate decision tak mehsoor nahi hoti. Yeh jaanana bhi zaroori hai ke Monetary Policy Committee ke kitne members rate cut ko support karte hain (andaza: do). BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ka rukh samajhna aur inflation aur economy ke liye updated forecasts ko dekhna bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Is liye, aaj ka sabse ahm pehlu rate decision nahi hoga.




General Natijay:
Thursday ko dono currency pairs mein high volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Pehle, European markets Fed ke faisle par react karengi. Doosre, BoE meeting ke natayej ka ailan hoga. Is liye aaj ek aur toofan aasakta hai. Yeh predict karna mushkil hai ke dono currency pairs shaam tak kahan pohanchengi, kyunki fundamental background bohot mazboot hai. Dollar ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo kal ke izafe ko kho na de. Agar aaj wo further decline se bachta hai, to isay aage barhne ki ummeed hai.

Kal, Australian dollar August ke peak tak chala gaya, 0.6801 ka target level cross karte hue, jo humne pehle ke forecast mein dekha tha. Aaj subah, Australia ka employment data release hua, jo thoda behtar nateeje dikhata hai. Unemployment rate 4.2% par rahega, aur employment mein 47,500 ka izafa hua hai jabke andaza 26,400 tha. Data release ke baad, national currency upar aana shuru hui, lekin iska izafa technical pressure ka samna kar raha hai, khas taur par daily time frame mein divergence ki wajah se. Pair ka ahm maqsad 0.6691-0.6727 ka support range todna hai, jahan MACD line maujood hai. Agar 0.6691 todta hai, to yeh 0.6640 ke nazdeek jane ka rasta khol dega, saath hi 0.6570 tak bhi.

Chaar ghante ke chart par, price 0.6727-0.6801 ke range mein "wandering" kar rahi hai. Is range ke upar consolidation karne se 0.6874 tak izafe ki sambhavnayein khulengi, lekin declining commodity markets isay rokenge. Marlin oscillator neutral zero line par hai. Mukhtasir taur par, hum expect karte hain ke price key support 0.6691 ke around MACD line ko target karegi.

AUD/USD Ka Halaat Aur Mustaqbil

October 2022 ke low se, AUD/USD ne kai dafa izafa aur fluctuation dekha hai. Yeh pair February 2023 ke high aur October 2022 ke low ke darmiyan ek range mein hai. Lekin is range ke andar bhi, traders ko chhoti time frames mein mauqe dekhne ko milte hain. Aussie ke liye, yeh pair March 2020 mein degree (I) supercyclical wave ko complete kar chuka hai. Wave (I) ke khatam hone ke baad, pair ne February 2021 tak ek sharp rally ki, jo impulse sequence ke saath thi. Uske baad se, yeh correction cycle mein hai, jise hum ne double triple structure ke taur par identify kiya hai. Hum har weekend ya kisi waqt week ke doraan detailed weekly aur daily charts ko update karte hain taake members long-term path ko samajh saken.

Hamari long-term forecast kehti hai ke October 2022 ki rally ek connector hai jo February 2021 se badi bearish correction sequence ka extension ban sakti hai. Is darmiyan, AUD/USD ka aakhri setup connector ke raste par tha – upar ki taraf. 30-month ke range mein, humne expect kiya tha ke pair kam az kam 0.6955 tak pohanch jayega. Is nazar mein, humne H4 aur H1 charts mein members ke saath bullish bias share kiya hai. Chaliye, is pair ka latest setup dekhte hain.




09/09/2024 ko, humne upar wala H4 chart members ke saath share kiya. Jab price ne 08/05/2024 ko wave (X) of ((X)) ko complete kiya, to yeh impulse structure ke saath upar aayi. Humne 08.05.2025 se impulses ki sequence ko wave A from (Y) from ((X)) ke taur par identify kiya. Uske baad aane wali retracement ko hum ne corrective double triple structure ke taur par label kiya, jise wave B kaha. Is liye, humne expect kiya ke wave B ko 0.6629 aur 0.6543 ke beech extreme zone mein support milayga. Humne extreme se kam az kam 3-swing rebound ki umeed ki. Humne independent members ke liye extreme zone provide kiya hai jo is tarah ke scenario mein shopping karna chahte hain. Halankeh yeh woh rasta tha jise humne expect kiya, lekin hum wave A ke high ko break karne ke baad kharidari karna pasand karenge. Uske baad hum doosri pullback ko kharid sakte hain.

AUD/USD price action ka jaiza

AUD/USD Price Action ka Jaiza
Market Overview: AUD/USD ka price action aaj kal bohot interesting raha hai. Yeh currency pair dono countries ke economic data, global market sentiments, aur commodities prices (especially gold aur iron ore) ke upar depend karta hai. Australia ka economy commodities exports pe zyada rely karta hai, jab ke U.S. dollar ko safe-haven status milta hai jab global markets mein uncertainty hoti hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels: Is waqt AUD/USD key support aur resistance levels par trade kar raha hai. Support ka strong level 0.6400 ke aas paas bana hua hai, jahan se pehle bhi price ne bounce liya hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh next support 0.6350 par aa sakta hai. Upper side pe resistance 0.6500 par hai, jo psychological barrier ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko cross karta hai, toh 0.6550 tak jaane ke chances barh jate hain.

Trend Analysis: Daily aur weekly charts par AUD/USD ka downtrend nazar aata hai, lekin short-term mein kuch bullish corrections bhi dekhne ko mile hain. Moving averages, jese ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, neeche ki taraf slope karte hue nazar aate hain, jo ke selling pressure ko highlight karte hain. Magar agar price 50-day moving average ke upar close kar jaye, toh yeh trend reversal ka signal de sakta hai.

Fundamental Factors: Australia ki taraf se recent economic data mixed aayi hai. Retail sales aur inflation data ne market ko surprise kiya, lekin China ki slow growth ka asar Australian economy par padta hai. Doosri taraf, U.S. mein Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance interest rates ko stable ya high rakhne ka signal deta hai, jo U.S. dollar ko strength deta hai.

Conclusion: Aane wale dino mein AUD/USD ka price action kaafi depend karega Australia aur U.S. ke economic indicators par, jaise ke employment data, inflation reports, aur China ki economic growth. Traders ko global risk sentiment aur commodities market pe bhi nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke yeh AUD/USD ke movement ko direct karte hain.

AUDUSD Price Study

Hamari guftagu mein hum AUDUSD currency pair ke price behavior ka ghehra mutala kar rahe hain. Chand din pehle ke trading session mein, AUDUSD ka chart H4 timeframe par dikhata hai ke candlestick abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai, halan ke zyada bara movement nahi hai. Chart ke mutabiq price lagataar barh raha hai aur Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indications ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Aaj ke market ke halat se yeh wazeh hai ke guzishta haftay ke pattern ke mutabiq aur barhne ki gunjaish abhi bhi mojood hai. Maine kai indicators ke technical data ko samajhne ki koshish ki. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, level 70 ki janib, jo yeh batata hai ke week ke aghaz mein market abhi bhi bullish hai.


Iske ilawa, MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position lambi hai aur lagataar barh rahi hai, jo meri raye mein is baat ka ishara hai ke market ki price abhi bhi barh rahi hai aur bullish trend ki janib ja rahi hai. Mere assessment ke mutabiq, yeh achi possibility hai ke AUDUSD currency pair apni bullish trend ko qaim rakhega aur aur barh sakta hai. Upward trend ke direction mein trading ek reasonable option hai jo profit ka potential rakhta hai. Humein intezaar karna chahiye ke price dobara 0.6880 ke level tak barh jaye, kyun ke us waqt market ka bullish continuation signal wapis aayega. Agar buyer iske baad price ko 0.6900 ke level tak pohanchane mein kaamyab ho jata hai, to price increase ki possibility aur zyada ho jayegi jo ek higher level ko hit karne ki koshish karegi. Main umeed karta hoon ke aap ke comments aur contributions mere samajh ko aur wasee karenge.

CONCLUSION:
AUDUSD ka price abhi bullish trend mein hai, aur indicators jaise RSI aur MACD yeh dikhate hain ke price aage barh sakta hai. Agar price 0.6880 ko cross kare aur buyer 0.6900 tak le jaye, to aur barhne ki achi possibility hai. Upward trend ke direction mein trading ek munafa dene wala option ho sakta hai.

Australian dollar Tuesday ko thora mazid strong hua. European session mein, Australian dollar 0.6845 par trade kar raha hai, jo din mein 0.12% zyada hai. Aaj subha AUD/USD 0.6869 tak barh gaya, jo is saal ka sabse uncha level tha Reserve Bank of Australia ne cash rate ko 4.35% par chhor diya, jo ke waise hi expected tha. Central bank ne rate ko 12 saal ke unche level par saatwi dafa barqarar rakha. Australian dollar ne rate announcement par zyada harkat nahi dikhayi RBA ne kaha ke inflation ab bhi bohat zyada hai. RBA ke bayan mein tasleem kiya gaya ke inflation kaafi kam ho gaya hai lekin ab bhi "target se zyada hai aur barqarar hai," aur central bank ki ahem tarjeeh yeh hai ke inflation ko wapas 2-3% target range mein laya jaye. RBA ke members ne economic conditions ke bare mein ghamgin izhar kiya, yeh note karte hue ke doosri quarter mein GDP kamzor thi aur China ki slow down ne commodity prices ko nuksan pohchaya
Meeting ke baad wali press conference mein Governor Bullock ne dobara yeh wazeh kiya ke RBA jald hi interest rates ko cut karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. August mein, unhone samjhaya tha ke "early deadline" ka matlab chay mahine hai, iska matlab hai ke RBA 2025 ke aaghaz se pehle rate cut ki tawaqo nahi rakhta. Bullock ne kaha ke aaj ke meeting mein rate hike ka koi ghoor nahi tha, shayad yeh thori si dovish move thi
Pichli meetings mein, RBA ne rate barhane par baat ki thi, yeh kehte hue ke inflation waise nahi gir raha tha jaisa tawaqo thi. Ek ajeeb mod mein, August ka inflation report kal release hoga. Expectation hai ke headline inflation July ke 2.8% se gir kar 3% tak ho jayega Agar inflation tawaqo ke mutabiq ya is se kam girta hai, to RBA apne November ke agle meeting mein rate cut ko support karega
AUD/USD technicals: AUD/USD ne pehle 0.6865 par resistance ko test kiya tha. Yeh line December 2023 se resistance ke taur par barqarar hai. Kareebi resistance 0.6886 par hai. 0.6830 aur 0.6806 aglay support levels hain

Agar hum aaj raat tak ke trading session mein market ke trend conditions ko dekhein, toh wapis bullish movement ki taraf anay ka mauqa ab bhi dikhai de raha hai. Pichlay chand trading sessions mein market ka movement upar ki taraf dekhne ko mila hai aur ab price abhi tak upward rally mein hai. Agle chand dinon ke trading sessions mein, main ab bhi pur umeed hoon ke ideal area talash karoon ga jahan se ek aur BUY ka trading order de sakoon kyun ke meri rai mein market ka upwards jane ka potential ab bhi kafi zyada hai. Jo cheez is aqeeday ki buniyad ban sakti hai wo yeh hai ke buyers ne kamiyabi se price ko upar dhakel diya hai aur price 0.6816 ke level se door chali gayi hai. Is liye, meri rai mein BUY ka option ab bhi laayak-e-ghor hai, bas market mein entry karnay ke liye kisi theek setup ka intezar karna hai jo ideal price level pe ho aur aglay tezi ke target ka taluq shayad 0.6910 ke aas paas ka ho sakta hai. Meray mutabiq AUDUSD pair ke technical market conditions ka aglay chand dinon mein upar janay ka mauqa ab bhi hai. Agar buyers ne price ko phir se upar dhakel diya aur 0.6900 ka level tod diya, to aglay chand hafton ka trend zyada wazeh ho jaye ga aur price shayad pehlay se bhi upar ja sakti hai. Pichlay hafta ke aakhri trading session mein, shuru mein sellers ne price ko neeche push karnay ki koshish ki thi lekin wo 0.6705 ka level break nahi kar sake, is wajah se bearish trend ka reversal ho gaya aur ab price phir se bullish rasta pakar chuki hai. Is liye, trading ke liye meri rai mein zyada behtari is baat mein hai ke BUY entry area ko talash karain technical analysis ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue. Aaj tak ke trading sessions mein, buying volume barh gayi hai jo ke volatility mein izafa kar raha hai. Candlestick position ko dekh kar lagta hai ke wo SMA (Simple Moving Average) se upar break kar gaya hai jo price ke aagay barhne ka potential de raha hai. Meri rai mein candlestick movement ab bhi barhna chahti hai jo ke ek reference hai ke BUY opportunities ko talash karna behtareen decision hoga. Trading level ke placement ke liye price range 0.6885 ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai aur agar upar jane ka target ho to Take Profit 0.6925 par lagaya ja sakta hai. Risk ko limit karnay ke liye stop loss ka level 0.6855 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Agar buyers bullish target tak pohanch jatay hain to aglay chand sessions mein mazeed izafa dekhne ka bhi mauqa mil sakta hai.

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Market sentiment ne US dollar ke selling ko support kiya hai, aur AUD/USD ne bhi yeh trend follow kiya. Pair ki growth mustahkam aur pur-aitmad rahi hai, lekin doosri badi currencies ki tarah tezi se nahi hui. Phir bhi, yeh aham levels tak pohanch gaya aur critical benchmarks test kiye, jo selling opportunities ke liye ghor karne ka sabab bana. Aaj ke trading session mein na toh growth ka silsila jari raha aur na hi koi noticeable decline nazar aya. H4 chart pe dekha jaye toh Aussie ab flat correction phase mein dakhil ho sakta hai, jiske baad growth dobara shuru hogi. Yeh situation mujhe koi clear trading option nahi de rahi. Buying ke liye ek gehra pullback zaroori hai, jabke selling ke liye Friday ka high break hona chahiye, lekin dono conditions abhi maujood nahi hain. Is liye, main Australian market mein koi position nahi le raha hoon. H4 chart pe MACD indicator bearish divergence show kar raha hai, jo ek strong signal hai ke decline hoga aur yeh aaj materialize ho jayega. Aaj AUD/USD ka market 0.6814 level pe trade kar raha hai jo is hafte ka overbought level hai. Is liye, AUD/USD ka market bullish rukh ikhtiyar karega. US dollar (USD) is hafte mein kaafi kamzor raha hai jabke doosri global currencies ne achi tarah strength dikhayi hai. Yeh tajziya zyadatar fundamental analysis par mabni hai jo ke mukhtalif economic indicators ko highlight karta hai jo USD ki strength ko negatively impact karte hain. As a trader aur market analyst, yeh zaroori hai ke un factors ka ghor se jaiza liya jaye jo is market dynamic ka sabab hain, taake hum future movements ko samajh sakein. Economic data, central bank ke decisions, aur market sentiment sabhi currency valuations ko shape karte hain. In cheezon ka gehra samajh lena traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad deta hai, taake woh constantly shifting forex market mein confidently navigate kar sakein. Is liye, AUD/USD phir se resistance level 0.6845 ko cross karega. Aur, is hafte mein USD ki kamzori ke pichay kai key economic factors hain, jo fundamental analysis ke zariye samnay aaye hain. Ek bara sabab Federal Funds Rate se mutaliq disappointing data hai. Federal Reserve, jo yeh rate set karta hai, isay negative dekha hai, jo seedha USD ke value ko affect karta hai. Aik lower Federal Funds Rate ka matlab hai ke borrowing costs sasti ho jati hain, jo USD ko hold karne ka faida kam kar deta hai, aur investors doosri jagah higher yields talash karte hain.

Currency pair AUD/USD mein ab prices achi level par pahunch gayi hain jahan sell karne ka acha mauqa ban raha hai. Market mein ab orders ko absorb karna immediate lag raha hai. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke jo growth ab tak hui hai, woh apni had tak pahunch gayi ho, aur ab hum is ki growth mein ek upward trend dekhain. Sab ko mera salam! Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek zabardast mouqa hai paisa kamaane ka, H1 time frame par instrument forecast ka istemal kar ke. Is ke liye hum pehle market movement ka rukh samajhne ki koshish karenge aur market mein behtareen entry kar ke accha profit hasil karenge.
Sab se pehle yeh zaroori hai ke hum market ke rukh ke sath galat na hon (long ya short transaction kholne ka faisla sahi ho). To hum apne instrument chart ko 4-hour time frame par dekhenge aur samajhne ki koshish karenge ke current trend kya hai. Hume lagta hai ke aaj ka market hume ek zabardast mouqa de raha hai long transactions khol kar buy karne ka. Uske baad hum apne kaam mein HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka istemal karenge. H1 time frame par Huma aur RSI trend indicators ke mutabiq, hum bullish mode dekh rahe hain - dono indicators blue aur green hain aur yeh market mein buyers ki dominance ko dikha rahe hain. Is liye hum puri confidence ke sath ek purchase transaction open karenge. Hum apnea position ko magnetic level indicator ke sign par exit karenge. Aaj ideal levels jo kaam ke liye hain woh hain - 0.68200. Aur phir hum chart par price ke behavior ka observation karenge jab price magnetic level tak pahunchti hai, aur yeh faisla karenge ke mazeed profit barhane ke liye market mein position banai rakhi jaye, ya jo profit mil chuka hai usay confidently le liya jaye. Aap trailing stop tool (sliding stop order, trolling) ka bhi istemal kar sakte hain, jo ke MT4 trading terminal mein available hota hai

### AUD/USD Market Update

**Kal Ka Market Movement:**

Kal humne dekha ke AUD/USD market 0.6740 ke level se neeche gir gaya. Yeh girawat USA ke Empire State Manufacturing data ke positive hone ki wajah se hui, jo 11.5% tak pohnch gaya. Aaj USA ke Core Retail Sales data bhi release honge jo AUD/USD market par significant asar daal sakte hain. Yeh data ya to 0.6775 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai ya phir 0.6685 ke level se neeche le ja sakta hai.

**U.S. Dollar Ki Taaqat:**

Agar hum broader view se dekhen, to yeh aam tor par U.S. dollar ko majbooti deta hai, kyunki yeh badhti hui demand aur economic expansion ka indication hota hai. 11.5% ka index mein izafa yeh clear sign tha ke U.S. economy achi performance de rahi hai, jo Australian dollar par downward pressure bana raha hai. Is wajah se AUD/USD pair 0.6740 ke level se neeche chala gaya.

**Core Retail Sales Data Ka Intezaar:**

Aaj market participants U.S. Core Retail Sales data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ek aur significant economic indicator hai. Core Retail Sales data consumer spending ko reflect karta hai, lekin food aur energy ke volatile components ko exclude karta hai. U.S. economy ki current strength, jo Empire State Manufacturing data se indicate hoti hai, ke madde nazar, Core Retail Sales figures bhi positive ho sakte hain.

Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations se zyada positive hota hai, to yeh U.S. dollar ko aur majbooti de sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, shayad 0.6685 ke level se bhi neeche. Is case mein, U.S. dollar ki taqat ke bawajood, agar Core Retail Sales data disappoint karta hai, to U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 ke level se upar le jane ka mauka dega.

**Market Ka Reaction Aur Short-Term Outlook:**

Market economic indicators ke liye bohot sensitive hai, aur traders closely Core Retail Sales data ko monitor karenge taake AUD/USD pair ki short-term direction ko gauge kiya ja sake. Dono outcomes possible hain, aur yeh data agle move ko determine karega.

**Possible Scenarios:**

1. **Positive Core Retail Sales Data:**
- Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations se zyada achha hota hai, to U.S. dollar ko support mil sakta hai aur AUD/USD pair aur neeche ja sakta hai, shayad 0.6685 ke level se bhi neeche. Yeh scenario U.S. dollar ki strength ko indicate karega aur market ko yeh signal dega ke economy strong hai.

2. **Disappointing Core Retail Sales Data:**
- Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations ko meet nahi karta, to U.S. dollar weak ho sakta hai. Yeh AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai aur recovery ka chance provide kar sakta hai.

**Conclusion:**

Overall, Core Retail Sales data AUD/USD pair ke direction ko significantly impact karega. Market ke mood aur future trends ko samajhne ke liye traders ko data release ka intezaar hai. Har possible outcome market ke reaction ko define karega aur currency pair ke short-term movements ko direct karega

AUD/USD ke prices ke winning trades par humari guftagu ka markaz real-time evaluation hai. Iss waqt AUD/USD ka pair barh raha hai jabke interest rates apni jagah barqarar hain. Yeh rally jaari reh sakti hai, lekin bearish traders ke liye 0.6738 ka level todna bohot zaroori hai taake 0.6614 tak potential reversal ho sake. Shorter time frames par ek choti divergence ban rahi hai, jo aaj ke liye significant growth ko rok sakti hai; isliye abhi buying ka mashwara nahi diya ja sakta kyunke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuka hai. Filhal, behtari isi mein hai ke market ka mansoobah dekha jaye. Australian dollar filhal is scenario mein ma'ani khiz nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka mustaqbil ka rukh is resistance test ke nateeje par mabni hoga. Agar price 0.6901 ka level paar kar leta hai, tou 0.6896 resistance support level mein tabdeel ho jayega, jisse mazeed girawat ke chances kam ho jayenge.

Chart par nazar dalne par yeh mehsoos hota hai ke AUD/USD ke price movements market ke manipulations ko zahir karte hain jo aksar institutional traders ke taraf se hoti hain. Yahan par naye trading positions ko volume ke zariye establish kiya jata hai, aur phir accumulated liquidity ko nikal liya jata hai. Yeh pattern mujhe pehle se familiar hai, kyunke maine ise bohot dafa dekha hai. Iss waqt ke bullish trend mein, main anticipate karta hoon ke ek waqt aayega jab price rise ke saath liquiditynaye trading positions ko volume ke zariye establish kiya jata hai, aur phir accumulated liquidity ko nikal liya jata hai. Yeh pattern mujhe pehle se familiar hai, kyunke maine ise bohot dafa dekha hai. Iss waqt ke bullish trend mein, main anticipate karta hoon ke ek waqt aayega jab price rise ke saath liquidity clear ho jayegi upar ke level par. Jab volumes aur unke indicators confirm karenge ke AUD/USD liquidity ka nikalna upar se ho gaya hai, toh hum ek girawat dekh sakte hain takreeban 0.6658 ke level tak, jahan accumulated liquidity mojood hai. Main gr clear ho jayegi upar ke level par. Jab volumes aur unke indicators confirm karenge ke AUD/USD liquidity ka nikalna upar se ho gaya hai, toh hum ek girawat dekh sakte hain takreeban 0.6658 ke level tak, jahan accumulated liquidity mojood hai. Main growth aur 0.6891 level ke test ko support karta hoon. Mere Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, resistance 0.6896 par hai, jo ke core premise ko nahi badalta. Lekin 0.6896 ka resistance mazboot hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko wapas 0.6830 ke support level tak kheench lega.

Is pair ka bullish potential ab tak poori tarah maximize nahi ho paya, halan ke agar daily chart par dekha jaye to 0.6800 ka resistance bar-bar break hota nazar aata hai, lekin price kabhi bhi is level ke upar close nahi kar saka, jo buyers ke liye ek pessimism ka ehsas paida karta hai, aur phir price wapas gir jata hai. Jab price girta hai, to yeh normal daily correction level ke upar rehta hai, jo ke Red EMA200 ka dynamic support banata hai, aur 0.6632 - 0.6600 ka blue base area ke confluence ke sath, is liye market abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai.








Is waqt, market buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan kaafi balanced hai, kyun ke price MA5 / MA10 High D1 ke daily supply area mein hai, lekin abhi tak koi bara selling action nahi dekha gaya. H4 chart par dekha jaye to price magenta downward trend line se nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur saath hi Red EMA200 ko bhi cross kar raha hai. Yeh 200-period moving average ab dynamic support ka kaam karega, jo aage aur girawat ko roknay ki koshish karega. Lekin ab tak market puri tarah recover nahi hua hai. Bullish path par qaim rehne ke liye price ko yellow resistance level 0.6753 ke upar close karna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh close nahi hota to price mein mazeed girawat aa sakti hai, kyun ke pehle price Red EMA200 ke neeche close ho chuka hai, jo sellers ke liye price ko neeche le jane mein koi rukawat nahi rehne dega.

Buy option ke liye traders ko magenta downward trend line aur yellow resistance 0.6753 par market ka reaction dekhna chahiye.

### TRADING SETUP:

Agle haftay AUDUSD trading mein do levels focus mein hain: magenta downtrend line aur yellow resistance. In dono par price ka reaction trading signal ke liye bohot strong hoga, khaas tor par agar candle shape pinbar ya power candle ho. Yeh rahein trading ke kuch options:

#### **Buy Option**:
Yeh option tab execute kiya ja sakta hai agar price Red EMA200 ko break karne ki koshish kare, lekin ek strong resistance mile aur bullish pinbar candle banaye, kam az kam H1 timeframe par. Stop loss ko aakhri swing low 0.6650 ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai taake potential spikes se bacha ja sake. Pehla profit-taking area yellow resistance 0.6753 - 0.6769 par hoga. Dosra buy option tab liya ja sakta hai jab yellow resistance ko kam az kam ek power candle H1 basis par break kare. Pehla profit target 0.6795 aur doosra 0.6826 par hoga.

#### **Sell Option**:
Sell option do scenarios mein execute kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla, agar price yellow resistance ke qareeb pahunch kar bearish pinbar candle banaye H1 basis par, to SL limit ko 0.6775 ke upar rakha ja sakta hai, aur TP1 Red EMA200 line par hoga. Dosra sell tab execute kiya ja sakta hai jab price Red EMA200 ko break kare, jo ke seller pressure ka izhaar karega, kyun ke market structure abhi bhi bearish hai aur lower low pattern bana raha hai. Is scenario mein, loss ko 0.6732 par limit kar sakte hain, aur TP 0.6600 tak rakh sakte hain.

Movement:**

Kal humne dekha ke AUD/USD market 0.6740 ke level se neeche gir gaya. Yeh girawat USA ke Empire State Manufacturing data ke positive hone ki wajah se hui, jo 11.5% tak pohnch gaya. Aaj USA ke Core Retail Sales data bhi release honge jo AUD/USD market par significant asar daal sakte hain. Yeh data ya to 0.6775 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai ya phir 0.6685 ke level se neeche le ja sakta hai.

**U.S. Dollar Ki Taaqat:**

Agar hum broader view se dekhen, to yeh aam tor par U.S. dollar ko majbooti deta hai, kyunki yeh badhti hui demand aur economic expansion ka indication hota hai. 11.5% ka index mein izafa yeh clear sign tha ke U.S. economy achi performance de rahi hai, jo Australian dollar par downward pressure bana raha hai. Is wajah se AUD/USD pair 0.6740 ke level se neeche chala gaya.

**Core Retail Sales Data Ka Intezaar:**

Aaj market participants U.S. Core Retail Sales data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ek aur significant economic indicator hai. Core Retail Sales data consumer spending ko reflect karta hai, lekin food aur energy ke volatile components ko exclude karta hai. U.S. economy ki current strength, jo Empire State Manufacturing data se indicate hoti hai, ke madde nazar, Core Retail Sales figures bhi positive ho sakte hain.

Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations se zyada positive hota hai, to yeh U.S. dollar ko aur majbooti de sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, shayad 0.6685 ke level se bhi neeche. Is case mein, U.S. dollar ki taqat ke bawajood, agar Core Retail Sales data disappoint karta hai, to U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 ke level se upar le jane ka mauka dega.

**Market Ka Reaction Aur Short-Term Outlook:**

Market economic indicators ke liye bohot sensitive hai, aur traders closely Core Retail Sales data ko monitor karenge taake AUD/USD pair ki short-term direction ko gauge kiya ja sake. Dono outcomes possible hain, aur yeh data agle move ko determine karega.

**Possible Scenarios:**

1. **Positive Core Retail Sales Data:**
- Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations se zyada achha hota hai, to U.S. dollar ko support mil sakta hai aur AUD/USD pair aur neeche ja sakta hai, shayad 0.6685 ke level se bhi neeche. Yeh scenario U.S. dollar ki strength ko indicate karega aur market ko yeh signal dega ke economy strong hai.

2. **Disappointing Core Retail Sales Data:**
- Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations ko meet nahi karta, to U.S. dollar weak ho sakta hai. Yeh AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai aur recovery ka chance provide kar sakta hai.


**Conclusion:**

Overall, Core Retail Sales data AUD/USD pair ke direction ko significantly impact karega. Market ke mood aur future trends ko samajhne ke liye traders ko data release ka intezaar hai. Har possible outcome market ke reaction ko define karega aur currency pair

girawat USA ke Empire State Manufacturing data ke positive hone ki wajah se hui, jo 11.5% tak pohnch gaya. Aaj USA ke Core Retail Sales data bhi release honge jo AUD/USD market par significant asar daal sakte hain. Yeh data ya to 0.6775 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai ya phir 0.6685 ke level se neeche le ja sakta hai.

**U.S. Dollar Ki Taaqat:**

Agar hum broader view se dekhen, to yeh aam tor par U.S. dollar ko majbooti deta hai, kyunki yeh badhti hui demand aur economic expansion ka indication hota hai. 11.5% ka index mein izafa yeh clear sign tha ke U.S. economy achi performance de rahi hai, jo Australian dollar par downward pressure bana raha hai. Is wajah se AUD/USD pair 0.6740 ke level se neeche chala gaya.

**Core Retail Sales Data Ka Intezaar:**

Aaj market participants U.S. Core Retail Sales data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ek aur significant economic indicator hai. Core Retail Sales data consumer spending ko reflect karta hai, lekin food aur energy ke volatile components ko exclude karta hai. U.S. economy ki current strength, jo Empire State Manufacturing data se indicate hoti hai, ke madde nazar, Core Retail Sales figures bhi positive ho sakte hain.

Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations se zyada positive hota hai, to yeh U.S. dollar ko aur majbooti de sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, shayad 0.6685 ke level se bhi neeche. Is case mein, U.S. dollar ki taqat ke bawajood, agar Core Retail Sales data disappoint karta hai, to U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 ke level se upar le jane ka mauka dega.

**Market Ka Reaction Aur Short-Term Outlook:**

Market economic indicators ke liye bohot sensitive hai, aur traders closely Core Retail Sales data ko monitor karenge taake AUD/USD pair ki short-term direction ko gauge kiya ja sake. Dono outcomes possible hain, aur yeh data agle move ko determine karega.

**Possible Scenarios:**

1. **Positive Core Retail Sales Data:**
- Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations se zyada achha hota hai, to U.S. dollar ko support mil sakta hai aur AUD/USD pair aur neeche ja sakta hai, shayad 0.6685 ke level se bhi neeche. Yeh scenario U.S. dollar ki strength ko indicate karega aur market ko yeh signal dega ke economy strong hai.

2. **Disappointing Core Retail Sales Data:**
- Agar Core Retail Sales data expectations ko meet nahi karta, to U.S. dollar weak ho sakta hai. Yeh AUD/USD pair ko 0.6775 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai aur recovery ka chance provide kar sakta hai.

**Conclusion:**

Overall, Core Retail Sales data AUD/USD pair ke direction ko significantly impact karega. Market ke mood aur future trends ko samajhne ke liye traders ko data release ka intezaar hai. Har possible outcome market ke reaction ko define karega aur currency pair